Abstract

Many mines in Guizhou Province are in urgent need of renovation to ensure harmonious operation and prolong their lifespan. The key to successful renovation lies in the prudent selection of the appropriate mining technologies. Therefore, a comprehensive investigation was conducted on steep coal mines in Guizhou Province, and a comprehensive evaluation framework was established. Spearman correlation analysis was performed on various factors, selecting geological conditions and working face parameters with high correlation as the input variables and mining methods as the output variables. The optimal values of each hyperparameter were determined through orthogonal experiments, and the neural network structure was confirmed to be "17-9-3". Five variants of backpropagation (BP) algorithms were meticulously tested, and a genetic algorithm optimizing the BP neural network (GA-BP) was further assessed to improve the model's prediction accuracy. The accuracy of the model was evaluated via the coefficient of determination (R 2) and mean squared error (MSE). The research results indicated that the variable step-size algorithm with a momentum term (VSS + MT) was the optimal algorithm for the BP neural network. Additionally, the MSE values of the artificial neural network and GA-BP neural network in the testing phase were 0.06 and 0.04, with prediction success rates of 70 and 90%, respectively, and R 2 values of 0.79 and 0.85, respectively. Thus, the GA-BP neural network demonstrated superior performance. Finally, industrial application of the model was conducted on a working face in the Zhong-Yu coal mine. The evaluation index for the working face was "0.847, 0.09, 0.111", suggesting that fully mechanized mining should be adopted. The evaluation results were consistent with the current production status of the mine, verifying the reliability of the model in practical applications.

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