Multiplicative Speculations:What We Can Learn from The Rise and Fall of Hopepunk Cecilia Mancuso (bio) I. INTRODUCTION "The opposite of grimdark is hopepunk / pass it on."1 In August 2017, this two-line Tumblr post by blogger and author alexandra rowland launched a viral campaign for the establishment of "hopepunk" as a new subgenre of speculative fiction. Although the original post was little more than a joke, a play on words, rowland found themselves bombarded with calls to seriously expand on the term and its definition, which they did in a 2019 online article, "One Atom of Justice, One Molecule of Mercy, and the Empire of Unsheathed Knives." Offering itself as a radical but happy medium between the paralyzing resignation and cynicism of nihilist "grimdark" fantasy and the passivity, false sense of security, and [End Page 459] "chosen one" underpinning of "noblebright" fantasy, hopepunk became a rallying cry for a wide range of speculative fiction judged to be weaponizing hope against an overwhelming wave of hopelessness in contemporary media and life.2 groundswell of support that only grew in the following year after journalistic explainers revived the term, earning praise for its self-organization around affects like hope and its proposed mechanisms for surviving and resisting the logics of capitalism. However, hopepunk also garnered several recurring critiques as it grew in popularity, including its incoherency as genre or movement in the traditional sense; the confusion of tones, moods, and affects it purported to encompass; and its failure to acknowledge the indebtedness of its survival mechanisms to the experiences and work of marginalized people thinking and living alternative futurisms. Hopepunk, while imperfectly executed as a phenomenon, nonetheless unearthed important truths about contemporary affect, genre, and the nature of speculation that deserve to outlive it. First, by defining itself in opposition to a current trend of hopeless speculative fiction, hopepunk uses the colloquial language of "hope"—no doubt drawing on the use of this term, at least in the American context—as a rallying point for progressivism, as in the optimistic call to action of Barack Obama's 2008 "Yes We Can" platform. "Hope" also describes/evokes the opposite or antidote to a complex network of hopeless and doomed affects following the 2016 U.S. presidential election and the systematic disassembly of human rights and rule of law that followed. Hopepunk astutely uses this colloquial formation to diagnose something warped in the fabric of contemporary dystopia—a trend only made legible in the scholarly sphere by triangulating the concerns of three scholarly discourses (utopian studies, affect theory, and alternative futurisms) but that nonetheless inspired widespread popular engagement because of hopepunk's accessible colloquial presentation. Second, by proposing itself as a relatively loose collection of texts united by a fluid set of affects and ideologies, hopepunk strives to model one possibility of what categorical intertextual relationships might look like in a postgenre world [End Page 460] that is moving away from traditional spatial and mutually exclusive models of genre and toward defining textual identity and relationships in terms of what texts do or enable for their readers. However, as previously stated, hopepunk's vital contributions are mired almost inextricably in its blind spots and weaknesses as a phenomenon. The rise and fall of hopepunk occludes a larger issue at stake within contemporary modes of speculation—namely, that there is a great schism in contemporary dystopia, with various factions vying to mandate the goals of dystopia as solely utopian, anti-utopian, or anti-anti-utopian under the guise of aesthetic judgment. First, through a synthesis of popular, journalistic, and scholarly engagements with hopepunk from its inauguration through its heyday, I identify the factors that made hopepunk virally resonant. Next, through an equal and opposite analysis, I identify the shortcomings that ultimately hamstrung the fledgling movement. In order to make clear hopepunk's position in and contribution to a larger sine wave phenomenon between dystopianism and utopianism, I reframe this longstanding back-and-forth as one between future-multiplying and future-limiting impulses within speculative media over time. I then turn to developing terminology to support this lens, defining "multiplicative speculation," speculation which expands one's future imaginaries, in opposition to "predictive speculation," which...