Abstract This study analyzes the spatiotemporal distribution of turbulence in China from 2020 to 2022 using pilot reports. Results reveal a higher frequency of moderate-to-severe turbulence during spring and winter, particularly in January. Spatially, the primary regions of turbulence occurrence are eastern China, Xinjiang Province, Sichuan Province, and the Qiongzhou Strait, with a focus on altitudes at or above 6000 m. Machine learning models, especially random forest and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), demonstrate high accuracy in turbulence prediction, notably for high-altitude events. The random forest model shows optimal performance in winter, achieving an area under the curve of 0.92. The study highlights the importance of thermally related diagnostics, indicating a significant presence of convectively induced turbulence in high-altitude turbulence events. This research not only deepens the understanding of turbulence dynamics in the China region but also underscores the potential of machine learning in enhancing turbulence forecasting.
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