Long-term trends and response of wet ammonia deposition to changes in anthropogenic emissions in the Pearl River delta of China

Abstract

The Pearl River Delta (PRD) region has been identified as a significant hotspot of wet ammonium deposition. However, the absence of long-term monitoring data in the area hinders the comprehension of the historical trends and changes in wet NH4+-N deposition in response to emissions, which interferes with the ability to make effective decisions. This study has analyzed the long-term trends of wet NH4+-N deposition flux and has quantified the effect of anthropogenic emissions and meteorological factors at a typical urban site and a typical forest site in the PRD region from 2009 to 2020. It revealed a significant decreasing trend in wet NH4+-N flux in both the typical urban and forest areas of the PRD region, at -6.2%/year (p < 0.001) and -3.3%/year (p < 0.001), respectively. Anthropogenic emissions are thought to have contributed 47–57% of the wet NH4+-N deposition trend over the past 12 years compared to meteorological factors. Meteorological conditions dominated the inter-annual fluctuations in wet NH4+-N deposition with an absolute contribution of 46%–52%, while anthropogenic emissions change alone explained 10%–31%. NH3 emissions have the greatest impact on the urban area among anthropogenic emission factors, while SO2 emissions have the greatest impact on the forest area. Additionally, precipitation was identified as the primary meteorological driver for both sites. Our findings also imply that the benefits of NH3 emissions reductions might not immediately emerge due to interference from weather-related factors.