Independent Risk Factors For Recurrence Research Articles

Risk factors for recurrence after operation in patients with pT1a renal cell carcinoma: sub-analysis of the multi-institutional national database of the Japanese Urological Association.

More patients with renal cell carcinoma are now diagnosed with the disease in its early stages. Although patients with pT1a renal cell carcinoma have a good prognosis and low recurrence rate, a few patients still experience recurrence. Herein, we evaluated the clinicopathological risk factors for postoperative recurrence of pT1aN0M0 renal cell carcinoma. An renal cell carcinoma survey was conducted by the Japanese Urological Association to register newly diagnosed cases of renal cell carcinoma. A total of 1418 patients diagnosed with pT1aN0M0 renal cell carcinoma who underwent surgery as the primary surgical treatment were included. We analyzed the recurrence-free survival using the Kaplan-Meier method and clinicopathological factors for recurrence using Cox proportional hazards models. Among 1418 patients, 58 (4.1%) had recurrences after a median follow-up of 62.8months. The median time to recurrence was 31.0months. Metastases to the lungs and the bone were observed in 20 and 10 cases, respectively. Significant differences in sex, tumor size, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, and dialysis history, preoperative hemoglobin levels, C-reactive protein levels and creatinine levels were observed between the recurrence and non-recurrence groups. Multivariate analysis identified male sex, high C-reactive protein level and tumor size ≥3cm as independent risk factors. The 5-year recurrence-free survival of patients with 0, 1, 2 and 3 risk factors was 99.0, 97.2, 93.1 and 80.7%, respectively. Male sex, tumor diameter and a high C-reactive protein level were independent recurrence risk factors for pT1a renal cell carcinoma; special attention should be paid to patients with these risk factors during postoperative follow-up.

Factors of Recurrence After Complete Response in Children with Neuroblastoma: A 16-Year Retrospective Study of 179 Cases.

BackgroundIt is not clear which known adverse prognostic factors of neuroblastoma are closely associated with tumor recurrence after complete response. We analyzed the factors for post-remission recurrence in children with neuroblastoma through a retrospective study.MethodsA total of 179 children with neuroblastoma who achieved initial complete response were included in this study. Kaplan–Meier method and multivariate Cox regression model were used to assess the factors that may have impact on tumor recurrence after complete response.ResultsThe 5-year overall survival rates of the entire cohort (n = 179), recurrence group (n = 86) and non-recurrence group (n = 93) were 81.9%, 66.2%, and 98.7%, respectively. The 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates of the entire cohort and the high-risk cohort were 47.3% and 31.2%, respectively. RFSs were significantly reduced in children with age ≥18 months, INSS stage 4, unfavorable histology, bone marrow metastasis, osseous metastasis, serum NSE level ≥100 ng/mL, and serum LDH level ≥1400 U/L (P < 0.05). The independent risk factors for post-remission recurrence in the entire cohort were age ≥18 months, unfavorable histology, and serum LDH level ≥1400 U/L (P < 0.05). In the high-risk cohort, the independent risk factor for recurrence was serum LDH ≥1400 U/L (P < 0.05). Based on a new recurrence risk stratification, the 5-year RFSs of the children were 93.5%, 66.4%, and 22.5% in the low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk groups, respectively. The area under the ROC curve of the new stratification was 0.773 (95% CI: 0.704−0.842).ConclusionAge ≥18 months, unfavorable histology, and serum LDH level ≥1400 U/L are independent risk factors for post-remission recurrence in children with neuroblastoma. A newly established recurrence risk stratification has diagnostic advantages in predicting risk of recurrence, which is especially suitable for low- and middle-income countries or regions.

Risk Factors of Recurrent Anal Abscess in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus; a 4-Year Retrospective study.

Anal abscess is considered as a relatively common compilation in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients. This study aimed to determine the risk factors of recurrent anal abscess in T2DM patients. In this 4-year retrospective cross-sectional study, T2DM patients hospitalized due to anal abscess in Shahid Modarres Hospital, Tehran, Iran from December 2016 to December 2020 were studied. The independent risk factors of disease recurrence were determined among demographic factors, underlying diseases, diabetes-related factors, clinical factors, laboratory parameters, abscess type, and culture using multivariate stepwise logistic regression analysis. 203 patients were enrolled in the study. 58 (28.6%) patients had at least one re-occurrence of anal abscess during four years. The recurrent episodes had occurred more frequently in the first year after the initial treatment (55.2%). The prevalence of comorbidities such as metabolic syndrome, coronary artery disease, chronic kidney disease, end stage renal disease, and peripheral vascular disease was significantly higher amongst patients with abscess recurrence. The patients with recurrent anal abscess had statically significant poor glycemic control (HbA1C > 7.5), decreased levels of Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate (e-GFR), and higher C-reactive Protein (CRP) upon the first admission. Presence of metabolic syndrome, HbA1c > 7.5%, WBC > 11.0 ×109/L, and CRP > 5 mg/l were amongst the independent risk factors of recurrence. HbA1c > 7.5% was the greatest independent risk factor of anal abscess recurrence (OR=2.68, 95% CI: 1.37-5.25; p < 0.001). The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) of HbA1C, CRP, and WBC in predicting the risk of abscess recurrence was 0.81, 0.71, and 0.64, respectively. Th recurrence rate of anal abscess in this series was 28.6 %. It seems that in T2DM patients with uncontrolled diabetes who have metabolic syndrome and increased CRP and WBC in their routine tests, the probability of anal abscess reoccurrence is high.

Efficacy of Upfront Hepatectomy without Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy for Resectable Colorectal Liver Metastasis

Introduction: Hepatectomy for resectalbe colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) is recommended. However the efficacy of upfront hepatectomy without neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) is unclear due to the uncertainty of perioperative systemic chemotherapy. It is also important to predict the prognosis when considering perioperative chemotherapy. This study evaluated the impact of neoadjuvant chemotherapy on the prognosis of patients with resectable colorectal liver metastasis and assessed the usefulness of Beppu’s nomogram for predicting prognosis. Methods: This retrospective study identified 88 consecutive inpatients who underwent primary hepatic resection for colorectal liver metastasis; 58 received neoadjuvant chemotherapy and 30 underwent upfront surgery. Factors associated with recurrence-free survival were identified via univariate and multivariate analysis. Propensity score analysis using inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) was also performed. Results: On univariate analysis, poor recurrence-free survival was associated with multiple tumors, advanced primary tumor stage, vascular invasion by the primary tumor, a Beppu’s nomogram score ≥6, and neoadjuvant chemotherapy. On multivariate analysis, a Beppu’s nomogram score ≥6 and neoadjuvant chemotherapy were independent risk factors for recurrence. Neoadjuvant chemotherapy recipients had a higher incidence of lymph node metastasis and vascular invasion than non-recipients. Propensity score analysis revealed no significant difference in the recurrence-free survival rate between these groups. Conclusions: Our results show that upfront hepatectomy without neoadjuvant chemotherapy can be considered for resectable colorectal liver metastasis treatment. Beppu’s nomogram score can be an option as one of the tools for predicting the prognosis of patients with colorectal liver metastasis.

Diagnostic value of sinus CT score combined with serum allergen sIgE for postoperative recurrence in patients with eosinophilic CRSwNP

Objective:To explore the combination of sinus CT score and serum allergen sIgE to construct a postoperative recurrence risk model for patients with eosinophilic CRSwNP. Methods:The clinical data of 183 patients with eosinophilic CRSwNP who were treated in Luohe Central Hospital from January 2016 to January 2019 were collected. The curative effect was evaluated one year after the operation. According to the postoperative recurrence, they were divided into recurrence group and non-recurrence group. Single factor analysis of clinical and pathological factors on the postoperative curative effect of patients, XGboost model and multivariate Cox analysis of factors affecting postoperative recurrence. Draw the receiver operating characteristic（ROC） curves of the two models to compare the prediction effects of the XGboost model. The Kaplan-Meier method draws survival curve and compares the recurrence-free survival rate of patients with different risk levels. Results:The results of Cox multivariate analysis showed postoperative adherence to comprehensive treatment, tissue EOS ratio, tissue NEU ratio, tissue lymphocyte ratio, tissue plasma cell ratio, peripheral blood NEU ratio, Allergen sIgE and total sinus CT score were independent risk factors for recurrence. The top six factors influencing postoperative recurrence in the XGboost model were allergen sIgE, total sinus CT score, tissue EOS ratio, postoperative adherence to comprehensive treatment, tissue lymphocyte ratio, and tissue plasma cell ratio. The ROC curve showed that the area under the ROC curve of the XGboost model was 0.818. Cox analysis （0.789） with more factors increased by 3.68%, and the sensitivity, specificity and Youden index of the model were significantly higher than the multivariate Cox analysis model. The factors included in the XGboost model were used to construct a postoperative recurrence risk model. The recurrence-free survival rate of high-risk group was significantly lower than that of low-risk group and intermediate-risk group （log-rank test value:21.946, P<0.001）. Conclusion:The postoperative recurrence risk model established by the sinus CT score combined with serum allergen sIgE can effectively predict the incidence of postoperative recurrence in patients. The XGboost model is better than the multivariate Cox analysis model in predicting postoperative recurrence in patients with eosinophilic CRSwNP. It can be used to predict postoperative recurrence.

Analysis of the therapeutic effect of transanal endoscopic microsurgery on large rectal adenoma.

Rectal adenoma, a pre-cancerous lesion, is one of the indications for transanal endoscopic microsurgery (TEM). TEM has its unique advantages in the treatment of rectal adenomas. However, there are few reports on the therapeutic effects of large rectal adenoma (LRA). The objective of this study was to investigate the value of TEM in the treatment of LRA. We collected data from patients who underwent surgery at our center from 2007 to 2017. The postoperative pathology of all patients was rectal adenoma and the diameter of the adenoma was 3 cm or greater. Moreover, all patients underwent TEM. We followed up to observe the incidence of no wound healing, rectal stenosis and recurrence rate of rectal adenoma. The risk factors of adenoma recurrence and wound healing were analysed using single- and multiple-factor analysis. The clinicopathological data of 85 patients with LRA were collected through a pre-set table. During the follow-up period, eight patients were lost to follow-up, and three (3.90%) patients developed rectal stenosis. After 2 years of post-operative follow-up, 20 (25.97%) patients had recurrence and 57 (74.03%) patients had no recurrence. Multivariate analysis showed that positive margin was an independent risk factor for recurrence of adenoma. TEM is feasible in the treatment of large rectal tumours in Centers of Expertise with the technique.

Prognostic significance of histological grade in low-risk endometrial cancer.

Objective: Investigate the risk factors for recurrence in patients with low-risk endometrial cancer. Method: A retrospective review was performed to identify patients who underwent primary surgical treatment for endometrial cancer from December 2009 to December 2020. Patients who met the following criteria were included in the study: (a) International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics stage IA, (b) endometrioid-type histology, (c) histological grade 1 or 2. Univariate and multivariate analyses using Cox proportional hazards model to evaluate effects of prognostic factors. Disease-free survival and overall survival were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Results: A total of 171 patients with low-risk endometrial cancer were included in the study. Recurrence was detected in 9 patients. Histological grade was found to be independent risk factors for recurrence in women with low-risk endometrial cancer (OR 8.255, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.585 - 42.981; p = 0.012). Conclusion: The results of this study suggest that grade 2 disease should be considered a significant prognostic factor for the recurrence of low-risk endometrial cancer.

A Nomogram Model to Predict Recurrence of Non-Muscle Invasive Bladder Urothelial Carcinoma After Resection Based on Clinical Parameters and Immunohistochemical Markers

Objective This study aims to establish a nomogram model by combining traditional clinical parameters with immunohistochemical markers to predict the recurrence of non-muscle invasive bladder urothelial carcinoma (NMIBUC) after resection. Methods In total, 504 patients were included in this study. Of these patients, 353 underwent transurethral resection of bladder tumor (TURBT) in the Yongchuan Hospital of Chongqing Medical University and were identified as a training cohort. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to determine the risk factors associated with recurrence in the training cohort and to establish a nomogram model. A total of 151 patients who were hospitalized in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University (validation cohort) were used for further validation. The calibration curve was generated for internal and external model validation. The clinical practicability of this model was further verified by comparing the consistency index (C-index) among various models. Results The mean follow-up time of the training cohort was 45.6 months (range 4–90). In total, 146 patients relapsed in training cohort. After univariate analysis, multivariate analysis further confirmed tumor grade (p=.034), immediate postoperative instillation therapy (p=.025), Ki67 (p=.047), P53 (p=.038) and CK20 (p=.049) as independent risk factors for recurrence, and these factors were included in the nomogram model. The model more accurately predicted recurrence compared with other models based on the highest C-index of 0.82 (95% CI, 0.78–0.86) in the training cohort and 0.80 (95% CI, 0.77–0.83) in the validation cohort. Conclusions This proposed nomogram model based on traditional clinical parameters and immunohistochemical markers can more accurately predict postoperative recurrence in patients with NMIBUC.

Clinical and Therapeutic Factors Vary by Prognosis in Patients with Pathological Complete Response After Neoadjuvant Therapy for Breast Cancer.

PurposeTo determine clinical predictors of recurrence and metastasis in patients with pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NCT).MethodsPatients treated with NCT who achieved pCR (n=285) were classified into three groups according to pre-NCT clinical stage (cStage): group I (IIa–IIb), group II (IIIa), and group III (IIIb–IIIc). Survival was analysed using the Kaplan–Meier method. The relationships between clinicopathological factors and recurrence were determined using Cox regression analysis.ResultsThe median follow-up was 31 months. The 3-year disease-free survival and overall survival rates in groups I, II, and III were 92.7%, 87.8%, and 66.7% (P < 0.01) and 98.6%, 98.3%, and 90.6% (P=0.370), respectively. Lymph node status and tumour size were independent risk factors for recurrence and metastasis after NCT. In the human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-positive subgroup, advanced cStage and lymph node metastasis were associated with recurrence (P < 0.01). In the hormone receptor-positive subgroup, disease-free survival rates differed for cStages I–II compared to cStage III (P=0.049) and clinical node status 0–2 compared to clinical node status 3 (P=0.037).ConclusionPre-NCT cStage predicted the prognosis of pCR for different breast cancer subtypes. Patients with advanced cStage, lymph node metastasis, and large tumour sizes had a higher risk of recurrence or metastasis.

Insulin Resistance and Metabolic Syndrome Increase the Risk of Relapse For Fertility Preserving Treatment in Atypical Endometrial Hyperplasia and Early Endometrial Cancer Patients.

ObjectiveFertility-sparing treatment for young women with atypical endometrial hyperplasia (AEH) and early endometrial cancer (EC) is a difficult challenge. Insulin resistance (IR) and metabolic syndrome (MetS) are two potentially crucial, but currently enigmatic factors in the recurrence of AEH and early EC patients. In this study we attempt to elucidate these factors.MethodsA retrospective study was conducted from January 2010 to December 2019. Risk factors for recurrence and complete remission time after recurrence (RCR time) were investigated. ROC curves were built to estimate the accuracy of the metabolic characteristics and Kaplan–Meier (K–M) analysis was used to calculate recurrence-free survival (RFS) for patients with various IR or MetS statuses.ResultsA total of 111 AEH or early EC patients met the criteria and were enrolled in our study. Univariate analysis found that BMI ≥25 kg/m2 (OR = 2.7, 95% CI: 1.1–6.4, P = 0.03), IR (OR = 9.5, 95% CI: 3.3–27.0, P <0.001), MetS (OR = 4.9, 95% CI:1.5–15.5, P = 0.008), IR+ and MetS+ (OR = 21.0, 95% CI: 4.8–92.7, P <0.001), histological type (OR = 3.5, 95% CI: 1.5–7.9, P = 0.003), and maintenance treatment (OR = 0.3, 95% CI: 0.1–0.6, P = 0.005) were all significantly associated with recurrence and longer RCR time. Among these factors, IR and MetS were determined to be two independent risk factors for recurrence. Moreover, using IR and MetS as markers significantly improved the diagnostic accuracy of recurrence for fertility-sparing treatment patients (AUC = 0.818, P <0.05) and may play synergistic roles in suppressing treatment. K–M analysis indicated both metabolic features played important roles in RFS (P <0.05).ConclusionBoth IR and MetS were significantly associated with recurrence and longer RCR time in AEH and early EC patients receiving fertility-sparing treatment.

Factors influencing recurrence after complete remission in children with hepatoblastoma: A 14-year retrospective study in China.

ObjectiveAfter a complete remission to treatment for hepatoblastoma, some children still have recurrence. We identified and explored the factors that influence recurrence after complete remission in a retrospective study.MethodsOf 197 children with hepatoblastoma, 140 (71.1%) achieved initial complete remission and were enrolled in factor analysis. Variables consisted of age, sex, PRE-Treatment EXTent of tumor (PRETEXT) stage, pathologic type, metastatic disease, serum alpha-fetoprotein level, vascular involvement, and surgical margin status. We employed univariate and multivariate analyses to assess the relationship between each factor and tumor recurrence.ResultsOf 140 children who achieved initial complete remission, 42 (30%) had recurrent hepatoblastoma. The 5-year overall survival rates for the non-recurrence and recurrence group were 99.0% and 78.6%, respectively. The overall 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates were 77.8%, 69.8%, and 69.8%, respectively. All recurrences occurred within 2 years from complete remission. The RFS rate was significantly higher in children younger than 3 years and in those with mixed pathological type, PRETEXT II and III, without metastatic disease, without vascular involvement, and microscopic negative margin than in that of children older than 3 years, with epithelial pathological type, PRETEXT IV, metastatic disease, vascular involvement, and macroscopic positive margin (P < 0.001, = 0.020, < 0.001, = 0.004, = 0.002, and < 0.001, respectively). The independent risk factors for recurrence after complete remission were age ≥3 years, PRETEXT IV, and metastatic disease (P < 0.05).ConclusionAge, PRETEXT stage, metastatic disease, vascular involvement, pathologic type, and surgical margin status might be associated with recurrent hepatoblastoma after complete remission; meanwhile, age ≥3 years, PRETEXT IV, and metastatic disease are independent risk factors of recurrence. Further research is needed on the causes of tumor recurrence, which may improve the long-term outcomes of children with hepatoblastoma.

Risk factors for urinary tract infection in kidney transplantation from brain death donor and its role in graft function.

Urinary tract infection (UTI) is the most common infection complication after kidney transplantation, and the reports of the incidence vary greatly among different centers. This study aims to explore the risk factors for UTI after kidney transplantation with the donation from brain death (DBD) and the impact on graft function, thus to provide theoretical basis for comprehensive prevention and treatment of UTI after kidney transplantation. The clinical and laboratory data of DBD kidney transplantation from January 2017 to December 2018 in Xiangya Hospital, Central South University were collected and retrospectively analyzed. Patients were assigned into an UTI group and a non-UTI group. The base line characteristics, post-transplant complications, and graft function were compared between the 2 groups. Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze the risk factors for UTI. A total of 212 DBD kidney transplant recipients were enrolled in this study. UTI occurred in 44 (20.75%) patients after transplantation. The female, the time of indwelling catheter, and postoperative urinary fistula were independent risk factors for UTI after DBD kidney transplantation. A total of 19 strains of gram-positive bacteria, 12 strains of gram-negative bacteria , and 10 strains of fungi were isolated from the urine of 44 UTI patients. The UTI after kidney transplantation significantly increased time of hospital stay (P<0.001) and raised the cost for antibiotics (P=0.004). The graft function was much worse in the UTI group compared with the non-UTI group (P<0.001) at 3 months after transplantation. Twenty (45.45%) patients recurred UTI within one year after transplantation. Non-hemodialysis before transplantation and perioperative combination of antibacterial and antifungal drugs were independent risk factors for recurrence of UTI. UTI after DBD kidney transplantation transplantation affects the renal function at 3 months and increases the patient's economic burden.

Clinical characteristics and prognosis of young (

Objective: To analyze the risk factors and clinical characteristics as well as long-term prognosis of young patients (aged 18-35 years) with acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). Methods: In this retrospective study, from January 2007 to December 2017, STEMI patients who were hospitalized in Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University and younger than 45 years old were collected. Patients were divided to the 18-35 years old group and 36-44 years old group. The basic information of patients, clinical laboratory results, surgical information and discharge diagnosis of enrolled patients were extracted from the electronic medical record system. Subgroup analysis on STEMI patients aged 18 to 35 years was performed to compare the clinical features and outcome of patients with normal coronary angiography or stenotic coronary angiography. Results: 496 patients (20.3%) were between 18 and 35 years old, 480 cases (96.8%) were men, and 371 cases (74.8%) were smokers. The proportion of hypertension and diabetes was lower, but percent of obese (122 cases (43.3%)), level of total cholesterol (TC), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), uric acid and homocysteine ​​(Hcy) were significantly higher in patients aged 18 to 35 years compared with STEMI patients aged 36 to 44 years (all P<0.05). In the 18-35 years old group, there were 53 patients (10.7%) with normal coronary angiography and 443 patients (89.3%) with stenosis. The age, proportion of hypertension and diabetes, TC, LDL-C, and triglyceride (TG) levels were lower in the normal coronary angiography group than those in the coronary artery stenosis group (all P<0.05). The main coronary artery lesions were single vessel lesions (263 cases (59.4%)), and the main culprit vessels were left anterior descending artery lesions (238 cases (53.7%)). The follow-up time was 7.0 (4.0, 10.0) years, cardiovascular events were reported in 62 patients (18.9%), of which 14 patients (3.2%) died. The survival rate of patients without cardiovascular events in normal coronary angiography group was higher than that in stenosis group (P=0.029). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that diabetes (HR=2.713, 95%CI 1.479-4.976, P=0.001) and dyslipidemia (HR=2.819, 95%CI 1.564-5.079, P=0.001) were independent risk factors for recurrence of cardiovascular events in adult STEMI patients aged 18 to 35 years. Conclusions: STEMI patients aged 18 to 35 years were featured by male sex, obese and smokers. The proportion of hypertension and diabetes was low, while the levels of LDL-C, uric acid and Hcy were high in these patients. Coronary artery stenosis was common, and the stenosis was more likely to occur in the left anterior descending branch. Patients with normal coronary angiography had a better prognosis than those with stenosis. Diabetes and hyperlipidemia increased the risk of recurrent cardiovascular events.

MRI-based radiomics and ADC values are related to recurrence of endometrial carcinoma: a preliminary analysis

BackgroundTo identify predictive value of apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) values and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based radiomics for all recurrences in patients with endometrial carcinoma (EC).MethodsOne hundred and seventy-four EC patients who were treated with operation and followed up in our institution were retrospectively reviewed, and the patients were divided into training and test group. Baseline clinicopathological features and mean ADC (ADCmean), minimum ADC (ADCmin), and maximum ADC (ADCmax) were analyzed. Radiomic parameters were extracted on T2 weighted images and screened by logistic regression, and then a radiomics signature was developed to calculate the radiomic score (radscore). In training group, Kaplan–Meier analysis was performed and a Cox regression model was used to evaluate the correlation between clinicopathological features, ADC values and radscore with recurrence, and verified in the test group.ResultsADCmean showed inverse correlation with recurrence, while radscore was positively associated with recurrence. In univariate analyses, FIGO stage, pathological types, myometrial invasion, ADCmean, ADCmin and radscore were associated with recurrence. In the training group, multivariate Cox analysis showed that pathological types, ADCmean and radscore were independent risk factors for recurrence, which were verified in the test group.ConclusionsADCmean value and radscore were independent predictors of recurrence of EC, which can supplement prognostic information in addition to clinicopathological information and provide basis for individualized treatment and follow-up plan.

The applicability of established clinical and histopathological risk factors for tumor recurrence during long-term postoperative care in meningioma patients

Risk factors to predict late-onset tumor recurrence in meningioma patients are urgently needed to schedule control intervals during long-term follow-up. We therefore analyzed the value of established risk factors for postoperative meningioma recurrence for the prediction of long-term prognosis. Correlations of clinical and histopathological variables with tumor relapse after 3, 5, and 10 years following microsurgery were analyzed in uni- and multivariate analyses, and compared to findings in the entire cohort. In the entire cohort (N = 1218), skull base location (HR: 1.51, 95%CI 1.05–2.16; p = .026), Simpson ≥ IV resections (HR: 2.41, 95%CI 1.52–3.84; p < .001), high-grade histology (HR: 3.70, 95%CI 2.50–5.47; p < .001), and male gender (HR: 1.46, 95%CI 1.01–2.11; p = .042) were independent risk factors for recurrence. Skull base location (HR: 1.92, 95%CI 1.17–3.17; p = .010 and HR: 2.02, 95%CI 1.04–3.95; p = .038) and high-grade histology (HR: 1.87, 95%CI 1.04–3.38; p = .038 and HR: 2.29, 95%CI 1.07–4.01; p = .034) but not subtotal resection (HR: 1.53, 95%CI .68–3.45; p = .303 and HR: 1.75, 95%CI .52–5.96; p = .369) remained correlated with recurrence after a recurrence-free follow-up of ≥ 3 and ≥ 5 years, respectively. Postoperative tumor volume was related with recurrence in general (p < .001) but not beyond a follow-up of ≥ 3 years (p > .05). In 147 patients with a follow-up of ≥ 10 years, ten recurrences occurred and were not correlated with any of the analyzed variables. Skull base tumor location and high-grade histology but not the extent of resection should be considered when scheduling the long-term follow-up after meningioma surgery. Recurrences ≥ 10 years after surgery are rare, and predictors are lacking.

Efficacy and Safety of Cordyceps militaris as an Adjuvant to Duloxetine in the Treatment of Insomnia in Patients With Depression: A 6-Week Double- Blind, Randomized, Placebo-Controlled Trial.

Background: Insomnia is a common clinical manifestation in patients with depression. Insomnia is not only a depression symptom but also an independent risk factor for recurrence. Cordyceps militaris (C. militaris) is thought to have the potential to treat insomnia. This study aimed to examine the efficacy and safety of duloxetine with C. militaris in improving sleep symptoms in patients with depression.Methods: This study was a single-center, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study that recruited outpatients admitted to Beijing Anding hospital from January 2018 to January 2019. Major depressive disorder (MDD) with insomnia was diagnosed according to the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM-IV-TR) criteria and Mini-International Neuropsychiatric Interview (M.I.N.I.). Eligible subjects will be randomly assigned to two treatment groups in a 1:1 ratio, and receive treatment and follow-up of about 6 weeks of duloxetine plus Cordyceps militaris or placebo, respectively. The severity of depression and insomnia was evaluated at baseline and at 1, 2, 4, and 6 weeks using the 17-item Hamilton Depression Scale (HAMD-17) and Athens Insomnia Scale (AIS).Results: A total of 59 subjects were included in the study (31 in the placebo group and 28 in the C. militaris group). 11 (18.6%) participants withdrew during the study period, 5 (17.9%) in the C. militaris group, and 6 (19.3%) in the placebo group. Depressive and sleep symptoms in all patients reduced over time. We found that the total scores of AIS and its subscales decreased more in the placebo group compared to the C. militaris group (p < 0.05). Secondary outcome revealed that there were no significant differences between the two groups in total HAMD-17 and its sleep factor scores (p > 0.05) at 1, 2, 4, and 6 weeks after treatment initiation. The incidences of adverse events were not significantly different between the two groups (all p > 0.05).Conclusion: C. militaris at the current dose and duration did not improve sleep symptoms in patients with depression, but it is safe with rare side effects.

Dynamic survival analysis of gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs): a 10-year follow-up based on conditional survival

BackgroundThe prognosis of patients with gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs) is generally evaluated at the time of diagnosis but does not reflect the survival dynamics of patients in the future. Therefore, the purpose of this article was to evaluate the conditional survival (CS) of Chinese patients with GISTs after radical resection.MethodsThis retrospective study included 451 patients who underwent radical surgery for GISTs. A Cox proportional hazard model was used to evaluate the prognostic factors of disease-free survival (DFS). The 3-year conditional DFS (CDFS3) of patients who survived for x years was expressed as CDFS3=DFS(x + 3)/DFS(x).ResultsThe traditional 3-year DFS rate decreased gradually from 94.0% at 3 years to 77.3% at 7 years, while the CDFS3 rate increased from 94.0 to 95.2% over the survival time of the patients. In addition, classic clinicopathological prognostic factors had different effects on CDFS3, with changes observed in survival time, but these effects were only slight or moderate (|d|<0.5). Although multivariate analysis showed that age, sex, mitotic index and tumor rupture were independent risk factors for DFS at baseline, all adverse prognostic factors, except for the mitotic index, lost their predictive significance at 5 years after operation. When the Modified NIH criteria were included, the risk staging was found to be an independent risk factor for recurrence or death. Time-dependent Cox regression analysis showed that the modified NIH criteria independently affected the recurrence or death of GIST patients within 2 years after operation.ConclusionCS provides detailed dynamic survival information about Chinese patients with primary resected GISTs. The mitotic index is of great clinical significance for the monitoring and follow-up of patient populations with a high risk of tumor recurrence or death until 5 years after surgery.

Analysis of risk factors and model establishment of recurrence after endometrial polypectomy.

Currently, determining the postoperative recurrence of endometrial polyps is an unresolved issue, so we screened the risk factors to establish a nomogram for clinical practice. From January 2012 to June 2020, 133 patients who underwent hysteroscopic endometrial polypectomy and diagnostic curettage due to suspicious endometrial polyps for the first time and were pathologically diagnosed as endometrial polyps after surgery. All patients were followed up for more than 12 months, and 9 (6.77%) cases were lost to follow-up. Logistic regression analysis of clinical factors was performed to screen independent risk factors and construct a column chart to predict the probability of adverse events. The fitting curve was used to validate the line graph. The ratio of patients with body mass index (BMI) <28 kg/m2 in the recurrence group was lower than in the non-recurrence group (P=0.028), as was the proportion of patients with polyp <2 cm (recurrence group vs. non-recurrence group, P=0.027) and the proportion of patients in the recurrence group treated with progesterone after surgery compared with non-recurrence group (P=0.003). However, the proportion of endometrial thickening in the recurrence group was higher than in the non-recurrence group (P=0.006). Age, BMI, polyp size, and endometrial thickening were independent risk factors for recurrence after endometrial polypectomy [odds ratio (OR) >1, P<0.05]. Progesterone therapy after surgery was an independent protective factor for recurrence after endometrial polypectomy (OR <1, P<0.05). Our nomogram was based on age, BMI, polyp size, endometrial thickening, and postoperative progesterone treatment. The maximum offset between the predicted curve and the ideal curve was 0.083, and the minimum offset between the model and the ideal model was 0.021. The height of the linear curve was close to that of the ideal curve. The U test showed P=0.898, greater than 0.05, indicating that the nomogram model passed the calibration test. The receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.886. Our nomogram based on age, BMI, polyp size, progesterone treatment, and endometrial thickening accurately predicted the risk of polyp recurrence after endometrial polypectomy and can be applied in clinical practice.

A New Prognostic Algorithm Predicting HCC Recurrence in Patients With Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer Stage B Who Received PA-TACE.

BackgroundPostoperative adjuvant transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (PA-TACE) is effective in preventing the recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients treated with surgery. However, there is a lack of reports studying the risk factors associated with recurrence in HCC patients who received PA-TACE. In this study, we identified the independent risk factors for recurrence of HCC patients who received PA-TACE. We also developed a novel, effective, and valid nomogram to predict the individual probability of recurrence, 1, 3, and 5 years after PA-TACE.MethodsA retrospective study was performed to identify the independent risk factors for recurrence of HCC in a group of 502 patients diagnosed in stage B based on the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) evaluation system for HCC that underwent curative resections. Then, subgroup analysis was performed for 184 patients who received PA-TACE, who were included in the training cohort. The other 147 HCC patients were included in a validation cohort. A recurrence-free survival (RFS)-predicting nomogram was constructed, and results were assessed using calibration and decision curves and a time-dependent AUC diagram.ResultsPA-TACE was shown to be a significant independent prognostic value for patients with BCLC stage B [p < 0.001, hazard ratio (HR) = 0.508, 95% CI = 0.375–0.689 for OS, p = 0.002; HR = 0.670, 95%CI = 0.517–0.868 for RFS]. Alpha fetoprotein (AFP), tumor number, tumor size, microvascular invasion (MVI), and differentiation were considered as independent risk factors for RFS in the training cohort, and these were further confirmed in the validation cohort. Next, a nomogram was constructed to predict RFS. The C-index for RFS in the nomogram was 0.721 (95% CI = 0.718–0.724), which was higher than SNACOR, HAP, and CHIP scores (0.587, 0.573, and 0.607, respectively). Calibration and decision curve analyses and a time-dependent AUC diagram were used. Our nomogram showed stronger performance than these other nomograms in both the training and validation cohorts.ConclusionsHCC patients diagnosed as stage B according to BCLC may benefit from PA-TACE after surgery. The RFS nomogram presented here provides an accurate and reliable prognostic model to monitor recurrence. Patients with a high recurrence score based on the nomogram should receive additional high-end imaging exams and shorter timeframes in between follow-up visits.

Catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation in Korea: results from the Korean Heart Rhythm Society Ablation Registry for Atrial Fibrillation (KARA)

BackgroundThis study aims to investigate the current status of AF (atrial fibrillation) catheter ablation in Korea.MethodsThe patients who underwent AF catheter ablation from September 2017 to December 2019 were prospectively enrolled from 37 arrhythmia centers. Demographic data, procedural characteristics, the extent of catheter ablation, acute success of the ablation lesion set, rate and independent risk factor for recurrence of AF were analyzed.ResultsA total of 2402 AF patients [paroxysmal AF (PAF) 45.7%, persistent AF (PeAF) 43.1% and redo AF 11.2%] were included. Pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) was performed in 2378 patients (99%) and acute success rate was 97.9%. Additional non-PV ablation (NPVA) were performed in 1648 patients (68.6%). Post-procedural complication rate was 2.2%. One-year AF-free survival rate was 78.6% and the PeAF patients showed poorer survival rate than the ones with other types (PeAF 72.4%, PAF 84.2%, redo AF 80.0%). Additional NPVA did not influence the recurrence of AF in the PAF patients (PVI 17.0% vs. NPVA 14.6%, P value 0.302). However, it showed lower AF recurrence rate in the PeAF patients (PVI 34.9% vs. NPVA 24.4%, P value 0.001). Valvular heart disease, left atrial diameter, PeAF, PVI alone, need of NPVA for terminating AF, and failed ablation were independent predictors of AF recurrence.ConclusionsAdditional NPVA was associated better rhythm outcome in the patients with PeAF, not in the ones with PAF. The independent risk factors for AF recurrence in Korean population were similar to previous studies. Further research is needed to discover optimal AF ablation strategy.