Maximum Wet Bulb Globe Temperature Research Articles

Assessing 7-year heat-stress exposures and adaptation strategies for children using a real-time monitoring network in Taiwan

Wet-bulb globe temperature (WBGT) serves as a suitable heat-stress indicator not only for outdoor workers but also for the general public. However, studies on WBGT exposure among the general population are scarce. This research represents the first attempt to assess WBGT exposure of school-aged children. Utilizing a real-time monitoring network in Taiwan, WBGT exposure of school-aged children (7–15 years) were estimated during May to October from 2016 to 2022. Important determinants and spatiotemporal variability of WBGT levels were explored, with hot spots and peak hours of WBGT identified. Macro- and micro-scale adaptation strategies applicable at schools were also evaluated for their effectiveness in reducing heat stress for students. Results showed that the mean daily maximum WBGT (WBGTmax) was 33.1 ± 3.8 °C at 20 stations across Taiwan but could reach/exceed 36 °C (threshold of the dangerous category) at certain hot spots for 42.3–52.0 % of days between May and October. Local geographic features sometimes outweigh the latitude in explaining the spatial variations. Contrary to temperature, WBGT peaked during 10 am to noon rather than from noon to 1:59 pm in most schools, due to clouds blocking solar radiation in the afternoon. This finding has significant implications for scheduling outdoor physical classes/activities to reduce children's heat-health risks. Setting up on-site WBGT monitoring on surfaces that children mostly encounter at schools or utilizing data from nearby weather stations could provide a near real-time heat-health warning. Moreover, providing shades outdoors, relocating outdoor classes indoors, and using air-conditioning would reduce WBGT by 2.1–5.8, 3.7–7.3, and 2.5–5.9 °C, respectively; and would significantly decrease the percentages of WBGT ≥34 °C, which is associated with increased heat-related emergency visits among children in Taiwan. The methodology applied serves as a useful reference for assessing WBGT exposure and adaptation strategies, providing the scientific foundation for heat-health adaptation measures.

Effects of ambient heat exposure on risk of all-cause mortality in children younger than 5 years in Africa: a pooled time-series analysis

Reducing child mortality is a Sustainable Development Goal, and climate change constitutes numerous challenges for Africa. Previous research has shown an association between leading causes of child mortality and climate change. However, few studies have examined these effects in detail. We aimed to explore the effects of ambient heat on neonate, post-neonate, and child mortality rates. For this pooled time-series analysis, health data were obtained from the International Network for the Demographic Evaluation of Populations and Their Health (INDEPTH) Health and Demographic Surveillance System. We included data from 29 settlements from 13 countries across Africa, collected via monthly surveys from Jan 1, 1993, to Dec 31, 2016. Climate data were obtained from ERA5, collected from Jan 1, 1991, to Dec 31, 2019. We pooled these data for monthly mean daily maximum wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) and downscaled to geolocations. Due to data heaping, we pooled our health data on a monthly temporal scale and a spatial scale into six different climate regions (ie, Sahel [ie, Burkina Faso and northern Ghana], Guinea [ie, southern Ghana, Côte d'Ivoire, and Nigeria], Senegal and The Gambia, eastern Africa [ie, Kenya, Malawi, Tanzania, Mozambique, and Uganda], South Africa, and Ethiopia). Our outcomes were neonate (ie, younger than 28 days), post-neonate (ie, aged 28 days to 1 year), and child (ie, older than 1 year and younger than 5 years) mortality. To assess the association between WBGT and monthly all-cause mortality, we used a time-series regression with a quasi-Poisson, polynomial-distributed lag model. Between Jan 1, 1993, and Dec 31, 2016, there were 44 909 deaths in children younger than 5 years across the 29 sites in the 13 African countries: 10 078 neonates, 14 141 post-neonates, and 20 690 children. We observed differences in the association of heat with neonate, post-neonate, and child mortality by study region. For example, for Ethiopia, the relative risk ratio of mortality at the 95th percentile compared with median heat exposure during the study period was 1·14 (95% CI 1·06-1·23) for neonates, 0·99 (0·90-1·07) for post-neonates, and 0·79 (0·73-0·87) for children. Across the whole year, there was a significant increase in the relative risk of increased mortality for children in eastern Africa (relative risk 1·27, 95% CI 1·19-1·36) and Senegal and The Gambia (1·11, 1·04-1·18). Our results show that the influence of extreme heat on mortality risk in children younger than 5 years varies by age group, region, and season. Future research should explore potentially informative ways to measure subtleties of heat stress and the factors contributing to vulnerability. EU Horizons as part of the Heat Indicators for Global Health (HIGH) Horizons project.

Assessment of Heat Exposure and Health Outcomes in Rural Populations of Western Kenya by Using Wearable Devices: Observational Case Study.

Climate change increasingly impacts health, particularly of rural populations in sub-Saharan Africa due to their limited resources for adaptation. Understanding these impacts remains a challenge, as continuous monitoring of vital signs in such populations is limited. Wearable devices (wearables) present a viable approach to studying these impacts on human health in real time. The aim of this study was to assess the feasibility and effectiveness of consumer-grade wearables in measuring the health impacts of weather exposure on physiological responses (including activity, heart rate, body shell temperature, and sleep) of rural populations in western Kenya and to identify the health impacts associated with the weather exposures. We conducted an observational case study in western Kenya by utilizing wearables over a 3-week period to continuously monitor various health metrics such as step count, sleep patterns, heart rate, and body shell temperature. Additionally, a local weather station provided detailed data on environmental conditions such as rainfall and heat, with measurements taken every 15 minutes. Our cohort comprised 83 participants (42 women and 41 men), with an average age of 33 years. We observed a positive correlation between step count and maximum wet bulb globe temperature (estimate 0.06, SE 0.02; P=.008). Although there was a negative correlation between minimum nighttime temperatures and heat index with sleep duration, these were not statistically significant. No significant correlations were found in other applied models. A cautionary heat index level was recorded on 194 (95.1%) of 204 days. Heavy rainfall (>20 mm/day) occurred on 16 (7.8%) out of 204 days. Despite 10 (21%) out of 47 devices failing, data completeness was high for sleep and step count (mean 82.6%, SD 21.3% and mean 86.1%, SD 18.9%, respectively), but low for heart rate (mean 7%, SD 14%), with adult women showing significantly higher data completeness for heart rate than men (2-sided t test: P=.003; Mann-Whitney U test: P=.001). Body shell temperature data achieved 36.2% (SD 24.5%) completeness. Our study provides a nuanced understanding of the health impacts of weather exposures in rural Kenya. Our study's application of wearables reveals a significant correlation between physical activity levels and high temperature stress, contrasting with other studies suggesting decreased activity in hotter conditions. This discrepancy invites further investigation into the unique socioenvironmental dynamics at play, particularly in sub-Saharan African contexts. Moreover, the nonsignificant trends observed in sleep disruption due to heat expose the need for localized climate change mitigation strategies, considering the vital role of sleep in health. These findings emphasize the need for context-specific research to inform policy and practice in regions susceptible to the adverse health effects of climate change.

Spatiotemporal extension of extreme heat stress over East Asia under shared socioeconomic pathways

This study examines future changes in extreme heat stress over East Asia and its sub-regions using wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) based on the CORDEX East Asia Phase II multiple Regional Climate Model (RCM) simulations performed under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) scenarios. Daily maximum WBGTs (WX) are obtained from 3-hourly bias-corrected WBGTs and their future changes in the late 21st century (2081–2100) are analyzed with respect to the current period (1979–2014). Summer mean WX is projected to increase by 3.2 °C (SSP1-2.6: low emission) to 7.6 °C (SSP5-8.5: high emission) over East Asia, dominated by temperature increases. Relative humidity decreases over many regions, slightly offsetting WX increases (up to −6%), while it increases in northeastern and northern China, intensifying WX increases (up to +14%). This humidity-induced WX increase becomes stronger during hottest WX days (summer top 5%) and also under low emission scenarios (up to +33%). For sub-regional projections, extreme heat stress day (EHD) is defined when WX exceeds its 95th percentile in at least 10% of the area. RCMs project on average a 10 times increase of EHD frequency under the SSP5-8.5 scenario. The EHD magnitude, which combines the intensity and area extent of EHD events, is also expected to increase dramatically throughout East Asia, reaching a range of 3.2–3.5 °C∙fraction compared to the current (0.1–0.2 °C∙fraction). Further, EHDs are projected to start earlier and end later, lasting much longer (85–140 days) than the current condition (5–6 days) in the SSP5-8.5 scenario. RCMs exhibit a good agreement in WX and EHD projections with some noticeable differences in in-land sub-regions. Our results indicate that severe heat stress will affect the whole East Asia throughout and beyond the summer season and, in particular, southern sub-regions will be affected by more-intense and longer-lasting extreme heat stress events.

Wet bulb globe temperature variability and its implications on heat stress monitoring

The wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) is widely used in athletics for assessing heat stress. Sports governing bodies provide a wide variety of recommendations on how often to take WBGT measurements during activities like practices and competitions. This can leave coaching staff and other sports medicine personnel in a quandary as to what is the “best practice.” Our study is the first to use a large dataset to quantify the variability of WBGT within practice and competition sessions, and to identify the impact of using different measurement rates on the WBGT. The study leverages 6 years of data from thousands of American football practice and competition sessions from across Georgia, USA. We observed that, on average, WBGTs are coolest in the morning (26.67°C) and evening (24.84°C), and hottest in the midday (30.23°C) and afternoon (27.21°C). The variability within sessions tended to be greater for morning, midday, and afternoon than evenings, with session standard deviations of 0.96°C to 1.27°C and ranges of 2.67°C to 3.55°C when controlling for duration. WBGTs also tended to increase over time in morning sessions and decrease over time during afternoon and evening sessions. These changes are clinically important. We found that Georgia High School Association (GHSA) WBGT activity modification categories often changed during sessions, especially in the morning, midday, and afternoon where a change in GHSA category of ≥1 occurred in 57% to 76% of sessions. Considering this variability, our results indicate that more frequent measurements better capture maximum WBGT values over a session and reduce the likelihood of misclassifying activity modification.

Impact of Evaporation in Yangtze River Valley on Heat Stress in North China

Abstract In North China (NC), heat stress, which can be quantitatively characterized by wet-bulb globe temperature (WBGT), is closely related to specific humidity. This study focuses on the total days for NC average daily maximum WBGT exceeding 26°C (WGBT26) per summer (June–August) from 1979 to 2017. Rather than local precipitation or evaporation in NC, the NC WBGT26 is significantly related to the nonlocal evaporation around the Yangtze River valley (YR). The abnormal positive evaporated water vapor in YR, associated with anomalously high water vapor flux from south to north at 925 hPa, is continuously transported to NC in the above-normal WBGT26 years. Such an abnormal “evaporation and transportation” process can significantly increase the water vapor in NC and therefore enhance WBGT26. The evaporation in YR peaks in mid- to late July and is closely associated with the occurrence days for daily maximum WBGT exceeding 26°C and maximum daily mean specific humidity at 925 hPa in summer. The main driver for the strongest YR evaporation anomaly from 15 July to 15 August is the simultaneous surface air temperature rather than the simultaneous or earlier soil moisture, precipitation, and vapor pressure deficit (VPD) anomaly. This condition is due to the continuously abundant soil moisture in the YR from April to September. The results of this study provide new ideas for studying heat stress in NC, indicating that nonlocal land–atmosphere interactions are crucial.

Spatiotemporal changes in Hourly Wet Bulb Globe temperature in Peninsular Malaysia

Global warming causes a temperature rise and alteration of other meteorological variables that directly or indirectly affect human comfort. The wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) incorporates the effects of multiple meteorological variables to provide a reliable measure of human thermal stress. Despite the large significance of WBGT on public health, studies related to characterization and trends assessment of WBGT are limited in the tropical humid region like Peninsular Malaysia due to the unavailability of all meteorological variables required for such analysis. This study employed reanalysis meteorological data of ERA5 to assess the characteristics and changes in hourly, daily, monthly, seasonal and annual outdoor WBGT over peninsular Malaysia for the period 1959–2021 using the Liljegren method. The WBGT values were classified into five categories to assess the human thermal stress levels defined by the United States Department of the Army (USDA). The mean daily WBGT in PM varies from 21.5 °C in the central south elevated region to 30.5 °C in the western coastal region. It always reaches a heat-related illness risk level (31.20 °C) in the afternoon during monsoon and extreme stress conditions during inter-monsoonal periods. The trend analysis revealed an increase in WBGT for all the time scales. The higher increase in the mean and maximum WBGT was estimated in the coastal and south regions, nearly by 0.10 to 0.25 °C/decade. The increase in mean nighttime WBGT was 0.24 °C/decade, while in mean daytime WBGT was 0.11 °C/decade. The increase in WBGT caused a gradual expansion of areas experiencing daily WBGT exceeding a high-risk level for 5 h (11 AM to 3 PM). The information and maps generated in this study can be used for mitigation planning of heat-related stress risk in PM, where temperature extremes have grown rapidly in recent years.

Launching criteria of ‘Heatstroke Alert’ in Japan according to regionality and age group

To reduce heatstroke cases, the Japanese government launched ‘Heatstroke Alert’ in 2020. In this initiative, an alert is issued when the daily maximum wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) is expected to reach or exceed 33 °C. However, heatstroke incidents at a daily maximum of WBGT of 33 °C can vary by regions and by age groups. In this study, we analyzed the heatstroke incidence in all 47 prefectures of Japan at the daily maximum WBGT of 33 °C, considering age groups. In addition, considering variations in heatstroke incidence by prefectures and age groups, alternative ‘Heatstroke Alert’ criteria (AHAC) by each prefecture and age group were examined. We also analyzed the daily maximum WBGT at which heatstroke incidence starts to increase (the WBGT threshold), as this can be an additional metric to ‘Heatstroke Alert’ for the prevention of heatstroke. The results showed that the northern region (higher latitudes) of Japan has more patients with heatstroke per population, at a daily maximum WBGT of 33 °C, than the southern region (lower latitudes), by factors of approximately 3–5, considering each age group. The suggested AHAC among 47 prefectures were 29.8 [27.7–31.4] °C for 7–17 years, 32.4 [30.2–33.9] °C for 18–64 years, and 30.8 [28.5–33.2] °C for ≥ 65 years, respectively. The northern region exhibited a lower WBGT threshold (defined as the value at which heatstroke incidence is 0.1 persons per 105 people) than the southern region by approximately 3.5°C–5°C, considering each age group. The calculated average WBGT threshold among 47 prefectures was 23.2 [20.4–25.3] °C for 7–17 years, 26.3 [24.2–28.1] °C for 18–64 years, and 23.1 [20.2–25.6] °C for ≥ 65 years, respectively. These findings are expected to contribute to the reinforcement of ‘Heatstroke Alert’ and the use of WBGT information in a more preventive manner.

Potential effect of heat adaptation on association between number of heatstroke patients transported by ambulance and wet bulb globe temperature in Japan

This study analyzed the association between heatstroke incidence and daily maximum wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) for all 47 prefectures in Japan by age group and severity using time-series analysis, controlling for confounders, such as seasonality and long-term trends. With the obtained association, the relative risk between the reference WBGT (defined as the value at which heatstroke starts to increase) and the daily maximum WBGT at 30 °C (RRwbgt30) of each prefecture were calculated. For the heatstroke data, the daily number of heatstroke patients transported by ambulance at the prefecture level, provided by the Fire and Disaster Management Agency, was utilized. The analysis was conducted for age groups of 7–17 y, 18–64 y, and ≥65 y, and for severity of Deceased, Severe, Moderate (combined as DSM), and Mild. The analysis period was set from May 1 to September 30, 2015–2019. Finally, the correlation between RRwbgt30 and the average daily maximum WBGT during the analysis period (aveWBGTms) of each prefecture was analyzed to examine the regionality of heatstroke incidence. The result showed that RRwbgt30 is negatively correlated with aveWBGTms for the age group 18–64 y and ≥65 y (except for the age group 7–17 y) and for severity. The natural logarithm of the RRwbgt30 of all 47 prefectures ranged from 2.0 to 8.2 for the age group 7–17 y, 1.1 to 4.0 for the age group 18–64 y, 1.8 to 6.0 for the age group ≥65 y, and 1.0 to 3.6 for DSM, and 0.9 to 4.0 for Mild. This regionality can be attributed to the effects of heat adaptation, where people in hotter regions are accustomed to implementing measures against hot environments and are more heat acclimatized than people in cooler regions.

Prediction of the impact of climate change on the number of heatstroke patients in Tokyo, Japan with heat-adaptation effects

Background and Aim: Heatstroke has become a serious issue in Japan. To plan future adaptation measures, it is essential to understand to what extent the number of heatstroke patients will increase. Previous studies have predicted the number of heatstroke patients; however, they did not consider the effect of heat-adaptation. In this study, we conducted a future prediction study taking the effect of heat-adaptation into consideration. Methods: Japan, with its long north-south range, has a variety of climates, and it is necessary to explore its heat-adaptation effects. Our previous study showed that there was a positive correlation between the wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) value at which heatstroke patients start to increase (WBGT threshold) and regional climate (average daily maximum WBGT between May and September: RCWBGT). Using the relationship, we translated this geographical effect of heat-adaptation to temporal adaptation by shifting the WBGT threshold to a higher side when the RCWBGT increases in the future owing to climate change. We focused on the age groups of 65+ yr, constituting the most vulnerable age group. Five future climate change scenarios and RCP8.5 scenario were adopted. All the data utilized in this study were public domain data and are available from the corresponding website. Results: In Tokyo, the number of heatstroke patients by mid-21st century will be 2.2 times as high as that of heatstroke patients at present and 6.9 times by the end of the century without heat-adaptation; however, the corresponding numbers will be 1.4 times and 2.5 times, respectively, with heat-adaptation. Conclusions: The increase in the number of heatstroke patients was projected to substantially reduce owing to the effect of heat-adaptation. Acknowledgement: This work was supported by the Climate Change Adaptation Research Program of the National Institute for Environmental Studies. Keywords: Climate change; Wet bulb globe temperature; Heatstroke; Impact assessment

Baseline scenarios of heat-related ambulance transportations under climate change in Tokyo, Japan.

BackgroundPredictive scenarios of heatstroke over the long-term future have yet to be formulated. The purpose of the present study was to generate baseline scenarios of heat-related ambulance transportations using climate change scenario datasets in Tokyo, Japan.MethodsData on the number of heat-related ambulance transportations in Tokyo from 2015 to 2019 were examined, and the relationship between the risk of heat-related ambulance transportations and the daily maximum wet-bulb globe temperature (WBGT) was modeled using three simple dose–response models. To quantify the risk of heatstroke, future climatological variables were then retrieved to compute the WBGT up to the year 2100 from climate change scenarios (i.e., RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5) using two scenario models. The predicted risk of heat-related ambulance transportations was embedded onto the future age-specific projected population.ResultsThe proportion of the number of days with a WBGT above 28°C is predicted to increase every five years by 0.16% for RCP2.6, 0.31% for RCP4.5, and 0.68% for RCP8.5. In 2100, compared with 2000, the number of heat-related ambulance transportations is predicted to be more than three times greater among people aged 0–64 years and six times greater among people aged 65 years or older. The variance of the heatstroke risk becomes greater as the WBGT increases.ConclusionsThe increased risk of heatstroke for the long-term future was demonstrated using a simple statistical approach. Even with the RCP2.6 scenario, with the mildest impact of global warming, the risk of heatstroke is expected to increase. The future course of heatstroke predicted by our approach acts as a baseline for future studies.

Heat stress morbidity among US military personnel: Daily exposure and lagged response (1998-2019).

Heat stress illnesses represent a rising public health threat; however, associations between environmental heat and observed adverse health outcomes across populations and geographies remain insufficiently elucidated to evaluate risk and develop prevention strategies. In particular, military-relevant large-scale studies of daily heat stress morbidity responses among physically active, working-age adults to various indices of heat have been limited. We evaluated daily means, maximums, minimums, and early morning measures of temperature, heat index, and wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) indices, assessing their association with 31,642 case-definition heat stroke and heat exhaustion encounters among active duty servicemembers diagnosed at 24 continental US installations from 1998 to 2019. We utilized anonymized encounter data consisting of hospitalizations, ambulatory (out-patient) visits, and reportable events to define heat stress illness cases and select the 24 installations with the highest case counts. We derived daily indices of heat from hourly-scale gridded climate data and applied a case-crossover study design incorporating distributed-lag, nonlinear models with 5days of lag to estimate odds ratios at one-degree increments for each index of heat. All indices exhibited nonlinear odds ratios with short-term lag effects throughout observed temperature ranges. Responses were positive, monotonic, and exponential in nature, except for maximum daily WBGT, minimum daily temperature, temperature at 0600h (local), and WBGT at 0600h (local), which, while generally increasing, showed decreasing risk for the highest heat category days. The risk for a heat stress illness on a day with a maximum WBGT of 32.2°C (90.0 °F) was 1.93 (95% CI, 1.82 - 2.05) times greater than on a day with a maximum WBGT of 28.6°C (83.4 °F). The risk was 2.53 (2.36-2.71) times greater on days with a maximum heat index of 40.6°C (105 °F) compared to 32.8°C (91.0 °F). Our findings suggest that prevention efforts may benefit from including prior-day heat levels in risk assessments, from monitoring temperature and heat index in addition to WBGT, and by promoting control measures and awareness across all heat categories.

Assessing the Climatological Relationship between Heatstroke Risk and Heat Stress Indices in 47 Prefectures in Japan

This study provides a decade-long link between summer heatstroke incidence and certain heat stress indices in 47 prefectures of Japan. The results for each prefecture were determined from the age-adjusted heatstroke incidence rate (TRadj) with heatstroke patients transported by ambulance, as well as from the daily maximum temperature (TEMPmax), maximum wet-bulb globe temperature (WBGTmax), and maximum universal thermal climate index (UTCImax) recorded from July to September of 2010–2019. The UTCImax relatively increased the vulnerability in many prefectures of northern Japan more distinctly than the other indices. In the following analysis, the ratio of the TRadj of the hottest to coolest months using the UTCImax was defined as the heatstroke risk of the hottest to coolest (HRHC). Overall, the HRHC varied approximately from 20 to 40 in many prefectures in the past decade. In contrast, for the same analysis performed in each month, HRHC ratios in July and August fell within 2–4 in many prefectures, whereas in September, the average and maximum HRHC ratios for all prefectures were 7.0 and 32.4, respectively. This difference can be related to the large difference in UTCImax between the maximum and minimum for a decade.

Global urban population exposure to extreme heat

Increased exposure to extreme heat from both climate change and the urban heat island effect-total urban warming-threatens the sustainability of rapidly growing urban settlements worldwide. Extreme heat exposure is highly unequal and severely impacts the urban poor. While previous studies have quantified global exposure to extreme heat, the lack of a globally accurate, fine-resolution temporal analysis of urban exposure crucially limits our ability to deploy adaptations. Here, we estimate daily urban population exposure to extreme heat for 13,115 urban settlements from 1983 to 2016. We harmonize global, fine-resolution (0.05°), daily temperature maxima and relative humidity estimates with geolocated and longitudinal global urban population data. We measure the average annual rate of increase in exposure (person-days/year-1) at the global, regional, national, and municipality levels, separating the contribution to exposure trajectories from urban population growth versus total urban warming. Using a daily maximum wet bulb globe temperature threshold of 30 °C, global exposure increased nearly 200% from 1983 to 2016. Total urban warming elevated the annual increase in exposure by 52% compared to urban population growth alone. Exposure trajectories increased for 46% of urban settlements, which together in 2016 comprised 23% of the planet's population (1.7 billion people). However, how total urban warming and population growth drove exposure trajectories is spatially heterogeneous. This study reinforces the importance of employing multiple extreme heat exposure metrics to identify local patterns and compare exposure trends across geographies. Our results suggest that previous research underestimates extreme heat exposure, highlighting the urgency for targeted adaptations and early warning systems to reduce harm from urban extreme heat exposure.

COVID-19 and Heat Illness in Tokyo, Japan: Implications for the Summer Olympic and Paralympic Games in 2021.

The 2020 summer Olympic and Paralympic Games in Tokyo were postponed to July–September 2021 due to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. While COVID-19 has emerged as a monumental health threat for mass gathering events, heat illness must be acknowledged as a potentially large health threat for maintaining health services. We examined the number of COVID-19 admissions and the Tokyo rule for emergency medical care, in Tokyo, from March to September 2020, and investigated the weekly number of emergency transportations due to heat illness and weekly averages of the daily maximum Wet Bulb Globe Temperature (WBGT) in Tokyo in the summer (2016–2020). The peak of emergency transportations due to heat illness overlapped the resurgence of COVID-19 in 2020, and an increase of heat illness patients and WBGT has been observed. Respect for robust science is critical for the decision-making process of mass gathering events during the pandemic, and science-based countermeasures and implementations for COVID-19 will be warranted. Without urgent reconsiderations and sufficient countermeasures, the double burden of COVID-19 and heat-related illnesses in Tokyo will overwhelm the healthcare provision system, and maintaining essential health services will be challenging during the 2021 summer Olympic and Paralympic Games.

Core Body Temperatures in Collegiate Marching Band Artists During Rehearsals and Performances.

To our knowledge, no researchers have investigated thermoregulatory responses and exertional heat illness (EHI) risk factors in marching band (MB) artists performing physical activity in high environmental temperatures. To examine core temperature (Tc) and EHI risk factors in MB artists. Descriptive epidemiology study. Three rehearsals and 2 football games for 2 National Collegiate Athletic Association Division I institution's MBs. Nineteen volunteers (females = 13, males = 6; age = 20.5 ± 0.9 years, height = 165.1 ± 7.1 cm, mass = 75.0 ± 19.1 kg) completed the study. We measured Tc, wet bulb globe temperature, and relative humidity preactivity, during activity, and postactivity. Other variables were activity time and intensity, body surface area, hydration characteristics (fluid volume, sweat rate, urine specific gravity, percentage of body mass loss), and medical history (eg, previous EHI, medications). The statistical analysis consisted of descriptive information (mean ± standard deviation), comparative analyses that determined differences within days, and correlations that identified variables significantly associated with Tc. The mean time for rehearsals was 102.8 ± 19.8 minutes and for games was 260.5 ± 47.7 minutes. Mean maximum Tc was 39.1 ± 1.1°C for games and 38.4 ± 0.7°C for rehearsals; the highest Tc (41.2°C) occurred during a game. Fluid consumption did not match sweat rates (P < .001). Participants reported to games in a hypohydrated state 63.6% of the time. The maximum Tc correlated with the maximum wet bulb globe temperature (r = 0.618, P < .001) and was higher in individuals using mental health medications (rpb = -0.254, P = .022) and females (rpb = 0.330, P = .002). Body surface area (r = -0.449, P < .001) and instrument mass (r = -0.479, P < .001) were negatively correlated with Tc. Marching band artists experienced high Tc during activity and should have access to athletic trainers who can implement EHI-prevention and -management strategies.

From theory to practice: operationalizing a climate vulnerability for sport organizations framework for heat hazards among US High schools

BackgroundSport organizations must comprehensively assess the degree to which their athletes are susceptible to exertional heat illnesses (i.e. vulnerable) to appropriately plan and adapt for heat-related hazards. Yet, no heat vulnerability framework has been applied in practice to guide decision making. ObjectivesWe quantify heat vulnerability of state-level requirements for health and safety standards affecting United States (US) high school athletes as a case study. DesignObservational. MethodsWe utilize a newly developed climate vulnerability to sports organizations framework (CVSO), which considers the heat hazard of each state using summer maximum wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) in combination with an 18-point heat safety scoring system (18 = best policy). Heat vulnerability is categorized as “problem” [higher heat (>27.9°C) and lower policy score (≤9)], “fortified” [higher heat (>27.9°C) and higher policy score (>9)], “responsive” [lower heat (<27.9°C) and lower policy score (≤9)], and “proactive” [lower heat (<27.9°C) and higher policy score (>9)]. ResultsAcross the US, the mean WBGT was 28.4±2.4°C and policy score was 6.9±4.7. In combination, we observed organizations within each of the four vulnerability categories with 16% (n=8) in fortified, 16% (n=8) in proactive, 29% (n=15) in problem, and 39% (n=20) in responsive. ConclusionsThe CSVO framework allowed us to identify different degrees of vulnerability among the state’s and to highlight the 29% (n=15) of states with immediate needs for policy revisions. We found the CSVO framework to be highly adaptable in our application, suggesting feasibility for use with other sports governing bodies.

Intensity-duration-frequency relationship of WBGT extremes using regional frequency analysis in South Korea

The risk levels of heat-related extreme events need to be estimated for prediction and real-time monitoring to mitigate their impacts on air quality, public health, the ecosystem, and critical infrastructure. Many countries have adopted meteorological variable base thresholds for assessing the risk level of heat-related extreme events. These thresholds provide an approximate risk level for a specific event but do not consider its intensity and duration in the risk assessment. The current study provides a statistical tool to assess the risk of heat-related extreme events while concurrently considering their intensities and durations based on the wet-bulb globe temperature (WBGT). To this end, the intensity–duration–frequency (IDF) relationship of the extreme WBGT in South Korea was derived. Regional frequency analysis was employed to understand the IDF relationship. Return levels of heat-related extreme events in South Korea were calculated and their characteristics were investigated based on the annual maximum WBGT observations. The results showed that the IDF relationship could provide the risks of heat-related extreme events while concurrently considering their intensities and durations. The extreme WBGT in South Korea was used to categorize two regions such as coastal and inland based on their statistical characteristics. The return levels of the annual maximum WBGT events were found to vary largely by location. The return levels corresponding to 32 °C with 3-h duration for stations in the coastal and inland regions ranged from 1- to 100-years and 3- to 1000-years, respectively. Mean values of return levels for heatwave events in Seoul, Incheon, Daejon, Gwangju, Daegu, and Busan were 2.8-, 8.4-, 15.3-, 2.8-, 1.6-, and 2.2-years, respectively. The return levels of heatwaves for the warmer cities are smaller than those for cooler cities. The return levels of the heatwave events in South Korea showed a significant increasing trend in several cities, supporting the notion that the impact of heatwave events on South Korea might become more severe in the future.

Climate Change and the Future Heat Stress Challenges among Smallholder Farmers in East Africa

Agricultural production in sub-Saharan Africa remains dependent on high inputs of human labor, a situation associated with direct exposure to daylight heat during critical periods of the agricultural calendar. We ask the question: how is the Wet-Bulb Globe Temperature (WBGT) going to be distributed in the future, and how will this affect the ability of smallholder farmers to perform agricultural activities? Data from general circulation models are used to estimate the distribution of WBGT in 2000, 2050 and 2100, and for high activity periods in the agricultural calendar. The distribution of WBGT is divided into recommended maximum WBGT exposure levels (°C) at different work intensities, and rest/work ratios for an average acclimatized worker wearing light clothing (ISO, 18). High WBGTs are observed during the two periods of the East African. In February to March, eastern and coastal regions of Kenya and Tanzania witness high WBGT values—some necessitating up to 75% rest/hour work intensities in 2050 and 2100. In August to September, eastern and northern Kenya and north and central Uganda are vulnerable to high WBGT values. Designing policies to address this key challenge is a critical element in adaptation methods to address the impact of climate change.

Maximum wet‐bulb globe temperature mapping in central–south Brazil: a numerical study

Heatwaves have been getting more intense and frequent in Brazil. They affect public health, mainly outdoor workers, who are vulnerable to them; therefore, public policies focused on this population must be improved. The aim of the present study was to show the spatial behaviour of the maximum wet‐bulb globe temperature (WBGT) in central–south Brazil, at domain 34.5–14.8° S latitude and 61.7–37.3° W longitude. The air temperature under heatwave influence is often extreme in this domain and it can exceed 40°C. The WBGT is based on simulated and observed meteorological data. Numerical simulations were conducted for 9 hr (day shift) in each of the 28 days under heatwave influence. The simulated and observed WBGT values were compared to test the model skill assessment. The maximum WBGT of each grid point took into consideration all the schedules and simulation days. Based on the skill results, the simulated WBGT performance was good, mainly in areas recording a higher WBGT; outdoor workers subjected to moderate and heavy workload must be subjected to control measures or stop working in most central–south domains during periods under heatwave influence. In the most critical cases, outdoor workers should be prevented from heavy workload throughout the entire work shift because they are exposed to almost 8 hr of WBGT higher than 30°C.