Multivariate Cox Proportional Hazards Regression Research Articles

Temperature trajectories and mortality in hypothermic sepsis patients

ObjectivesHypothermia is associated with poor outcomes in sepsis patients, and hypothermic sepsis patients exhibit temperature alterations during initial treatment. The objective of this study was to classify hypothermic sepsis patients based on body temperature trajectories and investigate the associations of these patients with 28-day mortality. MethodsThis was a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data from adult sepsis or septic shock patients who visited three emergency departments between August 2014 and December 2019. Hypothermic sepsis was defined as an initial body temperature <36 °C. delta temperature was calculated by subtracting the 0 h body temperature from the 6 h body temperature. We divided the patients into three groups according to delta temperature: Group A (delta temperature ≤ 0), Group B (0 < delta temperature ≤ 1) and Group C (delta temperature > 1). The primary outcome was 28-day mortality, and a multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model was generated. ResultsAmong 7344 patients with sepsis or septic shock, 325 hypothermic patients were included in the analysis, and the overall mortality rate was 36%. While initial body temperature was not different between survivors and nonsurvivors, survivors exhibited a higher body temperature at 6 h. The 28-day mortality rates for Groups A, B and C were 53.1%, 36.0%, and 30.0%, respectively, and Group A had significantly higher mortality than Group C did (p < 0.05). Group C demonstrated a 44.2% decrease in 28-day mortality compared to Group A (adjusted hazard ratio of 0.558; 95% confidence interval of 0.330–0.941). ConclusionsIn hypothermic sepsis patients, an increase of 1 °C or more in body temperature after the initial 6 h is associated with a reduced risk of 28-day mortality.

Nonlinear associations of systemic immune-inflammation index with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in US adults with rheumatoid arthritis

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a chronic systemic inflammatory autoimmune disease. However, the relationship between the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and the prognosis of RA patients remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the association between inflammatory biomarker SII and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in RA patients. A retrospective analysis was conducted using data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey database spanning from 1999 to March 2020. We assessed the association between the SII and all-cause as well as cardiovascular mortality in RA patients employing multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis and restricted cubic spline plots. Receiver operating characteristic curves were employed to evaluate the prognostic capacity of SII in predicting outcomes in both the RA patients and the general population, alongside its predictive performance compared to other markers. This study comprised 2247 RA patients and a control cohort of 29,177 individuals from the general population. Over a 20-year follow-up period, 738 all-cause deaths and 215 deaths attributable to cardiovascular disease were documented in RA patients. We observed a nonlinear positive correlation between the SII and both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in RA patients. Of significance, at an SII level of 529.7, the hazard ratio reached 1, signifying a transition from low to high mortality risk. Moreover, subgroup analysis did not reveal any potential interactions. Our study findings indicate a nonlinear positive correlation between the inflammatory biomarker SII and both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with RA.

Clinical factors influencing the success rate of radioiodine treatment for Graves' disease.

To investigate the impact of various clinical factors associated with Graves' disease on the success rate of radioiodine (RAI) therapy for Graves' disease within 3 years, and to determine the optimal range of iodine dosage per unit volume that yields the highest cure rate for Graves' disease within 1 year. This retrospective study included patients diagnosed with Graves' disease who underwent RAI therapy at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University between October 2012 and October 2022. The cumulative success rate was analysed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models were employed to evaluate factors associated with successful treatment of Graves' disease. Outcomes were categorized as either success or failure for all patients. Overall, 1994 patients were enrolled in this study, including 594 (29.8%) male and 1399 (70.2%) female patients. The success and failure groups comprised 1645 (82.4%) and 349 patients (17.6%), respectively, after a 3-year follow-up period. Multivariate regression analysis demonstrated that sex, antithyroid drug (ATD) use before RAI therapy, age, thyroid receptor antibody (TRAb) levels, iodine dose, thyroid mass, and early ATD use before RAI therapy were independent influencing factors for Graves' disease cure. We found that female patients and those with TRAbs ≥31.83 IU/L and thyroid mass ≥ 73.42 g had a lower cure rate. Therefore, thyroid size, disease severity, and duration of disease should be comprehensively considered when making treatment decisions and iodine dose selection in clinical practice.

Associations of neutrophil-percentage-to-albumin ratio level with all-cause mortality and cardiovascular disease-cause mortality among patients with hypertension: evidence from NHANES 1999-2010.

The associations of neutrophil-percentage-to-albumin ratio (NPAR) level with all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD)-cause mortality among patients with hypertension remain unclear. This study aims to investigate the associations of NPAR level with all-cause and CVD-cause mortality among patients with hypertension. This prospective cohort study included 8,990 patients with hypertension who participated in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 1999 to 2010. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to compute hazard ratios and 95% CIs for the associations of NPAR level with all-cause mortality and CVD-cause mortality. Restricted cubic spline analyses were used to examine the nonlinear association of NPAR level with all-cause mortality and CVD-cause mortality. This cohort study included data from 8,990 participants in analysis. During 104,474 person-years of follow-up, 3,069 all-cause deaths and 1,449 CVD-cause deaths were documented. Nonlinear associations were observed for NPAR levels with risk of all-cause mortality and CVD-cause mortality among patients with hypertension. Compared with participants in T1 of NPAR, there was a significantly increased risk of all-cause mortality and CVD-cause mortality for participants in both T2 and T3 in the fully adjusted model (model 3). The corresponding HRs for all-cause mortality were 1.10 (95% CI, 0.98-1.22) and 1.63 (95% CI, 1.45-1.82). The corresponding HRs for CVD-cause mortality were 1.10 (95% CI, 0.99-1.23) and 1.63 (95% CI, 1.46-1.81). Elevated NPAR level was significantly associated with an increased risk of all-cause and CVD-cause mortality in adults with hypertension. NPAR may be clinically useful for predicting long-term health outcomes and mortality in hypertensive population.

21-Gene Recurrence Score and Survival Outcomes in the Phase III Multicenter TAILORx Clinical Trial.

Recurrence score (RS) based on a 21-gene genomic assay is frequently used to estimate risk of distant recurrence for choice of adjuvant chemotherapy in breast cancer. It remains unclear whether RS is an independent prognostic factor for breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) and overall survival (OS) in the TAILORx trial population. We evaluated the association of RS with BCSS and OS plus recurrence-free interval (RFI) and invasive disease-free survival (DFS) using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, adjusting for clinicopathologic measures, in 8,916 patients with hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative, node-negative breast cancer. Likelihood ratio (LR) test was used to assess the relative amount of prognostic information provided by RS to BCSS, OS, RFI, and DFS, comparatively. Event rates for BCSS, OS, RFI, and DFS were 1.7%, 5.2%, 5.6%, and 12.6%, respectively, by up to 11.6 years of follow-up. Compared with low-range RS (0-10), patients with midrange (11-25) and high-range (26-100) RS had inferior BCSS (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 5.12 [95% CI, 2.09-16.92] and 8.03 [95% CI, 2.91-28.47], respectively) and RFI (aHR, 1.68 [95% CI, 1.23-2.36] and 3.05 [95% CI, 2.02-4.67], respectively), independent of clinicopathologic factors. High-range score was associated with an increased risk of DFS (aHR, 1.56 [95% CI, 1.20-2.04]) but not significantly associated with OS (aHR, 1.44 [95% CI, 0.95-2.18]). Midrange score was associated with neither DFS (aHR, 1.15 [95% CI, 0.96-1.38]) nor OS (HR 1.14 [95% CI, 0.87-1.52]). LR-χ2 values were 83.0 and 65.1 for RFI and BCSS, respectively, and 17.5 and 33.6 for OS and DFS, respectively (P<.0001). RS is an independent measure for BCSS and recurrence prognoses relative to OS in early-stage breast cancer. It carries more prognostic information for breast cancer-specific outcomes.

Analysis of preoperative nutrition, immunity and inflammation correlation index on the prognosis of upper tract urothelial carcinoma surgical patients: a retrospective single center study

BackgroundSII, PNI, SIRI, AAPR, and LIPI are prognostic scores based on inflammation, nutrition, and immunity. The purpose of this study was to examine the prognostic value of the SII, PNI, SIRI, AAPR, and LIPI in patients with UTUC who underwent radical nephroureterectomy with bladder cuff excision.Materials and methodsData of UTUC patients in Sichuan Provincial People's Hospital from January 2017 to December 2021 were collected. The optimal critical values of SII, PNI, SIRI, and AAPR were determined by ROC curve, and LIPI was stratified according to the dNLR and LDH. The Kaplan–Meier method was used to draw the survival curve, and Cox proportional hazard model was used to analyze the factors affecting the prognosis of UTUC patients.ResultsA total of 81 patients with UTUC were included in this study. The optimal truncation value of PNI, SII, SIRI and AAPR were determined to be 48.15, 596.4, 1.45 and 0.50, respectively. Univariate Cox proportional hazard regression showed that low PNI, high SII, high SIRI, low AAPR and poor LIPI group were effective predictors of postoperative prognosis of UTUC patients. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression showed that high SII was an independent risk factor for postoperative prognosis of UTUC patients. According to ROC curve, the prediction efficiency of fitting indexes of PNI, SII, SIRI, AAPR and LIPI is better than that of using them alone.ConclusionsThe SII, PNI, SIRI, AAPR, and LIPI was a potential prognostic predictor in UTUC patients who underwent radical nephroureterectomy with bladder cuff excision.

Disparities in the Occurrence of Long-Term Effects of Bone Marrow Suppression after Treatment in Adolescent Young Adult Breast Cancer Survivors.

Many adolescent and young adult (AYA) patients with breast cancer (BC) receive adjuvant therapy as initial treatment, with long-term bone marrow suppression as a potential complication, but no studies have evaluated the impact of race/ethnicity on the development of bone marrow suppression in AYA BC survivors. Female patients ages 15-39 years diagnosed with BC (2006-2018) and surviving ≥ 2 years were identified from the California Cancer Registry and linked to statewide hospitalization data. We estimated the cumulative incidence of developing late effects of bone marrow suppression, such as leukopenia, anemia, thrombocytopenia, bleeding, and infection/sepsis, during hospital discharge diagnoses present ≥ 2 years after diagnosis. We examined the impact of sociodemographic and clinical factors on late effects using multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression. Of 11,293 patients, 42.8% were non-Hispanic (nH) White, 28.8% Hispanic, 19.5% nHAsian/Pacific Islander, and 7.5% nH Black. In multivariable analyses, nH Blacks had the highest risk (versus nH Whites) of anemia [hazard ratio (HR) 1.72, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.47-2.02], leukopenia (HR 1.56, CI 1.14-2.13), thrombocytopenia (HR 1.46, CI 1.08-1.99), major infection/sepsis (HR 1.64, CI 1.4-1.92), and bleeding (HR 1.89, CI 1.39-2.58). Hispanics had a higher risk of developing anemia (HR 1.17, CI 1.04-1.32), bleeding (HR 1.4, CI 1.12-1.76), and major infections/sepsis (HR 1.36, CI 1.21-1.52). Asian/Pacific Islanders had only a higher risk of developing bleeding (HR 1.33, CI 1.03-1.72). Patients from a low neighborhood socioeconomic status had a 20% higher risk of infection/sepsis (HR 1.21, CI 1.1-1.34), but there were no associations for the other late effects. We identified that AYAs of nH Black, Hispanic, and Asian/Pacific Islander race/ethnicity are at an increased risk of several late effects after adjuvant therapy compared with nH White patients. From these data, providers can implement early/frequent screening of hematologic late effects in these high-risk survivors.

Association between mpMRI detected tumor apparent diffusion coefficient and 5-year biochemical recurrence risk after radical prostatectomy.

To assess the ability of tumor apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) values obtained from multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) to predict the risk of 5-year biochemical recurrence (BCR) after radical prostatectomy (RP). This retrospective analysis included 1207 peripheral and 232 non-peripheral zone prostate cancer (PCa) patients who underwent mpMRI before RP (2012-2015), with the outcome of interest being 5-year BCR. ADC was evaluated as a continuous variable and as categories: low (< 850µm2/s), intermediate (850-1100µm2/s), and high (> 1100µm2/s). Kaplan-Meier curves with log-rank testing of BCR-free survival, multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression models were formed to estimate the risk of BCR. Among the 1439 males with median age 63 (± 7) years, the median follow-up was 59months, and 306 (25%) patients experienced BCR. Peripheral zone PCa patients with BCR had lower tumor ADC values than those without BCR (874 versus 1025µm2/s, p < 0.001). Five-year BCR-free survival rates were 52.3%, 74.4%, and 87% for patients in the low, intermediate, and high ADC value categories, respectively (p < 0.0001). Lower ADC was associated with BCR, both as continuously coded variable (HR: 5.35; p < 0.001) and as ADC categories (intermediate versus high ADC-HR: 1.56, p = 0.017; low vs. high ADC-HR; 2.36, p < 0.001). In the non-peripheral zone PCa patients, no association between ADC and BCR was observed. Tumor ADC values and categories were found to be predictive of the 5-year BCR risk after RP in patients with peripheral zone PCa and may serve as a prognostic biomarker.

Progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy and spectrum of predisposing conditions: a 20-year retrospective cohort study in a tertiary center in São Paulo, Brazil.

Epidemiological studies on predisposing conditions and outcomes of progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML) cases have been carried out exclusively in high-income countries. We aim to report and compare the main characteristics and outcomes of patients with PML and several underlying diseases in a referral center in a middle-income country. We performed a retrospective cohort study of PML cases admitted to a tertiary care hospital in São Paulo, Brazil during 2000-2022. Demographic and PML-specific variables were recorded. One-year case-fatality rate and factors associated with death were identified using a multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model. Ninety-nine patients with PML were included. HIV infection (84.8%) and malignancy (14.1%) were the most prevalent underlying conditions. Other predisposing diseases were autoimmune/inflammatory diseases (5.1%) and solid organ transplantation (1.0%). One (1.0%) patient had liver cirrhosis and another (1.0%) patient was previously healthy. Focal motor deficits (64.2%) and gait instability (55.1%) were the most common signs. The one-year case-fatality rate was 52.5% (95% CI 42.2-62.7). The one-year case-fatality rate (95% CI) in patients with or without malignancy (85.7%, 95% CI 57.2-98.2% and 47.1%, 95% CI 36.1-58.2%, respectively) were statistically different (P = 0.009). Crude and adjusted Cox regression models identified malignancy as independently associated with death (adjusted HR = 3.92, 95% CI 1.76-8.73, P = 0.001). HIV/AIDS was the predisposing condition in 84.8% of PML cases. The one-year case-fatality rate was 52.5% and having a malignancy was independently associated with death. This study reports emerging data on the epidemiology and outcome of PML in a middle-income country.

Comparison of Gout Flares With the Initiation of Treat-to-Target Allopurinol and Febuxostat: A Post-Hoc Analysis of a Randomized Multicenter Trial.

Initiating urate-lowering therapy (ULT) in gout can precipitate arthritis flares. There have been limited comparisons of flare risk during the initiation and escalation of allopurinol and febuxostat, administered as a treat-to-target strategy with optimal anti-inflammatory prophylaxis. This was a post-hoc analysis of a 72-week randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, noninferiority trial comparing the efficacy of allopurinol and febuxostat. For this analysis, the occurrence of flares was examined during weeks 0 to 24 when ULT was initiated and titrated to a serum urate (sUA) goal of less than 6 mg/dl (<5 mg/dl if tophi). Flares were assessed at regular intervals through structured participant interviews. Predictors of flare, including treatment assignment, were examined using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression. Study participants (n = 940) were predominantly male (98.4%) and had a mean age of 62.1 years with approximately equal proportions receiving allopurinol or febuxostat. Mean baseline sUA was 8.5 mg/dl and all participants received anti-inflammatory prophylaxis (90% colchicine). In a multivariable model, there were no significant associations of ULT treatment (hazard ratio [HR] 1.17; febuxostat vs allopurinol), ULT-dose escalation (HR 1.18 vs no escalation), prophylaxis type, or individual comorbidity with flare and no evidence of ULT-dose escalation interaction. Factors independently associated with flare risk during ULT initiation/escalation included younger age, higher baseline sUA, and absence of tophi. These results demonstrate that gout flare risk during the initiation and titration of allopurinol is similar to febuxostat when these agents are administered according to a treat-to-target strategy using gradual ULT-dose titration and best practice gout flare prophylaxis.

Histologic Activity From Neoterminal Ileal Biopsies in Patients With Crohn's Disease in Endoscopic Remission is Associated With Postoperative Recurrence.

Following ileocolic resection (ICR), the clinical importance and prognostic implications of histologic activity on biopsies in Crohn's disease (CD) patients with endoscopic remission are not well defined. The aim of this study was to determine if histologic activity in patients with endoscopic remission is associated with future risk of endoscopic and/or radiologic postoperative recurrence (POR). In this multicenter retrospective cohort study, adult patients with CD who underwent ICR between 2009 and 2020 with endoscopic biopsies of ileal mucosa from Rutgeerts i0 on index colonoscopy were included. The composite rate of endoscopic (Rutgeerts score ≥i2b) and radiologic (active inflammation on imaging) recurrence was compared in patients with and without histologic activity using a Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. A multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression model including clinically relevant risk factors of POR, postoperative biologic prophylaxis, and histology activity was designed. A total of 113 patients with i0 disease on index colonoscopy after ICR were included. Of these, 42% had histologic activity. Time to POR was significantly earlier in the histologically active versus normal group ( P = 0.04). After adjusting for clinical risk factors of POR, histologic activity (HR 2.37, 95% CI 1.17-4.79; P = 0.02) and active smoking (HR 2.54, 95% CI 1.02-6.33; P = 0.05) were independently associated with subsequent composite POR risk. In patients with postoperative CD, histologic activity despite complete endoscopic remission is associated with composite, endoscopic, and radiographic recurrence. Further understanding of the role of histologic activity in patients with Rutgeerts i0 disease may provide a novel target to reduce disease recurrence in this population.

Preoperative systemic inflammation response index enhances the prognostic value of tumor multifocalityin upper tract urothelial carcinoma.

In cancer, tumor-related inflammation affects disease progression and survival outcomes. However, the role of systemic inflammation in tumor multifocality in upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) is not well understood. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the impact of the systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) on tumor multifocality for predicting oncological outcomes in patients with UTUC after radical nephroureterectomy (RNU). For this purpose, data from 645 patients with non-metastatic UTUC who underwent RNU between 2008 and 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. Survival outcomes such as overall survival (OS), cancer-specific survival (CSS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) RATES were assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method, and independent prognostic factors were identified through a multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model. Of the 645 patients with UTUC included in the present study, 163 (25%) had multifocal UTUC. Kaplan-Meier analysis indicated that multifocal UTUC synchronous with a high-level SIRI was significantly associated with poorer outcomes after RNU. Furthermore, the results of the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model analysis demonstrated that multifocal tumor coupled with a high-level SIRI was an independent factor for predicting a shorter survival and disease progression. In conclusion, the results of the present study indicated that an elevated SIRI significantly influenced the survival rate of patients with multifocal UTUC. Specifically, integrating multifocal UTUC with a high-level SIRI emerged as an independent risk factor for poorer OS, CSS and RFS. These findings highlighted the potential role of SIRI in the risk stratification and management of patients with multifocal UTUC.

Time to recovery and predictors among admitted preterm neonates in the neonatal intensive care units of public hospitals of Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, 2021

IntroductionEthiopia implemented measures to reduce preterm mortality, and much is currently being done to avoid preterm death, yet preterm death remains the top cause of infant death. As a result, evaluating median time of recovery and determinants will provide information to planners and policymakers to design strategies to improve preterm survival.MethodsHospital-based retrospective follow-up study was conducted in four selected public hospitals of Addis Ababa from September 2018 to August 2021. Data were collected using a pretested structured questionnaire. Epi-data 4.6 and STATA Version 16 were used for data entry and analysis. Kaplan-Meier survival curve, log-rank test, and median time were computed. To find predictors of time to recovery, a multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model was fitted, and variables with a p-value less than 0.05 were considered statistically significant.ResultsA total of 466 preterm babies were included in the study of which 261 (56.1%) preterm neonates survived and were discharged from NICUs. The median time to recovery was 10 days (95% CI: 9–12). Low birth weight (Adjusted hazard-ratio [AHR]: 1.91, 95% CI: 1.2–3.06), normal birth weight (AHR: 2.09, 95% CI: 1.16–3.76), late preterm (AHR: 1.91, 95% CI: 1.02–3.55), no hospital-acquired infection (AHR: 2.19, 95% CI: 1.36–3.5), no thrombocytopenia (AHR: 1.96, 95% CI: 1.27–3.02), continuous positive airway pressure (AHR: 0.66, 95% CI: 0.48–0.91), and kangaroo mother care (AHR: 2.04, 95% CI: 1.48–2.81) were found to be independent predictors of time to recovery of preterm babies.Discussion/ConclusionThe recovery rate was found relatively low. Several predictors of preterm recovery time were discovered in the study. The majority of predictors were preventable or treatable. Therefore, emphasis should be given towards prevention and early anticipation, and management of these predictors. Studies to assess the quality of care and cause of low survival rate of preterm infants are recommended.

Clinical characteristics and prognosis of childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia with CD123 expression

To investigate the expression of CD123 in children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) and its effect on the clinical characteristics and prognosis of children with B-lineage acute lymphoblastic leukemia (B-ALL). A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 251 children with ALL who were admitted to the Department of Hematology and Oncology, Children's Hospital of Kunming Medical University, from December 2019 to June 2022. According to the expression of CD123 at initial diagnosis, the children were divided into CD123+ group and CD123- group, and the two groups were compared in terms of clinical characteristics and treatment outcome. The factors influencing the prognosis were analyzed. Among the 251 children with ALL, there were 146 children (58.2%) in the CD123+ group. The B-ALL group had a significantly higher positive expression rate of CD123 than the acute T lymphocyte leukemia group (P<0.05). Compared with the CD123- group, the CD123+ group had significantly lower peripheral blood leukocyte count and percentage of juvenile cells and a significantly higher proportion of children with high hyperdiploid karyotype or an age of 1-10 years, with a relatively low proportion of children with E2A-PBX1 fusion gene (P<0.05). The multivariate Cox proportional-hazards regression model analysis showed that compared with the >10 years group, the 1-10 years group had a significantly higher overall survival rate (P<0.05), and compared with the high risk group, the moderate risk group had a significantly higher event-free survival rate in children with B-ALL (P<0.05). CD123 is widely expressed in children with B-ALL, and positive expression of CD123 might be an indicator for good prognosis in children with B-ALL, which is of great significance for evaluating the efficacy of remission induction therapy and survival prognosis of children with B-ALL.

Application of a Novel Mitral Valvuloplasty Strategy in Children with Mitral Regurgitation.

To retrospectively analyze the clinical efficacy of an innovative mitral valvuloplasty strategy in the treatment of mitral regurgitation in children. From January 2018 to December 2022, 140 patients undergoing surgical treatment for mitral regurgitation in our hospital were enrolled. Ninety patients underwent three-step standardized pediatric mitral valvuloplasty (group A) and 50 patients underwent simple annuloplasty (group B). The incidence of primary and secondary study endpoint was compared between the two groups, and the independent risk factors for the primary study endpoint were determined. Our primary study endpoint was a composite endpoint of postoperative functional mitral failure, postoperative heart failure, transplantation, and/or mortality. Secondary end points were defined as perioperative complications. During the follow-up period, there was no all-cause death. Primary endpoint events occurred in 22 patients, including 12 patients in group A and 10 patients in group B. There was no significant difference in the incidence of primary and secondary endpoint events between the two groups. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis showed that younger age and residual mitral regurgitation at discharge were independent risk factors for the primary endpoint events, while type of MV repair was not an independent risk factor. Subgroup analysis based on age showed that primary endpoint events occurred in 4 patients in group A and 7 patients in group B in patients < 1year old. The incidence of primary endpoint events in group A was lower than that in group B (6.06% vs. 20.59%, P = 0.041). In patients ≥ 1year old, the primary endpoint event occurred in 8 cases in group A and 3 cases in group B. There was no significant difference in the incidence of primary endpoint events between groups A and B (33.33% vs. 18.75%, P = 0.312). The degree of mitral regurgitation at discharge was significantly improved compared with that before operation in both groups (P < 0.001), and the degree of mitral regurgitation at the last follow-up was not significantly worse than that at discharge (P = 0.090). The mid-term results of mitral valvuloplasty for mitral regurgitation in children are encouraging. The perioperative recovery and postoperative outcomes of three-step standardized mitral valvuloplasty in children are not inferior to those of annuloplasty alone. Three-step standardized pediatric mitral valvuloplasty has better postoperative outcomes than simple mitral annuloplasty, especially for patients younger than 1year old. Children with residual mitral regurgitation at discharge should be followed up regularly to be alert to the occurrence of poor prognosis.

Association Between Coronary Artery Disease and Herpes Zoster: A Cohort Study in Taiwan.

Coronary artery disease (CAD) and herpes zoster represent significant health burdens, and their potential interrelationships remain understudied. This cohort study aimed to address the existing knowledge gap by systematically exploring whether people with CAD are at increased risk for developing herpes zoster. Using the 2006-2015 claims data of the National Health Insurance Program in Taiwan, we identified participants aged ≥20 years with a new diagnosis of CAD as the CAD group. We selected sex- and age-matched participants without CAD as the non-CAD group. The incidence rate of herpes zoster at the end of follow-up was calculated. A multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to measure the hazard ratio and 95% CI for herpes zoster associated with covariables. The overall incidence rate of herpes zoster was 1.14-fold greater in the CAD group as compared with the non-CAD group (6.52 vs 5.74 per 1000 person-years; 95% CI, 1.08-1.20). After controlling for covariables, the adjusted hazard ratio of herpes zoster was 1.21 (95% CI, 1.14-1.27) for the CAD group as compared with the non-CAD group. This cohort study provides valuable insights into the potential association between CAD and the risk of developing herpes zoster. The findings may have implications for preventive strategies of herpes zoster in people with CAD. Further research and collaboration with diverse groups will be critical to validate and extend our findings.

Association of coinfections with differences in outcomes across COVID-19 variants

Background In previous studies, there was an increase in mortality with secondary coinfections in all COVID-19 variants. However, no prior study has explored the association of coinfection with outcomes of hospitalized patients among the COVID-19 variants (Alpha, Delta, and Omicron). Methods This observational cohort study involved 21,186 patients hospitalized with COVID-19 in 25 hospitals in Texas. Patients were divided into groups by surges of COVID-19: Alpha (November 1, 2020–February 10, 2021), Delta (July 10, 2021–October 14, 2021), and Omicron (December 21, 2021–March 3, 2022). Data were collected from electronic health records using methodology from the Viral Respiratory Illness Universal Study COVID-19 registry (NCT04323787) of COVID-19 hospitalizations. Multivariable Cox-proportional hazard regression model assessed the adjusted effect of different surge periods on mortality. Results Bacterial coinfections varied among hospitalization surges associated with Alpha (8.5%), Delta (11.7%), and Omicron (11.9%) variants. Adjusted analyses showed a higher 30-day and 90-day mortality in all variants when coinfections were present compared with isolated COVID-19 infection. In particular, 30-day and 90-day mortality were significantly worse with Delta compared to Alpha and Omicron. Conclusions All variants were associated with a higher mortality when bacterial coinfections were present. Delta was associated with a higher risk-adjusted mortality at 30 days and thereafter.

Gene-age interaction study of breast cancer prognosis based on epigenomic data

Objective: Exploring gene-age interactions associated with breast cancer prognosis based on epigenomic data. Methods: Differential expression analysis of DNA methylation was conducted using multiple independent epigenomic datasets of breast cancer from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO). The false discovery rate (FDR) method was used for multiple corrections, retaining differentially methylated sites with q-FDR≤0.05. A three-stage analytic strategy was implemented, using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model to examine gene-age interactions. In the discovery phase, signals with q-FDR ≤ 0.05 were screened out using TCGA-BRCA database. In validation phaseⅠ, the interaction was validated using GSE72245 data, with criteria of P≤0.05 and consistent effect direction. In validation phaseⅡ, the signals were further validated using GSE37754 and GSE75067 data. A prognostic prediction model was constructed by incorporating clinical indicators and interaction signals. Results: The three-stage analytic strategy identified a methylation site (cg16126280EBF1), which interacted with age to jointly affect the overall survival time of patients (interaction HR= 1.001 1,95%CI:1.000 7-1.001 5,P<0.001). Stratified analysis by age showed that the effect of hypermethylation of cg16126280EBF1 was completely opposite in younger patients (HR=0.550 5, 95%CI: 0.383 8-0.789 6, P=0.001) and older patients (HR=2.166 5, 95%CI: 1.285 2-3.652 2, P=0.004). Conclusions: The DNA methylation site cg16126280EBF1 exhibits an interaction with age, jointly influencing the prognosis of breast cancer in a complex association pattern. This finding contributes new population-based evidence for the development of age-specific targeted drugs.

A Prediction Rule for the Dystonic Spread of Blepharospasm: A 4-Year Prospective Cohort Study.

Blepharospasm (BSP), focal dystonia with the highest risk of spread, lacks clear understanding of early spreading risk factors and objective prognostic indicators. We aimed to identify these risk factors through clinical and electrophysiological assessments, and to establish a predictive model for dystonic spread in BSP. We prospectively followed BSP patients for 4 years, collecting data on dystonic spread, and conducting electrophysiological evaluations. The blink reflex, masseter inhibitory reflex, and trigeminal somatosensory evoked potential were assessed. Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to assess clinical characteristics associated with BSP dystonic spread. A predictive model was constructed using a nomogram, and performance of the model was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. A total of 136 enrolled participants (mean age 56.34 years) completed a 4-year follow-up. Among them, 62 patients (45.6%) showed spread to other body regions. Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that a high Hamilton Anxiety Scale score (hazard ratio 1.19, 95% confidence interval 1.13-1.25, p < 0.001), prolonged trigeminal somatosensory evoked potential mandibular branch P1-N2 peak interval (hazard ratio 1.11, 95% confidence interval 1.02-1.21, p = 0.017), and elevated trigeminal somatosensory evoked potential mandibular branch P1-N2 peak amplitude (hazard ratio 1.26, 95% confidence interval 1.12-1.41, p < 0.001) were independent risk factors for BSP dystonic spread within 4 years. Combining these factors, the predictive models demonstrated excellent discriminative ability, with the receiver operating characteristic curve score being 0.797, 0.790, 0.847, and 0.820 at 1, 2, 3 and 4 years after enrollment, respectively. We established a predictive model with significant value for anticipating dystonic spread in BSP, offering crucial evidence. These findings contribute essential insights into the early clinical identification of the development and evolution of BSP diseases. ANN NEUROL 2024.

Development of a prediction model for incidence of diabetic foot in patients with type 2 diabetes and its application based on a local health data platform

Objective: To construct a diabetes foot prediction model for adult patients with type 2 diabetes based on retrospective cohort study using data from a regional health data platform. Methods: Using Yinzhou Health Information Platform of Ningbo, adult patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes from January 1, 2015 to December 31, 2022 were included in this study and divided randomly the train and test sets according to the ratio of 7∶3. LASSO regression model and bidirectional stepwise regression model were used to identify risk factors, and model comparisons were conducted with net reclassification index, integrated discrimination improvement and concordance index. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression models were constructed, and a nomogram plot was drawn. Area under the curve (AUC) was calculated as a discriminant evaluation indicator for model validation test its calibration ability, and calibration curves were drawn to test its calibration ability. Results: No significant difference existed between LASSO regression model and bidirectional stepwise regression model, but the better bidirectional stepwise regression model was selected as the final model. The risk factors included age of onset, gender, hemoglobin A1c, estimated glomerular filtration rate, taking angiotensin receptor blocker and smoking history. AUC values (95%CI) of risk outcome prediction at year 5 and 7 were 0.700 (0.650-0.749) and 0.715(0.668-0.762) for the train set and 0.738 (0.667-0.801) and 0.723 (0.663-0.783) for the test set, respectively. The calibration curves were close to the ideal curve, and the model discrimination and calibration powers were both good. Conclusions: This study established a convenient prediction model for diabetic foot and classified the risk levels. The model has strong interpretability, good discrimination power, and satisfactory calibration and can be used to predict the incidence of diabetes foot in adult patients with type 2 diabetes to provide a basis for self-assessment and clinical prediction of diabetic foot disease risk.