History Research Articles

The Printer as Author in Early Modern English Book History: John Day and the Fabrication of a Protestant Memory Art by William E. Engel (review)

The Printer as Author in Early Modern English Book History: John Day and the Fabrication of a Protestant Memory Art by William E. Engel (review)

ПРЕИМУЩЕСТВА И НЕДОСТАТКИ УЧЕБНО-МЕТОДИЧЕСКОГО КОМПЛЕКСА ПО ВСЕОБЩЕЙ ИСТОРИИ НА УРОВНЕ ОСНОВНОГО ОБЩЕГО ОБРАЗОВАНИЯ

The article is devoted to the analysis of the educational and methodological complex (EMC) of general history using the example of the textbooks subject line edited by A. A. Vigasin and A. Ya. Yudovskaya. The relevance of the article lies in the fact that in light of the upcoming transition of basic general education to a unified state textbook, it is necessary to analyze the educational and methodological complex on general history and demonstrate its strengths and weaknesses. The purpose of the work is to consider the advantages that the developers of the new manual should take into account, as well as the disadvantages of this educational complex, which should be avoided when compiling a textbook. In the course of the analysis, the authors of the article came to the conclusion that the advantages of teaching materials prevail over the disadvantages, but do not exclude them.

Climate Change Effects and Stock Market Returns

To capture climate change risk at the business level, use records of performance briefings from different enterprises. This examination discovers that chances of worst climate change, the negative impact of business environment risk on market stock returns. Study also conducts a broad assessment of the empirical and theoretical literature on the influence of climate change related risks on financial market. The main aim of this analysis is to enhance our knowledge of the estimation significances of climate change risk in financial markets. It is initiated by discussing the theoretical connections between market asset pricing and climate change related risks, and then propose a hypothesis of how climate change risk drivers convey costs to enterprises and cause stock returns variations. It studies the historical climate change related events, which indicate that both climate physical effects and transition dynamics can cause a stock return volatility. Finally, the results imply that disclosures of climate change related information can support the stock market in more efficiently as pricing climate risk.

Forecasting spare part extractions from returned systems in a closed-loop supply chain

In a closed-loop supply chain, the reuse of spare parts from returned systems is a recovery process referred to as spare parts harvesting. The unpredictability of the parts supply capacity from returned systems is a challenge in healthcare industry as product returns depend on several factors and regulatory and legal requirements must be respected. The focus of this paper is to provide a forecasting method of harvested parts supply capacity in healthcare industry that combines statistical methods with field information and business knowledge to provide an informed forecast. We propose a dynamic forecasting process that gets updated monthly employing TSB-Croston, 12-month moving average, ARIMA, ARIMA with seasonality, and a new business knowledge based model. A prediction method of the inventory state changes is introduced. The forecasters judgment is transformed into validation rules for an automatic forecast adjustment. This method is evaluated on more than 1400 time series with intermittent behaviour representing General Electric Healthcare spare parts harvesting history. We evaluate the performance of our method compared to each tested model using a modified MAPE, MAE, MSE, and RMSE. By means of the designed method, the forecast performance is improved compared to all tested models.

배경설화 본 <구지가>와 <해가>의 선후관계 해명

This study starts from the question of the sequential relationship between the two songs, based on the relationship between “Gujiga” and “Haega” shown in the tale of King Suro of Gaya in “Garakgukgi” and Lady Suro of Silla in “Surobuinjo” recorded in “Samgukyusa”. To state the conclusion in advance, I would like to reveal that “Haega” is more ancient than “Gujiga”. It is said that “Haega” was sung during the reign of King Seongdeok of Silla, so the temporal distance from“Gujiga” to “Haega” is a whopping 700 years. The main focus is to understand what changes have occurred in the process of transmission of the two songs. The foundation is found in the methodology of historical folklore. The purpose is to find meaning by comparing the changes in folklore 700 years ago and 700 years later. In this article, we attempted to explain the sequential relationship between “Gujiga” and “Haega” based on folkloristic evidence related to the historical change process of the “Gimhae” region, which is the regional background of “Garakgukgi”, and the ancient marriage ritual and Ritual for wishing for a child. Based on the findings of the research, it can be asserted that “Haega”, originating from the belief in the marine realm, predates “Gujiga” which amalgamates beliefs in the sea and the subsequent celestial domain.

Estimation of historical daily PM2.5 concentrations for three Chinese megacities: Insight into the socioeconomic factors affecting PM2.5

Studying historical changes in the 2.5 μm particulate matter concentration (PM2.5) can clarify the relationship between air pollution and socioeconomic development. Daily PM2.5 levels and meteorological data (2012–2022) for three large cities (Beijing, Shanghai, and Xi'an) at different development stages in different regions of China were used to construct a random forest (RF) model for estimating historical PM2.5 data for the period 1973–2011, a time period in which few measurements were made. The eigenvalue for visibility was the largest in the RF model; visibility explained 0.76–0.87 of the variance in PM2.5 for the three cities. The daily estimated PM2.5 was validated, with an R2 of 0.654–0.780 and average absolute error of 11.52–31.73 μg m−3 in the model. PM2.5 concentrations predicted by the RF model for 2004–2011 were highly correlated with gravimetric measurements (R = 0.585, p < 0.01). We extensively validated the results of RF using manual weighing PM2.5 data, online monitoring concentration of PM10, and aerosol optical depth (AOD), demonstrating the accuracy of the model. Over the study period, the PM2.5 level first increased and then decreased in the three cities; however, the year at which the trend changed differed. We further explored the effects of urbanization and economic growth on PM2.5 levels by investigating the correlations between socioeconomic indicators and PM2.5. The magnitude of the permanent population of Beijing and gross regional production growth in Shanghai were both significantly positively correlated with the PM2.5 level. Increasing the size of urban green areas can reduce PM2.5; this effect was strongest for the southern city of Shanghai, may due to their different climates and green tree species. Energy consumption and emissions from primary industries were strongly positively correlated with the urban PM2.5 level. An in-depth understanding of the factors affecting PM2.5 concentrations could help policymakers improve air quality management strategies, especially for densely populated megacities.

Arctic sea ice-air interactions weaken El Niño-Southern Oscillation.

El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) over the tropical Pacific can affect Arctic climate, but whether it can be influenced by the Arctic is unclear. Using model simulations, we show that Arctic sea ice-air interactions weaken ENSO by about 12 to 17%. The northern North Pacific Ocean warms due to increased absorption of solar radiation under such interactions. The warming excites an anomalous tropospheric Rossby wave propagating equatorward into the tropical Pacific to strengthen cross-equator winds and deepen the thermocline. These mean changes dampen ENSO amplitude via weakened thermocline and zonal advective feedbacks. Observed historical changes from 1921-1960 (with strong sea ice-air interactions) to 1971-2000 (with weak interactions) are qualitatively consistent with the model results. Our findings suggest that Arctic sea ice-air interactions affect both the mean state and variability in the tropical Pacific, and imply increased ENSO amplitude as Arctic sea ice and its interactions with the atmosphere diminish under anthropogenic warming.

The Influence of Chinese Contemporary Cultural Environment on Printmaking Expression

With the development of the economy and society, social and material life has greatly enriched, and people’s spiritual and cultural needs are also growing. As a form of expression of traditional culture, printmaking has undergone historical changes, integrated into the current connotation of the times, and reflected different artistic characteristics. In this diversified environment, Chinese printmaking artists have been impacted, and digital technology and modern printing technology have also promoted the transformation of printmaking art. Based on this, this paper analyzes and studies the influence of the Chinese contemporary cultural environment on the expression form of printmaking, examines the impact of global integration on the development of printmaking, explores the fusion of publishing painting techniques and contemporary culture, and analyzes the changes in printmaking formal language under the contemporary cultural environment for reference.

Tourism Investment and Land Use Change in the Northern Piedmont of the Western High Atlas (1989-2022)

This study aimed to investigate the profound influence of tourism investment on the Northern Piedmont of the western High Atlas over 34 years in response to the escalating global trend of tourism-driven land-use changes, particularly in the Marrakesh region. In this context, the driving forces behind the significant transformation of agricultural land and bare soils into tourism-driven investments were evaluated as well as the critical role of accessibility in shaping spatial shifts. The method used high-resolution (10 m) satellite images from Spot 1 (1989), Spot 5 (2003 &amp; 2010), and Sentinel 2 (2022) through remote sensing methods to investigate the historical land-use changes over 34 years. The results showed significant transformations in land-use based on the correlation between improved transportation infrastructure and the growth of tourism ventures, underscoring the role of roads and facilities as catalysts. The analysis suggested the need for reflection on the consequences of unregulated tourism growth, aiming to balance economic benefits with environmental and socio-cultural challenges in sensitive regions. Although tourism significantly contributed to economic development and employment opportunities, it also posed risks when not managed prudently. This underscored the need to strike a harmonious equilibrium between economic prosperity as well as preserving the unique natural beauty and cultural heritage of the region. The insights provided in this analysis had broader implications for responsible planning and management of tourism development in sensitive ecological and cultural regions. In conclusion, a thoughtful and sustainable approach was needed to safeguard the delicate balance between economic prosperity and environmental preservation.

Exploring the effects of habitat management on grassland biodiversity: A case study from northern Serbia.

Grasslands represent a biodiversity hotspot in the European agricultural landscape, their restoration is necessary and offers a great opportunity to mitigate or halt harmful processes. These measures require a comprehensive knowledge of historical landscape changes, but also adequate management strategies. The required data was gathered from the sand grasslands of northern Serbia, as this habitat is of high conservation priority. This area also has a long history of different habitat management approaches (grazing and mowing versus unmanaged), which has been documented over of the last two decades. This dataset enabled us to quantify the effects of different measures across multiple taxa (plants, insect pollinators, and birds). We linked the gathered data on plants, pollinators, and birds with habitat management measures. Our results show that, at the taxon level, the adopted management strategies were beneficial for species richness, abundance, and composition, as the highest diversity of plant, insect pollinator, and bird species was found in managed areas. Thus, an innovative modelling approach was adopted in this work to identify and explain the effects of management practices on changes in habitat communities. The findings yielded can be used in the decision making as well as development of new management programmes. We thus posit that, when restoring and establishing particular communities, priority needs to be given to species with a broad ecological response. We recommend using the decision tree as a suitable machine learning model for this purpose.

Local Inter-Governmental Cooperation in Regional Innovation in China: Historical Evolution and Logic of Change

Under the innovation-driven development strategy, inter-governmental cooperation in regional innovation has proliferated, but the historical change logic of local government participation in innovation cooperation has not been explained yet. Based on the theoretical paradigm of historical institutionalism, this paper attempts to construct a "structure-history-action" analytical framework for local government participation in innovation cooperation. Based on the theoretical paradigm of historical institutionalism, this paper attempts to construct a "structure-history-action" analytical framework for inter-governmental cooperation in regional innovation. In the course of more than forty years of change, inter-governmental cooperation in regional innovation in China can be divided into four stages. In the course of more than forty years of change, inter-governmental cooperation in regional innovation in China can be divided into four stages. Firstly, it has been driven by structural conditions in macro-institutional change; secondly, 'path dependence' Firstly, it has been driven by structural conditions in macro-institutional change; secondly, 'path dependence' caused by political and cultural genes, administrative institutional traditions and the 'key nodes' that drive change. Finally, the perceptions and interests of local governments, as micro-actors, have profoundly shaped the direction of change. On this basis, the development path of inter- governmental cooperation in regional innovation is proposed: strengthening the top-level design of innovation cooperation and optimizing.

Politization of Islam in Modern Iran: Autopoiesis of Shiite Tradition?

The article examines the development of politicized Shiite Islam in Iran as a type of autopoiesis (N. Luhmann) of this religious tradition. The topic arises from the actualization of the influence of religion on the life of a number of societies that have relied on technological modernization, as well as the importance that the topic of the optimal combination of modernization and traditional values is acquiring today. The purpose of the study is, based on an analysis of the activities of the Shiite clergy, to characterize the uniqueness of the revaluation of the values of Iranian society in the course of the development of modern philosophy and ideology of Shiism. The objectives of the study were: 1) to systematize the existing scientific approaches to the process of politicization of Shiism in the second half of the 20th – early 21st centuries; 2) consider the connection between political processes and the specific theology of Shiism; 3) reveal the dynamics of the relationship between the values of tradition and modernization in the teachings of Shiite religious figures; 4) clarify the specificities of the stages of influence of Imami Islam on the religious and political life of modern Iran. The research was based on theological and scientific writings of Islamic spiritual leaders, their opponents and followers. The key method used was historical-genetic, which made it possible to analyze the formation of Shiism in Iran in the historical and cultural context; and comparative, with the help of which the specifics of the various stages of the autopoietic formation of Iranian Shiism against the background of other denominations of Shiism and Islam in general were clarified. It has been proven that consideration of the path of development of the philosophical and ideological aspects of Shiism theology from the perspective of N. Luhmann's theory makes it possible to trace not only the external, but also the autochthonous foundations of the complex reverses of this religious model of self-awareness of society; as well as identify and characterize the functional specificity and dynamic characteristics of the process of politicization of Shiism in Iran. In modern Iran, theology influences the consciousness of believers, and, as a consequence, social and political processes, and not vice versa, as is commonly believed in relation to modern societies. The role of Imami Islam (Shiites) in the formation of values and behavioral attitudes during the actual structuring of relations in society turns out to be key for Iran. At the same time, however, this theology contains the potential for historical change: the very theological system changes, starting from its own concepts and transforming them. This constructivist approach turns out to be compatible with the emphasis on traditionalism. The logical possibility of such collaboration in building a new type of society is justified within the framework of the development of the theory of legal guardianship.

The Aesthetics of Truth and Ecology: The World of Realistic Television Dramas

In the continuous dream-building process of China, the public has a broader interpretation of the concept ofhome and family wrapped around their daily lives. Family in their daily lives carries the love and care among individuals under the social attributes, while the unity of the country gives the public a firm foundation for life under the undertones of the growing scientific construction. Throughout the past two years, popular Chinese TV dramas, such as Age of Awakening, Ren Shi Jian, and Mountains and the Sea, have revealed the transformation in China’s development under the common terminology of multi-dimensional performance, which embodied the country and family under the great historical changes and reform of the country. This paper takes human behavior as the main perspective and expands the research on the common construction of family and nation based on aesthetics. Real aesthetics advocate through the real-life encounters of ordinary people to reflect contemporary social phenomena. This can stimulate social identity in audiences with the constructed ecology aesthetics by the community.

Nitrogen and phosphorus trends in lake sediments of China may diverge

The brief history of monitoring nutrient levels in Chinese lake waters limits our understanding of the causes and the long-term trends of their eutrophication and constrains effective lake management. We therefore synthesize nutrient data from lakes in China to reveal the historical changes and project their future trends to 2100 using models. Here we show that the average concentrations of nitrogen and phosphorus in lake sediments have increased by 267% and 202%, respectively since 1850. In the model projections, 2030–2100, the nitrogen concentrations in the studied lakes in China may decrease, for example, by 87% in the southern districts and by 19% in the northern districts. However, the phosphorus concentrations will continue to increase by an average of 25% in the Eastern Plain, Yunnan–Guizhou Plateau, and Xinjiang. Based on this differentiation, we suggest that nitrogen and phosphorus management in Chinese lakes should be carried out at the district level to help develop rational and sustainable environmental management strategies.

Pardo Soldiers’ Historical Claims in Late Eighteenth-Century Cuba

Abstract José Maldonado and Manuel José Castellanos were two Cuban pardo veterans who, in search of military status, rank, and salary, petitioned the court, making arguments that would prove subversive to the racial order. As Maldonado justified his entitlement to rank and Castellanos his to rank or salary, they recovered family narratives dating from when pardo and moreno commandants had enjoyed real power. Under the guise of symbolic recognition, new regulations greatly reduced black militias’ autonomy. These militiamen acted as de facto historians, legal interpreters, and activists during times of institutional and historical change. While they did succeed in recording their families’ past, their petitions for rank and salary were denied.

Integration Methods and Advantages of Machine Learning with Cloud Data Warehouses

A data warehouse is a subject-oriented, integrated, relatively stable collection of data that reflects historical changes and is used to support management decisions. Common tools for building a data warehouse are IBM Cognos and SAP BO. However, both of the above use centralized single-node mode to build data warehouses. This type of data warehouse has poor scalability, and due to the rapid increase in the scale of the Internet, traditional data warehouses can no longer meet the actual needs of use. This paper mainly introduces the integration of cloud data warehouse and machine learning as well as the importance and application of parallel integration methods. First, the paper describes how the combination of cloud data warehousing and machine learning can promote business innovation and increase output. It then discusses the challenges of managing machine learning models in production environments, and introduces the role of cloud data warehouses in addressing these challenges. Subsequently, the cloud computing integration of Snowflake, as well as the implementation steps and processes of the parallel integration approach are also introduced in detail. Finally, the results of parallel integration method are analyzed, and it is considered that it has a good application prospect and development potential in cloud data warehouse.

Long-term trends and response of wet ammonia deposition to changes in anthropogenic emissions in the Pearl River delta of China

The Pearl River Delta (PRD) region has been identified as a significant hotspot of wet ammonium deposition. However, the absence of long-term monitoring data in the area hinders the comprehension of the historical trends and changes in wet NH4+-N deposition in response to emissions, which interferes with the ability to make effective decisions. This study has analyzed the long-term trends of wet NH4+-N deposition flux and has quantified the effect of anthropogenic emissions and meteorological factors at a typical urban site and a typical forest site in the PRD region from 2009 to 2020. It revealed a significant decreasing trend in wet NH4+-N flux in both the typical urban and forest areas of the PRD region, at -6.2%/year (p < 0.001) and -3.3%/year (p < 0.001), respectively. Anthropogenic emissions are thought to have contributed 47–57% of the wet NH4+-N deposition trend over the past 12 years compared to meteorological factors. Meteorological conditions dominated the inter-annual fluctuations in wet NH4+-N deposition with an absolute contribution of 46%–52%, while anthropogenic emissions change alone explained 10%–31%. NH3 emissions have the greatest impact on the urban area among anthropogenic emission factors, while SO2 emissions have the greatest impact on the forest area. Additionally, precipitation was identified as the primary meteorological driver for both sites. Our findings also imply that the benefits of NH3 emissions reductions might not immediately emerge due to interference from weather-related factors.

Decreased river runoff on the Mongolian Plateau since around 2000

ContextMongolian Plateau is one of the largest contingent arid and semi-arid regions of the world. Rivers on the plateau provide vital water for millions of indigenous Mongolian people and numerous endangered wildlife, but are increasingly disturbed by climate change and human activities. Yet, long-term changes in river runoff across the plateau remain poorly studied due to data unavailability.ObjectivesThis study aimed to analyze the temporal trends in gauged river runoff on the Mongolian Plateau, identify drivers of the observed changes, and evaluate CMIP6 models' performance in simulating historical runoff changes across the plateau.MethodsWe compiled possibly the largest database of long-term (20 - 71 years) river runoff for the plateau comprising measurements over 30 major rivers. Statistical analyses were conducted to assess trends in river runoff and correlations between runoff and climatic variables. Additionally, we applied the Budyko curve framework to identify the influence of human activities on river runoff in specific basins. Furthermore, we compared ground-measured runoff data with simulations from CMIP6 models to evaluate the ability of CMIP6 models to replicate runoff dynamics in typical arid and semi-arid regions.ResultsWe observed pervasive and abrupt reduction in runoff in 21 out of the 30 rivers within 5 years before or after the year of 2000. Variations in river runoff were most significantly caused by changes in total precipitation (TP). In particular, 27 rivers experienced abrupt TP changes around 2000, and there was a significant positive correlation between annual fluctuations in TP and river runoff for 18 rivers. In addition to climate factors, the influence of human activities was identified in certain basins. The CMIP6 simulations failed to capture the abrupt changes in runoff occurred pervasively across the plateau around 2000.ConclusionsAround 2000, major rivers on the Mongolian Plateau, especially in Inner Mongolia, experienced runoff declines, primarily due to TP changes. Human activities like dam construction and water diversion further influenced local runoff. CMIP6 historical runoff simulations were inaccurate across the plateau, highlighting the difficulty of simulating river runoff in this critical region. Our study could contribute to a more comprehensive understanding of the water resource changes on the Mongolian Plateau, with direct implications for enhancing ecological conservation and management practice.

Bibliophile, Bibliologist, Researcher of the Book Art (on the 60th Anniversary of Mikhail Vadimovich Seslavinsky)

The article is devoted to scientific, exhibition and collecting activities of Mikhail Vadimovich Seslavinsky, candidate of historical sciences, full member of the Russian Academy of Arts, leader of the modern Russian bibliophile community, Chairman of the Council of the National Union of Bibliophiles. His scientific and popular science works in the field of book history, bibliography, art of the book, history and modern state of Russian bibliophilia are analyzed (in total — more than 40 book publications, including major monographic works, about 300 articles, reports, notes, publications of documents, as well as interviews with figures of the book and bibliophile world). The scholar has made a significant contribution to the study of the history of bookbinding, Russian children’s books, the work of Russian artists-emigrants in France, the book heritage of poets and artists of the Silver Age (O.E. Mandelstam, M.I. Tsvetaeva, A.A. Akhmatova, A.N. Benois) and many other topics. He also proposed original approaches to the definition of book rarities that came out from under the printing press in the twentieth century.Large-scale exhibition projects prepared on the basis of his personal bibliophile collection were considered. The role of M.V. Seslavinsky as the creator and head of the National Union of Bibliophiles, chairman of the editorial board of the journal “About Books” was noted.

Bibliophile, Bibliologist, Researcher of the Book Art (on the 60th Anniversary of Mikhail Vadimovich Seslavinsky)

The article is devoted to scientific, exhibition and collecting activities of Mikhail Vadimovich Seslavinsky, candidate of historical sciences, full member of the Russian Academy of Arts, leader of the modern Russian bibliophile community, Chairman of the Council of the National Union of Bibliophiles. His scientific and popular science works in the field of book history, bibliography, art of the book, history and modern state of Russian bibliophilia are analyzed (in total — more than 40 book publications, including major monographic works, about 300 articles, reports, notes, publications of documents, as well as interviews with figures of the book and bibliophile world). The scholar has made a significant contribution to the study of the history of bookbinding, Russian children’s books, the work of Russian artists-emigrants in France, the book heritage of poets and artists of the Silver Age (O.E. Mandelstam, M.I. Tsvetaeva, A.A. Akhmatova, A.N. Benois) and many other topics. He also proposed original approaches to the definition of book rarities that came out from under the printing press in the twentieth century.Large-scale exhibition projects prepared on the basis of his personal bibliophile collection were considered. The role of M.V. Seslavinsky as the creator and head of the National Union of Bibliophiles, chairman of the editorial board of the journal “About Books” was noted.