Independent Risk Factors For Recurrence Research Articles

Prognostic impact of postoperative circulating tumor DNA as a molecular minimal residual disease marker in patients with pancreatic cancer undergoing surgical resection.

We aimed to clarify the prognostic impact of postoperative circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) shortly after pancreatectomy in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Preoperative and paired postoperative blood samples were obtained from 66 patients in patients with PDAC. Cell-free DNA was extracted from the plasma, and KRAS mutations, as a benchmark of ctDNA, were examined using droplet digital PCR. Disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were compared between patients with presence and absence of ctDNA. In univariate analysis, patients with detectable postoperative ctDNA showed worse survival than those with undetectable in both DFS (P=.034) and OS (P=.022). Multivariate analysis also revealed that the presence of postoperative ctDNA was an independent risk factor for recurrence (hazard ratio: 2.677, P=.011). In contrast, preoperative ctDNA detection did not affect long-term outcomes. These trends persisted in 34 patients with resectable PDAC who underwent resection after neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Patients with detectable postoperative ctDNA were more prone to developing hepatic recurrence than those with undetectable postoperative ctDNA (P=.039). Postoperative ctDNA, as a minimal residual marker, can be useful for predicting the risk of recurrence in patients with PDAC even after curative resection.

Central nervous system tumefactive demyelinating lesions: Risk factors of relapse and follow-up observations.

To track the clinical outcomes in patients who initially presented with tumefactive demyelinating lesions (TDLs), we summarized the clinical characteristics of various etiologies, and identified possible relapse risk factors for TDLs. Between 2001 and 2021, 116 patients initially presented with TDLs in our hospital were retrospectively evaluated. Patients were followed for relapse and clinical outcomes, and grouped according to various etiologies. Demographic information, clinical data, imaging data, and laboratory results of patients were obtained and analyzed. The risk factors of relapse were analyzed by the Log-Rank test and the Cox proportional hazard model in multivariate analysis. During a median follow-up period of 72 months, 33 patients were diagnosed with multiple sclerosis (MS), 6 patients with Balo, 6 patients with neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorders (NMOSD), 10 patients with myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated demyelination (MOGAD), 1 patient with acute disseminated encephalomyelitis (ADEM), and the remaining 60 patients still have no clear etiology. These individuals with an unknown etiology were categorized independently and placed to the other etiology group. In the other etiology group, 13 patients had recurrent demyelinating phases, while 47 patients did not suffer any more clinical events. Approximately 46.6% of TDLs had relapses which were associated with multiple functional system involvement, first-phase Expanded Disability Status Scale score, lesions morphology, number of lesions, and lesions location (P<0.05). And diffuse infiltrative lesions (P=0.003, HR=6.045, 95%CI:1.860-19.652), multiple lesions (P=0.001, HR=3.262, 95%CI:1.654-6.435) and infratentorial involvement (P=0.006, HR=2.289, 95%CI:1.064-3.853) may be independent risk factors for recurrence. Relapse free survival was assessed to be 36 months. In clinical practice, around 46.6% of TDLs relapsed, with the MS group showing the highest recurrence rate, and lesions location, diffuse infiltrative lesions, and multiple lesions might be independent risk factors for relapse. Nevertheless, despite extensive diagnostic work and long-term follow-up, the etiology of TDLs in some patients was still unclear. And these patients tend to have monophase course and a low rate of relapse.

Clinical significance of the number of retrieved lymph nodes in early gastric cancer with submucosal invasion.

The prognosis of early gastric cancer (EGC) with submucosal invasion is favorable; however, several cases of recurrence have been reported even after curative gastrectomy. This study aimed to investigate risk factors and evaluate the clinical significance of the number of retrieved lymph nodes (LNs) in EGC with submucosal invasion. We retrospectively analyzed the data of 443 patients with gastric cancer with submucosal invasion after curative gastrectomy for recurrent risk factors. Recurrence was observed in 22 of the 443 gastric cancer patients with submucosal invasion. In the univariate analysis, the risk factors for recurrence were the number of retrieved LNs ≤ 25 and node metastasis. In the multivariate analysis, retrieved LNs ≤ 25 (hazard ratio [HR] = 5.754, P-value = .001) and node metastasis (HR = 3.031, P-value = .029) were independent risk factors for recurrence after curative gastrectomy. Body mass index was related to retrieved LNs ≤ 25 in univariate and multivariate analyses (HR = .510, P = .002). The number of retrieved LNs and node metastases were independent risk factors for EGC with submucosal invasion. For EGC with submucosal invasion, retrieved LNs > 25 are necessary for appropriate diagnosis and treatment.

Effectiveness of prophylactic iron supplementation in the reduction of recurrence of febrile seizures in children: A prospective study with comparison with historical controls.

The primary objective of the study was to compare the number of patients with febrile seizure recurrence within 1 year of presenting to our institute, among patients who received and didn't receive oral iron supplementation. This prospective intervention study with historical controls was conducted to compare the number of patients with febrile seizure recurrence within 1 year, among patients who received and did not receive oral iron supplementation. The intervention group additionally received prophylactic iron supplementation of 20 mg biweekly for 1 year. A total of 53 patients each were enrolled in both the groups, with comparable baseline characteristics. Although there was a trend toward a lower rate of recurrence of febrile seizures in the interventional group, as compared to the control group, it did not reach the point of statistical significance (P = 0.35). Both in the worst-case scenario and best-case scenario, there was a trend toward less risk of recurrence of febrile seizure in the intervention group, but it did not reach the point of statistical significance (P = 0.43 and 0.52). For the original scenario, worst-case scenario, and best-case scenario, the absolute risk reduction was 6.5%, 7%, and 6%, respectively, with corresponding number needed to treat (NNT) being 15, 14, and 16, respectively. The trend for absolute risk reduction was more pronounced in those with complex febrile seizures with an NNT of 6.5, but it still did not reach the point of statistical significance (P = 0.16). Moderate/severe IDA was also found to be an independent risk factor for recurrence of febrile seizure in the intervention group (P = 0.03). Oral serum iron supplementation does not significantly reduce the recurrence rate of febrile seizures in children aged 6-60 months. However, there is a trend toward reduction in the frequency of recurrence of febrile seizures, which is more pronounced in the subset with complex febrile seizures.

Predictive Factors Affecting Recurrence of Anal Fistula after LIFT Procedure.

To determine the predictive factors affecting the recurrence or persistence of anal fistula of demographic and technical variables. Descriptive study. Department of General Surgery and Radiology, Private Ortadogu Hospital General, Turkey, between 2014 and 2020. The recurrence, persistence, and complication rates of 176 patients who underwent LIFT were compared with demographic and technical data by multivariate logistic regression analysis. Inclusion criteria were patients with anal fistula cryptoglandular origin. Exclusion criteria included patients with intersphincteric fistula, rectovaginal fistula, abscess, pilonidal sinus fistula, and inflammatory bowel disease. Recurrence was defined as the opening of a fistula that persisted after 3 months. The mean age was 38.6±9.0 years. The mean BMI was 31.9±5.7 Kg/m2. There were no statistically significant differences between the two groups concerning, age, the complexity of fistula tract(s), the surgical technique of suture versus ligation, operation time, and seton placement duration. Twenty-three patients had previous fistula surgery. Twenty-One patients had previously required seton drainage. Higher BMI, being male, having a prior fistula surgery, and having a height IFO >15 were independent risk factors for recurrence (OR =1.28, 5.69, 23.39, and 15.38 respectively). Higher BMI, male gender, having a prior fistula surgery, and having a height IFO >15 were independent risk factors for recurrence. LIFT, Anal fistula, Recurrence, Wexner incontinence score (WIS), Male, Prior fistula surgery, height 1FO.

Assessment of prognostic and reproductive outcomes of omentectomy for patients with clinically apparent early-stage (I, II) malignant ovarian germ cell tumours: A multicentre retrospectivestudy.

This study assessed the effect of omentectomy on the prognosis and fertility in patients with clinically early-stage (I, II) malignant ovarian germ cell tumours (MOGCT). A retrospective multicentre study. Four university teaching hospitals in China. A total of 268 patients with clinically apparent early-stage (I, II) MOGCT. Data were obtained from the medical records. Additionally, the propensity score matching (PSM) algorithm was adopted. Prognostic outcomes were disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). Fertility outcomes were pregnancy and live birth rates. A total of 187 (69.8%) patients underwent omentectomy. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed no significant differences in DFS and OS between the omentectomy and non-omentectomy groups before and after PSM (p > 0.05). Additionally, subgroup analysis stratified by age (<18 and ≥18 years) showed similar results. International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage was the only risk factor associated with DFS (hazard ratio [HR] 14.71, 95% confidence interval [CI] 4.47-48.38, p < 0.001) and OS (HR 37.36, 95% CI 3.87-361.16, p=0.002). Pregnancy and live birth rates in the total population were 80.3% and 66.7%, respectively. There were no significant differences between the two groups before and after PSM. Omentectomy did not improve survival or affect fertility in patients with clinically apparent early-stage (I, II) MOGCT, regardless of the age. The clinical FIGO stage was an independent risk factor for recurrence and death.

Clinical T2N0 Rectal Cancer Treated with Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy plus Local Excision

Introduction: Total mesorectal excision is the standard treatment for clinical T2 (cT2) rectal cancer; however, this procedure can result in postoperative dysfunction, decreased quality of life, and stoma creation in some patients. We investigated neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) plus local excision (LE) as an alternative treatment strategy for patients with cT2N0 rectal cancer. Method: Fifty-six patients with cT2N0M0 rectal cancer who exhibited the following characteristics (an anal verge of ≤8 cm, tumor size of <30 mm, well- or moderately differentiated adenocarcinoma on biopsy) underwent LE following nCRT. Chemoradiotherapy was administered at 40 or 45 Gy in 20–25 fractions with concurrent oral UFT (tegafur/uracil; 400 mg/m²) or S-1 (tegafur/gimeracil/oteracil; 80 mg/m²). Results: Fifty-five patients (98%) completed nCRT as planned. Histologically, the excision margin was negative in all patients, and four patients with ypT3 disease underwent total mesorectal excision. Recurrence was observed in 15 patients (27%), local recurrence in 7 (13%), and distant recurrence in 10 (18%). The salvage surgery was possible for the local recurrence group. The 5-year disease-free and overall survival rates were 68.4% and 84.9%, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that only the tumor regression grade (TRG) was an independent risk factor for recurrence (p = 0.025). Although 7 (26%) out of 27 patients with a TRG of 3 or 4 developed local recurrence and 6 (22%) had distant metastasis, 25 patients with a TRG of 1 or 2 did not exhibit local recurrence, and only 1 (4%) experienced distant metastasis. Conclusion: nCRT plus LE may be an alternative treatment for patients with cT2N0 rectal cancer who achieved a TRG of 1 or 2. However, additional treatment was required in patients who achieved a TRG of 3 or 4.

Preoperative voice analysis and survival outcomes in papillary thyroid cancer with recurrent laryngeal nerve invasion.

To investigate the clinicopathological characteristics of papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) and identify risk factors for postoperative recurrence of PTC with recurrent laryngeal nerve (RLN) involvement. In total, 171 patients (112 women and 59 men, age: 18-80 years, and 65 patients aged ≥ 55) with T4a PTC with RLN involvement, treated at Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University, from January 2006 to December 2020, were retrospectively examined. Clinicopathological characteristics, including voice analysis results, and survival outcomes were assessed. The Mann-Whitney U and Kruskal-Wallis H tests were used to analyze differences in acoustic parameters. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate the overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free (RFS) rates. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed of the clinical data. The postoperative follow-up period ranged from 12 to 196 months (mean: 66.18 months). Of the 171 patients, 16 had recurrence and 8 died of thyroid-related diseases. The 5-year OS rate was 95.22%. The 5-year RFS rate was 89.38%. Jitter and shimmer were higher and maximum phonation time was shorter in patients with preoperative vocal cord paralysis (VCP) than in those without RLN involvement, and in those with RLN involvement but without preoperative VCP. Acoustic parameters were similar in patients with no preoperative VCP and those without RLN involvement. Voice analysis results did not differ between cases with RLN adhesion and RLN invasion. Univariate analysis showed that age at onset ≥ 55 years, preoperative RLN palsy, and esophageal invasion were risk factors for postoperative recurrence of PTC with RLN involvement. Multivariate analysis showed that onset age ≥ 55 years (OR 4.52, 95% confidence interval: 1.44-14.19, P = 0.010) was an independent risk factor for recurrence. PTC patients with RLN invasion can achieve good outcomes. Preoperative voice analysis may offer insights into RLN function. Age of onset ≥ 55 years is an independent risk factor for postoperative recurrence in T4a PTC patients.

Development and validation of a nomogram involving immunohistochemical markers for prediction of recurrence in early low-risk endometrial cancer.

The purpose of this study was to construct a nomogram based on classical parameters and immunohistochemical markers to predict the recurrence of early low-risk endometrial cancer patients. A total of 998 patients with early low-risk endometrial cancer who underwent primary surgical treatment were enrolled (668 in the training cohort, 330 in the validation cohort). Prognostic factors identified by univariate and multivariate analysis in the training cohort were used to construct the nomogram. Prediction performance of the nomogram was evaluated using the calibration curve, concordance index (C-index), and the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve. The cumulative incidence curve was used to describe the prognosis of patients in high-risk and low-risk groups divided by the optimal risk threshold of the model. In the training cohort, grade (P = 0.040), estrogen receptor (P < 0.001), progesterone receptor (P = 0.001), P53 (P = 0.004), and Ki67 (P = 0.002) were identified as independent risk factors of recurrence of early low-risk endometrial cancer, and were used to establish the nomogram. The calibration curve showed that the fitting degree of the model was good. The C-indexes of training and validation cohorts were 0.862 and 0. 827, respectively. Based on the optimal risk threshold of the nomogram, patients were split into a high-risk group and a low-risk group. The cumulative incidence curves showed that the prognosis of the high-risk group was far worse than that of the low-risk group (P < 0.001). This nomogram, with a combination of classical parameters and immunohistochemical markers, can effectively predict recurrence in early low-risk endometrial cancer patients.

Clinical N3 is an independent risk factor of recurrence for breast cancer patients achieving pathological complete response and near-pathological complete response after neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

BackgroundAlthough achieving pathological complete response (pCR) and near-pathological complete response (near-pCR) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) in breast cancer predicts a better outcome, some patients still experience recurrence. The aim of our study was to investigate the predictive factors of recurrence in the pCR and near-pCR population.MethodsWe reviewed 1,209 breast cancer patients treated with NAC between January 2010 and April 2021 in the Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences (CHCAMS). A total of 292 patients achieving pCR and near-pCR were included in our analysis. pCR was defined as ypT0N0/ypTisN0. Near-pCR was defined as ypT1mi/1a/1bN0 or ypT0/isN1mi. Clinical features and follow-up information were collected. Survival and predictive factors of recurrence were analyzed.ResultsOf the 292 patients, 173 were pCR and 119 were near-pCR. The median age was 46 years (range, 23–75 years). The predominant tumor subtypes were human epidermal growth factor receptor type 2 (HER2)-positive breast cancer (49.0%) and triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) (30.8%). The median duration of follow-up was 53 months (range, 9–138 months). A total of 25 (8.6%) patients developed recurrence, with 9 (5.2%) in the pCR group and 16 (13.4%) in the near-pCR group. The vast majority of recurrence occurred within 36 months from onset of NAC. The 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) rate of patients achieving pCR was significantly higher than that of patients achieving near-pCR (94.6% vs. 85.6%, p = 0.008). However, the 5-year overall survival (OS) rate between the two cohorts had no statistical difference (94.3% vs. 89.6%, p = 0.304). Clinical N3 (cN3) before NAC was an independent risk factor of recurrence in patients who achieved pCR (p = 0.003) and near-pCR (p = 0.036). Tumor size before NAC, subtypes of breast cancer, and chemotherapy regimens showed no significant association with RFS both for patients who achieved pCR and for those who achieved near-pCR (p > 0.05).ConclusionscN3 before NAC was an independent risk factor of recurrence in patients who achieved pCR and near-pCR. It is worthwhile to closely monitor patients with cN3, especially in the first 3 years.

Fourteen years old as the best age cutoff to differentiate prepubertal from pubertal papillary thyroid carcinoma.

It is unclear whether differences in clinical presentation and/or prognosis exist between prepubertal papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) and pubertal PTC. At present, there is a lack of definition for the appropriate cutoff age to define prepubertal PTC. This study retrospectively reviewed 227 pediatric PTC patients (aged ≤18 years) who underwent initial surgery from March 2000 to December 2018. The median duration of follow-up was 85 months (range, 8-258). The age range was basically linearly related to multiple risk factors, such as T3-T4 disease, distant metastasis. Age (p=0.032) was an independent risk factor for recurrence and persistent disease. Patients aged <14 years had obviously higher rates of extensive disease. The 10-year disease-free survival (DFS) rate of patients aged <14 years was 59.5% and that of patients aged ≥14 years was 82.6% (p=0.004). Fourteen years of age may be an appropriate cutoff to differentiate prepubertal PTC from pubertal PTC.

A Recurrence Predictive Model for Node-negative Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma After Upfront Esophagectomy

The prognosis for pathologically node-negative (pN0) esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) with surgery alone remains poor. We aimed to develop a model for a more precise prediction of recurrence, which will allow personalized management for pN0 ESCC after upfront complete resection. Clinical and pathological records of patients with completely resected pT1-3N0M0 ESCC were retrospectively analyzed between January 2014 and December 2019. A nomogram for the prediction of recurrence was established based on the Cox regression analysis and evaluated by C-index, AUC, and calibration curves. The model was further validated using bootstrap resampling and k-fold cross-validation and compared with the 8th edition of the AJCC TNM staging system using Td-ROC, NRI, IDI, and DCA. Two-hundred-and seventy cases were included in this study. The median follow-up was 45 months. Distant and/or loco-regional recurrences were noted in 89 (33.0%) patients. The predictive model revealed pT-category, differentiation, perineural invasion, examined lymph nodes (ELN), and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) as independent risk factors for recurrence, with a c-index of 0.725 in the bootstrapping cohort. Td-ROC, NRI, and IDI showed a better predictive ability than the AJCC 8th TNM staging system. Based on this model, patients in the low-risk group had a significantly lower recurrence incidence than those in the high-risk group (p < .001). The predictive model developed in this study may facilitate the precise prediction of recurrences for pN0 ESCC after upfront surgery. Stratifying management of those patients might bring significantly better survival benefits.

Efficacy of TACE+Radiofrequency Ablation+Sorafenib in the Treatment of Patients with Recurrent Liver Cancer and Construction of Prediction Model.

Objective This study is aimed at exploring the efficacy of transarterial chemotherapy embolization (TACE)+radiofrequency ablation+sorafenib in the treatment of patients with recurrent liver cancer and at constructing its prediction model. Methods A total of 60 patients with recurrent liver cancer treated in our hospital from March 2020 to March 2022 were enrolled and divided into two groups according to treatment methods, with 30 patients in each group. Group A adopted TACE+radiofrequency ablation+sorafenib therapy while group B adopted TACE+radiofrequency ablation therapy. Clinical efficacy, complications, and adverse reactions of the two groups were observed. A total of 30 patients with nonrecurrent liver cancer in the same period were enrolled. 60 patients with recurrent liver cancer and 30 patients with nonrecurrent liver cancer were taken as the recurrence group and the nonrecurrence group, respectively. The baseline data and clinical data of the patients were queried by the Hospital Information System. The data included age, gender, Child-Pugh grade, HBV/HCV infection, portal vein tumor thrombus, degree of differentiation, vascular invasion, serum alpha fetal protein (AFP) level, number of tumors, maximum diameter of tumors, and number of nodules. The logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the independent risk factors for liver cancer recurrence. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to analyze the degree of fitting between the prediction model and the standard curve. The ROC curve was used to analyze the predictive value of the model for liver cancer recurrence. Results The objective effective rate and disease control rate in group A (33.33% and 70.00%) were higher than those in group B (10.00% and 43.33%), and the differences were statistically significant (both P < 0.05). There were no significant differences in the incidence of complications such as embolism syndrome, hand and foot skin reaction, gastrointestinal reaction, hypertension, diaphragmatic injury and bleeding, and biliary leakage and fever between the two groups (all P > 0.05). The proportions of patients in the recurrence group with portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT), medium and high degree of differentiation, combined with vascular invasion, serum AFP level ≥ 400 ng/dL, multiple tumors, maximum tumor diameter ≥ 5 cm, combined with cirrhosis, and polynodules were all higher than those in the nonrecurrence group; the differences were statistically significant (all P < 0.05). Complication of PVTT, the degree of medium and high differentiation, and the maximum tumor diameter ≥ 5 cm were independent risk factors for recurrence of liver cancer (all P < 0.05). The prediction model of liver cancer recurrence was obtained by multiple regression analysis, P = 1/[1 + e−(−5.441 + 6.154∗PVTT + 3.475∗differentiateddegree + 3.001∗maximumdiameteroftumor)]. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that χ2 = 1.558 (P = 0.992). According to the ROC curve analysis, the AUC, SE, and 95% CI value of the prediction model for liver cancer recurrence were 0.977, 0.012, and 0.953-1.000, respectively. Conclusion TACE+radiofrequency ablation+sorafenib is effective in the treatment of recurrent liver cancer, and the prediction model established based on the risk factor has high predictive value for patients with recurrent liver cancer.

P18.01.A The applicability of established clinical and histopathological risk factors for tumor recurrence during long-term perioperative care in meningioma patients

Abstract Background Risk factors for the prediction of late-onset tumor recurrence in meningioma patients are sparse but needed to estimate duration and control intervals during long-term follow-up in meningioma patients. In this study, we therefore analyzed the value of established risk factors for postoperative meningioma recurrence for the prediction of long-term prognosis in a large, single-center series. Material and methods Correlations of established clinical (age, sex, tumor location, extent of resection), radiological (postoperative tumor volume) and histopathological variables (WHO grade, brain invasion) with tumor relapse were analyzed separately after 3, 5, and 10 years following microsurgery for primary diagnosed intracranial meningioma between 1991 and 2021 in uni- and multivariate analyses. The prognostic value was compared to findings in the entire cohort. Results Within a median follow-up of 29 months (range: 0-307 months), recurrence was observed in 141 patients (12%) after a median PFS of 36 months. PFS among the entire cohort (n=1218) at 3, 5, 10 and 15 years postoperatively were 90%, 84%, 74% and 70%, respectively. Among all patients included, skull base location (HR: 1.51, 95%CI 1.05-2.16; p=.026), Simpson ≥IV resections (HR: 2.41, 95%CI 1.52-3.84; p&amp;lt;.001), high-grade histology (HR: 3.70, 95%CI 2.50-5.47; p&amp;lt;.001) and male gender (HR: 1.46, 95%CI 1.01-2.11; p=.042) were independent risk factors for recurrence. Skull base location (HR: 1.92, 95%CI 1.17-3.17; p=.010 and HR: 2.02, 95%CI 1.04-3.95; p=.038) and high-grade histology (HR: 1.87, 95%CI 1.04-3.38; p=.038 and HR: 2.29, 95%CI 1.07-4.01; p=.034) but not subtotal resection (HR: 1.53, 95%CI .68-3.45; p=.303 and HR: 1.75, 95%CI .52-5.96; p=.369) remained independently correlated with recurrence after an event-free PFS of at least three (n=485) and five years (n=346), respectively. Similarly, postoperative tumor volume was related with recurrence in the entire cohort (p&amp;lt;.001) but not beyond a follow-up of ≥ three years (p&amp;gt;.05). In 147 patients with a follow-up of ≥ ten years, ten recurrences occurred, and no correlation was found with any of the analyzed variables. Conclusion Skull base tumor location and high-grade histology but not the extent of resection should be considered when planning follow-up duration and intervals following ≥5 years after meningioma surgery. Tumor relapses following more than ten years after surgery are very rare, and corresponding predictors are lacking.

Long-term Outcomes after Second-Generation Cryoballoon Ablation of Atrial Fibrillation and Analysis of Risk Factors Related to Recurrence

Objective: This study is aimed to analyze the long-term safety and effectiveness of second-generation cryoballoon (CB2) ablation in the treatment of atrial fibrillation (AF). Methods: Data from 760 consecutive patients in the Department of Cardiology, General Hospital of Northern Theater Command from August 2016 to December 2018 with drug-refractory symptomatic AF undergoing pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) using CB2 were assessed. Procedure-related safety and freedom from AF and atrial flutter/atria tachycardia through 3 years were determined. The risk factors related to atrial tachyarrhythmia recurrence were analyzed. Results: Acute PVI was achieved in 100% of the 760 patients. Radiofrequency application for additional focal ablation was needed in 11 (1.4%) patients and for 14 pulmonary veins (0.5%, 14/(760 × 4)) to achieve PVI. A total of 748 patients, including 539 with paroxysmal AF (PAF) and 209 with persistent AF (SAF) completed the follow-up, and only 12 (1.6%) patients were lost. The mean follow-up duration was (19 ± 8) months. The rate of major complications was 0.9%, including 0.8% of right phrenic nerve injury, which resolved before discharge. Freedom from all tachyarrhythmias was achieved in 75.0%, 69.4%, and 63.2% of patients with PAF, respectively, at 12-, 24-, and 36-month follow-up, and in 75.1%, 67.4%, and 60.9% for SAF, with no significant differences between the PAF and SAF groups. AF course and the rate of body weight gain were independent risk factors for recurrence at 12 months after ablation (P = 0.001 and P = 0.009, respectively). Conclusion: PVI using CB2 has a high acute success rate and good safety in the treatment of PAF and SAF. Long course of AF and weight gain after ablation were independent risk factors for recurrence.

211.3: Effect of Preoperative Adjuvant Therapy on the Efficacy of Hepatocellular Carcinoma With Portal Vein Tumor Thrombus After Liver Transplantation

Introduction: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) had a high incidence of portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT), and the occurrence of PVTT usually indicated a poor prognosis. In recent years, liver transplantation has been recommended as an alternative treatment for HCC with PVTT, however the efficacy is still controversial. Preoperative adjuvant therapy had a certain effect in hepatectomy for HCC with PVTT, but its role in liver transplantation has not been reported. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to explore the effect of preoperative adjuvant therapy on the efficacy of HCC with PVTT after liver transplantation. Methods: The clinical data of 22 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma with portal vein tumor thrombus (HCC + PVTT) undergoing liver transplantation from one center from 2010 to 2017 were analyzed retrospectively. 22 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma without portal vein tumor thrombus (HCC) were matched according to their age, tumor size and tumor number. The overall survival(OS) rate and recurrence-free survival(RFS) rate were compared between the two groups. At the same time, the OS and RFS of 22 patients with HCC+PVTT undergoing liver transplantation with preoperative adjuvant therapy and without preoperative adjuvant therapy were compared. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis were used to explore the independent risk factors of recurrence. Results: The 1- and 3-year OS in HCC + PVTT group were 63.64% and 30.69%, respectively, which were significantly lower than HCC group (81.57% and 52.78%, P = 0.0391, respectively). The 1- and 3-year RFS in HCC + PVTT group were 51.71% and 40.22%, respectively, which were significantly lower than HCC group (74.46% and 68.73%, P = 0.0407). In HCC + PVTT group, the 1- and 3-year OS in preoperative adjuvant therapy group were 70% and 40%, respectively, higher than non preoperative adjuvant therapy group (58.33% and 16.67%, P = 0.179), and the 1- and 3-year RFS in preoperative adjuvant therapy group were 88.89% and 63.49%, respectively, which were significantly higher than non preoperative adjuvant therapy group (20.37% and 20.37%, P = 0.0336). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that preoperative adjuvant therapy was an independent factor affecting recurrence after liver transplantation in HCC + PVTT group (P = 0.010 and P = 0.023). Conclusion: This study was the first to explore the effect of preoperative adjuvant therapy on the efficacy of hepatocellular carcinoma with portal vein tumor thrombus after liver transplantation. In this study, the prognosis of patients with HCC + PVTT was poor. Preoperative adjuvant therapy can improve the prognosis of HCC + PVTT patients after liver transplantation and reduce the risk of recurrence. This study had certain clinical significance for exploring the preoperative treatment and operation timing of HCC with PVTT for liver transplantation. However, due to the small sample size of this study, which still need to be further verified by multi center large sample size research.

Number of Examined Lymph Nodes as a Risk Factor for Recurrence in pT1N+ or pT2-3N0 Gastric Cancer.

Japanese Gastric Cancer Treatment Guidelines do not recommend adjuvant chemotherapy after radical gastrectomy for pathological stage (p) T1N+ or pT2~3N0 gastric cancer. However, some patients experience disease recurrence. This study aimed to identify the risk factors for recurrence in pT1N+ or pT2-3N0 gastric cancer. The study included 157 patients with diagnosed pT1N+ or pT2-3N0 gastric cancer who underwent radical gastrectomy at our institution between January 2001 and December 2020. Clinicopathological data and surgical data were obtained. Independent prognostic factors were analyzed using a Cox proportional hazards regression model. Thirteen patients (8.3%) experienced disease recurrence. Multivariate analysis revealed that the number of examined lymph nodes was an independent prognostic factor for recurrence-free survival (hazard ratio=10.90; 95% confidence interval=1.39-85.86; p=0.023). The group with ≤35 examined lymph nodes had significantly worse recurrence-free survival compared with the group with ≥36 examined lymph nodes (80.7% versus 98.7%; p=0.0005). The number of examined lymph nodes (≤35) was an independent risk factor for recurrence after radical gastrectomy with pT1N+ or pT2-3N0 gastric cancer.

Prognostic significance of inflammatory markers LMR, PLR, MPV, FIB in intermediate-and high-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma.

Lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (LMR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), mean platelet volume (MPV) and fibrinogen (FIB) have been identified as predictive biomarkers in several malignancies. The aim of this study was to explore the association between inflammatory index with clinicopathologic features as well as recurrence risk in intermediate-to high-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). Retrospective evaluation of 212 patients diagnosed with intermediate-to high-risk PTC who underwent surgery at China-Japan Union Hospital between 2015 and 2016. Logistic regression and receiver operating curves (ROC) were used to explore possible risk factors. LMR was predictive of capsular invasion (AUC=0.595, P=0.017), FIB was predictive of lymph node metastasis (LN) (AUC=0.714, P=0.002), MPV was predictive of largest LN size ≥1cm (AUC=0.639, P=0.002), PLR and MPV were predictive of recurrence (AUC=0.616, P=0.032; AUC=0.626, P=0.020). In addition, FIB ≤ 2.6 (OR=6.440, 95%CI:1.777-23.336, P=0.005) and capsular invasion (OR=3.773, 95%CI:1.171-12.159, P=0.026) were identified as independent risk factors for lymph node metastasis by multivariate analysis. In addition, LN metastasis (P=0.048), largest LN size ≥ 1cm (P=0.032), MPV > 9.4 (P=0.046), and PLR ≤ 128.1 (P=0.032) were significantly related with recurrence. Further multivariate regression analysis revealed that PLR ≤ 128.1 was a potentially independent risk factor for recurrence. Specifically, the risk of recurrence was 2.951 times higher in patients with a PLR ≤ 128.1 compared with patients with a PLR > 128.1 (OR=2.951, 95% CI:1.238-7.037, P=0.015). In intermediate-to high-risk PTC, LMR, PLR, MPV, and FIB could predict clinicopathologic features and recurrence, with lower PLR being the potential risk factors for recurrence.

Clinical and Histopathological Predictors of Recurrence in Uterine Smooth Muscle Tumor of Uncertain Malignant Potential (STUMP): A Multicenter Retrospective Cohort Study of Tertiary Centers

BackgroundThe term uterine smooth muscle tumor of uncertain malignant potential (STUMP) indicates a rare, equivocal entity between benign leiomyomas and leiomyosarcomas. In the present study, we evaluated a comprehensive range of clinical, surgical, and pathological features in a large multicenter series of patients with STUMP to identify risk factors for recurrence.MethodsThis is a retrospective study performed by collecting consecutive cases diagnosed between January 2000 and December 2020 in five tertiary centers. Associations between STUMP recurrence and clinicopathological characteristics as well as surgical treatment modality were investigated.ResultsEighty-seven patients affected by STUMP were considered. Of them, 18 cases (20.7%) recurred: 11 as leiomyosarcoma (LMS) and 7 as STUMP. The mean time to recurrence was 79 months. We found that fragmentation/morcellation, epithelioid features, high mitotic count, Ki-67 value > 20%, progesterone receptor (PR) < 83%, and p16 diffuse expression were associated with higher risk of recurrence and shorter recurrence-free survival (RFS). Furthermore, morcellation/fragmentation and mitotic count remained independent risk factors for recurrence and shorter RFS after multivariate analysis, while the presence of epithelioid features was an independent risk factor for recurrence only.ConclusionsOur results suggest that morcellation is associated with risk of recurrence and shorter RFS, thus it should be avoided if a STUMP is suspected preoperatively. Epithelioid features, high proliferation activity, low PR expression, and diffuse p16 expression are also unfavorable prognostic factors, so patients presenting these features should be closely followed up.

High expression of long noncoding RNA plasmacytoma variant translocation 1 is an independent risk factor for recurrence after radiofrequency ablation in atrial fibrillation patients.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common arrhythmia. Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) is the major AF treatment. Long noncoding RNA (lncRNA) plasmacytoma variant translocation 1 (PVT1) is related to AF diagnosis. This study explored the clinical roles of PVT1 in AF. Totally, 168 AF patients and 100 healthy controls were selected. Plasma lncRNA PVT1 in AF patients before/after RFA was detected and the diagnostic efficacy and postoperative recurrence prediction value in AF were analyzed. Effects of plasma PVT1 expression on AF recurrence and its correlation with transforming growth factor beta 1 (TGF-β1) in the recurrence and non-recurrence groups were analyzed by Pearson coefficient. The risk factors of AF recurrence were evaluated. Plasma PVT1 was highly expressed in AF patients and diminished after RFA. PVT1 level >1.255 assisted AF diagnosis. The plasma PVT1 level in the recurrence group was higher than that of the non-recurrence group. PVT1 level >1.525 assisted the prediction for postoperative recurrence. AF postoperative recurrence incidence in high PVT1 expression group was clearly higher than that in low PVT1 expression group, and plasma PVT1 expression in patients of the recurrence and non-recurrence groups was positively correlated with TGF-β1 content. High PVT1 expression was an independent risk factor for postoperative recurrence. Briefly, high PVT1 level assisted AF diagnosis and recurrence evaluation after RFA and was an independent risk factor for AF postoperative recurrence.