Abstract The effect of thinning on stand structure and volume production is well studied. However, the effect of combinations of precommercial (PCT) and commercial thinning (CT) on the production of different log grades and differential growth responses is less understood, although it is crucial for forest managers to choose an optimal management regime. Starting with actual operational field data from a lodgepole pine (Pinus contorta var.latifolia) PCT trial on fair quality sites (site index: 16–18 m at 50 years), we used an individual tree growth model to forecast development over the entire rotation. We found thinning changed the structure (density, quadratic mean diameter) of the stands but not the total volume production. However, in terms of merchantable volume and large sawlog volume, stands with only PCT provided the largest volume, more than either CT or a combination of PCT and CT, or the unthinned control. Moreover, our study findings also showed that, by doing only PCT, stands reached maximum merchantable or large sawlog mean annual increment earlier than other thinned or unthinned stands. This indicates that PCT might shorten the rotation length and contribute to an enhanced supply of timber. Study Implications: The effect of commercial thinning (CT) on stand structure and volume production is well studied. However, the effect of combinations of precommercial (PCT) and commercial thinning (CT) on the production of different log grades and differential growth responses is less studied, although it is crucial for forest managers to choose a management option. Starting with actual operational field data from a lodgepole pine (Pinus contorta var.latifolia) PCT trial in a fair-quality site (site index [SI]: 16–18), we used an individual tree growth model to develop the stands over the entire rotation. We found thinning changed the structure (density, quadratic mean diameter) of the stands but not the total volume production. However, in terms of merchantable volume and large sawlog volume, stands with only PCT provided the largest volume, more than either CT or a combination of PCT and CT, or the unthinned control. Moreover, our study findings also showed that, by doing only PCT, stands reached maximum merchantable or large sawlog MAI earlier than other thinned or unthinned stands. This indicates that PCT might shorten the rotation length and contribute to the continuous supply of timber production.
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