Abstract Two cases of light and moderate snow events over the Washington, DC area are presented for 14 and 22 February 1986. These cases were selected since the upper-tropospheric and surface features were quite similar, yet significantly different snowfall patterns occurred in the mid-Atlantic status. The numerical guidance and local forecasters displayed minimal skill in forecasting the amount of snow for each case, especially in the Washington, DC area. Analyses in isobaric and isentropic coordinates are presented which focus on the structure and evolution of the thermal fields and associated temperature advection patterns in the lower troposphere. These analyses reveal that the low-level upslope flow (as derived from vertical motion computations in isentropic coordinates) and the associated warm-air advection patterns (as viewed in isobaric coordinates) were important factors in determining the intensity and spatial distribution of precipitation for each case. Three-hourly soundings from the Genesis o...
Read full abstract