Healthcare Access And Quality Research Articles

Disease burden of breast cancer and risk factors in Europe 44 countries, 1990-2019: findings of the global burden of disease study 2019

BackgroundBreast cancer (BC) represents a significant health challenge in Europe due to its elevated prevalence and heterogeneity. Despite notable progress in diagnostic and treatment methods, the region continues to grapple with rising BC burdens, with comprehensive investigations into this matter notably lacking. This study explores BC burden and potential contributing risk factors in 44 European countries from 1990 to 2019. The aim is to furnish evidence supporting the development of strategies for managing BC effectively.MethodsDisease burden estimates related to breast cancer from the Global Burden of Disease 2019(GBD2019) across Eastern, Central, and Western Europe were examined using Joinpoint regression for trends from 1990 to 2019. Linear regression models examined relationships between BC burden and Socio-demographic Index (SDI), healthcare access and quality (HAQ), and BC prevalence. We utilized disability-adjusted life year(DALY) proportions for each risk factor to depict BC risks.ResultsIn Europe, the BC burden was 463.2 cases per 100,000 people in 2019, 1.7 times the global burden. BC burden in women was significantly higher and increased with age. Age-standardized mortality and DALY rates of BC in Europe in 2019 decreased by 23.1%(average annual percent change: AAPC -0.92) and 25.9%(AAPC -1.02), respectively, compared to 1990, in line with global trends. From 1990 to 2019, age-standardized DALY declined faster in Western Europe (-34.8%, AAPC -1.49) than in Eastern Europe (-9.4%, AAPC -0.25) and Central Europe (-15.0%, AAPC -0.56). Monaco, Serbia, and Montenegro had the highest BC burden in Europe in 2019. BC burden was negatively correlated with HAQ. In addition, Alcohol use and Tobacco were significant risk factors for DALY. High fasting plasma glucose and obesity were also crucial risk factors that cannot be ignored in DALY.ConclusionThe burden of BC in Europe remains a significant health challenge, with regional variations despite an overall downward trend. Addressing the burden of BC in different regions of Europe and the increase of DALY caused by different risk factors, targeted prevention measures should be taken, especially the management of alcohol and tobacco should be strengthened, and screening services for BC should be popularized, and medical resources and technology allocation should be optimized.

The trend of AIDS in China: A prediction and comparative analysis with G20 countries based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

In China, AIDS has become the most severe notifiable infectious disease. The study aimed to analyse and predict the trend of AIDS in China and compared with Group of Twenty (G20) countries. We utilised incidence, mortality or disability-adjusted life years (DALY), age-standardised rates (ASR), average annual percentage changes (AAPC) to estimate the trend via GBD 2019. The Joinpoint regression analysis was applied to identify the most significant years of change. We explored the relationship between AAPC and social development index (SDI) or health care access and quality (HAQ), and predicted trends for the next 20 years. The DALY in G20 increase of 340.42%, and 794.50% in China. The age-standardised DALY rate (ASDR) in G20 was 309.49 (95% uncertainty interval (UI) = 284.69, 350.58) in 2019, with an AAPC of 4.30. Among G20, the United States had the highest DALY in 1990, but it experienced a significant decline. In China, the ASDR was 98.15 (95% UI = 78.78, 119.58) with the 5th AAPC ranking. In term of gender, the incidence, mortality, DALY, and ASR of them in China and G20 were all higher in males. Furthermore, the gender gap in China had been widening. The most significant periods of ASDR increase in China were 1990-1995 and 2013-2016, and 1990-1994 in G20. The prediction for DALY indicated that high SDI countries were expected to exhibit a stable or declining trend, while low SDI countries showed an upward trend. China demonstrated a 57.66% increase in 2040 compared to 2019. AIDS continues to be a significant burden. In China, the ASIR exhibited a decline trend in certain age groups, while the ASMR and ASDR continued to increase, with a widening gender disparity. In addition, according to our predict results, some countries could not achieve the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development set by the UNAIDS. Therefore, it is necessary to establish more effective and targeted measures, as well as actively explore new treatment approaches.

Living longer but in poor health: healthcare system responses to ageing populations in industrialised countries based on the Findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

ObjectivesThis study aimed to examine changes in life expectancy (LE), health-adjusted life expectancy (HALE), unhealthy years of life, and disease burden of older people in industrialised countries and associations with health systems.MethodsWe used estimates of LE and HALE, unhealthy years of life, years of life loss (YLL), years lived with disability (YLD) for individuals aged 70 years and over in 33 industrialised countries from 1990 to 2019 from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. A linear regression analysis was conducted to examine the association of health outcomes with the Healthcare Access and Quality (HAQ) index.ResultsLE and HALE increased with improved HAQ index from 1990 to 2019. However, the number of unhealthy years of life increased. An increased HAQ index was associated with decreases in YLL. However, changes in YLD were relatively small and were not correlated with HAQ index.ConclusionsThe healthcare system needs to more address the increased morbidity burden among older people. It should be designed to handle to healthcare needs of the ageing population.

The burden of acute lymphoid leukemia among adolescents and young adults in the Western Pacific Region: evidence from Global Burden Disease 2019.

Acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) is a type of blood cancer that affects white blood cells. Here, we use data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019, to estimate the burden and incidence rate changes in adolescents and young adults (AYA) ALL in the Western Pacific Region and to reveal potential risk factors of incidence- and mortality rates. The GBD 2019 study data was stratified by sex, age, country, and territory. We calculated the Estimated annual percentage changes (estimated APC) in mortality and incidence rates for each of the 25 countries and territories of the western Pacific region from 1990 to 2019. This study found global AYA ALL incidence rates had increased while the mortality rates had decreased between 1990 and 2019. Moreover, healthcare access and quality (HAQ), and government per capita health spending were identified as country-level risk factors of AYA ALL incidence rates, while HAQ, male education, and sex were identified as mortality rate predictors in 25 Western Pacific Region countries. To address and reduce the burden of incidence and mortality among AYA, various regions around the world, particularly developing countries, could revise their AYA prevention and treatment strategies.

Influence of age, socioeconomic status, and location on the infant gut resistome across populations

ABSTRACT Antibiotic resistance is a growing global concern, with many ecological niches showing a high abundance of antibiotic resistance genes (ARGs), including the human gut. With increasing indications of ARGs in infants, this study aims to investigate the gut resistome profile during early life at a wider geographic level. To achieve this objective, we utilized stool samples data from 26 studies involving subjects aged up to 3 years from different geographical locations. The 32,277 Metagenome Assembled Genomes (MAGs) previously generated from shotgun sequencing reads from these studies were used for resistome analysis using RGI with the CARD database. This analysis showed that the distribution of ARGs across the countries in our study differed in alpha diversity and compositionally. In particular, the abundance of ARGs was found to vary by socioeconomic status and healthcare access and quality (HAQ) index. Surprisingly, countries having lower socioeconomic status and HAQ indices showed lower ARG abundance, which was contradictory to previous reports. Gram-negative genera, including Escherichia, Enterobacter, Citrobacter, and Klebsiella harbored a particularly rich set of ARGs, which included antibiotics that belong to the Reserve, Access or Watch category, such as glycopeptides, fluoroquinolones, sulfonamides, macrolides, and tetracyclines. We showed that ARG abundance exponentially decreased with time during the first 3 years of life. Many highly ARG-abundant species including Escherichia, Klebsiella, Citrobacter species that we observed are well-known pathobionts found in the infant gut in early life. High abundance of these species and a diverse range of ARGs in their genomes point toward the infant gut, acting as an ARG reservoir. This is a concern and further studies are needed to examine the causal effect and its consequences on long-term health.

Divergences and gaps in life expectancy and health-adjusted life expectancy in Mexico: Contribution analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Introduction Life expectancy (LE) and Health-adjusted life expectancy (HALE) are summary indicators that reflect a population’s general life conditions and measure inequities in health outcomes. The objective of this study was to identify the differences in LE and HALE by sex, age group, and state in Mexico from 1990 to 2019. Also, to evaluate whether the changes in HALE are related to sociodemographic indicators and indicators of access to and quality of health services. Methods A secondary analysis was performed based on the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD). Data were obtained for LE (by sex and state) and HALE (by sex, age group, and state) for the years 1990, 2010, and 2019. The correlations between HALE with the Socio-Demographic Index (SDI) and with the Healthcare Access and Quality (HAQ) Index were estimated for 1990 and 2019 (by total population and sex). Results LE and HALE had an absolute increase of 6.7% and 6.4% from 1990 to 2019, mainly among women, although they spent more years in poor health (11.8 years) than men. The patterns of LE and HALE were heterogeneous and divergent by state. In 2019, the difference in HALE (for both sex) between the states with the highest (Hidalgo) and the lowest (Chiapas) value was 4.6 years. Conclusions Progress in LE and HALE has slowed in recent years; HALE has even had setbacks in some states. Gaps between men and women, as well as between states, are persistent. Public and population policymaking should seek to lengthen LE and focus on ensuring that such years are spent in good health and with good quality of life.

Gender gap in life expectancy in Europe and the United Kingdom in 2019

Abstract Background Life expectancy (LE) is an important metric for overall population health and well-being. The gender gap in LE can be used as a population health metric to capture progress and monitor health inequality in a specific setting. Health inequality is an expression of universal health care coverage and unequal access to health care and the quality of health care - otherwise known as ‘amenable’ mortality. Methods The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study- a comprehensive global epidemiologic database has developed and validated two population health metrics across 200+ countries- the Universal Health Coverage (UHC) Index (0-100) and the Healthcare Access and Quality (HAQ) Index (0-100) to monitor progress in these two specific domains for each country. We set out to examine the association of gender gap in LE with UHC and HAQ indices across 27 EU countries and the UK combined for year 2019 employing correlation and linear regression analyses. Results Overall, LE ranged from 73.3 years in Bulgaria to 83.1 years in Italy; UHC index was worst in Bulgaria (62.6), while Luxembourg (91.5) was the best performing nation; HAQ index had the highest score in the Netherlands (91.1), while Bulgaria had the lowest score (64.9). Lithuania had the largest gender gap in LE (9.2 years; M:71.5; F: 80.7), while the Netherlands had the narrowest gender gap (3.4 years; M:80.0; F: 83.4). On multivariable linear regression, gender gaps in LE were significantly associated with both HAQ (beta: -0.17; R2=0.66), and UHC (beta: -0.14; R2=0.52) across 27 EU countries and the UK combined. Conclusions Gender gap in LE can be a proxy measure to monitor progress in health inequality in terms of universal health care coverage, as well as health care access and quality of health care for a specific population setting. The findings suggest that gender gap in LE can be significantly reduced through expansion of universal health care and improving both access and quality of health care in the EU. Key messages • Gender gap in life expectancy can be a good proxy to monitor progress in health inequality for EU countries and the UK combined, which has 5.5 years of gender gap in life expectancy on average in 2019. • A 10% increase in both universal health care coverage and health care access and quality, can reduce gender gap in life expectancy by 1.4 and 1.7 years, respectively, across EU and the UK combined.

The impact of multiple-behavior HIV interventions as a function of regional disadvantages: An analysis of syndemics.

Disadvantaged populations, including inhabitants of developing countries as well as racial/ethnic and sexual minorities in the United States, are disproportionally burdened by human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection, delayed HIV diagnosis, and unfavorable HIV-treatment outcomes. HIV interventions targeting single behaviors (e.g., testing) in these populations have shown to be efficacious at producing behavioral and clinical change but have been unable to eliminate the social health disparities associated with syndemics (i.e., a set of connected risks, interacting synergistically, and contributing to excess burden of disease in a population). This meta-analysis of 331 reports (clusters; number of effect sizes [k] = 1,364) assessed whether multiple-behavior interventions that target clusters of syndemic risks are more efficacious for those in disadvantaged regions and social groups. Across the board, multiple-behavior interventions were more efficacious than single-behavior ones as well as passive control groups among samples from countries with lower log gross domestic product (GDP), lower Human Development Index (HDI), and lower Healthcare Access and Quality (HAQ) Index. Within the United States, the efficacy of multiple-behavior interventions was similar across different levels of representation of racial/ethnic and sexual minorities. The analyses used robust variance estimation with small-sample corrections to assess the differential effects of multiple-behavior interventions and Egger Sandwich test with the multilevel meta-analysis approach to detect selection biases. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2023 APA, all rights reserved).

Health-care systems' resource footprints and their access and quality in 49 regions between 1995 and 2015: an input–output analysis

Strategies to reduce the environmental impact of health care are often limited to greenhouse gas emissions. To broaden their scope, our aim was to determine the evolution of the resource footprints, dependency, and efficiency of health-care systems and to determine the relationship between this evolution and their Healthcare Access and Quality (HAQ) index. We carried out an input-output analysis of 49 health-care systems from 1995 to 2015. We harmonised the EXIOBASE v3.8.2 database-providing data for 49 world regions-to the World Health Organization Health Expenditures Database. We then performed a panel data analysis to understand the relationship between Healthcare Access and Quality index and energy footprint per capita of health-care systems. EXIOBASE3 does not provide measurement errors so it was not possible to propagate the uncertainties as can be done with other input-output databases. Health-care systems' footprint increased over the past two decades, reaching 7% of global non-metallic minerals footprint, 4% of global metal ores footprint, and 5% of global fossil fuels footprint in 2013. This increase was mostly due to China, rising from 7% of the non-metallic minerals footprint in 1995 to 45% in 2013. 80% of the health-care systems studied were dependent at more than 50% on fossil fuel imports. The energy footprint per capita was correlated exponentially with the HAQ index but some countries performed much better than others at a given energy footprint. Health-care systems have not become more efficient between 2002 and 2015. Health-care systems' resources footprint are exponentially linked to their HAQ. Both prevention and efficiency measures will be needed to change this relationship. If it is not enough, high-income countries will have to choose between further reducing the resource consumption of their health-care systems or shifting the efforts to other sectors, health being considered an incompressible need. We call for the creation of a HAQE (health-care access, quality, and efficiency) index that would add resource efficiency to access and quality when ranking health-care systems. The Shift Project.

The Trend of Healthcare Needs among Elders and Its Association with Healthcare Access and Quality in Low-Income Countries: An Exploration of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

To investigate the trend of healthcare needs among elders in low-income countries (LICs) and how changes in healthcare access and quality (HAQ) have correlated with these changes from 1990 to 2019, this study used estimates from the global burden of disease (GBD) 2019 study, including prevalence, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), life expectancy (LE), health-adjusted life expectancy (HALE) and the HAQ index for years 1990 and 2019. We found increases in numbers of YLLs, YLDs, and prevalent cases due to NCDs, and the rate of increase was higher for all indicators of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) when compared with communicable, maternal, neonatal and nutritional diseases among elders. We also observed increases in LE and HALE among all countries. However, this was also challenged by increases in unhealthy life years (ULYs) and their constant percentage of LE. The HAQ index of LICs was also found to be low, although it had increased during the period. A reduction in the burden of acute diseases explains the increase in LE, but increases in ULYs and the NCD burden were also observed. LICs need to improve their HAQ to counter the growing threat of longer but less healthy lives.

High-level burnout in physicians and nurses working in adult ICUs: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

The prevalence of burnout in intensive care unit (ICU) professionals is difficult to establish due to the variety of survey instruments used, the heterogeneity of the targeted population, the design of the studies, and the differences among countries regarding ICU organization. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis examining the prevalence of high-level burnout in physicians and nurses working in adult ICUs, including only studies that use the Maslach Burnout Inventory (MBI) as a tool to evaluate burnout and involving at least 3 different ICUs. Twenty-five studies with a combined population of 20,723 healthcare workers from adult ICUs satisfied the inclusion criteria. Combining 18 studies including 8187 ICU physicians, 3660 of them reported a high level of burnout (prevalence 0.41, range 0.15-0.71, 95% CI [0.33; 0.5], I2 97.6%, 95% CI [96.9%; 98.1%]). The heterogeneity can be at least in part explained by the definition of burnout used and the response rate as confirmed by the multivariable metaregression done. In contrast, there was no significant difference regarding other factors such as the study period (before or during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic), the income of the countries, or the Healthcare Access and Quality (HAQ) index. Combining 20 studies including 12,536 ICU nurses, 6232 of nurses were reporting burnout (prevalence 0.44, range 0.14-0.74, [95% CI 0.34; 0.55], I2 98.6% 95% CI [98.4%; 98.9%]). The prevalence of high-level burnout in ICU nurses for studies performed during the COVID-19 pandemic was higher than that reported for studies performed before the COVID-19 pandemic (0.61 [95% CI, 0.46; 0.75] and 0.37 [95% CI, 0.26; 0.49] respectively, p = 0.003). As for physicians, the heterogeneity is at least in part explained by the definition used for burnout using the MBI but not by the number of participants. When compared, the prevalence of high-level burnout was not different between ICU physicians and ICU nurses. However, the proportion of ICU nurses with a high level of emotional exhaustion was higher than for ICU physicians (0.42 [95% CI, 0.37; 0.48] and 0.28 [0.2; 0.39], respectively, p = 0.022). According to this meta-analysis, the prevalence of high-level burnout is higher than 40% in all ICU professionals. However, there is a great heterogeneity in the results. To evaluate and to compare preventive and therapeutic strategies, there is the need to use a consensual definition of burnout when using the MBI instrument.

Assessing performance of the Healthcare Access and Quality Index, overall and by select age groups, for 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Health-care needs change throughout the life course. It is thus crucial to assess whether health systems provide access to quality health care for all ages. Drawing from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019 (GBD 2019), we measured the Healthcare Access and Quality (HAQ) Index overall and for select age groups in 204 locations from 1990 to 2019. We distinguished the overall HAQ Index (ages 0-74 years) from scores for select age groups: the young (ages 0-14 years), working (ages 15-64 years), and post-working (ages 65-74 years) groups. For GBD 2019, HAQ Index construction methods were updated to use the arithmetic mean of scaled mortality-to-incidence ratios (MIRs) and risk-standardised death rates (RSDRs) for 32 causes of death that should not occur in the presence of timely, quality health care. Across locations and years, MIRs and RSDRs were scaled from 0 (worst) to 100 (best) separately, putting the HAQ Index on a different relative scale for each age group. We estimated absolute convergence for each group on the basis of whether the HAQ Index grew faster in absolute terms between 1990 and 2019 in countries with lower 1990 HAQ Index scores than countries with higher 1990 HAQ Index scores and by Socio-demographic Index (SDI) quintile. SDI is a summary metric of overall development. Between 1990 and 2019, the HAQ Index increased overall (by 19·6 points, 95% uncertainty interval 17·9-21·3), as well as among the young (22·5, 19·9-24·7), working (17·2, 15·2-19·1), and post-working (15·1, 13·2-17·0) age groups. Large differences in HAQ Index scores were present across SDI levels in 2019, with the overall index ranging from 30·7 (28·6-33·0) on average in low-SDI countries to 83·4 (82·4-84·3) on average in high-SDI countries. Similarly large ranges between low-SDI and high-SDI countries, respectively, were estimated in the HAQ Index for the young (40·4-89·0), working (33·8-82·8), and post-working (30·4-79·1) groups. Absolute convergence in HAQ Index was estimated in the young group only. In contrast, divergence was estimated among the working and post-working groups, driven by slow progress in low-SDI countries. Although major gaps remain across levels of social and economic development, convergence in the young group is an encouraging sign of reduced disparities in health-care access and quality. However, divergence in the working and post-working groups indicates that health-care access and quality is lagging at lower levels of social and economic development. To meet the needs of ageing populations, health systems need to improve health-care access and quality for working-age adults and older populations while continuing to realise gains among the young. Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Meta-analysis: risk of hepatitis C virus infection associated with hospital-based invasive procedures.

SummaryBackgroundHealthcare settings, where invasive procedures are frequently performed, may play an important role in the transmission dynamics of blood‐borne pathogens when compliance with infection control precautions is suboptimal.AimsTo understand and quantify the role of hospital‐based invasive procedures on hepatitis C virus (HCV) transmission.MethodsWe conducted a systematic review and meta‐analysis to identify recent studies reporting association measures of HCV infection risk that are linked to iatrogenic procedures. Based on expert opinion, invasive procedures were categorised into 10 groups for which pooled measures were calculated. Finally, the relationship between pooled measures and the country‐level HCV prevalence or the Healthcare Access and Quality (HAQ) index was assessed by meta‐regression.ResultsWe included 71 studies in the analysis. The most frequently evaluated procedures were blood transfusion (66 measures) and surgery (43 measures). The pooled odds ratio (OR) of HCV infection varied widely, ranging from 1.46 (95% confidence interval: 1.14–1.88) for dental procedures to 3.22 (1.7–6.11) for transplantation. The OR for blood transfusion was higher for transfusions performed before 1998 (3.77, 2.42–5.88) than for those without a specified/recent date (2.20, 1.77–2.75). In procedure‐specific analyses, the HCV infection risk was significantly negatively associated with the HAQ for endoscopy and positively associated with HCV prevalence for endoscopy and surgery.ConclusionsVarious invasive procedures were significantly associated with HCV infection. Our results provide a ranking of procedures in terms of HCV risk that may be used for prioritisation of infection control interventions, especially in high HCV prevalence settings.

Injury burden in individuals aged 50 years or older in the Eastern Mediterranean region, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

SummaryBackgroundInjury poses a major threat to health and longevity in adults aged 50 years or older. The increased life expectancy in the Eastern Mediterranean region warrants a further understanding of the ageing population's inevitable changing health demands and challenges. We aimed to examine injury-related morbidity and mortality among adults aged 50 years or older in 22 Eastern Mediterranean countries.MethodsDrawing on data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019, we categorised the population into adults aged 50–69 years and adults aged 70 years and older. We examined estimates for transport injuries, self-harm injuries, and unintentional injuries for both age groups, with sex differences reported, and analysed the percentage changes from 1990 to 2019. We reported injury-related mortality rates and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs). The Socio-demographic Index (SDI) and the Healthcare Access and Quality (HAQ) Index were used to better understand the association of socioeconomic factors and health-care system performance, respectively, with injuries and health status in older people. Healthy life expectancy (HALE) was compared with injury-related deaths and DALYs and to the SDI and HAQ Index to understand the effect of injuries on healthy ageing. Finally, risk factors for injury deaths between 1990 and 2019 were assessed. 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) are given for all estimates.FindingsEstimated injury mortality rates in the Eastern Mediterranean region exceeded the global rates in 2019, with higher injury mortality rates in males than in females for both age groups. Transport injuries were the leading cause of deaths in adults aged 50–69 years (43·0 [95% UI 31·0–51·8] per 100 000 population) and in adults aged 70 years or older (66·2 [52·5–75·5] per 100 000 population), closely followed by conflict and terrorism for both age groups (10·2 [9·3–11·3] deaths per 100 000 population for 50–69 years and 45·7 [41·5–50·3] deaths per 100 000 population for ≥70 years). The highest annual percentage change in mortality rates due to injury was observed in Afghanistan among people aged 70 years or older (400·4% increase; mortality rate 1109·7 [1017·7–1214·7] per 100 000 population). The leading cause of DALYs was transport injuries for people aged 50–69 years (1798·8 [1394·1–2116·0] per 100 000 population) and unintentional injuries for those aged 70 years or older (2013·2 [1682·2–2408·7] per 100 000 population). The estimates for HALE at 50 years and at 70 years in the Eastern Mediterranean region were lower than global estimates. Eastern Mediterranean countries with the lowest SDIs and HAQ Index values had high prevalence of injury DALYs and ranked the lowest for HALE at 50 years of age and HALE at 70 years. The leading injury mortality risk factors were occupational exposure in people aged 50–69 years and low bone mineral density in those aged 70 years or older.InterpretationInjuries still pose a real threat to people aged 50 years or older living in the Eastern Mediterranean region, mainly due to transport and violence-related injuries. Dedicated efforts should be implemented to devise injury prevention strategies that are appropriate for older adults and cost-effective injury programmes tailored to the needs and resources of local health-care systems, and to curtail injury-associated risk and promote healthy ageing.FundingBill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Younger age of stroke in low-middle income countries is related to healthcare access and quality.

Stroke is the second leading cause of mortality globally with higher burden and younger age in low‐middle income countries (LMICs) than high‐income countries (HICs). However, it is unclear to what extent differences in healthcare access and quality (HAQ) and prevalence of risk factors between LMICs and HICs contribute to younger age of stroke in LMICs. In this systematic review, we conducted meta‐analysis of 67 articles and compared the mean age of stroke between LMICs and HICs, before and after adjusting for HAQ index. We also compared the prevalence of main stroke risk factors between HICs and LMICs. The unadjusted mean age of stroke in LMICs was significantly lower than HICs (63.1 vs. 68.6), regardless of gender (63.9 vs. 66.6 among men, and 65.6 vs. 70.7 among women) and whether data were collected in population‐ (64.7 vs. 69.5) or hospital‐based (62.6 vs. 65.9) studies (all p < 0.01). However, after adjusting for HAQ index, the difference in the mean age of stroke between LMICs and HICs was not significant (p ≥ 0.10), except among women (p = 0.048). In addition, while the median prevalence of hypertension in LMICs was 23.4% higher than HICs, the prevalence of all other risk factors was lower in LMICs than HICs. Our findings suggest a much larger contribution of HAQ to the younger mean age of stroke in LMICs, as compared with other potential factors. Additional studies on stroke care quality and accessibility are needed in LMICs.

Global, regional, and national burdens of common micronutrient deficiencies from 1990 to 2019: A secondary trend analysis based on the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study.

SummaryBackgroundUnderstanding micronutrient deficiency burdens and trends can help guide effective intervention strategies. This study aims to elucidate trends in common micronutrient deficiencies, in particular, dietary iron, iodine and vitamin A deficiencies, from 1990 to 2019 using Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 study data.MethodsWe analyzed data from the GBD 2019 study to calculate the prevalence, incidence, and disability-adjusted life year (DALY) rates of micronutrient deficiencies in geographic populations worldwide from 1990 to 2019. The estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) and age-standardized rates were calculated to evaluate the temporal trends.FindingsGlobally, the age-standardized prevalence rates of iodine deficiency, vitamin A deficiency, and dietary iron deficiency decreased, with EAPCs of -0.690 (95% CI, -0.842 to -0.538), -3.15 (95% CI, -3.20 to -3.02), and -0.546 (95% CI, -0.585 to -0.507) between 1999 and 2019, respectively. Regarding the sociodemographic index (SDI), the highest age-standardized prevalence, incidence, and DALY rates of micronutrient deficiency were found in low-SDI countries in 2019. There were linear associations between the SDI and the healthcare access and quality (HAQ) index and age-standardized prevalence, incidence, and DALY rates.InterpretationGlobal micronutrient deficiency burdens have decreased since 1990. The potential burden of iodine deficiency in some developed countries is worthy of attention. The results of this study could guide policy makers in implementing cost-effective interventions to reduce micronutrient deficiency burdens, particularly in low-SDI and low-HAQ index countries.FundingThis work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 82000753) and the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (Grant No. 2021MD703910).

Covid-19 Infection in Hematological Malignancies: Registry Data from India

Background: The impact of COVID-19 pandemic has been highly heterogeneous across the globe and different regions within the country. The differences in the outcome of these patients is related to their demographic profile, genetics, socio-economic conditions, and government health policies. Prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, the Healthcare Access and Quality (HAQ) Index for hematological malignancies (HAQ index <30) in a low-middle socio-demographic index(SDI) country like India was less than the mean HAQ index for all other diseases (HAQ index 41) with a significant regional disparity.(1)Several national and international registries from high socio-demographic Index (SDI) countries have reported worse short-term outcomes of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in patients with hematologic as compared to other solid cancers. The outcomes of COVID-19 in patients with hematologic malignancies from a low-middle SDI country are yet unknown. The COVID-19 Hematologic Cancer registry of India reports these outcomes from India.Methods: Ten tertiary referral hospitals across India reported the demographic, clinical, laboratory, treatment, and outcomes of COVID-19 infection in patients with hematological malignancies. The registry was retrospective from March 21, 2020, and prospective from November 1, 2020, till March 20, 2021. Risk factors associated with severity and mortality were evaluated using the penalised logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards model.Findings: Data from 565 patients was included in this study. Among these, 429 (76%) patients were hospitalized, 186 (33%) patients had moderate/severe COVID-19.There were 116 (20.5%) non-survivors at a mean follow up of 147 (95% CI : 142-153) days. Age >60 years (HR 2·55, 1·23 - 5·27), diagnosis of acute myeloid leukemia (HR 2·85, 1·58 - 5·13), interruption or alteration of anticancer therapy (HR 2·78, 1·65 - 4·68), and post hematopoietic cell transplant status (HR 3·68, 1·82 - 7·45) predicted mortality. In contrast, increasing age [20-40 years (OR 2·54, 1·32 - 4·90), 41-60 years (OR 3·51, 1·84 - 6·71), >60 years (OR 6·04, 3·01 - 12·10), comorbidities such as diabetes mellitus (OR 1·89, 1·18 - 3·04), hypertension (OR 1·94, 1·17 - 3·19), diagnosis of AML (OR 3·70, 2·06 - 6·67), indolent non-hodgkin lymphoma (OR 3·20, 1·68 - 6·09), multiple myeloma (OR 2·88, 1·64 - 5·05), malignancy not being in remission (OR 1·71, 1·12 - 2·60)were significantly associated with severe COVID-19 on univariate analysis. Of these, only increasing age [20-40 years (OR 2·60 (1·31 - 5·15), 40-60 years (OR 3·44, 1.60 - 7·41), more than 60 years (OR 5·70, 2·43 - 13·35)] , AML (OR 2·73, 1·45 - 5·12), and malignancy not being in remission (OR 1·85, 1·18 - 2·89) were significantly associated with severe COVID-19 on multivariable analysisConclusion: The overall mortality from COVID-19 infection of the entire cohort was 20.5%; the mortality was 46.2% in patients who had moderate to severe disease COVID-19 illness. Similar to previous studies, age, diagnosis of acute myeloid leukemia and a post stem cell transplant status was associated with mortality. In addition, interruption or de-escalation of anticancer therapy during Covid-19 infection was identified as an important factor associated with higher mortality on follow up in the current study.

Variation in Health Care Access and Quality Among US States and High-Income Countries With Universal Health Insurance Coverage

Based on mortality estimates for 32 causes of death that are amenable to health care, the US health care system did not perform as well as other high-income countries, scoring 88.7 out of 100 on the 2016 age-standardized Healthcare Access and Quality (HAQ) index. To compare US age-specific HAQ scores with those of high-income countries with universal health insurance coverage and compare scores among US states with varying insurance coverage. This cross-sectional study used 2016 Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factor study results for cause-specific mortality with adjustments for behavioral and environmental risks to estimate the age-specific HAQ indices. The US national age-specific HAQ scores were compared with high-income peers (Canada, western Europe, high-income Asia Pacific countries, and Australasia) in 1990, 2000, 2010, and 2016, and the 2016 scores among US states were also analyzed. The Public Use Microdata Sample of the American Community Survey was used to estimate insurance coverage and the median income per person by age and state. Age-specific HAQ scores for each state in 2010 and 2016 were regressed based on models with age fixed effects and age interaction with insurance coverage, median income, and year. Data were analyzed from April to July 2018 and July to September 2020. The age-specific HAQ indices were the outcome measures. In 1990, US age-specific HAQ scores were similar to peers but increased less from 1990 to 2016 than peer locations for ages 15 years or older. For example, for ages 50 to 54 years, US scores increased from 77.1 to 82.1 while high-income Asia Pacific scores increased from 71.6 to 88.2. In 2016, several states had scores comparable with peers, with large differences in performance across states. For ages 15 years or older, the age-specific HAQ scores were 85 or greater for all ages in 3 states (Connecticut, Massachusetts, and Minnesota) and 75 or less for at least 1 age category in 6 states. In regression analysis estimates with state-fixed effects, insurance coverage coefficients for ages 20 to 24 years were 0.059 (99% CI, 0.006-0.111); 45 to 49 years, 0.088 (99% CI, 0.009-0.167); and 50 to 54 years, 0.101 (99% CI, 0.013-0.189). A 10% increase in insurance coverage was associated with point increases in HAQ scores among the ages of 20 to 24 years (0.59 [99% CI, 0.06-1.11]), 45 to 49 years (0.88 [99% CI, 0.09-1.67]), and 50 to 54 years (1.01 [99% CI, 0.13-1.89]). In this cross-sectional study, the US age-specific HAQ scores for ages 15 to 64 years were low relative to high-income peer locations with universal health insurance coverage. Among US states, insurance coverage was associated with higher HAQ scores for some ages. Further research with causal models and additional explanations is warranted.

Hearing loss prevalence and years lived with disability, 1990–2019: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

SummaryBackgroundHearing loss affects access to spoken language, which can affect cognition and development, and can negatively affect social wellbeing. We present updated estimates from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study on the prevalence of hearing loss in 2019, as well as the condition's associated disability.MethodsWe did systematic reviews of population-representative surveys on hearing loss prevalence from 1990 to 2019. We fitted nested meta-regression models for severity-specific prevalence, accounting for hearing aid coverage, cause, and the presence of tinnitus. We also forecasted the prevalence of hearing loss until 2050.FindingsAn estimated 1·57 billion (95% uncertainty interval 1·51–1·64) people globally had hearing loss in 2019, accounting for one in five people (20·3% [19·5–21·1]). Of these, 403·3 million (357·3–449·5) people had hearing loss that was moderate or higher in severity after adjusting for hearing aid use, and 430·4 million (381·7–479·6) without adjustment. The largest number of people with moderate-to-complete hearing loss resided in the Western Pacific region (127·1 million people [112·3–142·6]). Of all people with a hearing impairment, 62·1% (60·2–63·9) were older than 50 years. The Healthcare Access and Quality (HAQ) Index explained 65·8% of the variation in national age-standardised rates of years lived with disability, because countries with a low HAQ Index had higher rates of years lived with disability. By 2050, a projected 2·45 billion (2·35–2·56) people will have hearing loss, a 56·1% (47·3–65·2) increase from 2019, despite stable age-standardised prevalence.InterpretationAs populations age, the number of people with hearing loss will increase. Interventions such as childhood screening, hearing aids, effective management of otitis media and meningitis, and cochlear implants have the potential to ameliorate this burden. Because the burden of moderate-to-complete hearing loss is concentrated in countries with low health-care quality and access, stronger health-care provision mechanisms are needed to reduce the burden of unaddressed hearing loss in these settings.FundingBill & Melinda Gates Foundation and WHO.

Injury Morbidity and Mortality Among Older Adults and Elderly in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR): Findings from the Global Burden of Disease 1990-2019

Background: Injury poses a major threat to older adults and elderly health and longevity. The increased longevity in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR), warrants further understanding of the aging population inevitable changing health demands and challenges. This study examines injury morbidity and mortality among elderly populations aged 50 years and above in the 22 EMR countries and analyzes these outcomes based on Socio-demographic Index (SDI), Healthcare Access and Quality (HAQ), and risk factors. Methods: Drawing on data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019, we categorized the population into older adults (50-69), and elderly (70 and above). We reported injury-related mortality rates; Years of Life Lost (YLLs); Years lived with Disability (YLDs) and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs); Socio-Demographic Index (SDI); Healthcare Access and Quality (HAQ), and Risk Factors of injury deaths in the EMR between 1990 and 2019. Findings: Estimated Injury death rates in EMR exceeded the global rates in 2019. Males had higher injury mortality rates compared to females. Transport injuries were the leading cause of deaths in older adults (43.0 (UI 31.0-51.8)) and elderly (66.2 (UI 52.5-75.5)) per 100,000. Conflict and terrorism were major causes of injury mortality for both age groups. The highest annual percent change in death rates due to injury between 1990 and 2019 was observed in Afghanistan among the elderly (5.5). The leading cause of DALYs was transport injuries for older adults at 1,798.8 (UI 1,394.1-2,116.0) and unintentional injuries for elderly at 2,013.2 (UI 1,682.2-2,408.7) per 100,000. The leading injury mortality risk factors were occupational exposure in older adults and low bone mineral density in the elderly. High SDI and HAQ scores in EMR countries were significantly associated with healthy life expectancy at 50 and 70 years. Interpretation: Injuries remains a major health problem in EMR countries, posing a real threat to older adults and elderlies, mainly due to transport and violence related injuries. Dedicated efforts should be implemented to ensure elderly-appropriate injury prevention strategies, cost-effective injury programs tailored to the need of local healthcare systems and to curtail injury-associated risk and promote healthy aging. Funding Information: This research was funded by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. Declaration of Interests: All authors declare that they have no competing interests.