Abstract
Metabolic syndrome (MetS) is prevalent and significantly impacts global public health, with obesity being a major risk factor for cardiovascular diseases (CVD) and mortality. Traditional metrics like body mass index (BMI) have limitations in assessing obesity-related risks. The weight-adjusted waist circumference index (WWI) has emerged as a novel obesity metric, this study aimed to evaluate the association of WWI with CVD and mortality in MetS patients. This study used data from 12,641 participants with MetS, derived from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) conducted from 1999 to 2020. The WWI was calculated, and its association with CVD and mortality was assessed using multivariate logistic and Cox regression models. The study controlled for potential confounders and performed subgroup and sensitivity analyses to validate the robustness of the findings. The predictive performance of WWI was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC). Kaplan–Meier (KM) curves further were used to evaluate the associations between WWI and mortality of the MetS population. As WWI values escalated, there was a proportional rise in the risk of CVD and mortality in MetS. The fully adjusted continuous model revealed a 32.0% elevated likelihood of CVD development, a 69.5% increased probability of heart failure (HF), a 51.1% heightened risk for CVD mortality, and a 22.8% augmented risk for all-cause mortality with each one-unit increment in WWI. Comparing the highest to the lowest quartile of WWI, the top quartile exhibited a significantly increased risk of CVD (odds ratio [OR] = 1.883; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.276–2.633, p-value = 0.001), HF (OR = 2.909; 95% CI: 1.490–5.677, p-value = 0.002), CVD mortality (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.088; 95% CI: 1.279–3.409, p-value = 0.003), and all-cause mortality (HR = 1.394; 95% CI: 1.070–1.816, p-value = 0.014) among individuals with MetS. Sensitivity and subgroup analyses substantiated the consistency and stability of these associations across various demographic groups. The ROC analysis demonstrated that WWI outperforms BMI in predicting adverse outcomes in MetS. The KM curves validated that higher WWI values was correlated with diminished survival rates in MetS population. The WWI served as a significant indicator for assessing the risk of CVD and mortality in the MetS population. This study recommended the regular assessment of WWI in MetS individuals for evaluating their risk of CVD and mortality, potentially enhancing preventive and treatment strategies for this patient population.
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