Incident Cases Of Coronary Heart Disease Research Articles

Abstract P277: Adherence to Time-Restricted Eating, Plasma Metabolomic Signatures, and Risk of Coronary Heart Disease

Introduction: Early time-restricted eating (TRE) has been recently suggested as an effective dietary intervention strategy to improve risk factors of coronary heart disease (CHD), whereas late TRE may be related to poor cardiometabolic health. Metabolomic pathways linking the adherence to habitual TREs depending on the time of the day and CHD risk are unknown. Hypothesis: We tested whether adherence to early or late TRE was related to distinct metabolomic signatures (including those in pathways of energy/purine pyrimidine metabolism, lipids, carbohydrates, and acylcarnitines). We then tested whether TRE-related plasma metabolites were associated with the risk of incident CHD among women without prior CHD. Methods: This study included 674 women without cardiovascular disease who completed 7-day food records and measurements of untargeted plasma metabolomics in a sub-study of the Nurses’ Health Studies (NHS/NHSII). TRE was indicated by 4-12 hours of daily eating window. The adherence to TRE was assessed by summing up the TRE days in a week (0-7 days). We analyzed two TRE habits: early TRE (starting before 9 a.m./ending no later than 9 p.m.) and late TRE (beginning after 9 a.m.). Separately, plasma metabolites were measured in a prospective nested case-control of 762 incident cases of CHD and 762 matched controls identified over 10-14 years of follow-up in the NHS. A metabolomic risk score for predicting adherence to late TRE (MRS-TRE late ) was created based on metabolites selected through the elastic net procedure with a 10-fold cross-validation. Results: Adherence to late TRE was positively associated with greater adiposity, insulin/proinsulin, uric acid, and medium-chain fatty acids/acylcarnitines; the late TRE habit was inversely related to metabolites in the TCA cycle/pyruvate metabolism and specific PC species ( P FDR <0.05). On the other hand, metabolites in lipid pathways (including diglyceride DG 38:5) and glucose were inversely related to the adherence to early TRE. Individual levels of late-TRE-related metabolites in energy/phosphatidylcholine /acylcarnitine pathways were significantly associated with an increased risk of CHD. Every 1 SD increment of MRS-TRE late , based on 21 metabolites in various metabolic pathways, was associated with a relative risk (RR) of 1.24 (95% CI: 1.11, 1.38) for CHD in a model adjusted for matching factors, and a RR of 1.15 (1.02, 1.29) after adjusting for covariates, such as demographic factors, diet quality, alcohol, lifestyle factors, and BMI. Women in the top tertile of MRS-TRE late had a 1.44-fold (1.10, 1.89) increased risk of CHD as compared to those in the lowest tertile after adjusting for the covariates. Conclusions: TRE habit, depending on the timing, was related to distinct metabolomic pathways, and adherence to late TRE may be associated with metabolic reliance linked to the risk of incident CHD among women.

Microvascular Disease, Cardiovascular Health, and Risk of Coronary Heart Disease in Type 2 Diabetes: A UK Biobank Study.

The interplay between cardiovascular health metrics (CVHMs) and microvascular disease (MVD) in relation to the risk of incident coronary heart disease (CHD) among individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) remains to be evaluated. To investigate the role of MVD and CVHMs in the development of CHD among T2DM. We included 19,664 participants with T2DM from the UK Biobank who had data on CVH metrics (CVHMs) and were free of CHD during recruitment. CVHMs were defined based on five behavioral (body mass index, diet, sleep duration, smoking, and regular exercise) and three biological factors (glycemic control, hyperlipidemia, and hypertension). MVD was defined as the presence of retinopathy, peripheral neuropathy, and chronic kidney disease. HR and 95% CI of CHD were estimated by multivariable Cox regression models. There were 3,252 incident cases of CHD recorded after a median follow-up of 12.3 years. After multivariable adjustment, each MVD was separately associated with risk of CHD, and those who had 1 or ≥2 MVD had a 27% and an 87% increased risk of developing CHD, respectively. Each of the unfavorable CVHMs was associated with a higher risk of CHD. As compared with MVD-free participants who had ideal CVHMs, those who had ≥2 MVD and had poor CVHMs were at particularly high risk of incident CHD (HR=4.58; 95% CI: 3.58, 5.86), similarly when considering behavioral CVH or biological CVH separately. On an additive scale, there was a positive statistically significant interaction between number of MVD and CVHMs. Coexistence of multiple MVDs was associated with a substantially higher risk of CHD among individuals with T2DM. Such an association may be amplified by unfavorable CVHMs.

Association of plasma proteomics with incident coronary heart disease in individuals with and without type 2 diabetes: results from the population-based KORA study.

Coronary heart disease (CHD) is a major global health concern, especially among individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D). Given the crucial role of proteins in various biological processes, this study aimed to elucidate the aetiological role and predictive performance of protein biomarkers on incident CHD in individuals with and without T2D. The discovery cohort included 1492 participants from the Cooperative Health Research in the Region of Augsburg (KORA) S4 study with 147 incident CHD cases (45 vs. 102 cases in the group with T2D and without T2D, respectively) during 15.6 years of follow-up. The validation cohort included 888 participants from the KORA-Age1 study with 70 incident CHD cases (19 vs. 51 cases in the group with T2D and without T2D, respectively) during 6.9 years of follow-up. We measured 233 plasma proteins related to cardiovascular disease and inflammation using proximity extension assay technology. Associations of proteins with incident CHD were assessed using Cox regression and Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis. Predictive models were developed using priority-Lasso and were evaluated on top of Framingham risk score variables using the C-index, category-free net reclassification index (cfNRI), and relative integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). We identified two proteins associated with incident CHD in individuals with and 29 in those without baseline T2D, respectively. Six of these proteins are novel candidates for incident CHD. MR suggested a potential causal role for hepatocyte growth factor in CHD development. The developed four-protein-enriched model for individuals with baseline T2D (ΔC-index: 0.017; cfNRI: 0.253; IDI: 0.051) and the 12-protein-enriched model for individuals without baseline T2D (ΔC-index: 0.054; cfNRI: 0.462; IDI: 0.024) consistently improved CHD prediction in the discovery cohort, while in the validation cohort, significant improvements were only observed for selected performance measures (with T2D: cfNRI: 0.633; without T2D: ΔC-index: 0.038; cfNRI: 0.465). This study identified novel protein biomarkers associated with incident CHD in individuals with and without T2D and reaffirmed previously reported protein candidates. These findings enhance our understanding of CHD pathophysiology and provide potential targets for prevention and treatment.

Perceived Interpersonal Racism in Relation to Incident Coronary Heart Disease Among Black Women.

Racism is highly prevalent in the United States. Few data exist about whether perceived interpersonal racism is associated with risk of coronary heart disease (CHD). We followed 48 305 participants in the Black Women's Health Study through biennial mailed and Internet-based health questionnaires from 1997, when they provided information on perceived interpersonal racism and were free of cardiovascular disease and cancer, until the end of 2019. We averaged participant responses to 5 validated questions about perceived interpersonal racism in everyday activities, such as "people act as if they think you are dishonest." We summed the positive responses to 3 questions about perceived racism in interactions that involved jobs, housing, and police; scores ranged from 0 (no to all) to 3 (yes to all). CHD cases were defined as nonfatal myocardial infarctions confirmed through medical records, fatal cases identified through the National Death Index, and self-reported revascularization events. We used Cox proportional hazard models adjusting for major confounders to estimate hazard ratios (HRs). During 22 years of follow-up, we identified 1947 incident CHD cases. For women who reported experiences of racism in employment, housing, or involving the police relative to women who reported no such experiences, the age-adjusted HR for CHD was 1.35 (95% CI, 1.13-1.61; Ptrend=0.006), and the multivariable HR for CHD was 1.26 (95% CI, 1.05-1.51; Ptrend=0.05). For women in the highest quartile of perceived interpersonal racism in daily life relative to women in the lowest quartile, the age-adjusted HR for CHD was 1.25 (95% CI, 1.07-1.46; Ptrend=0.006). After multivariable adjustment, the HR was attenuated and no longer statistically significant. Perceived experiences of interpersonal racism in employment, in housing, and with the police were associated with higher incidence of CHD among Black women, whereas perceived racism in everyday life was not associated with higher risk.

Lipidomics identified novel cholesterol-independent predictors for risk of incident coronary heart disease: Mediation of risk from diabetes and aggravation of risk by ambient air pollution

IntroductionPrevious lipidomics studies have identified various lipid predictors for cardiovascular risk, however, with limited predictive increment, sometimes using too many predictor variables at the expense of practical efficiency. ObjectivesTo search for lipid predictors of future coronary heart disease (CHD) with stronger predictive power and efficiency to guide primary intervention. MethodsWe conducted a prospective nested case-control study involving 1,621 incident CHD cases and 1:1 matched controls. Lipid profiling of 161 lipid species for baseline fasting plasma was performed by liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry. ResultsIn search of CHD predictors, seven lipids were selected by elastic-net regression during over 90% of 1000 cross-validation repetitions, and the derived composite lipid score showed an adjusted odds ratio of 3.75 (95% confidence interval: 3.15, 4.46) per standard deviation increase. Addition of the lipid score into traditional risk model increased c-statistic to 0.736 by an increment of 0.077 (0.063, 0.092). From the seven lipids, we found mediation of CHD risk from baseline diabetes through sphingomyelin (SM) 41:1b with a considerable mediation proportion of 36.97% (P < 0.05). We further found that the positive associations of phosphatidylcholine (PC) 36:0a, SM 41:1b, lysophosphatidylcholine (LPC) 18:0 and LPC 20:3 were more pronounced among participants with higher exposure to fine particulate matter or its certain components, also to ozone for LPC 18:0 and LPC 20:3, while the negative association of cholesteryl ester (CE) 18:2 was attenuated with higher black carbon exposure (P < 0.05). ConclusionWe identified seven lipid species with greatest predictive increment so-far achieved for incident CHD, and also found novel biomarkers for CHD risk stratification among individuals with diabetes or heavy air pollution exposure.

Abstract 13367: Plasma Lipidomic Markers of Diet Quality Are Associated With Risk of Coronary Heart Disease in American Indians

Background: Diet quality can affect lipid profiles and subsequent risk of coronary heart disease (CHD). Identifying lipidomic markers of diet quality is needed to inform the development of biomarkers of diet, and to understand the mechanisms driving the diet-CHD relation. Objective: To identify lipidomic markers of diet quality and examine whether these lipids are associated with incident CHD. Methods: We studied 1,694 American Indians (aged 18-75, 62% women) who were free of CHD and had lipidomic and dietary data at baseline (2001-2003). Participants were followed for development of CHD through 2020 (mean follow-up: 17.8 years; total incident cases of CHD: 147). Information on past year diet was collected using the Block Food Frequency Questionnaire, and diet quality was assessed using the Alternative Healthy Eating Index-2010 (AHEI). Mixed effects linear regression was used to identify individual lipid species associated with AHEI at baseline. Cox frailty model was used to estimate the hazard ratio of each AHEI-related lipid for CHD risk. All models adjusted for age, sex, center, education, BMI, smoking, alcohol drinking, level of physical activity, energy intake, diabetes, hypertension, and use of lipid-lowering drugs. Results: Among 1,542 lipid species measured, 71 lipid species (23 known) were associated with AHEI at FDR&lt;0.05. Of these, 10 lipids (5 known) were associated with incident CHD (Figure 1 ). The 5 known lipids associated with incident CHD were CE(22:5) B, PC(p-14:0/22:1)/PC(o-14:0/22:1), PC(p-38:3)/PC(o-38:4) B, PE(p-18:0/20:4)/PE(o-18:0/20:4), and SM(d36:2) A. On average, per standard deviation increase in the baseline level of these lipids was associated with 17%-23% increased risk of CHD. These AHEI-related lipids are enriched in glycerophospholipid metabolism. Conclusion: We identified lipidomic markers of diet quality in American Indians. Some diet-related lipids are associated with risk of CHD beyond established risk factors.

Associations of dietary sugar types with coronary heart disease risk: a prospective cohort study

BackgroundHigher intake of total sugar has been linked with coronary heart disease (CHD) risk, but the role of individual sugars, particularly fructose, is uncertain. ObjectivesThis study aimed to investigate the associations of individual dietary sugars with CHD risk. MethodsIn prospective cohort studies, we followed 76,815 women (Nurses’ Health Study, 1980-2020) and 38,878 men (Health Professionals Follow-up Study, 1986-2016). Sugar and carbohydrate intake, including total fructose equivalents ([TFE] from fructose monosaccharides and sucrose), total glucose equivalents ([TGE] from glucose monosaccharides, disaccharides, and starch), and other sugar types, was measured every 2 to 4 y by semiquantitative food frequency questionnaires. ResultsWe documented 9,723 incident CHD cases over 40 years. In isocaloric substitution models with total fat as a comparison nutrient, comparing extreme quintiles of intake, hazard ratios (HRs), 95% confidence interval [CI]) for CHD risk were 1.31 (1.20 to 1.42; Ptrend < 0.001) for TGE and 1.03 (0.94 to 1.11; Ptrend = 0.25) for TFE. TFE from fruits and vegetables was not associated with CHD risk (Ptrend = 0.70), but TFE from added sugar and juice was associated with CHD risk (HR: 1.12, 95% CI: 1.04 to 1.20; Ptrend < 0.01). Intakes of total sugars and added sugar were positively associated with CHD risk (HRs: 1.16, 95% CI: 1.07 to 1.26, Ptrend < 0.001; 1.08, 95% CI: 0.99 to 1.16, Ptrend = 0.04). ConclusionsIntakes of TGE, total sugar, added sugar, and fructose from added sugar and juice were associated with higher CHD risk, but TFE and fructose from fruits and vegetables were not.

Associations of circulating fatty acids with incident coronary heart disease: a prospective study of 89,242 individuals in UK Biobank

BackgroundThe role of fatty acids in coronary heart disease (CHD) remains uncertain. There is little evidence from large-scale epidemiological studies on the relevance of circulating fatty acids levels to CHD risk. This study aims to examine the independent associations of the major circulating types of fatty acids with CHD risk.MethodsUK Biobank is a prospective study of adults aged 40–69 in 2006–2010; in 2012–2013, a subset of the participants were resurveyed. Analyses were restricted to 89,242 participants with baseline plasma fatty acids (measured using nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy) and without prior CHD. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for the associations with incidence CHD, defined as the first-ever myocardial infarction, unstable angina pectoris, coronary-related death, or relevant procedure. And the major types of fatty acids were mutually adjusted to examine the independent associations. Hazard ratios were corrected for regression dilution using the correlation of baseline and resurvey fatty acids measures.ResultsDuring a median follow-up of 11.8 years, 3,815 incident cases of CHD occurred. Independently of other fatty acids, CHD risk was positively associated with saturated fatty acids (SFA) and monounsaturated fatty acids (MUFA), inversely associated with omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFA), but there was no strong evidence of an association with omega-6 PUFA: HR per standard deviation higher were 1.14 (95% CI, 1.09–1.20), 1.15 (1.10–1.21), 0.91 (0.87–0.94), and 1.04 (0.99–1.09) respectively. Independently of triglycerides and cholesterol, the inverse association with omega-3 PUFA was not materially changed, but the positive associations with SFA and MUFA attenuated to null after adjusting for triglycerides levels.ConclusionsThis large-scale study has quantitated the independent associations of circulating fatty acids with CHD risk. Omega-3 PUFA was inversely related to CHD risk, independently of other fatty acids and major lipid fractions. By contrast, independently of other fatty acids, the positive associations of circulating SFA and MUFA with CHD risk were mostly attributed to their relationship with triglycerides.

Lipoprotein(a) and the risk of recurrent coronary heart disease: the Dubbo Study

Objective Elevated Lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] has not been firmly established as a risk factor for recurrent coronary heart disease (CHD). The present analysis explored this relationship in senior citizens. Methods This was a longitudinal study in 607 subjects, all with prevalent CHD, mean age 71 years, followed for 16 years. Baseline examinations of lipids and other CHD risk factors were conducted in 1988–89 in Dubbo, Australia. The independent contribution of Lp(a) to a further CHD event was examined in proportional hazards regression models. Results There were 399 incident CHD cases. Median Lp(a) in CHD cases was 130 mg/L (Interquartile range 60–315) and in non-cases 105 mg/L (45–250) (p < .07, U-Test). 26% of CHD cases and 19% of non-cases had Lp(a) 300 + mg/L; 18% of CHD cases and 8% of non-cases had Lp(a) 500 + mg/L. Lp(a) in Quintile 5 of its distribution (355 + mg/L), using Lp(a) Quintile 1 (<50mg/L) as reference, significantly predicted recurrent CHD with Hazard Ratio 1.53 (95% CI 1.11–2.11, p = .01). Prediction was independent of other risk factors. Lp(a) 500 + mg/L versus lower, significantly predicted recurrent CHD with Hazard Ratio 1.59 (1.16–2.17, p < .01). Prediction was similarly significant for Lp(a) 300 + mg/L versus lower, with Hazard Ratio 1.37 (1.09–1.73, p < .01). Conclusion Elevated Lp(a) is an independent and significant predictor of recurrent CHD in senior citizens. Upper reference Lp(a) levels of 500 mg/L (≈125nmol/L) or 300 mg/L (≈75nmol/L) both appear to be appropriate. The clinical benefit of therapy to reduce elevated Lp(a) remains to be confirmed.

Healthy lifestyle, DNA methylation age acceleration, and incident risk of coronary heart disease

BackgroundDNA methylation clocks emerged as a tool to determine biological aging and have been related to mortality and age-related diseases. Little is known about the association of DNA methylation age (DNAm age) with coronary heart disease (CHD), especially in the Asian population.ResultsMethylation level of baseline blood leukocyte DNA was measured by Infinium Methylation EPIC BeadChip for 491 incident CHD cases and 489 controls in the prospective China Kadoorie Biobank. We calculated the methylation age using a prediction model developed among Chinese. The correlation between chronological age and DNAm age was 0.90. DNA methylation age acceleration (Δage) was defined as the residual of regressing DNA methylation age on the chronological age. After adjustment for multiple risk factors of CHD and cell type proportion, compared with participants in the bottom quartile of Δage, the OR (95% CI) for CHD was 1.84 (1.17, 2.89) for participants in the top quartile. One SD increment in Δage was associated with 30% increased risk of CHD (OR = 1.30; 95% CI 1.09, 1.56; Ptrend = 0.003). The average number of cigarette equivalents consumed per day and waist-to-hip ratio were positively associated with Δage; red meat consumption was negatively associated with Δage, characterized by accelerated aging in those who never or rarely consumed red meat (all P < 0.05). Further mediation analysis revealed that 10%, 5% and 18% of the CHD risk related to smoking, waist-to-hip ratio and never or rarely red meat consumption was mediated through methylation aging, respectively (all P for mediation effect < 0.05).ConclusionsWe first identified the association between DNAm age acceleration and incident CHD in the Asian population, and provided evidence that unfavorable lifestyle-induced epigenetic aging may play an important part in the underlying pathway to CHD.

Serum High-Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin T as an Independent Predictor for Incident Coronary Heart Disease in the Japanese General Population: The Circulatory Risk in Communities Study (CIRCS).

Epidemiological evidence is extremely limited about high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) and future coronary heart disease (CHD) events for the general population in countries with low mortality from CHD. Therefore, we investigated the association between hs-cTnT levels and the risk of incident CHD using a nested case-control study in a large Japanese cohort study. The participants were residents of four Japanese communities in the Circulatory Risk in Communities Study (CIRCS). We obtained 120 cases (81 men and 39 women, aged 38-86 years at baseline) of first incident CHD and 240 controls matched by age, sex, communities, and blood sampling term. Serum hs-cTnT levels were measured using an electrochemiluminescence immunoassay with stored sera collected between 2001 and 2011. The median period between sampling at survey and CHD incidence was 2.0 (interquartile range, 0.9-3.7) years. After adjusting for conventional risk factors, the multivariable odds ratios (ORs) of CHD were calculated using conditional logistic regression analyses. hs-cTnT ranged from ≤ 3 (assay detection limit) to 155 ng/L. Compared with the lowest quartile of hs-cTnT, multivariable ORs (95% confidence intervals) of CHD for the second, third, and highest quartiles were 1.30 (0.57-2.95), 2.48 (1.09-5.64), and 3.01 (1.27-7.12), respectively. Similar associations were observed after adjusting for estimated glomerular filtration, or after excluding matched groups, including people with chronic kidney disease. Serum hs-cTnT could predict CHD in the Japanese general population. These findings implicate a benefit from monitoring hs-cTnT to predict CHD even among populations in countries with low mortality from CHD.

Abstract P406: Association Between Perceived Interpersonal Racism and Incident Coronary Heart Disease Among Black Women

Background: Racism is highly prevalent in our society and has disproportionate impact on Black individuals. However, little data exists about whether perceived interpersonal racism are associated with risk of coronary heart disease (CHD). Methods: We followed 48,297 participants in the Black Women’s Health Study from 1997, when they provided information on perceived interpersonal racism and were free of cardiovascular disease and cancer, until the end of 2019. We averaged participant’s responses to the five questions about perceived interpersonal racism in everyday activities, such as “people act as if they think you are dishonest.” We summed up the positive responses to the three questions for perceived racism in interactions that involved jobs, housing, and police; score ranged from 0 (No to all) to 3 (Yes to all). We used Cox proportional hazard models to assess the relation of perceived interpersonal racism with incident CHD, adjusting for major confounders. Results: During 22 years of follow-up, we identified 1,036 incident CHD cases. Women who were in the highest quartile of perceived interpersonal racism in daily life had a 21% increased risk of incident CHD (multivariable hazard ratios (HR)=1.21, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.99-1.48, p trend=0.05), compared to women in the lowest quartile. Women who reported experience of racism in employment, housing, and the criminal justice system had a 29% increased risk (multivariable adjusted HR=1.29, 95%CI: 1.03-1.63, p trend=0.05) of CHD relative to those who reported no such perceived racism. Conclusion: Perceived experiences of racism in the context of employment, housing and the criminal justice system were associated with increased incidence of CHD among Black women. These findings support the hypothesis that experiences of racism may explain some of the disproportionately high incidence of CHD in the Black population.

Abstract P449: Life’s Essential 8 and Risk of Coronary Heart Disease: A Prospective Study Among Racially and Geographically Diverse Populations

Introduction: Life’s Essential 8 (LE8) is a new guideline proposed by American Heart Association to improve cardiovascular health, including four health behaviors (i.e., eat better, be more active, quit tobacco, get healthy sleep) and four health factors (i.e., manage weight, control cholesterol, manage blood sugar, manage blood pressure). Hypothesis: Higher adherence to LE8 is associated with reduced risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) among racially and geographically diverse populations. Methods: The current analysis was based on CHD case-control studies nested within the Southern Community Cohort Study (baseline: 2002-2009), Shanghai Women’s Health Study (1996-2000), and Shanghai Men’s Health Study (2002-2006), including 900 incident CHD cases identified through 2018 and 900 age-/sex-/race-matched controls (300 pairs of White Americans, Black Americans, and Chinese adults, respectively). Within each cohort, we constructed the LE8 score (range: 0 to 100) based on DASH diet quality, moderate/vigorous physical activity, tobacco smoking, sleep hours, body mass index, total and non-HDL cholesterol, diabetes status/blood glucose, and hypertension status/blood pressure. We used conditional logistic regression to evaluate odds ratios (ORs) between the LE8 score and incident CHD, adjusting for sociodemographic factors and family history of CHD. Results: The mean ± standard deviation (SD) of LE8 score was 48.1±13.4 among White women, 48.5±14.4 among White men, 48.1±12.3 among Black women, 50.0±13.6 among Black men, 57.2±12.2 among Chinese women, and 50.7±12.5 among Chinese men. Higher LE8 score was associated with significantly reduced risk of CHD: OR for 1-SD increase was 0.58 (95% CI: 0.51-0.65) among all participants, 0.64 (95% CI: 0.53-0.78) among White Americans, 0.57 (95% CI: 0.46-0.69) among Black Americans, 0.52 (95% CI: 0.42-0.65) among Chinese, 0.49 (95% CI: 0.41-0.60) among women, and 0.65 (95% CI: 0.56-0.75) among men; all P &lt;0.001 ( P interaction &gt;0.05 for race and P interaction =0.01 for sex). Similar patterns of beneficial associations were also found in stratified analyses by age group, education level, and history of diabetes, hypertension, or dyslipidemia, with ORs ranging from 0.46 to 0.74. Conclusions: Higher adherence to LE8 is associated with ~35-50% reduced risk of incident CHD across racially and geographically diverse populations, supporting the importance of promoting healthy lifestyles and maintaining metabolic health.

Abstract MP23: Circulating Gut Microbiota-Related Metabolites and Risk of Coronary Heart Disease: A Prospective, Multiethnic, Metabolomic Study

Introduction: Despite the importance of gut microbiota in human cardiometabolic health, the associations between circulating levels of gut microbiota-related metabolites and incident coronary heart disease (CHD) remain largely unexplored. Hypothesis: Certain circulating microbial metabolites are associated with incident CHD. Methods: This is a multi-stage and multiethnic metabolomics study. We first conducted a global, semi-quantitative assay for discovery among 900 incident CHD cases and 900 age-/sex-/race-matched controls (300 pairs of Black Americans, White Americans, and Chinese adults, respectively) selected from the Southern Community Cohort Study and Shanghai Men’s and Women’s Health Studies. We focused on 226 metabolites that were potentially related to gut microbiota and applied conditional logistic regression to estimate odds ratios (ORs) of CHD associated with a 1-SD increase of log-transformed metabolites adjusting for traditional CHD risk factors. Then, an in-silico validation was conducted using existing metabolites data of 9,264 participants from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis and Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study. Results: In the discovery stage, we identified 73 named microbial metabolites related to incident CHD risk with a false discovery rate&lt;0.10 or nominal p &lt;0.05 and a large effect size (ORs &gt;1.5 or &lt;0.5). These metabolites were from super pathways of amino acids (n=28), lipids (n=24), nucleotides (n=6), carbohydrates (n=4), energy (n=4), xenobiotics (n=4), and cofactors/vitamins (n=3). Of them, 61 metabolites were available for the in-silico validation, and 30 showed a significant association ( p &lt;0.05) with the same direction as the discovery results. After further adjustments for established CHD risk factors (e.g., glucose and LDL-cholesterol), 25 metabolites remained significant. A 14%-48% increased risk was observed for N-acetylglutamate (OR=1.48), sphingomyelin (1.42), imidazole propionate (1.37), hypoxanthine (1.29), guaiacol sulfate (1.28), glutamate (1.22), 2-hydroxyphenylacetate (1.20), 3-hydroxybutyrate (1.19), 3-hydroxy-2-ethylpropionate (1.17), 1-methyl-4-imidazoleacetate (1.16), urea (1.16), urate (1.16), 4-hydroxyphenylacetate (1.15), choline (1.15), isoleucine (1.14), and glycerol (1.14). Meanwhile, a significant inverse association was found for taurine (OR=0.64), asparagine (0.75), serotonin (0.78), histidine (0.79), threonine (0.81), glutamine (0.83), glycine (0.84), oxalate (0.85), and N-methylproline (0.89). Conclusions: Among ethnically and geographically diverse populations, we identified and validated some circulating gut microbiota-related metabolites as potential novel biomarkers for incident CHD. Targeted quantitative assays to confirm these results are ongoing, which are essential to inform potential clinical utility.

Abstract MP24: Atherogenic Gut Microbial Metabolite Scores and Risk of Coronary Heart Disease Among Women in the Nurses’ Health Study

Introduction: Recent evidence suggests that dietary proteins modulate the microbial composition and metabolite production to influence host physiology. Gut-microbiota-related metabolites, such as trimethylamine N-oxide (TMAO) and its precursors, phenylacetylglutamine (PAGln) and p-tolyl (cresol) sulfate, have been recently implicated as atherogenic metabolites derived from the microbial metabolism of protein foods (such as red meat) and amino acids. Hypothesis: We tested a hypothesis that combined effects of atherogenic gut microbiota-related metabolites may be strongly related to the risk of incident coronary heart disease (CHD) among women. Methods: We conducted a prospective nested case-control study of 762 incident cases of CHD (fatal CHD and nonfatal myocardial infarction) and 762 matched controls identified over 10-14 years of follow-up. Plasma metabolites (TMAO, N,N,N-trimethyllysine, PAGln, and p-tolyl (cresol) sulfate) were measured at baseline. We regressed the CHD outcome against metabolites using conditional logistic regression and then calculated an atherogenic microbial metabolite score (AMMS) of CHD by summing the β effects of metabolites. Results: Every 1 SD increment of AMMS was associated with a matching factor-adjusted RR of 1.28 (95% CI: 1.15, 1.44) and a multivariable-adjusted RR of 1.26 (1.12, 1.42) for CHD controlling for demographic, dietary, and lifestyle factors, postmenopausal hormone use, and body mass index. Dose-response analysis showed a linear relation between AMMS and the risk of CHD ( P &lt;0.001). In addition, there was a 1.20 (1.06, 1.36) times increased risk of CHD per 1 SD of AMMS after adjusting for common metabolic comorbidities (diabetes, hypertension, and dyslipidemia). The highest quintile (Q5) group had an adjusted RR of 1.60 (1.08, 2.37) for CHD, as compared to the lowest quintile (Q1) ( Fig ). Conclusions: Atherogenic gut microbiota-related metabolite scores were significantly associated with risk of incident CHD among women without prior CHD.

Abstract 41: Comprehensive Plasma Metabolomic Risk Scores to Predict Incident Coronary Heart Disease Events

Introduction: Integrating multiple metabolomics signatures related to coronary heart disease (CHD) into a metabolomic risk score (MRS) may contribute to improving the risk prediction beyond traditional risk factors, although applications of the MRS remain underdetermined, especially in people at usual risk. Hypothesis: We analyzed associations of plasma metabolites with the risk of CHD to develop MRS for predicting risk of incident CHD by incorporating comprehensive metabolic pathways among women at usual risk from the Nurses’ Health Study (NHS). We also tested whether changes in CHD-related plasma metabolites were associated with significant reductions in atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk scores among participants in the POUNDS Lost trial. Methods: Untargeted metabolomics profiling was performed to measure plasma metabolites at baseline in a prospective nested case-control of 762 incident cases of CHD (fatal CHD and nonfatal myocardial infarction) and 762 matched controls identified over 10-14 years of follow-up time in NHS. An MRS of CHD risk was created based on metabolites that were selected through conditional logistic regression with the elastic net procedure. The POUNDS Lost trial included adults with overweight/obesity who consumed weight-loss diets with different macronutrient intakes. We measured untargeted plasma metabolomics signatures at baseline, 6 months, and 2 years to calculate changes in response to the dietary interventions. The primary outcome in the POUNDS Lost trial was the reduction of 10-year ASCVD risk scores calculated by the validated pooled cohort equations. Results: Various plasma metabolites (such as gut-microbiota-related and others in the pathways of ceramides, phospholipids, and polyamine metabolism) were associated with the risk of incident CHD ( P FDR &lt;0.05). We developed MRS for CHD combining 122 metabolites and found that the highest quartile (Q4) was associated with 11.3 times (95% CI: 6.88, 18.6) higher risk of CHD, as compared to the lowest quartile (Q1), even after adjusting for covariates including common CHD risk factors (such as a family history of MI, lifestyle factors, obesity, diabetes, hypertension, and dyslipidemia). Every 1 SD increment of MRS was associated with an adjusted RR of 3.23 (95% CI 2.62, 3.97) for CHD events. In the POUNDS Lost, diet-intervention-induced changes in CHD-related metabolites, particularly those in ceramide pathways, were significantly associated with reductions in the ASCVD risk score at 6 months and 2 years. Conclusions: Comprehensive metabolomic scores were strongly related to the risk of incident CHD among women without prior CHD. Dietary interventions may modify the unfavorable relations between CHD-risk-related metabolites and ASCVD risk. Further studies in other populations are warranted to validate the performance of MRS in predicting ASCVD events.

Long-term exposure to air pollution and incidence of coronary heart diseases and stroke in the longitudinal metropolitan studies (LMS) network: the BIGEPI project

to assess the potential of using longitudinal metropolitan studies (LMS) to study the association between long-term exposure to air pollution and the incidence of acute coronary events and stroke. closed cohort. subjects aged >=30 years, who took part in the 2011 census, residents in 5 cities (Turin, Bologna, Rome, Brindisi and Taranto). Annual concentrations of particulate matter (PM10 and PM2.5), nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and warm-season ozone (O3) (annual O3 in Taranto and Brindisi), estimated through satellite (Turin, Bologna, Rome) or photochemical models (Taranto and Brindisi) with a spatial resolution of 1 km2, were assigned to the census address. incidence of coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke until 31.12.2018 (2019 in Bologna). Cohort-specific Hazard Ratios (HRs), estimated using Cox regression models progressively adjusting for individual and contextual covariates, were pooled with random-effect meta-analysis. there were 71,872 incident CHD cases and 43,884 incident cases of stroke in almost 18 million person-years. No association was observed between the exposures studied and incidence of CHD and stroke, except for an increase in the incidence of CHD associated with warm-season O3 exposure (HR 1.034 per 5 μg/m3 increase). Some positive associations were found in specific cities (both outcomes in Brindisi with PM10 exposure and in Taranto with NO2 exposure, stroke in Rome with both PM10 and PM2.5), although estimates were not significant in some instances. LMS are a high potential tool for the study of comparative medium- and long-term effects of air pollution. Their further development (different definitions of exposure, outcomes, characteristics of the urban areas and extension to other LMS) may make them even more valuable tools for monitoring and planning public health interventions.

Replacing Sedentary Behavior Time With Physical Activities, Recommended Physical Activity, and Incident Coronary Heart Disease

ObjectiveTo prospectively analyze the associations with coronary heart disease (CHD) risk of reallocating time from sedentary behavior to various physical activities using the isotemporal substitution model, particularly according to whether the participants meet the recommended physical activity level. MethodsWe included 455,298 UK Biobank participants free of CHD at baseline (March 13, 2006, to October 10, 2010). Sedentary behavior time was quantified by summing up the time spent on television watching, computer (not at work), and driving. Physical activities were categorized as daily-life activities (walking for pleasure, light do-it-yourself, and heavy do-it-yourself) and structured exercise (strenuous sports and other exercise). ResultsDuring a median follow-up of 11 years, 20,162 incident CHD cases were documented. Sedentary behavior time was significantly associated with a higher risk of CHD, independent of physical activity. Replacing 30 min/d of sedentary behavior with an equal time of various physical activities was associated with a 3% to 12% risk reduction of CHD. Replacing 1 h/d of sedentary behavior with different types of physical activities was associated with a 6% to 23% risk reduction of CHD. Sedentary behavior to strenuous sports reallocations showed the largest benefit. Reallocations of sedentary behavior to various physical activities showed particularly greater benefits among those who did not meet the physical activity recommendations. ConclusionsReplacing sedentary behavior time with various daily-life activities or structured exercise is associated with significant reductions in CHD risk.

Herpes Zoster and Long-Term Risk of Cardiovascular Disease.

Background We investigated the longitudinal association of herpes zoster (HZ), commonly known as "shingles," and long-term risk of stroke or coronary heart disease (CHD) among participants in 3 large US cohorts, the NHS (Nurses' Health Study), NHS II (Nurses' Health Study II), and HPFS (Health Professionals Follow-Up Study). Methods and Results Participants were 79 658 women in the NHS (2000-2016), 93 932 women in the NHS II (2001-2017), and 31 440 men in the HPFS (2004-2016), without prior stroke or CHD. Information on HZ, stroke, and CHD was collected on biennial questionnaires and confirmed by medical record review. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios for stroke and for CHD according to years since HZ compared with never HZ. During >2million person-years of follow-up, 3603 incident stroke and 8620 incident CHD cases were documented. History of HZ was significantly and independently associated with higher long-term risk of stroke and CHD. In pooled analyses, compared with individuals with no history of HZ, the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (95% CIs) for stroke were 1.05 (0.88-1.25) among those with 1 to 4 years since HZ, 1.38 (1.10-1.74) for among those with 5 to 8 years since HZ, 1.28 (1.03-1.59) among those with for 9 to 12 years since HZ, and 1.19 (0.90-1.56) among those with ≥13 years since HZ. For CHD, the corresponding multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (95% CIs) were 1.13 (1.01-1.27) for 1 to 4 years, 1.16 (1.02-1.32) for 5 to 8 years, 1.25 (1.07-1.46) for 9 to 12 years, and 1.00 (0.83-1.21) for ≥13 years. Conclusions HZ is associated with higher long-term risk of a major cardiovascular event. These findings suggest there are long-term implications of HZ and underscore the importance of prevention.

Abstract 10043: Plasma Metabolite Dimethylguanidino Valeric Acid and Risk of Incident Coronary Heart Disease Among Women

Introduction: Circulating dimethylguanidino valeric acid (DMGV) has been related to visceral adiposity and unhealthy obesogenic lifestyle factors, and recently emerged as an early marker of cardiovascular disease. Hypothesis: We tested whether circulating DMGV was associated with the risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) among women. We also investigated obesogenic diet/lifestyle factors and biomarkers associated with higher DMGV levels. Methods: This prospective nested case-control study included 1518 women (759 incident cases of fatal CHD and nonfatal myocardial infarction and 759 controls) from the Nurses’ Health Study (NHS). Incident cases of CHD were identified over 10-14 years of follow-up time. Obesogenic lifestyle factors (such as physical inactivity and dietary intakes), adiposity, and cardiometabolic abnormalities (hypertension, dyslipidemia, and diabetes) were assessed in the NHS and the Women's Lifestyle Validation Study (WLVS; n=723). Results: In the NHS, higher plasma DMGV levels were related to greater risk of CHD (P for linear relation=0.007) after controlling for demographic factors, family history of myocardial infarction, and postmenopausal hormone. Compared with women in the lowest quartile of DMGV levels, those in the highest quartile had a relative risk (RR) of 1.70 (95% CI: 1.25, 2.31) for CHD. The RR in the highest quartile was attenuated after controlling for obesogenic factors and adiposity. Obesogenic diet/lifestyle factors, adiposity, altered adipokine levels, and cardiometabolic abnormalities were significant factors related to higher plasma DMGV levels in the NHS and WLVS. Conclusions: Circulating DMGV may be a significant metabolite related to obesogenic diet quality, lifestyles, and cardiometabolic abnormalities among women. High DMGV levels were associated with an increased risk of incident CHD among women.