Multivariate Cox Regression Model Research Articles

Human Leukocyte Antigen Mismatching and Survival in Contemporary Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation for Hematologic Malignancies.

PURPOSEHuman leukocyte antigen (HLA) mismatching can reduce survival of patients with blood cancer after hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). How recent advances in HCT practice, in particular graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) prophylaxis by post-transplantation cyclophosphamide (PTCy), influence HLA risk associations is unknown.PATIENTS AND METHODSThe study included 17,292 unrelated HCTs with 6-locus high-resolution HLA typing, performed mainly for acute leukemia or related myeloid neoplasms between 2016 and 2020, including 1,523 transplants with PTCy. HLA risk associations were evaluated by multivariable Cox regression models, with overall survival (OS) as primary end point.RESULTSOS was lower in HLA mismatched compared with fully matched transplants (hazard ratio [HR], 1.23 [99% CI, 1.14 to 1.33]; P < .001). This was driven by class I HLA-A, HLA-B, HLA-C (HR, 1.29 [99% CI, 1.19 to 1.41]; P < .001) but not class II HLA-DRB1 and HLA-DQB1 (HR, 1.07 [99% CI, 0.93 to 1.23]; P = .19). Class I antigen-level mismatches were associated with worse OS than allele-level mismatches (HR, 1.36 [99% CI, 1.24 to 1.49]; P < .001), as were class I graft-versus-host peptide-binding motif (PBM) mismatches compared with matches (HR, 1.42 [99% CI, 1.28 to 1.59]; P < .001). The use of PTCy improved GVHD, relapse-free survival compared with conventional prophylaxis in HLA-matched transplants (HR, 0.77 [0.66 to 0.9]; P < .001). HLA mismatching increased mortality in PTCy transplants (HR, 1.32 [1.04 to 1.68]; P = .003) similarly as in non-PTCy transplants (interaction P = .43).CONCLUSIONClass I but not class II HLA mismatches, especially at the antigen and PBM level, are associated with inferior survival in contemporary unrelated HCT. These effects are not significantly different between non-PTCy compared with PTCy transplants. Optimized HLA matching should still be considered in modern HCT.

Effect of mean heart rate on 30-day mortality in older patients with sepsis: Data from the MIMIC-IV database

BackgroundSepsis is a critical condition with a significant risk of mortality. Advanced age is one factor in increasing mortality in intensive care. ObjectivesThe aim of this study is to investigate the association between mean heart rate (MHR) and 30-day mortality among older patients with sepsis in the intensive care unit (ICU). MethodsAll older patients (age 65 or older) with sepsis for first time in ICU admission in Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV (MIMIC-IV) were included in this retrospective study. The effect of MHR within 24 h of ICU admission on 30-day mortality was assessed according to multivariable Cox regression models, restricted cubic splines and two-piecewise Cox regression models. ResultsThe total number of participants was 6598 (mean heart rate, 83.8 ± 14.3 bpm). A total of 1295 (19.6%) patients died within 30 days after ICU admission. MHR within 24 h of admission was associated with 30-day mortality (J-shaped association) in older patients with sepsis in the ICU, with an inflection point at about 74 bpm and a minimal risk observed at 73 to 82 bpm of MHR. ConclusionsIn this retrospective cohort study, there was a J-shaped association between MHR and 30-day mortality in older patients with sepsis admitted to the ICU and a minimal risk observed at 73 to 82 bpm of MHR. If further confirmed, this association may provide a theoretical basis for formulating the target strategy of heart rate therapy for these patients.

Association of oxidative balance score, cardiovascular, and all-cause mortality among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

To investigate the association between oxidative balance score (OBS), cardiovascular mortality (CVM), and all-cause mortality (ACM) in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients. We included 6,119 participants with T2DM from the 2005-2020 National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES). The status of CVM and ACM of participants was followed through December 31, 2019. Multivariable Cox regression models, Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank test, restricted cubic spline regression, and subgroup analysis, were used to evaluate the relationship between OBS, CVM, and ACM. During a median of 100.9 months follow-up, 1,790 ACM cases had occurred, 508 of which were due to cardiovascular disease. The T2DM participants were divided into four groups based on the quartiles of OBS. Participants with Q4 tended to be younger, financially better-off, married, highly educated, had lower alcohol consumption rates, were non-smokers, and exhibited a lower likelihood of ACM and CVM. In multivariate Cox regression models, compared with the patients with Q4, those with Q1 had a 30% increased risk for ACM (Q1, reference; Q4, HR: 0.70, 95%CI: 0.58-0.86) and a 43% increased risk for CVM (Q1, reference; Q4, HR: 0.57, 95%CI: 0.36-0.88). The restricted cubic spline regression models have no nonlinear relationship between OBS, CVM, and ACM. Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed that patients with Q4 had a lower risk of ACM and CVM (log-rank P < 0.05). We find that ACM and CVM increase with higher OBS in T2DM patients. Moreover, there are linear relationships between OBS, ACM, and CVM.

The effect of adrenalectomy on overall survival in metastatic adrenocortical carcinoma.

Although complete surgical resection provides the only means of cure in adrenocortical carcinoma (ACC), the magnitude of the survival benefit of adrenalectomy in metastatic ACC (mACC) is unknown. To assess the effect of adrenalectomy on survival outcomes in patients with mACC in a real-world setting. Patients with mACC were identified within the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (SEER 2004-2020) and we tested for differences according to adrenalectomy status. Patients aged ≥18 years with metastatic ACC at initial presentation who were treated between 2004-2020. Primary tumor resection status (Adrenalectomy vs no-adrenalectomy). Kaplan-Meier plots, multivariable Cox regression models and landmark analyses were used. Sensitivity analyses focused on use of systemic therapy, contemporary (2012-2020) vs. historical (2004-2011), single vs. multiple metastatic sites and assessable specific solitary metastatic sites (lung only and liver only). Of 543 patients with mACC, 194 (36%) underwent adrenalectomy. In multivariable analyses, adrenalectomy was associated with lower overall mortality without (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.39; p<0.001), as well as with three months' landmark analyses (HR: 0.57, p=0.002). The same association effect with three months' landmark analyses was recorded in patients exposed to systemic therapy (HR: 0.49, p<0.001), contemporary patients (HR: 0.57, p=0.004), historical patients (HR: 0.42 , p<0.001), and in those with lung only solitary metastasis (HR: 0.50, p=0.02). In contrast, no significant association was recorded in patients naïve to systemic therapy (HR: 0.68, p=0.3), those with multiple metastatic sites (HR: 0.55, p=0.07) and those with liver only solitary metastasis (HR: 0.98, p=0.9). The current results indicate a potential protective effect of adrenalectomy in mACC, particularly in patients exposed to systemic therapy and those with lung-only metastases.

Mature MUC5AC Expression in Resected Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma Predicts Treatment Response and Outcomes.

Neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) for early-stage pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDA) has recently gained prominence. We investigated the clinical significance of mucin 5 AC (MUC5AC), which exists in two major glycoforms, a less-glycosylated immature isoform (IM) and a heavily glycosylated mature isoform (MM), as a biomarker in resected PDA. Immunohistochemistry was performed on 100 resected PDAs to evaluate the expression of the IM and MM of MUC5AC using their respective monoclonal antibodies, CLH2 (NBP2-44455) and 45M1 (ab3649). MUC5AC localization (cytoplasmic, apical, and extra-cellular (EC)) was determined, and the H-scores were calculated. Univariate and multivariate (MVA) Cox regression models were used to estimate progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Of 100 resected PDA patients, 43 received NAT, and 57 were treatment-naïve with upfront surgery (UpS). In the study population (n = 100), IM expression (H-scores for objective response vs. no response vs. UpS = 104 vs. 152 vs. 163, p = 0.01) and MM-MUC5AC detection rates (56% vs. 63% vs. 82%, p = 0.02) were significantly different. In the NAT group, MM-MUC5AC-negative patients had significantly better PFS according to the MVA (Hazard Ratio: 0.2, 95% CI: 0.059-0.766, p = 0.01). Similar results were noted in a FOLFIRINOX sub-group (n = 36). We established an association of MUC5AC expression with treatment response and outcomes.

Race/Ethnicity Affects Access and Survival Differences After Neoadjuvant or Adjuvant Chemotherapy at Radical Cystectomy in Urothelial Carcinoma Patients.

It is unknown whether race/ethnicity affects access and/or survival after neoadjuvant (NAC) or adjuvant chemotherapy (ADJ) at radical cystectomy (RC). We addressed these knowledge gaps. Within the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (2007-2020), we identified NAC candidates (T2-T4N0M0) and ADJ candidates (T3-T4 and/or N1-3). We focused on the four most prevalent race/ethnicities: Caucasians, Hispanics, African American (AA), and Asian/Pacific Islanders (API). Multivariable logistic regression models (MLR) tested access to NAC and ADJ. Subsequently, within NAC-exposed patients, survival analyses consisting of Kaplan-Meier plots and multivariable Cox regression models addressed CSM according to race/ethnicity were fitted. We repeated the same methodology in ADJ-exposed patients. In 6418 NAC candidates, NAC was administered in 1011 (19.0%) Caucasians, 88 (21.0%) Hispanics, 65 (17.0%) AA, and 53 (18.0%) API. In MLR, AA exhibited lower access rates to NAC (OR 0.83, p = 0.04). In NAC-exposed patients, AA independently predicted higher CSM (HR 1.3, p < 0.001) and API independently predicted lower CSM (HR 0.83, p = 0.03). Similarly, in 5195 ADJ candidates, ADJ was administered to 1387 (33.0%) Caucasians, 100 (28.0%) Hispanics, 105 (29.0%) AA, and 90 (37.0%) API. In MLR, AA (OR 68, p = 0.003) and Hispanics (OR 0.69, p = 0.004) exhibited lower access rates to ADJ. In ADJ-exposed patients, AA independently predicted lower CSM (HR 1.32, p < 0.001), while API showed better CSM (HR 0.82, p = 0.01). Relative to Caucasians, AA are less likely to receive either NAC or ADJ. Moreover, relative to Caucasians, AA exhibit higher CSM even when treated with either NAC or ADJ.

Distribution characteristics of human herpes viruses in the lower respiratory tract and their impact on 30-day mortality in community-acquired pneumonia patients.

Human herpes viruses (HHVs) are commonly detected in community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) patients, particularly those with complex complications, attracting increased attention from clinical practitioners. However, the significance of detecting HHVs in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) with CAP patients is still unclear. This study retrospectively analyzed BALF samples from 64 CAP patients at the Kunming Third People's Hospital between August 2021 and December 2023. Metagenomic next generation sequencing (mNGS) was conducted on BALF samples during CAP onset. Multivariate Cox regression models were used to identify independent risk factors for 30-day all-cause mortality in CAP. HHVs were found in 84.4% of CAP patients, which were the most common pathogens (45.1%), followed by bacteria (30.2%) and fungi (11.5%). Bacterial-viral co-infections were most common, occurring in 39 patients. Notably, there was no significant difference in HHV presence between severe and non-severe CAP patients (EBV: P = 0.431, CMV: P = 0.825), except for HHV-7 (P = 0.025). In addition, there was no significant difference in the 30-day mortality between HHV positive and HHV negative groups (P = 0.470), as well as between the HHV-7 positive and HHV-7 negative groups (P = 0.910). However, neither HHVs nor HHV-7 was independent risk factors for 30-day mortality in CAP patients (HHVs: HR 1.171, P = 0.888; HHV-7: HR 1.947, P = 0.382). In summary, among the prevalent presence of multiple HHVs, EBV and CMV were the most prevalent in CAP patients. Patients with sCAP were more susceptible to HHV-7 than those with non-sCAP. These results provide valuable insights for clinicians in guiding appropriate interventions for CAP treatment.

Myosteatosis: an underrecognized risk factor for mortality in non-dialysis chronic kidney disease patients.

Low muscle mass quantity and quality (myosteatosis) can be evaluated by computed tomography (CT)by measuring skeletal muscle area and muscular attenuation, respectively, at the third lumbar vertebra. We aimed to define cut-off points of skeletal muscle area and muscular attenuation to predict mortality in non-dialysis chronic kidney disease (CKD)patients. We conducted a retrospective study including non-dialysis CKD patients over two years, who underwent an opportunistic computed tomography within a two year period, and for whom creatinine was measured within 90days of CT. Skeletal muscle area was normalized for stature to calculate the skeletal muscle index. Area under the receiver operating characteristic (AuROC) curve and Youden's index were used, to identify the cut-point, separatelyaccording to sex. One hundred sixty-seven patients (50.9% male, mean age of 68.3 ± 16.4years) were included, most with CKD stages 3 and 4. During a median follow-up of 4.9 (4.2) years, 39 (23.4%) patients died. Muscular attenuation showed a better ability to predict mortality (AuROC curve 0.739 [95% CI 0.623-0.855] in women and 0.744 in men [95% CI 0.618-0.869]) than skeletal muscle index (AuROC curve 0.491 [95% CI 0.332-0.651] in women and 0.711 [95% CI 0.571-0.850] in men). For muscular attenuation, the best cut-off values to predict mortality were 27.56 Hounsfield units in women and 24.58 Hounsfield units in men. For skeletal muscle index, the best cut-off values were 38.47 cm2/m2 in women and 47.81 cm2/m2 in men. In univariable Cox-regression both low muscle mass and myosteatosis were associated with increased mortality. In multivariable Cox-regression models only myosteatosismaintained a significant association with mortality (Hazard Ratio 2.651 (95% CI 1.232-5.703, p = 0.013)). We found sex-specific cut-off values for muscle parameters using CT analysis in non-dialysis CKD patients that were associated with mortality. In this population, myosteatosis may be more closely associated with mortality than muscle quantity.

Association of weight-adjusted waist index with cardiovascular disease and mortality among metabolic syndrome population

Metabolic syndrome (MetS) is prevalent and significantly impacts global public health, with obesity being a major risk factor for cardiovascular diseases (CVD) and mortality. Traditional metrics like body mass index (BMI) have limitations in assessing obesity-related risks. The weight-adjusted waist circumference index (WWI) has emerged as a novel obesity metric, this study aimed to evaluate the association of WWI with CVD and mortality in MetS patients. This study used data from 12,641 participants with MetS, derived from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) conducted from 1999 to 2020. The WWI was calculated, and its association with CVD and mortality was assessed using multivariate logistic and Cox regression models. The study controlled for potential confounders and performed subgroup and sensitivity analyses to validate the robustness of the findings. The predictive performance of WWI was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC). Kaplan–Meier (KM) curves further were used to evaluate the associations between WWI and mortality of the MetS population. As WWI values escalated, there was a proportional rise in the risk of CVD and mortality in MetS. The fully adjusted continuous model revealed a 32.0% elevated likelihood of CVD development, a 69.5% increased probability of heart failure (HF), a 51.1% heightened risk for CVD mortality, and a 22.8% augmented risk for all-cause mortality with each one-unit increment in WWI. Comparing the highest to the lowest quartile of WWI, the top quartile exhibited a significantly increased risk of CVD (odds ratio [OR] = 1.883; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.276–2.633, p-value = 0.001), HF (OR = 2.909; 95% CI: 1.490–5.677, p-value = 0.002), CVD mortality (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.088; 95% CI: 1.279–3.409, p-value = 0.003), and all-cause mortality (HR = 1.394; 95% CI: 1.070–1.816, p-value = 0.014) among individuals with MetS. Sensitivity and subgroup analyses substantiated the consistency and stability of these associations across various demographic groups. The ROC analysis demonstrated that WWI outperforms BMI in predicting adverse outcomes in MetS. The KM curves validated that higher WWI values was correlated with diminished survival rates in MetS population. The WWI served as a significant indicator for assessing the risk of CVD and mortality in the MetS population. This study recommended the regular assessment of WWI in MetS individuals for evaluating their risk of CVD and mortality, potentially enhancing preventive and treatment strategies for this patient population.

Long-term mortality risk in obstructive sleep apnea: the critical role of oxygen desaturation index.

Mortality predictors in obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) patients yet to be comprehensively understood, especially within large cohorts undergoing long-term follow-up. We aimed to determine the independent predictors of mortality in OSA patients. In our retrospective cohort study, 3,541 patients were included and survival data was obtained from electronic medical records. Demographic characteristics, anthropometric measurements, comorbidities, laboratory tests, and polysomnography parameters were analyzed for the survived and deceased patient groups. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to determine independent predictors of all-cause mortality in patients followed for at least 5 years. Among all patients, 2,551 (72%) patients were male, with a mean age of 49.7 years. 231 (6.5%) patients had died. Deceased patients were significantly older and had higher waist-to-hip ratio and Epworth Sleepiness Scale (p < 0.001, p < 0.001, p = 0.003). OSA (nonpositional and not-rapid eye movement-related), periodic limb movements in sleep and Comorbidities of Sleep Apnea Score ≥ 1 were found to be associated with increased mortality (p < 0.001). Systemic immune-inflammation index was also significantly higher in the deceased group (p < 0.001). Higher oxygen desaturation index (ODI) and apnea-hypopnea index (AHI) were associated with increased mortality (p < 0.001). Due to the high correlation between ODI and AHI, two separate multivariate Cox regression models were created. While AHI lost its significance in the multivariate analysis, ODI remained significantly higher in the deceased patient group (HR = 1.007, 1.001-1.013, p = 0.01). ODI, as the only polysomnography parameter, emerged as an independent predictor of mortality in OSA patients.

Association between hydration status and the risk and all-cause mortality of diabetic kidney disease

Background This cohort study aimed to explore the relationship between hydration status and the risk of diabetic kidney disease (DKD) as well as all-cause death in DKD patients. Methods Weighted univariable and multivariable logistic regression models were used to explore the association between hydration status and DKD risk in diabetic population while weighted univariable and multivariable Cox regression models were used to identify the association between hydration status and all-cause mortality in DKD patients. Kaplan-Meier curve was plotted to present the survival probability of patients with different hydration status. Estimates were presented as odds ratio (OR), and hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI). Results The mean follow-up time was 79.74 (±1.89) months. There were 2041 participants with DKD, and 2889 participants without. At the end of the follow-up, 965 participants were alive. The risk of DKD was increased as the increase of osmolarity level (OR = 1.07, 95%CI: 1.05–1.08). The elevated risk of DKD was observed in patients with impending dehydration (OR = 1.49, 95%CI: 1.19–1.85) or current dehydration (OR = 2.69, 95%CI: 2.09–3.46). The association between increased osmolarty level and elevated risk of all-cause mortality in DKD patients was statistically different (HR = 1.02, 95%CI: 1.01–1.03). Current dehydration was correlated with increased all-cause mortality risk in DKD patients (HR = 1.27, 95%CI: 1.01–1.61). Compared to DKD patients with normal hydration, the survival probability of DKD patients with current dehydration was significant lower (p < 0.001). Conclusion Increased osmolarity level was associated with increased risk of DKD and elevated risk of all-cause mortality in DKD patients.

Association of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists with suicidal ideation and self-injury in individuals with diabetes and obesity: a propensity-weighted, population-based cohort study.

Regulators worldwide are reviewing safety data on glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA), following reports by the Icelandic Medicines Agency in July 2023 of suicidal ideation and self-injury (SIS) in individuals taking liraglutide and semaglutide. We aimed to assess the risk of SIS in new users of GLP-1RA when compared with sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT-2i) users, prescribed to treat type 2 diabetes in individuals with obesity. This is a cohort study combining several population-wide databases and covering a Spanish population of five million inhabitants, including all adults with obesity who initiated treatment with either GLP-1RA or SGLT-2i for type 2 diabetes from 2015 to 2021. To estimate the comparative effect of GLP-1RA on the risk of SIS, we employed a new user, active comparator design and we carried out multivariable Cox regression modelling with inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) based on propensity scores. We performed several stratified and sensitivity analyses. We included 3040 patients initiating treatment with GLP-1RA and 11,627 with SGLT-2i. When compared with patients treated with SGLT-2i, those in the GLP-1RA group were younger (55 vs 60 years old, p<0.001), had more anxiety (49.4% vs 41.5%, p<0.001), sleep disorders (43.2% vs 34.1%, p<0.001) and depression (24.4% vs 19.0%, p<0.001), and were more obese (35.1% of individuals with BMI ≥40 vs 15.1%, p<0.001). After propensity score weighting, standardised mean differences between groups were <0.1 for all covariates, showing adequate balance between groups at baseline after adjustment. In the main per-protocol analyses we found no evidence that GLP-1RA increased the incidence of SIS (HR 1.04; 95% CI 0.35, 3.14). Intention-to-treat analyses resulted in an HR of 1.36 (95% CI 0.51, 3.61). In analyses excluding individuals with no BMI information and using imputation for BMI missing values, respective HRs were 0.89 (95% CI 0.26, 3.14) and 1.29 (95% CI 0.42, 3.92). Stratified analyses showed no differences between subgroups. Our findings do not support an increased risk of SIS when taking GLP-1RA in individuals with type 2 diabetes and obesity; however, the rarity of SIS events and the wide uncertainty of effect size (although null, effect may be compatible with a risk as high as threefold) calls for a cautious interpretation of our results. Further studies, including final evaluations from regulatory bodies, are called for to discard a causal link between GLP-1RA and suicidality.

Relationship between enteral nutrition timing and 28-day mortality in critically ill stroke patients in the MIMIC-IV database.

The ideal timing for commencing enteral nutrition (EN) in critically ill stroke patients in the intensive care unit (ICU) remains a subject of debate, with ongoing controversy regarding the impact of early EN (EEN) initiation. In this study, we investigated the association between the timing of EN initiation and 28-day mortality using data from the MIMIC-IV database. This study employed a retrospective cohort design using the MIMIC-IV database to identify stroke patients who received EN during their hospital stay. The main focus of this investigation was to examine 28-day mortality among these patients following hospital admission. Various demographic, clinical, laboratory, and intervention variables were considered as covariates. The Cox regression analysis was employed to assess the correlation between the timing of EN initiation and 28-day mortality, and restricted cubic splines (RCS) analysis was used to test for non-linear correlation. Patients were then stratified into two cohorts depending on the timing of EN initiation: within 2 days (n = 564) and beyond 2 days (n = 433). A multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to investigate the difference in 28-day mortality between the groups. A total of 997 participants were included in this study, with 318 (31.9%) dying within 28 days. We observed that the timing of EN initiation correlated with 28-day mortality, but this correlation was not significant after adjusting for covariates (crude HR: 0.94, 95% CI: 0.88-1, p = 0.044; adjusted HR: 0.96, 95% CI: 0.9-1.02, p = 0.178). The RCS analysis showed that the correlation was not non-linear. Notably, in the multivariate regression models, early EN initiation was associated with a higher mortality rate compared to late EN initiation [odds ratio (OR) = 1.34, 95% CI: 1.06-1.67, p = 0.012]. After adjusting for various confounding factors in the multivariate Cox regression models, we identified that patients in the early EN group had a 28% higher risk of mortality than those in the reference group (OR = 1.27, 95% CI: 1-1.61, p = 0.048). These associations remained consistent across various patient characteristics, as revealed through stratified analyses. Early commencement of EN in critically ill stroke patients may be linked to a higher risk of 28-day mortality, highlighting the need for further investigation and a more nuanced consideration of the optimal timing for commencing EN in this patient population.

Blood MALT1 serves as a potential biomarker reflecting the response and survival of immune‑checkpoint‑inhibitor therapy in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma.

Treatment modalities involving an immune-checkpoint-inhibitor (ICI) have emerged as therapeutic options in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Nonetheless, auxiliary biomarkers are required to evaluate their efficacy. The present study aimed to assess the potential of blood mucosa-associated lymphoid tissue 1 (MALT1) in reflecting clinical response and prognosis in patients with advanced HCC who received ICI therapy. Peripheral blood was collected from 51 patients with advanced HCC who were about to receive ICI or ICI-based treatment. Blood MALT1 levels were determined using reverse transcription-quantitative PCR, and the blood MALT1 levels in 50 healthy controls (HCs) were also assessed. Besides, the treatment response and survival data were collected. The Wilcoxon rank-sum test was used for comparison analysis and the Spearman's rank correlation coefficient test was used for correlation analysis. The prognostic value of MALT1 was determined by Kaplan-Meier curve analysis with the log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression models were used to identify factors associated with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). The results demonstrated that blood MALT1 levels were significantly increased in patients with advanced HCC compared with that in HCs (P<0.001). Blood MALT1 levels were increased in patients with portal vein invasion (vs. without portal vein invasion; P=0.010), extrahepatic disease (vs. without extrahepatic disease; P=0.026) and α-fetoprotein (AFP) ≥200 ng/ml (vs. AFP <200 ng/ml; P=0.040). After 4 cycles of ICI therapy, the objective response rate (ORR) and disease control rate (DCR) was 29.4 and 68.6%, respectively. Blood MALT1 levels were also significantly and negatively associated with the ORR (P=0.043) and DCR (P=0.004). Furthermore, PFS and OS were shortened in patients with high blood MALT1 levels (cut-off by the median) compared to those with low blood MALT1 levels. After adjusting using multivariate Cox regression models, high blood MALT1 levels were demonstrated to be a significant independent risk factor for shortened PFS [hazard ratio (HR)=2.419; P=0.009] and OS (HR=2.706, P=0.018) in patients with advanced HCC who received ICI therapy. In summary, blood MALT1 levels serve as a potential biomarker to reflect treatment response and survival in patients with advanced HCC who receive ICI therapy.

A Retrospective Analysis of Breast Cancer Mortality among Jewish and Muslim Arab Women in Israel: The Role of Sociodemographic Factors.

Breast cancer mortality rates vary across ethnic groups in Israel, where protective factors such as high fertility and breastfeeding rates may be moderated by socioeconomic factors and mammography rates. We aim to investigate disparities in breast cancer mortality between Jewish and Muslim Arab women in Israel and examine how sociodemographic variables and number of children are associated with mortality. Our retrospective follow-up study uses data from the Israeli Central Bureau of Statistics and multivariable Cox regression models, adjusting for age, number of children, country of origin, locality size, and socioeconomic status. Compared to Jewish women, Muslim Arab women exhibited lower breast cancer mortality rates. However, after adjusting for multiple sociodemographic variables, no significant differences persisted between Jewish and Muslim Arab women. Having more than three children was associated with lower mortality among Muslim Arab women but not among Jewish women. European/American origin, larger localities, and medium socioeconomic status were associated with higher mortality. Sociodemographic factors may therefore explain the disparities in breast cancer mortality between Jewish and Muslim Arab women in Israel. Targeted intervention programs that consider the unique characteristics and risk factors of different ethnic groups are needed to reduce disparities and improve outcomes.

The effect of hsCRP on TyG index-associated cardiovascular risk in patients with acute coronary syndrome undergoing PCI

The effect of systemic inflammation, represented by high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), on triglyceride glucose (TyG) index-associated cardiovascular risk in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) has not yet been determined. This study was a retrospective analysis of a single-center prospective registry and finally included 1701 patients (age, 60 ± 10 years; male, 76.7%). The primary endpoint was defined as major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), including cardiovascular mortality, non-fatal stroke, and non-fatal myocardial infarction. In the multivariate COX regression model that included the GRACE risk score, higher TyG index was significantly associated with a greater incidence of MACE in patients with hsCRP levels less than 2 mg/L but not 2 mg/L or more (P for interaction = 0.039). Each unit increase in the TyG index was independently associated with a 52% increased risk of MACE only in patients with hsCRP levels less than 2 mg/L (P = 0.021). After adjustment for other confounding factors, including the GRACE risk score, compared with those in the group of TyG index < 8.62 and hsCRP < 2 mg/L, patients in the group of TyG index ≥ 8.62 and hsCRP ≥ 2 mg/L had a 3.9 times higher hazard ratio for developing MACE. The addition of both TyG index and hsCRP had an incremental effect on the predictive ability of the GRACE risk score-based prognostic model for MACE (C-statistic: increased from 0.631 to 0.661; cNRI: 0.146, P = 0.012; IDI: 0.009, P < 0.001). In conclusion, there was a significant interaction between the TyG index and hsCRP for the risk of MACE, and the TyG index was reliably and independently associated with MACE only when hsCRP levels were less than 2 mg/L. Furthermore, high TyG index and high hsCRP levels synergistically increased the risk of MACE, suggesting that the prognostic value of TyG index combined with hsCRP might be promising in patients with ACS undergoing PCI.

46 Radiological tumor burden is an independent risk factor for survival in patients with metastatic clear cell renal cell carcinoma (mccRCC) treated with first line immunotherapy (IO)-based regimens

Abstract Background IO-based regimens (IO + IO or IO + VEGF inhibitor) represent current standard of care systemic therapies for the management of patients with mRCC. IMDC is the current standard to assess prognosis in patients with mRCC of clear cell histology. Baseline radiological tumor burden (BRTB) is a readily available measurement to calculate using routine CT-scans. Here we describe the utility of BRTB as prognostic factor in patients with mccRCC treated with first line IO-based regimens. Methods We reviewed data of 183 patients with mccRCC treated at Dana-Farber Cancer Institute from August 2014 to October 2023 and who received ≥ 1 dose of an IO-based regimen (IO + IO or IO + VEGF inhibitor). Patients with available CT-scan reports within 1 month prior to first line treatment initiation were included in our analysis. BRTB was assessed by a single operator as the sum of all measurable lesions as listed on the RECIST v1.1 report. The primary outcome was overall survival (OS), and secondary outcomes were time to treatment failure (TTF) and time to next therapy (TTNT). To evaluate the impact of BRTB on OS, TTF and TTNT, we used univariable and multivariable Cox regression models accounting for IMDC risk group, history of nephrectomy, and presence of either bone, liver, or brain metastases prior to first line initiation. Results A total of 150 patients satisfied the inclusion criteria and were included in our final analysis, of which 80% of patients were male (120/150). 9% (13/150) had favorable risk, 51% (77/150) had intermediate risk and 20% (30/150) had poor risk by IMDC criteria. Overall, 73% (109/150) of patients had nephrectomy prior to first line therapy initiation and 41% (61/150) had either brain, bone, or liver metastasis. Median follow-up was 44.8 months. Every 1 cm increase in BRTB was associated with a 5% increase in risk of death (HR: 1.05; 95% CI: 1.03 – 1.08; p &amp;lt; 0.0001). On multivariable analysis, radiological tumor burden was significantly associated with OS (HR: 1.04; 95%CI: 1.00 – 1.08; p = 0.03). After categorizing BRTB by tertiles, tertile 1 included 0 - 7.5 cm, tertile 2: 7.6– 15.3 cm and tertile 3: 15.4 – 47.7 cm. The 4-year OS estimates were 84% (95%CI: 74 – 97%), 60% (95%CI: 45 – 81%) and 43% (95%CI: 29 – 66%), respectively, for the 1st, 2nd and 3rd tertile (log-rank P &amp;lt; 0.0001). BRTB did not show a significant association with TTF on univariable (HR: 1.00; 95%CI: 0.99 – 1.01; p = 0.783), or multivariable analysis (HR: 0.99; 95%CI: 0.97 – 1.01; p = 0.428). As for TTNT, BRTB also did not show a significant association on univariable (HR: 1.01; 95%CI: 1.0 – 1.02; p = 0.234) or multivariable analysis (HR: 1.01; 95%CI: 0.99 – 1.03; p = 0.453). Conclusions Baseline radiological tumor burden is an independent prognostic factor for OS in patients with mccRCC treated with first line immunotherapy-based regimens. However, tumor burden is not significantly associated with TTF or TTNT. Figure: Kaplan-Meier curves representing OS based on baseline radiological tumor burden assessed by RECIST v1.1 (Tertile 1: 0 - 7.5 cm; Tertile 2: 7.6 - 15.3 cm; Tertile 3: 15.4 – 47.7 cm). P value is derived from the log-rank test.

Impact of PM2.5 exposure in old age and its interactive effect with smoking on incidence of diabetes

PurposeTo determine the impact of PM2.5 exposure in old age and its interactive effect with smoking on incident diabetes. MethodsA total of 2766 participants aged ≥60 years in China were interviewed at baseline for disease risk factors in 2001–03 and were then followed up for 10 years to document incident diabetes. They were assessed for daily PM2.5 exposure in 2005. Multivariate Cox regression models were used to examine the association of PM2.5 exposure with incident diabetes and interactive effect between PM2.5 and smoking on incident diabetes. ResultsDuring the cohort follow-up, 176 participants developed diabetes. The incidence of diabetes increased with PM2.5 exposure; the multiple-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of diabetes was 2.27 (95 % CI 1.36–3.77) in participants with PM2.5 at ≥62.0 μg/m3 compared to those at <62.0 μg/m3. There was a significant interaction effect of PM2.5 with smoking on increased risk of diabetes. The adjusted HR for participants exposed to PM2.5 levels ≥62.0 μg/m3 who smoked was 4.39 (95 % CI 1.72–11.21), while for non-smokers it was 1.65 (95 % CI 0.88–3.09), compared to those at <62.0 μg/m3. ConclusionsExposure to PM2.5 in old age was associated with an increased incidence of diabetes and smoking enhanced the impact of PM2.5 on diabetic risk. These findings underscore the urgent need for air quality improvement measures and smoking cessation programs to mitigate the risk of diabetes in aging populations.

Factors Associated With Survival Among Patients With Multiple Myeloma in Northeastern Tanzania.

This study sought to delineate the clinical, laboratory, and imaging characteristics during multiple myeloma (MM) diagnosis, outline the treatment modalities administered, and ascertain the survival rates among patients with MM over a comprehensive 5-year span in Tanzania. This retrospective cohort study investigated patients diagnosed with MM at the Cancer Care Clinic, Kilimanjaro Christian Medical Centre, between January 2017 and June 2022. Demographic data, clinical profiles, and survival outcomes were collected. The study employed the Kaplan-Meier method to determine overall survival (OS) and survival rates, supported by univariate analysis and a multivariate Cox regression model with significance of P < .05. In this study of 76 patients with MM, bone pain was the most common complaint (76.3%), and patients were age typically older than 50 years (82.5%). Laboratory tests showed frequent abnormalities, such as anemia (51.3%) and hypercalcemia (23.9%). Most patients were at stage III according to Durie Salmon Staging (82.7%), with imaging revealing various bone abnormalities. The median OS was 18.0 months, with 46.1% of patients passing away during the study period. Factors linked to shorter survival included anemia, renal failure, and bone involvement. Infection was the primary cause of death among these patients. The presenting complaint of bone pain significantly affected survival outcomes. This study provides a comprehensive understanding of MM within the Sub-Saharan African context, highlighting age-related disparities in diagnosis, predominant presenting symptoms like bone pain, factors contributing to delayed diagnoses, and the impact on survival rates. The findings underscore the critical need for early recognition, improved diagnostics, and tailored interventions to enhance outcomes for patients with MM in this region.

GLIM criteria validation and reliability in critically ill patients with cancer: A prospective study.

The present study aims to assess the interrater reliability of the Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition (GLIM) criteria, a framework to provide a consensus diagnosis of malnutrition. We also aimed to investigate its concurrent and predictive validity in the context of patients with cancer admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). Individuals aged ≥19 years with cancer who were admitted to the ICU within 48 h of their initial hospital admission were included. Nutrition status was assessed with the Nutritional Risk Screening 2002, the Subjective Global Assessment (SGA), and the GLIM criteria. Interrater reliability was assessed by the kappa test (>0.80). The SGA served as the established benchmark for assessing concurrent validity. To evaluate predictive validity, the occurrence of mortality within 30 days was the outcome, and Cox regression models were applied. A total of 212 patients were included: 66.9% were at nutrition risk, and 45.8% were malnourished according to the SGA. According to the GLIM criteria, 68.4% and 66% were identified as malnourished by evaluators 1 and 2, respectively (κ = 0.947; P < 0.001). The GLIM combination incorporating weight loss and the presence of inflammation exhibited sensitivity (82.4%) and specificity (92%). In the multivariate Cox regression models, most GLIM combinations emerged as independent predictors of complications. The GLIM criteria demonstrated satisfactory interrater reliability, and the combination involving weight loss and the presence of inflammation exhibited noteworthy sensitivity and specificity. Most GLIM combinations emerged as independent predictors of 30-day mortality.