Liver Transplantation For Hepatocellular Carcinoma Research Articles

Use of machine learning models for identification of predictors of survival and tumour recurrence in liver transplant recipients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the leading indications for liver transplantation (LT) however, selection criteria remain controversial. We aimed to identify survival factors and predictors for tumour recurrence using machine learning (ML) methods. We also compared ML models to the Cox regression model. Thirty pretransplant donor and recipient general and tumour specific parameters were analysed from 170 patients who underwent orthotopic liver transplantation for HCC between March 2013 and December 2019 at the University Hospital Merkur, Zagreb. Survival rates were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and multivariate analysis was performed using the Cox proportional hazards regression model. Data was also processed through Coxnet (a regularized Cox regression model), Random Survival Forest (RSF), Survival Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Survival Gradient Boosting models, which included pre-processing, variable selection, imputation of missing data, training and cross-validation of the models. The cross-validated concordance index (CI) was used as an evaluation metric and to determine the best performing model. Kaplan-Meier curves for 5-year survival time showed survival probability of 80% for recipient survival and 82% for graft survival. The 5-year HCC recurrence was observed in 19% of patients. The best predictive accuracy was observed in the RSF model with CI of 0.72, followed by the Survival SVM model (CI 0.70). Overall ML models outperform the Cox regression model with respect to their limitations. Random Forest analysis provided several relevant outcome predictors: alpha fetoprotein (AFP), donor C-reactive protein (CRP), recipient age and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR). Cox multivariate analysis showed similarities with RSF models in identifying detrimental variables. Some variables such as donor age and number of transarterial chemoembolization treatments (TACE) were pointed out, but these were not influential in our RSF model. Using ML methods in addition to classical statistical analysis, it is possible to develop sufficient prognostic models, which, compared to established risk scores, could help us quantify survival probability and make changes in organ utilization.

Progress of PD-1/PD-L1 signaling in immune response to liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma.

Primary liver cancer is one of the most common malignant tumors in China. The vast majority of primary liver cancer are hepatocellular carcinoma. Due to its high incidence and mortality from HCC, HCC has always been a feared type of cancer. Liver transplantation, as one of the important means to treat advanced liver cancer, has brought new hope to patients. However, as patients have been in a state of immunosuppression after liver transplantation, these patients face new problems of HCC recurrence and metastasis. A increasing number of studies have proved that blocking the PD-1/PD-L1 signaling pathway and restoring the immune killing inhibition of T cells can produce better therapeutic effects on tumors and chronic infectious diseases. As a promising treatment in the field of tumor immunotherapy, PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors have achieved important results in liver cancer patients, but their application in liver transplantation patients is still highly controversial. This paper will introduce the mechanism of action of PD-1/PD-L1 signaling pathway and the current basic and clinical studies of PD-1/PD-L1 signaling pathway associated with immune response in HCC transplantation.

Evolving Landscape in Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: From Stage Migration to Immunotherapy Revolution.

Liver transplantation (LT) represents the primary curative option for HCC. Despite the extension of transplantation criteria and conversion with down-staging loco-regional treatments, transplantation is not always possible. The introduction of new standards of care in advanced HCC including a combination of immune checkpoint inhibitor-based therapies led to an improvement in response rates and could represent a promising strategy for down-staging the tumor burden. In this review, we identify reports and series, comprising a total of 43 patients who received immune checkpoint inhibitors as bridging or down-staging therapies prior to LT. Overall, treated patients registered an objective response rate of 21%, and 14 patients were reduced within the Milan criteria. Graft rejection was reported in seven patients, resulting in the death of four patients; in the remaining cases, LT was performed safely after immunotherapy. Further investigations are required to define the duration of immune checkpoint inhibitors, their minimum washout period and the LT long-term safety of this strategy. Some randomized clinical trials including immunotherapy combinations, loco-regional treatment and/or tyrosine kinase inhibitors are ongoing and will likely determine the appropriateness of immune checkpoint inhibitors' administration before LT.

Therapeutically targeting essential metabolites to improve immunometabolism manipulation after liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most prevalent primary liver malignancy worldwide and is associated with a poor prognosis. Sophisticated molecular mechanisms and biological characteristics need to be explored to gain a better understanding of HCC. The role of metabolites in cancer immunometabolism has been widely recognized as a hallmark of cancer in the tumor microenvironment (TME). Recent studies have focused on metabolites that are derived from carbohydrate, lipid, and protein metabolism, because alterations in these may contribute to HCC progression, ischemia-reperfusion (IR) injury during liver transplantation (LT), and post-LT rejection. Immune cells play a central role in the HCC microenvironment and the duration of IR or rejection. They shape immune responses through metabolite modifications and by engaging in complex crosstalk with tumor cells. A growing number of publications suggest that immune cell functions in the TME are closely linked to metabolic changes. In this review, we summarize recent findings on the primary metabolites in the TME and post-LT metabolism and relate these studies to HCC development, IR injury, and post-LT rejection. Our understanding of aberrant metabolism and metabolite targeting based on regulatory metabolic pathways may provide a novel strategy to enhance immunometabolism manipulation by reprogramming cell metabolism.

Parameters Predicting Microvascular Invasion and Poor Differentiation in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients with Normal Alpha-fetoprotein Level Before Liver Transplantation.

The aim of this study is to evaluate the parameters that might be associated with pathologically diagnosed microvascular invasion and poor differentiation, using complete blood count and routine clinical biochemistry test results, in hepatocellular carcinoma patients before liver transplantation. The data of patients who underwent liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma at our institute, between March 2006 and November 2021, was researched retrospectively. The incidence of microvascular invasion was 28.6%, poor differentiation rate was 9.3%, hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence rate after liver transplantation was 12.1%, and median time to recurrence was 13 months, in the patients with normal alpha-fetoprotein levels. After univariate and multivariate analysis, maximum tumor diameter > 4.5 cm and the number of nodules (n > 5) were found to be independent risk factors for microvascular invasion, and number of nodules > 4 and mean platelet volume ≤8.6 fL were found to be independent risk factors for poor differentiation. Serum alpha-fetoprotein levels were still within the normal range at the recurrence time, in 53% of the patients who had recurrence after liver transplantation, but surprisingly were elevated in 47% of the patients at time of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence. In hepatocellular carcinoma patients with normal alpha-fetoprotein levels before liver transplantation, independent risk factors of the presence of microvascular invasion were maximum tumor diameter and number of nodules, and independent risk factors of poor differentiation were mean platelet volume and number of nodules. Furthermore, serum alpha-fetoprotein levels were still normal at time of recurrence in 53% of hepatocellular carcinoma patients whose alpha-fetoprotein levels were normal before liver transplantation but were elevated in 47% of the patients at recurrence time, despite having normal levels before liver transplantation.

Effect of statins on the recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after liver transplantation: An illusion revealed by exposure density sampling.

Statins have been reported to reduce overall death and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence in liver transplantation (LT) recipients. However, previous retrospective studies have significant flaws in immortal time bias. Using data from 658 patients who received LT for HCC, we matched 140 statin users with statin nonusers in a 1:2 ratio at the time of the first statin administration after LT using the exposure density sampling (EDS). The propensity score, calculated using baseline variables (including explant pathology), was used for EDS to equilibrate both groups. HCC recurrence and overall death were compared after adjusting for information at the time of sampling. Among statin users, the median time to statin start was 219 (IQR 98-570) days, and intensity of statins was mainly moderate (87.1%). Statin users and nonusers sampled using EDS showed well-balanced baseline characteristics, including detailed tumour pathology, and similar HCC recurrence with cumulative incidences of 11.3% and 11.8% at 5 years, respectively (p = .861). In multivariate Cox models (HR 1.04, p = .918) and subgroup analyses, statins did not affect HCC recurrence. Conversely, statin users showed a significantly lower risk of overall death than nonusers (HR 0.28, p < .001). There was no difference in the type and intensity of statin usage between statin users who experienced HCC recurrence and those who did not. Upon controlling immortal time bias by EDS, statins did not affect HCC recurrence but reduced mortality after LT. Statin usage is encouraged for survival benefits but not for preventing HCC recurrence in LT recipients.

Thermal ablation as an alternative to liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma with clinically significant portal hypertension: propensity score matching study.

The objectives were to investigate the safety and efficacy of thermal ablation as an alternative to liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma patients with clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH). From July 2016 to September 2019, hepatocellular carcinoma patients with CSPH treated by liver transplantation (N=37) or thermal ablation (N=114) were enrolled. Cumulative intrahepatic recurrence, overall survival and major complications were compared by propensity score matching. In the two matched groups, the 1-, 2-, and 3-year intrahepatic recurrence rates for the ablation group (22.3%, 50.0%, and 50.0%, respectively) were significantly higher than those for the transplantation group (4.5%, 4.5%, and 4.5%, respectively) (P=0.016). The 1-, 2-, and 3-year overall survival rates were comparable between the two groups [96.1%, 88.7%, and 88.7%, respectively (ablation group) vs. 84.6%, 76.2%, and 76.2%, respectively (transplantation group)] (P=0.07). The major complication rate for the ablation group [4.8% (3/62)] was significantly lower than that for the transplantation group [36.0% (9/25)] (P<0.001). Thermal ablation is a safe and effective alternative for hepatocellular carcinoma patients with CSPH.

The impact of postoperative complications on oncological outcomes of liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma: A competing risk analysis

ObjectiveTo investigate the influence of postoperative complications on tumor-related (TRD), disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in patients undergoing liver transplant (LT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). MethodsWe retrospectively evaluated 425 LTs for HCC from 2010 to 2019. Postoperative complications were classified according to Comprehensive Complication Index (CCI) and the posttransplant risk of TRD assessed through Metroticket 2.0 calculator. The population was stratified into high-risk and low-risk cohorts based on the predicted TRD risk of 80%. In a second step, we re-evaluated TRD, DFS and OS of both cohorts according to a further stratification based on 47.3 points of CCI cut-off. ResultsIn the low-risk cohort, we observed a significantly better DFS (84% vs. 46%, p<0.001), TRD (3% vs. 26%, p<0.001) and OS (89% vs. 62%, p<0.001) in the group with CCI < 47.3. In the high-risk cohort, patients with CCI < 47.3 had significantly better DFS (50% vs. 23%, p = 0.003) and OS (68% vs. 42%, p = 0.02) and a comparable TRD (22% vs. 31%, p = 0.142). ConclusionsA complicated postoperative course negatively influenced long-term survival. This poorer oncological outcome associated with in-hospital postoperative complications suggests that every effort should be made to improve the early posttransplant course in HCC patients, including a careful donor-to recipient match and use of new perfusion technologies.

The Role of mTOR Inhibitors after Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Liver transplantation is a treatment option for nonresectable patients with early-stage HCC, with more significant advantages when Milan criteria are fulfilled. An immunosuppressive regimen is required to reduce the risk of graft rejection after transplantation, and CNIs represent the drugs of choice in this setting. However, their inhibitory effect on T-cell activity accounts for a higher risk of tumour regrowth. mTOR inhibitors (mTORi) have been introduced as an alternative immunosuppressive approach to conventional CNI-based regimens to address both immunosuppression and cancer control. The PI3K-AKT-mTOR signalling pathway regulates protein translation, cell growth, and metabolism, and the pathway is frequently deregulated in human tumours. Several studies have suggested the role of mTORi in reducing HCC progression after LT, accounting for a lower recurrence rate. Furthermore, mTOR immunosuppression controls the renal damage associated with CNI exposure. Conversion to mTOR inhibitors is associated with stabilizing and recovering renal dysfunction, suggesting an essential renoprotective effect. Limitations in this therapeutic approach are related to their negative impact on lipid and glucose metabolism as well as on proteinuria development and wound healing. This review aims to summarize the roles of mTORi in managing patients with HCC undergoing LT. Strategies to overcome common adverse effects are also proposed.

The impact of applying UCSF criteria to patients underwent liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma in a low volume center

The impact of applying UCSF criteria to patients underwent liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma in a low volume center

Impact of everolimus versus mycophenolate mofetil in combination with reduced tacrolimus on oncologic outcome after liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma

Impact of everolimus versus mycophenolate mofetil in combination with reduced tacrolimus on oncologic outcome after liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma

Supplementary table of the review entitled "Evolving landscape in liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma: from stage migration to immunotherapy revolution"

Supplementary table of the review entitled "Evolving landscape in liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma: from stage migration to immunotherapy revolution"

Clinical Characteristics and Survival Analysis of Patients With Second Primary Malignancies After Hepatocellular Carcinoma Liver Transplantation: A SEER-based Analysis.

Second primary malignancies (SPMs) after liver transplantation (LT) are becoming the leading causes of death in LT recipients. The purpose of this study was to explore prognostic factors for SPMs and to establish an overall survival nomogram. A retrospective analysis was conducted of data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database on adult patients with primary hepatocellular carcinoma who had undergone LT between 2004 and 2015. Cox regression analysis was used to explore the independent prognostic factors for SPMs. Nomogram was constructed using R software to predict the overall survival at 2, 3, and 5 years. The concordance index, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis were used to evaluate the clinical prediction model. Data from a total of 2078 patients were eligible, of whom 221 (10.64%) developed SPMs. A total of 221 patients were split into a training cohort (n=154) or a validation cohort (n=67) with a 7:3 ratio. The 3 most common SPMs were lung cancer, prostate cancer, and non-Hodgkin lymphoma. Age at initial diagnosis, marital status, year of diagnosis, T stage, and latency were the prognostic factors for SPMs. The C-index of the nomogram for overall survival in the training and validation cohorts were 0.713 and 0.729, respectively. We analyzed the clinical characteristics of SPMs and developed a precise prediction nomogram, with a good predictive performance. The nomogram we developed may help clinicians provide personalized decisions and clinical treatment for LT recipients.

The Outcome of Salvage Liver Transplantation and Liver Resection for Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma Using the 5-5-500 Rule, Japanese Extended Liver Transplantation Criteria for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Liver transplantation (LT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is limited to Child-Pugh class C patients according to the Japanese HCC treatment algorithm. However, extended criteria of LT for HCC, known as the 5-5-500 rule, were published in 2019. Hepatocellular carcinoma reportedly has a high recurrence rate after primary treatment. We hypothesized that the outcome of recurrent HCC would be improved if the 5-5-500 rule were adopted for patients with recurrent HCC. We, therefore, analyzed the outcomes of surgical treatment (liver resection [LR] and LT) for recurrent HCC using the 5-5-500 rule in our institute. Fifty-two patients younger than 70 years of age received surgical treatment for recurrent HCC using our institute's 5-5-500 rule from 2010 to 2019. We divided these patients into the LR and LT groups in the first study. The 10-year overall survival and re-recurrence-free survival were analyzed. The second study analyzed the risk factors of re-recurrence after surgical treatment for recurrent HCC. In the first study, the background characteristics of the 2 groups (LR and LT) showed no significant difference, except for age and Child-Pugh classification. There was no significant difference in the overall survival between groups (P=.35), but the re-recurrence-free survival in the LR group was significantly shorter than that in the LT group (P < .01). In the second study, the male sex and LR were risk factors of re-recurrence after surgical treatment for recurrent HCC. Child-Pugh's class did not contribute to re-recurrence. To improve the outcomes of recurrent HCC, LT is the better choice, regardless of the Child-Pugh class.

Optimizing the Safe Washout Period for Liver Transplantation Following Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors with Atezolizumab, Nivolumab, or Pembrolizumab

Using immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) as a downstaging therapy for liver transplantation (LT) has improved outcomes for patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, this therapy carries a risk of post-transplant graft rejection. The washout (WO) period between the last ICI dose and LT seems critical in preventing postoperative rejection. This study aimed to optimize the WO period by balancing tumor burden suppression and rejection prevention using ICIs before LT. We reviewed published case reports or series from March 2020 to December 2022 regarding LT for HCC after downstaging or bridge therapy with ICIs and included 4 of our cases. Most patients received atezolizumab, nivolumab, or pembrolizumab; these ICIs shared a half-life of around 28 days. Therefore, we excluded cases without definite WO period data and those using non-atezolizumab/nivolumab/pembrolizumab ICIs and ultimately enrolled 22 patients for analysis. We compared their clinical outcomes and estimated the rejection-free survival for every 0.5 half-life interval. Most study subjects received nivolumab (n=25). Six patients had severe rejections (nivolumab group, n=5) and needed rescue management. Of the 6 cases, 1 patient died after rejection, and 2 underwent re-transplantation. The median WO period in these 6 patients was 22 days (IQR: 9-35 days). In addition, we found that a 1.5 half-life (42 days) was the shortest safe WO period associated with significant rejection-free survival (P=.005). Our results showed that 42 days was the safest WO period before LT for HCC after ICI with atezolizumab, nivolumab, or pembrolizumab.

Inferior outcomes of liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma during early-COVID-19 pandemic in the United States.

Early in the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, there was a significant impact on routine medical care in the United States, including in fields of transplantation and oncology. To analyze the impact and outcomes of early COVID-19 pandemic on liver transplantation (LT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in the United States. WHO declared COVID-19 as a pandemic on March 11, 2020. We retrospectively analyzed data from the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database regarding adult LT with confirmed HCC on explant in 2019 and 2020. We defined pre-COVID period from March 11 to September 11, 2019, and early-COVID period as from March 11 to September 11, 2020. Overall, 23.5% fewer LT for HCC were performed during the COVID period (518 vs 675, P < 0.05). This decrease was most pronounced in the months of March-April 2020 with a rebound in numbers seen from May-July 2020. Among LT recipients for HCC, concurrent diagnosis of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis significantly increased (23 vs 16%) and alcoholic liver disease (ALD) significantly decreased (18 vs 22%) during the COVID period. Recipient age, gender, BMI, and MELD score were statistically similar between two groups, while waiting list time decreased during the COVID period (279 days vs 300 days, P = 0.041). Among pathological characteristics of HCC, vascular invasion was more prominent during COVID period (P < 0.01), while other features were the same. While the donor age and other characteristics remained same, the distance between donor and recipient hospitals was significantly increased (P < 0.01) and donor risk index was significantly higher (1.68 vs 1.59, P < 0.01) during COVID period. Among outcomes, 90-day overall and graft survival were the same, but 180-day overall and graft were significantly inferior during COVID period (94.7 vs 97.0%, P = 0.048). On multivariable Cox-hazard regression analysis, COVID period emerged as a significant risk factor of post-transplant mortality (Hazard ratio 1.85; 95%CI: 1.28-2.68, P = 0.001). During COVID period, there was a significant decrease in LTs performed for HCC. While early postoperative outcomes of LT for HCC were same, the overall and graft survival of LTs for HCC after 180 days were significantly inferior.

Prognostic biomarkers in and selection of surgical patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

Prognostic biomarkers in and selection of surgical patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

Elevated Alfa-Fetoprotein and Des-Gamma-Carboxy Prothrombin Levels Predict Poor Outcomes After Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Beyond the Japan Criteria

The Japan criteria (Milan criteria+5-5-500 rule) was established recently to select cirrhotic patients with hepatocellular carcinoma for liver transplantation. We evaluated factors associated with poor prognosis after liver transplantation and investigated whether a further extension of the criteria would be worthwhile. We retrospectively analyzed 86 patients who underwent liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma at Kumamoto University Hospital since 2004; 69 patients (80.2%) met the Japan criteria (the JCIN group), and 17 patients (19.8%) did not (the JCOUT group). The 5-year cancer-specific survival rates of the JCIN group (92.2%) were significantly better than that of the JCOUT group (39.2%; P < .001). In univariable analysis, alfa-fetoprotein and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin were significant independent factors associated with cancer-specific survival rates. According to the receiver operating characteristic curves, the cutoff values of alfa-fetoprotein and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin that predicted hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after liver transplantation were 756 ng/mL and 1976 mAU/mL, respectively. The JCOUT group was divided into 2 subgroups according to alfa-fetoprotein and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin: low risk (alfa-fetoprotein level <756 ng/mL and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin level <1976 mAU/mL) and high risk (alfa-fetoprotein level ≥756 ng/mL and/or des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin level ≥1976 mAU/mL). The 5-year cancer-specific survival rate in the low-risk group (67.5%) was significantly better than that in the high-risk group (0%; P < .001). Alfa-fetoprotein levels of <756 ng/mL and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin levels of <1976 mAU/mL may help identify cirrhotic patients with hepatocellular carcinoma who do not meet the Japan criteria but still benefit from liver transplantation.

Preoperative systemic inflammatory response index predicts the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after liver transplantation.

Preoperative inflammatory status plays an important role in the prognosis of malignancy. We sought to explore the value of preoperative inflammatory biomarkers in predicting long-term outcomes of liver transplantation (LT) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Patients who underwent LT for HCC in our hospital between January 2010 and June 2020 were included in this study. Demographic, clinical, laboratory, and outcome data were obtained. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the predictive value of inflammatory biomarkers. The effectiveness of inflammatory biomarkers in predicting outcomes was analyzed by univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards analyses. A total of 218 patients were included in the study, with a mean age of 53.9 ± 8.5 years. The AUC of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), systemic immune inflammation index (SII), and systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI) for overall survival (OS) were 0.741, 0.731, 0.756, 0.746, and 0.749, respectively. Cox proportional hazards model indicated that SIRI > 1.25 was independently associated with low OS [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.258, P = 0.024]. PLR > 82.15 and SIRI > 0.95 were independently associated with low disease-free survival (HR = 1.492, P = 0.015; and HR = 1.732, P = 0.008, respectively). In the survival analysis, the prognosis of patients with high preoperative SIRI and PLR was significantly worse (P < 0.001). SIRI and PLR were useful prognostic markers for predicting patients with HCC after LT.

The predictive value of the modified AFP model for liver transplantation outcomes in multinodular hepatocellular carcinoma patients

BackgroundThere is a lack of studies focusing on the benefit of liver transplantation (LT) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with > 3 tumors. This study aims to establish a model to effectively predict overall survival in Chinese HCC patients with multiple tumors (> 3 tumors) who undergo LT.MethodsThis retrospective study included 434 HCC liver transplant recipients from the China Liver Transplant Registry. All HCC patients had more than 3 tumor nodules. Three selection criteria systems (i.e., AFP, Metroticket 2.0, and Up-to-7) were compared regarding the prediction of HCC recurrence. The modified AFP model was established by univariate and multivariate competing risk analyses.ResultsThe AFP score 2 and the AFP score ≥ 3 groups had 5-year recurrence rates of 19.6% and 40.5% in our cohort. The prediction of HCC recurrence based on the AFP model was associated with a c-statistic of 0.606, which was superior to the Up-to-7 and Metroticket 2.0 models. AFP level > 1000 ng/mL, largest tumor size ≥ 8 cm, vascular invasion, and MELD score ≥ 15 were associated with overall survival. The 5-year survival rate in the modified AFP score 0 group was 71.7%.ConclusionsThe AFP model is superior in predicting tumor recurrence in HCC patients with > 3 tumors prior to LT. With the modified AFP model, patients likely to derive sufficient benefit from LT can be identified.