Provenance studies are critical for the paleoclimatic reconstruction of loess. However, very little information is available about the provenance variations of the loess in the monsoon boundary zone, limiting our understanding of aeolian dust dynamics, the evolution of atmospheric circulation and driving mechanisms on the glacial-interglacial timescale. To this end, the integration of grain size end-member modeling, machine learning, sediment fingerprinting and wavelet transform analysis is performed for the Harbin loess in Northeast China to understand the long-term provenance variations, atmospheric circulation evolutions and forcing mechanisms. The results show the Harbin loess comprises three grain size end-members, EM1 (7.81 μm), EM2 (27.2 μm) and EM3 (54.41 μm), and they correspond to the background of atmospheric dust, the intensity of the southwesterly and of the East Asian Winter Monsoon (EAWM), respectively, indicating the three transport dynamics of dust delivered to this region. The quantitative source reconstruction indicates that the loess experienced the dramatic source variations, characterized by an abrupt termination of the dust contribution from the Hulun Buir Sandy Land at ∼ 250 ka, and by variations in the relative contribution of the dust sources (i.e., Songnen Sandy Land, Horqin Sandy Land, Onqin Daga Sandy Land, and to a lesser extent, Hulun Buir Sandy Land) during the glacial-interglacial cycles. The comparisons between the indicators, e.g., EM2, the deep-sea oxygen isotopes and the rate of dust accumulation in the North Pacific, combined with wavelet transform analysis indicating a dramatic shift of orbital cycles from the significant 100-kyr and 41-kyr cycles to a weakened 100-kyr cycle, suggest that the weakened EAWM induced by both reduced the Northern Hemisphere ice volume and summer solar radiation, accounted for a termination of the Hulun Buir Sandy Land as the loess source. However, the change in wind regimes due to the glacial-interglacial cycles, and climate change (e.g., enhanced aridification) are the dominant forcing for the variations in the relative contribution of the dust sources to the Harbin loess.
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