Large-scale grid integration of variable renewable energy is crucial for achieving decarbonized development. However, this integration requires frequent regulation of flexible power sources for complementary operation, which can lead to wear-and-tear and fatigue damage to key components. This poses potential risks to flexible power sources. Existing studies have primarily focused on limiting unit startups, while have neglected the risk of frequent power regulation. Thus, this work proposes a risk-averse short-term scheduling method for a Wind-Solar-Cascade hydro-Thermal-Pumped storage hybrid energy system to balance frequent regulation risk, cost, and carbon emission: (1) a risk-averse short-term scheduling model is proposed, considering multilayer constraints; (2) a multi-objective hybrid African vulture optimization algorithm is proposed to effectively solve the scheduling problem including continuous and discrete variables. A case study in the Songhua River basin, China shows that: (1) compared with traditional models, the proposed model reduces the risk by 31.4% and enhances the comprehensive performance in balancing the three objectives by 22.4%; (2) the proposed algorithm performs robustness and search capability advantages, with improvements of 33.01% and 21.44% respectively, in solving the problem of challenging constraints and mixed decision variables. Overall, this work contributes to enhancing the management of large hybrid energy systems.
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