HLA incompatible organ transplant tolerance is the holy grail of transplantation. Stable engraftment of an HLA mismatched allograft and life-long tolerance induction, though feasible in highly selected cohorts with depletional protocols, is not ready for generalized application to the entire transplant recipient pool. It has thus been important to harness biomarkers that can uncover mechanisms and tools for monitoring HLA mismatched recipients that develop a state of operational tolerance, during accidental immunosuppression withdrawal secondary to problems of over-immunosuppression (infection or malignancy) or toxicity (mostly cosmetic or cardiovascular). A restricted and unpredictable group of patients can demonstrate a clinical state of operational tolerance, manifested by state of stable graft function of a graft with HLA mismatches between recipient and donor, intact immune responses to third party antigens and no measurable immunosuppression. These patients have served as the basis for the discovery of clinically correlative biomarkers, in distal biofluids (mainly blood), that can define the existing state of operational clinical tolerance. Operationally tolerant patients are rare, as withdrawal of immunosuppression most often results in rejection and graft loss. Nevertheless, operationally tolerant kidney, liver and heart allograft recipients have been reported. The presence of similar biomarker signature profiles in HLA mismatched transplant recipients on immunosuppression, suggests the feasibility of utilizing these biomarkers for educated immunosuppression minimization with a view to retaining immunological quiescence, while reducing the maintenance immunosuppression burden to a “safe” alloimmune threshold. Though clinical operational tolerance is rare, as immunosuppression cessation most often results in increased alloimmunity and rejection, the biomarker profile studies that have harnessed whole genome profiling suggest that the frequency of this state may be ~8% in kidney allograft recipients, and even more frequent in pediatric recipients and in liver transplantation: 25% in adult liver allograft recipients and ~60% in pediatric liver allograft recipients. In this review we discuss putative molecular mechanisms, cellular players and correlative biomarkers that have been developed through clinically associative studies of tolerant and non-tolerant patients. Through mechanisms of carefully constructed and monitored randomized, prospective clinical trials, the transplant community stands at the cusp of improved quality of recipient life through educated immunosuppression minimization.
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