Multivariate Cox Proportional Hazards Model Research Articles

Outcomes and Survival for Early-Stage Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Following Wedge Resection or Lobectomy: A Propensity Score-Matched Analysis Using a Novel Peruvian Registry.

Using a previously unreported Peruvian registry of patients treated for early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), this study explored whether wedge resection and lobectomy were equivalent regarding survival and impact on radiologic-pathologic variables. This observational, analytical, longitudinal study used propensity score-matched (PSM) analysis of a single-center retrospective registry of 2,570 patients with pathologic stage I-II NSCLC who were treated with wedge resection (n=1,845) or lobectomy (n=725) during 2000-2020. After PSM, 650 cases were analyzed (resection, n=325; lobectomy, n=325) through preoperative and clinical variables, including patients with ≥1 lymph node removed. Kaplan-Meier curves and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were created for 5-year overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), and locoregional-recurrence-free survival (LRFS). The principal complication was operative pain persisting >7 days for lobectomy versus wedge resection (58% vs. 23%, p=0.034) and shorter hospital stays for resection than for lobectomy (5.3 days vs. 12.8 days, p=0.009). The 5-year OS (84.3% vs. 81.2%, p=0.09) and DFS (79.1% vs. 74.1%, p=0.07) were similar and statistically insignificant between resections and lobectomies, respectively. LRFS was worse overall following wedge resection than lobectomy (79.8% vs. 91.1%, p<0.02). Nevertheless, in the PSM analysis, both groups experienced similar LRFS when the resection margin was >10 mm (90.9% vs. 87.3%, p<0.048) and ≥4 lymph nodes were removed (82.8% vs. 79.1%, p<0.011). Both techniques led to similar OS and DFS at 5 years; however, successful LRFS required a wedge resection with a surgical margin and adequate lymph node removal to obtain outcomes similar to lobectomy.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (SLD) and alcohol-associated liver disease, but not SLD without metabolic dysfunction, are independently associated with new onset of chronic kidney disease during a 10-year follow-up period.

The new nomenclature of steatotic liver disease (SLD) including metabolic dysfunction-associated SLD (MASLD), MASLD and increased alcohol intake (MetALD), and alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) has recently been proposed. We aimed to elucidate the relationship between each category of SLD and chronic kidney disease (CKD). We investigated the effects of various SLDs on the development of CKD, defined as estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)<60mL/min/1.73m2 or positive for urinary protein, during a 10-year period in 12138 Japanese subjects (men/women, 7984/4154; mean age, 48years) who received annual health examinations including abdominal ultrasonography. The prevalences of SLD without metabolic dysfunction (SLD-MD[-]), MASLD, MetALD, and ALD were 1.7%, 26.3%, 4.9%, and 1.9%, respectively. During the follow-up period, 1963 subjects (16.2%) (men/women, 1374 [17.2%]/589 [14.2%]) had new onset of CKD. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard model analyses after adjustment of age, sex, eGFR, current smoking habit, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and dyslipidemia showed that the hazard ratios (HR [95% confidence interval]) for the development of CKD in subjects with MASLD (1.20 [1.08-1.33], p=0.001) and those with ALD (1.41 [1.05-1.88], p=0.022), but not those with MetALD (1.11 [0.90-1.36], p=0.332), were significantly higher than the HR in subjects with non-SLD. Interestingly, subjects with SLD-MD[-] had a significantly lower HR (0.61 [0.39-0.96], p=0.034) than that in subjects with non-SLD. The addition of the novel classification of SLDs into traditional risk factors for the development of CKD significantly improved the discriminatory capacity. MASLD and ALD, but not SLD-MD[-], are independently associated with the development of CKD.

The non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (NHHR) as a predictor of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in US adults with diabetes or prediabetes: NHANES 1999–2018

BackgroundThe non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (NHHR) serves as a novel composite lipid indicator for atherosclerosis. However, the association between NHHR and mortality in patients with diabetes or prediabetes remains unclear. Consequently, the objective of this study was to investigate the relationship between NHHR and both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in US adults with diabetes or prediabetes.MethodsThis study included 12,578 adult participants with diabetes or prediabetes from the US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (1999–2018). Mortality outcomes were ascertained by linking to the National Death Index (NDI) record up to December 31, 2019. We employed a weighted multivariate Cox proportional hazards model and restricted cubic splines to assess the associations between NHHR and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. A segmented Cox proportional hazards model was used for evaluating threshold effects. Furthermore, a competing risks analysis was performed to explore the relationship between NHHR and cardiovascular mortality.ResultsDuring a median follow-up period of 8.08 years, 2403 participants encountered all-cause mortality, with 662 of them specifically succumbing to cardiovascular mortality. The restricted cubic splines revealed a U-shaped association between NHHR and all-cause mortality, while an L-shaped association was observed for cardiovascular mortality. The analysis of threshold effects revealed that the inflection points for NHHR and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality were 2.72 and 2.83, respectively. Specifically, when the baseline NHHR was below the inflection points, a negative correlation was observed between NHHR and both all-cause mortality (HR: 0.76, 95% CI: 0.68–0.85) and cardiovascular mortality (HR: 0.70, 95% CI: 0.57–0.85). Conversely, when the baseline NHHR exceeded the inflection points, a positive correlation was observed between NHHR and both all-cause mortality (HR: 1.11, 95% CI: 1.06–1.16) and cardiovascular mortality (HR: 1.08, 95% CI: 1.00–1.16).ConclusionsAmong US adults with diabetes or prediabetes, a U-shaped association was observed between NHHR and all-cause mortality, whereas an L-shaped association was identified with cardiovascular mortality. The inflection points for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality were 2.72 and 2.83, respectively.

Risk and mediation analyses of hemoglobin glycation index and survival prognosis in patients with sepsis.

An increasing number of studies have reported the close relation of the hemoglobin glycation index (HGI) with metabolism, inflammation, and disease prognosis. However, the prognostic relationship between the HGI and patients with sepsis remains unclear. Thus, this study aimed to analyze the association between the HGI and all-cause mortality in patients with sepsis using data from the MIMIC-IV database. In this study, 2605 patients with sepsis were retrospectively analyzed. The linear regression equation was established by incorporating glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) and fasting plasma glucose levels. Subsequently, the HGI was calculated based on the difference between the predicted and observed HbA1c levels. Furthermore, the HGI was divided into the following three groups using X-tile software: Q1 (HGI ≤ - 0.50%), Q2 (- 0.49% ≤ HGI ≤ 1.18%), and Q3 (HGI ≥ 1.19%). Kaplan-Meier survival curves were further plotted to analyze the differences in 28-day and 365-day mortality among patients with sepsis patients in these HGI groups. Multivariate corrected Cox proportional risk model and restricted cubic spline (RCS) were used. Lastly, mediation analysis was performed to assess the factors through which HGI affects sepsis prognosis. This study included 2605 patients with sepsis, and the 28-day and 365-day mortality rates were 19.7% and 38.9%, respectively. The Q3 group had the highest mortality risk at 28days (HR = 2.55, 95% CI: 1.89-3.44, p < 0.001) and 365days (HR = 1.59, 95% CI: 1.29-1.97, p < 0.001). In the fully adjusted multivariate Cox proportional hazards model, patients in the Q3 group still displayed the highest mortality rates at 28days (HR = 2.02, 95% CI: 1.45-2.80, p < 0.001) and 365days (HR = 1.28, 95% CI: 1.08-1.56, p < 0.001). The RCS analysis revealed that HGI was positively associated with adverse clinical outcomes. Finally, the mediation effect analysis demonstrated that the HGI might influence patient survival prognosis via multiple indicators related to the SOFA and SAPS II scores. There was a significant association between HGI and all-cause mortality in patients with sepsis, and patients with higher HGI values had a higher risk of death. Therefore, HGI can be used as a potential indicator to assess the prognostic risk of death in patients with sepsis.

Gender-Related Aspects of Laryngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

Laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) is a predominantly male illness. Although the rate of female patients increased, a knowledge gap exists in the medical literature regarding gender-based differences. Retrospective cohort study. Adult patients treated for laryngeal SCC in a tertiary medical centre between 2006 and 2020. Data were collected on demographics, clinical presentation, treatment modalities, disease recurrence and survival status. Two hundred ninety-one patients with laryngeal SCC, 50 (17.2%) females and 241 (82.8%) males. Disease-specific survival (DSS), overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS), as well as differences in disease characteristics and treatment modalities. Tumour subsites differed significantly between females and males (36% vs. 19.5% supraglottic, 62% vs. 80.5% glottic and 2% vs. 0% subglottic, respectively; p = 0.006). Females were diagnosed at younger ages (61.7 ± 10.58 vs. 65.87 ± 11.11 years, p = 0.016) and advanced-stage disease (58% vs. 39.4%, p = 0.018). Females were treated with combined modalities at higher rates (36% vs. 54.8% for single modality, p = 0.031). DSS rates did not differ between genders (log-rank p = 0.12). Despite being diagnosed at more advanced disease stages, females demonstrated prolonged median OS compared to males (130.17 vs. 106.17 months, log-rank p = 0.017). No significant differences in DFS were observed (log-rank p = 0.32). In a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model, male gender remained an independent negative OS predictor (HR = 2.08; CI, 1.10-3.96; p = 0.025), along with increasing age (HR = 1.06; CI, 1.04-1.09; p < 0.001) and advanced disease stage (HR = 1.7; CI, 1.08-2.67; p = 0.023). Our findings suggest the importance of considering gender-specific factors in the management of laryngeal SCC.

Association of baseline serum sodium with long-term outcomes in newly diagnosed coronary heart disease patients without heart failure: a prospective cohort study

Sodium is crucial for maintaining cardiovascular health, especially in relation to heart failure. The impact of baseline serum sodium concentrations on the outcomes of newly diagnosed coronary heart disease (CHD) without heart failure remains unclear. This prospective cohort study included 681 patients who were newly diagnosed with CHD. Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis were used to assess the relationship between serum sodium concentrations and major adverse cardiovascular events. The improvement in traditional prediction models by the addition of serum sodium concentrations was assessed using changes in the C-statistic, net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). During a median follow-up of 51.04 months (IQR: 40.88–53.80 months), 131 events were recorded. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models showed that the L2 group (136–138.9 mmol/L) had the highest MACE risk. Compared to L2, the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the L1 (130–135.9 mmol/L), L3 (139–140.9 mmol/L), L4 (141–142.9 mmol/L), and L5 (143–147.0 mmol/L) groups were 0.31 (0.14–0.70, P = 0.005), 0.48 (030–0.78, P = 0.003), 0.56 (0.34–0.92, P = 0.022), and 0.37 (0.22–0.64, P < 0.001), respectively. Including serum sodium concentrations in the prediction model significantly improved the C-statistic from 0.647 to 0.679 (P = 0.022), with an NRI of 0.338 (P < 0.001) and an IDI of 0.026 (P < 0.001). RCS analysis showed a nonlinear relationship: within the 130–138 mmol/L sodium range, MACE risk gradually increased with higher sodium levels (HR 1.39, 95% CI 1.09–1.76, P = 0.008); whereas within the 138–147 mmol/L range, the risk gradually decreased (HR 0.88, 95% CI 0.80–0.98, P = 0.014). Baseline serum sodium concentrations are significantly associated with long-term cardiovascular risk in newly diagnosed CHD patients, showing an inverted U-shaped relationship, whereas low serum sodium may be specifically linked to higher risks of death and nonfatal myocardial infarction. Further research is needed to explore the impact of long-term changes in serum sodium concentrations on disease prognosis.

Assessment of survival prediction after surgery in spinal metastases patients using the Global Spine Study Tumor Group (GSTSG) risk calculator; an external validation from a tertiary cancer hospital.

We aim to validate the Global Spine Tumor Study Group (GSTSG) score compared to previous prognostic scoring systems in spinal metastasis. We conducted a retrospective study from January 2013 to December 2022. The survival prediction was compared between the GSTSG, Tomita Score, Revised Tokuhashi Score, and Skeletal Oncology Research Group (SORG) Nomogram. Single-variable factors associated with survival rate were analyzed using univariate Cox regression and multivariable Cox proportional hazard model. Receiver operating characteristic was used for external validity analysis at 3, 6, 12, and 24months. The overall survival rate was reported using the Kaplan-Meier survival curve. 248 spinal metastasis patients were included. The mean age was 59.23 ± 12.55years. The mean duration of follow-up time was 470.29 ± 441.98days. The external validity of GSTSG was the highest at all follow-up times (sufficiently accurate AUC > 0.7), which was about the same as SORG at 3months (both AUC of GSTSG and SORG = 0.76) and higher than modified Tokuhashi and Tomita score at 12months (AUC of GSTSG = 0.78, SORG = 0.71, Tomita = 0.64, and modified Tokuhashi = 0.61, respectively). From our study, the Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicates that the significant factors related to survival rate are regular analgesic use of weak opioids, lung metastasis, and previous chemotherapy. Compared to other traditional spinal metastases prognostic scoring systems, GSTSG shows the highest AUC for external validity in all follow-up times up to 24months.

Dietary magnesium intake and rheumatoid arthritis patients’ all-cause mortality: evidence from the NHANES database

BackgroundRheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a chronic inflammatory joint disease with all-cause mortality increasing globally. Dietary magnesium (Mg), an anti-inflammatory nutrient, has been proven to be associated with the all-cause mortality. The association of dietary Mg intake and all-cause mortality in RA patients remains unknown. The aim of this study was to assess the association between dietary Mg intake and all-cause mortality in RA patients.MethodsRA patients were extracted from the NHANES 1999–2018, and followed for survival through December 31, 2019. Dietary Mg intake data were obtained from 24-h dietary recall interview. The association between dietary Mg intake and RA patients’ all-cause mortality was explored based on weighted univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models and described as absolute risk difference (ARD), hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). This association was further explored in subgroup analyses based on different age, gender and body mass index (BMI).ResultsTotally 2,952 patients were included. Until 31 December 2019, a total of 825 deaths were documented. RA patients with higher dietary Mg intake had a 11.12% reduction of all-cause mortality (ARD=-11.12%; HR = 0.74, 95%CI: 0.56–0.99) in the fully adjusted model, especially in female (HR = 0.68, 95%CI: 0.47–0.98), aged < 65 years (HR = 0.59, 95%CI: 0.37–0.94) and BMI ≤ 30 kg/m2 (HR = 0.62, 95%CI: 0.42–0.91).ConclusionRA patients who consumed adequate dietary Mg from diet as well as supplements may had a lower risk of all-cause mortality.

New Biomarkers to Define A Biological Borderline Situation for Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma - Results of An Ancillary Study of the PANACHE01-PRODIGE48 Trial.

To investigate in patients treated for a resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PA), the prognostic value of baseline CA19-9 and circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) for overall survival (OS), to improve death risk stratification, based on a planned ancillary study from PANACHE01-PRODIGE 48 trial. Biological borderline situation that was first used by the MD Anderson, became a standard practice following the international consensus conference in 2016 to manage PA. Regarding the risk of systemic disease especially in the setting of "markedly elevated" CA19-9, neoadjuvant therapy is advised to avoid unnecessary surgery, with risk of early recurrence. To best define biological borderline situations, new biomarkers are needed. Characteristics at diagnosis and OS were compared between patients with or without ctDNA status available. OS was estimated with Kaplan Meier method and compared with log-rank test. Restricted cubic spline approach was used to identify optimal threshold for biological parameters for death risk stratification. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were estimated to assess the association of ctDNA status and other parameters with OS. Among the 132 patients from the primary population for analysis in the PANACHE01 -PRODIGE 48 trial, 92(71%) were available for ctDNA status at diagnosis. No selection bias was identified between patients with or without ctDNA status. 14 patients (15%) were ctDNA+ and exhibited a higher risk for death (P=0,0188; HR95% CI: 2.28 (1.12-4.63). In the 92 patients with ctDNA status available among the others parameter analysed only CA19-9 was statically associated with OS in univariate analysis. Patients with log of CA19-9 equal or superior to 4.4 that corresponds to a CA19-9 of 80 UI/mL were identified at higher risk for death (P=0,0143; HR95% CI: 2.2 (1.15-4.19). In multivariate analysis CA19-19 remained independently associated with OS (p-value=0.0323). When combining the two biomarkers, median OS was of 19.4 (IC 95% 3.8-Not reached) months, 30.2 (IC 95% 17.1-NR) months and not reached (IC 95% 39.3-NR) for "CA19-9 high and ctDNA+ group", "CA19-9 high or ctDNA+ group", and "CA19-9 low and ctDNA- group", respectively (logrank P=0,0069). Progress in the management of potentially operable PA remains limited, relying solely on strategies to optimize the sequence of complete treatment, based on modern multidrug chemotherapy (FOLFIRINOX, GemNabPaclitaxel) and surgical resection. The identification of risk criteria, such as the existence of systemic disease, is an important issue, currently referred to as "biologic borderline disease". Few data, particularly from prospective studies, allow us to identify biomarkers other than CA19-9. Combining ctDNA to CA19-9 could be of interest to best define biological borderline situations in PA.

Tumor-related epilepsy in high-grade glioma: a large series survival analysis.

Seizures are a common clinical occurrence in high-grade glioma (HGG). While many studies have explored seizure incidence and prevalence in HGG, limited studies have examined the prognostic effect of seizures occurring in the post-diagnosis setting. This study aims to assess the impact of seizure presentation on HGG survival outcomes. Single-center retrospective review identified 950 patients with histologically-confirmed high-grade glioma. Seizure presentation was determined by clinical history and classified as early onset (occurring within 30 days of HGG presentation) or late onset (first seizure occurring after beginning HGG treatment). The primary outcome, hazard ratios for overall survival and progression-free survival, was assessed with multivariable Cox proportional-hazards models. IDH1 mutation status (assessed through immunohistochemistry) was only consistently available beginning in 2015; subgroup analyses were performed in the subset of patients with known IDH1 status. Epileptic activity before (HR = 0.81, 95% CI = 0.68-0.96, P = 0.017) or after (HR = 0.74, 95% CI = 0.60-0.91, P = 0.005) HGG diagnosis associated with improved overall survival. Additionally, late seizure onset significantly associated with lower odds of achieving partial (OR = 0.25, 95% CI = 0.12-0.53, P = < 0.001) or complete (OR = 0.30, 95% CI = 0.18-0.50, P < 0.001) seizure control than patients with early seizure onset. Clinical seizures both at the time of diagnosis and later during the HGG treatment course are associated with improved overall survival. This association potentially persists for both IDH1-wildtype and IDH1-mutant patients, but further study is required.

A 10-Year Retrospective Cohort Study of Endometrial Cancer Outcomes and Associations with Lymphovascular Invasion: A Single-Center Study from Germany

This 10-year retrospective cohort study at a single-center clinic in Germany aimed to analyze the outcomes of endometrial cancer patients and explore the impact of lymphovascular invasion (LV) on patient outcomes and disease-free survival (DFS). Identifying correlations among demographic data, tumor characteristics, treatment modalities, and survival outcomes could enhance patient management and improve survival rates. The study encompassed patients diagnosed and treated for endometrial cancer from January 2010 to December 2020. Clinical and pathological data were extracted from medical records for 311 patients, focusing on variables such as age, histological type, tumor grade, type of surgical treatment, and adjuvant therapies. Survival analysis was conducted using the Kaplan–Meier method and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models to identify factors independently associated with survival. The study demonstrated that lymphovascular invasion significantly impacted survival outcomes on Kaplan–Meier analysis (log-rank p-value = 0.0058). Patients with LV showed a marked decrease in DFS compared to those without LV invasion, with a median DFS of 3.2 years and a hazard ratio of 2.18 (95% CI: 1.56–3.04, p &lt; 0.001). Furthermore, high-grade tumors and p53 positivity were strongly associated with reduced DFS, with hazard ratios of 1.93 (p = 0.001) and 2.11 (p &lt; 0.001), respectively. Patients with distant metastasis exhibited the most significant decline in survival, with a hazard ratio of 5.56 (95% CI: 2.45–10.18, p &lt; 0.001). Despite comprehensive surgical and adjuvant therapies, these high-risk factors dictated poorer outcomes. The presence of lymphovascular invasion, high-grade tumors, and genetic markers like MSI and p53 are pivotal in predicting the course of endometrial cancer. This study underscores the necessity for aggressive management strategies in patients exhibiting these high-risk features to potentially improve prognosis and survival outcomes. The findings advocate for enhanced therapeutic strategies tailored to the biological behavior of the tumor, thereby aiming to elevate the overall survival rates for women diagnosed with endometrial cancer.

Evaluation of the prognosis in patients with small-cell lung cancer treated by chemotherapy using tumor shrinkage rate-based radiomics

BackgroundSmall-cell lung cancer (SCLC) is a leading cause of cancer-related death. However, the prognostic value of the tumor shrinkage rate (TSR) after chemotherapy for SCLC is still unknown.MethodsWe performed a retrospective analysis of 235 patients with SCLC. The TSR cutoff was determined based on receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis. The associations of TSR with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were assessed using univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models. Survival curves were obtained by the Kaplan–Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. Recurrence patterns after first-line treatment were summarized in a pie chart. A nomogram was constructed to validate the predictive role of the TSR in SCLC.ResultsThe TSR cutoff was identified to be − 6.6%. Median PFS and OS were longer in the group with a TSR < –6.6% than in the group with a TSR ≥ − 6.6%. PFS and OS were also longer in patients with extensive SCLC when the TSR was < − 6.6% than when it was > − 6.6%. Brain metastasis-free survival was better in the group with a TSR < − 6.6%. There was a significant positive correlation between TSR and PFS. Furthermore, univariate and multivariate regression analyses showed that the TSR, patient age, and previous radiotherapy were independent prognostic factors for OS while TSR and M stage were independent prognostic factors for PFS.ConclusionsThe TSR may prove to be a good indicator of OS and PFS in patients receiving chemotherapy-based first-line treatment for SCLC.

Association between warfarin and survival in invasive melanoma: a population-based cohort study

BackgroundWarfarin has been shown to reduce cancer risk via Vitamin K related AXL tyrosine kinase inhibition. Although AXL has been implicated in disease progression and therapy resistance in preclinical melanoma models, there are no clinical studies evaluating the impact of warfarin on melanoma prognosis. Hence, we sought to evaluate the relationship between warfarin and survival in melanoma. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective population-based cohort study of melanoma patients aged ≥ 65 years diagnosed between 2009–2013 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-Medicare database. Patients were grouped according to warfarin therapy 6 months prior and after melanoma diagnosis. Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to compare overall (OS) and melanoma-specific survival (MSS) between groups. ResultsOverall, 10,778 patients with invasive melanoma were included. 13.2 % were prescribed warfarin, with atrial fibrillation being the most common indication (74.1 %). Warfarin prescription was associated with older age, male sex, and a greater number of comorbidities (all p < 0.001). Patients prescribed warfarin more frequently presented with ulceration, T3 and T4 disease, and stage II disease (all p < 0.05). Warfarin prescription was associated with greater MSS and OS in multivariable models (MSS adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.72, 95 % CI 0.54–0.96, p = 0.02; OS aHR 0.88, 95 % CI 0.79–0.99, p = 0.04). ConclusionsWarfarin was associated with greater MSS and OS among melanoma patients. These findings highlight the potential for Vitamin K related pathways to impact cancer specific activity. Further study of AXL and Vitamin K inhibition will be of significant interest in melanoma, targeted strategies actively under investigation.

Dysglycaemia in Ebola virus disease: a retrospective analysis from the 2018 to 2020 outbreak

BackgroundEbola virus disease (EVD) is associated with multisystem organ failure and high mortality. Severe hypoglycaemia is common, life-threatening, and correctable in critically ill patients, but glucose monitoring may be limited in EVD treatment units. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective review of patients admitted to EVD treatment units in Butembo and Katwa, Eastern DRC. Glucose measurements were done using a handheld glucometer at the bedside or using the Piccolo xpress Chemistry Analyzer on venous samples. Findings384 patients (median age 30 years (interquartile range, IQR, 20-45), 57% female) and 6,422 glucose measurements (median 11 per patient, IQR 4 to 22) were included in the analysis. Severe hypoglycaemia (≤2.2mmol/L) and hyperglycaemia (>10mmol/L) were recorded at least once during the ETU admission in 97 (25%) and 225 (59%) patients, respectively. A total of 2,004 infusions of glucose-containing intravenous solutions were administered to 302 patients (79%) with a median cumulative dose of 175g (IQR 100 to 411). The overall case fatality rate was 157/384 (41%) and was 2.2-fold higher (95%CI 1.3 to 3.8) in patients with severe hypoglycaemia than those without hypoglycaemia (p=0.0042). In a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model, periods of severe hypoglycaemia (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 6.2, 95%CI 3.2-12, p<0.0001) and moderate hypoglycaemia (aHR 3.0, 95%CI 1.9-4.8, p<0.0001) were associated with elevated mortality. InterpretationHypoglycaemia is common in EVD, requires repeated correction with intravenous dextrose solutions, and is associated with mortality. FundingThis study was not supported by any specific funding.

Decreased incidence of peritoneal dialysis-associated peritonitis in young children.

Peritonitis is the most common complication of peritoneal dialysis (PD). This study aimed to investigate changes in the incidence, risk factors, microbiology, and clinical outcomes of PD-associated peritonitis in the past decades. This was a retrospective study that included children who initiated chronic PD at our institution between 2000 and 2017. The patients were divided into two groups according to the year of initiation: those who initiated PD between 2000 and 2008 and those who initiated PD between 2009 and 2017. The incidence and characteristics of peritonitis were compared between the groups. A total of 184 patients with a median age of 10.2 years were included in this study. Of the patients, 92 experienced 210 episodes of peritonitis. The incidence rate of peritonitis decreased from 0.35 to 0.21 episodes/patient year during the study period (P = 0.001). During the 2000-2008 period, the 2-year peritonitis-free survival rate was significantly lower for patients under 2 years of age than for the other age groups (P = 0.004), whereas this was not observed during the 2009-2017 period. The multivariable Cox proportional hazard model showed that the <2 years age group had a significantly higher risk of developing peritonitis in the 2000-2008 period. However, this was not evident in the 2009-2017 period. The incidence of PD-associated peritonitis decreased, particularly in children under 2 years of age. Thus, younger age may not be a risk factor for PD-associated peritonitis.

Factors associated with joint survival after transposition osteotomy of the acetabulum in patients with Tönnis grade 2 osteoarthritis secondary to hip dysplasia.

The aim of this study was to determine the clinical outcomes and factors contributing to failure of transposition osteotomy of the acetabulum (TOA), a type of spherical periacetabular osteotomy, for advanced osteoarthritis secondary to hip dysplasia. We reviewed patients with Tönnis grade 2 osteoarthritis secondary to hip dysplasia who underwent TOA between November 1998 and December 2019. Patient demographic details, osteotomy-related complications, and the modified Harris Hip Score (mHHS) were obtained via medical notes review. Radiological indicators of hip dysplasia were assessed using preoperative and postoperative radiographs. The cumulative probability of TOA failure (progression to Tönnis grade 3 or conversion to total hip arthroplasty) was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier product-limited method. A multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to identify predictors of failure. This study included 127 patients (137 hips). Median follow-up period was ten years (IQR 6 to 15). The median mHHS improved from 59 (IQR 52 to 70) preoperatively to 90 (IQR 73 to 96) at the latest follow-up (p < 0.001). The survival rate was 90% (95% CI 82 to 95) at ten years, decreasing to 21% (95% CI 7 to 48) at 20 years. Fair joint congruity on preoperative hip abduction radiographs and a decreased postoperative anterior wall index (AWI) were identified as independent risk factors for failure. The survival rate for the 42 hips with good preoperative joint congruity and a postoperative AWI ≥ 0.30 was 100% at ten years, and remained at 83% (95% CI 38 to 98) at 20 years. Although the overall clinical outcomes of TOA in patients with advanced osteoarthritis are suboptimal, favourable results can be achieved in selected cases with good preoperative joint congruity and adequate postoperative anterior acetabular coverage.

Incidence of Cirrhosis and Hepatocellular Carcinoma Among Veterans With Noncirrhotic Metabolic Dysfunction-associated Fatty Liver Disease.

Despite the high prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), the long-term incidence of cirrhosis or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among adults with MAFLD is not well described. Using a national cohort of United States Veterans, we evaluated the overall incidence and predictors of cirrhosis and HCC among adults with noncirrhotic MAFLD. Data from the 2010 to 2022 Veterans Affairs database were used to identify adults with noncirrhotic MAFLD using established definitions. Five and 10-year incidence of cirrhosis and HCC were assessed and stratified by demographics and relevant clinical variables. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were utilized to determine predictors of cirrhosis and HCC. Among 969,253 patients with noncirrhotic MAFLD (94.5% males, 70.2% non-Hispanic white, mean age of 62.7 ± 12.2 y), the 10-year incidence of cirrhosis and HCC was 3.70% (95% CI: 3.66-3.74) and 0.69% (95% CI: 0.67-0.70), respectively. When stratified by race/ethnicity, the 10-year incidence of cirrhosis was lowest among Asians (2.63%, 95% CI: 2.37-2.88) and highest among Hispanics (4.60%, 95% CI: 4.45-4.75), a pattern also observed with HCC. Significant disparities in risk of cirrhosis or HCC were observed when stratified by sex, substance use, and comorbidities. Risks of cirrhosis and HCC were highest in patients with baseline fibrosis-4 >2.67. This large study provides important epidemiological data describing the natural history of adults with MAFLD. Disparities in risk of cirrhosis and HCC were observed by demographic and clinical characteristics, emphasizing the importance of early identification of MAFLD with modifiable high-risk features to implement earlier interventions to improve long-term outcomes.

Follistatin-respiratory connection predicting all-cause mortality among community-dwelling middle-to-old age individuals: Results from the I-Lan Longitudinal Study

ObjectivesThe link between aging and pulmonary function decline is well-established, but the underlying mechanisms have yet to be fully revealed. Serum follistatin, a myokine implicated in muscle degeneration, may play a role in age-related pulmonary changes. This study aims to investigate the relationship between serum follistatin levels and pulmonary function decline in community-dwelling older adults, and evaluate their combined association with all-cause mortality. Research design and methodsThis longitudinal cohort study utilized data from 751 participants aged ≥50 years in the I-Lan Longitudinal Aging Study between 2018−2019. Serum follistatin levels, spirometry results, demographic and clinical data were retrieved. Participants were stratified based on their follistatin levels. Survival curves and group comparisons based on follistatin levels and decline in peak expiratory flow (PEF) using Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank tests. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were further used to identify independent predictors of all-cause mortality during the 52-month follow-up. ResultsElevated follistatin levels significantly correlated with worse pulmonary function, particularly decreased PEF (p = 0.030). Kaplan–Meier analysis revealed the combination of elevated follistatin levels and decreased PEF was associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality (Log-rank p = 0.023). Cox proportional hazards models further identified that concurrent presence of higher follistatin levels and decreased PEF predicted higher risk of all-cause mortality (adjusted HR 3.58, 95% CI: 1.22–10.53, p = 0.020). ConclusionHigher serum follistatin levels correlate with decreased pulmonary function, specifically PEF decline, in community-dwelling older adults. Furthermore, the coexistence of elevated follistatin levels and decreased PEF was associated with risk of all-cause mortality. Follistatin may serve as a biomarker for pulmonary aging and related adverse outcomes.

Association of hepatitis B virus treatment with all-cause and liver-related mortality among individuals with HBV and cirrhosis: a population-based cohort study

We evaluated the association of hepatitis B virus (HBV) treatment with all-cause, and liver-related mortality among individuals with HBV and cirrhosis in British Columbia (BC), Canada. This analysis included people diagnosed with HBV and had cirrhosis in the BC Hepatitis Testers Cohort, including data on all individuals diagnosed with HBV from 1990 to 2015 in BC and integrated with healthcare administrative data. We followed people with cirrhosis from the first cirrhosis diagnosis date until death or December 31, 2020. We compared all-cause and liver related mortality between those who received treatment and those who did not. HBV treatment was considered a time-varying variable. We performed multivariable Cox proportional hazards model and competing risk regression models to assess the association of HBV treatment with all causes, and liver-related mortality respectively using inverse probability of treatment weighted population. Among 4962 individuals with HBV and cirrhosis, 48.1% received HBV treatment. Treated individuals had a median follow-up of 2.97 years, compared to 2.87 years for untreated individuals. The treated group was older (median age 57 vs 54 years), had higher proportion of treated of males [1802 (75.50%) vs 1766 (68.8%)], from urban area [2318 (97.2%) vs 2355 (91.8%)], and from East and South Asian ethnicity [1506 (63.1%) vs 709 (27.5%)] compared to untreated group. Untreated people experienced higher all-cause mortality (115.47 vs. 35.72 per 1000 person-years) and liver-related mortality (49.86 vs. 11.39 per 1000 person-years). Multivariable models showed that HBV treatment significantly lowered the risk of all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 0.74; 95% CI: 0.65, 0.84) and liver-related mortality (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio (asHR) 0.72; 95% CI: 0.58, 0.89) compared to untreated individuals. Among untreated individuals with HBV, those with HCV coinfection had a higher risk of both all-cause and liver-related mortality (aHR 1.57; 95% CI: 1.22, 2.04, and asHR 1.60; 95% CI: 1.25, 2.05, respectively). HBV treatment was associated with a significant reduction in all-cause and liver-related mortality among individuals with cirrhosis. The findings highlight the need for treatment among individuals with HBV related cirrhosis especially those with coinfection with hepatitis C virus. This work was supported by the BC Centre for Disease Control and the Canadian Institutes of Health Research (CIHR) [Grant # NHC-142832, PJT-156066, and SC1 -178736]. JDM has received doctoral fellowship from the Canadian Network on Hepatitis C (CanHepC). DJ has received Doctoral Research Award (#201910DF1-435705-64343) from the Canadian Institutes of Health Research (CIHR) and doctoral fellowship from the CanHepC. CanHepC is funded by a joint initiative of the Canadian Institutes of Health Research (CIHR) (NHC-142832) and the Public Health Agency of Canada (PHAC).

Prescription Medications and Overall Survival in Metastatic Hormone Sensitive Prostate Cancer.

With new therapies for metastatic prostate cancer, patients are living longer, increasing the need for better understanding of the impact of comorbid disease. Prescription medications may risk-stratify patients independent of established methods, such as the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and guide treatment selection. In a nationwide retrospective study of US Veterans, we used multivariable logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard modeling to evaluate the association between number and class of prescription medications and overall survival (OS) with age, race, body-mass index, prostate specific antigen (PSA), and Charlson comorbidities as covariates in veterans treated for de novo metastatic hormone sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC) between 2010-2021. Among 8,434 Veterans, a median of nine medications and five medication classes were filled in the year prior to initial treatment with abiraterone or enzalutamide for mHSPC. Veterans on 1-4 medications had an average survival of 38 months compared to 5-9 medicines (33 months), 10-14 medicines (27 months), and 15+ medicines (22 months) (p<0.001). After adjusting for age, race, body mass index (BMI), PSA, CCI, and year of diagnosis, both the number of medications and medication classes were associated with increased mortality. The adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) [95% confidence interval (CI)] was 1.03 (1.02-1.03) for the number of medications and 1.05 (1.04-1.07) for medication classes. Medications within ATC B (blood/blood forming organs), ATC C (cardiovascular), and ATC N (nervous) were associated with worse OS, with aHRs of 1.14 (1.07, 1.21), 1.14 (1.06, 1.22), and 1.12 (1.06, 1.19), respectively. The number and class of medications were independently associated with overall survival in patients undergoing treatment for mHSPC. With new therapies for advanced prostate cancer, patients are living longer, highlighting the need for a better understanding of the impact of comorbid diseases. Simple methods to assess disease burden and prognosticate survival have the potential to guide treatment decisions.