Abstract Background Cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) is among the most valuable clinical tools for evaluating disease severity and physical activity limitations in heart failure (HF) patients. Peak oxygen uptake (pVO2) reflects maximal cardiac output during exercise, and it is considered a major parameter in selecting candidates for cardiac transplantation. VO2 overshoot, a transient increase in VO2 during recovery from maximal exercise, has been frequently observed in HF patients and is attributed to the transient increase in cardiac output caused by the mismatch between cardiac contractility and afterload reduction. However, the prognostic significance of this phenomenon remains to be fully established. Purpose This study aimed to characterize the prognostic significance of VO2 overshoot following peak exercise in individuals with HF. Methods This retrospective single-center study included consecutive adult patients with chronic (>3 months) and stable HF, with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) <50%, who underwent CPET between 2015 and 2020. Following maximal exercise, patients recovered over a 3-minute period (walking 2km/h for 1 minute and sitting passively for 2 minutes). VO2 overshoot kinetics during recovery were measured and described as the time until post-exercise VO2 fell below pVO2 for at least 15 seconds. Please refer to Figure 1A for an example of normal and prolonged VO2 overshoot. The study endpoint was time to cardiovascular (CV) death, urgent cardiac transplant, or left ventricular assist device (LVAD) over 1-year follow-up. Results A total of 254 patients were included (mean age 59 ± 12 years; 83% males; mean LVEF 34 ± 9%; 70% with ischemic HF; 77% in NYHA class II-III; mean pVO2 18 ± 6 mL/kg/min; mean predicted pVO2% 52 ± 16%; mean VE/VCO2 slope 41 ± 13). The VO2 overshoot had a normal distribution (Figure 1B) and lasted on average for 45 ± 33 seconds. There were no differences between patients that had an overshoot higher and below average. Overall, during follow-up, 25 patients met the composite endpoint (12 CV deaths, 9 urgent heart transplants, and 4 LVAD). Univariate analysis showed a significant relationship between VO2 overshoot and the outcome of interest (HR 1.01, 95% CI 1.00 – 1.02, p=0.027). In multivariate analysis, this association remained significant, even after adjusting for pVO2 and VE/VCO2 slope (HR 1.01, CI 95% 1.00– 1.02, p=0.026). Conclusion This study delves into the intriguing phenomenon of VO2 overshoot in patients with heart failure, shedding light on its potential prognostic significance. The independent association between VO2 overshoot and the composite endpoint suggests that this transient increase in oxygen consumption may carry prognostic value. Further studies should confirm these findings.
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