Meat Prices Research Articles

A Fourier-based approach to understanding the impact of dairy farming on red meat prices: evidence from the Turkish case

PurposeThe purpose of this study is to investigate the drivers behind the notable increase in red meat prices in Turkey, attributing the rise primarily to policy interventions within the dairy industry which result in a reduction of farm capacity for dairy farmers.Design/methodology/approachTo analyze the factors that determine the price of carcass red meat, cattle fattening feed is identified as a variable that directly affects carcass pricing, while the ratio of farm gate milk prices to milk feed prices is assumed to have an indirect impact. Monthly data from January 2011 to December 2022 are used in the analysis. The time series examined is influenced by time-dependent nonlinear Fourier trends that are computed for use in the estimation part.FindingsThe study reveals that fluctuations in cattle fattening feed prices have an immediate impact on carcass prices, while changes in the ratio of raw milk prices to milk feed prices exhibit a time lag. Although short-term interventions to the farm gate milk prices can initially suppress carcass prices, it is important to consider their medium and long-term effects, as these can manifest as a decrease in the number of animals available.Originality/valueThe research sheds light on the intricate interplay between policy interventions in the dairy sector and their ripple effects on the broader red meat market, contributing valuable insights to both academic and policy discourse.

Policies for sufficiency: factors influencing acceptance in the Swiss population

Adopting strategies for sufficiency is crucial to meeting climate and sustainability objectives. However, this requires a societal shift which depends on favorable framework conditions pertaining to infrastructure, incentives, regulations, and social and cultural values. Sufficiency policies are essential for influencing and creating such conditions and acceptance by the affected population are important. This article presents two related studies that investigated the acceptance levels of policies supporting sufficiency among the Swiss population and the factors influencing this acceptance. The first study involved a quantitative survey of 834 individuals to assess acceptance of ten policy measures at national and communal levels. The second study entailed interviews with 15 individuals with the same sociodemographic criteria as a critical subgroup identified in the quantitative survey, namely respondents with little environmental affinity, with a low or medium level of education, and from rural or semi-urban areas, and considered on an in-depth basis three of the ten policy measures: the real price of meat, the potential of reduced working hours, and the ban on fossil-fuel powered cars. We further discussed the obstacles and drivers associated with each of these measures with seven experts from relevant fields, leading to recommendations on increasing their acceptance. The findings show that sufficiency policy can gain public support if implemented equitably and seen as effective by the population. When implementing such measures, it is essential to consider fairness and evaluate compensation strategies. Avoiding consideration of sufficiency measures is not advisable and it is crucial to build on existing favorable assessments and counter misleading perceptions with specific arguments and positive framings.

Exploring the Impact of Ocean Acidification Information on Consumers'Preference for Seafood

We conducted a discrete choice experiment to explore whether providing information about a lesser-known issue related to climate change, as it is ocean acidification (OA), affects consumers’ preferences for seafood products in a middle-income country in the southern hemisphere. Our objective was to determine whether OA information affects consumer preferences for seafood using stated preference (SP) techniques. Seafood attributes include shell size and appearance, meat color, texture, taste, nutritional composition, product assortments, and price. We applied a split-sample approach to test for information effects, with one sample receiving information about OA while the other did not. We analyze the differences between samples using visual instruments and statistical tests. The results demonstrate that although the statistical test does not identify a difference between models, we did find that OA information increases the precision of ’consumers’ responses. Moreover, using visual instruments, we found differences in specific parameters – not detected in the statistical analysis - which can lead to substantial differences in the willingness to pay for seafood attributes. The article is relevant as understanding these matters is essential when generating more effective communicational strategies regarding the impacts of climate change.

Chinese consumer perception and purchasing behavior of beef – Mainly in North and East China

Beef is an important food for Chinese people and understanding the intrinsic and extrinsic factors that impact on their satisfaction and purchasing behavior is necessary for industry growth. This was confirmed using an online survey that included 26 questions and 3617 valid responses, mainly from people located in North and East China. It was found that 47.7 % of Chinese residents like to eat beef, and they perceive beef as healthy and of high nutritional value. Chilled beef, exclusive of hot-boned or frozen products, was preferred by the majority (58.2 %) of respondents. Shank was the most popular beef cut for Chinese consumers, reflecting that stewing was found to be the preferred method for cooking beef. There were demographic differences in consumption frequency, purchase location, and the most important sensory qualities of beef for Chinese consumers. Male consumers placed more importance on the marbling of beef compared to female consumers (P < 0.05). Meat color, marbling, and price were ranked as the top three factors considered when respondents were purchasing beef. Eating and cooking habits had the strongest effect on consumer willingness to purchase beef. These findings will help to support consumer orientated beef production and processing in North and East China.

Burp tax: Regulation and revenue potential in Indonesia

The increasingly urgent phenomenon of climate change requires concrete actions from various sectors, including the livestock sector which is a significant contributor to greenhouse gas emissions, particularly methane. This study explores the potential of implementing Burp Tax in Indonesia as a regulatory mechanism to reduce methane emissions from beef and dairy cattle farms. By referring to New Zealand's experience as a Burp Tax pioneer, this study analyzes the policy scheme that includes tax subjects, tax objects, tariffs, and fair and efficient collection mechanisms. In addition, this study identifies various obstacles that may be faced in the implementation of Burp Tax in Indonesia and provides recommendations to support the national commitment in achieving the Zero Emission target in 2045/2060. The research used qualitative methods with literature study data collection techniques. The research concludes that there is great potential for the imposition of Burp Tax, so that in addition to being a form of effort to reduce methane emissions from beef and dairy cattle farms, Burp Tax can also increase the portion of state revenue from the taxation sector. The specific tariff scheme is IDR30/KgCH4 with tax subjects in the beef and dairy cattle farming sector, including individuals with 30 cows and business entities. However, it is important to note that the imposition of Burp Tax may have an economic impact on livestock business actors and affect the price of meat and milk commodities. Therefore, further studies are needed regarding the potential and impact of Burp Tax implications in Indonesia. The results of this study are expected to make a significant contribution to the development of sustainable taxation policies that are responsive to the challenges of climate change.

Economic impact of inclusion of black soldier fly products in broiler diets: A comparison between conventional and higher animal welfare production systems in the Netherlands

The primary objectives of this study were to analyze economic feasibility of incorporating black soldier fly products in broiler feed and to compare the viability of alive (alive grown larvae (AGL)) or processed (defatted larvae meal (DLM) and insect oil) insect inclusion into the two Dutch broiler welfare systems: conventional and better life one star (BLS).An existing simulation model for insect production was adapted to build an economic model for the insect-fed broiler breast meat supply chain. Amounts, full costs, and breakeven prices of different production setups were compared and the impacts of specific input parameters were tested by sensitivity and breakeven analyses.Results indicated a hypothetical demand of 2.15 million tons wet matter of raw substrate to meet the total Dutch breast meat production (BLS broilers and 10% AGL inclusion). In case of 10% processed insect inclusion, the conventional broiler breast meat price increased from 3,947 to 6,069 €/t (53.7%) and the BLS breast meat price from 6,493 to 9,662 €/t (48.8%). Alive insect inclusion resulted in a smaller cost increase (42.2%) by skipping the costly processing step. To become price competitive, DLM or AGL must cost 618 or 801 €/ton dry matter (tDM), respectively, requiring a raw substrate mix price of −109 €/tDM.High input amounts and costs currently hinder the widespread adoption of insect products in Dutch mass poultry feed. However, in the long run, using negative value substrates or targeting niche markets for broiler welfare with low AGL inclusion levels could become viable business models.Research is needed on the impact of negative value substrates on insect production performance and contamination risks. Furthermore, the impact of varying AGL composition requires special attention.

Comparing the nutritional value and prices of meat and milk substitutes with their animal-based benchmarks across six European countries

Since overconsumption of animal-sourced foods is directly linked to multiple environmental and health issues, a dietary shift is imperative. One approach to facilitate this change is the production of substitutes for animal-sourced foods based on plant-based or novel ingredients. However, to be a valid alternative, substitute products must match animal-sourced foods regarding their nutritional value while being price competitive. To understand where substitutes currently stand in that regard, this study presents a novel dataset containing the prices, main ingredients, and nutritional composition of almost 2600 substitute products as well as prices of approximately 7500 conventional products sold in major supermarket chains in France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Spain, and the United Kingdom.Although comparative analyses (non-parametric two-sided Wilcoxon rank-sum tests at a 5 % significance level) of the results indicate that the meat substitutes generally contain a higher level of dietary fiber with lower saturated fats, these meat substitutes often also have lower protein quality and higher salt and sugar levels than the conventional products. On average, meat substitutes were found to be 24 to 115 % more expensive compared to conventional meat, except for the German samples where price parity has been reached. Among milk substitutes, only soy-based products have favorable macronutrient profiles. The average price premium charged for milk substitutes compared to cows’ milk is 35 to 58 %. In general, fortification rates of substitutes should be increased to ensure sufficient supplies of micronutrients, particularly among meat substitutes where fortification rates are below 20% except for the Netherlands. Following these results, certain individual products already provide high nutritional value at low costs. However, further improvements are required for substitutes to become a compelling alternative at each scale.

Regional differences in beef cattle trade and movements associated with the COVID-19 pandemic in Australia

Context The COVID-19 pandemic caused mandated restrictions on movements and distancing of people with implications for meat supply chains. Despite the COVID restrictions, agricultural activities were permitted to continue as essential services in Australia. However, there were reported shortages of meat on the shelves of supermarkets and a general increase in the price of meat in Australia during the COVID period. Hence, there is a need to establish whether the restrictions affected upstream activities in Australia’s beef supply chain. Aim This study aims to examine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and confounding factors including rainfall and export bans on beef cattle trade and movement in Australia. Methods Using annual data on beef cattle sold, purchased, transferred off-farm and transferred onto farms sourced from the database of the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences, a t-test analysis was conducted to establish the significant changes in cattle movement and trade for the pre-COVID (2014–2019) and COVID (2020–2022) periods. Additionally, a flexible least squares model augmented with a flexible generalised least squares model was used to assess the impact of confounding factors on cattle trade and movement. Key results The results indicate no significant change in the proportion of beef cattle sold nationwide. Tasmania, New South Wales, and Western Australia (WA) recorded significant changes (1.4% increase, 3.6% increase, and 3.8% decrease, respectively) in the proportion of beef cattle purchased. For WA, these changes were localised to changes that occurred in WA Central and Southern Wheat Belt and WA Southwest Coastal regions. Moreover, rainfall did not significantly impact cattle trade but did affect cattle movements. The export ban only significantly impacted beef cattle sold in Queensland. Conclusions Overall, the findings suggest that most regions in Australia did not experience significant changes in farm-level decisions regarding beef cattle movement and trade during the COVID period. Instead, minor adjustments were made to address the demand changes. Implications The findings imply that adopted policies that facilitated the implementation of biosecurity bubbles and the movements of animal transport workers for breeding facilities and abattoirs during the COVID period were effective in normalising farm-level operations.

Volatilitas Harga Daging Ayam Broiler di Tingkat Pedagang Pengecer pada Berbagai Kabupaten/Kota di Provinsi Jambi

This research aims to analyze broiler chicken meat price volatility at the retail trader level in various districts/cities in Jambi Province. Forecasting analysis of broiler chicken meat prices in Jambi Province using time series secondary data in the form of daily data on the price of purebred chicken meat from 1 January 2023 to 31 October 2023 sourced from the National Food Agency. The analytical method used to determine volatility and the appropriate forecasting model for broiler chicken meat prices in Jambi Province uses the ARIMA, ARCH/GARCH model. The volatility of broiler chicken meat prices at the retail trader level in 11 districts/cities in the Jambi Province region varies, with the volatility in Kerinci District being the highest. The appropriate forecasting model for determining the price of broiler chicken meat in Jambi Province is the ARCH Model, which performs well in predicting the price of broiler chicken meat in Jambi Province.

Demand Analysis for Large Animal and Poultry Meat in Indonesia: An ARDL Perspective

This study examines the growing demand for large livestock and poultry meat in Indonesia, reflecting changing consumption patterns and economic growth. However, this phenomenon faces challenges such as price fluctuations between provinces, declining per capita income, and supply-demand gaps that affect access to and consumption of animal protein. Utilizing panel data from 34 provinces covering the period from 2015 to 2022 and employing an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model, this study analyzes the short- and long-run relationships in meat demand. The results indicate that in the short run, meat prices and per capita income significantly influence demand, while tuna prices have no noticeable effect. In the long run, meat prices, per capita income, and fish prices as substitutes affect meat demand. This study contributes to the development of the livestock sector in Indonesia, provides information for farmers to plan production, and advises the government to educate the public about protein sufficiency and conduct market operations to stabilize prices and maintain meat availability. The findings are expected to help fulfill the current and future demand for meat from large livestock and poultry in Indonesia.

ANALISIS KELAYAKAN USAHA PETERNAKAN BURUNG PUYUH PEDAGING (Coturnix coturnix japonica) DI KECAMATAN KERUMUTAN

Quail farming business is one of the potential businesses as the population increases and public awareness of the need for daily animal protein sources that are easy to get at affordable prices compared to other poultry meat. The objectives of this study are to find out the feasibility of Mr. Agung Wibowo's quail farming business in Kerumutan District based on market and marketing aspects, technical aspects, environmental aspects and financial aspects. Data collection is carried out by means of field surveys, interviews, literature studies and documentation. The result of this research is that the quail farming business owned by Mr. Agung Wibowo in Kerumutan District is worthy of continuing. Based on market and marketing aspects, it is feasible because it has segmentation, clear targeting and market position, and a selling price that is quite competitive compared to other poultry meat prices and has a marketing strategy with a marketing mix. From the technical aspect, it is feasible because it has all the necessary facilities and equipment and have a clear production cycle and business location. From the environmental aspect, it is feasible because of the environmental impact management. Based on the results of the calculation, the financial aspect is declared feasible. Where the R/C Ratio value &gt; out of 1, which is 1.5. The value of the π/C Ratio is 0.57% higher than the value of the BRI Simpedes savings interest rate of 0.25%. Production BEP Value &lt; Production Amount and BEP Value Price &lt; Selling Price per Head. From the results of the calculation of the Production BEP Value is 3,312 heads. So 3,312 Heads &lt; 5,162 Heads and the result of calculating the BEP Price Value is Rp. 3,011. Then Rp. 3,011 &lt; Rp. 5,500.

Supply analysis of mushroom in Malang, Indonesia

Background: This study aims to determine the factors that influence the supply and elasticity of mushroom supply in Malang. Method: The primary method used in this research is descriptive and analytic. The research location was chosen purposively in Malang. The type of data used is secondary data in the form of time series for 39 months. The data analysis method used is multiple regression linear analysis with the partially adjusted Nerlove Model. Findings: The results showed the variable price of mushrooms, the area of the harvested mushroom, the price of chicken meat, the price of urea fertilizer, and interest rates individually affected the supply of mushrooms in Malang. The variable of mushroom production and the average rainfall had no significant effect. Variables that are elastic in the short term are the area of the harvested mushroom, and elastic in the long term are the area of the harvested mushroom and the price of chicken meat. Conclusion: The mushroom farmer needs production planning to anticipate increases in the price of substitution products. Mushroom farmers are advised to make storage for supply and expand the mushroom house with more substantial materials to increase supply. Novelty/Originality of this study: This analysis provides an in-depth understanding of supply dynamics, identifying key factors that influence supply elasticity in the short and long term. This study offers practical recommendations for mushroom farmers to optimize their production in the face of market fluctuations.

THE EFFECTS OF THE CURRENT CRISES ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE GRANIVORE SECTOR IN ROMANIA

At the level of the European Union, in 2022, Romania ranked 9th in pig population, with a number of 3,328 thousand pigs and 13th in pork production, down by 7.8% compared to 2021. In terms of poultry meat production, Romania ranked 6th in the EU in 2022, up by 5.6% compared to the previous year. The paper aims to analyse the evolution of the granivore farming sector in Romania in the period 2015-2022, in the context of current crises. The study highlighted the effects produced by the energy crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine on the evolution of the production of granivores and the volatility of their purchase prices. The results of the study indicate that Romania's pork industry has been severely affected by the African swine fever. The situation at the level of international markets determined an increase in production costs, which was also reflected in the increase in purchase prices for pork and poultry meat. Thus, an increase of 22.24% was noticed in October 2022 compared to March 2022 in the purchase price for liveweight pig meat and an increase of 29.65% in October 2022 compared to March 2022 in liveweight poultry meat.

Analysis of the Relationship Lag Between Beef Production Amount and Average Meat Price in Turkey Using the Koyck Model

This research was obtained from statistical tables published by the Turkish Statistical Institute (TUIK) between 2001 and 2018. In the resulting tables, the meat production amount of slaughtered cattle represents the dependent variable, while the average meat price represents the independent variable. Analysis was carried out with the help of the Koyck model to determine the relationship lag between the dependent variable and the independent variable. As a result of the research, it was found that the average meat price was affected by the meat production amount of slaughtered cattle in a maximum of two years, and that a change in the meat production amount of slaughtered cattle required 0.007 years to significantly affect the meat price. In addition, it was determined by the analysis that a 1 ton increase in the meat production of slaughtered cattle in year t increases the meat price by 0.994390, and a 1 ton increase in meat production in the t-1 period increases the meat price by 0.007731.

Application Of Customer Relationship Management Through the Concept of Technology Adoption in the Broiler Jaya Broad Marketing Program

This research aims to study and analyze market conditions for broiler meat and factors that influence production, price, and demand for broiler chicken meat. After that, this research makes the right business design for the Jaya Broiler Chicken Business by optimizing the Broad Marketing Broiler Jaya program. This research was conducted at the Jaya Broiler Chicken Business house, Magelang, for six months. In completing the research, researchers used a qualitative approach and the data was obtained in three ways, observation, documentation in the form of photos and videos, and interviews. Innovation in digital marketing and processed products such as shredded chicken helps Broiler Jaya attract customers and increase sales turnover. Research recommends using technology such as Technology Adoption and Customer Relationship Management (CRM) in the Broad Marketing Broiler Jaya program to increase sales, implement digital marketing, and improve customer service.

Mitigating environmental impacts of food consumption in the European Union: Is the power truly on our plates?

In the context of the sustainable use of our planet's resources, there is a pressing need for environmentally friendly diets. Moreover, health issues linked to inadequate nutrition are rising, further emphasising the need for more balanced diets. The aim of the planetary health diet developed by the EAT-Lancet commission is to sustainably feed 10 billion people in 2050 while not exceeding planetary limits. According to these guidelines, the EU should reduce red meat intake by 80 % and multiply legume intake by 15. This significant shift from animal to plant-based proteins could modify trade partnerships and EU dependency on plant-based proteins for animal feed, currently discussed within the EU protein strategy. This study evaluates land use changes and environmental consequences of this change in dietary patterns by applying a consequential life cycle assessment approach combined with an agri-economic model, additionally assessing if this diet shift could help to achieve EU Green Deal targets. For this simulation, the partial equilibrium model CAPRI was used, which is a global agricultural market model focusing on Europe, including bilateral trade worldwide. We found that the diet shift results in gaps between domestic demand and supply which are compensated by increased imports of legumes and additional exports of red meat from the EU due to an increased demand for red meat in non-EU countries, as a consequence of decreased red meat prices. Land use changes within NUTS-2 regions indicate broad disparities depending on regional specialisation and profitability. The results from our life cycle assessment show limited benefits for most environmental impact categories within the EU given the considerable change in diets. GHG emissions from the agricultural sector would be reduced by 9 %, representing 4 % of the change needed to achieve overall EU GHG emission targets i.e., a reduction of 55 % by 2030 compared to 1990 levels. Yet, the mitigation potential allocated to EU production of shifting diets could be greater if international trade were not offsetting expected local environmental benefits. Indeed, if EU red meat and animal feed production were reduced proportionally to the demand shift, domestic legume production could hypothetically be extended in the available agricultural areas coming along with improvements in all environmental impact categories. Scientific contribution and media regularly point out the significant influence of individual consumer behaviour as an impulse for change: “the power is on our plates”, while the results of our simulations show that this holds only to a limited extent. To minimise environmental pollution, strong supply-side policies are needed to complement the power on the consumers' plates.

Diversification of rendang daun kayu: Strengthening the food security of the Minangkabau community

Rendang is one of the traditional Minangkabau culinary preparations of West Sumatra, Indonesia, that has gone global. Rendang sometimes uses meat, but some use plants as the main ingredient. Weak economic conditions and the high price of meat in the market do not become an excuse for Minangkabau people not to eat rendang because rendang culinary can be processed with vegetable-based ingredients. In Nagari Harau, Lima Puluh Kota Regency, West Sumatra, wood leaves from wild plants can be processed into a very delicious rendang culinary. They call it “rendang daun kayu.” Diversification of rendang daun kayu can be an exciting effort to improve the food security of the Minangkabau people. Thus, this article will discuss efforts to diversify rendang daun kayu as a strategy to strengthen the food security of the Minangkabau community. The qualitative descriptive method was used in this research. Primary data, secondary data, interview guidelines, and in-depth interview activities supported data collection. Informants were selected using snowball sampling. Source triangulation analysis was used to answer the research objectives. Based on the research results, it is known that the diversification of rendang daun kayu is the development of rendang culinary dishes using locally available wood leaf raw materials. Diversification of rendang daun kayu is an innovative step towards more robust food security for the Minangkabau people. Diversifying rendang daun kayu is expected to create food security for the Minangkabau community.

Forecasting World Food Price Volatility: Performance of the GARCH Model with Different Distributions Assumptions

This study examines the performance of the GARCH model with two different error distribution assumptions in forecasting the volatility of the global food price indices. For this purpose, it uses the monthly series of the world food price index (FPI), Meat Price Index (MPI), Dairy Price Index (DPI), Cereals Price Index (CPI), and vegetable Oil Price Index (OPI) sourced from the FAO database over a period from 1990M1 to 2022M3. We found that the model selected by the Akaike information criteria (AIC), the Schwarz criteria (SC), and the Hannan-Quinn (HQ) criteria performs well in the prediction of the volatility of all five food price indices. Further, the in-sample and out-of-sample performance analysis revealed that the GARCH models selected by the information criteria, both the normal and student-t distributions perform equally well in forecasting volatility. Finally, the analysis of the volatility series extracted from the best-fit GRACH models shows that the world food price has witnessed unusually large and sustained volatility during the periods 1994-95, 2007-08, and 2011-12. However, the magnitude of the fluctuations in the world food price observed during the recent Covid19 pandemic period was relatively mild, with the exception of vegetable oil prices.

Analisis Integrasi Pasar Parsial untuk Komoditas Daging Ayam Broiler antar Berbagai Kabupaten/Kota di Provinsi Jambi

This research aims to determine the spatial market integration of broiler chicken meat commodities between various districts/cities in Jambi Province. The analysis method used is the VAR (Vector Autoregression) / VECM (Vector Error Correction Model) model. There is partial market integration in the long and short term for broiler chicken meat commodities between various regencies/cities in Jambi Province so that the price of broiler chicken meat in regencies/cities in Jambi Province influences each other not only in the current period but in relation to prices 1 to 2 days before. There is short and long-term spatial market integration for broiler chicken meat in districts/cities in Jambi Province. The price of broiler chicken meat in Jambi City causes changes in the price of broiler chicken meat in Batang Hari Regency, Kerinci Regency, Merangin Regency and West Tanjung Jabung Regency, and vice versa.

Trends in the livestock and pork market in Poland with regard to the environmental impact of this production direction

After joining the European Union, the market economy continued to drive structural changes in meat production and processing. Unfortunately, the functioning of meat markets was impacted by several threats with significant adverse influence. Phenomena such as the spread of ASF disease, the United Kingdom's exit from the European Union or the Covid-19 epidemic added instability to the already cyclical pork market. The study aims to evaluate the functioning of Poland’s pork market and to identify the main trend in this market. Livestock and pork meat production in Poland form a significant economic sector; however, it creates considerable environmental challenges. The study focuses on key aspects such as greenhouse gas emissions, water usage, feed consumption, and waste management. The study covers the years 2004-2021, i.e., the period of seventeen years after Poland's accession to the European Union. The statistical data analysis methods showed four to three-year cycles in pork live stock with a decreasing amplitude over time and high and relatively stable domestic demand for pork. This provides a favourable foundation for future production direction. However, the systematic changes in the structure of meat consumption and price development led to a steady increase in the share of poultry meat at the expense of pork and bovine during the observed year span.