Macquarie Marshes Research Articles

Modelling African swine fever introduction in diverse Australian feral pig populations

African swine fever (ASF) is a viral disease that affects domestic and feral pigs. While not currently present in Australia, ASF outbreaks have been reported nearby in Indonesia, Timor-Leste, and Papua New Guinea. Feral pigs are found in all Australian states and territories and are distributed in a variety of habitats. To investigate the impacts of an ASF introduction event in Australia, we used a stochastic network-based metapopulation feral pig model to simulate ASF outbreaks in different regions of Australia. Outbreak intensity and persistence in feral pig populations was governed by local pig recruitment rates, population size, carcass decay period, and, if applicable, metapopulation topology. In Northern Australia, the carcass decay period was too short for prolonged persistence, while endemic transmission could possibly occur in cooler southern areas. Populations in Macquarie Marshes in New South Wales and in Namadgi National Park in the Australian Capital Territory had the highest rates of persistence. The regions had different modes of transmission that led to long-term persistence. Endemic Macquarie Marshes simulations were characterised by rapid transmission caused by high population density that required a fragmented metapopulation to act as a bottleneck to slow transmission. Endemic simulations in Namadgi, with low density and relatively slow transmission, relied on large, well-connected populations coupled with long carcass decay times. Despite the potential for endemic transmission, both settings required potentially unlikely population sizes and dynamics for prolonged disease survival.

Monitoring long-term vegetation condition dynamics in persistent semi-arid wetland communities using time series of Landsat data

Wetlands in arid and semi-arid regions are characterized by dry- and wet-phase vegetation expression which responds to variable water resources. Monitoring condition trends in these wetlands is challenging because transitions may be rapid and short-lived, and identification of meaningful condition change requires longitudinal study. Remotely-sensed data provide cost effective, multi-decadal information with sufficient temporal and spatial scale to explore wetland condition. In this study, we used a time series of Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) derived from 34 years (1988–2021) of Landsat imagery, to investigate the long-term condition dynamics of six broad vegetation groups (communities) in a large floodplain wetland system, the Macquarie Marshes in Australia. These communities were persistently mapped as River Red Gum wetland, Black Box/Coolibah woodland, Lignum shrubland, Semi-permanent wetland, Terrestrial grassland and Terrestrial woodland. We used generalized additive models (GAM) to explore the response of vegetation to seasonality, river flow and climatic conditions. We found that EVI was a useful metric to monitor both wetland condition and response to climatic and hydrological drivers. Wetland communities were particularly responsive to river flow and seasonality, while terrestrial communities were responsive to climate and seasonality. Our results indicate asymptotic condition responses, and therefore evidence of hydrological thresholds, by some wetland communities to river flows. We did not observe a long-term trend of declining condition although an apparent increase in condition variability towards the end of the time series requires continued monitoring. Our remotely-sensed, landscape-scale monitoring approach merits further ground validation. We discuss how it can be used to provide a management tool which continuously assesses short and long-term wetland condition and informs conservation decisions about water management for environmental flows.

A Random Forest-Based Multi-Index Classification (RaFMIC) Approach to Mapping Three-Decadal Inundation Dynamics in Dryland Wetlands Using Google Earth Engine

Australian inland riparian wetlands located east of the Great Dividing Range exhibit unique, hydroecological characteristics. These flood-dependent aquatic systems located in water-limited regions are declining rapidly due to the competitive demand for water for human activities, as well as climate change and variability. However, there exist very few reliable data to characterize inundation change conditions and quantify the impacts of the loss and deterioration of wetlands. A long-term time record of wetland inundation maps can provide a crucial baseline to monitor, assess, and assist the management and conservation of wetland ecosystems. This study presents a random forest-based multi-index classification algorithm (RaFMIC) on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform to efficiently construct a temporally dense, three-decadal time record of inundation maps of the southeast Australian riparian inland wetlands. The method was tested over the Macquarie Marshes located in the semiarid region of NSW, Australia. The results showed a good accuracy when compared against high-spatial resolution imagery. The total inundated area was consistent with precipitation and streamflow patterns, and the temporal dynamics of vegetation showed good agreement with the inundation maps. The inundation time record was analysed to generate inundation probability maps, which were in a good agreement with frequently flooded areas simulated by a hydrodynamic model and the distribution of flood-dependent vegetation species. The long-term, time-dense inundation maps derived from the RaFMIC method can provide key information to assess the condition and health of wetland ecosystems and have the potential to improve wetland inventory with spatially explicit water regime information. RaFMIC can be adapted over other dryland wetlands, as an effective semiautomated method of mapping long-term inundation dynamics.

The Dammed and the Saved: a Conservation Triage Framework for Wetlands under Climate Change in the Murray–Darling Basin, Australia

As the impacts of climate change and water demands from irrigation continue to increase in the Murray–Darling Basin, water for the environment is becoming more scarce and the ecological conditions of many wetlands is poor. With water scarcity, conservation triage is becoming an increasingly relevant management option for environmental watering of wetlands. However, triage is controversial; being considered contrary to current conservation objectives and practices. We assessed environmental watering at two Ramsar wetlands, Macquarie Marshes and Gunbower Forest, based on international environmental treaty obligations and domestic policy settings, changes to flow regimes, wetland condition and current management. Triage decision making was found to be in tacit use at Macquarie Marshes, based on ‘rules of thumb’ and experiential ecohydrological knowledge, whereas formal environmental watering planning formed the basis for triage decision making at Gunbower Forest. We developed a framework for conservation triage of wetlands in the Murray–Darling Basin to stimulate change in the decision context for wetland conservation and adaptation under climate change. Conservation triage entails reframing of relationships between people and nature and values, rules and knowledge used by stakeholders. Because water is the medium by which wetland conservation outcomes eventuate, trade-offs between competing water uses can be realised with the triage framework.

Monitoring vital signs: Wetland vegetation responses to hydrological resources in the Macquarie Marshes NSW, Australia

AbstractHuman intervention through damming, diversion and extraction of water resources has created regulated dryland river systems. As a result, connectivity between river channels and floodplain wetlands has diminished. Wetland function is fundamentally linked to water availability: flooding exchanges water, nutrients, sediments and biota with the floodplain. Water allocation for environmental flows may mitigate wetland degradation following river regulation by improving hydrological connectivity between rivers and floodplain wetlands. We report the results (2014–15 to 2018–19) of a vegetation monitoring program in the Macquarie Marshes in north western New South Wales. As part of the long‐term program, we monitored semi‐permanent wetland (Water Couch (Paspalum distichum) grassland or sedgeland dominated) and River Red Gum (Eucalyptus camaldulensis) forest/woodland communities along with environmental and water resource availability predictors. During the five‐year period, we found linear and nonlinear responses of functional group abundance and species richness to the water year and to time since last inundation. We also found differences in species assemblages in response to the flow and flooding regime, particularly water year and inundation duration. These results indicated that wetlands continued to express dry and wet phase responses. We also observed a depressed response to the large 2016–17 flood event by a subset of semi‐permanent wetland sites that had not been inundated in 3 years, compared with sites that were more recently inundated. This result indicated that environmental water management, along with protection of natural inundation events, may improve the resilience of floodplain wetlands: increased hydrological connectivity may promote a stronger wetland response when floods occur. Our results indicate that inundation, in part comprised of managed environmental flows, is a primary driver of species assemblage and functional group representation in semi‐arid floodplain wetlands.

And we thought the Millennium Drought was bad: Assessing climate variability and change impacts on an Australian dryland wetland using an ecohydrologic emulator

During the Millennium Drought in southeast Australia (2001–2009), dryland wetlands experienced widespread ecological deterioration, which highlighted their vulnerability to natural climate variability and the potential effects of drying climate change. Here we use 30-year observed streamflow data (1991–2020) and numerical models to assess the impacts of climate variability and climate change on the Macquarie Marshes (the Marshes), a large floodplain wetland complex in the semi-arid region of New South Wales, Australia. A fast ecohydrologic emulator based on network linear programming with side constraints was developed to simulate the spatial and temporal responses of different wetland vegetation types to water regime. The emulator represents the wetland by a series of inter-connected level-pool reservoirs with the volume-discharge relationship obtained from a calibrated quasi-2d hydrodynamic model. The emulator reproduces daily flows and volume with good accuracy (Nash-Sutcliffe statistic ranging from 0.61 to 0.96) with 1/26,000 of the computational effort. We use the emulator to simulate the potential effects of climatic variability on vegetation by running the model over 30 years of observed data and 1000 statistically representative 30-year streamflow time series, which were generated using a stochastic model calibrated to the gauged flows. The collection of results for all 1000 contemporary simulations indicates the Marshes experience severe conditions 43% (± 18%) of the time in a 30-year period. We then ran an additional 6000 simulations to assess the combined impacts of climate variability and future climate change at the end of the century. For the driest future climates (-60% and -30% reduction in runoff), the Marshes remain in severe condition 89% (± 6%) and 63% (± 16%) of the time, respectively, while no major differences with respect to the contemporary conditions were found for the wetter future. Our results highlight the importance of quantifying the extent and uncertainty in the degradation of these ecosystems due to climate variability and change for informing management decisions.

Planktonic Metabolism and Microbial Carbon Substrate Utilization in Response to Inundation in Semi‐Arid Floodplain Wetlands

AbstractIn semi‐arid floodplain wetlands, planktonic metabolism, a balance of gross primary productivity of phytoplankton (GPP) and planktonic respiration (PR), may be affected by hydrology, geomorphology, carbon, and microbial communities. Understanding relationships between these factors helps develop effective water and land management plans for these wetlands. In this study, variations in planktonic metabolism and microbial carbon substrate utilization were investigated in the semi‐arid floodplain wetlands of the Macquarie Marshes, south‐eastern Australia, by comparing three geomorphologically distinct zones with different historical inundation frequencies (zones 1: moderate, 2: low, and 3: very low). Floodplain soil samples collected from each zone were inundated artificially in controlled laboratory conditions. GPP and PR were determined using biological oxygen demand methods. Biolog EcoPlates™ were used to assess microbial utilization of carbon substrate. Among the zones examined, zone 1 had the highest GPP and lowest PR, while zone 3 had the lowest GPP and highest PR. GPP/PR showed zones 1 and 2 autotrophic, and zone 3 heterotrophic. EcoPlates showed the highest and lowest microbial activity in zone 3 and zone 1 respectively, indicating a strong link between microbial carbon substrate utilization and PR for heterotrophy in the rarely inundated zone. Inundation of drier wetland zones may lead to a large pulse in PR, at least for a short period of time, potentially leading to anoxic water events. When making decisions for environmental water allocations, the antecedent hydro‐geomorphological and microbial condition of the targeted wetlands should be considered to help predict expected aquatic ecosystem responses.

Resilience of trees and the vulnerability of grasslands to climate change in temperate Australian wetlands

Observations from wetlands across the globe suggest a consistent pattern of woody encroachment into wetland grasslands, altering habitat structure and ecological function. The extent to which hydrological changes have contributed to woody invasion of wetland grasslands is unclear. Our objective was to compare rates of woody encroachment in Australian floodplain wetlands between wet and dry hydrological phases. We test the hypothesis that contraction of non-woody wetland vegetation (grasses and rushes) would be concentrated in dry phases, co-incident with recruitment of the River Red Gum Eucalyptus camaldulensis lower in the floodplain. We conduct the first detailed mapping of habitat change in two of the largest forested wetlands in inland Australia, comparing wet and dry hydrological phases. Detailed photogrammetry, supported by extensive ground survey, allowed the interpretation of high resolution aerial photography to vegetation community level. We found a consistent pattern of decline in non-woody vegetation, particularly amongst grasses utilising the C4 photosynthetic pathway. The C4 grasses Pseudoraphis spinescens and Paspalum distichum showed steep declines in the Barmah Millewa and Macquarie Marshes respectively, being replaced by River Red Gum E. camaldulensis. C3 sedges proved more resilient in both systems. Our results suggest that a pattern of tree expansion into non-woody wetland vegetation, characteristic of wetlands across the globe, is a major habitat structural change in the Australian floodplain wetlands studied. Projected hydrological impacts of climate change are likely to further restrict wetland grass foraging habitat in these semi-arid floodplain wetlands.

Connectivity but not recruitment: Response of the fish community to a large‐scale flood on a heavily regulated floodplain

AbstractRecent environmental flow management in the Murray–Darling basin, south‐eastern Australia, has centred on restoring natural flooding regimes to meet ecological requirements, including the promotion of native fish recruitment, despite uncertainty about the effectiveness of managed environmental flooding. This study investigated recruitment responses of small‐bodied native and non‐native fish species to a large natural flood, supported by managed environmental flows in the Macquarie Marshes of the Murray–Darling basin. We surveyed the fish community within the heavily regulated, dryland floodplain system of the marshes, the year after breaking of the Millennium drought (2002–2009). During the spring–summer of 2010, the Macquarie Marshes experienced a one‐in‐10‐year flood, sustained by two environmental flow allocations, flooding 174,000 ha of floodplain. Five native species were collected across the nine study sites. Two non‐native species were particularly abundant during the flood, outnumbering the five native species in a ratio of 32:1, with Gambusia holbrooki the most abundant species, comprising 87% of all native and non‐native individuals captured. There was no marked effect of flood stage on the total abundance of small‐bodied native or non‐native fishes, but the composition of the fish community varied between surveys of the rising and falling phases of the flood. We did not capture any larval or post‐larval fish despite using a variety of suitable sampling methods. The lack of larvae in the Macquarie Marshes, following extensive flooding, most likely reflected the overall poor condition of native fish communities and low standing stocks of mature fish, resulting from deleterious long‐term effects of flow regulation exacerbated by drought. A gradual rebuilding of ecosystem health, fish health, and resilient fish populations by active management of environmental flows to impose more natural boom and bust dynamics may be needed to restore fish reproduction and recruitment in this regulated river.

Macro-charcoal accumulation in floodplain wetlands: Problems and prospects for reconstruction of fire regimes and environmental conditions.

Floodplain wetland ecosystems respond dynamically to flooding, fire and geomorphological processes. We employed a combined geomorphological and environmental proxy approach to assess allochthonous and autochthonous macro-charcoal accumulation in the Macquarie Marshes, Australia, with implications for the reconstruction of fire regimes and environmental conditions in large, open-system wetlands. After accounting for fluvial macro-charcoal flux (1.05 ± 0.32 no. cm-2 a-1), autochthonous macro-charcoal in ~1 m deep sediment profiles spanning ~1.7 ka were highly variable and inconsistent between cores and wetlands (concentrations from 0 to 438 no. cm-3, mean accumulation rates from 0 to 3.86 no. cm-2 a-1). A positive correlation existed between the number of recent fires, satellite-observed ignition points, and macro-charcoal concentrations at the surface of the wetlands. Sedimentology, geochemistry, and carbon stable isotopes (δ13C range -15 to -25 ‰) were similar in all cores from both wetlands and varied little with depth. Application of macro-charcoal and other environmental proxy techniques is inherently difficult in large, dynamic wetland systems due to variations in charcoal sources, sediment and charcoal deposition rates, and taphonomic processes. Major problems facing fire history reconstruction using macro-charcoal records in these wetlands include: (1) spatial and temporal variations in fire activity and ash and charcoal products within the wetlands, (2) variations in allochthonous inputs of charcoal from upstream sources, (3) tendency for geomorphic dynamism to affect flow dispersal and sediment and charcoal accumulation, and (4) propensity for post-depositional modification and/or destruction of macro-charcoal by flooding and taphonomic processes. Recognition of complex fire-climate-hydrology-vegetation interactions is essential. High-resolution, multifaceted approaches with reliable geochronologies are required to assess spatial and temporal patterns of fire and to reconstruct in order to interpret wetland fire regimes.

Influence of historical inundation frequency on soil microbes (Cyanobacteria, Proteobacteria, Actinobacteria) in semi-arid floodplain wetlands

Cyanobacteria and other microbes are important moderators of biogeochemical processes in semi-arid floodplain wetlands with varying inundation regimes. Inundation is a key environmental driver for floodplain biological communities. Little is known about the effect of historical inundation frequency on the spatial abundance of floodplain–wetland Cyanobacteria and other microbes. In this study, soil samples were collected at two locations with a gradient of low-to-high inundation frequency in the Macquarie Marshes, south-east Australia. We used high-throughput sequencing to estimate the proportional abundance of the soil Cyanobacteria and other dominant microbes, targeting the bacterial 16S rRNA gene. Of the microbes recovered, Cyanobacteria constituted proportionally a minor component, relative to other dominant phyla like Proteobacteria and Actinobacteria. Linear regression (generalised least-squares) models accounting for spatial autocorrelation showed that historical inundation frequency had no significant effect on the proportional abundance of Cyanobacteria at both wetlands studied. However, inundation frequency had a significant positive effect on the proportional abundance of Proteobacteria and a significant negative effect on the proportional abundance of Actinobacteria. Cyanobacteria seem to occupy a different hydrological niche from Proteobacteria and Actinobacteria in semi-arid floodplain wetlands, suggesting taxon-dependent response of floodplain microbial communities to varying inundation regimes and associated soil conditions in those environments.

Dramatic reduction in size of the lowland Macquarie River in response to Late Quaternary climate-driven hydrologic change

AbstractPalaeochannels of lowland rivers provide a means of investigating the sensitivity of river response to climate-driven hydrologic change. About 80 palaeochannels of the lower Macquarie River of southeastern Australia record the evolution of this distributive fluvial system. Six Macquarie palaeochannels were dated by single-grain optically stimulated luminescence. The largest of the palaeochannels (Quombothoo, median age 54 ka) was on average 284 m wide, 12 times wider than the modern river (24 m) and with 21 times greater meander wavelength. Palaeo-discharge then declined, resulting in a younger, narrower, group of palaeochannels, Bibbijibbery (125 m wide, 34 ka), Billybingbone (92 m, 20 ka), Milmiland (112 m, 22 ka), and Mundadoo (86 m, 5.6 ka). Yet these channels were still much larger than the modern river and were continuous downstream to the confluence with the Barwon-Darling River. At 5.5 ka, a further decrease in river discharge led to the formation of the narrow modern river, the ecologically important Macquarie Marshes, and Marra Creek palaeochannel (31 m, 2.1 ka) and diminished sediment delivery to the Barwon-Darling River as palaeo-discharge fell further. The hydrologic changes suggest precipitation was a driving forcing on catchment discharge in addition to a temperature-driven runoff response.

Characterization of the subsurface architecture and identification of potential groundwater paths in a clay-rich floodplain using multi-electrode resistivity imaging

ABSTRACTThe interaction between surface water and groundwater in clay-rich fluvial environments can be complex and is generally poorly understood. Airborne electromagnetic surveys are often used for characterizing regional groundwater systems, but they are constrained by the resolution of the method. A resistivity imaging survey has been carried out in the Macquarie Marshes (New South Wales, Australia) in combination with water chemical sampling. The results have enabled the identification of buried palaeochannels and the location of potential recharge points. The data have been compared with previously published airborne electromagnetic data in the same area. Deeper less conductive features suggest that there is a potential connection between the Great Artesian Basin and groundwater contained within the shallow sand aquifer. Even though the chemistry of the groundwater samples does not indicate interaction with the Great Artesian Basin, the observed discontinuity in the saprolite implies potential for this to happen in other locations.

Predicting floodplain inundation and vegetation dynamics in arid wetlands

The Macquarie Marshes is a freshwater wetland system located in semiarid Australia. The ecological importance of this site has been recognized under the Ramsar convention. Plant associations in the marshes has shown a complex dynamic where some wetland vegetation patches have transitioned to terrestrial vegetation during severe drought, but also quickly responded to increased inflows due to record and near record rainfall accompanied by water releases from an upstream reservoir. Management decisions regarding the environmental flows require the use of predictive tools in order to assess the response of the vegetation. We have developed a vegetation response model that couples hydrodynamic modelling of the northern Macquarie Marshes with watering requirements of different plant associations and vegetation succession rules. The model simulates floods in the wetland during a series of years, after which patches of vegetation are analysed according to water depth, percent exceedance time and frequencies of inundation. During the simulated period, the patch can have adequate watering conditions, or it can have critical conditions that would lead to a succession to another type of vegetation. The predicted vegetation is reintroduced in the model, providing feedbacks for the next simulation period. In this contribution, we implemented the model to simulate changes of wetland understory during the period 1991 to 2014.

Plant traits of propagule banks and standing vegetation reveal flooding alleviates impacts of agriculture on wetland restoration

Summary Restoration of degraded plant communities requires understanding of community assembly processes. Human land use can influence plant community assembly by altering environmental conditions and species’ dispersal patterns. Flooding, including from environmental flows, may counteract land use effects on wetland vegetation. We examined the influence of land use history and flood frequency on the functional composition of wetland plant communities along a regulated river. We applied fourth corner modelling to determine species’ trait‐based responses to flooding and land use by combining data on (i) the occupancy and abundance of species in propagule banks and standing vegetation, (ii) species traits, and (iii) environmental conditions of 22 standing vegetation and 108 soil propagule bank study sites. We used analysis of deviance to test how well each dataset characterised trait–environment interactions, and generalised linear models to identify traits related to species’ responses. The occupancy and abundance of native species in the propagule bank and standing vegetation increased with flood frequency and decreased with duration of agricultural land use. Species in standing vegetation with water‐borne propagule dispersal (hydrochory) showed similar trends. In contrast, species with higher specific leaf area were associated with longer land use duration. Identifying trait‐based differences in the propagule bank and standing vegetation can help disentangle effects of dispersal and environmental filters. The occupancy and abundance of hydrochorous species in standing vegetation were negatively related to land use duration, but hydrochorous species were positively related to land use duration based on their abundance in the propagule bank. This suggests that land use does not limit plant dispersal, but acts as an in situ abiotic filter, limiting species present in standing vegetation. Synthesis and applications. Land use duration and flood frequency have opposite effects on plant community traits in floodplain wetlands of the Macquarie Marshes, Australia. Legacies of agriculture can impede restoration of plant communities. Environmental flows that increase flooding may alleviate these impacts, especially in areas that have been used for agriculture for over 20 years, by providing dispersal and environmental filters that favour native wetland species. More flooding will likely be required to restore floodplains with longer histories of agricultural land use compared to floodplains less impacted by agriculture.

Frequent inundation helps counteract land use impacts on wetland propagule banks

AbstractQuestionHow do contrasting influences of inundation and historical land uses affect restoration of soil propagule bank composition in floodplain wetlands?LocationNorthern Nature Reserve (large ephemeral floodplain), Macquarie Marshes, New South Wales, Australia.MethodsWe conducted germination assays on soil samples collected from fields with different land‐use histories, stratified along an inundation gradient. We used GLM to determine whether native and exotic species richness and abundance varied along gradients of inundation and land use.ResultsSpecies richness and plant abundance in soil propagule banks were positively related to inundation and negatively related to intense historic land use. The abundance of native species was significantly higher in more frequently inundated areas. Abundances of exotic and ruderal species were higher in areas of intense prior land use. Overall species richness was generally similar across land‐use histories.ConclusionsLand‐use legacies compromised the ability of propagule banks to rejuvenate native vegetation in this floodplain wetland, especially in less frequently flooded parts of the floodplain, which harboured more ruderal and exotic species. Negative effects of prior land use may be alleviated by increased inundation. Native soil propagule banks were remarkably intact, providing a reservoir for restoration of wetland vegetation, even in soils highly disturbed by up to 20 yr of agricultural cropping. With appropriate inundation, soil propagule banks in less degraded areas of the Macquarie Marshes can provide diverse mixtures of desired species in high abundance but, in highly degraded areas, full restoration may be delayed.

Precipitation stable isotope variability and subcloud evaporation processes in a semi‐arid region

AbstractThe stable isotopic (2H/1H and 18O/16O) composition of precipitation has been used for a variety of hydrological and paleoclimate studies, a starting point for which is the behaviour of stable isotopes in modern precipitation. To this end, daily precipitation samples were collected over a 7‐year period (2008–2014) at a semi‐arid site located at the Macquarie Marshes, New South Wales (Australia). The samples were analysed for stable isotope composition, and factors affecting the isotopic variability were investigated. The best correlation between δ18O of precipitation was with local surface relative humidity.The reduced major axis precipitation weighted local meteoric water line was δ2H = 7.20 δ18O + 9.1. The lower slope and intercept (when compared with the Global Meteoric Water Line) are typical for a warm dry climate, where subcloud evaporation of raindrops is experienced. A previously published model to estimate the degree of subcloud evaporation and the subsequent isotopic modification of raindrops was enhanced to include the vertical temperature and humidity profile. The modelled results for raindrops of 1.0 mm radius showed that on average, the measured D‐excess (=δ2H − 8 δ18O) was 19.8‰ lower than that at the base of the cloud, and 18% of the moisture was evaporated before ground level (smaller effects were modelled for larger raindrops). After estimating the isotopic signature at the base of the cloud, a number of data points still plotted below the global meteoric water line, suggesting that some of the moisture was sourced from previously evaporated water.Back trajectory analysis estimated that 38% of the moisture was sourced over land. Precipitation samples for which a larger proportion of the moisture was sourced over land were 18O and 2H‐enriched in comparison to samples for which the majority of the moisture was sourced over the ocean.The most common weather systems resulting in precipitation were inland trough systems; however, only East Coast Lows contributed to a significant difference in the isotopic values. Copyright © 2016 Australian Nuclear Science and Technology Organisation. Hydrological Processes. © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Opportunities and challenges for water‐dependent protected area management arising from water management reform in the Murray–Darling Basin: a case study from the Macquarie Marshes in Australia

Abstract In dryland environments, freshwater ecosystems often suffer extensive degradation through habitat modification and water regime changes. The Macquarie Marshes are located in the Murray–Darling Basin in south‐eastern Australia. They are an example of an ecosystem that has experienced significant degradation in recent decades owing to upstream water diversions. Recent reforms of water management in the Murray–Darling Basin have attempted to balance environmental needs against consumptive uses of water. This paper examines the role a protected area has played in conserving the Macquarie Marshes freshwater ecosystem and discusses how Murray–Darling Basin water reform, together with social expectations of public land managers, have had impacts on the management of the Macquarie Marshes Nature Reserve. Protected areas may limit adverse impacts on habitat associated with local‐scale agricultural production but struggle without formal water management arrangements to protect water‐dependent ecosystems from threats operating at a catchment scale. Protected area managers balance demands from stakeholders to address local issues, such as fire management and geomorphic changes, against contributing to the achievement of environmental goals in a water planning system that operates at the catchment scale. European settlement and water resource development has marginalized local Aboriginal people from any role in land and water management activities. The water reforms have given them more opportunities for involvement in decision‐making processes, but opportunities for increased access to water for cultural and spiritual purposes remain limited. Protected areas offer a means of providing greater access for Aboriginal people to their ancestral lands. The strategies and processes developed to maintain and enhance the Macquarie Marshes exemplify the evolution in understanding of freshwater ecosystem protection in Australia, and are relevant globally to water resource management in complex social‐ecological systems. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Wandering wetlands: spatial patterns of historical channel and floodplain change in the Ramsar-listed Macquarie Marshes, Australia

In the context of static conservation reserves, dynamic fluvial processes and patterns of river channel and floodplain change are problematic for environmental management. Floodplain wetlands that evolve by erosion and sedimentation experience changes in the location and extent of channels and wetlands regardless of conservation reserve boundaries. We describe historical channel and floodplain change in an Australian wetland of international ecological significance, the southern Macquarie Marshes, and synthesise the role of avulsion in wetlands that move laterally on the broader floodplain. Avulsion has shifted the foci of flooding and areas of aquatic habitat in the system over the last century. By ~1925, active wetlands surrounding the Old Macquarie River and the original conservation area contracted around Monkeygar Creek within the present nature reserve, and the boundary of this reserve has changed little since the 1940s. Ecological changes associated with continued wetland desiccation in the reserve triggered a recent Ramsar Article 3.2 notification for the Macquarie Marshes, prompting management responses from government agencies. Fluvial morphodynamics and their impacts on wetland ecology should be specifically recognised and integrated with adaptive management plans to combine new findings with lessons learned from previous intervention strategies for the long-term ecological sustainability of floodplain wetlands.

An iterative method for discovering feasible management interventions and targets conjointly using uncertainty visualizations

This paper presents a generic method, referred to as Iterative Discovery, to guide deliberation with analysis where the aim is to plan refinements to management interventions with difficult-to-define objectives, often due to system uncertainties and diverse stakeholder positions. The method can be initiated by evaluating a scenario describing the current-best intervention. This provides the starting point for three evaluation cycles, focusing on model assumptions, alternative interventions and management targets. The outcome of this method is a list of management targets that can and cannot be achieved, the potential interventions that correspond to these targets, and the assumptions and uncertainties associated with these interventions. It was applied to a case study for environmental flow management in the Macquarie Marshes, Australia. We identified feasible management targets based on ecological outcomes in flood suitability across different locations, climate conditions and species, and the suitable environmental flow volumes that correspond to these targets.