A model-based surface fluvial erosion and deposition approach was adapted to Martian conditions to forecast the potential locations for shallow subsurface sampling by the Rosalind Franklin ExoMars rover at Oxia Planum. While remote and on-site images show only the surface visible features, former fluvial-related accumulation sites might be hidden. During the fluvial activity, most accumulation-related areas are interesting with regard to clay-like sediments, which could adsorb organics effectively—such sites could be identified by modeling. By applying the SIMWE fluvial erosion/deposition model, substantial variability in accumulation and deposition-dominated areas with their specific pattern and spatial distribution could be outlined, indicating that sophisticated targeting of future sampling could use such a model-based approach. At the main valley-like feature, former water flow tracks were identified, as well as deposition-dominated locations, which are the best targets for shallow subsurface sampling. Joint evaluation of safety aspects like slope angle and loose sand dunes with scientific aspects provide the best sampling locations. Such model-based targeting is important as by using only orbital images, these locations could not be identified.