Multivariable Competing Risk Regression Models Research Articles

The effect of time from surgery to commencing adjuvant radiotherapy for patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma.

Studies reported inferior outcomes when radiotherapy starts >6-8weeks post-surgery for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) but are limited due to time variable dichotomization. We assessed the relationship between survival and the time between surgery and radiotherapy as a continuous variable, hypothesising there would be no change in patients' survival at 6-8weeks post-surgery. Inclusion criteria: patients with HNSCC who underwent surgery and adjuvant (chemo)radiotherapy, Jan 2014-Dec 2020. A sub-cohort included patients with oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma (OCSCC) treated at the same institution, Jan 2016-Dec 2020. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS); a multivariable Cox model was fitted. For the OCSCC sub-cohort, the endpoint of interest was progression-free survival (PFS); a multivariable competing risk regression model was fitted. 386 patients with HNSCC were included (main cohort). The median time between surgery and radiotherapy was 44days (IQR: 14days). Plotting time intervals vs log(hazard) did not demonstrate a threshold time where risk of death increases. The time interval between surgery and radiotherapy was not associated with OS (HR 1.00; 95% CI 0.99-1.02; p=0.4). In the sub-cohort of 208 patients with OCSCC, the time interval between surgery and radiotherapy was not associated with increased risk of cancer vs competing events (HR 1.01; 95% CI 0.99-1.03; p=0.5). Increasing time interval between surgery and radiotherapy was not associated with inferior survival outcomes. We suggest patients are considered for radiotherapy >6-8weeks post-surgery and that no threshold is considered for patient selection.

Incidence of long-term conditions in the Latin American community of London: A validation and retrospective cohort study of 890,922 primary care records, 2005-2022.

Minoritised populations in the United Kingdom frequently identify in multiple ethnic groupings and therefore little is known of their health needs. There were 136,062 Latin American people recorded in the 2021 UK Census across six different ethnic groups. Characterise the incidence of long-term conditions (LTCs) and multiple LTCs (mLTCs) amongst the Latin American community of London. Compare the incidence of LTCs in the Latin American population to other ethnic groups. Retrospective cohort study using pseudonymised primary care data from 890,922 individuals in an urban, superdiverse area of London from 2005-2022. Latin American individuals were identified using country of birth, language and ethnicity codes, and validated against Census findings. Multivariable competing risks regression models estimated the effect of being Latin American, compared to the White British ethnic group, on incidence of 32 LTCs and risk factors relevant to urban populations. 28,617 Latin American people were identified in this cohort, 3.2% of total. In multivariable analysis, compared to the White British ethnic group, being Latin American was associated with twice the rate of HIV/AIDS (hazard ratio (HR) 2.00; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.65-2.43), 60% increased rate of diabetes (HR 1.61; 95%CI 1.47-1.77) and almost twice the rate of systemic lupus erythematosus and rheumatoid arthritis (HRs 2.28; 95% CI 1.18-4.38 and 1.69; 95% CI 1.32-2.17 respectively). Using commonly-recorded primary care codes accurately and reliably identifies markedly higher risks of HIV/AIDS, diabetes and joint disease among London's Latin American population. These data can be used to target inclusive and equitable health interventions.

Mortality rates in radical cystectomy patients with bladder cancer after radiation therapy for prostate cancer.

To conduct a population-based study examining cancer-specific mortality (CSM) and other-cause mortality (OCM) differences in patients with radiation-induced secondary bladder cancer (RT-BCa) vs those with primary bladder cancer (pBCa) undergoing radical cystectomy (RC). Within the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (2004-2020), we identified patients with T2-4N0-3M0 bladder cancer treated with RC, who had previously been treated with external beam radiation therapy (EBRT) or brachytherapy for prostate cancer, as well as patients with T2-4N0-3M0 pBCa treated with RC. Cumulative incidence plots and multivariable competing risks regression (CRR) models were used to assess CSM after additional adjustment for OCM. The same methodology was then repeated based on organ-confined (OC: T2N0M0) and non-organ-confined (NOC: T3-4 and/or N1-3) disease. Of 9957 RC patients, RT-BCa was identified in 347 (3%) compared with 9610 (97%) who had pBCa. In multivariable CRR models, no CSM differences were recorded in the overall comparison (P = 0.8), nor in sub-groups based on OC and NOC disease (P = 0.8 and 0.7, respectively). Conversely, multivariable CRR models identified RT-BCa as an independent predictor of 1.3-fold higher OCM in the overall cohort and of 1.5-fold higher OCM in those with NOC disease. In a sensitivity analysis of patients with NOC disease, EBRT was associated with higher OCM rates (hazard ratio 1.5). By contrast, OCM rates were not different in those with OC disease (P = 0.8). Our study showed that RC for RT-BCa was associated with similar CSM rates as RC for pBCa, regardless of disease stage. However, patients who had undergone EBRT exhibited significantly higher OCM in the NOC sub-group.

Suicide in people prescribed opioid-agonist therapy in Scotland, United Kingdom, 2011-2020: A national retrospective cohort study.

Opioid dependence is associated with an increased risk of suicide. Drug-related mortality among people with opioid dependence in Scotland has more than tripled since 2010; less is known about changes in suicide risk. We aimed to determine if opioid agonist therapy (OAT) in Scotland is protective against suicide and to measure trends in suicide rates in those with opioid dependence over time. Retrospective cohort study. Scotland, UK. 46 453 individuals in Scotland who received at least one prescription for OAT between 2011 and 2020 with over 304 000 person-years (pys) of follow-up. We calculated standardised mortality ratios (SMR) using the age- and sex-specific suicide rates in Scotland for years 2011-2020. We fitted multivariable competing-risk regression models to estimate suicide rates by OAT exposure and to estimate trends over time, adjusting for potential confounders. There were 575 deaths classed as suicide among the cohort and the overall suicide rate was 1.89 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.74-2.05) per 1000 pys. Age and sex SMR for suicide was 7.05 times (95% CI = 6.50-7.65) higher than in the general population. After adjustment, OAT was shown to be highly protective against suicide, with rates more than three times greater (adjusted hazard ratio: 3.07; 95% CI = 2.60-3.62) off OAT compared with on OAT. Suicide rates decreased over time, falling from 2.57 (95% CI = 2.19-3.02) per 1000 pys in 2011-12 to 1.48 (95% CI = 1.21-1.82) in 2019-20. People with opioid dependence in Scotland appear to have a greater risk of suicide than the general population. Treatment is protective, with rates of suicide lower among those on opioid agonist therapy. Suicide rates have decreased over time, during a period in which drug-related death rates in Scotland have risen to globally high levels.

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy before radical cystectomy in patients with organ-confined and non-organ-confined urothelial carcinoma

IntroductionNeoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) before radical cystectomy (RC) is guideline-recommended in patients with cT2-T4N0M0 urothelial carcinoma of urinary bladder (UCUB). However, no population-based study validated the survival benefit of NAC recorded in clinical trials in a stage-specific fashion. We addressed this knowledge gap. MethodsWithin the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (2007–2020), we identified patients with cT2-T4N0M0 UCUB treated with NAC before RC versus RC alone. Cumulative incidence plots and multivariable competing risks regression (CRR) models were fitted. Survival analyses were performed according to organ confined (OC: cT2N0M0) versus nonorgan confined stages (NOC: cT3-T4N0M0). ResultsOf 3,743 assessable patients, 1,020 (27%) underwent NAC versus 2,723 (73%) RC alone. NAC rates increased over time in OC stage (EAPC = 11.9%, P < 0.001) and NOC stage (EAPC = 8.6%, P < 0.001). In OC stage, cumulative incidence plots derived 5-year CSM was 15.6% in NAC and 19.9% in RC alone patients (P = 0.008). In multivariable CRR models, NAC independently predicted lower CSM (hazard ratio (HR): 0.74, P = 0.01). Similarly, in NOC stage, cumulative incidence plots derived 5-year CSM was 36.1% in NAC and 46.0% in RC alone patients (P = 0.01). In multivariable CRR models, NAC independently predicted lower CSM (HR: 0.66, P < 0.001). ConclusionNAC is associated with improved CSM compared to RC alone, both in OC and NOC stages. Specifically, the magnitude of the protective NAC effect was greater in NOC than OC patients. Thus, NAC should always be administered in all eligible patients before RC.

Stereotactic radiosurgery for prostate cancer spine metastases: local control and fracture risk using a simultaneous integrated boost approach.

Variation exists in approaches to delivery of spine stereotactic radiosurgery (SSRS). Here, the authors describe outcomes following single-fraction SSRS performed using a simultaneous integrated boost for the treatment of prostate cancer spine metastases. Health records of patients with prostate cancer spine metastases treated with single-fraction SSRS at the authors' institution were reviewed. Treatment was uniform, with 16 Gy to the clinical tumor volume and 18 Gy to the gross tumor volume. The primary endpoint was local recurrence, with secondary endpoints including vertebral fracture and overall survival. Univariate and multivariate competing risk regression models made using the Fine and Gray method were used to identify factors predictive of local recurrence, considering death to be a competing event for local recurrence. A total of 87 targets involving 108 vertebrae in 68 patients were included, with a median follow-up of 22.5 months per treated target. The 1-, 2-, and 4-year cumulative incidence rates of local failure for all targets were 4.6%, 8.4%, and 19%, respectively. The presence of epidural disease (subdistribution hazard ratio [sHR] 5.43, p = 0.04) and SSRS as reirradiation (sHR 16.5, p = 0.02) emerged as significant predictors of local failure in a multivariate model. Hormone sensitivity did not predict local control. Vertebral fracture incidence rates leading to symptoms or requiring intervention at 1, 2, and 4 years were 1.1%, 3.7%, and 8.4%, respectively. In an exploratory analysis of patterns of failure, 3 (25%) failures occurred in the epidural space and only 1 (8%) occurred clearly in the clinical tumor volume. There were several lesions for which the precise location of failure with regard to target volumes was unclear. High rates of local control were observed, particularly for radiotherapy-naïve lesions without epidural disease. Hormone sensitivity was not predictive of local control in this cohort and fracture risk was low. Further research is needed to better predict which patients are at high risk of recurrence and who might benefit from treatment escalation.

Effect of race/ethnicity on survival in surgically treated intermediate/high risk non-metastatic clear cell renal carcinoma.

It is unknown to what extent 10-year overall survival of radical nephrectomy treated intermediate/high-risk non-metastatic clear cell renal carcinoma patients differs from age- and sex-matched population-based controls, especially when race/ethnicity is considered (Caucasian vs. African American vs. Hispanic vs. Asian/Pacific Islander). We relied on the SEER database (2004-2018) to identify newly diagnosed radical nephrectomy treated intermediate/high risk non-metastatic clear cell renal carcinoma patients. For each case, we simulated an age- and sex-matched control relying on Social Security Administration Life Tables with 10 years of follow-up. We compared overall survival between renal carcinoma cases and population-based controls. Multivariable competing risks regression models tested for predictors of cancer-specific mortality versus other-cause mortality. Of 6877 radical nephrectomy treated intermediate/high risk non-metastatic clear cell renal carcinoma patients, 5050 (73%) were Caucasian versus 433 (6%) African American versus 1002 (15%) Hispanic versus 392 (6%) Asian/Pacific Islanders. At 10 years, overall survival difference between radical nephrectomy treated intermediate/high risk non-metastatic clear cell renal carcinoma patients versus population-based controls was greatest in African Americans (51% vs. 81%, Δ = 30%), followed by Hispanics (54% vs. 80%, Δ = 26%), Asian/Pacific Islanders (56% vs. 80%, Δ = 24%) and Caucasians (52% vs. 74%, Δ = 22%). In competing risks regression, only African Americans exhibited significantly higher other cause mortality (hazard ratio = 1.3; 95% confidence interval = 1.1 - 1.6; p = 0.01) than others. Relative to Life Tables' derived sex- and age-matched controls, radical nephrectomy treated intermediate/high-risk non-metastatic clear cell renal carcinoma patients exhibit worse overall survival, with worst overall survival recorded in African Americans of all race/ethnicity groups.

Second Primary Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma in Adult Cancer Survivors: A SEER Database Analysis.

Adult cancer survivors are at a heightened risk for secondary primary differentiated thyroid carcinoma (2-DTC). The characteristics and outcomes of 2-DTC remain poorly understood. We aim to explore the characteristics and outcomes of 2-DTC. We retrospectively analyzed data from the SEER database (2000-2017). 2-DTC was divided into 25 subgroups based on the prior primary malignancies (PPMs). Baseline characteristics were compared using the Chi-square test. Multivariable logistic analysis was used to identified if PPMs associated with aggressive DTC characteristics. DTC-specific and cancer-specific mortality were analyzed using univariable and multivariable competing risk regression model. There were 138,555 1-DTC and 9,253 2-DTC patients were identified. 2-DTC patients were predominantly older, male, and white compared to first primary DTC (1-DTC) (all P < 0.05). In multivariable logistic regression analysis, only four types of PPMs were associated with higher rates of DTC aggressive characteristics, while 19 types exhibited lower rates (all P < 0.05). In multivariable competing risk analysis, 2-DTC showed no mortality risk in stages I (SHR: 1.16, 95% CI: 0.65-2.07) and II (SHR: 0.67, 95% CI: 0.45-1.01), but a protective role in stages III (SHR: 0.47, 95% CI: 0.27-0.83) and IV (SHR: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.52-0.99). Most PPMs that developed into 2-DTC had a lower risk of DTC-specific death than 1-DTC, but many PPMs had a higher risk of cancer-specific death. Given the characteristics and outcomes of 2-DTC, aggressive treatment for 2-DTC, particularly for PPM with a high mortality risk, may not be advisable.

Radiotherapy Versus Partial Penectomy for T1 Squamous Cell Carcinoma of the Penis.

Radiotherapy (RT) represents an alternative treatment option for patients with T1 squamous cell carcinoma of the penis (SCCP), with proven feasibility and tolerability. However, it has never been directly compared with partial penectomy (PP) using cancer-specific mortality (CSM) as an end point. In the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (2000-2020), T1N0M0 SCCP patients treated with RT or PP were identified. This study relied on 1:4 propensity score-matching (PSM) for age at diagnosis, tumor stage, and tumor grade. Subsequently, cumulative incidence plots as well as multivariable competing risks regression (CRR) models addressed CSM. Additionally, the study accounted for the confounding effect of other-cause mortality (OCM). Of 895 patients with T1N0M0 SCCP, 55 (6.1%) underwent RT and 840 (93.9%) underwent PP. The RT and PP patients had a similar age distribution (median age, 70 vs 70 years) and more frequently harbored grade I or II tumors (67.3% vs 75.8%) as well as T1a-stage disease (67.3% vs 74.3%). After 1:4 PSM, 55 (100%) of the 55 RT patients versus 220 (26.2%) of the 840 PP patients were included in the study. The 10-year CSM derived from the cumulative incidence plots was 25.4% for RT and 14.4% for PP. In the multivariable CRR models, RT independently predicted a higher CSM than PP (hazard ratio, 1.99; 95% confidence interval, 1.05-3.80; p = 0.04). For the T1N0M0 SCCP patients treated in the community, RT was associated with nearly a twofold higher CSM than PP. Ideally, a validation study based on tertiary care institution data should be conducted to test whether this CSM disadvantage is operational only in the community or not.

Incidence, Characteristics and Survival Rates of Bladder Cancer after Rectosigmoid Cancer Radiation.

Historical external beam radiation therapy (EBRT) for rectosigmoid cancer (RCa) predisposed patients to an increased risk of secondary bladder cancer (BCa). However, no contemporary radiotherapy studies are available. We addressed this knowledge gap. Within the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (2000-2020), we identified non-metastatic RCa patients who either underwent radiotherapy (EBRT+) or did not (EBRT-). Cumulative incidence plots and multivariable competing risk regression models (CRR) were fitted to address rates of BCa after RCa. In the subgroup of BCa patients, the same methodology addressed BCa-specific mortality (BCSM) according to EBRT exposure status. Of the 188,658 non-metastatic RCa patients, 54,562 (29%) were EBRT+ vs. 134,096 (73%) who were EBRT-. In the cumulative incidence plots, the ten-year BCa rates were 0.7% in EBRT+ vs. 0.7% in EBRT- patients (p = 0.8). In the CRR, EBRT+ status was unrelated to BCa rates (multivariable HR: 1.1, p = 0.8). In the subgroup of 1416 patients with BCa after RCa, 443 (31%) were EBRT+ vs. 973 (69%) who were EBRT-. In the cumulative incidence plots, the ten-year BCSM rates were 10.6% in EBRT+ vs. 12.1% in EBRT- patients (p = 0.7). In the CRR, EBRT+ status was unrelated to subsequent BCSM rates (multivariable HR: 0.9, p = 0.9). Although historical EBRT for RCa predisposed patients to higher BCa rates, contemporary EBRT for RCa is not associated with increased subsequent BCa risk. Moreover, in patients with BCa after RCa, exposure to EBRT does not affect BCSM.

Association of Pringle maneuver with postoperative recurrence and survival following hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma: a multicenter propensity score and competing-risks regression analysis.

The application of Pringle maneuver (PM) during hepatectomy reduces intraoperative blood loss and the need for perioperative transfusion, but its effect on long-term recurrence and survival for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains controversial. We sought to determine the association between the application of PM and post-hepatectomy oncologic outcomes for patients with HCC. Patients who underwent curative hepatectomy for HCC at 9 Chinese hospitals from January 2010 to December 2018 were identified. Using two propensity score methods [propensity score matching (PSM) and inverse probability of treatment weight (IPTW)], cumulative recurrence rate and cancer-specific mortality (CSM) were compared between the patients in the PM and non-PM groups. Multivariate competing-risks regression models were performed to adjust for the effect of non-cancer-specific mortality and other prognostic risk factors. Of the 2,798 included patients, 2,404 and 394 did and did not adopt PM (the PM and non-PM groups), respectively. The rates of intraoperative blood transfusion, postoperative 30-day mortality and morbidity were comparable between the two groups (all P>0.05). In the PSM cohort by the 1:3 ratio, compared to 382 patients in the non-PM group, 1,146 patients in the PM group also had the higher cumulative 5-year recurrence rate and CSM (63.9% and 39.1% vs. 55.3% and 31.6%, both P<0.05). Similar results were also yielded in the entire cohort and the IPTW cohort. Multivariate competing-risks regression analyses demonstrated that no application of the PM was independently associated with lower recurrence rate and CSM based on various analytical cohorts [hazard ratio (HR), 0.82 and 0.77 in the adjusted entire cohort, HR 0.80 and 0.73 in the PSM cohort, and HR 0.80 and 0.76 in the IPTW cohort, respectively]. The findings suggested that no application of PM during hepatectomy for patients with HCC reduced the risk of postoperative recurrence and cancer-specific death by approximately 20-25%.

Neoadjuvant Versus Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Non-Metastatic Locally-Advanced Stage Radical Cystectomy Candidates

IntroductionAdministration of chemotherapy before radical cystectomy (RC) in neoadjuvant setting (NAC) or after RC in adjuvant setting (ADJ) are both associated with a survival benefit relative to RC alone. However, no study directly compared the magnitude of such benefit associated with NAC versus ADJ in locally-advanced UCUB patients (T3-T4N0M0). We addressed this knowledge gap. MethodsWithin the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (2007–2020), we identified T3-T4N0M0 UCUB patients who underwent NAC+RC or RC+ADJ. Cumulative incidence plots and multivariable competing risks regression (CRR) models were fitted. The same methodology was then re-applied in T3 and then T4 patient subgroups. ResultsOf 875 assessable patients, 603 harbored T3 stage (69.0%) and 272 harbored T4 stage (31.0%). Of all 875, 563 (64.0%) underwent RC+ADJ versus 312 (36.0%) NAC+RC. NAC+RC rates increased over time (EAPC=+6.1%, P = .001). Cumulative incidence plots derived five-year CSM rates were 40.3% in NAC+RC versus 36.1% in RC+ADJ patients (P = .2). In multivariable CRR models that also adjusted for OCM, no statistically significant difference in CSM was recorded when NAC+RC was compared to RC+ADJ (HR:0.85, P = .1). Virtually the same observations were made in subgroup analyses where CSM associated with NAC+RC was not different from that recorded in RC+ADJ (HR: 0.89 and P = .4 in T3 stage and HR:0.8 and P = .2 in T4 stage). ConclusionIn locally-advanced UCUB, NAC rates have sharply increased over time. However, the approach based on neoadjuvant chemotherapy prior to RC have not resulted in a statistically significant CSM benefit relative to RC+ADJ.

Laparoscopic Spleen-Preserving Hilar Lymphadenectomy for Advanced Proximal Gastric Cancer Without Greater Curvature Invasion

Splenic hilar lymphadenectomy has been recommended for locally advanced proximal gastric cancer (APGC) involving the greater curvature. However, it is unclear whether laparoscopic spleen-preserving splenic hilar lymphadenectomy (LSPSHL) is associated with a long-term survival benefit for APGC without greater curvature invasion. To present the 5-year follow-up data from a randomized clinical trial that compared laparoscopic total gastrectomy (D2 group) with D2 plus LSPSHL (D2 + No. 10 group) among patients with resectable APGC. This is a post hoc secondary analysis of a randomized clinical trial that enrolled 536 patients with potentially resectable APGC (cT2-4a, N0 or N+, and M0) without greater curvature invasion from January 5, 2015, to October 10, 2018. All patients were tracked for at least 5 years. The final follow-up was on October 30, 2023. Patients were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to the D2 + No. 10 or D2 groups. The 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) rates were measured. Recurrence patterns and causes of death were compared. A total of 526 patients (392 men [74.5%]; mean [SD] age, 60.6 [9.6] years) were included in the modified intent-to-treat analysis, with 263 patients in each group. The 5-year DFS rate was 63.9% (95% CI, 58.1%-69.7%) for the D2 + No. 10 group and 55.1% (95% CI, 49.1%-61.1%) for the D2 group (log-rank P = .04). A statistically significant difference was observed in the 5-year OS between the D2 + No. 10 group and the D2 group (66.2% [95% CI, 60.4%-71.9%] vs 57.4% [95% CI, 51.4%-63.4%]; log-rank P = .03). The No. 10 lymph node exhibited a therapeutic value index (TVI) of 6.5, surpassing that of Nos. 8a (TVI, 3.0), 11 (TVI, 5.8), and 12a (TVI, 0.8). A total of 86 patients in the D2 + No. 10 group (cumulative incidence, 32.7%) and 111 patients in the D2 group (cumulative incidence, 42.2%) experienced recurrence (hazard ratio, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.54-0.95; P = .02). The multivariable competing risk regression model demonstrated that D2 + No. 10 remained an independent protective factor for a lower 5-year cumulative recurrence rate after surgery (hazard ratio, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.56-1.00; P = .05). There was a significant difference in the 5-year cumulative recurrence rate at the No. 10 lymph node area between the 2 groups (D2 + No. 10 group vs D2 group: 0% vs 2.3% [n = 6]; P = .01). This post hoc secondary analysis of a randomized clinical trial found that laparoscopic total gastrectomy with LSPSHL can improve the prognosis and reduce recurrence for APGC without greater curvature invasion. Future multicenter studies are warranted to validate these findings. ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02333721.

Cancer-specific mortality in non-metastatic T1a renal cell carcinoma treated with radiotherapy versus partial nephrectomy.

Radiotherapy (RT) represents a treatment option for small renal masses with proven feasibility and tolerability. However, it has never been directly compared to partial nephrectomy (PN) with cancer-specific mortality (CSM) as an endpoint. Within the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (2004-2020), we identified T1aN0M0 renal cell carcinoma (RCC) patients treated with RT or PN. We relied on 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) for age, tumor size and histology. Subsequently, cumulative incidence plots and multivariable competing risks regression (CRR) models were fitted. The same methodology was then re-applied to a subset of patients with tumor size 21-40mm. Of 40,355 patients with T1aN0M0 RCC, 40,262 underwent PN (99.8%) vs 93 underwent RT (0.2%). RT patients were older (median age 72 vs 60years, p < 0.001) and harbored larger tumor size (median size 28 vs 25mm, p < 0.001) and a higher proportion of non-clear cell RCC (49% vs 22%, p < 0.001). After 1:1 PSM (92 RT versus 92 PN patients), cumulative incidence plots' derived CSM was 21.3 vs 4%, respectively. In multivariable CRR models, RT independently predicted higher CSM (hazard ratio (HR) 4.3, p < 0.001). In the subgroup with tumor size 21-40mm, after 1:1 PSM (72 RT versus 72 PN patients), cumulative incidence plots derived CSM was 21.3% vs 4%, respectively. In multivariable CRR models, RT also independently predicted higher CSM (HR 4.7, p = 0.001). In T1aN0M0 RCC patients, relative to PN, RT is associated with significantly higher absolute and relative CSM, even in patients with tumor size 21-40mm.

Other-cause mortality in incidental prostate cancer.

In incidental prostate cancer (IPCa), elevated other-cause mortality (OCM) may obviate the need for active treatment. We tested OCM rates in IPCa according to treatment type and cancer grade and we hypothesized that OCM is significantly higher in not-actively-treated patients. Within the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (2004-2015), IPCa patients were identified. Smoothed cumulative incidence plots as well as multivariable competing risks regression models were fitted to address OCM after adjustment for cancer-specific mortality (CSM). Of 5121 IPCa patients, 3655 (71%) were not-actively-treated while 1466 (29%) were actively-treated. Incidental PCa not-actively-treated patients were older and exhibited higher proportion of Gleason sum (GS) 6 and clinical T1a stage. In smoothed cumulative incidence plots, 5-year OCM was 20% for not-actively-treated versus 8% for actively-treated patients. Conversely, 5-year CSM was 5% for not-actively-treated versus 4% for actively-treated patients. No active treatment was associated with 1.4-fold higher OCM, even after adjustment for age, cancer characteristics, and CSM. According to GS, OCM reached 16%, 27%, and 35% in GS 6, 7, and 8-10 not-actively-treated IPCa patients, respectively and exceeded CSM recorded for the same three groups (2%, 6%, and 28%, respectively). Our results quantified OCM rates, confirming that in not-actively-treated IPCa patients OCM is indeed significantly higher than in their actively-treated counterparts (HR: 1.4). These observations validate the use of no active treatment in IPCa patients, in whom OCM greatly surpasses CSM (20% vs. 5%).

Effect of marital status on the survival outcomes of cervical cancer: a retrospective cohort study based on SEER database

BackgroundCervical cancer is the fourth most common malignant tumor troubling women worldwide. Whether marital status affects the prognosis of cervical cancer is still unclear. Here, we investigate the prognostic value of marital status in patients with cervical cancer based on the seer database.Material/MethodsThe demographic and clinical data of patients with cervical cancer were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 1975 to 2017. Patients were divided into two groups (married and unmarried) according to marital status, and then the clinical characteristics of each group were compared using the chi-square test. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to reduce differences in baseline characteristics. The overall survival (OS) and cervical cancer-specific survival (CCSS) were assessed by the Kaplan-Meier method, univariate and multivariate Cox regression models, and stratified analysis. Moreover, univariate and multivariate competing risk regression models were performed to calculate hazard ratios (HR) of death risk.ResultsA total of 21,148 patients were included in this study, including 10,603 married patients and 10,545 unmarried patients. Married patients had better OS(P < 0.05) and CCSS (P < 0.05) compared to unmarried patients, and marital status was an independent prognostic factor for both OS (HR: 0.830, 95% CI: 0.798–0.862) and CCSS (HR: 0.892, 95% CI: 0.850–0.937). Moreover, after eliminating the competing risk, married patients (CCSD: HR:0.723, 95% CI: 0.683–0.765, P < 0.001) had a significantly decreased risk of death compared to unmarried patients. In stratified analysis, the married patients showed better OS and CCSS than the unmarried patients diagnosed in 1975–2000 and 2001–2017.ConclusionsBeing married was associated with a favorable prognosis of cervical cancer, and marital status was an independent prognostic factor for cervical cancer.

The Association between Urinary Diversion Type and Other-Cause Mortality in Radical Cystectomy Patients.

It is unknown whether more complex UD, such as orthotopic neobladder and abdominal pouch, may be associated with higher OCM rates than ileal conduit. We addressed this knowledge gap within the SEER database 2004-2020. All T1-T4aN0M0 radical cystectomy (RC) patients were identified. After 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM), cumulative incidence plots, univariable and multivariable competing-risks regression (CRR) models were used to test differences in OCM rates according to UD type (orthotopic neobladder vs. abdominal pouch vs. ileal conduit). Of all 3008 RC patients, 2380 (79%) underwent ileal conduit vs. 628 (21%) who underwent continent UD (268 orthotopic neobladder and 360 abdominal pouch). After PSM relative to ileal conduit, neither continent UD (13 vs. 15%; p = 0.1) nor orthotopic neobladder (13 vs. 16%; p = 0.4) nor abdominal pouch (13 vs. 15%; p = 0.2) were associated with higher 10-year OCM rates. After PSM and after adjustment for cancer-specific mortality (CSM), as well as after multivariable adjustments relative to ileal conduit, neither continent UD (Hazard Ratio [HR]:0.73; p = 0.1), nor orthotopic neobladder (HR:0.84; p = 0.5) nor abdominal pouch (HR:0.77; p = 0.2) were associated with higher OCM. It appears that more complex UD types, such as orthotopic neobladder and abdominal pouch are not associated with higher OCM relative to ileal conduit.

Comparison of survival between diffuse type and intestinal type early-onset gastric cancer patients: A large population-based study.

Currently, little knowledge about the survival of early-onset gastric cancer and little evidence about the difference of survival based on Lauren type has been reported. In order to investigate the difference, we conducted a retrospective study using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and compared it comprehensively. SEER database was used to extracted patients and multiple imputation was utilized to fill blank data. Multivariate cox regression analysis and competing risk model were used to identify the risk factors of survival. K-M survival curve and propensity score matching (PSM) was applied to compare the difference of survival of patients based on Lauren type. Totally, we extracted 3932 EOGC patients including 2086 diffused type and 1846 intestinal type. K-M survival curve showed patients aged 20 to 29 had worse survival compared to patients aged at 30 to 45 years. The survival of EOGC patients would be greatly improved after surgery. Multivariate cox regression analysis revealed diffused type was an independent risk factor, as well as T stage, lymph node metastasis, tumor size (>5 cm) and metastasis, while surgery treatment and examined lymph nodes were protective factors. Multivariate competing risk regression model also showed diffused type was risk factor. We performed PSM by matching 1433 diffused EOGC with 1433 intestinal EOGC patients, finding patients with diffused type had a poorer survival. our results revealed that compared to diffused type EOGC, intestinal type was characterized by a better survival. EOGC should be attached more attention by clinicians.

Incidence and associated factors of developing second pelvic malignant neoplasms among prostate cancer patients treated with radiotherapy.

To identify risk factors of secondary pelvic malignant neoplasms (SPMNs) among prostate cancer (PCa) patients treated with radiotherapy. Simultaneously, population-based data were used to validate the high risk of SPMNs in PCa patients with radiotherapy. We identified male patients diagnosed with PCa (localized and regional) as the first primary cancer and pelvic malignant neoplasm (including bladder and rectal cancer) as secondary cancer from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (1975-2020). An external validation cohort was obtained from the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University. The Fine-Gray competing risk regression and Poisson regression were utilized to evaluate the risk of SPMNs development. Poisson regression was also performed to calculate the standardized incidence ratio (SIR). The Kaplan-Meier method was used to assess the overall survival (OS) of patients with SPMNs. 89397 PCa patients treated with radiotherapy were enrolled. We identified associated factors of SPMNs, including age at diagnosis, race, year of diagnosis, marital status, radiation strategy and latency. In the multivariable competing risk regression model and Poisson regression model, a significantly higher risk of SPMNs development was observed in patients over 50 years(P<0.05), white patients(P<0.001), unmarried patients and treated with brachytherapy combined with external beam radiotherapy or brachytherapy(P<0.05). Patients treated with radiotherapy had a higher bladder and rectal cancer incidence than the general population. Patients who developed SPMNs showed poorer OS. We identified several risk factors associated with SPMNs and confirmed a relatively higher incidence of bladder and rectal cancer among PCa patients with radiotherapy. These results help tailor treatment and surveillance strategies.

Abstract 17896: Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillator in Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy Recipients With Advanced Chronic Kidney Disease

Introduction: The effectiveness of the implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) in preventing sudden cardiac death (SCD) is well-established in heart failure patients with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). However, the benefit of the ICD in advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients remains elusive, particularly in those who are cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) recipients. Hypothesis: In CRT recipients with CKD, the benefit of the ICD may be attenuated due to the competing risk of mortality before experiencing an arrhythmia. Methods: A total of 1015 patients receiving CRT with defibrillator (CRT-D) for primary prevention of SCD were included from the MADIT-CRT and RAID trials. Patients were categorized into two groups based on kidney disease (KD) stage: Stage 1-3a (S1-S3a) CKD and Stage 3b-5 (S3b-S5) CKD. The primary endpoint was the occurrence of ventricular tachycardia (VT) or ventricular fibrillation (VF). Results: The cumulative incidence of any VT/VF was 23.5% in patients with (S1-S3a)KD and 12.6% in those with (S3b-S5)KD (p&lt;0.001 [Figure left panel]). Death without VT/VF occurred in 6.6% of patients with (S1-S3a)KD and 21.6% of patients with( S3b-S5)KD (p&lt;0.001 [Figure right panel]). A multivariate competing risk regression model revealed that patients with (S3b-S5)KD had a 43% lower risk of experiencing any VT/VF compared to those with (S1-S3a)KD (HR=0.56, 95% CI [0.33-0.94], p=0.03). Over two years of follow-up, patients with (S3b-S5)KD had nearly a five-fold increased risk of death without VT/VF compared to those with (S1-S3a)KD (HR=4.63, 95% CI [2.46-8.72], p for interaction with time=0.012). Conclusions: The benefit of the ICD may be attenuated in CRT recipients with advanced CKD due to a lower incidence of arrhythmias and a higher risk of non-arrhythmic death. Future prospective trials should investigate whether CRT without a defibrillator is more suitable for these patients.