Net Zero Greenhouse Gas Research Articles

Enhanced weathering in the US Corn Belt delivers carbon removal with agronomic benefits

Terrestrial enhanced weathering (EW) of silicate rocks, such as crushed basalt, on farmlands is a promising scalable atmospheric carbon dioxide removal (CDR) strategy that urgently requires performance assessment with commercial farming practices. We report findings from a large-scale replicated EW field trial across a typical maize-soybean rotation on an experimental farm in the heart of the United Sates Corn Belt over 4 y (2016 to 2020). We show an average combined loss of major cations (Ca2+ and Mg2+) from crushed basalt applied each fall over 4 y (50 t ha-1 y-1) gave a conservative time-integrated cumulative CDR potential of 10.5 ± 3.8 t CO2 ha-1. Maize and soybean yields increased significantly (P < 0.05) by 12 to 16% with EW following improved soil fertility, decreased soil acidification, and upregulation of root nutrient transport genes. Yield enhancements with EW were achieved with significantly (P < 0.05) increased key micro- and macronutrient concentrations (including potassium, magnesium, manganese, phosphorus, and zinc), thus improving or maintaining crop nutritional status. We observed no significant increase in the content of trace metals in grains of maize or soybean or soil exchangeable pools relative to controls. Our findings suggest that widespread adoption of EW across farming sectors has the potential to contribute significantly to net-zero greenhouse gas emissions goals while simultaneously improving food and soil security.

An optimal scheme assists the municipalities in Fukuoka, Japan in achieving their goal of 100% renewable energy supply and future decarbonization

To achieve the net-zero greenhouse gas emissions goal by 2050, it is essential for local municipalities to clarify the current state of renewable energy (RE) development, energy balance, and future development directions. Thus, an optimal energy supply system scheme with a coordination function between municipalities has been designed for Fukuoka Prefecture. We initially examined the spatial distribution of current RE supply and energy balance at the municipality level and estimated the total supply potential of Agri-Voltaic to be approximately 4145 GWh year−1. In our analysis, we found that in 2020 (the current scenario), the share of RE supply by municipalities relative to demand ranged from 3 % to 267 %, with an average of 32 %. Grid power accounted for 84 % of the total demand. However, considering factors like a declining birth rate, an aging population, and energy saving initiatives assumed for 2050 (the future scenario), we estimate a decrease in total energy demand from the current level of 30,950 to a future level of 24,339 GWh year−1. From an emissions perspective, optimizing the promotion of additional RE sources and coordinating RE usage between municipalities in the future will help achieve the goal of 100 % RE supply, meet the future energy demand at the prefecture level, and support regional decarbonization efforts (emission reductions: 7871 GgCO2).

Operational Insights and Future Potential of the Database for Positive Energy Districts

This paper presents the Positive Energy District Database (PED DB), a pivotal web tool developed collaboratively by the COST Action ‘PED-EU-NET’, in alignment with international initiatives such as JPI Urban Europe and IEA EBC Annex 83. The PED DB represents a crucial step towards sharing knowledge, promoting collaboration, reinforcing decision-making, and advancing the understanding of Positive Energy Districts (PEDs) in the pursuit of sustainable urban environments. The PED DB aims to comprehensively map and disseminate information on PEDs across Europe, serving as a dynamic resource for sustainable urban development according to the objective of making the EU climate-neutral by 2050. Indeed, PEDs imply an integrated approach for designing urban areas—the districts—where a cluster of interconnected buildings and energy communities produce net zero greenhouse gas emissions, managing an annual local/regional overflow production of renewable energy. The paper describes the collaborative step-by-step process leading to the PED DB implementation, the current results and potentials of the online platform, and introduces its future developments towards a more user-friendly and stakeholders-tailored tool. The interactive web map offers a customizable visualizations and filters on multiple information related to PED case studies, PED-relevant cases, and PED Labs. Users can access detailed information through a table view, facilitating comparisons across different PED projects and their implementation phase. The paper offers insights and detailed analysis from the initial dataset that includes 23 PED cases and 7 PED-related projects from 13 European countries, highlighting the key characteristics of surveyed PEDs.

Techno-economic analysis on temperature vacuum swing adsorption system integrated with pre-dehumidification for direct air capture

In addressing the practical application of direct air capture (DAC) technology to achieve net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050, the intricate climatic environment presents a significant challenge in selecting capture adsorbents with excellent adsorption performance, high moisture tolerance and stability. This study seeks to assess the efficacy of a temperature vacuum swing adsorption (TVSA) system for DAC, integrated with two distinct pre-dehumidification methods: condensation dehumidification and solid desiccant dehumidification. Initially, to balance enhanced adsorption capacity with the energy required for regeneration in the presence of water vapor, the optimal techno-economic performance is achieved at a 40 % relative humidity (RH). This corresponds to 15.49 GJ/t of heat consumption and 194.08 $/tonCO2 of CO2 the levelized cost of DAC (LCOD). Following dynamic simulation, the dehumidification system effectively controlled the outlet RH. Furthermore, economic analysis indicates that reducing environmental air to 40 % RH is more suitable and cost-efficient for both integrated systems. The optimal LCODs are 200.29 $/tonCO2 for the solid desiccant dehumidification system and 197.16 $/tonCO2 for the condensation dehumidification system, which could effectively save 7.09 % and 5.61 % of LCOD, respectively, compared to systems without a dehumidification process.

Thermodynamic Analysis and Economic Assessment of Organic Rankine Cycle Integrated with Thermoelectric Generator Onboard Container Ship

In July 2023, the International Maritime Organization (IMO) presented an updated strategy for decarbonizing maritime transport and achieving net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050. It is therefore imperative to explore innovative solutions to achieve a blue economy and maximize energy efficiency on-board ships. For this reason, the current study aims to integrate the organic Rankine cycle (ORC) and thermoelectric generator (TEG) on board a container ship to generate electrical energy and reduce fuel consumption. The combined system will benefit from the waste heat of a marine diesel engine installed on board. The current study uses R245fa as the organic liquid and analyzes the effects of varying the evaporation pressure on the energetic and economic performance indicators by modeling the combined system in Engineering Equation Solver (EES) software. The results show that the energy efficiency of the ORC system increases from 12.3% at 3.5 bar to 17.3% at 8 bar. In comparison, the energy efficiency of the TEG unit is 6.9% at different evaporation pressures. In addition, the energy efficiency of the TEG-ORC system is 18.3% with an output of 1386 kW at 8 bar, which is an increase of 30.5% compared to the value at 3.5 bar. This generated power reduces fuel consumption by around 1580 ton/year. From an economic point of view, the energy production cost of the combined system is USD 618/kWh and USD 614/kWh at the lowest and maximum evaporation pressure, respectively. Fuel costs and CO2 tax expenditures could be reduced by up to USD 1.169 million/year and USD 0.47 million/year, respectively, through the combined TEG-ORC system.

Reducing the environmental impact of inhalers in primary care

Climate change is having a negative effect on our health and on our planet. The NHS has made a commitment to achieve net zero greenhouse gas emissions (GHGE) by 2050 as a way of addressing this. Switching pressurised metered dose inhalers (pMDIs) to dry powder inhalers (DPIs) has the potential to significantly reduce GHGEs. The primary aim of this systematic review was to establish how to make sustainable inhaler changes in primary care that do not compromise patient care and outcomes. pMDI devices have a significantly higher global warming potential than DPIs, but the latter are not suited to everyone. In patients unsuited to DPI devices, changing prescribing habits can help to lower emissions. Returning inhalers to pharmacies for incineration also lowers global warming potential. DPI devices are easier to use and are linked with improved health outcomes. It is possible to lower the carbon footprint of inhalers by switching pMDI to DPI, and through education and changed prescribing habits.

Technology Focus: Seismic (February 2024)

2023 wrapped up nicely with COP28 in Dubai. The key highlights were the commitments by both governments and the private sector to zero-methane production by 2030, net-zero greenhouse gas emissions from operations by 2050, and triple renewable power-generation capacity and double energy efficiency in this decade. There has been tremendous progress on our collective journey toward cleaner energy production, and now we must take it a notch higher. In the past couple of years, JPT’s Seismic feature has been marked by highly innovative seismic techniques and machine-learning work flows focused on reduction of carbon footprint; frontier exploration, expanding heartlands and brownfield development; and improved seismic survey, imaging, and attribute analysis for reservoir characterization and fracture diagnostics, which are in line with the COP28 pledges. This year’s feature is no different. Recent technical-paper titles have further shown the steady increase in the application of advanced seismic techniques and machine learning to mature “stranded” and “advantaged” hydrocarbon-bearing accumulations to production; improve carbon capture, storage, and leak detection; and analyze naturally and artificially induced fractured reservoirs and seismicity. The selected papers are reflective of these themes. In addition, some remarkable applications of seismic techniques are presented in the recommended papers. They include the following: - 2D nonlinear seismic site response analyses used to determine if the capacity of a silty sedimentation could support the load of a pipeline end termination in the event of an earthquake - The results of a pilot test of the Marine Vibrator, an industry-leading seismic-survey technique - High-resolution modeling to infer if an increase in seismicity is caused by an increase in pore pressure from wastewater injection in the Fort Worth Basin of north central Texas - 4D time/depth shifts and strain signals successfully used to estimate pressure depletion in the Gulf of Mexico Others are applying advanced measurement and modeling techniques to optimally place a long horizontal injector well in multilayered heterogeneous sandstone reservoirs and predicting reservoir presence from seismic velocity and pore-pressure prediction. These topics will supply the insights that will help us achieve the COP28 targets while we look forward to more exciting innovations in 2024. Recommended additional reading at OnePetro: www.onepetro.org. OTC 32267 Seismic Stability Assessment of a Mudmat on Liquefiable Seabed by Brian Carlton, Norwegian Geotechnical Institute, et al. OTC 32393 Predicting Reservoir Presence From Seismic Velocity Mapping and Pore-Pressure Prediction by Matthew James Legg, Shell OTC 32741 Marine Vibrator Milestone: A Pilot Seismic Survey by R. Alfaro, TotalEnergies, et al. SPE 212951 High-Resolution Modeling of Pore-Pressure Change, Fault Slip Potential, and Induced Seismicity in the Fort Worth Basin by Changqing Yao, Texas A&amp;M University, et al. URTeC 3870451 Impact of Fracture Roughness on Fines Migration and Fracture-Aperture Growth in Calcareous Shale Rocks During Acidized Corefloods by Hasan J. Khan, King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals, et al.

Comparative Study of CO2 Storage Capacity Estimation in Depleted Oil &amp; Gas Reservoir: A Case Study in Vermillion Basin Gulf of Mexico

CO2 emissions rates have seen an exponential growth from the 19th century up till date, if no drastic measures and plans are implemented to prevent this exponential growth the consequence will be devastating. The notion of achieving net-zero greenhouse gas emissions gained prominence through the Paris Agreement, a groundbreaking accord reached at the United Nations Climate Change Conference. This agreement was devised to mitigate the impact of greenhouse gas emissions. To execute the net-zero CO2 emission plan, the USDOE has set a new goal to remove gigatons of carbon dioxide (CO2 ) from the atmosphere and durably store it for less than $100/ton of net CO2 -equivalent. Making such a goal a reality requires an accurate estimation of CO2 storage capacity for the successful implementation of Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) technologies, and the assessment of the impact of CCS to the reduction of CO2 emissions. Hence this paper serves as a template for accurately estimating CO2 storage capacity in depleted saturated oil reservoirs with initial gas cap using three approaches: Volumetric, Production and Correlation-based methods and compares the accuracy of the estimates. A case study was conducted on a depleted VR273_Q combination sand in the Vermillion Basin, Gulf of Mexico (GOM). The deterministic and stochastic (P50) CO2 storage capacity estimates from the Volume-based method are 1.21 million tonnes (Mt) and 1.23 Mt respectively, while the deterministic CO2 storage capacity estimates from the Production and Correlationbased method are 1.32 Mt and 1.41 Mt respectively. All three approaches showed similar results, with little deviations attributed to petrophysical uncertainties arising from data gaps i.e., absence of well logs to key wells. However, these uncertainties are captured by Stochastic (P90) CO2 storage capacity estimates of 1.47 Mt from the Volume-based method. Although the Correlation-based approach slightly overestimates the CO2 storage capacity, it can be used as a starting point for quick estimation as it only requires production data which are readily available on various databases for GOM. Finally, through this paper, opportunities for concerned agencies to make well-informed energy-related policies and business decisions are made possible.

Decarbonising the steel industry: Reasons to be cheerful

Decarbonising the steel industry: Reasons to be cheerful Filip Johnsson, Lisa Göransson and Alla Toktarova, explain why decarbonising the steel industry gives us reasons to be cheerful. In Europe, the steel, cement, chemical, and petrochemical industries, which are vital elements in many strategic value chains in the EU industry, are responsible for around 70% of industrial CO2 emissions (de Bruyn et al., 2020). 11% of industrial CO2 emissions in the UK come from steel production (Make UK, 2022). In 2021, the European Commission presented the ‘Fit for 55’ package intending to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 55% by 2030, as compared with 1990, and to reach net-zero GHG emissions by 2050. In March 2023, the European Commission proposed the Net-Zero Industry Act (NZIA), seeking to promote investments in the production capacity of products crucial to meet the EU’s climate neutrality goals.

Greenhouse gas emissions and their trends over the last 3 decades across Africa

Abstract. A key goal of the Paris Agreement (PA) is to reach net-zero greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 2050 globally, which requires mitigation efforts from all countries. Africa's rapidly growing population and gross domestic product (GDP) make this continent important for GHG emission trends. In this paper, we study the emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O) in Africa over 3 decades (1990–2018). We compare bottom-up (BU) approaches, including United Nations Convention Framework on Climate Change (UNFCCC) national inventories, FAO, PRIMAP-hist, process-based ecosystem models for CO2 fluxes in the land use, land use change and forestry (LULUCF) sector and global atmospheric inversions. For inversions, we applied different methods to separate anthropogenic CH4 emissions. The BU inventories show that, over the decade 2010–2018, fewer than 10 countries represented more than 75 % of African fossil CO2 emissions. With a mean of 1373 Mt CO2 yr−1, total African fossil CO2 emissions over 2010–2018 represent only 4 % of global fossil emissions. However, these emissions grew by +34 % from 1990–1999 to 2000–2009 and by +31 % from 2000–2009 to 2010–2018, which represents more than a doubling in 30 years. This growth rate is more than 2 times faster than the global growth rate of fossil CO2 emissions. The anthropogenic emissions of CH4 grew by 5 % from 1990–1999 to 2000–2009 and by 14.8 % from 2000–2009 to 2010–2018. The N2O emissions grew by 19.5 % from 1990–1999 to 2000–2009 and by 20.8 % from 2000–2009 to 2010–2018. When using the mean of the estimates from UNFCCC reports (including the land use sector) with corrections from outliers, Africa was a mean source of greenhouse gases of 262221863239 Mt CO2 eq. yr−1 from all BU estimates (the subscript and superscript indicate min–max range uncertainties) and of +263717615873 Mt CO2 eq. yr−1 from top-down (TD) methods during their overlap period from 2001 to 2017. Although the mean values are consistent, the range of TD estimates is larger than the one of the BU estimates, indicating that sparse atmospheric observations and transport model errors do not allow us to use inversions to reduce the uncertainty in BU estimates. The main source of uncertainty comes from CO2 fluxes in the LULUCF sector, for which the spread across inversions is larger than 50 %, especially in central Africa. Moreover, estimates from national UNFCCC communications differ widely depending on whether the large sinks in a few countries are corrected to more plausible values using more recent national sources following the methodology of Grassi et al. (2022). The medians of CH4 emissions from inversions based on satellite retrievals and surface station networks are consistent with each other within 2 % at the continental scale. The inversion ensemble also provides consistent estimates of anthropogenic CH4 emissions with BU inventories such as PRIMAP-hist. For N2O, inversions systematically show higher emissions than inventories, on average about 4.5 times more than PRIMAP-hist, either because natural N2O sources cannot be separated accurately from anthropogenic ones in inversions or because BU estimates ignore indirect emissions and underestimate emission factors. Future improvements can be expected thanks to a denser network of monitoring atmospheric concentrations. This study helps to introduce methods to enhance the scope of use of various published datasets and allows us to compute budgets thanks to recombinations of those data products. Our results allow us to understand uncertainty and trends in emissions and removals in a region of the world where few observations exist and where most inventories are based on default IPCC guideline values. The results can therefore serve as a support tool for the Global Stocktake (GST) of the Paris Agreement. The referenced datasets related to the figures are available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7347077 (Mostefaoui et al., 2022).

Synergistic regulation of charge state and electron-donating ability via heterojunctions design for fixation of electronegative greenhouse F-gases

The net-zero greenhouse gas emission has now become a global strategy. In this context, electronegative fluorinated-gases such as sulfur hexafluoride (SF6) and hydrofluorocarbon, have become important emission reduction objects due to their strong global warming potential. In this work, the MnOx@Mn/SiC heterojunction was rationally designed and prepared. Because of the high electron coupling, the positively charged active-site MnOx@Mn (δ+) not only promotes the adsorption of SF6 but also acts as a donor to transport electrons to SF6, so that the adsorption and activation of SF6 are unified in one active site. Therefore, MnOx@Mn/SiC can effectively degrade SF6 above 450°C, and the degradation amount for 12 vol% SF6 can reach 523.8 mL g−1 at 600°C. Furthermore, it also has good degradation performance on hydrofluorocarbons (R-22 and R-410A) even at 100°C. Given the cheap and easy scale-up synthesis, MnOx@Mn/SiC has the potential to reduce the emission of multiple fluorinated-gases in practical applications.

Germany's public EV charging points: Analysing the 2023 state of expansion

AbstractThe European Climate Law sets a legally binding target of net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050. In this regard, in 2023 the EU Environmental Council decided that from 2035 onwards only CO2‐neutral new cars will be licensed in the European Union. Simultaneously, since the energy crisis caused by the Russian invasion of Ukraine, fuel prices increased in Germany. This has made more and more households think about purchasing an e‐car. However, not every household has the opportunity to install their own wallbox, and when travelling long distances, e‐car users are dependent on the availability of ample public charging stations. Against this background, with a special focus on rural areas, this paper considers the questions whether and where spatial inequalities in the accessibility of public charging stations might currently exist. To approach these questions, based on an empirical analysis of the 2023 official location data of public charging points in Germany, we examine the nationwide distribution, accessibility and available capacity of public charging stations in Germany at small‐scale from the point of view of the ‘household’ as well as those who travel by e‐car within Germany. In order to evaluate the location data of public charging stations we mainly use raster‐based accessibility analysis methods as well as isotropic kernel intensity estimates. We found that, in contrast to the common belief, the network of public charging stations is quite dense. However, taking a closer look reveals that the charging infrastructure in Germany has so far been tailored to the needs of intra‐regional travelers (commuting, shopping, leisure) rather than to those of the residential population with no access to their own wallbox (daily recharging in close proximity to one‘s home) or the mid‐ to long‐distance travelers.

Towards net zero: Evaluating energy security in Singapore using system dynamics modelling

Faced with international climate obligations and domestic pressure, Singapore has recently raised its climate goals significantly. The government had affirmed its intention for carbon emissions to peak before 2030 and for Singapore to attain net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050. However, as Singapore transitions to green energy, there remains much uncertainty if this transformation, coupled with rapidly evolving geopolitics, would present vulnerabilities to energy security. Hence, this paper is an attempt to investigate Singapore's possible paths to achieve these goals while enhancing energy security in view of present and future energy plans. Key parameters of energy security in Singapore's context are identified to determine how different policy decisions would influence them. The effects of various current and potential policies can thus be evaluated using a systems thinking and system dynamics approach to propose new energy solutions to improve energy security. System dynamics modelling reveals that new energy supply solutions would have to be considered in Singapore's Energy 2050 Plan while furthering efforts in reducing energy demand. Findings reveal that Singapore should have a target of >80% renewable energy by 2050, pursue a central strategy towards sustainable diversification of its energy sources into hydrogen, electricity imports and solar energy and reduce energy consumption. Accordingly, Singapore's energy security can then be improved in terms of the economic, energy supply chain and environmental dimensions, and towards attaining net-zero emissions.

One-pot in situ synthesis of expandable graphite-encapsulated paraffin composites for thermal energy storage

To mitigate the intermittency of renewable energy generation and achieve net-zero greenhouse gas emissions, a cyclically stable and energy-efficient thermal energy storage system (TESS) is increasingly required. To prevent leakage and enhance thermal conductivity and stability, TESS is typically fabricated by impregnating energy storage materials (ESMs) into porous conductive additives. However, the impregnation-based encapsulation process is both time-consuming (several to tens of hours) and energy-intensive, and the incorporation of additives reduces the proportion of ESMs, resulting in decreased energy capacity. In this study, we present an ultrafast (several minutes) and energy-efficient one-pot encapsulation method for in situ encapsulation of paraffin wax (PW) within the pores of expanded graphite (EG) via microwave irradiation of expandable graphite (Eg) in molten PW. The resulting binary PW/EG composites exhibit shape stability and no leakage even at 92 wt% PW loading. The PW/EG composite with 10 wt% EG demonstrates a thermal conductivity of 3.7 W/mK (16.2 times higher than that of pure PW), a thermal release/absorption efficiency of around 99.5 %, and almost 100 % capacity retention after thermal cycling. Additionally, we demonstrate that integrating PW/EG TESS with thermoelectric (TE) modules can increase TE power generation by more than fivefold, highlighting their potential for energy storage and conversion as well as mitigating waste heat source intermittency.

Role of green hydrogen in the decarbonization of the energy system in Thailand

High dependence on fossil fuels to meet the energy demand is the major source of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in Thailand. Decarbonization of the energy system to achieve the pledged climate targets is a challenging task for Thailand. The role of green hydrogen and hydrogen-based technologies in Thailand's energy transition needs to be explored. A bottom-up energy system model developed using AIM/Enduse framework has been used to assess the energy system transformation required with the focus on the role of hydrogen in achieving net zero GHG emissions. A business-as-usual (BAU) scenario and two net zero emissions (NZE) scenarios with low and high-hydrogen use have been assessed. This study finds that GHG emission reduction in the power sector and the transport sector would be the major contributor in achieving net zero emission in 2050 compared to the projected emissions in the BAU level. Energy efficiency improvement in the demand side would lower the electricity consumption compared to the BAU level despite the higher electrification of the end-use technologies. However, the demand to produce green hydrogen in the NZE scenarios would increase the electricity generation in 2050 b y up to 54 % compared to the BAU level. The capacity of electrolyser would reach 50 GW by 2050 in the high hydrogen use scenario. This would require additional solar and wind power capacity of 107 GW and 43 GW, respectively. In addition, it would require 50 million cubic meters of water. Cumulative investments in electrolysers to produce green hydrogen and renewable based power generation during 2031–2050 would be USD 122 billion.

Machine learning demonstrates the impact of proton transfer and solvent dynamics on CO2 capture in liquid ammonia.

Direct air capture of CO2 using supported amines provides a promising means to achieve the net-zero greenhouse gas emissions goal; however, many mechanistic details regarding the CO2 adsorption process in condensed phase amines remain poorly understood. This work combines machine learning potentials, enhanced sampling and grand-canonical Monte Carlo simulations to directly compute experimentally relevant quantities to elucidate the mechanism of CO2 chemisorption in liquid ammonia as a model system. Our simulations suggest that CO2 capture in the liquid occurs in a sequential fashion, with the formation of a metastable zwitterion intermediate. Furthermore, we identified the importance of solvent-mediated proton transfer and solvent dynamics, not only in the reaction pathway but also in the efficiency of CO2 chemisorption. Beyond liquid ammonia, the methodology presented here can be readily extended to simulate amines with more complex chemical structures under experimental conditions, paving the way to elucidate the structure-performance of amines for CO2 capture.

Regulation Mechanism for Designing Decarbonization Pathways in the Copper Industry Toward Carbon Neutrality.

The transformation of the global power structure caused by the carbon neutrality goal will promote copper consumption. It is crucial to explore the decarbonization pathways of the copper industry to help fulfill greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction targets. This study utilized material flow analysis and life cycle assessment methods to investigate 12 different subscenarios based on international trade, circular economy, technology evolution, and environmental market factors. Policy combination scenario is employed to reveal the mechanism of decarbonization. The results show that refined copper consumption in China is expected to increase by 62.3% in 2060 compared to 2020. The GHG emissions of China's copper industry will reach 9.1 million tonnes (Mt) CO2e in 2060, technology evolution and environmental market are crucial for realizing carbon neutrality goal of this industry, accounting for 26.4 and 47.2% of emissions reductions, respectively, between 2020 and 2060. International trade and circular economy play important roles in the high-quality carbon peaking stage; however, imported copper and domestic secondary copper will constitute the basic supply of copper resources in China in the long run, and the comparative advantages of them will gradually weaken. Policy combination scenario can achieve the incentive synergy effect, with GHG reduced to 0.5 Mt CO2e in 2060. The enhanced application of policies such as material substitution and carbon emission trading will further promote industry to achieve net-zero GHG emission. We suggest regulating the industry's structure based on the international systemic circulation pattern and accelerating the construction of a green circular chain in the short term to achieve sustainable copper supply and high-quality carbon peaking. Promoting a high-quality technology development strategy and enhancing the environmental markets are recommended in the long term to achieve carbon neutrality.

Using Atmospheric Inverse Modelling of Methane Budgets with Copernicus Land Water and Wetness Data to Detect Land Use-Related Emissions

Climate change mitigation requires countries to report their annual greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and sinks, including those from land use, land use change, and forestry (LULUCF). In Finland, the LULUCF sector plays a crucial role in achieving net-zero GHG emissions, as the sector is expected to be a net sink. However, accurate estimates of LULUCF-related GHG emissions, such as methane (CH4), remain challenging. We estimated LULUCF-related CH4 emissions in Finland in 2013–2020 by combining national land cover and remote-sensed surface wetness data with CH4 emissions estimated by an inversion model. According to our inversion model, most of Finland’s CH4 emissions were attributed to natural sources such as open pristine peatlands. However, our research indicated that forests with thin tree cover surrounding open peatlands may also be a significant source of CH4. Unlike open pristine peatlands and pristine peatlands with thin tree cover, surrounding transient forests are included in the Finnish GHG inventory if they meet the criteria used for forest land. The current Finnish national GHG inventory may therefore underestimate CH4 emissions from forested organic soils surrounding open peatlands, although more precise methods and data are needed to verify this. Given the potential impact on net GHG emissions, CH4 emissions from transitional forests on organic soils should be further investigated. Furthermore, the results demonstrate the potential of combining atmospheric inversion modelling of GHGs with diverse data sources and highlight the need for methods to more easily combine atmospheric inversions with national GHG inventories.

The Pathway to NDC and Carbon Neutrality: Roles of Optimum Degree between Marginal Abatement Cost and Social Cost of Carbon in the Thai Power and Industrial Sector

Thailand has formulated its climate change policy and updated the relevant plans and policies to align with the goal of achieving carbon neutrality and net-zero greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. This study investigated the optimal level of GHG mitigation in Thailand by taking into account the marginal abatement cost (MAC) and social cost of carbon (SCC). The research also evaluated how energy efficiency and renewable energy technologies could influence GHG reduction in the power and industrial sectors and illustrate policy recommendations that could be aligned with the 2020–2050 policy and plan period. The findings indicated that there could be instances where GHG mitigation potential would be insufficient to reach the national milestone. In such cases, it would become imperative to leverage all technologies within the marginal abatement cost curve (MACC) and also utilize the SCC for policy decision-making and meeting the desired goals. In certain scenarios, the adoption of additional technologies or measures would be necessary, such as flexible power generation and deploying carbon capture and storage or hydrogen, which are high-cost technologies. Furthermore, preparations should be made for multiple levels of climate change policies and plans beyond 2030.

(Invited) A Sustainable Future Fueled By Science: Recent Advances in Power-to-X Activities at Topsoe

Topsoe aims at being recognized as the global leader in carbon emission reduction technologies by 2024, by developing a wide range of energy-efficient solutions to produce sustainable transportation fuels, such as ammonia, methanol, and hydrogen. With over 80 years of expertise in heterogeneous catalysis and its application to industrial chemical processes, Topsoe is now striving to develop strong Power-to-X solutions to fuel the transition towards a sustainable chemical industry and energy infrastructure. One of the key-technology that Topsoe has envisioned for such transition is the solid oxide electrolysis cell (SOEC) technology, well-recognized as the most energy-efficient amongst the electrolysis solutions. Here, Topsoe’s expertise in heterogeneous catalysis also plays a role in ensuring an effective downstream catalytic conversion of SOEC products (H2, CO, or syngas) into green fuels and chemicals. To tackle climate change at the pace that our times impose, Topsoe is committing to a goal of net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2040. To reach such an ambitious goal, a large industrial scale application of the SOEC technology is necessary. Accordingly, Topsoe has announced the construction of a SOEC manufacturing facility in Denmark to produce electrolysis stacks and modules with a capacity of 500 MW per year, planned to be operational in 20251.In this presentation, Topsoe will provide an overview of its initiatives, lines of work and results in the field of SOECs, spanning from the thorough investigation of materials properties and electrode microstructure to the design and realization of a MW-sized electrolyzer plant. An extensive R&D effort is also directed towards increasing the lifetime of Topsoe’s fuel electrode-supported Ni/YSZ based cells, aiming at the development of robust and durable electrodes. The presentation will give examples of the analysis of electrode nano- and micro-structures by advanced characterization techniques, while illustrating the valuable role of impedance spectroscopy for the electrochemical characterization of the state-of-the-art cell performance. Finally, the presentation will also showcase results of stack testing applying Topsoe's stack technology for H2 production, as well as an update and outlook of Topsoe's efforts in upscaling its SOEC capacity. P. Blennow, T. Heiredal-Clausen, J. Rass-Hansen, J. B. Hansen; M. Hultqvist, and P.-G. Moses, in Proceedings - 14th Europrean Solid Oxide Fuel and SOE Cell Forum, p. A0304 (2022)