Low Flow Research Articles

Effect of the inclination angles of the capillary tube on the natural evaporation of absolute ethanol

Microchannel heat transfer plays an important role in microelectronics technology for heat dissipation, due to its high efficiency and low heat transfer temperature difference and flow resistance. To underpin the fundamental understanding of this technology, the natural evaporation process of absolute ethanol in a capillary tube at inclination angles ranging from 0° to 90° was investigated experimentally by exploring a spectrum of properties, such as Marangoni flow patterns, evaporation rate, heat flux, and temperature distribution. We found that the morphology of the meniscus is similar under different inclination angles, but the liquid and the tube wall slip to varying degrees due to the pressure difference at the liquid–vapor interface during evaporation. Therefore, the force distribution of the meniscus interface is different, and the resultant force is Fmax(60°) > Fmax(0°) > Fmax(30°) > Fmax(90°). We found that the morphology of the meniscus is independent of the inclination angle when absolute ethanol evaporates naturally. And the evaporation rate, heat flux and temperature distribution of meniscus at the initial stage of evaporation follow the law of resultant force distribution. That is, when the inclination angle is 60°, the evaporation rate and heat flux reach the maximum, i.e. 1.64 μm/s and 10.96 W/cm2, respectively, and the temperature between the center of the meniscus and the wedge region reaches 1.5 ℃. We used μ-PIV to observe the Marangoni vortex morphology of the vertical section of the meniscus, and found that there are different degrees of deformation at different inclination angles. When the inclination angle is 90°, the Marangoni vortex structure is destroyed.

New Modeling Approaches for Ethylene Oxychlorination in Fluidized Bed Reactors: Industrial and Low Flow Rate Conditions

A simple model (Continuous Stirred-Tank Reactor) has been developed to predict the behavior of industrial ethylene oxychlorination fluidized beds operating in a turbulent regime. The approach showed good agreement both with results from industrial reactors and with those corresponding to the (Simple two phases-Plug bubble-Mixed flow emulsion approach) validated in the literature. For low flow rates, the use of the (Simple two phases - Plug bubble - Plug emulsion model) adapted to these conditions enabled us to highlight the location and extent of undesirable thermal hot spots for the process, and to propose actions to control them by acting on the temperature and/or on the feed gas flows. By comparing this model with the plug approach, the significant slowdown in ethylene conversion caused by resistance to mass transfer when feed flow rates are low is highlighted. Copyright © 2024 by Authors, Published by BCREC Publishing Group. This is an open access article under the CC BY-SA License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0).

Evaluating coronary arteries and predicting MACEs using CCTA in lung cancer patients receiving chemotherapy or chemoradiotherapy

BackgroundWhether coronary computed-tomography angiography (CCTA) can detect cancer treatment-related impairments of coronary artery and predict major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) in lung cancer patients receiving chemotherapy (CHT) or chemoradiotherapy (CRT) is unclear. ObjectivesThis study aimed to evaluate coronary arteries using CCTA parameters and explore the association of these parameters with MACEs in patients with lung cancer receiving CHT or CRT. Materials and methodsThis study retrospectively collected data from 697 lung cancer patients who received CHT or CRT and underwent CCTA examination within 2 weeks before or after treatment from June 2013 to May 2019. The patients were divided into CHT and CRT group, and for the control group, the propensity score matching (PSM) was used and 125 participants without carcinoma with a single CCTA examination were included. CCTA parameters, assessed using artificial intelligence software, were compared across different groups (control vs. CHT & CRT; CHT vs. CRT). We analyzed associations between CCTA parameters and MACEs using a Cox-regression model and Kaplan–Meier curves to compare MACE-free survival rates. ResultsBefore CHT or CRT, compared with the control group, in CHT&CRT group we observed higher fat attenuation index (FAI), coronary-artery calcium (CAC) score, CAD-RADS classification, stenosis severity and lower computed-tomography fractional flow reserve (CT-FFR; all P<0.05). After treatment, the CT-FFR decreased and the FAI increased; simultaneously, we observed a lower CT-FFR and higher FAI (all P<0.05) in the CRT than in the CHT group. Among the 146 cases developed MACEs, lower CT-FFR and higher FAI values were found compared with the non-MACE group (all P<0.05), and CT-FFR and FAI before treatment were associated with MACEs. ConclusionCancer treatment-related impairments of coronary arteries could be identified using CT-FFR and FAI. Before treatment, these parameters were associated with MACEs in lung cancer patients receiving CHT or CRT.

Instability of penetrative convection in a vertical porous layer with non-Dirichlet temperature conditions

The linear stability of penetrative convection in a differentially heated vertical porous layer with non-Dirichlet boundary conditions on the perturbed temperature field is investigated. The penetrative convection is realized through a uniform internal heating in a porous medium. The instability-driving parameters are the Darcy-Rayleigh number, dimensionless internal heat source strength, the Prandtl-Darcy number, and the Biot number. Neutral stability curves and the critical values of the Darcy-Rayleigh number, the wave number, and the wave speed are computed numerically by employing the Chebyshev collocation method. A comprehensive analysis is conducted on the onset of thermal instability, focusing on the effects of transitioning temperature boundary conditions from Dirichlet to Neumann. A novel finding is the emergence of bi-modal or tri-modal neutral stability curves, which unveil distinct onset modes arising from the combined effects of a heat source and the transition of boundary conditions from isothermal to adiabatic. The threshold value of the Biot number, at which the transition to instability occurs, shows a significant dependence on the internal heat source strength and this threshold value diminishes as the Prandtl-Darcy number attains higher values. Moreover, increase in the Biot number advances the onset of convection, while the Prandtl-Darcy number is found to exert both stabilizing and destabilizing influences on the stability of the base flow.

Janus nanoparticles as efficient interface compatibilizer in blends of polylactide and elastomers: Importance of interfacial relaxation on toughening

For blending immiscible polymers, such as in the toughening modification of polylactide (PLA) via blending with rubbery materials, interfacial compatibilization is of great significance while the mechanism, especially the role of interfacial rheology, remains elusive. In this study, styrene-butadiene block copolymer elastomer (SBC) was employed to toughen PLA and a dumbbell-shaped Janus nanoparticle (JNP) consisting of polymethyl methacrylate and polystyrene spheres with equal size (∼80 nm) was used as the compatibilizer. Located at the interface, JNPs exhibited a great compatibilization efficiency in PLA/SBC blends, as demonstrated by the good morphology stabilization against droplet coalescence under static annealing and low shear flow conditions, as well as by the resistance against droplet breakup under high shear flow conditions. Moreover, as revealed from the linear viscoelasticity of JNP compatibilized blends, when JNP loading is more than 2 phr, aside from shape relaxation, an interfacial relaxation dominated by Marangoni stress was observed, indicating the possibility of particle redistribution on droplet surfaces. However, when loading is more than 4 phr, relaxations in the terminal zone no longer exist, implying the possible formation of a particle network on the droplet surface. This is consistent with the mechanical properties. The blend shows the greatest toughness at JNP loading around 3 phr, while the toughness is very poor when JNP loading is either too low or too high. This suggests interfacial relaxation to be crucial to guarantee a good toughening effect of SBC in PLA.

Novel dimensionless predictive flow pattern map for HFOs inside microscale enhanced tubes

Models designated to predict flow patterns in microscale geometries with enhanced surfaces such as micro-finned tubes are scarce in the literature and new low-GWP HFOs could benefit from the utilization of such geometries. Therefore, HFO1234ze(E)’s condensation flow patterns were subjected to visualization inside micro-finned tubes ranging from 4 to 7 mm outer diameters with various geometrical figures. The saturation temperature was set to 30 °C, vapor qualities ranged in the scope of 0.01 to 0.9, and mass fluxes in the magnitude of 100 to 400 kg m-2 s-1. Four distinctive flow patterns are observed, namely intermittent, annular, wavy-stratified, and transitional. Stratification only transpired at low mass fluxes (mainly below 100 kg m-2 s-1) and intermittent flow was only present at vapor qualities close to full condensation. The range in which transitional flow is observable shrinks with a progressive trend of mass flux. The impact of diameter was observed to be negligible, however, a more meticulous assessment highlights smaller ranges of vapor qualities in which transitional flow is present for the tube of 5 mm OD whose helix angle is substantially larger. Datapoints were juxtaposed to previous models of Doretti et al., Chen et al., Mandhane et al., and Jige et al. and the results attested to an inadequacy of accurate predictions made for tube of 4 mm OD. Noting the absence of surface tension force in the aforementioned maps, a novel flow pattern map based on modified Froude versus modified Weber numbers provided an accurate prediction for the three cases under study. Ultimately the model was also deemed fairly suitable for visualization datasets collected from literature.

Echocardiographic assessment of left atrial appendage morphology and function-an expert proposal by the German Working Group of Cardiovascular Ultrasound.

The left atrial appendage is a blind ending cardiac structure prone to blood stasis due to its morphology. This structure is a preferred region of thrombogenesis in relation to reduced myocardial contractility of the atrial wall. Blood stasis occurs primarily in low flow conditions. One of the tasks of echocardiography is the analysis of morphology and function of the left atrial appendage. The detection of thrombi by echocardiography is difficult and must be carried out thoroughly and carefully to avoid potential complications-especially in the context of rhythm control. The assessment of thromboembolic risk, especially in patients with unknown and presumed atrial fibrillation is a second challenge by characterizing atrial function and flow conditions in the left atrial appendage. Thus, this proposal focuses on the obvious problems of echocardiography when assessing left atrial appendage and the role of this method in planning a potential interventional closure of left atrial appendage.

Effects of delivery tube configuration regarding the gas atomization for preparing Fe-based amorphous powders: Numerical and experimental investigation

The volume of fluid (VOF) model and the discrete phase model (DPM) were adopted for primary and secondary atomization processes, respectively. The effects of the inlet-limited delivery tube geometry on the flow field, melt breakup and particle cooling were then investigated. The results show that under the delivery tube extrusion length of 5 mm, the suction effect and the breakup efficiency can be improved, and the risk of freeze-off can be inhibited. With the decrease of the delivery tube diameter from 2.5 to 1.5 mm, the calculated median diameter is decreased by more than half and the average cooling rate is more than doubled. The industrial trial results under different delivery tube diameters match the simulation results, and the stable casting of melt with low flow rate can be realized by adopting the inlet-limited delivery tube. When the delivery tube diameter is 1.5 mm, the amorphous powder has a median diameter of 38.9 μm and optimal soft magnetic properties with saturation magnetization of 135.0 emu·g−1 and coercivity of 0.26 Oe.

Prediction of thermal efficiency of double pass solar air heater having discrete multi V and staggered ribs

AbstractThis manuscript endeavors to elucidate a comprehensive analysis for the assessment of thermal efficiency in double pass solar air collectors augmented with fabricated roughness, instrumental in the generation of heated air for applications in heating and drying. The analytical procedure delineates comparisons between a smooth and a double‐sided, roughened absorber, characterized by discrete, multi V and staggered configurations of roughness. The analysis was performed for different roughness parameters including relative roughness width (W/w) from 4 to 8 and relative staggered rib size (r/e) from 1 to 4 and relative rib pitch (p′/p) from 0.2 to 0.8 while other parameters were kept constant. The research scrutinizes the impact of a constellation of parameters: the temperature rise coefficient (ΔT/I, varying between 0.002 and 0.02 K‐m²/W), Reynolds number (Re, spanning 2000–20,000), solar irradiance (I, ranging from 600 to 1000 W/m²), and the geometric variables of the artificial roughness, on both the thermal efficiency and efficiency enhancement factor of the collector. The study revealed that the roughened collector exhibits higher thermal efficiency compared to smooth collector for a similar condition. The extreme enhancement in thermal efficiency of the collector with roughness has been found to be 56.75% more than nonroughened collector for Re = 2000. A further observation was made that thermal efficiency has increased sharply for lower flow rate (Re &lt; 10,000) whereas for higher flow rates (Re &gt; 10,000), this increase becomes nearly asymptotic. In addition, the efficiency enhancement factor has also been found to increase with an increase in ΔT/I. A peak value of 2.321 has been found to be obtained for the efficiency enhancement factor for ΔT/I = 0.02 K‐m2/W and I = 1000 W/m2 as a result of the studies conducted.

Fuzzy averaging level control for tight product quality control

AbstractThis work develops a fuzzy averaging level controller (ALC) to mitigate flow variability while avoiding high and low level alarm limit breaches. Comparison with proportional (P) and proportional integral (PI) level controllers and their non‐linear variants demonstrates the fuzzy controller to be highly effective in mitigating flow transients for low and moderate size flow disturbances. The performance is comparable for large disturbances. Application of the developed fuzzy ALC to a ternary benzene‐toluene‐xylene direct split separation scheme as well as the separation section of a conventional cumene process demonstrates significantly superior product quality control due to flow transient variability mitigation. The product quality control variability is reduced by up to 1.5 times. The developed fuzzy ALC is therefore suitable for plant‐wide control applications.

Stroke pattern in giant-cell arteritis mostly involves watershed areas

ContextStroke related to giant cell arteritis (GCA) is rare and is associated with a poor outcome. One of the putative ischemic mechanisms is narrowing of the arterial lumen due to wall infiltration by inflammation and intimal proliferation, leading to reduced distal blood flow. It was hypothesized that GCA-related stroke could predominate in watershed areas (WA). MethodsLiterature review including all cases of GCA-related stroke with brain images. ResultsAmong 75 cases of GCA-related stroke, the anterior and posterior territories were involved in 48 % and 62.6 %, respectively. Up to 88.9 % of cases of anterior stroke probably involved WA. WA lesions in the posterior territories were as follows: uni/bilateral middle cerebellar peduncle (MCP) lesions in 25.5 %, and with less confidence, non-wedge-shaped cerebellar lesions in 46.8 %, or combined lesions in 61.7 %. Stenosis or occlusion of the afferent artery was almost always observed. A few lesions were not easily explained by low flow. DiscussionDespite the limitations of arterial territory allocation especially in the posterior circulation, ischemic lesions mainly occurred in WA. MCP lesions, which were typically WA, were highly characteristic of GCA. Low flow downstream focal stenosis was the main, but not the unique, ischemic mechanism of GCA stroke.

Research on Effect of Endwall Contouring of Vaned Diffuser on Stable Operating Range of Centrifugal Compressor

Abstract The study investigates the impact of diverse endwall contouring strategies on the operational stability of a high-pressure ratio centrifugal compressor stage. Employing numerical simulation techniques, this study examines the implications of contoured wall positions, specifically convex profiles at the pressure side and/or concave profiles at the suction side, as well as asymmetric endwall contouring, on both stage performance and internal flow field within the centrifugal compressor. And the stability enhancement mechanism of endwall contouring is clarified. The results demonstrate that employing full circular contoured vaned diffusers on the hub-side wall can achieve a maximum improvement in stall margin of 15.10%. Additionally, the diffuser featuring solely convex profiles at the pressure side on the hub-side wall exhibits an augmented stall margin by 8.39%, with a reduction in performance loss at low flow rate conditions. The asymmetric endwall contouring improves stall margin by 8.39%, and mitigates the performance loss across the entire operating range. At the near-stall point, the contoured endwalls redirect fluid towards the suction side, thereby mitigating the incidence at the vane leading edge and attenuating the interaction between the impeller trailing edge vortex and the diffuser leading edge vortex. Moreover, concave profiles serve to accelerate the fluid on the suction side along the flow direction, thereby suppressing the corner separation and weakening passage blockages. Simultaneously, the advantages of endwall contouring in vane diffusers extend to the improvement in the circumferential non-uniformity of flow fields and the enhancement in diffuser stability.

Conquering surfactant-induced partial wetting of commercial membrane in membrane distillation through in-situ water flushing

Surfactant-induced wetting impedes the practical implementation of membrane distillation (MD). Addressing this issue demands the development of an effective membrane cleaning strategy that can eliminate surfactants adhering to the membrane surface and restore the membrane hydrophobicity. However, current cleaning methods, such as direct drying and pressurized air backwashing, encounter challenges in thoroughly removing surfactants trapped within the pores while preserving the structural integrity of the membrane. This work presents a refined approach to conquer surfactant-induced wetting in MD by water flushing. Utilizing ultrasonic time domain reflectometry and optical coherence tomography techniques, we identified a critical cleaning depth and showed that the hydrophobicity of a partially wetted membrane can be fully recovered by water flushing when the wetting depth is below the critical threshold. Theoretical models evidenced that in instances of low water temperature and low flow rate conditions, relatively high critical cleaning depths can be realized, thereby expanding the operational scope for achieving complete hydrophobicity recovery. Our results demonstrated the applicability of water flushing to commercial membrane modules without necessitating any modification, emphasizing its substantial potential for advancing MD applications.

A Monte Carlo Model for WWTP Effluent Flow Treatment through Enhanced Willow Evapotranspiration

The effectiveness of using enhanced evapotranspiration rates of willow plantation is a modern environmentally friendly practice for advanced treatment of effluent WWTP flow. The key idea is that through advanced willow evapotranspiration rates, a significant proportion of the effluent flow can be transferred into the atmosphere through the physical process of evapotranspiration. This study further discusses the concept in a real-world problem using a wide dataset consisting of a recent PET monthly remote dataset namely RASPOTION, monthly recorded rainfall gauge, and experimental willow evapotranspiration surveys across Ireland, to identify the monthly cropping pattern. A Monte Carlo water balance model has been developed for the period 2003–2016. The model was applied in an existing willow plantation at Donard WWTP co. Wicklow, Ireland to identify the exceedance probability of willow plantation runoff against estimated low flows (i.e., Q95, Q99) at the adjacent small tributary. In this case study, any failure which can lead to river quality deterioration was not assessed. The overall framework aims to provide new insights considering the multiple sources of uncertainty (i.e., monthly willow cropping pattern and WWTP effluent flow) in associated environmental engineering problems.

Novel hybrid BTMS by considering safety and driving cycle under extreme fast charge/discharge rates

A battery thermal management system integrating phase change material and mini-channels, with a focus on safety and economic considerations, is proposed to enhance thermal performance across various working conditions, safety scenarios, and realistic driving cycles while minimizing energy consumption. A battery thermal model and PCM simulation model were developed and validated using experimental data. Numerical analyses were conducted to compare the combination of PCM and liquid cooling (hybrid cooling) with fully liquid cooling under different charge/discharge rates and realistic driving cycles, evaluating their safety characteristics, power consumption, and thermal efficiency. The results demonstrated that the hybrid cooling approach can effectively maintain both the maximum temperature and the temperature difference within a desirable range, even when the inlet velocity is reduced from 0.12 to 0.05 m/s compared to liquid cooling. Additionally, the hybrid BTMS provides better working conditions for the battery pack, requiring only 4 × 10−5 W of pumping power compared to 16 × 10−5 W in the liquid cooling system. This underscores the capability of the designed BTMS to cool high-capacity battery packs with significantly lower fluid flow rates. Furthermore, the performance of the proposed cooling system was examined in the event of liquid channel failure, with results showing that the hybrid BTMS can successfully maintain the battery's maximum temperature within an allowable range during fast charge/discharge processes. Lastly, evaluations under realistic driving conditions revealed the superiority of hybrid cooling in reducing peak temperatures and minimizing battery temperature variation.

Production of liposomes by microfluidics: The impact of post-manufacturing dilution on drug encapsulation and lipid loss

Microfluidic mixing is recognized as a convenient method to produce liposomes for its scalability and reproducibility. Numerous studies have described the effect of process parameters such as flow rate ratios and total flow rate on size and size distribution of vesicles. In this work, we focused our attention on the effect of flow rate ratios on the encapsulation efficiency of liposomes, as we hypothesized that different amount of residual organic solvent could affect the retention of lipophilic drug molecules within the bilayer. In a further step, we investigated how the liposomes integrity and loading were impacted by different methods of solvent removal: direct dialysis and dilution & dialysis. Liposomes were prepared by rapidly mixing an ethanolic solution of lipids and a model drug with buffer in a herringbone micromixer, employing four different flow rate ratios (FRR, 4:1, 7:3, 3:2, 1:1). Quercetin, resveratrol and ascorbyl palmitate were used as model antioxidant drugs with different lipophilicity. Data showed that liposomes produced using lower flow rate ratios (i.e., with more residual ethanol) had lower encapsulation efficiencies as well as a more prominent loss of lipids from the bilayer following purification with direct dialysis. If the amount of residual ethanol was reduced to 5% (dilution & dialysis method), the lipids and drug leakage was prevented. Such effect was correlated with the drug aggregation propensity in different ethanol/water mixtures measured by molecular dynamics simulations. Overall, these results highlight the need to tailor the purification method basing on the molecular properties of the loaded drug to ensure high encapsulation and limit the waste of material.

Control of Flow and Acoustic Fields Around an Axial Fan Utilizing Plasma Actuators

Abstract Small axial fans, commonly employed for cooling electronic equipment, are frequently housed within narrow ducts, where intense tonal sound with duct resonance can occur, particularly when the blade passing frequency or its harmonic frequency aligns with the duct's resonance frequency. To mitigate resonant sound, this study proposes a flow control using dielectric barrier discharge plasma actuators, which induce a flow along the generation of plasma in air. The control effects on flow field, acoustic radiation, and aerodynamic characteristics are evaluated through direct aeroacoustic simulations and experiments conducted at different flow rates. The computational results reveal that swirling flow occurs in the inflow due to fan rotations at low flow coefficients. This swirling flow is weakened by utilizing plasma actuators, which are arranged to induce flows in the circumferentially reverse direction compared to fan rotations. This control method weakens the resonant sound at low and intermediate flow coefficients, while intensifying it at high flow coefficients, all at the same rotational speed. Moreover, the static pressure coefficient decreases and increases at low and high flow coefficients, respectively, with the latter attributed to an increase in the relative inflow angle induced by the control. Experimental findings demonstrate that the acoustic resonance was reduced by the control at both low and high flow rates, achieved by adjusting the rotational speed to maintain the same flowrate and static pressure rise as in the baseline case.

Effect of tip-gap height on tip-leakage flows in a stationary NACA hydrofoil

ABSTRACT This paper presents a numerical study on the tip-leakage flow (TLF) for distinct tip-gap heights of a stationary hydrofoil. Steady-state simulations using the Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes turbulence model were performed to evolve the computations. The extensions of the tip-leakage vortex (TLV) and tip-separation vortices (TSVs) increased for larger tip-gap heights. Conversely, additional vortices were yielded for the smallest gap height evaluated. The lower coefficient of the minimum pressure value in the TLV was observed for the larger tip-gap heights. A downward flow region expanded with a higher peak value near the TSVs on the suction side for the larger tip gap. Thus, the spin of the TLV could be further strengthened. The low velocity flow in the boundary layer was entrained into the TLV for the smaller tip gap, whereas the low-turbulence flow in the mainstream crossed the gap and was entrained into the TLV for the larger tip gap.

Two-phase flow instabilities during microgravity flow boiling onboard the International Space Station

This study is an elaboration on flow instabilities observed during flow boiling experiments conducted onboard the International Space Station (ISS) as part of the Flow Boiling and Condensation Experiment (FBCE). During highly subcooled flow boiling, liquid backflow into the channel that rapidly condenses vapor within the channel was observed. Experiments were conducted with an enhanced sampling frequency of 30 Hz and an extended image sequence recording duration of at least 4 seconds at 500 frames per second to further investigate the instability. Identical experiments were performed both in microgravity onboard the International Space Station (ISS) and in Earth gravity during vertical upflow. Instabilities in microgravity are more severe than those in Earth gravity and, at their most severe, propagate to the channel's upstream region. Instabilities are observed within the channel when the intensity, I, which is dependent on inlet pressure fluctuations and mass velocity, exceeds 1.8 × 105 W/m2. Parametric trends of the frequency and amplitude of inlet pressure fluctuations during instability are examined, which reveal instabilities are most severe at low flow rates, high inlet subcoolings, and high heat fluxes. Various stability maps proposed in the literature are evaluated against the present database, and instabilities only manifest for subcooling numbers greater than 14. A subset of the database containing the Onset of Flow Instability (OFI) point is extracted to first evaluate correlations available in the literature and then develop a new correlation. The new correlation is applicable in both microgravity and Earth gravity conditions and predicts the database with a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 1.3%.

Real-time integrated water availability – Salt intrusion modelling and management during droughts

Climate change and population increase are major challenges when guaranteeing a sustainable water supply in densely populated river basins worldwide, where different water users such as industry, drinking water production and agriculture typically come into conflict. During dry periods, real time monitoring and short term forecasting of the water availability are crucial to prepare and take appropriate action. Integrated water quantity and water quality models of complex surface water systems are indispensable to achieve this. However, existing model techniques often focus on a single aspect of the water system, are computationally too demanding and are hard to integrate with other sub models. This paper proposes a framework for developing efficient, integrated water quantity/quality models in support of real-time management and forecasting of complex surface water systems. Its three main components are: a low-flow prediction for the supplying river(s) during dry periods, a conceptual water quantity-quality model with semi-automated retrieval of necessary boundary conditions and input data, and classification models to predict the water quality state of the considered system during forecasts or scenario analyses. The novelty of the methodology lies in the use of parsimonious, computationally efficient sub-models that still allow to consider numerous operational rules, competing water users and water supply and quality constraints. The framework was tested in the context of water availability and salt intrusion management during droughts in the Campine Canals in the Scheldt-Meuse-Rhine delta, considering boundary conditions of shipping traffic, pumping at locks, hydropower stations, level regulation, and water abstractions for drinking water supply, industry, agriculture and nature reserves. Despite the complexity of the considered system, the model is able to describe the state of the water system in terms of water levels, discharges and salt intrusion impacts on water production with an acceptable accuracy. The research shows that the Campine Canal network is susceptible to water scarcity due to the increased risk of low flows in summer as a consequence of climate change. Local decision makers should adopt both effective adaptation strategies as well as real-time forecasts in acute drought situations to increase the region’s defence and resiliency against water shortages.