Plasma Human Immunodeficiency Virus Type 1 RNA Levels Research Articles

Lack of autologous neutralizing antibody to human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) and macrophage tropism are associated with mother-to-infant transmission.

To investigate factors that affect mother-to-infant transmission of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1), autologous neutralizing antibody, viral load, and viral tropism were evaluated in 28 pregnant women infected with HIV-1, of whom 8 were transmitters and 20 nontransmitters. One (12%) of 8 transmitters versus 11 (55%) of 20 nontransmitters had autologous neutralizing antibody (P=.04). Plasma levels of HIV-1 RNA and infectious HIV-1 titers (mean+/-SD) in peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) at delivery did not differ significantly between transmitters and nontransmitters (24, 266+/-10,101 vs. 31,589+/-9128 copies/mL and 29+/-12 vs. 42+/-17 infected cells per 106 PBMC, respectively). However, only transmitters (4 [50%] of 8) were HIV p24 antigen positive. The ability of HIV-1 strains to induce syncytium did not differ between groups (P=.6); however, only non-syncytium-inducing isolates were transmitted. Isolates from 4 (80%) of 5 transmitters versus 2 (18%) of 12 nontransmitters (P=.03) demonstrated increasing replication in macrophages. Thus, lack of autologous neutralizing antibody and increased replication in macrophages were significantly associated with mother-to-infant transmission. In addition, autologous neutralizing antibody was associated with reduced viral load.

Early and persistent human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1)-specific T helper dysfunction in blood and lymph nodes following acute HIV-1 infection.

Without potent antiretroviral therapy, most human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1)-infected persons experience a progressive decline in CD4+ T cells and impairment in T helper function. It is unclear how soon after infection T cell dysfunction occurs. T helper responses were examined in blood and lymphoid tissue of 39 untreated patients with acute HIV-1 infection. Within the first 3 months, lymphoproliferative responses to mitogen, recall antigens, and HIV-1 antigens were impaired. After 6-9 months, responses to phytohemagglutinin and recall antigens improved. However, HIV-1-specific lymphoproliferation remained largely undetectable throughout 2 years of infection, and results were similar upon evaluation of lymphoid cells. Rare patients with HIV-1-specific responses had significantly lower plasma HIV-1 RNA levels than did nonresponders. These results indicate that T helper dysfunction occurs early after HIV-1 acquisition and that untreated individuals rarely recover HIV-specific helper responses; these findings lend support for early therapeutic intervention to prevent the destruction and further impairment of the T helper cells.

Factors that predict incomplete virological response to protease inhibitor-based antiretroviral therapy.

Many patients infected with human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) have suboptimal responses to protease inhibitor-based therapy. We retrospectively evaluated a cohort of 104 HIV-positive adults, most of whom had previously received antiretrovirals, to identify the frequency and clinical predictors of incomplete response to potent HIV-1 protease inhibitors. Sixty-two (60%) of the patients had an incomplete response, defined as a plasma HIV-1 RNA level of >400 copies/mL after 20 weeks of therapy. Logistic regression analysis identified the following independent risk factors for incomplete response: elevated baseline plasma HIV-1 RNA level (P = .03), low baseline weight (P = .01), chemoprophylaxis for Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia (P = .04), and active illicit drug use (P = .04). Regular prescription of narcotics or benzodiazepine anxiolytics (P = .01) and use of any Internet site (P = .01) predicted a more favorable response. Identifying factors that predict suboptimal response to protease inhibitors improves our understanding of interpatient variability in response to therapy and should foster strategies that enhance the effectiveness of current and future regimens.

Association of human papillomavirus infection and disease with magnitude of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) RNA plasma level among women with HIV-1 infection.

Ninety-three women with human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) infection were enrolled in a cross-sectional study to evaluate the relationship between plasma HIV-1 RNA levels and coincident cervical infection and disease caused by human papillomaviruses (HPVs). HIV-1 RNA plasma levels of >10,000 copies/mL were highly associated with the presence in cervical specimens of HPV DNA of oncogenic (high risk) virus genotypes (P=.006; relative risk, 2.57). In addition, similar HIV-1 RNA plasma levels were associated with abnormal Pap smears (P=.01; relative risk, 2.11). In this study, 81% of women with high-risk HPV cervical infection had abnormal Pap smears. Measurement of HIV-1 RNA plasma levels may help to identify a subgroup of HIV-1-infected women at increased risk for cervical HPV infection and disease.

The effects of zidovudine in the subset of infants infected with human immunodeficiency virus type-1 (Pediatric AIDS Clinical Trials Group Protocol 076)

Objective: To describe the effect of zidovudine on human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) and on the course of disease in infants who became infected while they and their mothers received zidovudine preventive therapy or placebo in Pediatric AIDS Clinical Trials Group Protocol 076. Study design: Observational substudy of a multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial. Methods: We compared the progression of disease, timing of HIV-1 transmission, and the plasma HIV-1 RNA level in infected infants of mother-infant pairs who were randomly assigned to receive zidovudine (n = 14) or placebo (n = 43). The development of genotypic zidovudine resistance was assessed among infected infants in the zidovudine treatment group. Results: In this limited study, zidovudine therapy during pregnancy and labor and in the neonatal period for 6 weeks failed to have a major effect on rapid progression of disease, timing of transmission, and viral replication in HIV-infected infants. When the zidovudine treatment regimen failed to prevent maternal-infant transmission of HIV-1, resistance to zidovudine did not develop during study treatment. Conclusions: Our study supports the safety of zidovudine use in pregnancy and in the newborn period but demonstrates the continued need for more potent antiretroviral treatment of the infected infant. (J Pediatr 1999;134:717-24)

Correlation of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 RNA levels in blood and the female genital tract.

In this study, the correlations of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) RNA levels in blood plasma, vaginal secretions, and cervical mucus of 52 HIV-1-infected women were determined. The amount of cell-free HIV-1 RNA in blood plasma was correlated with that in vaginal secretions (Spearman's rank correlation coefficient (r) = 0.64, P<.001). In both blood plasma and vaginal secretions, the amounts of cell-free and cell-associated HIV-1 RNA were highly correlated (r=0.76, P<.01 and r=0.85, P<.01, respectively). Cell-free HIV-1 RNA levels in blood plasma and vaginal secretions were negatively correlated with CD4+ T lymphocyte count (r=-0.44, P<.01 and r=-0.40, P<.01, respectively). Similar to the effect observed in blood plasma, initiation of antiretroviral therapy significantly reduced the amount of HIV-1 RNA in vaginal secretions. These findings suggest that factors that lower blood plasma virus load may also reduce the risk of perinatal and female-to-male heterosexual transmission by lowering vaginal virus load.

Influenza vaccination of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected adults: impact on plasma levels of HIV type 1 RNA and determinants of antibody response.

We assessed the effect of influenza vaccination on plasma levels of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) RNA and the impact of age, plasma HIV-1 RNA level, CD4 cell count, and anti-HIV therapy on immune response. Forty-nine adults (mean age, 38.7 years; mean CD4 cell count +/- SD, 190 +/- 169/mL; mean plasma HIV-1 RNA level +/- SD, 154,616 +/- 317,192 copies/mL) were immunized. Elevations of > or = 0.48 log in plasma HIV-1 RNA levels occurred in two (4%) of 49 subjects within 4 weeks of vaccination. A fourfold or greater increase in antibody titer occurred in 13 (45%) of 29 subjects, correlating directly with CD4 cell count (P = .002) and inversely with plasma HIV-1 RNA level (P = .034). By multivariate analysis, CD4 cell count was a stronger predictor of antibody response than was plasma HIV-1 RNA level. We conclude that increases in plasma HIV-1 RNA levels following influenza vaccination are rare and transient and that antibody response is impaired with CD4 cell counts of < 100/mL and plasma HIV-1 RNA levels of > 100,000 copies/mL. Prospective trials are needed to evaluate the impact of highly active therapy on immune response after vaccination.

Clinical Evaluation of an In-House Reverse Transcription-Competitive PCR for Quantitation of Human Immunodeficiency Virus Type 1 RNA in Plasma

An in-house reverse transcription (RT)-competitive PCR (RT-cPCR) for the quantitation of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) RNA in plasma samples was developed and validated. The procedure involves (i) extraction of RNA with spin columns, (ii) ready-to-use bead-mediated RT, (iii) competitive PCR in a microtiter plate, (iv) agarose gel electrophoresis of the reaction products, and (v) densitometric analysis of the digitized image of the gel. Quadruplicate tests and dilution studies showed that the sensitivity and intertest coefficient of variability of the RT-cPCR are comparable to those of the reference AMPLICOR HIV-1 MONITOR test. The results obtained by the two assays with a panel of 45 clinical samples were in good agreement (mean difference, 0.36 +/- 0.25 log units). Analysis of 1,982 clinical samples by the in-house RT-cPCR yielded the typical range of plasma HIV-1 RNA levels with the expected inverse correlation between CD4 counts and HIV-1 RNA titers. In addition, testing of plasma from 36 subjects at weeks 0 and 4 with respect to the time of initiation of protease inhibitor therapy detected a significant decrease in HIV-1 viremia. The mean reduction in the HIV-1 RNA level was 0.914 log unit for those receiving saquinavir (P = 0.0210), 1.584 log units for those receiving indinavir (P = 0.0047), and 1.904 log units for those receiving ritonavir (P < 0.0001). The in-house RT-cPCR assay is simple to develop and perform and allows quantitation of HIV-1 RNA in 100 to 200 samples per operator per week. Since the cost is 1/8 to 1/10 of those of reference commercial assays, this procedure could be conveniently used in medium-scale laboratories.

Activation and Cell Cycle Antigens in CD4+and CD8+T Cells Correlate with Plasma Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV‐1) RNA Level in HIV‐1 Infection

The relationship between T cell activation and human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) replication was studied in HIV-infected subjects, 20 with and 10 without anti-HIV treatment. Expression of Ki-67 proliferation-associated antigen was increased in CD4+ and CD8+ T cells and correlated with HLA-DR. In subjects without anti-HIV treatment, the plasma HIV-1 RNA level correlated with HLA-DR in CD4+ T cells, with Ki-67 in CD8+ T cells, and with expression of CD38 in both T cell subsets. A proportion of treated subjects had increased T cell activation despite 4 months of highly active antiretroviral treatment (HAART). In subjects receiving HAART, a high percentage of HLA-DR+ CD4+ T cells was associated with signs of opportunistic infections. This work supports the concept that, in the natural course of HIV-1 infection, HIV replication itself leads to general T cell activation and that opportunistic infections generate additional CD4+ T cell activation and HIV replication.

Ultrasensitive reverse transcription-PCR assay for quantitation of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 RNA in plasma.

With the recent introduction of combination therapy, human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) RNA levels in plasma have been dramatically reduced, frequently to below the limit of quantitation (400 copies/ml of plasma) of the AMPLICOR HIV-1 MONITOR Test (Roche Diagnostic Systems). To achieve enhanced sensitivity of the AMPLICOR HIV-1 MONITOR Test, a modified specimen preparation procedure that allows input of RNA from 10-fold more plasma per amplification reaction was developed. This "ultrasensitive" method allows the accurate quantitation of plasma HIV-1 RNA levels as low as 50 copies/ml. A precision study yielded average within-run and between-run coefficients of variation (CV) of 24.8 and 9.6%, respectively. A multicenter reproducibility study demonstrated that the laboratory-to-laboratory reproducibility of this assay is good, with an average CV of 32%. The linear range of this test is between 50 and 50,000 copies/ml of plasma. RNA concentrations measured by the ultrasensitive and standard HIV-1 MONITOR tests exhibited good agreement within the shared linear range of the two methods. The two measurements were within a factor of 2 for 91% of the specimens tested, with the concentration measured by the ultrasensitive method being only slightly lower (median, 22% lower). Preliminary studies suggest that this assay will prove to be useful for predicting the stability of viral suppression in patients whose RNA levels drop below 400 copies/ml in response to highly active antiretroviral therapy.

Comparison of Once and Twice Daily Dosing of Didanosine in Combination with Stavudine for the Treatment of HIV-1 Infection

Objective To compare the antiviral activity, safety and tolerability of didanosine dosed once and twice daily when administered in combination with stavudine dosed twice daily in human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1)-infected individuals with little or no previous exposure to antiretroviral drugs. Design Comparative, multicentre, randomized, open-label, short-term study. Patients and Methods Eighty-four HIV-1-infected adults with qualifying baseline CD4 cell counts of 200 to 500 cells/mm3 were included in the study. Of these, 43 patients received once daily didanosine plus twice daily stavudine (group A) and 41 subjects received twice daily didanosine plus twice daily stavudine (group B). The primary efficacy analysis used was the time-averaged difference (TAD) between treatment regimens of variations in plasma HIV-1 RNA levels from baseline over the first 12 weeks of therapy. Plasma HIV-1 RNA levels, CD4 cell counts and adverse events were monitored. Results: At week 12, median HIV-1 RNA variations were –1.18 log10 copies/ml in group A and –0.88 log10 copies/ml in group B. For patients who were followed up to week 24, median variations of HIV-1 RNA levels from baseline were –1.21 log10 copies/ml in group A and –0.78 log10 copies/ml in group B. The TAD between the two treatment groups for variations from baseline plasma HIV-1 RNA levels over the first 12 weeks was 0.10 log10 copies/ml (95% confidence interval, –0.19 to 0.40), indicating equivalence. Conclusion Once daily didanosine plus twice daily stavudine and twice daily didanosine plus twice daily stavudine are equally effective in reducing plasma HIV-1 RNA levels and increasing CD4 cell counts. Both regimens are safe and well tolerated.

Human immunodeficiency virus type 1 RNA shedding in the female genital tract.

Cervical and plasma samples obtained twice, at 2-week intervals, from 49 human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1)-positive women were assayed for HIV-1 RNA. More than 100 copies of HIV-1 RNA were detected in cervical swab supernatants (CSS) from 24 (49%) of 49 women. HIV-1 RNA in CSS was detected in younger women with higher levels of plasma HIV-1 RNA (median, 31,984 vs. 2880 copies/mL; P = .0004), lower CD4 cell counts (median, 190 vs. 390 per mm3; P = .012), and lower CD4 cell percents (median, 16% vs. 25%; P = .03). In multiple logistic regression analysis, only plasma HIV-1 RNA was significantly associated with CSS HIV-1 RNA, with an odds ratio of 4.79/log10 increase in plasma HIV-1 RNA (95% confidence interval, 1.4-16; P = .01). Detection of HIV-1 RNA in cervical secretions is primarily associated with increased plasma HIV-1 RNA.

Cerebrospinal fluid human immunodeficiency virus type 1 RNA levels are elevated in neurocognitively impaired individuals with acquired immunodeficiency syndrome. HIV Neurobehavioral Research Center Group.

To determine whether cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) viral burden measurements can assist in the evaluation of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-associated neurocognitive disorders, we quantified HIV type 1 (HIV-1) RNA in CSF. Because previous findings suggested that disease stage, lymphocytic pleocytosis, and HIV-1 RNA levels in plasma may influence CSF viral burden, these variables were examined as potential modifying factors. HIV-1 RNA levels were quantified by using a reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction assay. Performance on a comprehensive neuropsychological (NP) battery was noted in 97 prospectively enrolled, HIV-infected subjects. Among subjects with acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) (<200 CD4+ lymphocytes), NP impairment was associated with significantly higher CSF RNA levels (3.1 vs 1.8 log10 copies/ml; p = 0.02); most impaired subjects met criteria for HIV-associated dementia or minor cognitive-motor disorder. In subjects without AIDS, CSF RNA and NP impairment were unrelated. Before AIDS, CSF RNA was strongly correlated to plasma RNA and to pleocytosis, but in AIDS, CSF and plasma RNA were independent. In conclusion, we found elevated CSF HIV-1 RNA levels in NP impaired subjects with AIDS. Before AIDS, systemic viral replication, possibly through CD4+ mononuclear cell trafficking, may govern virus levels in CSF, whereas in AIDS, CD4 cell depletion may unmask a correlation between increased productive central nervous system HIV infection and clinical neurocognitive disorders.

Serialin VivoPassage of HIV-1 Infection inMacaca nemestrina

In an earlier study we found that pigtailed macaques (Macaca nemestrina) that were experimentally infected with human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) initially became viremic and seroconverted, but HIV-1 replication diminished markedly over time. In an attempt to develop a longer term pathogenic model, blood from HIV-1-infected macaques was serially transfused into three groups of naive macaques. Transfer was successful through two transfusions as shown by repeated virus isolations and confirmed by the development of cell-free plasma viremia and by seroconversion. Three to five weeks after transfusion, plasma levels of HIV-1 RNA from several macaques in the first two groups exceeded those of the initially inoculated macaques. However, animals in the third group had diminished RNA levels, were virus culture negative, and did not seroconvert. Sequence analyses of env-region clones from infected animals revealed only minimal changes over the course of the passages. These results confirm HIV-1 replication inM. nemestrinaduring the acute phase of infection. However, adaptation of HIV-1 to a macaque-pathogenic variant did not occur during serial passage, possibly because the animals were able to restrict HIV-1 replication below a level required for a pathogenic variant to emerge. Whether such containment is a function of the host's immune response or a virus cell incompatibility remains to be determined.

Evolution of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 in perinatally infected infants with rapid and slow progression to disease.

We addressed the relationship between the origin and evolution of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) variants and disease outcome in perinatally infected infants by studying the V3 regions of viral variants in samples obtained from five transmitting mothers at delivery and obtained sequentially over the first year of life from their infected infants, two of whom (rapid progressors) rapidly progressed to having AIDS. Phylogenetic analyses disclosed that the V3 sequences from each mother-infant pair clustered together and were clearly distinct from those of the other pairs. Within each pair, the child's sequences formed a monophyletic group, indicating that a single variant initiated the infection in both rapid and slow progressors. Plasma HIV-1 RNA levels increased in all five infants during their first months of life and then declined within the first semester of life only in the three slow progressors. V3 variability increased over time in all infants, but no differences in the pattern of V3 evolution in terms of potential viral phenotype were observed. The numbers of synonymous and nonsynonymous substitutions varied during the first semester of life regardless of viral load, CD4+-cell count, and disease progression. Conversely, during the second semester of life the rate of nonsynonymous substitutions was higher than that of synonymous substitutions in the slow progressors but not in the rapid progressors, thus suggesting a stronger host selective pressure in the former. In view of the proposal that V3 genetic evolution is driven mainly by host immune constraints, these findings suggest that while the immune response to V3 might contribute to regulating viral levels after the first semester of life, it is unlikely to play a determinant role in the initial viral decline soon after birth.

Virologic and serologic markers of rapid progression to AIDS after HIV-1 seroconversion.

The association between early virologic and immunologic events after human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) infection and progression of HIV-1 infection to acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) was studied among 59 homosexual men with documented time of seroconversion. Epidemiologic factors, such as number of lifetime sexual partners, history of sexually transmitted diseases, and other factors, also were studied. All 17 seroconverters in the cohort who developed AIDS within 3 years (rapid progressors = RPs) were compared with 42 men without AIDS for at least 6 years seroconversion (nonrapid progressors = non-RPs). Plasma levels of HIV-1 RNA, p24 antigen, antibodies to HIV-1 structural genes, beta-2 microglobulin, neopterin, and interferon-alpha were measured at four time points: (a) the last seronegative visit, (b) the first seropositive visit, (c) the visit closest to AIDS (or the corresponding visit for the non-RPs) and (d) 6 years after seroconversion (for non-RPs). Up to seroconversion, the RPs had a significantly higher number of lifetime sexual partners than non-RPs (503 versus 171, respectively). At the first seropositive visit, RPs had significantly higher concentrations of plasma HIV-1 RNA (p < 0.01) and prevalence of p24 antigenemia (p < 0.001) and significantly lower levels of antibodies to the HIV-1 gag proteins p17 and p24 (p < 0.01-0.001) compared with non-RPs. These differences increased during follow-up visits. Antibodies to p66 and gp120 were significantly different only at the visit closet to AIDS (p < 0.001), as were beta-2 microglobulin and interferon alpha. These findings suggest that early virologic-immunologic events after HIV-1 infection may determine the rate of progression to AIDS. Anti-gag immune response may prevent rapid progression of HIV-1 disease and should be considered for future vaccine studies.

Human immunodeficiency virus type 1 activation after blood transfusion.

Anemia and transfusion are predictors of disease progression in AIDS patients. This study was designed to examine the effects of blood transfusion on human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) expression. Assays of plasma viral load were performed before and after transfusion in nine HIV-1-infected patients who required blood transfusion for refractory anemia. There was a modest rise in plasma HIV-1 p24 antigen and plasma HIV-1 RNA beginning 1 to 2 weeks after the blood transfusion. The mean change in plasma p24 antigen for all patients was 9.3 +/- 5.1 (mean +/- SE) pg per mL at Week 2 after transfusion and 18 +/- 11.1 pg per mL at Week 4. Plasma HIV-1 RNA levels were unchanged immediately after transfusion and exceeded pretransfusion levels with a mean rise of 84 +/- 40 percent (SE) at Week 1, 70 +/- 27 percent at Week 2, and 67 +/- 38 percent at Week 4 (p = 0.006, exact permutation test). There was no increase in spontaneous or interleukin 2-induced lymphocyte proliferation or p24 antigen production by patients' lymphocytes that were examined immediately after blood transfusion. The transfusion of blood to persons with advanced HIV-1 infection modestly increases plasma levels of HIV-1. The activation of HIV-1 expression by transfusion may help to explain the accelerated course of HIV-1 disease in recipients of blood transfusion.

Identification of Levels of Maternal HIV-1 RNA Associated With Risk of Perinatal Transmission

To determine if there are levels of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) associated with a high or low risk of perinatal transmission and to ascertain the mechanism by which zidovudine treatment reduces perinatal transmission. A nonrandomized prospective cohort study. University medical center and two general hospital affiliates from May 1989 to September 1994. Ninety-two HIV-1-seropositive women (95 pregnancies) and their 97 infants. Forty-two mothers (43 pregnancies) received zidovudine therapy during pregnancy and/or during labor and delivery. Eleven infants received prophylactic zidovudine for the first 6 weeks after delivery. HIV-1 infection status of the infant. Twenty of the 97 infants were perinatally infected with HIV-1. Transmitting mothers were more likely to have plasma HIV-1 RNA levels higher than 50000 copies per milliliter at delivery than nontransmitting mothers (15 [75.0%] of 20 transmitters vs four [5.3%] of 75 nontransmitters; P < .001). None of the 63 women with less than 20000 HIV-1 RNA copies per milliliter transmitted. Twenty-two women treated with open-label oral zidovudine during gestation showed an eightfold median decrease in plasma RNA levels (median [25th and 75th percentile], 43043 [5699 and 63053] copies per milliliter before zidovudine vs 4238 [603 and 5116] HIV-1 RNA copies per milliliter at delivery; P < .001) and none transmitted. Four zidovudine-treated women with high HIV-1 levels transmitted despite the presence of zidovudine-sensitive virus in vitro in both the mothers and their infants. Maternal HIV-1 RNA levels were highly predictive of perinatal transmission risk and suggest that certain levels of virus late in gestation and/or during labor and delivery are associated with both a high risk and a low risk of transmission. Our results also suggest that zidovudine exerts a major protective effect by reducing maternal HIV-1 RNA levels prior to delivery and that further strategies are needed to prevent perinatal transmission in women with high or increasing virus levels and/or zidovudine-resistant virus.

Changes in Plasma HIV-1 RNA and CD4+ Lymphocyte Counts and the Risk of Progression to AIDS

Clinical trials of antiretroviral drugs can take years to complete because the outcomes measured are progression to the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) or death. Trials could be accelerated by the use of end points such as changes in CD4+ lymphocyte counts and plasma levels of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) RNA and beta 2-microglobulin, but there is uncertainty about whether these surrogate measures are valid predictors of disease progression. We analyzed data from the Veterans Affairs Cooperative Study on AIDS, which compared immediate with deferred zidovudine therapy. Patients' plasma levels of HIV-1 RNA and beta 2-microglobulin were measured in stored plasma. Among the 129 patients in the immediate-treatment group, 34 had disease that progressed to AIDS, as compared with 57 of the 141 patients in the deferred-treatment group (P = 0.03). Progression to AIDS correlated strongly with base-line CD4+ lymphocyte counts (P = 0.001) and plasma levels of HIV-1 RNA (P < 0.001), but not with base-line levels of beta 2-microglobulin (P = 0.14). A decrease of at least 75 percent in the plasma level of HIV-1 RNA over the first six months of zidovudine therapy accounted for 59 percent of the benefit of treatment, defined as the absence of progression to AIDS (95 percent confidence interval, 13 to 112 percent). Plasma beta 2-microglobulin levels and CD4+ lymphocyte counts explained less of the effect of treatment. A 75 percent decrease in the plasma HIV-1 RNA level plus a 10 percent increase in the CD4+ lymphocyte count could explain 79 percent of the treatment effect (95 percent confidence interval, 27 to 145 percent). Treatment-induced changes in the plasma HIV-1 RNA level and the CD4+ lymphocyte count, taken together, are valid predictors of the clinical progression of HIV-related disease and can be used to assess the efficacy of zidovudine and possibly other antiretroviral drugs as well.

A simplified method for quantitation of human immunodeficiency virus type l (HIV1) RNA in plasma: clinical correlates

Human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV1) RNA was quantitated in the plasma of HIV1-seropositive patients using a simplified guanidinium-based extraction technique, reverse transcriptase (RT) and the polymerase chain reaction (PCR). Plasma samples were obtained from 15 HIV1-seronegative individuals and 38 HIV1-seropositive patients. Following the extraction of RNA from plasma using "RNAzol", HIV1 RNA was reverse-transcribed using random hexamers, amplified by PCR and then detected by solution oligonucleotide hybridization. Of the 15 HIV1-seronegative individuals, 14 were negative for HIV1 RNA by RT-PCR. One high-risk patient who was HTLV-I-seropositive but HIV1-seronegative was found to be positive for HIV1 RNA by RT-PCR. All 38 HIV1-seropositive patients were positive for HIV1 RNA by this technique. The HIV1 RNA levels in plasma varied from 800 to 500,000 copies/ml. Patients with advanced clinical disease tended to have HIV1 RNA levels above 25,000 copies/ml. In patients studied serially, an increase in plasma HIV1 RNA correlated with a progressive decline in CD4+ T cells and a deteriorating clinical course. The simplified quantitative RT-PCR assay for HIV1 RNA provides a useful tool for the evaluation and management of HIV disease.