Increase In Pore Pressure Research Articles

Cross-scale analysis for the thermo-hydro-mechanical (THM) effects on the mechanical behaviors of fractured rock: Integrating mesostructure-based DEM modeling and machine learning

The excavation process induces the emergence of damage zones in the on-site engineering rock masses, significantly affecting the parameter evaluation of surrounding rock masses. Therefore, an in-depth understanding of the thermo-hydro-mechanical (THM) effects on the cross-scale failure process of fractured rock becomes progressively crucial in natural energy exploitation projects. In this study, a coupled thermo-hydro-mesostructure-based DEM (T-H-MSBM) model was developed to reconstruct rock microstructures and distinguish the THM responses of varying mineral grains, micro-defects and cracks in fractured granite. Five sets of numerical fractured granite in terms of different damage degrees were generated by restoring the form of excavation damage on site, and a series of compression simulations were conducted on the T-H-MSBMs under coupled temperature (25–250 °C), pore pressure (0–15 MPa) and confining pressure (15 MPa) conditions. Based on the cross-scale failure analysis on the fractured granite during the THM-compression loading process, the interplay between THM treatment and damage degree on the mechanical properties of fractured granite was revealed, and the main mechanisms affecting the varied macro mechanical properties were further discussed. Results indicate that both temperature and pore pressure exert the amplified deteriorating effect on the macro mechanical properties of fractured granite with increasing damage degree, while the temperature dependence becomes significantly more pronounced in the fractured granite with low damage degree. With an increase in the damage degree of fractured rock, the abundance of intra-mineral tensile cracks accelerates the initiation of pore pressure-induced cracks, and the coupled increase in pore pressure and temperature enhances the role of quartz-feldspar cracks in promoting the cracks in quartz. Finally, utilizing the optimized kernel ridge regression (KRR) model employed the grid search method, the correlation information database of rock macro-mechanical strength and THM factors were generated. The entire training time was less than 3 s, with the relative average errors of 0.7 MPa, which demonstrated the robust capability of machine learning method in predicting the coupled THM phenomena spanning multiple scales in geological materials and systems.

A finite element analysis of periodontal ligament fluid mechanics response to occlusal loading based on hydro-mechanical coupling model

ObjectiveConsidering fluid stimulation is one of the essential biomechanical signals for periodontal tissues, this study aims to characterizing fluid mechanics response during occlusal loading by a hydro-mechanical coupling model for periodontal ligament. DesignModels simulating periodontium with normal bone height and with intraosseous defects were built with three mechanical modules: tooth, periodontal ligament and alveolar bone. Tooth was modeled as linear elastic, and periodontal ligament and alveolar bone as a hydro-mechanical coupling model. Transient analyses under dynamic occlusal loading were performed. Fluid dynamics within periodontal ligament space was simulated and visualized by post-processing module. ResultsReciprocating oscillatory flow occurred within the periodontal ligament under occlusal loading. Higher pore pressure and fluid velocity were observed in furcation and apical regions compared to mid-root and cervical regions. Intraosseous defects increased pore pressure and fluid velocity within the periodontal ligament, most significantly near the defect. ConclusionBased on the results of the hydro-mechanical coupling model, significant oscillatory fluid motion is observed within the periodontal ligament under occlusal loading. Particularly, higher fluid velocity is evident in the furcation and apical areas. Additionally, Intraosseous defects significantly enhance fluid motion within the periodontal ligament.

Study on multi‐cycle gas‐water displacing mechanism in underground gas storage of low‐permeability reservoir based on PNM

AbstractA deep understanding of the pore‐scale multi‐cycle two‐phase seepage mechanism of gas‐water systems in low‐permeability reservoirs is crucial for enhancing oil and gas recovery and optimizing the operating conditions of underground gas storage. A pore network model was reconstructed using micro‐CT images of low‐permeability core samples from the Dagang Oilfield, China. The mathematical models of gas‐water flow in the pore‐scale models were established based on Poiseuille's law and the quasi‐static displacement theory, considering the gas compressibility and slip effects. The porosity, pore size, absolute permeability, and relative permeability (Kr) of oil‐water and gas‐water were calculated using pore network simulations and validated against experimental benchmark data of the same samples. The effects of multi‐cycle displacement, rock wettability, and average pore pressure on the gas‐water two‐phase flow were simulated and analyzed. The results showed that the relative permeability of gas (Krg) at the same water saturation level significantly increased when the gas compressibility and slip effects were considered. With an increase in the number of gas‐water displacement cycles, Krg at the same water saturation level showed a decreasing trend, indicating a reduction in the gas seepage capability. Krg decreased with increasing water contact angle. With an increase in the average pore pressure, Krg decreased and gradually increased when the average pressure exceeded 25 MPa.

Subgrade soil response to rail loading: Instability mechanisms, causative factors, and preventive measures

The demand for more efficient heavy-haul rail networks over soft subgrades poses significant geotechnical challenges and requires a comprehensive understanding of stress conditions as well as the failure potential of subgrade soil under moving wheel loads and increasing rail speeds. Unfavourable stress conditions in the subgrade can result in various types of failures, three of which are identified in this article: (i) excessive plastic settlement, (ii) progressive shear failure, and (iii) subgrade fluidisation (mud pumping). Through a series of advanced testing schemes using cyclic triaxial, hollow cylinder, and an in-house dynamic filtration apparatus, critical stress conditions and soil characteristics prone to subgrade instability are discussed. The results demonstrate that under adverse combinations of loading frequency (f) and cyclic stress ratio (CSR) the continuous application of cyclic loads can lead to an unstable state of soil where excess pore pressure and axial strain increase rapidly. This study also reveals that low to medium plasticity soils (PI < 22) are more vulnerable to subgrade fluidisation, where the rapid internal migration of pore water transforms the upper soil to a fluid-like state with substantial loss in soil stiffness. The layered response of soil through dynamic filtration tests showed larger hydrodynamic forces induced by differential hydraulic gradients in the top layer during cyclic loading causes moisture to move upwards. Various factors that can influence soil instability such as the degree of compaction degree, clay content, soil fabric and stress rotation are also addressed in this paper. Finally, novel solutions for stabilising subgrade such as a vertical drain-composite system and the use of eco-friendly biopolymers are presented.

Gas mass transfer characteristics in shales: Insights from multiple flow mechanisms, effective viscosity, and poromechanics

Accurate characterization of gas transport behavior is indispensable for successful shale gas reservoir development. In this study, a fractal-theory-based apparent permeability (AP) model is developed to better characterize real gas mass transfer in shales. The proposed model involves multi-scale organic matter (OM) and inorganic matter (IOM) flow channels and incorporates poromechanics-related dynamic pore size, multiple gas transport mechanisms, and dynamic viscosity. The discrete integration method (DIM) is employed to address viscosity changes during fractal scaling up. Experimental data, molecular dynamics simulations, and published theoretical models were used to verify the proposed model and reasonable agreements have been achieved. Results indicate that as the pore pressure and size increase, dominant mechanisms for gas transport change from surface diffusion at low pressure (lower than switch pressure) to viscous flow at higher pressure and larger pore sizes. Furthermore, higher organic matter content makes the permeability curve more similar to OM type. Ignoring effective viscosity results in underestimation of permeability, which is more noticeable when pressure rises and pore shrinks. Poromechanical properties primarily affect pore size, larger elastic modulus and smaller Poisson's ratio leads to significantly lower permeability. The real gas effect on AP reduction cannot be ignored, especially at high pressure. This work provides insights into the gas transport characteristics in shales, which have practical implications for shale gas reservoir simulation and development.

Dynamic Triggering of Earthquakes in Northeast Japan before and after the 2011 M 9.0 Tohoku-Oki Earthquake

ABSTRACT Previous studies documented a relative scarcity of remote dynamic triggering of earthquakes in Japan and suggested that it could be related to Japan’s predominantly compressive tectonic regime or the more frequent occurrence of large earthquakes in Japan. For example, remote triggering in California, characterized by extensional tectonics, occurs at levels of stress change as small as 0.1 kPa, whereas in Japan, transient stresses ≥30 kPa are required. However, the dynamic triggering threshold in Japan, following the 2016 Mw 7.0 Kumamoto earthquake, has been found to be of just a few kilopascals, significantly smaller than reported previously. It was proposed that a decrease in the triggering threshold may have taken place in Japan, in particular at volcanic and geothermal areas, after the 2011 Mw 9.0 Tohoku-Oki earthquake. In this study, we analyze the possible change in dynamic triggering conditions in five areas in northeast Japan, where swarm earthquakes have occurred immediately after the Tohoku-Oki earthquake. The triggering thresholds in these five areas have been estimated based on the analysis of waveform recordings of 49 teleseismic earthquakes that occurred between 2004 and 2020. A decrease of the triggering threshold (or triggering ability) is apparent in all but one region. However, a statistical significance Kolmogorov–Smirnov test could not reject, at a 5% level, the null hypothesis stating that “the distribution of dynamic stress changes for triggering earthquakes that occurred before and after the Tohoku-Oki event is the same.” We interpret the changes in the triggering threshold to be related to the pore pressure increase (and thus a fault strength decrease) in the crust following the Tohoku-Oki earthquake. Our results also indicate that dynamic triggering in Japan is more common than reported previously.

Analysis of Fluid-Injection-Induced Seismicity Using a Dynamic Sliding Model Incorporating the Rate- and State-Dependent Friction Law

Summary Earthquakes can be triggered by fluid injection into underground formations. Fluid injection can cause large changes in the underground volume that exert stresses on nearby preexisting faults, leading to seismic activity. Assuming an increase in underground development activities in the future, our understanding of the mechanism underlying induced seismicity must be improved, and methods must be developed to properly assess the risk of seismic events. The objective of this study is to develop a seismicity prediction model that calculates the magnitude and timing of triggered earthquakes or seismic events occurring during various subsurface fluid injection activities. We developed an injection-induced seismicity analysis model that predicts the dynamic earthquake nucleation caused by changes in stress and pore pressure that occur during various subsurface activities. The governing equations consisting of the dynamic motion of the poroelastic spring-slider system, rate and state friction laws and pore pressure diffusion equation were solved using the embedded semi-implicit Runge-Kutta (SIRK) method. The dynamic sliding model was also incorporated into the finite element method (FEM) model, considering the variations in the stresses and pore pressures in the formation. A field case study was also conducted to compare the model results with typical microseismicity responses observed from hydraulic fracturing treatments in shale fields. Contrary to the popular understanding derived from Amonton’s law, the dynamic friction model revealed that a large normal stress on the fault leads to rapid sliding. A larger normal stress accumulates a large amount of elastic energy until it slips owing to fluid injection, nucleating large seismic waves. The poroelastic spring-slider model estimated reasonable microseismic magnitudes for hydraulic fracturing treatment but overestimated the time required to trigger a microseismic event under field conditions. To improve the analysis results, the poroelastic spring-slider model was coupled with a linear elastic FEM that considered the complex interplay of stress changes from hydraulic fracturing and the associated pore pressure variation in the formation. Compared with the field data, the coupled simulation model estimated a reasonable timing for the induced microseismic events when the increasing pore pressure during hydraulic fracturing penetrated deep into the formation. These findings suggest the existence of permeable natural fractures in the formation, which intensify early frictional sliding during treatment. The seismicity prediction model presented in this study simulates the magnitude and timing of seismic nucleation, helping to manage and mitigate the environmental impacts of induced seismicity during various subsurface development activities, such as oil and gas extraction, hydraulic fracturing, geothermal, and carbon dioxide sequestration. Moreover, the case study results imply that the time series of seismic events predicted by the model can be used to understand the possible fracture geometry and extent of fluid invasion for field applications. Key Terms and Phrases induced seismicity, subsurface fluid injection, rate- and state-dependent friction law, embedded semi-implicit Runge-Kutta method, finite element analysis

Slope stabilization through groundwater management with limited hydrogeological data: a case study from Majes, southern Peru

Water table rise near a cliff may trigger a landslide due to the associated increase pore pressure and decrease in frictional resistance. One main cause of water table rise is intense irrigation for agriculture in arid and semi-arid regions. One such case is in Majes, southern Peru, where a landslide has evolved near an intensively irrigated agricultural area. Mitigation strategies for landslides exist, such as physical strengthening of the cliff, but can be expensive. We describe a groundwater management approach to reduce the pore pressure in the vicinity of the cliff to either slow the propagation of an existing landslide or prevent the initiation of a new landslide. A 3D numerical groundwater flow model was built for the Majes area which employs the limited data existing on the local hydrogeology. Simulations were run to understand the connection between the hydraulic properties and the water table level change due to irrigation and pumping. Results show that through a series of pumping wells near the cliff edge, the pore pressure can be decreased effectively. Moreover, decreasing the water table via pumping can be accomplished in 25–35% of the time it took to elevate the water table level by irrigation. In addition, the pumping can capture water that could be reused for irrigation. Thus, based on our analysis, we conclude that wells could provide a groundwater management approach that keeps the pore pressure at low levels to mitigate landslide processes and simultaneously supplies water for irrigation existing and future irrigation-heavy agriculture in semi-arid environments.

Comprehensive seismic evidence for the inducing mechanism of extremely shallow 2019 Changning Ms 6.0 earthquake by solution salt mining, Sichuan Basin, China

Abstract In the Changning region of the Sichuan Basin, China, which has experienced decades-long injection of freshwater for commercial salt mining, a Ms 6.0 earthquake occurred in June 2019, along with four Ms &amp;gt;5 aftershocks. Using data from local and regional seismic stations, we determine accurate locations for this earthquake sequence, velocity structures, and excess pore fluid pressures of the source region. Our results show that the Ms 6.0 earthquake is extremely shallow (~1.6 km below mean sea level) and is associated with low Vs and high Vp/Vs values and excess fluid pressures, indicating a fluid-induced earthquake. The mainshock was likely the shallowest M &amp;gt;6.0 induced earthquake, and it was triggered by the combined effect of pore pressure increase from the diffusion of injected fluids, differential formation subsidence from salt caverns, and highly fractured slip-prone rocks enriched in quartz and silica content. Following Coulomb stress transfer from the mainshock, the sequence ruptured in a cascading manner involving preexisting oblique faults of varying dips.

Observed soil arching-induced ground deformation and stress redistribution behind braced excavation

This paper presents observed arching-induced ground deformation and stress redistribution behind braced excavation using the top-down construction method. The soil properties around the excavation were determined by laboratory and field tests. The ground deformation, soil displacement vector, strain path, principal strain, maximum shear strain, lateral earth pressure, pore water pressure, and effective stress path are presented based on the measured data. The majority of soil behind the wall is under volumetric expansion, indicating consolidation, creep behavior, or a combination of both. Besides, two periods of increases in pore pressure are observed, due to stress transfer from the lower to the upper parts (i.e., soil arching effect). The deep inward movement of the wall and the nearby soil accounts for the distribution of lateral earth pressure acting on the wall. The soil located behind the area of maximum wall deformation and adjacent to the wall, as well as the soil below the excavation base intersected by the shear plane, is in an active stress state. The lateral earth pressure at 5 m from the left excavation wall showed minimal changes, due to the combined effects of soil arching from lateral excavation and shield tunneling.

Study on the influence of pore water pressure on shear mechanical properties and fracture surface morphology of sandstone

To further investigate the weakening effect of pore water pressure on intact rock mechanics properties and characteristics of fracture surface after failure, direct shear tests of sandstone were conducted under different pore pressure. A 3D scanner was employed to digitize the morphology of the post-shear fracture surface. The variogram function was applied to quantify the anisotropic characteristics of post-shear fracture surface. The relationship between deformation during shear failure of intact rock and quantitative parameters of fracture surface after shear failure was initially established. It can be found that amplitudes of the sinusoidal surface determine the maximum value of variogram, and period affect lag distance that reach the maximum value of variogram. Test results revealed that the increase of pore pressure has obvious weakening effect on shear strength and deformation of rock. Moreover, the increase of pore pressure makes the shear fracture surface flatter. It can be obtained that both Sillmax and Rangemax are positively related to shear strain, but negatively related to normal strain.

Decomposing significant factors of Coulomb stress and its components in injection-induced seismicity

Injection-induced seismicity has been a focus of industry for decades as it poses great challenges to the associated risk mitigation and hazard assessment. The response surface methodology is integrated into the geo-mechanical model to analyze the effects of multiple factors on induced seismicity during the post shut-in period. We investigate the roles of poroelastic stress and pore pressure diffusion and examine the differences in the controlling mechanism between fault damage zones and the fault core. A sensitivity analysis is conducted to rank the selected factors, followed by a Box‒Behnken design to form response surfaces and formulate prediction models for the Coulomb stress and its components. Reservoir properties significantly affect the potentials of induced seismicity in the fault by changing pore pressure diffusion, which can be influenced by other factors to varying degrees. Coulomb stress is greater in pressurized damage zones than in fault cores, and the seismicity rate exhibits a consistent variation. Poroelastic stress plays a similar role to pore pressure diffusion in the stability of the fault within the pressurized damage zones. However, pore pressure diffusion dominates in the fault core due to the low rigidity, which limits the accumulation of elastic energy caused by poroelastic coupling. The slip along the fault core is a critical issue to consider. The potential for induced seismicity is reduced in the right damage zones as the pore pressure diffusion is blocked by the low-permeability fault core. However, poroelastic stressing still occurs, and in deep basements, the poroelastic effect is dominant even without a direct increase in pore pressure. The findings in this study reveal the fundamental mechanisms behind injection-induced seismicity and provide guidance for optimizing injection schemes in specific situations.

Experimental study on gas slippage effect in coal at different temperatures based on nuclear magnetic resonance

Coalbed methane (CBM) can be recovered more effectively through heat injection mining. The slippage effect in coal becomes more significant as CBM is exploited, essential for maintaining consistent production of CBM wells. By “slippage effect,” we mean that gas molecules exhibiting non–zero velocity near the wall surface of coal pores, leading to higher gas permeability than liquid permeability. To explore the slippage effect and its control mechanism during heat injection mining, methane seepage experiments with constant effective stress were conducted under five different temperatures and seven pore pressures. An analysis was conducted on the mechanisms by which pore pressure and temperature affect gas slippage effect. Furthermore, the correlation between coal pore structure and the gas slippage effect was revealed using the nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) technique. The results appear that, first, as pore pressure increases, the slippage effect is suppressed due to the influence of the average molecular free path, despite the positive impact of adsorption–induced matrix expansion. Second, as temperature rises, the average molecular free path and thermal expansion have a positive impact on gas slippage, while matrix shrinkage caused by desorption has a negative impact. The positive impact is stronger, resulting in a continuous enhancement of the slippage effect. Finally, a new slippage factor calculation based on NMR T2 distribution of micropores and transitional pores (&amp;lt;100 nm, T2 &amp;lt; 8.33 ms) was provided, and the method was verified by slippage factor fitted by permeability experimental data. The heat injection mining of CBM can be theoretically guided by the research results.

Fluid-injection control on energy partitioning during the earthquake cycle

During an earthquake, the elastic energy stored in the Earth is released as frictional energy and radiated energy in the form of seismic waves. The partitioning of energy released during an earthquake gives an indication of the overall size of the earthquake and its potential for damage to man-made structures. Here, we perform an energy analysis of fluid-injection-induced earthquakes using a single-degree-of-freedom spring poroslider and rate-and-state friction. We show that seismic radiation can be modeled within the single-degree-of-freedom spring-slider by adding a radiation damping term. We then use it to study fluid injection and assess its effects on the energy partitioning during induced and triggered earthquakes. We find that: (1) seismic efficiency, stress drop, and total slip are directly influenced by the rate of increase in pore pressure, (2) the ratio of elastic energy stored in the skeleton to injection energy is low and is influenced by the rate of fluid injection, (3) seismic injection efficiency is also low and is lower for induced earthquakes compared to triggered ones, and (4) fluid injection leads to bigger and potentially more damaging earthquakes overall.

Spatiotemporal Variations and Postseismic Relaxation Process Around Mt. Fuji, Japan, During and After the 2011 Tohoku‐Oki Earthquake

AbstractTo monitor the volcanoes at a high spatiotemporal resolution, we introduce the singular value decomposition‐based Wiener filter and the three‐component waveforms in ambient noise velocity monitoring. The continuous ambient noise data from 63 stations around Mt. Fuji and Mt. Hakone, Japan, during the January‐September 2011 were analyzed to estimate the seismic velocity variations at a 1‐day temporal resolution, allowing us to distinguish the velocity drops caused by the 2011 Mw 9.0 Tohoku‐oki and the Mw 6.0 East Shizuoka earthquake. The velocity drop during the Tohoku‐oki earthquake was large in volcanic areas and was larger around Mt. Hakone than Mt. Fuji. This difference is possibly due to the existence of fluid‐ and gas‐rich zones at shallower depths and a higher crack density around Mt. Hakone. In addition, the velocity drop at Mt. Fuji during the Tohoku‐oki and the East Shizuoka earthquake was the same level, despite larger static stress changes beneath Mt. Fuji during the East Shizuoka earthquake. We interpret this inconsistency between the velocity drops and static stress changes to arise from incomplete recovery of the generated cracks during the Tohoku‐oki earthquake when the East Shizuoka earthquake occurred. This study also investigates the spatial variations in recovery speed and recovery amount, finding slow recovery speeds in the volcanic areas and fault areas, possibly due to larger crack densities in the crust. Furthermore, we observe the lowest velocity recovery amount in the volcanic areas, which is likely attributed to the maintained increase in pore pressure due to the volcanic gas bubbles.

Insights on the state of stress in the mantle beneath Pahala, Hawai‘i

Magma supply rates from the mantle to Hawaiian volcanoes serve as an important control on eruptive behavior at the surface. The Pa ̄hala Sill Complex, a collection of magma-bearing, seismogenic structures at 40 km depth beneath Hawai‘i, presents an opportunity to elucidate interactions between stress and magma transport processes in the mantle. We invert for full moment tensors of sill earthquakes and identify predominantly shear mechanisms with persistent tensile faulting components. Slip occurs in-plane with the sill structures. Pressure axes are radially oriented about a point near Mauna Loa, consistent with a stress field generated by a flexural load. Together, these observations suggest that magma flux through the sill structures generates seismicity by increasing pore pressure and promoting slip. Our results suggest that stress changes in mantle structures may enable fluctuations in magma supply rates to the surface over short timescales.

On the b-value dependency of injection-induced seismicity on geomechanical parameters

Variability in the b-value, which describes the frequency distribution of earthquake magnitudes, is usually attributed to variations in differential stress in the setting of natural and laboratory earthquakes. However, differential stress is unlikely to explain b-value variations on the reservoir scale of injection-induced seismicity cases where significant differential stress variability can hardly be expected. We investigate the responsible geomechanical parameters for the b-value reduction observed in injection-induced seismicity at the Basel EGS field in Switzerland, for which a measured in-situ stress model and fault orientations of numerous microseismic events are available. We estimate the shear and normal stresses along faults, differential stress, pore pressure increase at failure, and the Coulomb failure stress, for each event. Event magnitude and shear stress display the most systematic and clear correlation between each other, while other parameters do not show a clear correlation with event magnitude. We further examine the relationship between the b-value and these geomechanical parameters. We discover that the b-value systematically decreases with increasing shear stress. Again, other geomechanical parameters do not show a clear correlation with the b-value. We conclude that b-value variability is explained by variations in shear stress in the injection-induced seismicity setting, where near constant differential stress conditions are expected. Furthermore, we observe that b-value reduction with time also correlates with an increasing number of events along faults having high shear stress, which strongly supports our conclusions. Thus, we discovered a profound physical mechanism behind b-value variation in injection-induced seismicity beyond general understanding of b-value variation.

FRACTAL ANALYSIS FOR PERMEABILITY OF MULTIPLE SHALE GAS TRANSPORT MECHANISMS IN ROUGHENED TREE-LIKE NETWORKS

In this work, a new gas transport model for shale reservoirs is constructed by embedding randomly distributed roughened tree-like bifurcation networks into the matrix porous medium. We constructed apparent permeability models for different shale gas flow mechanisms based on fractal theory, taking into account the effects of relative roughness and surface diffusion. The effects of bifurcation structure parameters as well as shale gas parameters on different apparent permeabilities are systematically analyzed. It is found that the permeability generally shows a decreasing trend with the increase in pore pressure, but the effect on viscous flow is inconsiderable. In addition, larger porosity, fractal dimension and bifurcation levels lead to increased permeability of different mechanisms. Whereas, the increase in the bifurcation levels implies a greater flow resistance, resulting in a decreased permeability. In addition, The relative roughness hinders the development of total permeability but favors surface diffusion permeability. Moreover, larger length ratios and diameter ratios are beneficial to the shale gas flow.

Irshalwadi landslide in Western Ghats of India: Observations from precursory slope movement, rainfall and soil moisture

The Western Ghats of India, a UNESCO world heritage site, is gradually becoming a hotspot for catastrophic landslides. On July 19, 2023, the entire Irshalwadi village in the Raigad district of Maharashtra, India, was obliterated due to a single catastrophic landslide. Of the 228 residents of the village, the landslide killed 27 people and 57 are still reported to be missing. The landslide occurred on a slope which exhibited no visual precedence of disturbance or creep. However, analysis of potential precursory movements prior to slope failure using the Persistent Scatterer Interferometry (PSI) technique reveals active movement near the base of the slope (in order of ∼12 ​mm/y). Sentinel-2 satellite imagery acquired post-event characterises the landslide as a bifurcated debris flow possibly triggered by heavy rainfall in the region. Peak cumulative rainfall, estimated by the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), was observed in this region on 17, 18 and July 19, 2023 (∼500) mm and was the highest recorded rainfall in the region during the given period. This caused significant water percolation into the porous basaltic soil, leading to increased soil moisture, as supported by the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) data. The resultant increase in pore pressure caused the slope material to fail and eventually trigger the landslide.

The 2022 Chaos Canyon landslide in Colorado: Insights revealed by seismic analysis, field investigations, and remote sensing

An unusual, high-alpine, rapid debris slide originating in ice-rich debris occurred on June 28, 2022, at 16:33:16 MDT at the head of Chaos Canyon, a formerly glacier-covered valley in Rocky Mountain National Park, CO, USA. In this study, we integrate eyewitness videos and seismic records of the event with meteorological data, field observations, pre- and post-event satellite imagery, and uncrewed aircraft vehicle imagery to characterize the event and future hazards it may pose. Deformation of the eventual slide mass preceded rapid failure by decades, starting in the early to mid-2000s, accelerating in 2018 (the warmest year on record), and reaching ~ 20 m/year in 2021. The main event, which was preceded by smaller sliding episodes earlier that day, had a volume of ~ 2.1 million m3, reached peak velocities of about 5 m/s, slid on a surface up to 80 m deep, and moved up to ~ 245 m downslope in < 2 min. We observed blocks of frozen debris (permafrost) in the landslide deposits. Within ~ 2 weeks, these blocks had melted and became dry, conical debris mounds (molards). We hypothesize that the rapid slide was induced by gradually increasing long-term air temperatures that thawed ice and increased pore pressures. The presence and suspected influence of permafrost on the occurrence of this landslide indicate other slopes in the park, and other moderate-to-low latitude alpine regions may experience similar slope stability issues as temperatures continue to warm.