Many Histocompatibility and Immunogenetics laboratories across the world are increasingly using the tool of Virtual crossmatching to predict positive XM based on the information about the presence of donor-specific HLA antibody (HLA-DSA) in patients. However, lab to lab variation in quantifying HLA-DSA is the major limitation to determine a cutoff concentration of DSA that can predict a positive XM. Here, we address this issue by assessing a cutoff value for HLA-DSA detected by solid-phase immunoassay (represented as mean fluorescence intensity, MFI) in a retrospective analysis that can virtually predict a positive CDC-AHG XM. We performed a retrospective study for 61 XM performed for 53 renal transplant recipients. Availability of results for HLA antibodies in patients, HLA typing of donor and patient and result of CDC-AHG XM were the inclusion criteria. The MFI values for DSA in patients were compared with the results of CDC-AHG XM. HLA class I and/or class II DSA were identified in 34 renal transplant patients. DSA strength (MFI value) significantly correlated with the CDC-AHG XM outcome (r = 0.82; p < 0.0001). An MFI value of 11500 showed 100% specificity, 93% sensitivity, 100% positive predictive value and 88% negative predictive value for predicting a positive T cell and/or B cell CDC XM. Our results showed that HLA-DSA strength correlated well the XM outcome. A precise appraisal of HLA-DSA strength (i.e. a cutoff MFI value) can significantly enhance the predictability of virtual crossmatching. The clinical significance of HLA-DSA in cases where DSA is present in strength lower than the cutoff is critical in patient management and requires assessment.
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