Low-carbon Development Research Articles

The impact of green finance on carbon productivity: The mediating effects of the quantity and quality of green innovation

While China's economy is developing rapidly, the problem of carbon emissions is indeed more prominent. The development of green finance is conducive to supporting environmental improvement and enhancing carbon productivity. Most of the existing literature examines the relationship between green innovation and carbon productivity from the perspectives of industrial structure, technological innovation, and economic growth. However, the mechanism by which green finance (GF) affects carbon productivity and whether there is heterogeneity remains unclear. Therefore, this study utilizes panel data from 277 cities from 2010 to 2020 and employs a mediation effect model to investigate the relationship between GF and carbon productivity. The results of the study found that GF has a positive U-shaped association with carbon productivity. The quantity and the quality of green innovation have a mediating effect on the above relationship. It may be due to the fact that GF promotes the green transformation and sustainable development of the economic structure by supporting green industry and technological innovation, which provides strong support to enhance carbon productivity. In non-resource cities, the impact of GF on carbon productivity is more obvious through improving the quality of green innovation, probably because non-resource cities have the advantages of a diversified industrial structure, stronger innovation capacity, and easier access to policy support and market mechanism support than resource cities. The quantity and the quality of green innovation in the eastern, central, and western regions all play a mediating role. The findings provide policymakers with recommendations for utilizing GF in a two-carbon environment to achieve sustainable low-carbon development.

The low-carbon development path of China’s animal husbandry industry

To address global warming, China has committed to achieving carbon neutrality by 2060. As a major source of carbon emissions in China, it is necessary to implement carbon reduction measures in animal husbandry. This paper mainly explores the mainstream low-carbon development measures for animal husbandry from three aspects: production, processing, and transportation. At the same time, suggestions have been put forward for the green and low-carbon development of animal husbandry in the future, which can provide reference for research on low-carbon development of animal husbandry.

The effect of the digital economy on carbon emissions in China's construction industry: evidence from spatial econometric analysis.

Carbon emission reduction in the construction industry is vital for realizing sustainable development, and the development of the digital economy plays an important role in this process. The impact of the digital economy on reducing carbon emissions in the construction industry is empirically explored through econometric analyses on a sample of panel data from 30 provinces in China from 2012 to 2021. The empirical results show that developing a digital economy can significantly reduce the construction industry's carbon emission intensity. Additionally, this impact has a significant spatial spillover effect and can benefit the neighboring regions. The mechanism test shows that the digital economy can reduce carbon emissions by improving the technological level of the construction industry. Moreover, the inhibiting effects of the digital economy on carbon emissions in the construction industry vary across different regions. They are more pronounced in the eastern and western regions of low coal-consuming regions. These findings offer valuable insights for policymakers to help drive the deeper integration of the digital economy with the construction industry and facilitate its transition to low-carbon development.

Harnessing biomass waste-to-energy for sustainable electricity generation: prospects, viability, and policy implications for low-carbon urban development

AbstractBiomass waste-to-energy (WtE) generation is a potential pathway for green urban transition in developing countries which can contribute significantly to sustainable development goal 7: affordable and clean energy. However, unlike fossil fuel energy systems, the economic returns from WtE systems are low because WtE generation is capital-intensive and requires subsidies. This study examines the prospects of a sustainable biomass electricity generation from rice husk (RH) using a large dataset of rice milling activities in a fast paced urban transition economy. The study analyzes the viability of several RH biomass electricity generation scenarios using indicators such as net electricity output, economic returns (benefits), and levelized cost of electricity (LCOE). The results show that several mills/mill clusters generate sufficient daily RH that can power between 0.8 and 2.2 MW plant with a combined electricity output of about 500,000 MWh per annum. The economic analyses show that all RH biomass electricity generation scenarios return positive economic benefits under reduced social discount rates of 2–6%. Moreover, the LCOE of all scenarios are less than those of electricity generated from other sources. These results demonstrate that biomass waste-to-energy generation is viable for green urban development through low-carbon decentralized energy systems. Several policy implications of the findings are highlighted, including the need for policymakers and energy stakeholders to adopt sustainable biomass energy generation models such as “design, build, and operate” (DBO) to achieve sustainable WtE generation regimes that ensure green urban transition. Such a model will contribute to a circular economy and facilitates sustainable urban development that satisfies climate-related SDGs. Graphic abstract

The Application and Challenges of Vehicle-to-Grid (V2G) Technology in the Development of New Energy Vehicles

Abstract: The global automotive industry has entered a phase of energy-saving and low-carbon development, with the advancement of new energy vehicles becoming the strategic direction for automotive industries worldwide. However, the large-scale integration of electric vehicles into the power grid has imposed significant challenges on the operation of the electrical grid. This article analyzes Vehicle-to-Grid (V2G) technology, introducing its main functions, key technologies, and advantages, and outlines the current state of its application both domestically and internationally. Additionally, the obstacles hindering the development of V2G technology in China are examined, and several strategies to accelerate the development of V2G technology in China are proposed. It is hoped that these measures will encourage both the government and enterprises to take active steps towards promoting the rapid development of V2G technology.

Mechanism of ESG System Construction Promoting Sustainable Financial Development under the "Dual Carbon" Goals

Abstract: China is advancing green and low-carbon development in a coordinated manner, and at the 75th session of the United Nations General Assembly, China officially proposed the goals of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality. The "dual carbon" strategy is an essential path to achieving green and sustainable development, as well as a necessary measure to enhance the momentum of high-quality economic growth. The construction of the ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) system is a crucial factor influencing the development of green finance, and the importance of green finance and sustainable development for high-quality corporate and social development is further elevated. This paper analyzes the significance of ESG system construction for the green transition of the economy and society. Based on the development status of ESG practices domestically and internationally, and grounded in the issues and needs of the domestic economic and social green transition, this study explores the mechanism by which ESG system construction promotes the sustainable development of finance.

Spatio-temporal variations of energy carbon emissions in Xinjiang based on DMSP-OLS and NPP-VIIRS nighttime light remote sensing data.

With the rapid economic development of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region (Xinjiang), energy consumption became the primary source of carbon emissions. The growth trend in energy consumption and coal-dominated energy structure are unlikely to change significantly in the short term, meaning that carbon emissions are expected to continue rising. To clarify the changes in energy-related carbon emissions in Xinjiang over the past 15 years, this paper integrates DMSP/OLS and NPP/VIIRS data to generate long-term nighttime light remote sensing data from 2005 to 2020. The data is used to analyze the distribution characteristics of carbon emissions, spatial autocorrelation, frequency of changes, and the standard deviation ellipse. The results show that: (1) From 2005 to 2020, the total carbon emissions in Xinjiang continued to grow, with noticeable urban additions although the growth rate fluctuated. In spatial distribution, non-carbon emission areas were mainly located in the northwest; low-carbon emission areas mostly small and medium-sized towns; and high-carbon emission areas were concentrated around the provincial capital and urban agglomerations. (2) There were significant regional differences in carbon emissions, with clear spatial clustering of energy consumption. The clustering stabilized, showing distinct "high-high" and "low-low" patterns. (3) Carbon emissions in central urban areas remained stable, while higher frequencies of change were seen in the peripheral areas of provincial capitals and key cities. The center of carbon emissions shifted towards southeast but later showed a trend of moving northwest. (4) Temporal and spatial variations in carbon emissions were closely linked to energy consumption intensity, population size, and economic growth. These findings provided a basis for formulating differentiated carbon emission targets and strategies, optimizing energy structures, and promoting industrial transformation to achieve low-carbon economic development in Xinjiang.

Carbon trading pilot and low-carbon development of China’s textile industry

To explore whether a carbon trading pilot (CTP) can promote the low-carbon development of China's textile industry (CTI), this paper used a difference-in-difference model to study the impact of CTP on the carbon emissions in CTI and further analysed its regional heterogeneity. The research results showed that the impact coefficient of CTP on the carbon emissions in CTI was significantly negative, indicating that CTP could reduce the carbon emissions in CTI. Robustness tests such as the Placebo test, replacing the explained variable and the estimation method and excluding the interference of other policies verified the robustness of the research results. The dynamic regression results revealed the carbon reduction effect of CTP became stronger as the time of its implementation increased. At the regional level, CTP could also significantly lower the carbon emissions in the textile industry both in the eastern and western regions, and the reduction effect in the western region was greater than that in the eastern.

The impact of pilot policies for low carbon city construction on the development of urban circular economy multiple time-point difference-in-differences model

IntroductionAs a means of environmental regulation, the low-carbon city pilot policy aims to address climate change and alleviate environmental resource pressures in economic development. The development of low-carbon cities often requires changes to the existing industrial and energy structures, which will have a significant impact on the regional economy.MethodsThe study is based on panel data from 273 prefecture level cities in China from 2012 to 2022, and uses the Analytic Hierarchy Process and Entropy Comprehensive Evaluation Method to construct an evaluation index system for urban circular benefits. Finally, the multiple time point differences model and mediation effect model were used to evaluate the impact and influencing factors of policies on urban economy.ResultsThe results indicate that at the 1% level, the explanatory variable coefficient significantly improves the level of urban circular economy development after adding control variables. The construction of low-carbon pilot cities has improved the performance of circular economy development by about 6.42%. The mediating effect of industrial structure rationalization is significantly positive at the 1% significance level, indicating that the construction of low-carbon pilot cities has greatly promoted the coordinated development of industrial relations within China’s low-carbon development regions.DiscussionIt can be seen that the low-carbon city pilot policy has a significant promoting effect on China’s economic development and the development of urban circular economy. Therefore, it is recommended to further expand the pilot scope of low-carbon cities and fully leverage their promoting role.

Spatiotemporal Pattern Analysis and Prediction of Carbon Storage Based on Land Use and Cover Change: A Case Study of Jiangsu Coastal Cities in China

Accurate estimation of terrestrial ecosystem carbon storage and the scientific formulation of ecological conservation and land use policies are essential for promoting regional low-carbon sustainable development and achieving the goal of “carbon neutrality.” In this study, the FLUS–InVEST model was used to evaluate the carbon stocks of the Jiangsu coastal zone in China from 1995 to 2020 and scientifically forecast the changes in carbon stocks in 2030 under three scenarios: natural exploitation, ecological protection, and economic development. The results are as follows: (1) From 1995 to 2020, carbon storage in the coastal zone initially remained stable before declining, a trend closely linked to the accelerated urbanization and economic growth of Jiangsu Province. (2) By 2030, carbon storage under the three scenarios exhibits a pattern of “S1 decrease–S2 increase–S3 decrease,” with a more significant increase in construction land under the natural development and economic development scenarios compared to the ecological protection scenario. (3) The sensitivity of carbon storage to land use changes varies across scenarios. In the natural development scenario, carbon storage is most affected by forest reduction and construction land expansion. In the ecological protection scenario, it is more responsive to increases in non-construction land. In the economic development scenario, the expansion of construction land leads to the most significant decrease in carbon storage. Therefore, when formulating future territorial spatial planning policies and urban development strategies, it is essential to consider ecological protection and economic development scenarios comprehensively, taking into account carbon sequestration capabilities. This approach will ensure effective conservation and restoration of damaged ecosystems while safeguarding the robust development of urban economies and societies.

PUBLIC PARTICIPATION MECHANISM IN LOW-CARBON TRANSPORTATION FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF CARBON NEUTRALITY

Under the goal of carbon neutrality, public participation in green travel is the fundamental premise of low-carbon transportation development. Based on the multiple mediation effect model, this paper explores the mechanism of social interaction on public participation in low-carbon transportation, and the hierarchical regression method is used to test the moderating effect of social network intensity and information network intensity. The results show that: (1) Both network media and social relations have a prominent positive effect on public participation, but the effect of network media is better than that of social relations. (2) Network media and social relations affect residents’ low-carbon travel behavior through three mediating variables, namely, traffic information, environmental protection knowledge and social norms. (3) The moderating effect of social network intensity on the relationship between network media and low-carbon travel behavior is prominently negative, while the moderating effect of information network intensity is significantly positive. Therefore, it is necessary to stimulate more public participation in low-carbon transport through real-time pushing of traffic information and strengthening the closeness of social relations.

Does Low-Carbon Transition Promote Regional Sustainable Development? Evidence from the Huaihe River Ecological Economic Belt

The Chinese government has adopted a significant low-carbon transition strategy aimed at enhancing resource efficiency, advancing ecological conservation, and augmenting societal well-being. This research employs the super efficiency SBM model to evaluate the ecological well-being performance (EWP) within the Huaihe River Ecological Economic Belt. Subsequently, it employs the Sys-GMM model and conducts a threshold effect analysis to regressively examine the impact of the low-carbon transition on EWP. The key findings are as follows. The EWP in the Huaihe River Ecological Economic Belt is relatively low; cities with higher economic development levels tend to exhibit lower EWP scores. The impact of the low-carbon transition on EWP is contingent upon the level of regional economic development and exhibits a singular threshold effect predicated on the economic development level as the threshold variable. Specifically, when economic development is at a low level, an intensification of the low-carbon transition results in a decline in EWP within the Huaihe River Ecological Economic Belt. Conversely, when the economic development level surpasses the threshold, the low-carbon transition facilitates the enhancement of EWP. This study’s principal contribution lies in elucidating the intricate relationship between the low-carbon transition and sustainable development.

Optimizing environmental regulation policies for digital transformation in energy enterprises in China: An evolutionary game theory approach

In response to the global consensus on achieving carbon reduction, China has introduced a series of policies aimed at accelerating the digital transformation of energy enterprises. However, these policies have revealed shortcomings such as deficiency in regulation methods and insufficient integration of regulation with technologies. This study applies evolutionary game theory (EGT) to evaluate the impacts of different environmental regulatory policies on the digital transformation and verifies the effectiveness of the theory in policy optimization. Utilizing modified real-world data, the study quantitatively examines the effects of alterations in various parameter combinations on players' strategic choices. The results indicate that: (1) increasing the regulatory intensity above 0.8, the carbon tax rate and penalties can promote the digital transformation, stimulating the low-carbon development in energy sector; (2) an interesting finding is that tax incentives such as carbon tax refund ratio can exacerbate enterprises’ reliance on government compensation, thereby slowing down their transition process; (3) this study highlights the optimal service provision intensity for technological service providers (TSP) is 0.9, which can expedite system evolution towards the ideal state and foster the construction of a favorable digital regulatory environment. The study provides valuable references for optimizing regulatory policies and promoting digital transformation to realize the decarbonization goal.

Spatiotemporal Evolution of Territorial Spaces and Its Effect on Carbon Emissions in Qingdao City, China

Land use change has always been a significant factor affecting global carbon emissions. Dissecting the characteristics of territorial space evolution and its impact on carbon emissions is crucial for developing low-carbon-oriented territorial space optimization and governance strategies. This paper calculates the carbon emissions associated with territorial spaces in Qingdao from 2000 to 2020, utilizing land use data alongside various statistical data. Based on the accounting results, the evolution characteristics of territorial spaces and their corresponding carbon emissions, as well as the carbon transition dynamics resulting from space transfer, are analyzed. A carbon transition decomposition formula is then proposed to quantify the differential and spatially heterogeneous impacts of changes in space types and socio-economic development on emissions. The results indicate that: (1) the evolution of territorial spaces in Qingdao during 2000–2020 is characterized by an expansion of living space and a contraction of production and ecological spaces; (2) net carbon emissions rose from 313.98 × 104 tons to 1068.58 × 104 tons, with urban production space contributing the most (69.96% in 2020) due to its significantly high emission density. The spatial distribution of carbon emissions exhibited a stable “northwest–southeast” pattern, with increased dispersion and weakened directionality; (3) the transformation of territorial spaces promoted carbon emissions in Qingdao, with the conversion of urban production space to other uses yielding the most favorable carbon transitions, while the expropriation of agricultural production spaces for urban production and residents’ living has resulted in the most detrimental carbon transitions; (4) socio-economic development shapes the overarching pattern of regional emission density changes, whereas space transfers account for local variations. This paper also identifies priorities for spatial optimization and key sectors for emission reduction. The findings contribute to a deeper understanding of the carbon emission consequences of territorial space transformation in Qingdao, thereby providing valuable insights for regional spatial planning and optimization aimed at promoting low-carbon development.

Spatiotemporal Evolution and Driving Factors of Land Use Carbon Emissions in Jiangxi Province, China

Analyzing the spatiotemporal changes and influencing factors of carbon emissions generated by land use is of great importance for improving land use structure and promoting regional low-carbon economic development. This study, based on remote sensing and statistical yearbook data from 1995 to 2020, calculated the carbon emissions from land use in Jiangxi Province, China. Multiple spatial analysis methods and the logarithmic mean Divisia index were used to elucidate the spatiotemporal evolution and driving factors of carbon emissions, and the findings revealed the following: (1) The spatiotemporal changes in land use in Jiangxi Province during 1995–2020 were substantial as forest land accounted for 65% of the entire land area, while construction land increased by 98.1%. Cultivated land decreased the most, followed by forest land. (2) There was a fourfold rise in carbon emissions in Jiangxi Province, driven primarily by construction land, and northern areas produced higher carbon emissions compared with central and southern regions. Forest land was the main carbon sink. (3) Economic development (257.36%) and the impact of the proportion of construction land (211.31%) were the primary factors contributing to the increase in carbon emissions from land use, while other factors had inhibitory effects. This study transformed the macroscale low-carbon development strategy of cities into targeted local policies, and the research theories and methods adopted could provide scientific reference for other regions in urgent need of carbon reduction worldwide.

A Novel Day-Ahead Optimization-Oriented Low-Carbon Economic Scheduling Scheme for Integrated Energy Systems

As the global energy structure undergoes transformation and the low-carbon development process continues to advance, integrated energy systems have progressively emerged as crucial technical support for achieving sustainable development. In this paper, a joint-day optimal scheduling model is put forward considering the existence of dispatchable resources in community integrated energy systems (CIES). The aim is to cut down the system operation cost and enhance energy utilization efficiency. This model is founded on the concept of energy hubs and combines the shiftable, transferable, and reducible characteristics of demand-side flexible loads. It includes gas turbine power generation systems, energy storage, as well as wind and solar renewable resources. System operation cost and carbon trading cost are comprehensively taken into account, and ultimately, the CIES low-carbon economic dispatch model with the lowest total cost as the optimization objective is established. The Yalmip toolbox and Cplex solver are employed to solve the model. The optimization results of flexible electric and thermal loads participating in dispatching under different scenarios are analyzed through simulation. The economic benefits of electric and thermal independent dispatching are compared and analyzed, and the economic benefits of electric and thermal coupled dispatching are verified. The study reveals that the rational scheduling of user-side flexible loads can notably reduce operating costs, lower the load peak-to-valley difference and carbon emissions, and boost the comprehensive economic and environmental benefits of the system.

The effects of extreme temperatures on carbon total factor productivity: Evidence from China

Climate change poses a severe threat to the low-carbon and high-quality development of Chinese cities. This paper uses panel data from 2007 to 2019 for Chinese cities, which covers the transition of China's economy from high-speed growth to high-quality development. Then, this paper investigates the causal effects and mechanisms of extreme temperatures on carbon total factor productivity (CTFP). There are four main findings. First, CTFP calculated by biennial non-radial Luenberger productivity index grows by 3%, which comes from technological advances rather than efficiency gains. Second, both extremely high and low temperatures significantly reduce CTFP, and this negative effect is persistent, especially in poor and southern cities. Third, this negative effect comes from the decline in efficiency change rather than technology change and can also be explained by a decline in the productivity and efficiency of the desired output. Fourth, the forecasted outcomes for the future scenarios under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 1 (SSP1) and 5 (SSP5) indicate a persistent escalation in the adverse effects of extreme high temperatures. The research provides a new perspective for China to cope with climate change on low-carbon development and provides a reference for other developing countries.

Decarbonization pathways analysis and recommendations in the green steel supply chain of a typical steel end user-automotive industry

China's automotive industry, the world's largest producer and consumer, has reached a crucial stage in its transition from rapid expansion to high-quality and low-carbon development. Considering the decarbonization of the whole automotive industry, in addition to reducing the CO2 emissions from fuel supply and exhaust pipes, which account for 65–80 % of the total value chain CO2 emissions, the automotive industry should also accelerate the decarbonization of raw materials, which contribute to 18–22 % of these CO2 emissions. Many automotive manufacturers are collaborating with steel producers on green steel initiatives due to the high CO2 emissions from steel production, the integrated nature of the steel supply chain, and the need for early planning in low-carbon steel production routes transformation. To clarify the carbon emission characteristic of the automotive steel supply chain, this research establishes a mathematical method for calculating cradle-to-gate carbon footprint of automotive steel product based on BF (Blast furnace)-BOF (Basic oxygen furnace), Scrap-EAF (Electric arc furnace), and DRI (Direct reduced iron)-EAF steel production routes. The cradle-to-gate carbon footprints of BF-BOF, Scrap-EAF, and DRI-EAF steel production routes are 1711.84 kgCO2/t-sp (steel product), 916.39 kgCO2/t-sp, and 2738.53 kgCO2/t-sp. A projection of CO2 emissions in automotive steel supply chain from 2020 to 2060 has been investigated, taking into account production structure adjustment, scrap recycling, and low-carbon electricity adoption, as well as the demand for automotive steel products. Projections from 2020 to 2060 indicate that the CO2 emission intensity of the automotive steel supply chain will decrease by 28.25 % by 2030 and 93.99 % by 2060, with total emissions dropping by 28.47 % and 96.92 %, respectively. This research identifies effective decarbonization measures in the automotive steel supply chain, including internal and end-of-life (EOL) steel scrap recycling, which offer significant CO2 emissions reduction without increased costs, demonstrating high cost-effectiveness. In a word, this research provides a technical framework and data foundation for decarbonizing the automotive steel supply chain.

Improving the Performance of Mortar under Carbonization Curing by Adjusting the Composition of Ternary Binders

As the most widely used building material, cement has attracted the attention of scholars because of its large carbon emission. To alleviate the problems of carbon emission and limited resource use caused by cement production, this study focuses on the performance of mortar after carbonization curing by regulating the composition of ternary binders. Testing involved mechanical parameters, carbon shrinkage, water absorption, hydration product, microstructure, adsorption of carbon dioxide, calcium carbonate content, and carbonization degree of mortar, as well as comparisons with the effect of calcium carbide slag and sintered red mud. We carried out several studies which demonstrated that carbonization curing and adjusting the content of calcium carbide slag and sintered red mud were beneficial to improve the mechanical properties, peak load displacement, slope, elastic energy, plastic energy, carbon shrinkage, carbon dioxide adsorption, calcium carbonate content, and carbonization degree of mortar, while the addition of calcium carbide slag and sintered red mud increased the water absorption of mortar, and the greater the dosage, the greater the water absorption. Meanwhile, adding 25%–50% calcium carbide slag and sintered red mud still had negative effects on the mechanical properties of mortar. But carbonation curing and the addition of calcium carbide slag and sintered red mud could promote the hydration reaction and consume calcium hydroxide formed by hydration to form calcium carbonate. When the dosage was 50%, the carbon dioxide adsorption capacity, calcium carbonate content, and carbonization degree of calcium carbide slag mortar were higher than those of sintered red mud mortar, which increased by 29.56%, 102.73%, and 28.84%, respectively. By comparison, calcium carbide slag and sintered red mud still showed superior carbon sequestration capacity, which was higher than fly ash and Bayer red mud. From the experiment, we came to realize that adjusting the composition of cementitious materials could realize the carbon sequestration of cement-based materials and promote the road toward low-carbon sustainable development of cement.

Study on the Optimization of Urban Traffic and Spatial Structure in the Environment of Low-Carbon Eco-Cities

Under the concept of “dual-carbon development”, optimising the spatial structure of urban life, perfecting the management system of public transport services, realising the spatial optimisation of urban transport, minimising carbon emissions and reducing environmental pollution are the problems that need to be solved urgently. This paper firstly analyses the development status quo of low-carbon cities, clarifies the influencing factors of low-carbon eco-cities, and discusses the correlation between the scale, population density, traffic structure and energy development of low-carbon eco-cities and low-carbon eco-cities. On this basis, the low-carbon ecological development strategy of City C in China is proposed as an example. Therefore, this study argues that low-carbon cities, as a strategic goal of new urbanisation development, should focus on constructing a theoretical system of urban upgrading and optimisation under the environment of green and sustainable ecological development, and introduce corresponding construction guarantee optimisation policies.