Progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy and spectrum of predisposing conditions: a 20-year retrospective cohort study in a tertiary center in São Paulo, Brazil.

Abstract

Epidemiological studies on predisposing conditions and outcomes of progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML) cases have been carried out exclusively in high-income countries. We aim to report and compare the main characteristics and outcomes of patients with PML and several underlying diseases in a referral center in a middle-income country. We performed a retrospective cohort study of PML cases admitted to a tertiary care hospital in São Paulo, Brazil during 2000-2022. Demographic and PML-specific variables were recorded. One-year case-fatality rate and factors associated with death were identified using a multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model. Ninety-nine patients with PML were included. HIV infection (84.8%) and malignancy (14.1%) were the most prevalent underlying conditions. Other predisposing diseases were autoimmune/inflammatory diseases (5.1%) and solid organ transplantation (1.0%). One (1.0%) patient had liver cirrhosis and another (1.0%) patient was previously healthy. Focal motor deficits (64.2%) and gait instability (55.1%) were the most common signs. The one-year case-fatality rate was 52.5% (95% CI 42.2-62.7). The one-year case-fatality rate (95% CI) in patients with or without malignancy (85.7%, 95% CI 57.2-98.2% and 47.1%, 95% CI 36.1-58.2%, respectively) were statistically different (P = 0.009). Crude and adjusted Cox regression models identified malignancy as independently associated with death (adjusted HR = 3.92, 95% CI 1.76-8.73, P = 0.001). HIV/AIDS was the predisposing condition in 84.8% of PML cases. The one-year case-fatality rate was 52.5% and having a malignancy was independently associated with death. This study reports emerging data on the epidemiology and outcome of PML in a middle-income country.