Mortality-associated Factors Research Articles

Factores asociados a mortalidad intrahospitalaria en pacientes adultos mayores con asistencia ventilatoria mecánica invasiva en el servicio de urgencias

AimsTo identify factors associated with in-hospital mortality, to estimate the intubation rate and to describe in-hospital mortality in patients over 65 years old with invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) in the emergency department (ED). MethodsRetrospective cohort study of patients over 65 years old, who were intubated in an ED of a high complexity hospital between 2016 and 2018. Demographic data, comorbidities, and severity scores on admission were described. Bivariate and multivariate analyses were performed with logistic regression according to mortality and possible confounders. ResultsA total of 285 patients with a mean age of 80 years required IMV in the emergency department, for a median of 3 days, and with a mean APACHE II score of 20 points of severity. The IMV rate was .48% (95% CI .43-.54), and 55.44% (158) died. Mortality-associated factors after age and sex adjustment were stroke (OR 2.13; 95%CI 1.21-3.76), chronic kidney failure, (OR 4.,38; 95%CI 1.91-10.04), Charlson index (OR 1.19; 95%CI 1.02-1.38), APACHE II score (OR 1.07; 95%CI 1.02-1.12), and SOFA score (OR 1.14; 95%CI 1.03-1.27). DiscussionOur IMV rate was lower than that stated by Johnson et al. in the United States in 2018 (.59%). In-hospital mortality in our study exceeded that predicted by the APACHE II score (40%) and SOFA (33%). However it was consistent with that reported by Lieberman et al. in Israel and Esteban et al. in the United States. ConclusionsAlthough the IMV rate was low in the ED, more than half the patients died during hospitalization. Pre-existing cerebrovascular and renal diseases and high results in the comorbidities index and severity scores on admission were independent factors associated with in-hospital mortality.

Impacts of Demographic and Clinical Characteristics on Disease Severity and Mortality in Patients with Confirmed COVID-19.

BackgroundWe investigated potential predictive factors for mortality and disease severity from demographic and clinical data, comorbidities, and laboratory findings in patients with confirmed COVID-19 who were consecutively admitted to our tertiary hospital.MethodsIn this retrospective, single-center, observational study, we enrolled consecutive 540 adult patients who had COVID-19 confirmed by a molecular method. Patients were categorized into three groups based on disease severity. Patients’ demographic and clinical characteristics, mortality rates, and mortality-associated factors were analyzed.ResultsThe overall mortality rate was 4.3% (23/540). Disease severity was mild in 40.9% (n = 221), severe in 53.7% (n = 290), and critical in 5.4% (n = 29) of the patients. There were significant differences among groups in terms of median white blood cell (WBC), hemoglobin, neutrophil, lymphocyte, and thrombocyte counts, as well as C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), creatinine, albumin, D-dimer, ferritin, troponin, and fibrinogen levels. Furthermore, there were significant differences between surviving and non-surviving patient groups in terms of median WBC, hemoglobin, neutrophil, and lymphocyte counts, as well as CRP, procalcitonin, LDH, creatinine, albumin, D-dimer, and ferritin levels. CRP level (odds ratio [OR]: 1.020, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.009–1.032; p < 0.001), and CURB-65 score (OR: 4.004, 95% CI: 1,288–12,447; p = 0.017) were independently associated with disease severity and mortality.ConclusionOn admission, WBC, neutrophil, lymphocyte, and platelet counts can be used to predict disease severity in patients with COVID-19. CRP, ferritin, LDH, creatinine, troponin, D-dimer, fibrinogen, and albumin levels can also be used to predict disease severity in these patients. Finally, elevated CRP level and high CURB-65 score were predictors of disease severity and mortality.

Mortality of dialysis patients in Qatar: A retrospective epidemiologic study

Background: End-stage kidney disease (ESKD) patients on maintenance renal replacement therapy (RRT) have far lower life spans than those of the general population. No previous studies have been performed to assess the mortality of dialysis patients in the State of Qatar. We designed this study to assess the mortality of dialysis patients in Qatar and the impact of dialysis modality. Methods: All chronic ambulatory dialysis patients (both on hemodialysis (HD) and peritoneal dialysis (PD) between 2014 and 2016) were included in the study, whereas patients undergoing dialysis for less than 3 months were excluded. We reviewed patients’ demographics, comorbidities, and general laboratory investigations through our electronic record system and collected and analyzed them. We identified patients who died during that period and compared them to those who survived. We performed a subanalysis for HD versus PD patients who died. Results: The total number of deceased dialysis patients was 164, with an overall crude mortality rate of 6.4%. They were significantly older than those who survived (p = 0.0001). The mortality rate was significantly higher in female than in male patients (51.2% and 38.9%, respectively) (p = 0.004) but significantly lower in PD than HD patients (1.36%, PD; 5.0%, HD; p = 0.007). It was also significantly higher in natives than in the expats (60.3% and 39.6%, respectively) (p = 0.0008); however, no significant differences were noted between deceased natives and expats in most demographic and laboratory characteristics. The most common cause of patient death was CVD (62 patients, 37.8%), followed by sepsis (44 patients, 26.8%). Diabetes, cerebrovascular accident, and dyslipidemia were more common in HD deceased patients than in PD patients (80.6%, 47%, and 59%, respectively, in HD patients vs 68.5%, 42%, and 31%, respectively, in PD patients). Albumin and potassium levels in deceased PD patients were significantly lower than in HD patients (p = 0.001). Conclusion: Our study found that the high-risk population had a significant mortality, which was higher in HD than PD patients. This is the first study to look at these outcomes in Qatar. We identified multiple mortality associated factors, such as comorbid conditions and old age. We believe that improving treatment and close monitoring for comorbid conditions in the dialysis population might improve survival.

Retrospective clinical evaluation of patients undergoing surgery for acute epidural hematoma

We aimed to evaluate mortality-associated factors among patients with acute epidural hematoma due to head trauma. Demographic characteristics, preoperative Glasgow Coma Scale score, epidural hematoma aetiology and radiological findings, accompanying systemic trauma results, hospitalisation duration, sequelae, and mortality features of patients experiencing epidural hematoma between 2014 and 2018 were evaluated. Overall, 79 patients were examined. The most frequent epidural hematoma aetiology was traffic accidents (51.9%), with temporal region being the most common epidural hematoma location (38 [48.2%] patients). Among all, 12 (15.2%) patients died and 67 (84.8%) were discharged. Of them, 57 (85.1%) patients were discharged without and 10 (14.9%) with neurological sequelae. Age&gt;65 years (p=0.001) and low Glasgow Coma Scale score (p&lt;0.05) were significantly associated with higher mortality. Overall mortality rate was 91.7% (p&lt;0.001) in patients with systemic trauma accompanying epidural hematoma, with thoracic (12%) and orthopaedic (9%) trauma being the most common. Cranial injuries included linear fracture, 78.5%; pneumocephalus, 48.1%; cerebral contusion, 44.3%; traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage, 32.9%; acute subdural hematoma; 26.6%, and collapse fracture, 15%. All cranial injuries except linear fractures were associated with high mortality (p&lt;0.05). Epidural hematoma is associated with high mortality. Aetiology, Glasgow Coma Scale score, cranial pathology, age, and additional trauma are the major predictive mortality-associated factors.

Mortality of dialysis patients in Qatar: A retrospective epidemiologic study.

End-stage kidney disease (ESKD) patients on maintenance renal replacement therapy (RRT) have far lower life spans than those of the general population. No previous studies have been performed to assess the mortality of dialysis patients in the State of Qatar. We designed this study to assessthe mortality of dialysis patientsin Qatarandthe impact of dialysis modality. All chronic ambulatory dialysis patients (both on hemodialysis(HD)and peritonealdialysis (PD)between 2014 and 2016) were included in the study, whereas patients undergoing dialysis for less than 3 months were excluded. We reviewedpatients' demographics, comorbidities, and general laboratory investigations through our electronic record system and collected and analyzed them. We identified patients who died during that period andcompared them to those who survived. We performeda subanalysisforHD versus PDpatients who died. The total number of deceased dialysis patients was 164, with an overall crude mortality rate of 6.4%. They were significantly older than those who survived (p=0.0001). The mortality rate was significantly higher in female than in male patients (51.2% and 38.9%, respectively) (p=0.004) but significantly lower in PD than HD patients (1.36%, PD; 5.0%, HD;p=0.007). It was also significantly higher in natives than in the expats (60.3% and 39.6%, respectively)(p=0.0008); however, no significant differences were noted between deceased natives and expats in most demographic and laboratory characteristics. The most common cause of patient death was CVD (62 patients, 37.8%), followed by sepsis (44 patients, 26.8%). Diabetes, cerebrovascular accident, and dyslipidemia were more common in HD deceased patients than in PD patients (80.6%, 47%, and 59%, respectively, in HD patients vs 68.5%, 42%, and 31%, respectively, in PD patients). Albumin and potassium levels in deceased PD patients were significantly lower than in HD patients(p=0.001). Our study found that the high-risk population had a significant mortality, which was higher in HD than PD patients. This is the first study to look at these outcomes in Qatar. We identified multiple mortality associated factors, such as comorbid conditions and old age. We believe that improving treatment and close monitoring for comorbid conditions in the dialysis population might improve survival.

Variability in Hemoglobin Levels and the Factors Associated with Mortality in Hemodialysis Patients: A 78-Month Follow-Up Study.

Some studies have described that when the hemoglobin levels of chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients change, especially in those taking erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESA), they are associated with unfavorable outcomes such as increased morbidity and mortality, mainly due to cardiovascular events. This prospective cohort study included patients with end-stage renal disease currently undergoing hemodialysis. The initial 6-month clinical evaluation provided data of the variability in hemoglobin, associated blood parameters, and the use of erythropoietin. Subsequently, the patients were followed up for 78 months to evaluate mortality-associated factors. In total, 133 patients completed the 6-month follow-up with a mean age of 47.1 (±13.2) years. The majority were women (51.9%). Six-month hemoglobin levels were as follows: always low (18.0%), intermediate/target (1.5%), always high (0.8%), low-amplitude fluctuation/Hb low (n = 37; 27.8%), low-amplitude fluctuation/Hb high (13.53%), and high-amplitude fluctuation (38.6%), among end-stage renal disease patients. At the end of 78 months, 50 (37.6%) patients died; 70% of deaths were attributed to cardiovascular etiologies. A high variability was observed in hemoglobin levels, which was not associated with mortality. Among all the variables evaluated, age, erythropoietin dose, and transferrin saturation were associated with a higher mortality. Thus, this study suggests that greater attention to erythropoietin doses and transferrin saturation levels may improve the survival of dialysis patients.

Predictors of mortality in rheumatoid arthritis-associated lung disease: A retrospective study on ten years.

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA)-associated lung involvement is a cause of mortality. This study aimed to evaluate mortality rate and mortality-associated factors in RA patients with high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT)-proven lung involvement. Patients followed-up for RA between 2010 and 2018 were evaluated regarding HRCT-proven lung involvement. The present study was designed as a single-centre, retrospective and descriptive study. The HRCT reports of patients were re-evaluated for three major patterns: UIP, nonspecific interstitial pneumonia (NSIP), and isolated airway disease (AD). Mortality rates and its associated factors (demographic characteristics, RA-related factors and lung-involvement-related factors) were determined. The study included 156 patients (females, 68.3%) with radiologically confirmed RA-associated lung disease. The mean age was 55.5 (12.1) years at RA diagnosis and 62.7 (9.7) years at the diagnosis of lung involvement. The patterns of lung involvement on HRCT were UIP in 89 (57.0%) patients, NSIP in 51 (32.7%) patients, and isolated AD in 16 (10.3%) patients. The RA patients were followed-up for a mean of 10.2 (7.4) years and they were followed-up for a mean of 4.5 (3.7) years after interstitial lung disease (ILD) diagnosis. Overall, 40 (25.6%) patients died. The 5-year survival rate was 78%. Multivariate analysis revealed UIP pattern (log-rank test, P<0.01), pleural effusion (log-rank test, P<0.05), and a shorter time interval (<3 years) between the diagnoses of RA and RA-ILD (log-rank test, P<0.01) to be independent predictors of mortality. In addition to the UIP, a known risk factor, pleural effusion and the short time between the diagnoses of RA and ILD were also found to be associated with mortality.

Intentional self-harm associated mortality among U.S. White physicians, nurses, lawyers &amp; judges

The mortality associated factors can be quantified in terms of proportionate mortality ratios (PMR) per National Occupational Mortality Surveillance (NOMS) data. Therefore, we explored NOMS data for the United States (U.S.) occupational workers’ mortality during 1999, 2003-2004, 2007-2014 to compare physicians’ mortality associated factors to the mortality associated factors among nurses vs. the mortality associated factors among lawyers &amp; judges. Due to lack of adequate sample sizes of decedents being concurrently present among physicians, nurses, and lawyers &amp; judges of Black race, we were able to tabulate 25 causes of death with significant PMRs among physicians, nurses, and lawyers &amp; judges only of White race. Therein, intentional self harm associated mortality was found to be common among U.S. White physicians, nurses, lawyers &amp; judges.

Mortality risk of COVID-19 in elderly males with comorbidities: a multi-country study.

The COVID-19 pandemic causes severe morbidity and mortality. This multi-country study aimed to explore risk factors that drive mortality in COVID-19 patients who received neither dexamethasone nor remdesivir. We analyzed a cohort of 568 survivors and 507 non-survivors from China, European regions, and North America. Elderly males ≥70 years accounted for only 25% of survivors, but this rate was significantly higher in non-survivors from China (55%), European regions (63%), and North America (47%). Compared with survivors, non-survivors had more incidences of comorbidities such as cerebrovascular disease and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD, p-values<0.05). Survival analyses revealed age, male gender, shortness of breath, cerebrovascular disease, and COPD as mortality-associated factors. Survival time from symptom onset was significantly shorter in elderly versus young patients (median: 29 versus 62 days), males versus females (median: 46 versus 59 days), and patients with versus without comorbidities (mean: 41 versus 61 days). Mortality risk was higher in elderly males with comorbidities than in young females without comorbidities (p-value<0.01). Elderly male survivors with comorbidities also had longer hospital stays than other survivors (25 versus 18.5 days, p-value<0.01). Overall, the high mortality risk in elderly males with COVID-19-associated comorbidities supports early prevention and critical care for elderly populations.

Assessment of Clinical Characteristics and Mortality-Associated Factors in COVID-19 Critical Cases in Kuwait

Objective: The objective of this study was to assess the clinical characteristics and identify mortality risk factors in intensive care unit (ICU)-admitted COVID-19 patients. Methods: We recruited and analyzed SARS-CoV-2-infected adult patients (age ≥18 years) who were admitted to the ICU at Jaber Al-Ahmad Al Sabah Hospital, Kuwait, between March 1, 2020, and April 30, 2020. The risk factors associated with in-hospital mortality were assessed using multiple regression analysis. Results: We recruited a total of 103 ICU patients in this retrospective cohort. The median age of the patients was 53 years and the fatality rate was 45.6%; majority (85.5%) were males and 37% patients had more than 2 comorbidities. Preexisting hypertension, moderate/severe acute respiratory distress syndrome, lymphocyte count <0.5 × 10⁹, serum albumin <22 g/L, procalcitonin >0.2 ng/mL, D-dimer >1,200 ng/mL, and the need for continuous renal replacement therapy were significantly associated with mortality. Conclusion: This study describes the clinical characteristics and risk factors for mortality among ICU patients with CO­VID-19. Early identification of risk factors for mortality might help improve outcomes.

Mortality and Prognostic Factors of Nontuberculous Mycobacterial Infection in Korea: A Population-based Comparative Study.

Population-based studies on the mortality burden of nontuberculous mycobacteria (NTM) infection are lacking. We compared the long-term mortality of NTM-infected patients with tuberculosis (TB)-patients and the general population, and investigated mortality-associated factors. We analyzed nationwide-data from the Korean National Health Insurance and Korea-Statistical Office between 2002 and 2017. NTM infection was identified using the International Classification of Disease, Tenth Revision code, with one-to-one matching to TB patients and general population controls. A total of 530 401 individuals were analyzed, including 183 267 with NTM infections; 166 666 with TB; and 180 468 controls. The overall 6-, 10-, and 14-year cumulative survival probabilities in the NTM group were 86.3%, 80.8%, and 77.1%, respectively, which were significantly lower than those of the TB or control groups (log-rank P < .0001). In cases of NTM and TB coinfection, the overall 6-, 10-, and 14-year cumulative survival probabilities were 75.1%, 65.4%, and 57.0%, respectively. Multivariable analysis indicated that old age, male gender, province, and various respiratory or nonrespiratory comorbidities were significantly associated with mortality of NTM infection. The use of a macrolide (more than 1 year) negatively correlated with mortality of NTM infection (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.61, 95% confidence interval [CI] .53-.71), regardless of azithromycin (aHR 0.60, 95% CI .43-.85) or clarithromycin use (aHR 0.63, 95% CI .53-.75). NTM-infected patients had poor prognosis when compared to TB patients or the general population, especially for NTM and TB coinfection. NTM mortality was associated with certain demographic characteristics, but long-term use of macrolides may provide survival benefits.

Decompressive Craniectomy for Traumatic Brain Injury: In-hospital Mortality-Associated Factors.

Objective Determine predictors of in-hospital mortality in patients with severe traumatic brain injury (TBI) who underwent decompressive craniectomy. Materials and Methods This retrospective study reviewed consecutive patients who underwent a decompressive craniectomy between March 2017 and March 2020 at our institution, and analyzed clinical characteristics, brain tomographic images, surgical details and morbimortality associated with this procedure. Results Thirty-three (30 unilateral and 3 bifrontal) decompressive craniectomies were performed, of which 27 patients were male (81.8%). The mean age was 52.18 years, the mean Glasgow coma scale (GCS) score at admission was 9, and 24 patients had anisocoria (72.7%). Falls were the principal cause of the trauma (51.5%), the mean anterior–posterior diameter (APD) of the bone flap in unilateral cases was 106.81 mm (standard deviation [SD] 20.42) and 16 patients (53.3%) underwent a right-sided hemicraniectomy. The temporal bone enlargement was done in 20 cases (66.7%), the mean time of surgery was 2 hours and 27 minutes, the skull flap was preserved in the subcutaneous layer in 29 cases (87.8%), the mean of blood loss was 636.36 mL,and in-hospital mortality was 12%. Univariate analysis found differences between the APD diameter (120.3 mm vs. 85.3 mm; p = 0.003) and the presence of midline shift > 5 mm ( p = 0.033). Conclusion The size of the skull flap and the presence of midline shift > 5 mm were predictors of mortality. In the absence of intercranial pressure (ICP) monitoring, clinical and radiological criteria are mandatory to perform a decompressive craniectomy.

Epidemiology and Mortality-Associated Factors of Invasive Fungal Disease in Elderly Patients: A 20-Year Retrospective Study from Southern China.

IntroductionInvasive fungal disease (IFD) is a life-threatening infection. The epidemiology and clinical features of IFD in the elderly population are less discussed. The aim of this study was to explore the epidemiology and mortality-associated factors for IFD in the elderly inpatients.MethodsA retrospective study enrolling 512 elderly inpatients from The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University during the last two decades was performed.ResultsThe annual prevalence of IFD was 0.1–0.5%. Candidiasis was the most common (236/521, 45.3%). An increasing trend was observed in aspergillosis from 11.1% in year 1998 to 28.8% in year 2018. The common infective sites of candidiasis were abdominal cavity (83/236, 35.2%) and bloodstream (55/236, 23.3%). Invasive aspergillosis mainly developed in the sinus (74/149, 49.7%) and lung (65/149, 43.6%). Patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) (59/126, 46.8%), solid organ malignancy (84/114, 73.7%), chronic kidney disease (CKD) (40/62, 64.5%) or receiving operation (109/147, 74.1%) were prone to develop candidiasis, while aspergillosis was usually complicated in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (25/51, 49.0%). The all-cause mortality rate was 25.9% (135/521), and patients aged ≥80 years were the riskiest (20/51, 39.2%). Lymphopenia (59.5% vs 17.3%, P<0.001) was significant in deceased patients with mold infection. Higher proportion of non-survivors with invasive candidiasis received central venous catheterization (CVC) (68.4% vs 40.6%, P<0.001) or indwelling urinary catheter (68.4% vs 46.3%, P=0.001).ConclusionIFD is a life-threatening complication especially in the oldest-old. Surveillance on lymphopenia, prompt treatment and reduce invasive procedures could benefit the prognosis.

In-Hospital Mortality-Associated Factors in Patients With Thrombotic Antiphospholipid Syndrome Requiring ICU Admission

The antiphospholipid syndrome (APS) is a systemic autoimmune disease defined by thrombotic events that can require ICU admission because of organ dysfunction related to macrovascular and/or microvascular thrombosis. Critically ill patients with thrombosis and APS were studied to gain insight into their prognoses and in-hospital mortality-associated factors. This French national, multicenter, retrospective study included all patients with APS and any new thrombotic manifestations admitted to 24 ICUs (January 2000-September 2018). During the study period, 134 patients (male/female ratio, 0.4) with 152 APS episodes were admitted to the ICU (mean age at admission, 46.0 ± 15.1 years). In-hospital mortality of their 134 last episodes was 35 of 134 (26.1%). The Cox multivariable model retained certain factors (hazard ratio [95%CI]: age≥ 40 years, 11.4 [3.1-41.5], P< .0001; mechanical ventilation, 11.0 [3.3-37], P< .0001; renal replacement therapy, 2.9 [1.3-6.3], P= .007; and in-ICU anticoagulation, 0.1 [0.03-0.3], P< .0001) as independently associated with in-hospital mortality. For the subgroup of definite/probable catastrophic APS, the Cox bivariable model (including the Simplified Acute Physiology Score II score) retained double therapy (corticosteroids+ anticoagulant, 0.2 [0.07-0.6]; P= .005) but not triple therapy (corticosteroids+ anticoagulant+ IV immunoglobulins or plasmapheresis: hazard ratio, 0.3 [0.1-1.1]; P= .07) as independently associated with in-hospital mortality. In-ICU anticoagulation was the only APS-specific treatment independently associated with survival for all patients. Double therapy was independently associated with better survival of patients with definite/probable catastrophic APS. In these patients, further studies are needed to determine the role of triple therapy.

A multicenter prospective study of 515 febrile neutropenia episodes in Argentina during a 5-year period.

For better management of patients with febrile neutropenia, our study investigated the epidemiologic, microbiologic, and clinical characteristics of adult inpatients with febrile neutropenia and their mortality-associated factors. To this end, we carried out a prospective, observational, multicenter study in 28 Argentinian hospitals between 2007 and 2012. We included 515 episodes of febrile neutropenia from 346 patients, median age 49 years. Neutropenia followed chemotherapy in 77% of cases, half of the cases due to hematological malignancies. Most episodes were classified as high-risk according to MASCC criteria, and 53.6% of patients were already hospitalized at the onset of febrile neutropenia. Bloodstream infections were detected in 14% episodes; whereas an infectious source of fever was identified in 80% of cases. Mortality rate achieved to 14.95%. The binary regression analysis showed that persistence of fever at day 7, or neutropenia at day 14, dehydration and tachycardia at the onset of febrile neutropenia as well as prior infections were significantly associated with mortality. In addition to expanding our current knowledge on the features of adult patients with febrile neutropenia, present findings provide useful information for better management of them in Argentina, given the appropriate representativeness of centers participating in the study.

Epidemiology of infective endocarditis in French intensive care units over the 1997\u20132014 period\u2014from CUB-R\xe9a Network

BackgroundFew studies focus only on severe forms of infective endocarditis, for which organ failure requires admission to an intensive care unit (ICU). This study aimed to describe demographical, comorbidities, organ failure, and pathogen-related characteristics in a population of critically ill patients admitted to ICU for infective endocarditis and to identify risk factors of in-ICU mortality.MethodsRetrospective observational multicenter (N = 34) study of the CUB-Rea register, based on ICD-10 coding rules, between 1997 and 2014 in France including ICU patients managed for infective endocarditis. In-ICU mortality associated factors were assessed by multivariate logistic regression including an interrupted time analysis of three periods (1997–2003, 2004–2009, and 2010–2014).ResultsFour thousand four hundred five patients admitted in ICU for infective endocarditis were included. We observed an increase in endocarditis prevalence, as well as an increase in organ failure severity over the three periods. In addition, valve surgery was more frequently performed (27%, 31%, and 42%, P < 0.0001) while in-ICU mortality significantly decreased (28%, 29%, and 23%, P < 0.001). Since 2010, a significant increase in the trends’ slope of incidence for Streptococcus sp. and Staphylococcus sp. was observed with no change concerning intracellular bacteria, Enterococcus sp. or Candida sp. slope trends. In multivariate analysis, age, SAPS2, organ failure, stroke, and Staphylococcus sp. were associated with ICU mortality. Conversely, surgery, intracardiac devices, male gender, and Streptococcus sp.-related infective endocarditis were associated with a better outcome.ConclusionsOur study reveals a shifting landscape of infective endocarditis epidemiology in French ICUs, characterized by reduced in-ICU mortality despite higher severity, more surgery, and substantial changes in microbial epidemiology.

A major chikungunya epidemic with high mortality in northeastern Brazil.

Chikungunya causes fever and severe and persistent joint pain. We reported a chikungunya outbreak that occurred in Ceará State, Brazil between 2016 and 2017 with emphasis on epidemiological characterization of cases, high number of deaths, mortality-associated factors, and spatial and temporal spread of the epidemic among municipalities. In November 2015, the first autochthonous cases of chikungunya were confirmed in Ceará, Brazil. In 2016-2017, 195,993 cases were reported, with an incidence of 2,186.5/100,000 inhabitants and 244 confirmed deaths. Rapid transmission and high mortality rate are serious problems, especially in regions with co-circulating arboviruses.

The Urgent Surgery Elderly Mortality risk score: a simple mortality score.

an increasing number of elderly patients undergo urgent abdominal surgery and this population has a higher risk of mortality. The main objective of the study was to identify mortality-associated factors in elderly patients undergoing abdominal surgery and to design a mortality scoring tool, the Urgent Surgery Elderly Mortality risk score (the USEM score). this was a retrospective study using a prospective database. Patients > 65 years old that underwent urgent abdominal surgery were included. Risk factors for 30-day mortality were identified using multivariate regression analysis and weights assigned using the odds ratios (OR). A mortality score was derived from the aggregate of weighted scores. Model calibration and discrimination were judged using the receiver operating characteristics curves and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test. in the present study, 4,255 patients were included with an 8.5% mortality rate. The risk factors significantly associated with mortality were American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score, age, preoperative diagnosis (OR: 37.82 for intestinal ischemia, OR: 5.01 for colorectal perforation, OR: 6.73 for intestinal obstruction), surgical wound classification and open or laparoscopic surgery. A risk score was devised from these data for the estimation of the probability of survival in each patient. The area under the ROC curve (AUROC) for this score was 0.84 (95% CI: 0.82-0.86) and the AUROC correct was 0.83 (0.81-0.85). a simple score that uses five clinical variables predicts 30-day mortality. This model can assist surgeons in the initial evaluation of an elderly patient undergoing urgent abdominal surgery.

Predicting burn patient mortality with electronic medical records

BackgroundAlthough there exists robust literature on mortality-associated factors in burn patients, it is not known how electronic medical records affect outcomes. Using burn injury as a surgical care model of information and communication, we hypothesized that functionality and interoperability of the electronic medical record could serve as determinants of outcome. MethodsWe used the state inpatient databases for New York, Washington, California, and Florida for the years 2009 and 2010 for all states, with the additional years of 2012 and 2013 for New York (n = 6,002), and the respective data from the American Hospital Association Information Technology survey. Using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, codes, we included burn patients and characterized total body surface area burned. We summed the binary answers to questions 1 and 2 and question 3 from the American Hospital Association Information Technology survey to make continuous functionality and interoperability scores. Mortality was predicted using extreme gradient boosting in Python. ResultsIn each state in which our models had an accuracy and area under the curve of more than 0.90, electronic medical record functionality but not interoperability was a significant predictor in New York, California, and Florida. Important predictors in each state were, age, duration of stay, total body surface area burned/severity, and total charges. Electronic medical record functionality was more important than all comorbidities except for coagulopathies and electrolyte disorders. Higher functionality scores were associated with mortality (P < .01). ConclusionOur data support our hypothesis that electronic medical records may be associated with mortality in burn patients; however, electronic medical records are not having the intended impact on outcomes, and further research needs to elucidate exactly how electronic medical records are being used in clinical settings.

Risk Factors of Mortality After Liver Transplantation in Uruguay

IntroductionIdentification of predictive factors of mortality in a liver transplant (LT) program optimizes patient selection and allocation of organs. ObjectiveTo determine survival rates and predictive factors of mortality after LT in the National Liver Transplant Program of Uruguay. MethodsA retrospective study was conducted analyzing data prospectively collected into a multidisciplinary database. All patients transplanted since the beginning of the program on July 2009 to April 2017 were included (n = 148). Twenty-nine factors were analyzed through the univariate Kaplan-Meier model. A Cox regression model was used in the multivariate analysis to identify the independent prognostic factors for survival. ResultsOverall survival was 92%, 87%, and 78% at discharge, 1 year, and 3 years, respectively. The Kaplan-Meier survival curves were significantly lower in: recipients aged >60 years, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score >21, LT due to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and acute liver failure (ALF), donors with comorbidities, intraoperative blood loss beyond the median (>2350 mL), red blood cell transfusion requirement beyond the median (>1254 mL), intraoperative complications, delay of extubation, invasive bacterial, and fungal infection after LT and stay in critical care unit >4 days. The Cox regression model (likelihood ratio test, P = 1.976 e−06) identified the following independent prognostic factors for survival: LT for HCC (hazard ratio [HR] 4.511; P = .001) and ALF (HR 6.346; P = .004), donors with comorbidities (HR 2.354; P = .041), intraoperative complications (HR 2.707; P = .027), and invasive fungal infections (HR 3.281; P = .025). ConclusionThe survival rates of LT patients as well as the mortality-associated factors are similar to those reported in the international literature.