Aim. To study the role of progesterone receptor expression, tumor grade and Ki-67 level as possible predictors of pathological complete response (pCR) to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in patients with stage IIA–IIB (cT1–2N1, cT2–3N0M0) breast cancer of hormone-positive HER2-negative subtype.Materials and methods. We retrospectively analysed the efficacy of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (4AC+12P/4T) in 100 patients with cancer stages IIA–IIB (cT1–2N1, cT2–3N0M0) of hormone-positive HER2-negative subtype treated at the P.A. Hertsen Moscow Oncology Research Institute from 2013 to 2022. The pathological response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy depending on the level of progesterone receptor expression, tumour grade (G) and tumour proliferation index (Ki-67) were evaluated.Results. Pathological complete response was achieved in 12 of 100 patients. The progesterone receptor expression ≤3 Allred pCR scores were found in 16.1 % (5/31) of patients, whereas with progesterone receptor >3 scores in 10.1 % (7/69) (odds ratio 1.703; 95 % confidence interval (CI) 0.495–5.860; p = 0.507). Patients with high tumour grade (G3) achieved pCR in 12.1 % (4/33) cases and with G2 – in 11.9 % (8/67) (odds ratio 1.017; 95 % CI 0.283–3.658; p = 1.000). With the Ki-67 levels ≥50 % pCR was achieved in 14.6 % (7/48) cases compared to 9.6 % (5/52) with Ki-67 levels <50 %(odds ratio 1.605; 95 % CI 0.473–5.445; p = 0.544). The Ki-67 threshold for achieving pCR was 70 % (area under the ROC curve 0.663 ± 0.090; 95 % CI 0.486–0.840; p = 0.068) and for progesterone receptors was 3 points (area under the ROC curve 0.625 ± 0.080; 95 % CI 0.467–0.782; p = 0.156).Conclusion. This analysis highlights the importance of considering all clinical and morphological characteristics of the tumour when planning the scope of treatment for hormone-positive HER2-negative breast cancer. The results obtained may serve as a basis for a more personalised therapeutic approach.
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