Mean Square Error Values Research Articles

Predicting Crop Yield Productivity Using Machine Learning Algorithms: A Comparison of Linear and Non-linear Approaches

Predicting crop yield productivity is crucial for farmers and the agricultural sector to gain insights into crop productivity and returns. With advancements in technology and artificial intelligence, predicting crop yield using machine learning algorithms has become an important innovation. This study aimed to predict crop yield productivity using various machine learning algorithms and techniques. The dataset was sourced from Kaggle, preprocessed, and analyzed using linear algorithms such as Linear Regression, LASSO, and Ridge, as well as non-linear algorithms including SVR, KNN Regressor, and Polynomial Regression. Mean Squared Error (MSE) was computed to evaluate algorithms performance. Comparing the efficacy of linear versus non-linear algorithms on the dataset revealed that non-linear algorithms outperformed linear ones, indicating that the dataset's non-linear nature. Therefore, non-linear machine learning algorithms like SVR, KNN Regressor, and Polynomial Regression were recommended for better accuracy. Among these, KNN Regressor performed the best with an MSE of 0.00025, followed by SVR and Polynomial Regression with MSE values of 0.00142 and 0.0024, respectively.

Bee-inspired insights: Unleashing the potential of artificial bee colony optimized hybrid neural networks for enhanced groundwater level time series prediction.

Analysis of the change in groundwater used as a drinking and irrigation water source is of critical importance in terms of monitoring aquifers, planning water resources, energy production, combating climate change, and agricultural production. Therefore, it is necessary to model groundwater level (GWL) fluctuations to monitor and predict groundwater storage. Artificial intelligence-based models in water resource management have become prevalent due to their proven success in hydrological studies. This study proposed a hybrid model that combines the artificial neural network (ANN) and the artificial bee colony optimization (ABC) algorithm, along with the ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) and the local mean decomposition (LMD) techniques, to model groundwater levels in Erzurum province, Türkiye. GWL estimation results were evaluated with mean square error (MSE), coefficient of determination (R2), and residual sum of squares (RSS) and visually with violin, scatter, and time series plot. The study results indicated that the EEMD-ABC-ANN hybrid model was superior to other models in estimating GWL, with R2 values ranging from 0.91 to 0.99 and MSE values ranging from 0.004 to 0.07. It has also been revealed that promising GWL predictions can be made with previous GWL data.

A Wavelet Shrinkage Mixed with a Single-level 2D Discrete Wavelet Transform for Image Denoising

The single-level 2D discrete wavelet transform method is a powerful technique for effectively removing Gaussian noise from natural images. Its effectiveness is attributed to its ability to capture a signal's energy at low energy conversion values, allowing for efficient noise reduction while preserving essential image details. The wavelet noise reduction method mitigates the noise present in the waveform coefficients produced by the discrete wavelet transform. In this study, three different wavelet families—Daubechies (db7), Coiflets (coif5), and Fejér-Korovkin (fk4)—were evaluated for their noise removal capabilities using the Bayes shrink method. This approach was applied to a set of images, and the performance was analyzed using the Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Peak Signal-to-Noise Ratio (PSNR) metrics. Our results demonstrated that among the wavelet families tested, the Fejér-Korovkin (fk4) wavelet consistently outperformed the others. The fk4 wavelet family yielded the lowest MSE values, indicating minimal reconstruction error, and the highest PSNR values, reflecting superior noise suppression and better image quality across all tested images. These findings suggest that the fk4 wavelet family, when combined with the Bayes shrink method, provides a robust framework for Gaussian noise reduction in natural images. The comparative analysis highlights the importance of selecting appropriate wavelet families to optimize noise reduction performance, paving the way for further research and potential improvements in image denoising techniques.

Analisis Peramalan Permintaan dalam Memaksimalkan Manajemen Rantai Pasok Menggunakan Metode Moving Average

Forecasting demand for screen-printed clothing products at the UMKM "D'mitz Screen Printing" in Sobrah Village, Wungu District, Madiun Regency helps with production control planning to maximize supply chain management for screen-printed clothing products. To predict future product demand, it is very important for UMKM to forecast market demand. Forecasting future demand is very important to avoid sales prediction errors that can cause waste, such as increased production costs due to sales predictions being too large, or stock outs due to sales predictions being too small, which results in customers having to wait longer to get the goods they want. Based on this problem, the UMKM "D'mitz Screen Printing" carried out a demand forecasting analysis for screen printed clothing with the aim of reducing waste and maximizing value. Forecasting demand for screen printed clothing for the next five months using time series analysis and moving average methods. Forecasting results for the period March 2022 to February 2023 show sequential forecasting values of 3266.67; 3300; 3250; 3283.33; 3233.33; 3316.67; 3333.33; 3372.22; 3305.56; and 3272.22. From the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Mean Square Error (MSE) calculations that have been carried out, the MAE value is 94.44 and the MSE value is 16018.593.

Climate Change Impacts on Future Wheat (Triticum aestivum) Yield, Growth Periods and Irrigation Requirements: A SALTMED Model Simulations Analysis

Climate change poses emerging threats to wheat growth in coming future. These threats need to be explored to ensure sustainable wheat production. To do this, the SALTMED model was calibrated using data from experiments conducted on different levels of irrigation and nitrogen doses. The performance of the SALTMED model was assessed based on values of the root mean square error (RMSE), normalized root mean square error (NRMSE), coefficient of determination (R2) and coefficient of residual mass (CRM) that ranged from 0.23–1.82, 0.09–0.17, 0.91–0.93 and −0.01–0.02, respectively for calibration and 0.31–1.89, 0.11–0.31, 0.87–0.90 and −0.02–0.01, respectively for validation. Projections for future climate scenarios for wheat growth indicated that by the end of the century, sowing dates advanced by nine days under the RCP4.5 scenario and eleven days under the RCP8.5 scenario, while harvesting dates shifted earlier by twenty-four days under RCP4.5 and twenty-eight days under RCP8.5. Consequently, the overall crop duration was shortened by fifteen days under RCP4.5 and eighteen days under RCP8.5. Further simulations revealed that the wheat yield was reduced by 14.2% under RCP4.5 and 21.0% under RCP8.5; the dry matter was reduced by 14.9% under RCP4.5 and 23.3% under RCP8.5; the irrigation amount was expected to increase by 14.9% under RCP4.5 and 18.0% under RCP8.5; and water productivity was expected to be reduced by 25.3% under RCP4.5 and 33.0% under RCP8.5 until the end of century. The hypothetical scenarios showed that adding an extra 20–40% more nitrogen can enhance wheat yield and dry matter by 10.2–23.0% and 11.5–24.6%, respectively, under RCP4.5, and by 12.0–23.4% and 12.9–29.6%, respectively, under RCP8.5. This study offers valuable insights into the effects of climate change on future wheat production so that effective contingency plans could be made by policymakers and adopted by stakeholders for higher wheat productivity.

Construction and application of a core competitiveness evaluation index system for public health personnel training based on the CIPP model

BACKGROUND: With the change of human disease spectrum and the increase of public emergencies, the public’s demand for health services and health is gradually increasing and higher expectations are placed on public health personnel. OBJECTIVE: Research needs to establish a comprehensive system of evaluation indices for accurate assessment of the core competencies of public health personnel, to enhance their core competitiveness, and introduce novel approaches to evaluate talent development in the field of public health. METHODS: The study is based on the CIPP (Context Input Process Product) model and uses literature analysis, semi-structured interviews, and Delphi methods to construct an evaluation index system for the core competitiveness of public health talent cultivation. The entropy method is used to determine the weight of the model evaluation index. Finally, the improved Artistic Be Colony algorithm (ABC) is used to optimize the BP network, and apply it to evaluate the core competitiveness of public health talent cultivation. RESULTS: The improved BP network achieved the target accuracy within 11 iterations, with the optimal value observed after 16 iterations, producing an MSE (Mean Square Error) value of 10–13. The evaluation of the index system reported a 97% accuracy, and upon application to the university’s public health training programme, nearly 50% of students and teachers achieved core competitiveness quality scores above 90. CONCLUSIONS: The aforementioned method suggests that it can proficiently assess the fundamental competitiveness of training for public health personnel and offer guidance for future development in the domain of public health.

Evaluation of SSIM loss function in RIR generator GANs

This study explores the potential of integrating the structural similarity (SSIM) as a loss function within generative adversarial networks (GANs) to enhance the generation of room impulse responses (RIRs). Neural network-based RIR generators sometimes introduce glitches into the generated RIRs, leading to distortion in the reconstructed signals. In this study, GANs are trained using three different loss functions: Mean Squared Error (MSE), SSIM and a combination of SSIM and MSE. Incorporating SSIM within the loss function improves the quality of generated RIRs and reduces glitches. Empirical findings highlight the effectiveness of GANs trained with the mixed MSE and SSIM loss function, resulting in RIR signals with fewer glitches, lower MSE values, and higher SSIM values. To evaluate the broader applicability of this approach and contribute to available resources, we introduce a novel RIR dataset named GTU-RIR. This dataset is presented alongside existing datasets such as BUT ReverbDB, enabling a comprehensive evaluation of the proposed method.

AN ANN MODEL FOR PREDICTING SLUMP OF CONCRETE CONTAINING CRUSHED GLASS AND NATURAL GRAVEL

This study modelled the slump of concrete containing crushed glass and Bida Natural Gravel (BNG) based on deep learning algorithm using the MATLAB neural network toolbox. A total of 240 (150mm × 150mm × 150mm) cubes were cast from 80 mixes generated randomly using Scheffe’s simplex lattice approach. Slump was measured for each of the experimental points of fresh concrete before filling in the moulds. The resulting batch for each mix was used as input data while the laboratory results for slump was used as output data for the ANN-model. Hence a shallow multilayer supervised Neural Network was developed to model these data. The developed model would be able to predict concrete slump containing 0% - 25% crushed glass as partial replacement for fine aggregate, water- cement ratio ranging from 0.45 – 0.65 and concrete grade M15 – M25. The architecture of the network contained 6 input parameters: water to cement ratio, water, cement, sand, crushed glass and BNG, 20 neurons in the hidden layer and slump in the outer layer. The adequacy of the developed model was measured using Mean Square Error (MSE) and Correlation Coefficient (R). Results showed that 6:20:1 model architecture for slump model had an MSE values for training, validation and testing as: 1.84e-2, 5.81e-3, 3.64e-3, 1.73e-3 respectively. Regression values for training, validation and testing are: 79%, 94%, 96% and 79%. The study concluded that a shallow multilayer Neural Network architecture with 20 neurons in the hidden layer is sufficient for predicting concrete slump.

Prediction And Detection Of Type II Diabetes Mellitus Using The K-Nearest Neighbor Algorithm

Purpose: High blood sugar causes Mellitus (DM), a metabolic disorder. DM affects human metabolism and causes many complications, such as heart disease, kidney problems, skin disorders, and slow healing. Therefore, using machine learning algorithms to implement an automatic diabetes diagnosis system is crucial for predicting DM.Design/methodology/approach: This research created a DM disease prediction system using machine learning with the K-Nearest Neighbor algorithm. The National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, Hospital Frankfurt, Germany, and the results of health surveys and medical research are the sources of two separate datasets used in the Kaggle platform data. The stages in Machine Learning include data merging, data cleaning, and data splittingFindings/result: This research produces the best prediction model at a ratio of 70:30, with the lowest MSE value on testing data, 0.217. With K Folding Cross-validation, it makes an average accuracy of 73.88%.Originality/value/state of the art: This research creates a prediction model for diabetes mellitus type 2 using two different datasets with 9 features. It makes a Machine Learning model using the KNN algorithm by importing the KneighborClassifier and evaluating it using the MSE (Mean Square Error) matrix and K Folding cross-validation to determine modelling accuracy

Efficient prediction of optical properties in hexagonal PCF using machine learning models

This research explores the use of machine learning (ML) models to forecast optical characteristics in photonic crystal fibers (PCF). Specifically, we focus on a solid core index-guided PCF with a hexagonal cladding arrangement. The primary challenges to PCF propagation analysis and predictions are accuracy, computational error, and time constraints. To address these difficulties, we have specially used ML ensemble models including Decision Tree Regressor (DTR), Random Forest Regressor (RFR), Gradient Boosting Regressor (GBR), eXtreme Gradient Boosting Regression (XGBR), and Bagging Regressor (BR). Model performance is assessed using metrics like Mean Squared Error (MSE) and R-squared (R2) through 10-fold cross-validation. Our key findings show that the GBR model outperforms other models and shows extremely low MSE and outstanding R2 values in predicting effective refractive index (Neff), effective mode area (Aeff), confinement loss, and dispersion. In addition, the study compares the performance of ML models with that of previous works using Artificial Neural Network (ANN), demonstrating improved efficiency in predicting optical characteristics for hexagonal PCFs.

Innovation in the dairy industry: forecasting cow cheese production with machine learning and deep learning models

This study focuses on the use of deep learning and machine learning models to forecast cow cheese production in Turkey. In particular, our research utilizes the LSTM (long short-term memory) model to forecast cow cheese production for the next 12 months by extensively utilizing deep learning and machine learning techniques that have not been applied in this field before. In addition to LSTM, models such as GRU (Gated Recurrent Unit), MLP (Multi-Layer Perceptron), SVR (Support Vector Regression), and KNN (K-Nearest Neighbors) were also tested, and their performances were compared using RMSE (Root Mean Square Error), MSE (Mean Squared Error), MAE (Mean Absolute Error), MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error), and (Coefficient of Determination) metrics. The findings revealed that the LSTM model performed significantly better than the other models in terms of RMSE, MSE, MAE, and MAPE values. This result indicates that the LSTM model provides high accuracy and reliability in forecasting cow cheese production. This achievement of the model offers important applications in areas such as supply chain management, inventory optimization, and demand forecasting in the dairy industry.

Predicting Ocean Current Temperature Off the East Coast of America with XGBoost and Random Forest Algorithms Using Rstudio

This research investigates the comparative predictive efficacy of two leading machine learning methodologies, specifically the XGBoost and Random Forest models, in estimating ocean temperature dynamics in the TS Gulf Stream and Labrador Current regions along the east coast of North America. Using annual temperature datasets and relevant oceanographic parameters, the data is carefully processed, cleaned and sorted into training and test subsets via the RStudio Platform. The performance evaluation model is carried out using predetermined machine learning assessment criteria, including Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Mean Squared Error (MSE), and R-squared. The results show the superiority of the XGBoost model compared to Random Forest in terms of prediction accuracy and minimizing prediction errors. The XGBoost model shows lower MSE values and higher R-squared values than the Random Forest model, indicating its better capacity in explaining data variations. XGBoost consistently provides more accurate predictions and shows higher sensitivity in identifying important factors influencing ocean temperature fluctuations than Random Forest. This research significantly improves understanding and prognostic capabilities regarding ocean temperature dynamics in the TS Gulf Stream and Labrador Current regions. Empirical evidence underlines the efficacy of the XGBoost model in predicting ocean temperatures in the studied region. Continuous model evaluation and parameter refinement for both methodologies is critical to establishing standards for optimal prediction performance. The findings of this research have implications for the fields of oceanography and climate science, and offer potential pathways to comprehensively understand and mitigate the impacts of climate change on marine ecosystems.

AI-Based Anomaly Detection Techniques for Structural Fault Diagnosis Using Low-Sampling-Rate Vibration Data

Rotorcrafts experience severe vibrations during operation. To ensure the safety of rotorcrafts, it is necessary to perform anomaly detection to detect small-scale structural faults in major components. To accurately detect small-scale faults before they grow to a fatal size, HR (high sampling rate) vibration data are required. However, to increase the efficiency of data storage media, only LR (low sampling rate) vibration data are generally collected during actual flight operation. Anomaly detection using only LR data can detect faults above a certain size, but may fail to detect small-scale faults. To address this problem, we propose an anomaly detection technique using the SR3 (Super-Resolution via Repeated Refinement) algorithm to upscale LR data to HR data, and then applying the LSTM-AE model. This technique is validated for two datasets (drone arm data, CWRU bearing data). First, the necessity for HR data is illustrated by showing that anomaly detection using LR data fails, and the upscaling performance of the SR3 algorithm is validated in the frequency and time domain. Finally, the anomaly detection for a structural fault diagnosis is performed for the upscaled data and the HR data using the LSTM-AE model. The quantitative evaluation of the Min–Max normalized reconstruction error distribution is performed through the MSE (Mean Square Error) value of the anomaly detection results. As a result, it is confirmed that the anomaly detection using upscaled test data can be performed as successfully as the anomaly detection using HR test data for both datasets by the proposed technique.

How well do ridge parameter estimators proposed so far perform in terms of normality, outlier detection, and MSE criteria?

Ridge regression is a commonly used prediction method in cases of multicollinearity among regressors in multiple linear regression model. In this study, the performances of 366 different estimators proposed in the literature for ridge parameter estimation were evaluated. The criteria of estimators’ ratio of generating outliers and the proportion of normality besides the Mean Square Error (MSE) criterion were used for diagnosing ridge parameter estimators. Besides, the effect of outliers and deviations from normality generated by the ridge parameter estimators on the MSE was revealed by Spearman’s Rho correlation analysis. To do so, a Monte Carlo simulation was designed for 2420 different cases, considering the simulation parameters comprehensively in terms of the number of regressors, sample size, collinearity level and error variances. The results revealed that some ridge parameter estimators recommended according to MSE criterion, do not perform well in terms of outlier generation and normality criteria. Significant inter-linear correlations were also found among the ridge parameter estimators’ MSE performance criterion, ratios of outlier generation criterion and normality criterion. Thus, it is suggested that an effective ridge parameter estimator should perform well in terms of outlier generation and normality criteria, as well as having small MSE value.

Optimizing Lithium-Ion Battery Performance: Integrating Machine Learning and Explainable AI for Enhanced Energy Management

Managing the capacity of lithium-ion batteries (LiBs) accurately, particularly in large-scale applications, enhances the cost-effectiveness of energy storage systems. Less frequent replacement or maintenance of LiBs results in cost savings in the long term. Therefore, in this study, AdaBoost, gradient boosting, XGBoost, LightGBM, CatBoost, and ensemble learning models were employed to predict the discharge capacity of LiBs. The prediction performances of each model were compared based on mean absolute error (MAE), mean squared error (MSE), and R-squared values. The research findings reveal that the LightGBM model exhibited the lowest MAE (0.103) and MSE (0.019) values and the highest R-squared (0.887) value, thus demonstrating the strongest correlation in predictions. Gradient boosting and XGBoost models showed similar performance levels but ranked just below LightGBM. The competitive performance of the ensemble model indicates that combining multiple models could lead to an overall performance improvement. Furthermore, the study incorporates an analysis of key features affecting model predictions using SHAP (Shapley additive explanations) values within the framework of explainable artificial intelligence (XAI). This analysis evaluates the impact of features such as temperature, cycle index, voltage, and current on predictions, revealing a significant effect of temperature on discharge capacity. The results of this study emphasize the potential of machine learning models in LiB management within the XAI framework and demonstrate how these technologies could play a strategic role in optimizing energy storage systems.

Performance of deconvolution codes (MAXED, GRAVEL, MLEM) for neutron spectrometry of radioactive source using plastic scintillator simulated data

Neutron spectrometry plays a crucial role in decommissioning of nuclear sites and in ensuring the safety of workers from radiation exposure. In this study, we associate a proton recoil spectrometer made by a homemade plastic scintillator with triple discrimination capabilities (fast neutrons, thermal neutrons, and gamma rays) with deconvolution methods to obtain accurate measurements of neutron spectra. The purpose of this work is to test and evaluate the performance of three distinct deconvolution codes, namely MAXED (Maximum Entropy Deconvolution), GRAVEL, and MLEM (Maximum Likelihood Expectation Maximization), using two types of input spectra (flat and Watt spectrum). These deconvolution codes are applied to simulated data using the reference MCNP6.2 Monte Carlo code. Comparing the calculated mean squared error (MSE) performed by the three unfolding methods, we find that MLEM seems to perform better than MAXED and GRAVEL. Furthermore, given the calculated MSE values, the unfolded spectrum of Cf-252 is in better agreement with the standard reference spectrum by using Watt spectrum as input spectrum (MSE<1.2 × 10−6) than using a flat spectrum (MSE<1.3 × 10−6).

Mining Technology Evaluation for Steep Coal Seams Based on a GA-BP Neural Network.

Many mines in Guizhou Province are in urgent need of renovation to ensure harmonious operation and prolong their lifespan. The key to successful renovation lies in the prudent selection of the appropriate mining technologies. Therefore, a comprehensive investigation was conducted on steep coal mines in Guizhou Province, and a comprehensive evaluation framework was established. Spearman correlation analysis was performed on various factors, selecting geological conditions and working face parameters with high correlation as the input variables and mining methods as the output variables. The optimal values of each hyperparameter were determined through orthogonal experiments, and the neural network structure was confirmed to be "17-9-3". Five variants of backpropagation (BP) algorithms were meticulously tested, and a genetic algorithm optimizing the BP neural network (GA-BP) was further assessed to improve the model's prediction accuracy. The accuracy of the model was evaluated via the coefficient of determination (R 2) and mean squared error (MSE). The research results indicated that the variable step-size algorithm with a momentum term (VSS + MT) was the optimal algorithm for the BP neural network. Additionally, the MSE values of the artificial neural network and GA-BP neural network in the testing phase were 0.06 and 0.04, with prediction success rates of 70 and 90%, respectively, and R 2 values of 0.79 and 0.85, respectively. Thus, the GA-BP neural network demonstrated superior performance. Finally, industrial application of the model was conducted on a working face in the Zhong-Yu coal mine. The evaluation index for the working face was "0.847, 0.09, 0.111", suggesting that fully mechanized mining should be adopted. The evaluation results were consistent with the current production status of the mine, verifying the reliability of the model in practical applications.

Relationship between body weight and hip width in dairy buffaloes (Bubalus bubalis).

The objective of the present study was to evaluate the relationship between body weight (BW) and hip width (HW) in dairy buffaloes (Bubalus bubalis). HW was measured in 215 Murrah buffaloes with a BW of 341 ± 161.6 kg, aged between three months and five years, and raised in southeastern Mexico. Linear and non-linear regressions were used to construct the prediction models. The goodness of fit of the models was evaluated using the Akaike information criterion (AIC), Bayesian information criterion (BIC), coefficient of determination (R2), mean squared error (MSE), and root MSE (RMSE). Additionally, the developed models were evaluated through internal and external cross-validation (k-folds) using independent data. The ability of the fitted models to predict the observed values was assessed based on the root mean square error of prediction (RMSEP), R2, and mean absolute error (MAE). The relationship between BW and HW showed a high correlation coefficient (r = 0.96, P < 0.001). The chosen fitted model to predict BW was: -176.33 (± 40.83***) + 8.74 (± 1.79***) × HW + 0.04 (± 0.01*) × HW2, because it presented the lowest MSE, RMSE, and AIC values, which were 1228.64, 35.05 and 1532.41, respectively. Therefore, with reasonable accuracy, the quadratic model using hip width may be suitable for predicting body weight in buffaloes.

Stock Market Prediction

The prediction of stock market trends is a challenging yet critical task in the financial sector, given its significant implications for investors, traders, and financial institutions. This research leverages the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) algorithm, a type of recurrent neural network (RNN), to develop a robust model for forecasting stock prices. The study utilizes historical stock market data sourced from Yahoo Finance, accessed via the yfinance package in Python. The primary objectives are to preprocess the data, implement the LSTM model, and evaluate its performance against traditional models such as Random Forest and Linear Regression. Data preprocessing involved handling missing values, normalizing the dataset, and transforming it into sequences suitable for LSTM training. The model's architecture includes multiple LSTM layers designed to capture temporal dependencies in the data. The study evaluates the model's performance using metrics such as Mean Squared Error (MSE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and prediction accuracy. Comparative analysis shows that the LSTM model outperforms both Random Forest and Linear Regression models, with lower MSE and RMSE values and higher accuracy in predicting stock prices. This research discovered that LSTM's ability to retain long-term dependencies makes it particularly effective for stock market prediction, where historical trends and patterns significantly influence future prices. The results indicate that the LSTM model provides more reliable and precise predictions, which can enhance decision-making in trading and investment. This research highlights the potential of advanced neural network architectures in financial forecasting, offering a valuable tool for investors aiming to optimize their strategies and mitigate risks. The significance of this study lies in its practical application in the financial industry, demonstrating that machine learning models, particularly LSTM, can substantially improve the accuracy of stock market predictions. Future research could explore the integration of additional features, such as macroeconomic indicators and sentiment analysis, to further enhance model performance. This study underscores the importance of continuous innovation and the adoption of sophisticated algorithms to navigate the complexities of financial markets.

Rapid quality assessment and traceability of ginger powder from Northeast India and Indian market based on near infrared spectroscopic fingerprinting.

Ginger (Zingiber officinale Rosc.) varies widely due to varying concentrations of phytochemicals and geographical origin. Rapid non-invasive quality and traceability assessment techniques ensure a sustainable value chain. The objective of this study is the development of suitable machine learning models to estimate the concentration of 6-gingerol and check traceability based on the spectral fingerprints of dried ginger samples collected from Northeast India and the Indian market using near-infrared spectrometry. Samples from the market and Northeast India underwent High Performance Liquid Chromatographic analysis for 6-gingerol content estimation. Near infrared (NIR) Spectrometer acquired spectral data. Quality prediction utilized partial least square regression (PLSR), while fingerprint-based traceability identification employed principal component analysis and t-distributed stochastic neighbor embedding (t-SNE). Model performance was assessed using RMSE and R2 values across selective wavelengths and spectral fingerprints. The standard normal variate pretreated spectral data over the wavelength region of 1,100-1,250 nm and 1,325-1,550 nm showed the optimal calibration model with root mean square error of calibration and R2 C (coefficient of determination for calibration) values of 0.87 and 0.897 respectively. A lower value (0.24) of root mean square error of prediction and a higher value (0.973) of R2 P (coefficient of determination for prediction) indicated the effectiveness of the developed model. t-SNE performed better clustering of samples based on geographical location, which was independent of gingerol content. The developed NIR spectroscopic model for Indian ginger samples predicts the 6-gingerol content and provides geographical traceability-based identification to ensure a sustainable value chain, which can promote efficiency, cost-effectiveness, consumer confidence, sustainable sourcing, traceability, and data-driven decision-making.