Naberezhnye Chelny Research Articles

Социально-экономическое развитие агломерационных территорий как объект стратегического управления

The object of this article is to build forecasts of the development of Kazan, Naberezhnye Chelny and Almetyevsk agglomerations, located in the territory of the Republic of Tatarstan. The agglomerations’ formation has firmly taken place as one of the main strategic goals of our country’s development over the past few years. According to forecasts, almost 80% of GDP growth until 2020 will be provided by agglomerations. In this regard, it is especially important to study the existing agglomerations from the position of the achieved and future level of development. The results of the analysis of these agglomerations’ state over the past decade have presented in the article, on the basis of which the forecasts of the development of these agglomerations in the medium term until 2020 were calculated. The research methodology is the least squares method and the moving average method, comparing the results of which allowed us to make more adequate forecasts. When using each of the methods, also there was carried out the analysis of the forecast’ average relative error. A comparative analysis of the situation and agglomerations’ forecasts showed that Kazan agglomeration can be considered the most developed, because most of the estimated indicators show growth. Naberezhnye Chelny and Almetyevsk agglomerations lag behind Kazan agglomeration especially in demographic indicators. In general, all three studied agglomerations in the formation of their development plans should focus their attention primarily on level of migration, the volume of investment in fixed capital per capita, GDP per capita factors. The conducted analysis allowed to identify the main trends in the development of each agglomeration, as well as to formulate recommendations for the management of these agglomerations development.

Patterns of First-Graders’ Development at the Start of Schooling: Cluster Approach Based on the Results of iPIPS Project

The first school year is very important in terms of the further educational trajectories of pupils. Information about the range of individual needs and abilities of children and prognosis of their educational achievements allow the educational system to improve school adaptation and teaching approaches. This study presents the results of an assessment of 7778 first-graders from four Russian cities (Moscow, Naberezhnye Chelny, Tambov and Sevastopol). The children’s results from cognitive (mathematics and reading skills) and noncognitive (personal, social, and emotional skills) assessments were analyzed using the cluster k-mean analysis in order to describe typical patterns of their development. The analysis of both cognitive and noncognitive skills improves the interpretation of the four obtained typical „portraits“ of first-graders. The results can help teachers in the selection and amendment of educational materials and other means regarding children’s education as well as adaptation to school.

Ways of Improving the Park "Pribrezhny" In Naberezhnye Chelny

Ways of Improving the Park "Pribrezhny" In Naberezhnye Chelny

Innovative Activity as a Factor of Anti-Crisis Development in the Conditions of State Support (On The Example of Naberezhnye Chelny)

Innovative Activity as a Factor of Anti-Crisis Development in the Conditions of State Support (On The Example of Naberezhnye Chelny)

Plume trajectory formation under stack tip self-enveloping

The phenomenon of stack tip self-enveloping and its influence upon the conditions of plume formation and on the trajectory of its motion are considered. Processes are described occurring in the initial part of the plume while the interaction between vertically directed flue gases outflowing from the stack and a horizontally directed moving air flow at high wind velocities that lead to the formation of a flag-like plume. Conditions responsible for the origin and evolution of interaction between these flows are demonstrated. For the first time, a plume formed under these conditions without bifurcation is registered. A photo image thereof is presented. A scheme for the calculation of the motion of a plume trajectory is proposed, the quantitative characteristics of which are obtained based on field observations. The wind velocity and direction, air temperature, and atmospheric turbulence at the level of the initial part of the trajectory have been obtained based on data obtained from an automatic meteorological system (mounted on the outer parts of a 250 m high stack no. 1 at the Naberezhnye Chelny TEPP plant) as well as based on the results of photographing and theodolite sighting of smoke puffs' trajectory taking into account their velocity within its initial part. The calculation scheme is supplemented with a new acting force—the force of self-enveloping. Based on the comparison of the new calculation scheme with the previous one, a significant contribution of this force to the development of the trajectory is revealed. A comparison of the natural full-scale data with the results of the calculation according to the proposed new scheme is made. The proposed calculation scheme has allowed us to extend the application of the existing technique to the range of high wind velocities. This approach would make it possible to simulate and investigate the trajectory and full rising height of the calculated the length above the mouth of flue-pipes, depending on various modal and meteorological parameters under the interrelation between the dynamic and thermal components of the rise as well as to obtain a universal calculation expression for determining the height of the plume rise for different classes of atmospheric stability.

Reorganization and Expansion of the Network of Medical Institutions of Naberezhnye Chelny (the 1960th – the beginning of the 1980th)

Reorganization and Expansion of the Network of Medical Institutions of Naberezhnye Chelny (the 1960th – the beginning of the 1980th)

International Scientific-technical Conference on Innovative Engineering Technologies, Equipment and Materials 2016 (ISTC-IETEM-2016)

International Scientific Conference “Innovative engineering technologies, equipment and materials - 2016” has been hosted by the exhibition center “Kazan Fair” within the framework of the 16th international specialized exhibition “Mechanical engineering. Metalworking. Kazan »and 11th specialized exhibition” TechnoWelding” on the 7th and 9th of December, 2016.The conference program was including 5 sections of work:Section 1 - “Innovative technologies in the design and manufacture of engineering products. Practice and prospects of creation and application”Section 2 - “Innovative development of mechanical engineering and economics”Section 3 - “Mathematical and physical modeling of information, technical, technological and managerial systems and processes”Section 4 - “Innovative development of small and medium-sized enterprises”Section 5 - “Innovative welding technology in the industry”Participants and guests of the conference discussed the scientific and technical achievements in the field of development, design and manufacture of engineering products. See the results of studies of the country’s leading universities in the field of robotics, new materials (including on the basis of production waste), mechanical engineering, energy, manufacturing economy.Presidium of the session “Innovative development of mechanical engineering and economics” headed by Director of the Institute of Engineering Prof. Nail Faikovich Kashapov. The Presidium also included: Deputy. Director of the Institute for educational activities Ildar Hafizov Ilsurovich and Director of the Integrated Learning Center Energy Efficiency Gilmanshin Iskander Rafailevich.Research and Innovation have been presented by the staff of the Engineering Institute of KFU, Institute of Naberezhnye Chelny, Institute of Chemistry named after A.M. Butlerov, Institute of Management, Economics and Finance.Active participation in the conference were graduate students and students of the Engineering Institute. The experience of live communication with scientists, practitioners, representatives of the real economy will allow buduyuschim experts to determine its scientific direction for a successful solution of important problems of import substitution and enhancing competitiveness assigned to the engineering industry of our country.

Structure of emergency outpatient adult visits in Naberezhnye Chelny

Aim. The study of the structure of emergency outpatient adult visits in Naberezhnye Chelny. 
 Methods. 2471 cases of primary outpatient visits for acute and chronic diseases of adult population of the city of Naberezhnye Chelny in 2011-2013 were analyzed. For statistical analysis of the data analysis of contingency tables with the assessment of statistical significance using Pearson criterion χ2 was used. The critical level of significance was set at p=0.05. 
 Results. In the studied population 48.4% of primary outpatient visits were made by males and 51.6% - by females. In the general structure of visits patients aged 50 to 59 years were prevalent. Up to a quarter of the emergency outpatients noted the beginning of the disease on the weekends and holidays. The percent of visits to the polyclinic on weekends or holidays was extremely low (3.0% in the general structure of visits), while the highest rates of emergency visits to the polyclinic by adults were observed during the first half of the week. The highest number of primary emergency visits to the polyclinic among both males and females was on Mondays (28.8%). 
 Conclusion. In the structure of visits made on Mondays and Tuesdays, the proportion of patients who became ill on weekends and holidays, amounted almost 30%.

ДИНАМИКА МОРФОФУНКЦИОНАЛЬНЫХ ПОКАЗАТЕЛЕЙ МАЛЬЧИКОВ 8–15 ЛЕТ г. НАБЕРЕЖНЫЕ ЧЕЛНЫ

Целью данной работы было изучение динамики морфофункционального состояния мальчиков школьного возраста г. Набережные Челны.Метод или методология проведения работы. По унифицированной антропометрической методике исследованы основные морфофункциональные показатели 800 учащихся общеобразовательных школ 8–15 лет. Анализ проводился по возрастным группам с годовым интервалом, установленным по Мартину.Результаты. Исследование физического развития мальчиков 8–15 лет г. Набережные Челны показало, что нынешние школьники превосходят школьников 1980-х гг. по основным антропометрическим показателям. В функциональном состоянии сердечно-сосудистой системы выявлены негативные тенденции: более высокие показатели частоты сердечных сокращений и диастолического артериального давления. Во всех возрастных группах отмечено достоверное снижение мышечной силы кистей рук. Жизненная емкость легких у исследуемых в 9 и 10 лет достоверно выше, а в 12–15 – достоверно ниже, чем у их ровесников конца 1980-х гг.Область применения результатов. Полученные данные могут служить в качестве ориентиров для оценки физического развития отдельных детей или детских коллективов, позволяют разрабатывать систему мероприятий по профилактике отклонений в физическом развитии современных школьников, а также применяться для оценки эффективности оздоровительных мероприятий, что, несомненно, будет способствовать укреплению здоровья детского контингента.

Main trends of changes in indicators of emergency outpatient care for adult population of the large industrial city

Aim. To study major trends of emergency outpatient visits on the example of the city of Naberezhnye Chelny adult population of different categories by age and sex according to the time indices - the month and day of the week.Methods. 3,393,351 outpatient visits of the Naberezhnye Chelny adult population for 2011-2013 were analyzed.Results. The highest attendance rates of adult population to health organizations providing emergency care in outpatient settings were registered in spring (March, April, May) and in autumn (September, October, November) with a peak attendance in April and October. There is a certain pattern of distribution of cases of outpatient visits for acute exacerbation of chronic diseases, and by the day of the week. Thus, a significant number of patients attended health organizations on Monday (26%). In the following days, their number gradually decreased and reached minimum on Saturday and Sunday. During the study period, the number of outpatient visits for acute exacerbation of chronic diseases by adult population on Monday rose by 12.1%. In the structure of emergency outpatient care, proportion of the diseases of respiratory, musculoskeletal and circulatory systems was the highest. During the study period number of visits for diseases of respiratory system increased by 2.4%, circulatory system - by 1.2%, musculoskeletal system - has not changed.Conclusion. The main workload of medical organizations providing emergency care in outpatient settings is unequally distributed by days of the week and months; there is a need for translating outpatient care on a 7-day work schedule to avoid the maximum load on the outpatient clinic on Monday and in the morning hours as a result of the accumulated over the weekend and night hours incidence.

Ecological and technological bases and principles of producing alternative energies in the industrial transport sector Naberezhnye Chelny Tatarstan

Ecological and technological bases and principles of producing alternative energies in the industrial transport sector Naberezhnye Chelny Tatarstan

Ways to Increase Population Mobility through the Transition to Sustainable Transport

Ways to increase sustainability of the city transport system and, particularly, measures to promote safe public transport and non-motorized means of transport are considered in the article. Analysis of the existing positive experience shows that complex decisions for a sustainable development of the urban transport system are necessary. Technical and organizational ways to increase sustainability and safety of the transport system are studied. The results of solution for separate tasks, which are aimed to meet the goal, are presented: they include definition of transport preferences for the citizens of Naberezhnye Chelny and a model of an adaptive smart-bicycle. It is shown that the reasonable combination of public transport and non-motorized transport systems for strategic and operational management will help to enhance efficiency and safety of transport system.

Ensuring Sustainability of Public Transport System through Rational Management

This paper presents a research of possibility to improve sustainability of public transport system in the city by implementation of management system. Test of proposed method was done using the example of Naberezhnye Chelny. Conceptual model of system as well as interaction scheme of its program modules were shown. The composite indicator to assess system efficiency was proposed. An information-logical model of data as well as process of scientifically based decision making in the sphere of urban public transport routing were described. Such routing approach requires actual information about traffic flows on the city roads and, in the same time, takes into account the minimization of negative environmental impact while keeping index of population mobility.

Предоставление услуг населению социально ориентированными некоммерческими организациями в России

The article presents the results of a study of accessibility and quality of services submitted by customers from socially oriented non-profit organizations (SO NFOs). We describe a methodical approach to the assessment of the availability and quality of public services of NFOs on the basis of generalization of existing developments. The mass survey of consumers was conducted - clients of NFOs (July 2016) by quota sample (200 people in Tatarstan), including clients from NFOs working in Kazan, Naberezhnye Chelny. The study revealed high satisfaction of services by customers of SO NFOs, indicating that non-profit organizations have the potential to meet the needs of the population through the production of services. Obtained from respondents assessment of structure of SO NFOs services with a predominance of activities, information and educational services indicate of the possible development of social services related to the implementation of technologies of social work with different categories of population.

Current Trends Affecting the Formation of the Pedagogical System of Training of an Engineer-Manager for High-Tech Industry in Terms of Polyvalent Reformation of Education

Background/Objectives: To determine needs of knowledge-intensive industries of Naberezhnye Chelny and Republic of Tatarstan in qualified personnel and development of specialist model, which provides breadth of expertise in related professional fields Methods/Statistical Analysis: Survey, expert survey, analysis of secondary information. We conducted expert interviews with specialists of recruitment agencies of the Republic of Tatarstan and heads of large enterprises of the region, questioning graduates in the period from 2010 to 2014. The sample of the study amounted to 639 graduates and 45 experts. During the processing of empirical data statistical methods, system analysis, methods of ranking, classification, and grouping were used. Findings: The results of the survey indicate a lack of professional training of specialists for science-intensive industries. In addition, the experts marked the following issue: qualified engineers are trained professionals in the field of design and technological developments, but do not have the skills of a Manager, and, on the contrary, professional managers there is no engineering training, no knowledge of technological processes. Features and development trends of high-tech industry define new requirements to training of specialists for this sphere. The Manager prepared for the high-tech industry, is designed to combine engineering training with knowledge in the field of Economics, organization and production management in a market environment. The proposed model of a specialist is the combination of personal characteristics, professional qualities of an engineer-Manager, types of his professional activities and facilities development in the process of professional training. In the system of higher professional education must be the training of interdisciplinary profile that has the skills of a researcher, which owns adjacent fields of knowledge and highly innovative technical, managerial culture. Application/Improvements: The results can be taken into account in the development of programs for prediction of professional activity Manager and also used for professional selection, counseling, training of leaders.

Socialist Competitions in Culture (on Materials of Naberezhnye Chelny in 1974-1985)

Socialist Competitions in Culture (on Materials of Naberezhnye Chelny in 1974-1985)

Pipeline Networks E-modelling Based on CityComTM Technology: Experience of Industrial Implementation for Large Water-supply Systems

In the article below the author describes best practices of his company's 25-years experience in the field of development and industrial implementation of complex corporate-level software systems for solutions to everyday production and planning tasks in water supply.All software systems described have been developed using the specialized CityCom™ platform that includes instrumentation tools not only for GIS-based inventory and hydro-modeling but also for dispatch management, accident localization control, providing events logs & analysis (flow parameters, damages, works, machinery usage, diagnostics), planning of capital repairs and etc.The basic principle underlying the software systems provided is the main tenet of informatics science: any data has to be identified and stored only once and in one place. So all of the CityCom™ corporate-level projects use a single corporate database that consist of hundreds of tables where all the data is stored in accordance with the above-mentioned principle.The feature of CityCom™ that appears to be most in demand is the ability to perform hydraulic modeling with no limits imposed on the following parameters: network dimension, number of loops, number of sources and pump stations working simultaneously. However, a key feature of CityCom™ hydro-modeling instrumentation is that it can be used not as «standalone» application but as an integral part of a complex system combining all aspects of water-supply enterprise data modeling solution.The economic advantages of its implementation are ensured by:- optimizing of pipeline networks topology and parameters (reconstructions and switching);- optimizing of hydraulic modes according to diurnal fluctuations of water consumption (dispatching of current switches and pump stations control);- reducing the number of accidents as well as defects and damages (10-12% per year during the first 5-6 years, then stabilizing) and as a result, reducing the cost of repairs;- reducing of potable water loss down to 5..6% of water supply volume;- improving ergonomics and staff productivity.All implementations for water supply and sewerage systems are located in Russia. Largest of them in terms of scale are in the cities (population / pipelines network length): Nizhny Novgorod (1.300.000/5.000km), Novokuznetsk (550.000/1.800km), Naberezhnye Chelny (530.000/ 1.400km), Yoshkar-Ola (270.000/1.300km).Payback of expenses for implementation of the above has made from 2 to 5 years.

Reliability of Thermal Networks for City Development

The work studies the problems arising at calculation of reliability indicators in relation to thermal networks of the large cities. Techniques of determination of reliability of heat supply deadlock and ring systems are analysed. Calculation of indicators of reliability of two cities (Kazan and Naberezhnye Chelny) having various structures of thermal networks is executed. The problem of reliability assessment at the moment and in the future is solved in the paper with the account of complication of heat supply schemes, development of new residential and industrial regions, changes such as laying of pipelines. The received indicators of reliability of the existing structure of thermal networks will allow one to define an optimum zone of connection of new consumers.

Ensuring sustainability of the city transportation system: problems and solutions (ICSC)

Ways to increase sustainability of the city transportation system and, particularly, measures to promote safe public transport and non-motorized means of transport are considered in the article. Analysis of the existing positive experience shows that complex decisions for a sustainable development of the city transportation system are necessary. Technical and organizational ways to increase the transportation system’s sustainability and safety are studied. The results of solution of separate tasks, aimed at completing the goal, are presented: defining transport preferences of the citizens of Naberezhnye Chelny, perspective model of bus route network, a model of an adaptive smart-bicycle. It is shown that the proposed solutions for strategic and operational management will help to enhance efficiency and safety of transportation system.

Effects of short-term weather changes in Naberezhnye Chelny city on people suffering from ischemic heart disease

Studied are the effects that variations of meteorological parameters at different time scales in Naberezhnye Chelny city produce on people suffering from ischemic heart disease. The number of ambulance calls from 2010 to 2012, meteorological parameters, and some biometeorological indices are compared by the cross-correlation analysis. Demonstrated is the absence of statistically significant correlation between the daily series of ambulance calls due to ischemic heart disease during the period under study, on the one hand, and average daily series of major meteorological parameters and the most frequently used biometeorological indices, on the other hand. Revealed is the correlation between the number of ambulance calls and the intradaily variations of air pressure and air temperature at the time scale of 3 hours. Proposed is a parameter (biometeorological index of weather effects, IWE) taking into account the total effects of intradaily variations of air pressure and air temperature and characterized by statistically significant correlation with the number of ambulance calls made by people suffering from ischemic heart disease.