BackgroundDecreased strength and increased stiffness of the quadriceps have been associated with a higher risk of developing knee osteoarthritis (OA) in elders. Dynamic joint stiffness (DJS) represents collective resistance from active and passive knee structures for dynamic knee motions. Elevated sagittal knee DJS has been associated with worsening of cartilage loss in knee OA patients. Altered quadriceps properties may affect DJS, which could be a mediator for associations between quadriceps properties and knee OA. Hence, this study aimed to examine whether DJS and quadriceps properties would be associated with the development of clinical knee OA over 24 months, and to explore the mediation role of DJS in associations between quadriceps properties and knee OA.MethodsThis was a prospective cohort study with 162 healthy community-dwelling elders. Gait analysis was conducted to compute DJS during the loading response phase. Quadriceps strength and stiffness were evaluated using a Cybex dynamometer and shear-wave ultrasound elastography, respectively. Knee OA was defined based on clinical criteria 24 months later. Logistic regression with generalized estimating equations was used to examine the association between quadriceps properties and DJS and incident knee OA. Mediation analysis was performed to explore the mediation role of DJS in associations between quadriceps properties and the incidence of knee OA.ResultsA total of 125 participants (65.6 ± 4.0 years, 58.4% females) completed the 24-month follow-up, with 36 out of 250 knees identified as clinical knee OA. Higher DJS (OR = 1.86, 95%CI: 1.33–2.62), lower quadriceps strength (1.85, 1.05–3.23), and greater quadriceps stiffness (1.56, 1.10–2.21) were significantly associated with a higher risk of clinical knee OA. Mediation analysis showed that the DJS was not a significant mediator for the associations between quadriceps properties and knee OA.ConclusionsHigher sagittal knee dynamic joint stiffness, lower quadriceps strength, and greater quadriceps stiffness are potential risk factors for developing clinical knee OA in asymptomatic elders. Associations between quadriceps properties and knee OA may not be mediated by dynamic joint stiffness. Interventions for reducing increased passive properties of the quadriceps and knee joint stiffness may be beneficial for maintaining healthy knees in the aging population.