History Of Exacerbations Research Articles

Predicting COPD exacerbations based on quantitative CT analysis: an external validation study.

Quantitative computed tomography (CT) analysis is an important method for diagnosis and severity evaluation of lung diseases. However, the association between CT-derived biomarkers and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbations remains unclear. We aimed to investigate its potential in predicting COPD exacerbations. Patients with COPD were consecutively enrolled, and their data were analyzed in this retrospective study. Body composition and thoracic abnormalities were analyzed from chest CT scans. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent risk factors of exacerbation. Based on 2-year follow-up data, the deep learning system (DLS) was developed to predict future exacerbations. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was conducted to assess the diagnostic performance. Finally, the survival analysis was performed to further evaluate the potential of the DLS in risk stratification. A total of 1,150 eligible patients were included and followed up for 2 years. Multivariate analysis revealed that CT-derived high affected lung volume/total lung capacity (ALV/TLC) ratio, high visceral adipose tissue area (VAT), and low pectoralis muscle cross-sectional area (CSA) were independent risk factors causing COPD exacerbations. The DLS outperformed exacerbation history and the BMI, airflow obstruction, dyspnea, and exercise capacity (BODE) index, with an area under the ROC (AUC) value of 0.88 (95%CI, 0.82-0.92) in the internal cohort and 0.86 (95%CI, 0.81-0.89) in the external cohort. The DeLong test revealed significance between this system and conventional scores in the test cohorts (p < 0.05). In the survival analysis, patients with higher risk were susceptible to exacerbation events. The DLS could allow accurate prediction of COPD exacerbations. The newly identified CT biomarkers (ALV/TLC ratio, VAT, and pectoralis muscle CSA) could potentially enable investigation into underlying mechanisms responsible for exacerbations.

Exacerbation-like events in the 12 months prior to identification of chronic respiratory conditions in a primary care population

Initial chronic obstructive lung disease (COPD) pharmacotherapy is based on symptom burden and exacerbation history. Inclusion of inhaled cortico-steroids (ICS) is recommended only for those with a history of exacerbations. This brief report highlights that among individuals with previously unrecognized COPD about 1 in 5 have one or more exacerbation-like events and about 1 in 10 have two or more events in the prior 12 months whether or not they self-report concomitant asthma. Closer attention to prior exacerbation-like event history might lead to more guideline concordant care.In addition, there are two other groups that have impaired but non-obstructive spirometry, some with significant respiratory symptom burden who have frequencies of exacerbation-like events similar to those meeting COPD spirometry criteria. To date we have little guidance for treatment of these individuals.

The role of anti-IgE therapy in achieving remission of bronchial asthma

Bronchial asthma is one of the most common respiratory diseases, and follows a severe clinical course in 10% of patients. 70–80% of patients with severe asthma have signs of type 2 (T2) inflammation, which is clinically defined as an increase in blood and airways eosinophil counts. The emergence of genetically engineered biological drugs has made it possible to review the purpose of asthma therapy, that is, achieving remission instead of disease control, which includes managing the symptoms, absence of exacerbations, stabilization of functional parameters and normalization of biomarkers in the absence of therapy with systemic glucocorticoids. Clinical studies have shown that therapy with genetically engineered biological drugs can reduce the frequency of asthma exacerbations, decrease the need for maintenance therapy with systemic glucocorticoids, relieve symptoms, improve quality of life, which results in achieving a disease remission in 19.6–31.6% of patients. Predictors of suboptimal response to biological therapy were a high body mass index, admission to the intensive care unit and a history of severe asthma exacerbations, as well as initially more severe clinical manifestations of the disease. The most pronounced effect of omalizumab therapy was observed in patients with atopic severe asthma showing symptoms and exacerbations that are clinically associated with allergic sensitization confirmed by positive results of skin prick testing and (or) identification of serological allergen-specific IgE, elevated levels of T2 biomarkers. This publication presents the latest data on asthma remission: the concept, basic criteria, as well as the role of genetically engineered biological drugs in achieving a remission.

The long-term clinical and economic benefits of treating advanced COPD patients with single-inhaler triple therapy in Quebec, Canada – The IMPACT trial

BackgroundThis cost-utility analysis assessed the long-term clinical and economic benefits of fluticasone furoate/umeclidinium/vilanterol (FF/UMEC/VI) triple therapy vs FF/VI or UMEC/VI from a Quebec societal perspective in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) with ≥1 moderate/severe exacerbation in the previous year. MethodsThe validated GALAXY disease progression model was utilized, with parameters set to baseline and efficacy data from IMPACT. Treatment costs (2017 Canadian dollars [C$]) were estimated using Quebec-specific unit costs. Costs and health outcomes were discounted at 1.5 %/year. A willingness-to-pay threshold of C$50,000/quality-adjusted life year (QALY) was considered cost-effective. Outcomes modeled were exacerbation rates, QALYs, life years (LYs), costs and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). Subgroup analyses were performed according to prior treatment, exacerbation history in the previous year, and baseline lung function. ResultsOver a lifetime horizon, FF/UMEC/VI resulted in more QALYs and LYs gained, at a small incremental cost compared with FF/VI and UMEC/VI. From a societal perspective, the estimated ICER for the base case was C$18,152/QALY vs FF/VI, and C$15,847/QALY vs UMEC/VI. For the subgroup analyses (FF/UMEC/VI compared with FF/VI and UMEC/VI), ICERs ranged from: C$17,412–25,664/QALY and C$16,493–18,663/QALY (prior treatment); C$15,247–19,924/QALY and C$15,444–28,859/QALY (exacerbation history); C$14,025–34,154/QALY and C$16,083–17,509/QALY (baseline lung function). InterpretationFF/UMEC/VI was predicted to improve outcomes and be cost-effective vs both comparators in the base case and all subgroup analyses, and based on this analysis would be an appropriate investment of health service funds in Quebec. Clinical trial registration numberIMPACT trial NCT02164513.

Influenza and pneumococcal vaccination in patients with COPD from 3 French cohorts: Insufficient coverage and associated factors

BackgroundLow vaccination rates against influenza and Streptococcus (S.) pneumoniae infections in COPD could impair outcomes. Understanding underlying factors could help improving implementation. ObjectivesTo describe vaccination rates at inclusion in COPD cohorts and analyze associated factors. MethodsBetween 2012 and 2018, 5927 patients with sufficient data available were recruited in 3 French COPD cohorts (2566 in COLIBRI-COPD, 2653 in PALOMB and 708 in Initiatives BPCO). Data at inclusion were pooled to describe vaccination rates and analyze associated factors. ResultsMean age was 66 years, 34 % were women, 35 % were current smokers, mean FEV1 was 58 % predicted, 22 % reported ≥2 exacerbations in the year prior to inclusion, mMRC dyspnea grade was ≥2 in 59 %, 52 % had cardiovascular comorbidities and 9 % a history of asthma. Vaccinations rates in the year prior to study entry were 34.4 % for influenza + S. pneumoniae, 17.5 % for influenza alone and 8.9 % for S. pneumoniae alone. In multivariate analyses, influenza vaccination rate was greater in older age, smoking status, low FEV1, exacerbation history, mMRC dyspnea>2, asthma history, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and the year of inclusion. SP vaccination was associated with type of practice of the respiratory physician, age, smoking status, FEV1, exacerbation history, dyspnea grade, asthma history and the year of inclusion. ConclusionRates of vaccination against influenza and S. pneumoniae infection at inclusion in COPD cohorts remain insufficient and vaccination appears restricted to patients with specific features especially regarding severity and comorbidities, which is not consistent with current recommendations.

Терапия рассеянного склероза препаратами первой линии: уровень цитокинов и влияние герпетической инфекции

The effects of the disease modifying drugs (DMDs) for multiple sclerosis (MS), interferon beta (IFNβ) and glatiramer acetate (GA), on the cytokine levels of individuals with MS are poorly understood. The effects of persistent herpesvirus infection (PHVI) on the cytokine production during treatment with DMDs for MS have not been identified. The role of cytokines and PHVI in the development of the treatment-related adverse events (AEs) has not been determined. The study was aimed to assess serum cytokine levels in patients with MS treated or not treated with DMDs for MS, and to determine the relationships between the cytokine levels, herpesvirus infection, and AEs. A total of 36 patients (12 males and 24 females, median age 38.50 (28.00; 48.50) years) with relapsing-remitting MS (criteria by McDonald, 2010) were examined. PHVI reactivation was observed in 18 individuals; in 10 of them it was associated with the history of the virus-associated exacerbation (VAE) of MS or VAE detected during assessment. A total of 30 patients were treated with DMDs for MS: 16 individuals with IFNβ, 14 individuals with GA. Systemic AEs were reported in 9 individuals. Serum levels of 15 cytokines were determined using the xMAP multiplex technique. Patients with MS showed a significant increase in the levels of IL10 (p &lt; 0.01) and IL33 (p &lt; 0.001) relative to donors when treated or not treated with DMDs for MS; the increase in IL31 levels was reported only in naïve patients (p &lt; 0.05). At the same time, individuals with MS had low levels of IL1β, IL17F, IL22, IL25, IL23, and TNFα (p &lt; 0.01). We revealed no differences in cytokine levels in the context of taking IFNβ or GA. Elevated IL10 levels were associated with PHVI reactivation (p &lt; 0.01). We revealed significant correlations between high levels of IL31 and VAE (p &lt; 0.01), IL33 and PHVI (p &lt; 0.01). The IL1β levels were significantly higher in individuals with PHVI reactivation treated with DMDs for MS. There were no differences in cytokine levels associated with the presence or absence of systemic AEs. The latter predominated in individuals with PHVI reactivation and VAE. The cytokine levels of individuals with MS are affected by treatment with DMDs for MS and herpesvirus infections.

Tracking COPD exacerbation patterns and forecasting readmission risks utilizing electronic medical records

IntroductionAccurate evaluation of exacerbation frequency is an essential part of COPD assessment. But relying on just the prior-year exacerbation history may not capture the full picture of risk given the inherent year-to-year fluctuations in exacerbation rates. This study aimed to evaluate the predictive performance of models incorporating the 3-year exacerbation history based on electronic medical record. Materials and MethodsThis retrospective cohort study included 86,501 COPD hospitalized patients in Beijing from 2008 to 2014. The annual frequency of COPD exacerbation hospitalizations over a 3-year period after the index hospitalization was calculated, with patients segmented into seven distinct exacerbation trajectory groups. Logistic regression was used to evaluate the predictive capability of the 3-year exacerbation history for exacerbation readmission in the fourth year. Predictors included age, sex, comorbidities, and exacerbation hospitalization in previous 1–3 years. Model performance was evaluated using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). ResultsOf the studied patients, 56.5% were men, and the mean age (SD) was 73.8 (10.3) years. The overall readmission rate for COPD exacerbation was 0.31 per person-year, with only 3.8% of patients persistently readmitted over three consecutive years. The 3-year trajectory of exacerbation frequency was associated with exacerbation risk in the fourth year. Compared to just the prior year, the inclusion of a 3-year exacerbation hospitalization history notably improved prediction accuracy, with AUC elevating from 0.731 (0.724–0.739) to 0.786 (0.779–0.792). ConclusionThese results unveil the fluctuating nature of COPD exacerbation hospitalization frequency across years and demonstrate that integrating a more comprehensive 3-year exacerbation history significantly refines the prediction model for future risk, thus providing a more nuanced and actionable insight for clinical care.

Efficacy and safety of weekend cyclosporine treatment as maintenance therapy for preventing frequent disease exacerbations in moderate to severe chronic plaque psoriasis patients - A retrospective cohort study.

Background Psoriasis is a chronic, inflammatory, systemic disease with predominant manifestations in the skin and joints impairing patient's quality of life. A proportion of patients have frequent severe disease exacerbations requiring repeated systemic treatments. There is a scarcity of literature evaluating the role of systemic maintenance therapy in psoriasis patients in preventing such frequent disease flares. Objective To evaluate the efficacy and safety of weekend cyclosporine treatment (WCT) as maintenance therapy in moderate to severe chronic plaque psoriasis patients for the prevention of frequent disease exacerbations. Methods In this retrospective cohort study, 22 psoriasis patients with a history of frequent disease exacerbations (≥ 3 in the last 1 year) who were administered WCT (group A) were compared with the same number of matched patients (age and gender) not on WCT or any systemic maintenance therapy (group B). Results Four patients (18.2%) in group A had disease exacerbations which was significantly lower (p = 0.00, Fisher's exact test) as compared to 21 patients (95.5%) in group B during the study period. Also, patients in group A had significantly lower number of overall exacerbations [mean ± SD: 0.23 ± 0.53 vs 2.95 ± 1.43) p = 0.00, Mann-Whitney U test] as compared to group B. Four (9.1%) patients in group A encountered adverse effects (acneiform eruptions - two, mild gingival hyperplasia - one, myalgia - one) as compared to three (acneiform eruptions - two, headache - one) in group B (p = 1.00). Conclusion WCT significantly reduced the number of disease exacerbations and is a safe and effective mode of maintenance therapy in such subset of psoriasis patients.

Blood eosinophils levels in a Colombian cohort of biomass-and tobacco-related COPD patients.

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a major cause of illness and death among adults. In 2019, the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) strategy incorporated blood eosinophils as a biomarker to identify patients at increased risk of exacerbations which, with the history of exacerbations during the previous year, allows identification of patients who would benefit from anti-inflammatory treatment to reduce the risk of future exacerbations. The aim of this study was to describe demographic and clinical characteristics, eosinophil counts, and exacerbations in a cohort of COPD patients stratified by clinical phenotypes (non-exacerbator, frequent exacerbator, asthma-COPD overlap) in a Colombian cohort at 2600 meters above sea level. A descriptive analysis of a historical cohort of patients with a confirmed diagnosis of moderate to severe COPD (FEV1/FVC < 0.7 and at least one risk factor for COPD) from two specialized centers with comprehensive disease management programs was performed from January 2015 to March 2019. Data were extracted from medical records 1 year before and after the index date. 200 patients were included (GOLD B: 156, GOLD E: 44; 2023 GOLD classification); mean age was 77.9 (SD 7.9) years; 48% were women, and 52% had biomass exposure as a COPD risk factor. The mean FEV1/FVC was 53.4% (SD 9.8), with an FEV1 of 52.7% (20.7). No differences were observed between clinical phenotypes in terms of airflow limitation. The geometric mean of absolute blood eosinophils was 197.58 (SD 2.09) cells/μL (range 0 to 3,020). Mean blood eosinophil count was higher in patients with smoking history and frequent exacerbators. At least one moderate and one severe exacerbation occurred in the previous year in 44 and 8% of patients, respectively; during the follow-up year 152 exacerbations were registered, 122 (80%) moderate and 30 (20%) severe. The highest rate of exacerbations in the follow-up year occurred in the subgroup of patients with the frequent exacerbator phenotype and eosinophils ≥300 cells/μL. In this cohort, the frequency of biomass exposure as a risk factor is considerable. High blood eosinophil count was related to smoking, and to the frequent exacerbator phenotype.

Asthma control in the United States: Relationships between short-acting β2-agonist and systemic corticosteroid use

BackgroundAsthma control assessment is based on impairment (current symptoms) and risk (exacerbation history). ObjectiveTo understand the extent of uncontrolled asthma, we assessed relationships between prescription fills for systemic corticosteroids (SCS) and short-acting β2-agonists (SABA) as risk and impairment markers, respectively. MethodsAnnual SCS and SABA fills among US patients with asthma were evaluated by a retrospective analysis of the IQVIA Longitudinal Access and Adjudication Data. Patients' disease severity was assigned based on the Global Initiative for Asthma step-therapy level. Exacerbations were evaluated by SCS fills within 12 months of a first asthma prescription fill. Uncontrolled asthma was defined as 2 or more SCS and/or 3 or more SABA fills annually. Individual patient relationships between SCS and SABA fills were assessed using Pearson's correlation coefficients. ResultsA total of 4,506,527 patients were included; 15.1% had 2 or more SCS fills, 29.1% had 3 or more SABA fills, and 37.4% fulfilled either or both criteria. If only SCS use was assessed, 21.4% of cases that were treated as mild to moderate and 27.6% that were treated as severe asthma would have been misclassified as controlled. If only SABA use was evaluated, 7.8% of cases treated as mild to moderate and 11.2% treated as severe asthma would have been misclassified. Overall, 80.9% of uncontrolled asthma occurred in patients treated for mild to moderate disease. Among patients with 2 or more SCS fills, the mean SABA fills were 2.9; the correlation between SCS and SABA fills per patient was significant but weak (r = 0.18; P < .001). ConclusionHigh symptom burden and SCS exposures are not limited to severe asthma but are also characteristic of patients treated for mild to moderate disease. Both impairment and risk assessments are required to understand the full extent of uncontrolled asthma across disease severities.

Factors associated with non-fatal heart failure and atrial fibrillation or flutter within the first 30 days post COPD exacerbation: a nested case-control study

BackgroundAn immediate, temporal risk of heart failure and arrhythmias after a Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) exacerbation has been demonstrated, particularly in the first month post-exacerbation. However, the clinical profile of patients who develop heart failure (HF) or atrial fibrillation/flutter (AF) following exacerbation is unclear. Therefore we examined factors associated with people being hospitalized for HF or AF, respectively, following a COPD exacerbation.MethodsWe conducted two nested case-control studies, using primary care electronic healthcare records from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink Aurum linked to Hospital Episode Statistics, Office for National Statistics for mortality, and socioeconomic data (2014-2020). Cases had hospitalization for HF or AF within 30 days of a COPD exacerbation, with controls matched by GP practice (HF 2:1;AF 3:1). We used conditional logistic regression to explore demographic and clinical factors associated with HF and AF hospitalization.ResultsOdds of HF hospitalization (1,569 cases, 3,138 controls) increased with age, type II diabetes, obesity, HF and arrhythmia history, exacerbation severity (hospitalization), most cardiovascular medications, GOLD airflow obstruction, MRC dyspnea score, and chronic kidney disease. Strongest associations were for severe exacerbations (adjusted odds ratio (aOR)=6.25, 95%CI 5.10-7.66), prior HF (aOR=2.57, 95%CI 1.73-3.83), age≥80 years (aOR=2.41, 95%CI 1.88-3.09), and prior diuretics prescription (aOR=2.81, 95%CI 2.29-3.45).Odds of AF hospitalization (841 cases, 2,523 controls) increased with age, male sex, severe exacerbation, arrhythmia and pulmonary hypertension history and most cardiovascular medications. Strongest associations were for severe exacerbations (aOR=5.78, 95%CI 4.45-7.50), age≥80 years (aOR=3.15, 95%CI 2.26-4.40), arrhythmia (aOR=3.55, 95%CI 2.53-4.98), pulmonary hypertension (aOR=3.05, 95%CI 1.21-7.68), and prescription of anticoagulants (aOR=3.81, 95%CI 2.57-5.64), positive inotropes (aOR=2.29, 95%CI 1.41-3.74) and anti-arrhythmic drugs (aOR=2.14, 95%CI 1.10-4.15).ConclusionsCardiopulmonary factors were associated with hospitalization for HF in the 30 days following a COPD exacerbation, while only cardiovascular-related factors and exacerbation severity were associated with AF hospitalization. Understanding factors will help target people for prevention.

Impact of Clinical Characteristics and Biomarkers on Asthma Impairment and Risk Questionnaire Exacerbation Prediction Ability

Complex models combining impairment-based control assessments with clinical characteristics and biomarkers have been developed to predict asthma exacerbations. The composite Asthma Impairment and Risk Questionnaire (AIRQ) with adjustments for demographics (age, sex, race, and body mass index) predicts 12-month exacerbation occurrence similarly to these more complex models. To examine whether AIRQ exacerbation prediction is enhanced when models are adjusted for a wider range of clinical characteristics and biomarkers. Patients aged 12 years and older completed monthly online surveys regarding exacerbation-related oral corticosteroid use, emergency department or urgent care visits, and hospitalizations. Univariate logistic regressions to predict exacerbations were performed with sociodemographics, comorbidities, exacerbation history, lung function, blood eosinophils, IgE, and FeNO. Significant (P ≤ .05) variables were included in multivariable logistic regressions with and without AIRQ control categories to predict 12-month exacerbations (log odds ratio [95% Wald confidence interval]). Model performances were compared. Over 12 months, 1,070 patients (70% female; mean [SD] age, 43.9 [19.4] years; 22% non-White; body mass index [SD], 30.6 [8.7]) completed one or more survey (mean [SD], 10.5 [2.8] surveys). In the multivariable analysis, AIRQ control category adjusted for significant clinical characteristics and biomarkers was predictive of one or more exacerbations: odds ratio (95% CI) not well-controlled versus well-controlled: 1.93 (1.41-2.62), very poorly controlled versus well-controlled: 3.81 (2.65-5.47). Receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (AUC) for this more complex model of exacerbation prediction (AUC= 0.72) did not differ from AIRQ (AUC= 0.70). Models with AIRQ performed better than those without AIRQ (AUC= 0.67; P < .05). Costly and time-consuming complex modeling with clinical characteristics and biomarkers does not enhance the strong exacerbation prediction ability of AIRQ.

Developing and validating prediction models for severe exacerbations and readmissions in patients hospitalised for COPD exacerbation (SERCO) in China: a prospective observational study

BackgroundThere is a lack of individualised prediction models for patients hospitalised with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) for clinical practice. We developed and validated prediction models of severe exacerbations and...

Intraclass comparison of inhaled corticosteroids for the risk of pneumonia in chronic obstructive pulmonary airway disorder: a network meta-analysis and meta-regression.

Inhalational corticosteroids (ICS) were observed to increase the pneumonia risk in chronic obstructive pulmonary airway disorder (COPD). However, it is unknown whether any differences exist between the drugs within the ICS class. This study aimed to evaluate the risk of pneumonia associated with different ICS and identify factors that predict pneumonia in patients with moderate-to-severe COPD using a network meta-analysis. Electronic databases (Medline, Cochrane CENTRAL and Google Scholar) were searched for trials comparing ICS in COPD patients. The outcomes were pneumonia and serious pneumonia. Odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence interval (95% CI) were estimated. Meta-regression was used to identify the predictors. The strength of evidence was graded using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations approach. Sixty-six studies (103,347 participants) were included. Fluticasone (OR: 1.46; 95% CI: 1.26, 1.7), mometasone (OR: 2.2; 95% CI: 1.05, 4.6), and beclometasone (OR: 1.7; 95% CI: 1.1, 2.6) were observed with an increased pneumonia risk compared to placebo. Fluticasone (OR: 1.5; 95% CI: 1.3, 1.7) was observed with an increased risk of serious pneumonia. High doses (OR: 1.2; 95% CI: 1.03, 1.4), BMI ≥ 25kg/m2 (OR: 1.6; 95% CI: 1.1, 2.2), and history of exacerbations in the preceding year predicted the pneumonia risk. Evidence strength was moderate. ICS class differences in pneumonia risk were observed in terms of pooled effect estimates but it is unlikely that any clinically relevant differences exist. Risk-benefit analysis supports ICS use in moderate-severe COPD.

Symptom burden and its associations with clinical characteristics in patients with COPD: a clustering approach.

Symptom burden in patients with COPD is often under-recognised. In this cross-sectional analysis, we aimed to study the severity of a variety of (non-)respiratory symptoms in patients with and without COPD and to explore the associations between clusters based on symptom severity and other clinical characteristics. Characteristics were assessed in 538 patients with COPD from primary, secondary and tertiary care and 116 non-COPD participants. The severity of 20 symptoms was measured using a visual analogue scale (VAS), ranging from 0 mm (no symptom) to 100 mm (maximum severity). K-means cluster analysis was applied to symptom severity in the patient sample only. People with COPD were comparable with non-COPD participants in terms of gender (58% versus 55% male, p=0.132) and age (64±9 years versus 63±6 years, p=0.552) and had a reduced forced expiratory volume in 1 s (57±23% predicted versus 111±17% predicted, p<0.001). The COPD group had higher VAS scores for most symptoms (p<0.05). The most severe symptoms in patients with COPD were dyspnoea, fatigue and muscle weakness while non-COPD participants mainly experienced insomnia and micturition. Three clusters were identified in the patient sample. Health status and care dependency differed between all clusters, while functional mobility, exacerbation history and lung function differed between cluster 1 and the other two clusters (p<0.05). People with COPD report a high burden of respiratory as well as non-respiratory symptoms. Cluster analysis demonstrated a co-occurrence of different levels of symptom severity, highlighting the heterogeneity of symptoms experience. Identifying clusters of patients with shared symptom experiences will help us to understand the impact of the disease and define integrated, multidimensional treatment strategies.

Prognostic models and factors identifying end-of-life in non-cancer chronic diseases: a systematic review

BackgroundPrecise prognostic information, if available, is very helpful for guiding treatment decisions and resource allocation in patients with non-cancer non-communicable chronic diseases (NCDs). This study aimed to systematically review the...

Benefit-Harm Analysis of Earlier Initiation of Triple Therapy for Prevention of Acute Exacerbation in Patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

Rationale: Reducing the risk of exacerbation is a fundamental goal in managing stable chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Guidelines recommend triple therapy (inhaled corticosteroids, long-acting muscarinic antagonists, and long-acting β-agonists) only as a stepup from dual therapy (long-acting muscarinic antagonists and long-acting β-agonists) for patients at continued high risk of exacerbation, because of the trade-off of an increased risk of pneumonia associated with inhaled corticosteroid-containing therapies. However, there is little evidence on the optimum timing of initiating triple therapy. Objectives: To perform a benefit-harm analysis to evaluate the net benefit of earlier initiation of triple therapy for the prevention of acute exacerbations in patients with COPD compared with standard timing recommended in current guidelines. Methods: We used a validated whole-disease microsimulation model of COPD in the Canadian general population aged ⩾40 years to determine the benefit versus harm of earlier initiation of triple therapy over a 20-year time horizon compared with standard care. We assessed net change in quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) from the reduction in risk of acute exacerbations and the increased risk of treatment-related pneumonia in subgroups of patients with COPD defined by exacerbation history, symptoms, and disease severity. Model parameters were determined from clinical trials and other published literature. Key parameters were varied in one-way sensitivity analysis. Results: In patients at high risk of acute exacerbation (54.7% female; mean age, 74.0 yr; 68% Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease grades I and II), earlier initiation of triple therapy was associated with a net QALY gain of 4.8 per 100 patients with COPD over 20 years compared with standard care. The net QALY gain increased to 5.9 per 100 patients in the subgroup of patients with a high symptom burden (modified Medical Research Council dyspnea scale score, >1). Earlier initiation remained net beneficial in all subgroup and sensitivity analysis scenarios. Conclusions: Modeling suggests that earlier initiation of triple therapy is likely to be net beneficial for patients at high risk of acute exacerbation, with an even greater benefit to patients with a high symptom burden. Further clinical research is needed to verify these findings in empirical studies.

Benralizumab in severe eosinophilic asthma by previous biologic use and key clinical subgroups: real-world XALOC-1 programme.

Pivotal phase 3 trials and real-world studies have demonstrated benralizumab's overall efficacy and safety in severe eosinophilic asthma (SEA). Additional large-cohort data are needed to confirm its real-world effectiveness in SEA according to previous biologic use and key baseline characteristics important for treatment selection. XALOC-1 is a large, multinational, retrospective, observational, real-world study programme of benralizumab in adults with SEA. This 48-week integrated analysis assessed annualised exacerbation rate (AER), maintenance oral corticosteroid (mOCS) use, asthma symptom control and lung function during a 12-month baseline period and up to 48 weeks after benralizumab initiation. Subgroup analyses were based on previous biologic use and key baseline clinical characteristics (mOCS use, blood eosinophil count, exacerbation history, age at asthma diagnosis, fractional exhaled nitric oxide level and presence of atopy and chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps). Out of 1002 patients analysed, 380 were biologic-experienced. At week 48, 71.3% were exacerbation-free (versus 17.2% at baseline); relative reduction in AER was 82.7% overall and 72.9% in biologic-experienced patients; rates were maintained across all key clinical characteristic subgroups. Of patients using mOCS at baseline (n=274), 47.4% (130 out of 274) eliminated their use by week 48; the mean reduction from baseline in daily dose was 51.2% and, notably, 34.9% in biologic-experienced patients (n=115). Clinically significant improvements in asthma symptom control and lung function were observed. In this large, real-world programme, SEA patients treated with benralizumab had substantial improvements in clinical outcomes irrespective of previous biologic use and key clinical characteristics important to therapeutic decision-making in clinical practice.

Bronchial Thermoplasty Improves Ventilation Heterogeneity Measured by Functional Respiratory Imaging in Severe Asthma.

Bronchial thermoplasty (BT) is a bronchoscopic intervention for the treatment of severe asthma. Despite demonstrated symptomatic benefit, the underlying mechanisms by which this is achieved remain uncertain. We hypothesize that the effects of BT are driven by improvements in ventilation heterogeneity as assessed using functional respiratory imaging (FRI). Eighteen consecutive patients with severe asthma who underwent clinically indicated BT were recruited. Patients were assessed at baseline, 4-week after treatment of the left lung, and 12-month after treatment of the right lung. Data collected included short-acting beta-agonist (SABA) and oral prednisolone (OCS) use, asthma control questionnaire (ACQ-5) and exacerbation history. Patients also underwent lung function tests and chest computed tomography. Ventilation parameters including interquartile distance (IQD; measure of ventilation heterogeneity) were derived using FRI. 12 months after BT, significant improvements were seen in SABA and OCS use, ACQ-5, and number of OCS-requiring exacerbations. Apart from pre-bronchodilator FEV1, no other significant changes were observed in lung function. Ventilation heterogeneity significantly improved after treatment of the left lung (0.18 ± 0.04 vs 0.20 ± 0.04, p=0.045), with treatment effect persisting up to 12 months later (0.18 ± 0.05 vs 0.20 ± 0.04, p=0.028). Ventilation heterogeneity also improved after treatment of the right lung, although this did not reach statistical significance (0.18 ± 0.05 vs 0.19 ± 0.04, p=0.06). Clinical benefits after BT are accompanied by improvements in ventilation heterogeneity, advancing our understanding of its mechanism of action. Beyond BT, FRI has the potential to be expanded into other clinical applications.

Advancing assessment of asthma control with a composite tool: The Asthma Impairment and Risk Questionnaire

BackgroundNational and international asthma guidelines and reports do not include control tools that combine impairment assessment with exacerbation history in one instrument. ObjectiveTo analyze the performance of the composite Asthma Impairment and Risk Questionnaire (AIRQ) in assessing both domains of control and predicting exacerbation risk compared with the Global Initiative for Asthma (GINA) 4-question symptom control tool (GINA SCT), Asthma Control Test (ACT), and physician expert opinion (EO) informed by GINA SCT responses and appraisal of GINA-identified risk factors for poor asthma outcomes. MethodsMultivariable logistic regressions evaluated AIRQ and GINA SCT as predictors of ACT. McNemar's test compared the proportion of patients categorized at baseline as completely or well-controlled by each assessment but with current impairment or previous-year and subsequent-year exacerbations. ResultsThe analysis included 1064 patients aged 12 years or older; mean (SD) age 43.8 years (19.3); 70% female; 79% White; and 6% Hispanic or Latino. AIRQ and GINA SCT were highly predictive of ACT well-controlled vs not well-controlled and very poorly controlled (receiver operator characteristic area under curve AIRQ = 0.90, GINA SCT = 0.86, P = .03 AIRQ vs GINA SCT) and ACT very poorly controlled vs well-controlled and not well-controlled asthma (receiver operator characteristic area under curve AIRQ = 0.91, GINA SCT = 0.87, P = .01 AIRQ vs GINA SCT). AIRQ rated fewer patients as having completely or well-controlled asthma who had current impairment (P < .01) or with previous-year and subsequent-year exacerbations (P < .001) than did GINA SCT, ACT, and EO. ConclusionAIRQ performs better in assessing both domains of current control and predicting exacerbation risk than do control tools and EO informed by GINA SCT and risk factors for poor asthma outcomes.