Multivariable Mixed-effects Models Research Articles

Twelve-month kidney and liver outcomes of kidney transplantation from Hepatitis C Viremic deceased donors to aviremic recipients.

Utilization of hepatitis C viremic (HCV+) deceased donor kidneys (DDKT) for aviremic recipients increases opportunities for transplantation with excellent short-term outcomes. Our primary aim was to understand longer-term outcomes, specifically assessing kidney and liver function in the first year posttransplant. This was a retrospective single-center study of adult DDKT recipients of HCV+ kidneys (cases) matched 1:1 to recipients of HCV- kidneys (comparators). Between-group outcomes were analyzed using comparisons of means and proportions, survival analysis methods, and multivariable mixed effects models. Sixty-five cases and 65 comparators had statistically comparable demographic and clinical characteristics. There were no between-group differences in serum creatinine or estimated glomerular filtration rate at month 12 (p = .662) or in their trajectories over months 1-12 (p > .292). Within the first 60 days, rates of liver function values >3 times upper limit of normal among cases were comparable to comparators for aspartate aminotransferase (AST) (14%vs. 6%, p = .242) and higher for alanine transaminase (ALT) (23%vs. 6%, p = .011). AST declined during the first 8 weeks (p = .005) and stabilized for both groups (p = .406) during the following 10 months. ALT declined during the first 8 weeks (p < .001), continued to decline over months 3-12 (p = .016), and the trajectory was unrelated to antiviral therapy initiation among cases. Aviremic recipients of HCV+ kidneys had comparable kidney outcomes to matched recipients of HCV- kidneys. Despite more HCV+ recipients having an elevation in ALT within the first 60 days, ALT values normalized with no identified liver complications attributed to HCV.

Low Perfusion and Missed Diagnosis of Hypoxemia by Pulse Oximetry in Darkly Pigmented Skin: A Prospective Study.

Retrospective clinical trials of pulse oximeter accuracy report more frequent missed diagnoses of hypoxemia in hospitalized Black patients than White patients, differences that may contribute to racial disparities in health and health care. Retrospective studies have limitations including mistiming of blood samples and oximeter readings, inconsistent use of functional versus fractional saturation, and self-reported race used as a surrogate for skin color. Our objective was to prospectively measure the contributions of skin pigmentation, perfusion index (PI), sex, and age on pulse oximeter errors in a laboratory setting. We enrolled 146 healthy subjects, including 25 with light skin (Fitzpatrick class I and II), 78 with medium (class III and IV), and 43 with dark (class V and VI) skin. We studied 2 pulse oximeters (Nellcor N-595 and Masimo Radical 7) in prevalent clinical use. We analyzed 9763 matched pulse oximeter readings (pulse oximeter measured functional saturation [Sp o2 ]) and arterial oxygen saturation (hemoximetry arterial functional oxygen saturation [Sa o2 ]) during stable hypoxemia (Sa o2 68%-100%). PI was measured as percent infrared light modulation by the pulse detected by the pulse oximeter probe, with low perfusion categorized as PI < 1%. The primary analysis was to assess the relationship between pulse oximeter bias (difference between Sa o2 and Sp o2 ) by skin pigment category in a multivariable mixed-effects model incorporating repeated-measures and different levels of Sa o2 and perfusion. Skin pigment, PI, and degree of hypoxemia significantly contributed to errors (bias) in both pulse oximeters. For PI values of 1.0% to 1.5%, 0.5% to 1.0%, and <0.5%, the P value of the relationship to mean bias or median absolute bias was <.00001. In lightly pigmented subjects, only PI was associated with positive bias, whereas in medium and dark subjects bias increased with both low perfusion and degree of hypoxemia. Sex and age was not related to pulse oximeter bias. The combined frequency of missed diagnosis of hypoxemia (pulse oximeter readings 92%-96% when arterial oxygen saturation was <88%) in low perfusion conditions was 1.1% for light, 8.2% for medium, and 21.1% for dark skin. Low peripheral perfusion combined with darker skin pigmentation leads to clinically significant high-reading pulse oximeter errors and missed diagnoses of hypoxemia. Darkly pigmented skin and low perfusion states are likely the cause of racial differences in pulse oximeter performance in retrospective studies.

Adverse childhood experiences and psychotropic medication prescription among cancer patients

Background This study aimed at identifying and characterizing adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) in a sample of cancer patients and subsequently evaluating the relationship between ACEs and prescription of psychotropic medication among them. Individuals with ACEs have a higher risk of mental health conditions and are more likely to be prescribed psychotropic medications. Methods A sample of 178 adult patients receiving Supportive Oncology & Survivorship (SOS) services at Huntsman Cancer Hospital in Utah was obtained. ACEs and Brief Resilient Coping Scale (BRCS) questionnaires were administered confidentially. A multivariable mixed effect model, adjusting for sex, age, and insurance type while controlling for zip-codes clustering were employed. Results Compared to the prevalence of ACEs in the general population, from the CDC-Kaiser Permanente ACEs Study, we found no significant difference in the prevalence of people who had experienced an adverse childhood event (ACEs score > = 1) between our study of cancer patients and the CDC-Kaiser study (67.4% vs. 63.6%, p = 0.29372), but found a significant difference in the prevalence of people who had experienced severe adverse childhood experiences (ACES score > =4) (25.3% vs. 12.1%, p < 0.00001). Furthermore, this study reveals a significant association between an increase of one unit in the total ACEs score and the odds of psychotropic medication prescription in the past 12 months (OR: 1.233; 95% CI: 1.025, 1.483). Those with a total ACEs score of three or more were found to have 280% higher odds of being prescribed psychotropic medication compared to those with ACEs ≤ 2 (OR: 3.822; 95% CI: 1.404,10.407). Conclusion A significant proportion of cancer patients have a history of ACEs, and thus trauma-informed care approach is essential during their treatment.

Self-reported and measured adherence to hepatitis C direct-acting antiviral therapy and sustained virologic response among people who inject drugs: The HERO study

BackgroundObjective adherence measures, such as electronic blister pack (BP), for direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) for hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment have high accuracy, but their use is limited in real practice settings. We examined the association of self-reported adherence using a visual analogue scale (VAS) with objective BP adherence and sustained virologic response (SVR) among people who inject drugs. MethodsWe conducted secondary analyses using a subset of participants (N = 493) from the per-protocol sample of the HERO study, a pragmatic randomized trial of HCV treatment interventions that used both VAS and BP to measure adherence to a 12-week sofosbuvir/velpatasvir DAA regimen. Multivariable mixed-effects regression models tested the association of self-report adherence level with longitudinal weekly objective adherence. Multivariable logistic regression tested the association of self-report adherence with SVR. ResultsThe average VAS and BP adherences were 95.1 % (SD = 8.9 %) and 76.0 % (16.0 %), respectively, and the proportion of the participants achieving SVR was 92.9 %. The estimated adjusted mean objective adherence was significantly different (−16 %; 95 % CI: −22 %, −11 %, p < .001) between participants with 100 % and <80 % VAS adherence. The likelihood of SVR was significantly lower for those with <80 % VAS adherence [adjusted OR = 0.07; 95 % CI: 0.02, 0.24; p < .001] compared to those with 100 %. ConclusionSelf-reported adherence overestimated objective adherence. However, higher self-report adherence was significantly associated with higher objective adherence. Also, self-reported adherence ≥80 % was significantly associated with SVR. Thus, the self-report measure has utility as a monitoring tool for adherence during DAA treatment.

Analysis of iron status after initiation of elexacaftor/tezacaftor/ivacaftor in people with cystic fibrosis.

Iron deficiency is highly prevalent in people with cystic fibrosis (PwCF). While elexacaftor/tezacaftor/ivacaftor (ETI) has shown remarkable improvements in respiratory symptoms in PwCF, the effect of ETI on iron status remains unknown. This study aims to identify the effect of ETI on iron status in PwCF. A single-center retrospective cohort study of 127 adult PwCF was conducted to assess the impact of ETI on iron, ferritin, transferrin levels, and percent saturation of transferrin (PSAT). Data were collected from the electronic medical record from January 2017 to September 2022, encompassing 2 years before and after ETI initiation. The primary outcome was serum iron parameters: iron, ferritin, transferrin, and PSAT levels following ETI treatment. Secondary outcomes analyzed iron supplementation. Univariate and multivariate mixed-effects models were used for the analysis of ETI. After adjusting for covariates, following ETI initiation, the mean iron level increased by 20.24 μg/dL (p < .001), ferritin levels were 31.4% (p < .001) higher, PSAT showed a 5.09 percentage point increase (p < .001), and transferrin levels increased by 2.71 mg/dL (p = .439). Patients with and without iron supplementation experienced a significant increase in iron after ETI (p < .001). ETI is associated with a significant increase in iron, ferritin, and PSAT levels. Patients with and without iron supplementation demonstrated a significant increase in iron. This study shows the benefits of ETI on iron status in PwCF. However, further translational studies are required to understand the impact of ETI on iron absorption and metabolism in PwCF.

Familial Variability of Disease Severity in Adult Patients With ADPKD

Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is the most common monogenic nephropathy and has striking familial variability of disease severity. To better comprehend familial phenotypic variability, we analyzed clinical and pedigree data on 92 unrelated ADPKD kindreds with≥2 affected individuals (N= 292) from an Irish population. All probands underwent genetic sequencing. Age at onset of kidney failure (KF), decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), predicting renal outcome in polycystic kidney disease (PROPKD) score, and imaging criteria were used to assess and grade disease severity as mild, intermediate, or severe. One mild and 1 severe case per family defined marked intrafamilial variability of disease severity. Marked intrafamilial variability was observed in at least 13% of the 92 families, with a higher proportion of families carrying PKD1-nontruncating (PKD1-NT) variants. In families with≥2 members affected by KF, the average intrafamilial age difference was 7 years, and there was no observed difference in intrafamilial variability of age at KF between allelic groups. The prespecified criteria showed marked familial variability in 7.7%, 8.4%, and 24% for age at KF, the PROPKD score, and imaging criteria, respectively. In our multivariate mixed-effects model, the intrafamilial variability in kidney survival was independent of the measured genotypic factors associated with prognosis and survival (P=<0.001). Using objective measures, we quantified marked intrafamilial variability in ADPKD disease phenotype in at least 13% of families. Our findings indicate that intrafamilial phenotypic variability remains incompletely understood and necessitates a more thorough identification of relevant clinical and genotypic factors.

Cross-regional green certificate transaction strategies based on a double-layer game model

With the implementation of the renewable energy quota system and the development of the green certificate market, the diversification of cross-region trading subjects has brought about the problem of complicating the competition and cooperative relationship between multiple subjects. This problem makes it difficult to balance the conflict of interests of multiple participating subjects in green certificate transactions, and reduces the enthusiasm for trading. To this end, this paper proposes a multi-participant decision model of cross-regional green certificate trading behavior that takes into account the uncertainty of renewable energy generation. In the model, in order to explore the potential full set of strategies of the participating subjects, the cooperative game theory is utilized to analyze the complex interaction between multiple participating subjects in the cross-regional transaction, and the cooperative game model based on green certificates is established. As the participating subjects' information about other participants and their knowledge of the game environment are limited, the decision-making behavior is uncertain. In order to more reasonably portray the subject's game behavior in the actual decision-making scenario and to solve the defect that the traditional evolutionary game model can not reflect the influence of uncertain factors, we use the stochastic evolutionary game theory to dynamically deduce the cooperative strategies of the participating subjects under the limited rationality, and at the same time, introduce the strategy influencing factors to explore the dependence relationship between strategies. In addition, in order to cope with the impact of power generation uncertainty on cross-regional trading and to solve the defects of distributionally robust fuzzy set construction which is subjective and only for the analysis of uncertainty in a single time section, it is proposed to use Bayesian multivariate nonlinear model and mixed-effects model to construct probability distribution fuzzy sets of wind and light power generation uncertainty on the basis of distributionally robust theory. Finally, based on the arithmetic example, the cooperative strategy of multi-participants in cross-regional transactions under finite rationality is deduced, and the impact of uncertainty factors on the cooperative strategy is analyzed.

Association Between Mid-arm Muscle Circumference and Cognitive Function: A Longitudinal Study of Chinese Adults.

Dementia affects 55 million people worldwide and low muscle mass may be associated with cognitive decline. Mid-arm muscle circumference (MAMC) correlates with dual-energy Xray absorptiometry and bioelectrical impedance analyses, yet are not routinely available. Therefore, we examined the association between MAMC and cognitive performance in older adults. We included community-dwelling adults ≥55years from the China Health and Nutrition Survey. Cognitive function was estimated based on a subset of the modified Telephone Interview for Cognitive Status (0-27, low-high) during years (1991, 1993, 1997, 2000, 2004, 2006, 2009, 2011, 2015, 2018). A multivariable linear mixed-effects model was used to test whether MAMC was associated with rate of cognitive decline across age groups and cognitive function overall. Of 3702 adults (53% female, 63.2 ± 7.3years), mean MAMC was 21.4cm ± 3.0 and baseline cognitive score was 13.6 points ±6.6. We found no evidence that the age-related rate of cognitive decline differed by MAMC (P = .77). Declines between 5-year age groups ranged from -.80 [SE (standard error) .18] to -1.09 [.22] for those at a mean MAMC, as compared to -.86 [.25] to -1.24 [.31] for those at a 1 MAMC 1 standard deviation above the mean. Higher MAMC was associated with better cognitive function with .13 [.06] higher scores for each corresponding 1 standard deviation increase in MAMC across all ages. Higher MAMC at any age was associated with better cognitive performance in older adults. Understanding the relationship between muscle mass and cognition may identify at-risk subgroups needing targeted interventions to preserve cognition.

Progression of different echocardiographic parameters of aortic stenosis have different clinical associations

Abstract Background Previous reports have described the risk factors for progression of aortic stenosis (AS). However, AS is recognized as a condition of the aortic valve and ventricle, and the AS marker chosen for the assessment of progression may influence the determinants of progression. Purpose To assess whether different clinical and demographic characteristics have a different impact on the progression of echocardiographic parameters on which stroke volume has a lesser (aortic valvular area [AVA], dimensionless severity index [DSI]) or greater influence (mean pressure gradient [MPG], or peak velocity [Vmax]). Methods Patients diagnosed with at least mild AS without an aortic valvular intervention identified from an echocardiographic database from January 1, 2009, to July 26, 2022, from a tertiary level hospital were included. AS progression models were evaluated using univariable and multivariable linear regression or mixed effects. AS severity was defined based on international guidelines. Results A total of 8,720 patients with at least mild AS were included and followed for up to 13.7 years. Multivariable mixed effects models identified important clinical predictors in understanding AS progression. After adjustment for relevant covariates, AVA decreased by 0.02 cm per year (95% CI: -0.025, -0.016, p&amp;lt;0.001), DSI decreased by 0.006 per year (95% CI: -0.008, -0.005), MPG increased by 0.962 mmHg per year (95% CI: 0.818, 1.107, p&amp;lt;0.001), Vmax increased by 6.742 cm/s per year (95% CI: 5.934, 7.549, p&amp;lt;0.001). Age, calcification, revascularisation, ejection fraction below 50%, and rheumatic heart disease, were the most consistent associations of progression of all echocardiographic parameters (Figure 1). Sex was associated with progression of AVA and DSI but not gradients. Changes in gradients (but not AVA and DSI) were associated with ischemic heart disease, chronic kidney disease, and atrial fibrillation or atrial flutter. Conclusion This longitudinal data analysis demonstrates differences in impact of baseline risk factors on AS progression on different echocardiographic parameters.Figure 1.Colour map of clinical predictors

Effect of Pelvic External Beam Radiation Therapy on Bone Mineral Density: A Secondary Analysis of a Phase 3 Randomized Controlled Trial

Pelvic radiation therapy may lead to decreased bone mineral density (BMD) and increased risk of fracture that could be of particular concern in patients with prostate cancer who also receive androgen deprivation therapy (ADT). We performed an exploratory analysis of a randomized, double-masked, placebo-controlled trial to determine whether exposure to prior pelvic external beam radiation therapy (XRT) affects BMD and risk of fracture in patients with prostate cancer treated with ADT. Patients with nonmetastatic prostate cancer aged ≥70 years or <70 years with low BMD (T-score < -1) or osteoporotic fracture who had been receiving ADT for ≥12 months were randomly assigned to receive densoumab or placebo every 6 months for 3 years. BMD was measured at baseline and at months 1, 3, 6, 12, 24, and 36. We applied multivariable linear mixed-effects models with an interaction term between the treatment arm and exposure to prior pelvic XRT to evaluate differential XRT effect on percent BMD change between the 2 treatment arms. Among 1407 eligible patients, 31% (n = 447) received prior pelvic XRT. There was no significant difference in any clinical fractures among patients with (5.8%, 26 of 447) or without (5.2%, 50 of 960) prior pelvic XRT (P = .42). Prior pelvic XRT was associated with a significant (0.54%) improvement in BMD (95% CI, 0.05-1.02) in the placebo group and a nonsignificant (0.04%) decline in BMD (95% CI, -0.47 to -0.35) in the denosumab group (interaction P = .007). There was no significant difference in pelvic XRT effect on percent BMD change in the lumbar spine (P = .65) or total hip (P = .39) between the 2 treatment groups. We did not find sufficient evidence to suggest any detrimental effect of pelvic XRT on the treatment effect from denosumab on percent BMD change, with only an approximately 5% incidence of clinical fractures.

Changes in health of older adults during the COVID-19 pandemic: a longitudinal cohort study

Abstract Background COVID-19 measures affected the lives of many older adults. Yet, little is known on changes in health among older adults, especially in periods when COVID-19 measures relaxed. We aimed to assess changes in health of older adults during multiple turning points of the COVID-19 pandemic and to analyse differences in changes in health between subpopulations of older adults. Methods This longitudinal study includes data from Dutch older adults (≥65 years) participating in the Lifelines COVID-19 Cohort and consists of seven questionnaires administered every 2-4 months between May ‘20 and October ‘21. The outcomes were quality of life (n = 14,682), physical fitness (n = 14,761) and feelings of isolation (n = 14,611). Changes in health and differences between subpopulations were analysed by multivariable linear mixed-effects models. Fluctuations in COVID-19 measures were described by the Government Stringency Index. Results Changes in quality of life and feelings of isolation of older adults coincided with fluctuations in the stringency of COVID-19 measures. In periods when measures were tightened, quality of life and feelings of isolation decreased and when measures relaxed, they improved. For example, when measures relaxed after the first lockdown in May ‘20, quality of life improved with 0.23 [95%CI: 0.16, 0.29] (p&amp;lt;.001). For physical fitness, changes were characterised by a slight decline of 0.26 [95%CI: 0.15, 0.37] (p=.001) during the study period. Differences in subpopulations were found for feelings of isolation for which differences between men and women congregated after a longer period of relaxed measures with 0.59 [95%CI: 0.49, 0.69] (p&amp;lt;.001). Conclusions Quality of life and feelings of isolation among older adults recover after periods of stringent measures. For physical fitness, the slight but continuing decline suggests a negative impact of COVID-19 measures. Our findings might indicate the need for health policy strategies to mitigate this effect. Key messages • Changes in quality of life and feelings of isolation of older adults coincided with fluctuations in stringency of COVID-19 measures and display recovery after periods of stringent measures. • Changes in physical fitness were characterized by slight decline and did not recover after stringent measures, suggesting an impact of COVID-19 measures on physical health of older adults.

An Energy-Reduced Mediterranean Diet, Physical Activity, and Body Composition: An Interim Subgroup Analysis of the PREDIMED-Plus Randomized Clinical Trial.

Strategies targeting body composition may help prevent chronic diseases in persons with excess weight, but randomized clinical trials evaluating lifestyle interventions have rarely reported effects on directly quantified body composition. To evaluate the effects of a lifestyle weight-loss intervention on changes in overall and regional body composition. The ongoing Prevención con Dieta Mediterránea-Plus (PREDIMED-Plus) randomized clinical trial is designed to test the effect of the intervention on cardiovascular disease prevention after 8 years of follow-up. The trial is being conducted in 23 Spanish research centers and includes men and women (age 55-75 years) with body mass index between 27 and 40 and metabolic syndrome. The trial reported herein is an interim subgroup analysis of the intermediate outcome body composition after 3-year follow-up, and data analysis was conducted from February 1 to November 30, 2022. Of 6874 total PREDIMED-Plus participants, a subsample of 1521 individuals, coming from centers with access to a dual energy x-ray absorptiometry device, underwent body composition measurements at 3 time points. Participants were randomly allocated to a multifactorial intervention based on an energy-reduced Mediterranean diet (MedDiet) and increased physical activity (PA) or to a control group based on usual care, with advice to follow an ad libitum MedDiet, but no physical activity promotion. The outcomes (continuous) were 3-year changes in total fat and lean mass (expressed as percentages of body mass) and visceral fat (in grams), tested using multivariable linear mixed-effects models. Clinical relevance of changes in body components (dichotomous) was assessed based on 5% or more improvements in baseline values, using logistic regression. Main analyses were performed in the evaluable population (completers only) and in sensitivity analyses, multiple imputation was performed to include data of participants lost to follow-up (intention-to-treat analyses). A total of 1521 individuals were included (mean [SD] age, 65.3 [5.0] years; 52.1% men). In comparison with the control group (n=761), participants in the intervention arm (n=760) showed greater reductions in the percentage of total fat (between group differences after 1-year, -0.94% [95% CI, -1.19 to -0.69]; 3 years, -0.38% [95% CI, -0.64 to -0.12] and visceral fat storage after 1 year, -126 g [95% CI, -179 to -73.3 g]; 3 years, -70.4 g [95% CI, -126 to -15.2 g] and greater increases in the percentage of total lean mass at 1 year, 0.88% [95% CI, 0.63%-1.12%]; 3-years 0.34% [95% CI, 0.09%-0.60%]). The intervention group was more likely to show improvements of 5% or more in baseline body components (absolute risk reduction after 1 year, 13% for total fat mass, 11% for total lean mass, and 14% for visceral fat mass; after 3-years: 6% for total fat mass, 6% for total lean mass, and 8% for visceral fat mass). The number of participants needed to treat was between 12 and 17 to attain at least 1 individual with possibly clinically meaningful improvements in body composition. The findings of this trial suggest a weight-loss lifestyle intervention based on an energy-reduced MedDiet and physical activity significantly reduced total and visceral fat and attenuated age-related losses of lean mass in older adults with overweight or obesity and metabolic syndrome. Continued follow-up is warranted to confirm the long-term consequences of these changes on cardiovascular clinical end points. isrctn.org Identifier: ISRCTN89898870.

A non-randomised feasibility study of a mHealth follow-up program in bariatric surgery

BackgroundBehavioural support via mobile health (mHealth) is emerging. This study aimed to assess the feasibility, acceptability, cost, and potential effect on weight of a mHealth follow-up program in bariatric surgery.MethodsThis was a non-randomised feasibility study describing intervention development and proof in the concept of a mHealth follow-up program in bariatric surgery. The study compares a prospective cohort with a historical control group and was conducted in a tertiary bariatric surgery service in Australia. The intervention group included individuals who had bariatric surgery (2019–2021) and owned a smart device, and the historical control group received usual postoperative care (2018). The intervention involved usual care plus codesigned biweekly text messages, monthly email newsletters, and online resources/videos over a 6-month period. The primary outcome measures included feasibility (via recruitment and retention rate), acceptability (via mixed methods), marginal costs, and weight 12 months postoperatively. Quantitative analysis was performed, including descriptive statistics and inferential and regression analysis. Multivariate linear regression and mixed-effects models were undertaken to test the potential intervention effect. Qualitative analysis was performed using inductive content analysis.ResultsThe study included 176 participants (n = 129 historical control, n = 47 intervention group; mean age 56 years). Of the 50 eligible patients, 48 consented to participate (96% recruitment rate). One participant opted out of the mHealth program entirely without disclosing their reason (98% retention rate). The survey response rate was low (n = 16/47, 34%). Participants agreed/strongly agreed that text messages supported new behaviours (n = 13/15, 87%); however, few agreed/strongly agreed that the messages motivated goal setting and self-monitoring (n = 8/15, 53%), dietary change (n = 6/15, 40%), or physical activity (n = 5/15, 33%). Interviews generated four main themes (n = 12): ‘motivators and expectations’, ‘preferences and relevance’, ‘reinforced information”, and ‘wanting social support’. The intervention reinforced information, email newsletters were lengthy/challenging to read, and text messages were favoured, yet tailoring was recommended. The intervention cost AUD 11.04 per person. The mean 12-month weight was 86 ± 16 kg and 90 ± 16 kg (intervention and historical control) with no statistically significant difference. Intervention recipients enrolled at 3 months postoperatively demonstrated a statistically significant difference in 12-month weight (p = 0.014).ConclusionAlthough this study observed high rates of recruitment and retention, findings should be considered with caution as mHealth may have been embraced more by the intervention cohort as a result of the 2019 coronavirus pandemic. Of the various digital strategies developed and tested, the text message approach was the most acceptable; however, future intervention iterations could be strengthened through tailoring information when possible. The use of email newsletters and online resources/videos requires further testing of effectiveness to determine their value for continued use in bariatric surgery services.

A Prospective Study Measuring Resident and Faculty Contour Concordance: A Potential Tool for Quantitative Assessment of Residents’ Performance in Contouring and Target Delineation in Radiation Oncology Residency

Purpose/Objective(s)Accurate target delineation (ie, contouring) is essential for radiation treatment planning and radiotherapy efficacy. As a result, improving the quality of target delineation is an important goal in the education of radiation oncology residents. The purpose of this study was to track the concordance of radiation oncology residents’ contours with those of faculty physicians over the course of 1 year to assess for patterns. Materials/MethodsResidents in postgraduate year (PGY) levels 2 to 4 were asked to contour target volumes that were then compared to the finalized, faculty physician–approved contours. Concordance between resident and faculty physician contours was determined by calculating the Jaccard concordance index (JCI), ranging from 0, meaning no agreement, to 1, meaning complete agreement. Multivariate mixed-effect models were used to assess the association of JCI to the fixed effect of PGY level and its interactions with cancer type and other baseline characteristics. Post hoc means of JCI were compared between PGY levels after accounting for multiple comparisons using Tukey’s method. ResultsIn total, 958 structures from 314 patients collected during the 2020-2021 academic year were studied. The mean JCI was 0.77, 0.75, and 0.61 for the PGY-4, PGY-3, and PGY-2 levels, respectively. The JCI score for PGY-2 was found to be lower than those for PGY-3 and PGY-4, respectively (all P < .001). No statistically significant difference of JCI score was found between the PGY-3 and PGY-4 levels. The average JCI score was lowest (0.51) for primary head and/or neck cancers, and it was highest (0.80) for gynecologic cancers. ConclusionsTracking and comparing the concordance of resident contours with faculty physician contours is an intriguing method of assessing resident performance in contouring and target delineation and could potentially serve as a quantitative metric, which is lacking currently, in radiation oncology resident evaluation. However, additional study is necessary before this technique can be incorporated into residency assessments.

Angiotensin-converting enzyme insertion/deletion gene polymorphism and the progression of cerebral microbleeds.

The angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) insertion (I)/deletion (D) polymorphism has been studied as a genetic candidate for cerebral small vessel disease (CSVD). However, no previous study has evaluated the relationship between the ACE I/D polymorphism and cerebral microbleed (CMB), an important CSVD marker. We evaluated the association between ACE I/D polymorphisms and 2-year changes in CMBs. The CHALLENGE (Comparison Study of Cilostazol and Aspirin on Changes in Volume of Cerebral Small Vessel Disease White Matter Changes) database was analyzed. Of 256 subjects, 186 participants who underwent a 2-year follow-up brain scan and ACE genotyping were included. Our analysis was conducted by dividing the ACE genotype into two groups (DD vs. ID/II) under the assumption of the recessive effects of the D allele. A linear mixed-effect model was used to compare the 2-year changes in the number of CMBs between the DD and combined ID/II genotypes. Among 186 patients included in this study, 24 (12.9%) had the DD genotype, 91 (48.9%) had the ID genotype, and 71 (38.2%) had the II genotype. Baseline clinical characteristics and cerebral small vessel disease markers were not different between the two groups (DD vs. ID/II) except for the prevalence of hypertension (DD 66.7% vs. ID/II 84.6%; p = 0.04). A multivariate linear mixed-effects model showed that the DD carriers had a greater increase in total CMB counts than the ID/II carriers after adjusting for the baseline number of CMBs, age, sex, and hypertension (estimated mean of difference [standard error (SE)] = 1.33 [0.61]; p = 0.03). When we performed an analysis of cases divided into deep and lobar CMBs, only lobar CMBs were significantly different between the two groups (estimated mean of difference [SE] = 0.94 [0.42]; p = 0.02). The progression of CMBs over 2 years was greater in the ACE DD carriers compared with the combined II/ID carriers. The results of our study indicate a possible association between the ACE I/D polymorphism and CMB. A study with a larger sample size is needed to confirm this association.

Del Nido versus blood cardioplegia in cardiac surgery: A multicenter analysis of over 40,000 patients

ObjectivesThe use of del Nido cardioplegia in adult cardiac surgery is rising in popularity. The objective of this large multicenter study was to evaluate the use and associated outcomes of del Nido versus blood cardioplegia in adult cardiac surgery. MethodsPatients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and/or valve (mitral, aortic), and/or nondescending thoracic aortic surgery (July 2014 to March 2022) across 39 centers were extracted from the Perfusion Measures and Outcomes registry. Patients were stratified by cardioplegia type for unadjusted analysis and multivariable mixed-effects models were used for risk adjustment. ResultsOf 44,175 patients, 42.5% used del Nido, with use increasing 48% over time. Overall, the del Nido group had shorter median crossclamp time (74 minutes vs 87 minutes, P < .001) and lower median peak intraoperative glucose levels (161 mg/dL vs 180 mg/dL, P < .001). Use of del Nido was not associated with operative mortality (adjusted odds ratio [ORadj], 1.16; P = .075) nor major morbidity (ORadj, 1.05; P = .25). Findings for valve cases were similar, except crossclamp time differences were variable by type of valve procedure. Within the CABG subgroup there was a trend toward increased operative mortality with del Nido (ORadj, 1.24; P = .069), whereas the risk of renal failure approaches statistical significance in the aortic subgroup (ORadj, 1.54; P = .056). ConclusionsIn this large, multicenter study, the use of del Nido was associated with variable crossclamp time differences, lower intraoperative glucose levels, and no significant difference in major morbidity or mortality. Efficiency benefits of del Nido may be limited in valve cases, whereas outcomes in CABG and aortic cases warrant further study.

Two-year trajectories of COVID-19 symptoms and their association with illness perception: A prospective cohort study in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

We used data from a prospective cohort to explore 2-year trajectories of 'long COVID' (persistent symptoms after SARS-CoV-2 infection) and their association with illness perception. RECoVERED participants (adults; prospectively enrolled following laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, May 2020-June 2021) completed symptom questionnaires at months 2-12, 18 and 24, and the Brief Illness Perception Questionnaire (B-IPQ) at months 1, 6 and 12. Using group-based trajectory models (GBTM), we modelled symptoms (mean total numbers and proportion with four specific complaints), including age, sex, BMI and timing of infection as covariates. In a multivariable linear mixed-effects model, we assessed the association between symptom trajectories and repeated B-IPQ scores. Among 292 participants (42% female; median age 51 [IQR = 36-62]), four trajectories were identified, ranging from Trajectory 4 (8.9%; 6 + symptoms) to Trajectory 1 (24.8%; no symptoms). The occurrence of fatigue and myalgia increased among 23% and 12% of participants, respectively. Individuals in Trajectory 4 experienced more negative adjusted B-IPQ scores over time than those in Trajectories 1-3. We observed little fluctuation in the total number of symptoms, but individual symptoms may develop as others resolve. Reporting a greater number of symptoms was congruent with more negative illness perception over time.

How to help students in their transition to middle school? Effectiveness of a school-based group mentoring program promoting students’ engagement, self-regulation, and goal setting

School transitions are labeled as challenging events in students’ academic paths likely to affect students’ development and engagement in school negatively. Grounded on extant research advocating the need to act preventively, school-based mentoring programs emerge as responses suited to provide students with developmental and instructional support during school transitions. Using a multivariate mixed-effects model for repeated measures quasi-experimental design, the present study assessed the effectiveness of a 12-session group mentoring program designed to promote fifth-grade students’ self-regulation, school engagement, and goal setting during their first school transition. Participants were 330 fifth graders in four schools randomly assigned to treatment or control conditions. Students’ self-reported measures were collected in four moments. Data were analyzed using a multivariate mixed-effects model for repeated measures analyses with two covariates (age and gender) and considering the students’ level of prior mathematics knowledge. Results indicated that participating in the group mentoring program led to improvements in all dependent variables. The effect size found was large considering all dependent variables simultaneously. However, when considered individually, the effect sizes were medium, small, or null, depending on the dependent variable. Lastly, and contrary to expectations, the effectiveness of our program was not influenced by students’ level of prior mathematics knowledge. The relevance of group mentoring programs in addressing students’ engagement and self-regulation needs is discussed. Future research and educational implications for designing mentoring programs are provided.

Association Between Urologist Merit-Based Incentive Payment System Performance and Quality of Prostate Cancer Care.

We performed a study to evaluate the association between urologist performance in the Merit-Based Incentive Payment System (MIPS), and quality and spending for prostate cancer care. Medicare beneficiaries with prostate cancer diagnosed between 2017 and 2019 were assigned to their primary urologist. Associated MIPS scores were identified and categorized based on thresholds for payment adjustment as low (worst), moderate, and high (best). Multivariable mixed effects models were used to measure the association between MIPS performance and adherence to quality measures and price standardized spending for prostate cancer. Adherence to quality measures did not vary across MIPS performance groups for pretreatment counselling by both a urologist and radiation oncologist (low-76%, [95% CI 73%-80%], moderate-77% [95% CI 74%-79%], and high-75% [95% CI 74%-76%]) and avoiding treatment in men with a high risk of noncancer mortality within 10 years of diagnosis (low-40% [95% CI 35%-45%], moderate-39% [95% CI 36%-43%], high-38% [95% CI 36%-39%]). Men on active surveillance managed by high performers more likely received a confirmatory test (44% [95% CI 43%-46%]) compared to those managed by moderate (38% [95% CI 33%-42%]) performers, but not low performers (36% [95% CI 29%-44%]). There was no difference in adjusted spending across MIPS performance groups. Better performance in MIPS is associated with a higher rate of confirmatory testing in men initiating active surveillance for prostate cancer. However, performance was not associated with other dimensions of quality nor spending.

An Electronic Medical Record Intervention to Increase Pharmacologic Prophylaxis for Venous Thromboembolism in Emergency Department Observation Patients

The role of venous thromboembolism (VTE) prophylaxis among patients receiving emergency department (ED) observation unit care is unclear. We investigated an electronic health record-based clinical decision support tool aimed at increasing pharmacologic VTE prophylaxis use among at-risk patients placed in ED observation units. We conducted an interrupted time-series study of an Epic-based best practice advisory implemented in May 2019 at a health care system comprising 2 academic medical centers and 4 community hospitals with dedicated ED observation units. The best practice advisory alerted staff at 24 hours to conduct a risk assessment and linked to a VTE prophylaxis order set. We used an interrupted time series, Bayesian structured time series, and a multivariable mixed-effect regression model to estimate the intervention effect. Prior to the best practice advisory implementation, there were 8,895 ED observation unit patients with a length of stay more than or equal to 24 hours, and 0.9% received pharmacologic VTE prophylaxis. Afterward, there were 12,664 ED observation unit patients with a length of stay more than or equal to 24 hours, and 4.8% received pharmacologic VTE prophylaxis. The interrupted time series and causal impact analysis showed a statistically significant increase in VTE prophylaxis (eg, absolute percent difference 3.8%, 95% confidence interval 3.5 to 4.1). In a multivariable model, only the intervention was significantly associated with receiving VTE prophylaxis (odds ratio 4.56, 95% confidence interval 2.22 to 9.37). An electronic health record-based alert helped to prompt staff caring for ED observation unit patients at risk for VTE with prolonged visits to order recommended pharmacologic prophylaxis. The best risk assessment model to use and the true incidence of VTE events in this population are unclear.