Gulf Coast Estuaries Research Articles

Hot and Fresh: Evidence of Climate-Related Suboptimal Water Conditions for Seagrass in a Large Gulf Coast Estuary

Seagrasses have long been a focal point for management efforts aimed at restoring ecosystem health in estuaries worldwide. In Tampa Bay, Florida (USA), seagrass coverage has declined since 2016 by nearly a third (11,518 acres), despite sustained reductions of nitrogen loads supportive of light environments for growth. Changing physical water quality conditions related to climate change may be stressing seagrasses beyond their optimal growth ranges, requiring an assessment to determine if this decline can be linked to climate stress. Three ambient water quality datasets of varying sampling designs and coverage were evaluated to characterize physicochemical environments in Tampa Bay and the potential relationships with seagrass change. Tampa Bay has become hotter and fresher with water temperature increasing by 0.03–0.04 °C per year and salinity decreasing by 0.04–0.06 ppt per year, translating to an increase of 1.3 to 1.7 °C and a decrease of 1.6 to 2.6 ppt over the last 50 years. Additionally, the number of days when temperature was above 30 °C or salinity was below 25 ppt has increased on average across all bay segments by 48 and 37 days, respectively, since 1975. These changes varied spatially and seasonally, with the most dramatic changes observed in the upper bay. Generalized Additive Models provided a weight-of-evidence that recent seagrass declines are somewhat associated with hotter and fresher conditions. Trends in warming and increased precipitation in the region are likely to continue, further creating suboptimal conditions for seagrasses in Tampa Bay. These results should compel resource managers to consider the likelihood that reduced resilience of estuarine resources due to shifting ecological baselines driven by additional climate change drivers will complicate long-standing management paradigms. While conventional management approaches that focus on limiting nutrient loads should be continued, their future effectiveness may be confounded by climate change drivers and warrant additional, complementary interventions and continuous monitoring data to support ecosystem health into the future.

Measuring carbon and nitrogen bioassimilation, burial, and denitrification contributions of oyster reefs in Gulf coast estuaries

The eastern oyster (Crassostrea virginica) and the reefs they create provide significant ecosystem services. This study measured their possible role in nutrient mitigation through bioassimilation, burial, and oyster-mediated sediment denitrification in near-shore shallow water ( 1 m water depth) oyster reefs in Louisiana. Nitrogen (N) and carbon (C) in shell and tissue differed by oyster reproductive status, size, and habitat type. Changes in tissue percent N and C post-spawning combined with significant reductions in tissue dry weight from the release of gametes, resulted in 20 and 46% reductions in tissue N and C load (mg), respectively, for a 100-mm oyster. Oyster reefs did not enhance burial rates, with burial range rates estimated at 1.4–2.6 g N m−2 year−1, and 26.9–43.8 g C m−2 year−1. Closed-system ex situ incubations indicated net denitrification in all habitat types studied, with the highest rates exceeding 600 µmol N m−2 h−1 during the summer, but no enhancement attributable to oyster reefs specifically. Within the highly productive, organic-rich wetland complex systems of coastal Louisiana, oyster reefs were not associated with enhanced denitrification, likely due to the organic-rich setting, and redundant supplies of organic nitrogen and carbon from adjacent marshes. Context remains critical in determining ecosystem provision of habitats, and efforts to extrapolate and predict nitrogen removal across locations necessitates consideration of local conditions. Considering the large extent of reefs and oyster production across coastal Louisiana, oyster habitats may still contribute to N and C mitigation, but their unique contribution likely comes from bioassimilation, and removal of the oysters from the system.

An ecologist's guide to careers in science policy advising

An ecologist's guide to careers in science policy advising

Determining Dredge-Induced Turbidity and Sediment Plume Settling within an Intracoastal Waterway System

ABSTRACT Wang, P. and Beck, T.M., 2017. Determining dredge-induced turbidity and sediment plume settling within an intracoastal waterway system. The intracoastal waterway (IWW) is a continuous navigation channel that often extends across seagrass beds and other sensitive habitats throughout the Gulf and Atlantic Coast estuaries of the United States. Turbidity increase associated with an IWW dredging operation in west-central Florida and subsequent dredge plume subsidence were measured with optical backscatter sensors and acoustic Doppler velocimeters, which also measured in situ wave and current conditions. The field experiments were conducted over a dense seagrass bed. Sediment in the study area is dominantly composed of fine, well-sorted quartz sand, typical of Florida estuaries. The dredge plume temporally increased the turbidity to more than 400 mg/L around a midwater depth. The settling of the dredge plume and sediment resuspension were calculated with commonly used empirical formulas for noncohesive...

Contributions of organic and inorganic matter to sediment volume and accretion in tidal wetlands at steady state.

A mixing model derived from first principles describes the bulk density (BD) of intertidal wetland sediments as a function of loss on ignition (LOI). The model assumes that the bulk volume of sediment equates to the sum of self‐packing volumes of organic and mineral components or BD = 1/[LOI/k1 + (1‐LOI)/k2], where k1 and k2 are the self‐packing densities of the pure organic and inorganic components, respectively. The model explained 78% of the variability in total BD when fitted to 5075 measurements drawn from 33 wetlands distributed around the conterminous United States. The values of k1 and k2 were estimated to be 0.085 ± 0.0007 g cm−3 and 1.99 ± 0.028 g cm−3, respectively. Based on the fitted organic density (k1) and constrained by primary production, the model suggests that the maximum steady state accretion arising from the sequestration of refractory organic matter is ≤ 0.3 cm yr−1. Thus, tidal peatlands are unlikely to indefinitely survive a higher rate of sea‐level rise in the absence of a significant source of mineral sediment. Application of k2 to a mineral sediment load typical of East and eastern Gulf Coast estuaries gives a vertical accretion rate from inorganic sediment of 0.2 cm yr−1. Total steady state accretion is the sum of the parts and therefore should not be greater than 0.5 cm yr−1 under the assumptions of the model. Accretion rates could deviate from this value depending on variation in plant productivity, root:shoot ratio, suspended sediment concentration, sediment‐capture efficiency, and episodic events.

Optical Models for Remote Sensing of Colored Dissolved Organic Matter Absorption and Salinity in New England, Middle Atlantic and Gulf Coast Estuaries USA

Ocean color algorithms have been successfully developed to estimate chlorophyll a and total suspended solids concentrations in coastal and estuarine waters but few have been created to estimate light absorption due to colored dissolved inorganic matter (CDOM) and salinity from the spectral signatures of these waters. In this study, we used remotely sensed reflectances in the red and blue-green portions of the visible spectrum retrieved from Medium Resolution Imaging Spectrometer (MERIS) and the International Space Station (ISS) Hyperspectral Imager for the Coastal Ocean (HICO) images to create a model to estimate CDOM absorption. CDOM absorption results were then used to develop an algorithm to predict the surface salinities of coastal bays and estuaries in New England, Middle Atlantic, and Gulf of Mexico regions. Algorithm-derived CDOM absorptions and salinities were successfully validated using laboratory measured absorption values over magnitudes of ~0.1 to 7.0 m−1 and field collected CTD data from oligohaline to polyhaline (S less than 5 to 18–30) environments in Narragansett Bay (Rhode Island); the Neuse River Estuary (North Carolina); Pensacola Bay (Florida); Choctawhatchee Bay (Florida); St. Andrews Bay (Florida); St. Joseph Bay (Florida); and inner continental shelf waters of the Gulf of Mexico.

Role of Flood Disturbance in Natural Oyster (Crassostrea virginica) Population Maintenance in an Estuary in South Texas, USA

A 2-year period with flood versus drought conditions provided the opportunity to examine the effects of flood disturbance on subtidal eastern oyster Crassostrea virginica biology and population dynamics in a south Texas estuary. Oysters were sampled monthly in 2007 and 2008 to examine the impacts of changing environmental conditions on oyster populations. Oysters were also examined quarterly for the presence of Perkinsus marinus. Filtration rates were calculated as a function of oyster size, temperature, salinity, and total suspended solids. Flood events in 2007 caused temporary reductions in salinity and were associated with reductions in oyster abundance, spat settlement, disease levels (weighted prevalence and percent infection), and filtration rates. Oyster populations had generally recovered within 1 year’s time—the oysters were younger and smaller but were just as abundant as pre-flood levels. The rapid return of oysters to pre-flood abundance levels is attributed in part to the ability of oysters in Gulf coast estuaries to spawn multiple times in a single season and in part to their relatively high growth rates. Although flood disturbance may temporarily reduce or destroy oyster populations, the ability of the Mission–Aransas Estuary to retain freshwater pulses within the system and maintain low salinities that are unfavorable for predators and disease can facilitate oyster population recovery. Episodic flood events appear to play a critical role in promoting long-term oyster population maintenance in the Mission–Aransas Estuary. The response of oysters to changing environmental conditions over the short term provides some insights into the potential long-term effects of changing climate.

Prey and Habitat Influences the Movement of Clapper Rails in Northern Gulf Coast Estuaries

Loss and modification of tidal marsh habitat has contributed to the decline of marsh bird species. For many marsh birds that inhabit tidal ecosystems, little information exists on habitat use, particularly in relation to movement and response to prey availability. In this study, radio-telemetry was used to investigate home range size, movement patterns and response of Clapper Rails (Rallus longirostris) to prey availability within tidal marshes in coastal Mississippi. Mean fixed kernel 95% home range for breeding Clapper Rails was 1.37 ha ± SE 0.27 (N = 10 birds) with a 50% core use area 0.32 ha ± SE 0.07 (N = 10 birds), which are estimates similar to those obtained throughout this species' range. The extent of Clapper Rail movements during the incubation period was negatively correlated with density of fiddler crab burrows within 50 m of nest sites. Clapper Rails' use of marsh edge decreased relative to tidal height. Use of this habitat type may have been further restricted during the first few weeks of the parental-care period when adults were caring for recently fledged young. Collectively these results illustrate the importance of edge and interior marsh habitats and may provide an explanation for the variation in Clapper Rail densities found within and between tidal marsh systems.

Trophic Relationships of a Marsh Bird Differ Between Gulf Coast Estuaries

Much of North America’s tidal marsh habitat has been significantly altered by both natural and man-made processes. Thus, there is a need to understand the trophic ecology of organisms endemic to these ecosystems. We applied carbon (δ 13C) and nitrogen (δ 15N) stable isotope analysis, along with isotope mixing models, to egg yolk, liver, and muscle tissues of clapper rails (Rallus longirostris) and their likely prey items. This analysis enabled us to explore variation in trophic niche and diet composition in this important marsh bird in two northern Gulf of Mexico tidal marshes that are river and ocean-dominated. For the river-associated estuary, δ 13C and δ 15N of egg yolks, liver, and pectoral muscle tissue samples provided evidence that clapper rails maintained a similar diet during both the winter and the breeding season. A trophic link between C3 primary productivity and the clapper rail’s diet was also indicated as the δ 13C of clapper rail egg yolks related negatively with the aerial cover of C3 macrophytes. Clapper rails from the ocean-dominated estuary had a narrower trophic niche and appeared to be utilizing marine resources, particularly, based on modeling of liver stable isotope values. Variation in stable isotope values between egg yolk and liver/muscle in both systems suggests that endogenous resources are important for egg production in clapper rails. These results demonstrate that diet composition, prey source, and niche width of clapper rails can vary significantly across different estuaries and appear to be influenced by hydrological conditions.

Tropical Storm and Hurricane Impacts on a Gulf Coast Estuary: Apalachicola Bay, Florida

Abstract Since 1985, various long-term monitoring programs have been in place in the Apalachicola Bay area that can be utilized to determine the effects of tropical storms and hurricanes on the natural resources of the area. The size, speed of movement, severity, angle and direction of landfall, as well as storm surge height and the amount and location of precipitation all play a role in determining impacts. Short-term impacts seen in the bay from these tropical events include water quality alterations, such as salinity and turbidity changes, water level changes, and loss of sea turtle nests. Long-term impacts include changes to the structure of the beach, dunes, and bayside areas on a barrier island, loss of or changes in submerged aquatic vegetation distribution, and the physical alteration of oyster reefs as well as oyster populations. In particular, Hurricane Dennis in 2005 caused the complete loss of fresh and brackish submerged aquatic vegetation in the upper areas of the bay. Larger storms in 1995 ...

Total Hg, methyl Hg and other toxic heavy metals in a northern Gulf of Mexico estuary: Louisiana Pontchartrain basin

Concentration of total Hg, methyl Hg, and other heavy metals were determined in sediment collected along a salinity gradient in a Louisiana Gulf Coast estuary. Surface sediment was collected at established coordinates (n = 292) along a salinity gradient covering Lake Maurepas, Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Borgne and the Chandeleur Sound located in the 12,170 km2 Pontchartrain basin estuary southeastern coastal Louisiana. Lake Maurepas sediment with lower salinity contained higher levels of methyl Hg (0.80 μ g/kg) than Lake Pontchartrain (0.55 μ g/kg). Lake Maurepas sediment also had higher levels of total Hg (98.0 μ g/kg) as compared to Lake Pontchartrain (67.0 μ g/kg). Average total Hg content of Lake Borgne and the Chandeleur Sound sediment was 24.0 μg/kg dry sediment and methyl Hg content averaged 0.21μ g/kg dry sediment. Methyl Hg content of sediment was positively correlated with total Hg, organic matter and clay content of sediment. Methyl Hg was inversely correlated with salinity, sediment Eh and sand content. Total Hg and methyl Hg decreased with increase in salinity in the order of Lake Maurepas > Lake Pontchartrain > Lake Borgne/ the Chandeleur Sound. Lake Maurepas containing several times higher amount of methyl Hg in sediment as compared to Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Borgne and the Chandeleur Sound is an area that could serve as potential source of mercury to the aquatic food chain. Methyl Hg content of sediment in the estuary could be predicted by the equation: Methyl Hg = 0.11670–0.0625 × Salinity + 0.05349 × O.M. + 0.00513 × Total Hg - 0.00250 × Clay. Concentrations of other toxic heavy metals (Pb, Cd, Ni, Cu and Zn) in sediment were not elevated and was statistically correlated with sediment texture and iron and aluminum content of sediment.

Isolation and culture of the marine rotifer, Colurella dicentra (Gosse, 1887), from a Mississippi Gulf Coast estuary

Few marine rotifer species (e.g. Encentrum linheii and Synchaeta cecilia) have been cultured successfully besides Brachionus plicatilis and B. rotundiformis, commonly used to rear larvae of many marine fish species. The development of culture techniques for marine rotifers smaller in size than the Brachionus species may be useful for rearing fish species for which the currently used prey are too large. We evaluated the possibility of culturing Colurella dicentra isolated from a Mississippi Gulf Coast estuary. An experiment was conducted to determine the effects of salinity (10–35 g L−1) on its population growth rate. Rotifers were fed Nannochloropsis oculata at a density of 100 000 cells mL−1 for 15 days. Colurella dicentra survived in water with a salinity of 10–47 g L−1. Densities of up to 300 rotifers mL−1 were sometimes attained in cultures. Salinity influenced C. dicentra production (P 0.05), but were higher (P=0.05) than numbers at 25 g L−1 (4240±1783), 30 g L−1 (1300±264 SD) and 35 g L−1 (100±101 SD). The population growth rate (r) of the rotifers was the highest at 15 g L−1 (0.37–0.42 day−1), and the lowest at 35 g L−1 (−0.33–0.06 day−1). This is the first report of C. dicentra in the estuarine waters of the Gulf of Mexico, and also the first time it has been cultured successfully.

Importance of Storm Events in Controlling Ecosystem Structure and Function in a Florida Gulf Coast Estuary

From 8/95 to 2/01, we investigated the ecological effects of intra- and inter-annual variability in freshwater flow through Taylor Creek in southeastern Everglades National Park. Continuous monitoring and intensive sampling studies overlapped with an array of pulsed weather events that impacted physical, chemical, and biological attributes of this region. We quantified the effects of three events representing a range of characteristics (duration, amount of precipitation, storm intensity, wind direction) on the hydraulic connectivity, nutrient and sediment dynamics, and vegetation structure of the SE Everglades estuarine ecotone. These events included a strong winter storm in November 1996, Tropical Storm Harvey in September 1999, and Hurricane Irene in October 1999. Continuous hydrologic and daily water sample data were used to examine the effects of these events on the physical forcing and quality of water in Taylor Creek. A high resolution, flow-through sampling and mapping approach was used to characterize water quality in the adjacent bay. To understand the effects of these events on vegetation communities, we measured mangrove litter production and estimated seagrass cover in the bay at monthly intervals. We also quantified sediment deposition associated with Hurricane Irene's flood surge along the Buttonwood Ridge. These three events resulted in dramatic changes in surface water movement and chemistry in Taylor Creek and adjacent regions of Florida Bay as well as increased mangrove litterfall and flood surge scouring of seagrass beds. Up to 5 cm of bay-derived mud was deposited along the ridge adjacent to the creek in this single pulsed event. These short-term events can account for a substantial proportion of the annual flux of freshwater and materials between the mangrove zone and Florida Bay. Our findings shed light on the capacity of these storm events, especially when in succession, to have far reaching and long lasting effects on coastal ecosystems such as the estuarine ecotone of the SE Everglades.

Use of retrospective data to assess ecotoxicological monitoring needs for terrestrial vertebrates residing in Atlantic coast estuaries.

The "Contaminant Exposure and Effects-Terrestrial Vertebrates" (CEE-TV) database contains 4,336 records of ecotoxicological information for free-ranging amphibians, reptiles, birds, and mammals residing in Atlantic and Florida Gulf coast estuaries and their drainages. To identify spatial data gaps, those CEE-TV records for which the specific study location were known (n = 2,740) were combined with watershed and wildlife management unit boundaries using Geographic Information Systems software. The US Environmental Protection Agency's Index of Watershed Indicators (IWI), which classifies watersheds based on water quality and their vulnerability to pollution, was used to prioritize these data gaps. Of 136 watersheds in the study area, 15 that are classified by the IWI as having water quality problems or high vulnerability to pollution lacked terrestrial vertebrate ecotoxicological monitoring or research in the past decade. Older studies within some of these watersheds documented high levels of contaminants in wildlife tissues. Of 90 National Wildlife Refuge units, 42 without current data fall within watersheds of concern. Of 40 National Park units larger than 1 km2, 17 without current data fall within watersheds of concern. Issues encountered in this analysis highlighted the need for spatially and temporally replicated field monitoring programs that utilize random sampling. Without data from such studies, it will be difficult to perform unbiased assessments of regional trends in contaminant exposure and effects in terrestrial vertebrates.

Livingston, R.J.: Eutrophication Processes in Coastal Systems - Origin and Succession of Plankton Blooms and Effects on Secondary Production in Gulf Coast Estuaries

Livingston, R.J.: Eutrophication Processes in Coastal Systems - Origin and Succession of Plankton Blooms and Effects on Secondary Production in Gulf Coast Estuaries

Overview and present status of the toxic Pfiesteria complex (Dinophyceae)

This paper reviews the Pfiesteria issue and Pfiesteria science and presents new information on variation in toxicity among Pfiesteria strains, culture effects on their toxicity, the trophic interactions of Pfiesteria spp ., and impacts on fish and mammals. We also assess Pfiesteria spp. impacts on fish in comparison to certain other estuarine dinoflagellates of similar appearance. Species of the toxic Pfiesteria complex (TPC) thus far include P. piscicida and P. shumwayae. These species share morphological and genetic similarities, and both have toxic strains that (1) show strong attraction to live fish;(2) exhibit toxicity that is triggered by live fish or their fresh tissues and excreta; and (3) produce toxin(s) that cause fish stress, disease and death under ecologically relevant conditions (the standardized fish bioassay process involves testing live Pfiesteria cells at similar densities to those encountered during Pfiesteria-related fish kill/disease events). Both Pfiesteria species also have a complex life cycle with multiple amoeboid, flagellated and cyst stages, several of which are ichthyotoxic. TPC species are eurythermal and euryhaline, with prey spanning the estuarine food web, from bacteria to mammalian tissues. They can be stimulated directly or indirectly by nitrogen and phosphorus enrichment. Toxic strains can be either actively or potentially toxic (the TOX-A and TOX-B functional types, respectively); in addition, c.40% of randomly isolated clones have been found to be benign [the noninducible or NON-IND functional type, which apparently lacks the ability to produce bioactive substances (toxins) that cause fish disease or death]. These functional types differ significantly in response to algal prey, predators, nutrients and fish. Moreover, as an apparent artifact of culture conditions, toxic strains generally lose their ability to cause fish death and disease and become NON-IND within weeks to months. At low cell densities, toxic strains can be causative agents of acute and/or chronic diffuse and focal lesions and of other fish diseases, as demonstrated in fish bioassays. A partially purified, water-soluble Pjiesteria toxin disrupts calcium metabolism in rat pituitary cells and mimics an adenosine triphosphate neurotransmitter that targets P2X7 purinoreceptors found predominantly on immune cells. Respiratory, visual, and neurological impacts have been sustained by people exposed to aerosols from fish-killing Pfiesteria cultures or to water and aerosols during estuarine fish kills associated with toxic Pfiesteria. Neurocognitive impacts from exposure to toxic Pfiesteria have been replicated experimentally in small mammals. Toxic strains of Pfiesteria species have been confirmed from mid-Atlantic and Gulf Coast estuaries in the United States and from northern Europe and New Zealand, indicating that these toxic dinoflagellates are cosmopolitan in distribution.

Nekton Use of Submerged Aquatic Vegetation, Marsh, and Shallow Unvegetated Bottom in the Atchafalaya River Delta, a Louisiana Tidal Freshwater Ecosystem

We sampled nekton (fishes and decapod crustaceans) in submerged aquatic vegetation (SAV) (Potanogeton nodosus, Najas guadalupensis), in emergent marsh vegetation (Sagittaria spp. andScirpus americanus), and over unvegetated bottom associated with three islands in the Atchafalaya River Delta, Louisiana. The purpose of our study was to quantify nekton densities in these major aquatic habitat types and to document the relative importance of these areas to numerically dominant aquatic organisms. We collected a total of 33 species of fishes and 7 species of crustaceans in 298 1-m2 throw trap samples taken over three seasons: summer (July and August 1994), fall (September and October 1994), and spring (May and June 1995). Fishes numerically accounted for >65% of the total organisms collected. Vegetated areas generally supported much higher nekton densities than unvegetated sites, although bay anchoviesAnchoa mitchilli were more abundant over unvegetated bottom than in most vegetated habitat types. Among vegetation types, most species showed no apparent preference between SAV and marsh. However, inland silversidesMenidia beryllina and freshwater gobiesGobionellus shufeldti were most abundant inScirpus marsh in summer, and blue crabsCallinectes sapidus were most abundant in SAV (Potamogeton) in spring. Several species (sheepshead minnowCyprinodon variegatus, rainwater killifishLucania parva, and blue crab) apparently selected the vegetated backmarsh of islands (opposite of riverside) over stream-sideScirpus marsh. Freshwater gobies, in contrast, were most abundant in streamsideScirpus marsh. Densities of juvenile blue crabs were high (up to 17 m−2) in vegetated delta habitat types and comparable to values reported from more saline regions of Gulf Coast estuaries. Shallow vegetated habitat types of the Atchafalaya River Delta and other tidal freshwater systems of the Gulf Coast may be important nursery areas for blue crabs and other estuarine species.

Pre- and post-settlement factors as determinants of juvenile blue crab Callinectes sapidus abundance: results from the north-central Gulf of Mexico

We estimated juvenile abundance and predation potential for young-of-the-year (YOY) blue crabs Callinectes sapidus in upper- and lower-salinity marsh and submerged aquatic vegetation (SAV) 'nursery habitats' of Mobile Bay, Alabama, USA, and surrounding waters, and combined this information with previously published post-larval abundance data from these habitats to evaluate the relative roles of pre- and post-settlement events in determining the abundance of YOY crabs. We found little evidence for a significant relationship between megalopal supply and juvenile abundance, except shortly after a few very large, episodic pulses of postlarvae. However, even after large settlement events, in less than 14 d densities of YOY crabs had declined in a density-dependent manner to prior 'background' levels. These declines in density were probably due to high predation rates that produced as much as 95% mortality on a daily basis. As many previous studies had found, greater predation risk was recorded for crabs on unvegetated substrate than for those in SAV or marsh grass. Overall, losses to predators were high at our study sites compared to those reported in similar studies along the Atlantic coast of the United States. In both years of the study (1990 and 1991), the largest numbers of juvenile crabs were found in poly- and mesohaline SAV and salt marsh habitats. In Year 1, no significant correlations were observed between either marsh stem density or SAV vegetation biomass and YOY crab abundance, although at one location in the second year there was a significant positive correlation between the number of juveniles and mid-bay stem density. No significant differences in crab size (carapace width, CW) were found among locations in either year. In comparison with other, better-studied mid-Atlantic coast estuaries in the US (e.g., the Chesapeake and Delaware bays), very large numbers of megalopae (frequently 1 to 2 orders of magnitude greater) invade the Mobile Bay system, as well as other Gulf Coast estuaries. However, YOY abundance in marsh and SAV 'nursery habitats' was of the same order of magnitude as that reported for mid-Atlantic estuaries. We conclude that although postlarval supply was very large, post-settlement loss to predators was the dominant factor influencing blue crab population dynamics in our north central Gulf of Mexico study area.

Three lines of evidence in a sediment toxicity evaluation for hexachlorobutadiene

Three approaches were used in a site-specific sediment toxicity evaluation for hexachlorobutadiene (HCBD), a chemical not previously tested for toxicity in sediment. The results of a sediment dilution study, spiked sediment toxicity tests, and a probabilistic model based on equilibrium partitioning theory were used to estimate ecological effects thresholds for HCBD in sediments of a Gulf Coast estuary. Twenty-nine sediment samples, including 11 undiluted samples and six dilution series, were tested for toxicity under estuarine conditions (10%0 salinity) using Hyalella azteca and Leptocheirus plumulosus. Site sediment was used as diluent, and all samples were assayed for a range of organic and inorganic chemicals. A logistic relationship was observed between HCBD concentrations and organism response, and nonlinear regression explained approximately 90% of the observed variation in amphipod survival as a function of HCBD. Spiked sediment toxicity test results generally agreed with the results of the dilution study, demonstrating the causality of the observed concentration–response relationship. Effects thresholds were estimated as HCBD concentrations corresponding to 80% amphipod survival. The most conservative effects thresholds from the spiked sediment and dilution studies were 0.63 mg/kg normalized to 1% total organic carbon (mg/kg1%OC) for H. azteca and 1.4 mg/kg1%OC for L. plumulosus. Aquatic LC50s for 10 species and a measured acute–chronic ratio from the published literature were used to predict a distribution of sediment effects thresholds for HCBD, with 10th and 90th percentile values of 2.6 and 45 mg/kg1%OC, respectively. The predicted and observed sediment effects thresholds thus agreed relatively well, although the H. azteca and L. plumulosus test results from this study seem to be somewhat more conservative than the majority of published aquatic toxicity test results.

Environmental management scenarios: Ecological implications

The measure of whether a management scenario is capable of establishing regional-scale ecosystem sustainability is the degree to which it recovers the historical characteristics of the regional landscape mosaic. This study examines the ability of alternate management scenarios to recover the defining ecological features of the Everglades and South Florida landscape. Five conceptual scenarios are evaluated for recovering and sustaining the ecological characteristics of the wetland systems in South Florida. First, the regional-scale physical characteristics are identified that created and supported the major organizing and driving forces in the predrainage Everglades and Big Cypress basins. Eight hypotheses are proposed to explain how human-caused modifications to these defining characteristics have been responsible for the substantial level of ecological deterioration that has been documented in South Florida wetlands during the last century. The restoration scenarios are evaluated on their proposed ability to correct the physical and biological problems identified by the hypotheses. Our assessment of the five scenarios shows that all would improve the problems addressed by the eight hypotheses, as all could more effectively move increased volumes of water across broader expanses of contiguous wetlands than do existing management programs. This would result in longer hydroperiods over larger areas, reflecting historical patterns. Two of the scenarios would be successful in increasing flows into Florida Bay and the Gulf coast estuaries because removing internal structures increases the spatial extent of the upstream areas that could be devoted to natural hydropatterns. The benefits of eastern boundary buffer zones include improved flow into the Taylor Slough basin. Using Lake Okeechobee as a site for increased water storage, followed by the addition of eastern buffer zones and portions of the Everglades Agricultural Area, would produce increased flexibility in providing the storage capacity required to meet sustainability goals. Scenarios with maximum areas of buffer not only are more successful in reducing groundwater seepage losses to the east but also are more likely to reduce the level of nutrients and other contaminants entering the natural wetlands.