The objective was to evaluate in-line milk progesterone (mP4) data to determine dynamics of pre- and post-insemination mP4 profiles and their associations with parity and outcomes of artificial insemination (AI) in Holstein cows. Milk progesterone (ng/mL) was quantified at pre-determined time points before and after AI through an automated in-line milk analysis system (Herd Navigator™, DeLaval International, Tumba, Sweden). Only AI (∼d0; n = 605) preceded by an mP4-decline (at least two samples of mP4 ≥5 ng/mL followed by at least one sample <5 ng/mL; d–2) were evaluated. Maximum mP4 attained between d–15 and d–2 (PrePeak), d–2, d5, d10, d14, maximum mP4 attained within 21d post-AI (PostPeak), and rate-of-daily-change between mP4 time points (ng/mL/d) were analyzed. Primiparous and multiparous cows were classified by AI outcomes based on post-AI mP4 profiles into three groups: (1) non-pregnant (OPEN; mP4-decline ≤ 30d post-AI), (2) presumed-pregnant (PREG; no mP4-decline until 55d post-AI), and (3) presumed-pregnancy loss (P-LOSS; mP4-decline between 31 and 55d post-AI). For profile comparisons, smoothed mP4 data were analyzed using mixed linear models. Primiparous cows had greater (P < 0.01) mP4 than multiparous cows at d5 (4.6 ± 0.2 vs. 2.8 ± 0.1), 10 (11.1 ± 0.4 vs. 7.6 ± 0.2), 14 (19.7 ± 0.4 vs. 16.1 ± 0.3) and PostPeak (23.5 ± 0.3 vs. 21.7 ± 0.2). The rate-of-daily-change was greater (P < 0.01) in primiparous than in multiparous cows from d–2 to 5 (+0.2 ± 0.03 vs. −0.1 ± 0.02) and from d5 to 10 (+1.2 ± 0.05 vs. +0.9 ± 0.03), but lesser (P < 0.01) from d14 to PostPeak (+0.9 ± 0.09 vs. +1.3 ± 0.06). In primiparous cows, mP4 in PREG was greater at d10 and PostPeak than OPEN (11.1 ± 0.5 and 24.2 ± 0.5 vs. 9.6 ± 0.4 and 22.3 ± 0.4, respectively, P < 0.04), but lesser at d5 than P-LOSS (4.4 ± 0.3 vs. 5.7 ± 0.4, P = 0.04). In multiparous cows, mP4 at d–2 was lesser in PREG than OPEN and P-LOSS (3.2 ± 0.1 vs. 3.4 ± 0.04 and 3.5 ± 0.1, respectively, P ≤ 0.03), but greater at d10, d14 and PostPeak in PREG than in OPEN (8.2 ± 0.4, 16.8 ± 0.5 and 22.7 ± 0.4 vs. 6.9 ± 0.3, 14.8 ± 0.3 and 19.7 ± 0.2, respectively, P < 0.01). Multiparous PREG cows had greater rate-of-daily-change in mP4 than OPEN cows from d5 to 10 and from d10 to 14 (+1.0 ± 0.06 and +2.2 ± 0.11 vs. +0.8 ± 0.04 and +1.9 ± 0.08, respectively, P < 0.03). Overall post-AI mP4 increased faster and were greater in primiparous than in multiparous cows. Based on in-line mP4 profiles, greater mP4 levels near time of AI (d–2 in multiparous and d5 in primiparous cows) and lesser mP4 beyond d10 were negatively associated with a successful pregnancy.
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