Non-tax Revenue Research Articles

Does Local Government Debt Affect Corporate Innovation Quality? Evidence from China

This study investigates the impact of local government debt levels on the behavior of individual firms, which is crucial for understanding the systemic risks associated with local government debt and fostering economic vitality. Using data from publicly listed companies on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges between 2013 and 2022, this study empirically examines the effect of local government debt on corporate innovation quality. The findings demonstrate that local government debt expansion has a significant negative impact on corporate innovation quality. The negative impact remains robust across endogeneity tests and multiple robustness checks. Channel analysis indicates that as local government debt increases, innovation subsidies and procurement funding led toward firms’ decline, while both tax and non-tax revenue demands indicated firm increases. This resource reallocation contributes to the observed decline in corporate innovation quality. Further heterogeneity analysis reveals that regions with lower levels of government intervention and fiscal pressure exhibit a smaller negative effect of local government debt on innovation quality. Finally, examining the economic outcomes reveals that the decline in innovation quality, resulting from current local debt expansion, significantly reduces total factor productivity and firm value in the subsequent year, posing challenges for sustainable corporate development.

Regulation and Characteristics of Reserving Budget Funds in Russian Regions

Introduction. The relevance is due to the fact that very little attention is paid to this topic in domestic papers despite the importance of reserving budget funds as an instrument of countercyclical policy and sustainability of regional development. The purpose of the study is to identify the peculiarities of reserve funds regulation in the constituent entities of the Russian Federation, which will allow a better understanding of the motivation and incentives of the authorities and their risk management activities. Materials and Methods. With the help of general scientific methods the analysis of regional laws on reserve fund and budget process and profile governmental resolutions for each subject of the Russian Federation was carried out, the original database on the main features of reserve funds at the regional level in Russia was created. This made it possible to systematize disparate information on various aspects of budget reserves in Russian regions, highlight common features and peculiarities – a step towards improving the institution of reserving funds to ensure regional financial stability. Results. The main features and differences between the reserve fund of the subject of the Russian Federation as a public legal entity and the reserve fund (funds) of the executive authority of the subject are identified. It has been established that the reserve fund of the subject of the Russian Federation as a public legal entity is provided for by legislation in not more than half of the regions of the Russian Federation, while the reserve fund of the executive authority operates in every subject. The sources of the funds are, as a rule, a sharp increase in tax and non-tax revenues during the year and the balance on accounts at the beginning of the year. Areas of expenditures from the fund are usually limited and universal, but depending on the conditions of a particular region they can be diverse. Discussion and Conclusion. The reserve fund of the subject of the Russian Federation remains an unpopular instrument. Unlike the reserve fund of the executive authority, its formation is not necessary, and there is no and spending of funds in the regions. The practical implication consists in the possibility of supplementing the measures of the federal policy of financial stability, as well as in the use of the presented results at the level of a regional administration regarding the experience of other regions in terms of regulation and the practice of formation and of reserve funds.

India’s Energy and Fiscal Transition

Abstract This paper looks at India’s expected energy transition towards a low carbon future and studies how government revenues from fossil fuels will be affected over the next two decades. It takes the International Energy Association (2021) scenarios for India and studies how both tax revenues and non-tax revenues for national (central) and sub-national (state) governments would be affected. The study finds that under fairly standard assumptions on growth, prices, and taxes, there would be continued growth in revenues from fossil fuels till 2040; however, as a share of the GDP and overall government budget it would fall significantly and this would impose challenges for both the state and central governments in India. Moreover, since the central government is the greatest beneficiary of fossil fuels, it would face the brunt of the pressure. The paper also briefly discusses the possible impact of net zero and carbon taxes if India were to take that route, as well as how subsidies are expected to impact and be impacted by such considerations.

Assessing the fiscal implications of flood disasters in India: insights for general and special category states

Abstract This study provides a comprehensive analysis of the fiscal consequences arising from flood disasters in India, with a specific focus on the challenges encountered by General Category States (GCS) and Special Category States (SCS). Recognizing India's vulnerability to floods due to its diverse geographical and climatic landscape, the research emphasizes the need for a coordinated disaster response framework involving both central and state governments. Utilizing a panel vector autoregression (VAR) methodology alongside impulse response functions (IRFs), we reveal that flood disasters significantly impact fiscal variables over a medium-term horizon of 3–5 years. Our findings indicate that fiscal deficits widen for up to three years post-disaster, while expenditures on flood control surge in the following years. Notably, SCS face a disproportionate fiscal strain, exacerbated by their geographical disadvantages and heightened susceptibility to disasters, leading to a decline in non-tax revenue after flood shocks. The study advocates for tailored fiscal policies that enhance the resilience and recovery capacity of both GCS and SCS in addressing flood-induced fiscal challenges.

Interlinkages between public expenditures, non-tax government revenues and corruption in the transition economies

PurposeThis article examines potential impacts of increase in non-tax government revenues and public expenses on corruption for 11 transition economies in the Central and Eastern Europe.Design/methodology/approachThe empirical analysis uses yearly panel datasets and employs second-generation panel data models which take cross-sectional dependency and slope heterogeneity into account.FindingsThe empirical results reveal the fact that there is a strong linkage between public expenses and corruption and a weak linkage between non-tax revenue collection and corruption in the transition economies. We perform the same analysis by using data sets from G-7 countries but do not notice any linkages between those variables.Research limitations/implicationsThe research topic requires further discussion on constitutional political economy to digest the empirical findings. Thus, an extended version combined with political economic approach might be useful.Practical implicationsThrough economic transitions, there might be a linkage between public expenditures and corruption index. Thus, public spending might be controlled by using constitutional economics policies.Originality/valueThis paper is the first empirical work in the literature, which examines if there is a linkage between corruption and public expenditures and government tax income structure by using panel data sets. Moreover, it compares the results from transition countries with those of G-7 countries and provides certain policy suggestions in the context of constitutional economics.

Revenue Streams and Capital Outlay: An Empirical Study of Municipal Corporations in India

This paper empirically tests the relationship between municipal revenue streams and capital outlay focused on building new infrastructure and amenities for sustainable urban development. The study follows a cross-sectional research design without a time dimension using secondary data from municipal corporations across 26 Indian states and Union Territories obtained from the Reserve Bank of India’s Report on Municipal Finances. An Ordinary Least Squares model was used to estimate the coefficients of own tax revenue, own non-tax revenue and revenue from government transfers. The study's main results show that while coefficients of own non-tax revenue sources, i.e., Rental Income, Fees & User Charges, and Interest earned are 8.52, 3.56, and 40.43 respectively with associated p-values of 0.000, suggesting greater influence in determining capital outlay, the coefficients of own tax revenue sources such as Property Tax, Water Tax, and Advertisement Tax are -0.21, -2.96 and 15.78 respectively with p-values exceeding 0.05 suggesting an insignificant relationship. Transfers from the central government are significant factors influencing capital outlay of the municipal corporations given by a coefficient of 2.45 with an associated p-value of 0.01, while state government transfers have a negative relationship given by a coefficient of -1.15 with a p-value of 0.023. The study also employs several diagnostic tests to ensure validity of the results and robustness of the model employed. The Adjusted R-squared value of 0.98 shows the model is a good fit and coefficients are relevant. Model diagnostics reveal that the results are efficient and model is a good fit to the data. The paper then concludes with discussion on the results obtained and policy suggestions along with indicating scope for further research in the field.

Scaling Up Domestic Resource Mobilization Via Non-Tax Revenues: Is The Government Directive Sustainable?

The paper critiques Tanzania’s fifth phase government’s directive under then President John Pombe Magufuli aimed at boosting domestic resource mobilization through non-tax revenues. Using a descriptive qualitative method approach, it examines the directive’s impact on key institutions contributing to the Treasury Consolidated Fund. Analysis of data from various sources, including government reports and face-to-face interviews with key officials from the selected public institutions and statutory corporations, reveals mixed results: while some institutions improved revenue mobilization due to better governance and technology, others struggled, even dipping into limited funds to comply with the government directive; in turn, this lead to undermine the performance of some of the statutory institutions in meeting their obligations. The study suggests that sustainable non-tax revenue strategies require institutionalized policies aligned with enhanced institutional capacities. It highlights the importance of efficient use of resources for socio-economic development. The paper underlines the ongoing reforms under the Office of the Treasury Registrar to transform the office into a Public Investment Management Authority, aiming at improving the institutionalization of non-tax revenues, boosting the performance effectiveness and non-tax revenue collection. It calls for long-term, standardized approaches to non-tax revenue mobilization for sustainable development. It cautions against the adoption of ad hoc measures that may adversely affect the performance of public institutions. This study is significant to the scholarship on governance and resource mobilization and cautions leaders and policymakers about the consequences of their decisions.

Utilization of electronic transactions to increase non-tax state revenue in the telecommunications sector

The telecommunications sector is crucial in a country’s economy. The advancements in information and communication technology have had a significant impact on this sector, particularly in the electronic transactions domain. The utilization of electronic transactions in the telecommunications sector can yield substantial benefits, including increasing non-tax state revenue and economic development in Indonesia. The Covid-19 pandemic has served as a catalyst for the sharp rise in internet usage and telecommunications services, such as work-from-home, distance learning, online shopping or payments, industrial digitization, telemedicine, and others. Consequently, digital transformation has accelerated, necessitating the equitable distribution of Information and Communication Technology (ICT) in Indonesia. The utilization of electronic transactions has directly contributed to the increase in state revenue from non-tax sector, particularly in the telecommunications sector. This can be observed through the continuous growth of non-tax revenue achieved by the Ministry of Communication and Informatics, surpassing the set targets each year in terms of realized value. The objective of this research is to analyze the effectiveness, challenges, and impacts of electronic transactions in increasing non-tax state revenue, in order to generate policy recommendations in Indonesia. This study uses a normative juridical method, analyzing positive legal provisions. Data sources were obtained from three types of legal materials, and data collection was conducted both online and offline. The research results indicate that the utilization of electronic transactions can increase non-tax state revenue in the telecommunications sector through various forms such as telecommunications bill payments, e-commerce transactions, sales of prepaid credit and data packages, telecommunications devices, digital services, content delivery, and transaction monitoring and oversight.

Tax potential of municipalities as the basis of regional budgets

In the Russian Federation (hereinafter referred to as RF, Russia), which is a federal state with a three-level budget system, it is assumed that there is tax potential at all levels: federal, regional, and local. With the help of taxes, the financial basis of local governments is formed and the socio-economic development of municipalities is ensured. In developed countries, municipal budgets are formed mainly from the taxes assigned to them. In Russia, they continue to remain the most problematic link in the country’s budget system. The purpose of the article is to study the influence of the taxes assigned to local budgets on the formation of the tax potential of the municipalities. Objectives are the following: analysis and assessment of revenues of the Russian local budgets in dynamics, justification of directions for increasing the tax potential. The methodological basis of the research is founded on a systematic approach, within which the following methods have been used: analysis and synthesis, generalisation, grouping, tabular method, etc. The research has found that over the past years, with the introduction of the Tax Code of the RF, problems of insufficient tax and non-tax revenues remain for most municipalities, low level of the tax potential and predominance of interbudgetary transfers in their budgets are current. Due to the increasing centralisation of the tax revenues, the degree of dependence of the municipalities on the federal centre is high. Without actually enhancing the tax potential of the municipalities, the development of the regional economy is impossible. The re -search results can be used in practice when developing economic policy for municipal development.

Visitors Support for Komodo Dragon Conservation Fund

The designation of Komodo National Park as one of the New 7 Wonders in 2012 sparked increased tourism, resulting in growth in Labuan Bajo's hospitality sector, with low entry fees and stakeholders advocating for Komodo dragon conservation. Determining an appropriate entrance fee is crucial for park maintenance and Komodo dragon conservation. This study aims to analyze tourism trends, willingness to pay (WTP) for entrance fees, and willingness to contribute (WTC) to conservation funds. The analysis reveals a consistent rise in visitor numbers from 2015 to 2019, along with significant growth in non-tax revenue, hotel accommodation, and bed capacity from 2010 to 2019. Tourists exhibit strong support for Komodo conservation with a notable USD 25.573 in WTP for domestic visitors and 39.4 for foreign tourists. Respondents express readiness to contribute to conservation funds. Government agencies, local communities, and non-governmental organizations (NGOs) are favored to manage the conservation fund. The preservation of Komodo dragons has a positive impact on ecosystem balance and economic improvement from tourism.

Effect of Federal Government Tax and Non-Tax Revenue on Economic Growth in Nigeria

The objective of this study was to analyse the influence of tax and non-tax revenue generated by the federal government on the economic growth of Nigeria. The study utilised an ex post facto approach and specifically examined the Nigerian economy as a whole, resulting in a population and sample size of one. Data was collected from secondary sources, including the yearly reports and statistics releases of the CBN and the office of the Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS). The study spanned a decade, specifically from 2001 to 2020. The hypotheses were tested using simple linear regression for data analysis. The regression study revealed a substantial influence of federal government tax income on economic growth. The F-statistic yielded a value of 466.0399, the P-Value was determined to be 0.000, and the R-squared value was calculated as 0.962813. These results indicate that about 96.28% of the variability in real GDP can be accounted for by tax revenue. Similarly, the analysis demonstrated a substantial impact of non-tax revenue from the federal government on the growth of the economy. The F-statistic yielded a value of 201.5388, the P-Value was found to be 0.000, and the R-squared value was determined to be 0.918010. These results indicate that about 91.80% of the variance in real GDP can be accounted for by non-tax revenue. Moreover, the economic growth was significantly influenced by the overall revenue of the federal government. The F-statistic yielded a value of 469.5482, indicating a strong statistical significance. The P-value was 0.000, further confirming the significance of the results. The R-squared value was 0.963081, indicating that approximately 96.31% of the fluctuation in real GDP can be accounted for by total tax revenue. These findings emphasise the essential importance of both tax and non-tax revenue, namely from the federal government, in stimulating economic growth. In order to increase revenue generation, it is crucial for the government to give priority to enhancing tax administration and compliance. This can be accomplished by implementing efficient tax regulations, streamlining tax procedures, and establishing strong monitoring and enforcement measures. Furthermore, it is advisable to diversify non-tax revenue streams beyond oil.

Assessing Fiscal Policies’ Impact on Economic Recovery in African Nations Amid Financial and Pandemic Crises

This study investigates the impact of government fiscal policies on economic recovery in African nations amidst financial and pandemic crises. Through regression analysis and empirical evidence synthesis, it explores the dynamics of taxation revenue, non-taxation revenue, and government capital formation expenditure in driving resilience and growth. The findings underscore the critical role of effective fiscal policies in navigating crises, highlighting the need for evidence-based strategies to enhance economic recovery and development. Theoretical underpinnings rooted in Keynesian Economic Theory provide a robust framework for understanding the efficacy of fiscal interventions in fostering sustainable growth. The study contributes to theoretical refinement and offers practical insights for policymakers seeking to formulate adaptive fiscal strategies tailored to the unique socio-economic dynamics of African countries. Recommendations include prioritizing revenue generation strategies, enhancing tax compliance, optimizing non-tax revenue sources, and strategic investments in capital formation to foster long-term growth and resilience.

Division of Powers of Public Authorities in Modern Conditions

In the context of the implementation of the provisions of the Constitution of the Russian Federation regarding the formation of a unified system of public power, the issue of improving the delimitation of powers of public authorities remains relevant. Significant amount of problems has been accumulated over the course of more than twenty-five years. This fact has an impact on the sustainability of regional budgets. The author of the article is considering the authority of regional government bodies in questions of joint jurisdiction of the Russian Federation and its constituent entities. The purpose of the work is to develop recommendations for improving the division of powers of public authorities and financial support this process from the position of increasing the sustainability budgets of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation. In the course of the work, based on scientific methods such as institutional, retrospective and comparative analyses, it was concluded that there are problems in the mechanism for delimiting regional powers that impede the increase in the sustainability of regional budgets. The main results of the study include suggestions for the harmonization of budget legislation and legislation in the field of delimitation of powers from the position of expanding the rights of regions to participate in the implementation of non-transferred powers, regulation of the process of introducing new powers, inventory count of regional powers established by subordinate legislation or bylaws, introduction of the practice of financial support for certain regional powers in cases and to the extent of receipt of certain non-tax revenues and the development of debt financing instruments for powers, as well as for improving the practice of financial support for delegated powers. The prepared recommendations may be useful when conducting the inventory count of regional powers from the standpoint of increasing the sustainability of regional budgets; introducing a reasonable assessment of the resource provision for new powers proposed for the implementation; shifting the emphasis from the subordinate or by-law regulation of regional powers towards strengthening their legislative regulation.

Investigating the relationship of government revenue and expenditure on economic growth using a generalized method of moments: Does state-level panel ensure sustainable growth?

The current research project investigates the correlation between economic growth, government spending, and public revenue in seventeen Indian states spanning the years 1990 to 2020. An analysis of the relationship between key fiscal policy variables and economic growth was conducted utilising a panel data approach, the Generalised Method of Moments (GMM), and fully modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS & DOLS) estimation. In our investigation, we assessed the impacts of non-tax revenue, development plan expenditure, tax revenue, and development non-plan expenditure on (i) the net state domestic product (NSDP) and (ii) the NSDP per capita. The findings indicate that the selected fiscal variables are significantly related. The results indicate that expeditious expansion of the fiscal sector is obligatory to stimulate economic growth in India and advance the actual development of the economies of these states.

How does technological innovation affect the fiscal decentralization of local governments? Evidence from China

Technological innovation is a pivotal driver of high-quality economic development, and China's distinctive fiscal decentralization model stands out as a crucial institutional factor behind the country's economic growth miracle. Despite its significant academic and practical implications, there is a noticeable scarcity of literature on examining government fiscal decentralization through the lens of technological innovation. This paper addresses fundamental research questions regarding the relationship between technological innovation and fiscal decentralization. Leveraging balanced panel data from 30 provinces in China spanning 2005 to 2020, our findings indicate that technological innovation positively impacts the fiscal decentralization of local governments. Specifically, for each standard deviation increase in technological innovation, there is a corresponding 0.1508 standard deviation in fiscal decentralization. The mechanism driving this relationship lies in technological innovation's ability to enhance enterprise profit levels, increasing tax and non-tax revenues for local governments. Importantly, when non-tax revenue at the central government level surpasses tax revenue, the resulting augmentation in local government revenue contributes to an elevated level of fiscal decentralization. In conclusion, this paper offers valuable insights into the government's endeavors to promote scientific and technological innovation while enhancing local fiscal decentralization. These insights contribute to an improved quality of economic development.

Analyzing the Relationship between Government Revenue and Economic Growth in Kenya from 2012-2022 using Multiple Linear Regression

The relationship between government revenue and economic growth is a debate that has existed for a long time in the living history.Government revenue impacts economic growth differently within different regions. Some researchers argue that government revenue positively affects economic growth while others argue that the relationship is negative. However, minimal literature exists exploring the relationship between the two variables at country specific level. The objective of this study was to determine the relationship between Government revenue and economic growth in Kenya. The research adopted the correlational study design. The study used secondary data collected from the Central Bank of Kenya, KNBS, and Government records such as the finance Act. We collected data on different sources of Government Revenue such income tax, Value Added Tax (VAT), excise duty, import duty, Other tax income. The study also included data on non-tax revenue. The set of data under the study was from the financial years 2011/2012 to 2022/2023. The analysis has been done by the use of R software. To identify the level of association of the study variables such as GDP,Income tax,VAT,excise tax,import duty,other tax and non-tax revenue, he study employs multiple linear regression analysis. To check on the level of significance, we tested at 5% significant levels. The p-value is 0.008462 which was less than 0.05 hence we reject the null hypothesis and conclude that there is significant positive relationship between Government Revenue and Economic growth in Kenya.

THE REVENUE SOURCES OF AIZAWL MUNICIPAL CORPORATION: TAX AND NON-TAX

Municipal corporations generate revenue from various sources to fund their operations and provide services to residents. Municipal revenue sources are broadly divided into - Tax and Non-tax revenue. Tax revenue includes property taxes, which is the collected from property owners, based on the assessed value of their properties. Non-tax sources of municipal revenue typically refer to revenue streams that local governments collect apart from taxes, such as, use fees and charges, licences and permits, fees and penalties, grants and find transfers, investment income, etc. Like other municipalities in India, especially, smaller municipalities, Aizawl Municipal Corporation (AMC) is heavily dependent on fund transfers from higher governments such as, the central and state governments. This is basically due to the limited revenue sources available to the Corporation. The AMC received funds primarily, through state tax devolution from the state government as recommended by State Finance Commission. The revenue resources of Aizawl Municipal Corporation include Own Revenues, consisting of Tax Revenues (of which the property tax is a major source) and Non-Tax Revenues such as funds for local bodies, grants and devolution by the State Government, Grants from the Central Government and Finance Commissions and other receipts. Data shows that the contribution of own source revenue is very small, less than one-third of total revenue expenditure in 8 of the last 12 years. The financial resources of the Aizawl Municipal Corporation play a critical role as engines for the growth of local bodies in the state. KEYWORDS: Revenue sources of municipalities, Tax and non-tax revenue of municipal corporations, AMC

How does the stringency of state tax and expenditure limitations influence opportunistic taxation?

ABSTRACT Elected politicians often adopt fiscal policies to secure (re-)election, sometimes diverging from voter interests by altering revenue streams. Recent research indicates that contextual factors may curb such opportunistic taxation yet the impact of state-level tax and expenditure limitations (TELs) on this behavior remains debatable. We contend that TELs may prevent revenue manipulation linked to electioneering. Analyzing panel data from 45 U.S. states from 1980 to 2013, we observed electoral influences on taxes (sales, excise, and income) and non-tax revenues (charges and fees) where TELs are absent, and a suppression of these influences under stringent TELs. Contrary to previous findings, our results demonstrate TELs’ effectiveness in reducing political manipulation of fiscal measures, suggesting significant implications for understanding the interplay between fiscal institutions and political budget cycle.

Optimalisasi Tarif Layanan dengan Memperbaiki dan Meningkatkan Kualitas Pelayanan di Loka Litbangkes Pangandaran

In Indonesia, non-tax revenue is the second-largest source of state revenue, following tax revenue, and is expected to continue to increase in the future. To optimize non-tax revenue, tariffs are set, but using conventional However, if the tariff is set based on conventional methods, it can have a distorting effect. This study utilizes an activity-based costing system to establish service tariffs and assess quality at the Unit of Health Research and Development Pangandaran. An observational approach is employed, examining both primary and secondary data from a sample of 30 participants engaged in scientific tourism services and research collaboration. Technical terms are defined upon first use, and the language is objective, clear, and free of grammatical errors, following conventional formatting and citation guidelines. Non-probability sampling with a convenience approach was used. The data was evaluated using the activity-based costing system, servqual, and importance-performance analysis methods. The study conducted an importance-performance analysis of parameters related to cost and services with the goal of preserving the quality of service while avoiding high tariffs for users. Both rates were measured against the development efforts. The results showed that the scientific tourism rate yielded a cost of IDR5.884 and the research collaboration rate yielded a cost of IDR75.635, indicating a cost savings. Service quality attributes requiring improvement are responsiveness and assurance. Additionally, tangible elements and assurance must be aligned with tariff adjustments. This study offers valuable insights into setting non-tax state revenue tariffs in government work environments by emphasizing the quality of current services

FORMATION OF THE INCOME PART OF THE STATE BUDGET OF UKRAINE UNDER THE CONDITIONS OF THE MARITAL STATE

The article describes the peculiarities of the implementation of the state budget on revenues during the period of martial law. The problems caused by russia's armed aggression in relation to Ukraine’s budget policy are outlined. It has been found that in fact, the need for financial assistance is provoked by the growth of the military expenses, since the revenue part of the budget is approximately the same as the expenses for the Ministry of Defense alone. The structure of losses in the economy and trends in GDP changes are analyzed. It is noted that in the general the picture of the economy of our country, state expenditures occupy an increasingly large volume. As in the previous year, the largest item of budget expenditures in 2023 is security and defense; at the same time, expenditures directed at it compared to the pre-war period have increased almost tenfold. The structure of the economy for 2022-2023 has undergone significant changes, the share of industries with a high tax rate has decreased, which negatively affects the level of tax payments from the economy. It was revealed that in 2023, as a result of the policy of the National Bank of Ukraine (hereinafter – NBU), aimed at maintaining a relatively high discount rate, the profits of the banking system exceeded pre-war indicators several times, which allowed it to obtain a significant positive financial result. It was noted that a significant part of the state budget revenues was earned by the fuel and energy sector, which, despite the war, continues to be a successful component of Ukraine's economy. When forecasting the revenues of the state budget, one should take into account the high degree of uncertainty and unpredictability, which affects the high probability of deviation of the actual figures of the estimate from the planned ones. The main key risks can be called the continuation of the war and the uncertainty regarding the further ways of its development, non-return of refugees from abroad, insufficiently fast implementation of the reforms; lack of assistance from international organizations and governments. The latter is not a convention, but a fact, because the key source of income in 2024 will be external borrowing, since the country's own resources (tax and non-tax revenues, transfers) should be enough to finance only half of the expenses. In fact, the need for financial assistance is provoked by the growth of military expenses, and the budget is written in the form of loans.