Global Inventory Modeling And Mapping Studies Research Articles

Increased Sensitivity and Accelerated Response of Vegetation to Water Variability in China from 1982 to 2022

Understanding how plants adapt to shifting water availability is imperative for predicting ecosystem vulnerability to drought. However, the spatial–temporal dynamics of the plant–water relationship remain uncertain. In this study, we employed the latest Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies (GIMMS) Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI4g), an updated version succeeding GIMMS NDVI3g spanning from 1982 to 2022. We integrated this dataset with the multiple scale Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI 1 to 24) to investigate the spatial–temporal variability of sensitivity and lag in vegetation growth in response to water variability across China. Our findings indicate that over 83% of China’s vegetation demonstrates positive sensitivity to water availability, with approximately 66% exhibiting a shorter response lag (lag < 1 month). This relationship varies across aridity gradients and diverges among plant functional types. Over 66% of China’s vegetation displays increased sensitivity to water variability and 63% manifests a short response lag to water changes over the past 41 years. These outcomes significantly contribute to understanding vegetation dynamics in response to changing water conditions, implying a heightened susceptibility of vegetation to drought in a future warming world.

Responses of phenology to preseason drought and soil temperature for different land cover types on the Mongolian Plateau

Drought and heat caused major disturbance in nature by interfering with plant phenology, and can also alter the vulnerability and resilience of terrestrial ecosystems. Existing research on the Mongolian Plateau has primarily focused on studying the response of the start (SOS) and end (EOS) of the growing season to drought and heat variations. However, there is still a lack of comprehensive understanding regarding the coupled effects of drought and heat on phenology across different land cover types. In this study, we retrieved SOS and EOS based on 34-year (1982–2015) normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) dataset from Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies (GIMMS). Results showed that grasslands and the Gobi-Desert show rapid advancement in SOS, and forests presented the slowest advancement in SOS, but SOS in croplands were delayed. EOS across four land cover types advanced, with the Gobi-Desert showed the highest rate of advancement and forests the lowest. Using the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) and soil temperature as the indicators of drought and thermal conditions, the responses of SOS and EOS to these two climate variables were evaluated. The advanced SOS driven by lower drought severity was detected in forests, grasslands, croplands and the Gobi-Desert. The dominant response of EOS to drought severity was positive in croplands, grasslands and forests, except for the Gobi-Desert, where drought severity had negative effects on EOS. Compared with the daily average soil temperature (STmean), the daily maximum soil temperature (STmax, daytime), and the daily minimum soil temperature (STmin, nighttime), the daily diurnal soil temperature range (DSTR, where DSTR = STmax − STmin) between night and day were the most suitable indicators for assessing the response of SOS and EOS to soil temperature. Strong negative correlation between SOS and the preseason DSTR was pronounced in all land cover types on the Mongolian Plateau. However, EOS was negatively correlated with the preseason DSTR only in the Gobi-Desert. Last but not least, normalized sensitivity assessments reveal that the negative impacts of DSTR on SOS and EOS were the main controlling factors on the Mongolian Plateau phenology, followed by the couple negative effects of drought severity and DSTR.

Climatic Constraints of Spring Phenology and Its Variability on the Mongolian Plateau From 1982 to 2021

AbstractThe start of vegetation growing season (SOS) plays an important role in the energy cycle between the land and atmosphere. Due to the limited temporal span of a single satellite sensor through time, the continuous variation of the SOS over 40 years has not been adequately quantified. Using the overlapping periods (2001–2015) between the Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies (GIMMS) (1982–2015) and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) (2001–2021) data sets, we construct an NDVI data set covering the period 1982–2021 on the Mongolian Plateau and further construct a map of relative climatic constraint on the SOS (divided into “temperature‐constrained,” “precipitation‐constrained,” and “other” regions) for quantifying SOS variability. We show that the constructed NDVI data set has high consistency and continuity with earlier GIMMS NDVI data. Regions with the SOS constrained by temperature account for 55.3% of the plateau and are located in northwestern and northeastern cold areas, while regions with the SOS constrained by precipitation constitute over 34.7% and are located in central and southwestern drier regions. Importantly, the temperature‐constrained SOS has continuously and significantly advanced, with a total advance of 4.8 days over 40 years. In contrast, the precipitation‐constrained SOS reversed from advancing to delaying in 2005. This suggests that differentiating the climatic constraint on the SOS might be a practical treatment for reducing the uncertainties in the SOS trends in previous studies. Interestingly, the precipitation‐constrained SOS does not significantly correlate to both the chilling and forcing temperatures, indicating less dependency of the SOS on chilling, which may not have been well considered previously.

Evaluating the Effect of Vegetation Index Based on Multiple Tree-Ring Parameters in the Central Tianshan Mountains

Combining tree ring data with remote sensing data can help to gain a deeper understanding of the driving factors that influence vegetation change, identify climate events that lead to vegetation change, and improve the parameters of global vegetation index reconstruction models. However, it is currently not well understood how climate change at different elevations in the central Tianshan Mountains affects radial tree growth and the dynamics of forest canopy growth. We selected Schrenk spruce (Picea schrenkiana) tree core samples from different elevations in the central Tianshan Mountains. We analyzed the relationships of various tree-ring parameters, including tree-ring width, maximum latewood density (MXD), and minimum earlywood density (MID) chronologies, with 1982–2012 GIMMS (Global Inventory Modelling and Mapping Studies) NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index), 2001–2012 MODIS (moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer) NDVI, and meteorological data. (1) There were strong correlations between tree-ring width chronologies and the lowest temperatures, especially in July. Tree-ring width chronologies at higher altitudes were positively correlated with temperature; the opposite pattern was observed at lower altitudes. MID chronologies were positively correlated with July temperature in high-altitude areas and mean temperature and highest temperature from May to September in low-altitude areas, and negatively correlated with precipitation during this period. MXD chronologies were mainly negatively correlated with precipitation. MXD chronologies were mainly positively correlated with temperature in April and May. (2) The correlations between MXD chronologies at each sampling point and NDVI in each month of the growing season were strong. Both MID and MXD chronologies were negatively correlated with GIMMS NDVI in July. The overall correlations between tree-ring parameters and MODIS NDVI were stronger than the correlations between tree-ring parameters and GIMMS NDVI in high-altitude areas; the opposite pattern was observed in low-altitude areas. Drought stress may be the main factor affecting tree ring parameters and NDVI. In the future, we should combine tree ring parameters with vegetation index to investigate a larger scale of forests.

Phenological Changes and Their Influencing Factors under the Joint Action of Water and Temperature in Northeast Asia

Phenology is an important indicator for how plants will respond to environmental changes and is closely related to biomass production. Due to global warming and the emergence of intermittent warming, vegetation in northeast Asia is undergoing drastic changes. Understanding vegetation phenology and its response to climate change is of great significance to understanding the changes in the sustainable development of ecosystems. Based on Global Inventory Modelling and Mapping Studies (GIMMS), normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI)3g data, and the mean value of phenological results extracted by five methods, combined with climatic data, this study analyzed the temporal changes in phenology and the responses to climatic factors of five vegetation types of broad-leaved, needle-leaf, mixed forests, grassland, and cultivated land in northeast Asia over 33 years (1982–2014). The results showed that, during the intermittent warming period (1999–2014), the start of the growing season (SOS) advancement (Julian days) trend of all vegetation types decreased. During 1982–2014, the average temperature sensitivity of the SOS was 1.5 d/°C. The correlation between the SOS and the pre-season temperature is significant in northeast Asia, while the correlation between the EOS and the pre-season precipitation is greater than that between temperature and radiation. The impact of radiation changes on the SOS is relatively small.

Spatiotemporally consistent global dataset of the GIMMS leaf area index (GIMMS LAI4g) from 1982 to 2020

Abstract. Leaf area index (LAI) with an explicit biophysical meaning is a critical variable to characterize terrestrial ecosystems. Long-term global datasets of LAI have served as fundamental data support for monitoring vegetation dynamics and exploring its interactions with other Earth components. However, current LAI products face several limitations associated with spatiotemporal consistency. In this study, we employed the back propagation neural network (BPNN) and a data consolidation method to generate a new version of the half-month 1/12∘ Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies (GIMMS) LAI product, i.e., GIMMS LAI4g, for the period 1982–2020. The significance of the GIMMS LAI4g was the use of the latest PKU GIMMS normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) product and 3.6 million high-quality global Landsat LAI samples to remove the effects of satellite orbital drift and sensor degradation and to develop spatiotemporally consistent BPNN models. The results showed that the GIMMS LAI4g exhibited overall higher accuracy and lower underestimation than its predecessor (GIMMS LAI3g) and two mainstream LAI products (Global LAnd Surface Satellite (GLASS) LAI and Long-term Global Mapping (GLOBMAP) LAI) using field LAI measurements and Landsat LAI samples. Its validation against Landsat LAI samples revealed an R2 of 0.96, root mean square error of 0.32 m2 m−2, mean absolute error of 0.16 m2 m−2, and mean absolute percentage error of 13.6 % which meets the accuracy target proposed by the Global Climate Observation System. It outperformed other LAI products for most vegetation biomes in a majority area of the land. It efficiently eliminated the effects of satellite orbital drift and sensor degradation and presented a better temporal consistency before and after the year 2000. The consolidation with the reprocessed MODIS LAI allows the GIMMS LAI4g to extend the temporal coverage from 2015 to a recent period (2020), producing the LAI trend that maintains high consistency before and after 2000 and aligns with the reprocessed MODIS LAI trend during the MODIS era. The GIMMS LAI4g product could potentially facilitate mitigating the disagreements between studies of the long-term global vegetation changes and could also benefit the model development in earth and environmental sciences. The GIMMS LAI4g product is open access and available under Attribution 4.0 International at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7649107 (Cao et al., 2023).

Spatiotemporally consistent global dataset of the GIMMS Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (PKU GIMMS NDVI) from 1982 to 2022

Abstract. Global products of remote sensing Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) are critical to assessing the vegetation dynamic and its impacts and feedbacks on climate change from local to global scales. The previous versions of the Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies (GIMMS) NDVI product derived from the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) provide global biweekly NDVI data starting from the 1980s, being a reliable long-term NDVI time series that has been widely applied in Earth and environmental sciences. However, the GIMMS NDVI products have several limitations (e.g., orbital drift and sensor degradation) and cannot provide continuous data for the future. In this study, we presented a machine learning model that employed massive high-quality global Landsat NDVI samples and a data consolidation method to generate a new version of the GIMMS NDVI product, i.e., PKU GIMMS NDVI (1982–2022), based on AVHRR and Moderate-Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data. A total of 3.6 million Landsat NDVI samples that were well spread across the globe were extracted for vegetation biomes in all seasons. The PKU GIMMS NDVI exhibits higher accuracy than its predecessor (GIMMS NDVI3g) in terms of R2 (0.97 over 0.94), root mean squared error (RMSE: 0.05 over 0.09), mean absolute error (MAE: 0.03 over 0.07), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE: 9 % over 20 %). Notably, PKU GIMMS NDVI effectively eliminates the evident orbital drift and sensor degradation effects in tropical areas. The consolidated PKU GIMMS NDVI has a high consistency with MODIS NDVI in terms of pixel value (R2 = 0.956, RMSE = 0.048, MAE = 0.034, and MAPE = 6.0 %) and global vegetation trend (0.9×10-3 yr−1). The PKU GIMMS NDVI product can potentially provide a more solid data basis for global change studies. The theoretical framework that employs Landsat data samples can facilitate the generation of remote sensing products for other land surface parameters. The PKU GIMMS NDVI product is open access and available under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8253971 (Li et al., 2023).

Annual and Seasonal Trends of Vegetation Responses and Feedback to Temperature on the Tibetan Plateau since the 1980s

The vegetation–temperature relationship is crucial in understanding land–atmosphere interactions on the Tibetan Plateau. Although many studies have investigated the connections between vegetation and climate variables in this region using remote sensing technology, there remain notable gaps in our understanding of vegetation–temperature interactions over different timescales. Here, we combined site-level air temperature observations, information from the global inventory modeling and mapping studies (GIMMS) dataset, and moderate-resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) products to analyze the spatial and temporal patterns of air temperature, vegetation, and land surface temperature (LST) on the Tibetan Plateau at annual and seasonal scales. We achieved these spatiotemporal patterns by using Sen’s slope, sequential Mann–Kendall tests, and partial correlation analysis. The timescale differences of vegetation-induced LST were subsequently discussed. Our results demonstrate that a breakpoint of air temperature change occurred on the Tibetan Plateau during 1994–1998, dividing the study period (1982–2013) into two phases. A more significant greening response of NDVI occurred in the spring and autumn with earlier breakpoints and a more sensitive NDVI response occurred in recent warming phase. Both MODIS and GIMMS data showed a common increase in the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) on the Tibetan Plateau for all timescales, while the former had a larger greening area since 2000. The most prominent trends in NDVI and LST were identified in spring and autumn, respectively, and the largest areas of significant variation in NDVI and LST mostly occurred in winter and autumn, respectively. The partial correlation analysis revealed a significant negative impact of NDVI on LST during the annual scale and autumn, and it had a significant positive impact during spring. Our findings improve the general understanding of vegetation–climate relationships at annual and seasonal scales.

Global vegetation greenness interannual variability and its evolvement in recent decades

The interannual variability (IAV) of global vegetation greenness needs careful assessment as it relates to the stability of the climate, conservation of biodiversity, sustainable ecosystem services, and global food security. Here, we investigated the spatial feature and temporal evolvement of global vegetation greenness interannual variability from 1982 to 2015 using the Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies (GIMMS) Normalized Difference Vegetation Index third generation (NDVI3g) data. Generally, regions with herbaceous and short woody plants had larger IAV of vegetation greenness than those with tall woody biome types (7.9% versus 2.9%). On average, all the biomes displayed increasing IAV of vegetation greenness from 1982 to 2015, with notable increases over northern high latitudes (0.135%/year), Eastern Europe (0.037%//year), and Central Australia (0.231%/year). Croplands in China and India experienced decreasing IAV of vegetation greenness (–0.037%/year for China and –0.004%/year for India). The changing IAV of vegetation greenness had implications for climatic, environmental, and anthropogenic changes that influence vegetation dynamics. Some note-worthy factors include climate warming, the CO2 fertilization effect, agricultural practice improvement, cropland abandonment, and China’s Grain-for-Green Program.

Multi-source remote sensing data shows a significant increase in vegetation on the Tibetan Plateau since 2000

In recent years, there has been growing concern that vegetation changes on the Tibetan Plateau are associated with climate change (temperature and precipitation) and human activities. This study used six types of remote sensing vegetation data, including GIMMS (Global Inventory Modelling and Mapping Studies) NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index), MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) NDVI, MODIS EVI (Enhanced Vegetation Index), SPOT Vegetation (Spot-VGT) NDVI, LAI (Leaf Area Index) and NPP (Net Primary Productivity), and applied the maximum synthesis method, trend analysis, correlation analysis, and multivariate statistical analysis to investigate vegetation change processes since the 1980s. The study showed that the amount of vegetation on the TP had increased significantly since 2000 ( p < .01), especially in the northeastern part of the TP. There was no significant change prior to 2000. The different vegetation data sources varied greatly. Four remote sensing indices, MODIS EVI, Spot-VGT NDVI, LAI, and NPP, showed a significant increase in vegetation from 2000, accounting for 16.18%, 44.55%, 30.44% and 8.94% of the total area, respectively ( p < .05). Multiple data sources provided a more comprehensive understanding, whereas a single data source had substantial uncertainty. Human activities, such as the implementation of large-scale ecological projects, played a dominant role in increasing vegetation, while climate change played a subsidiary role. The MODIS EVI, Spot-VGT NDVI, LAI, and NPP data showed that the area of increased vegetation caused by human activities accounted for 53.51%, 45.68%, 37.52%, and 31.79% of the total area of the TP, respectively. The relative increase from climate change was 10.28%, 17.49%, 13.15%, and 8.82%, respectively. The current study applied multi-source remotely sensed vegetation data, which effectively reduced the uncertainty caused by individual data sources and provided more rigorous and scientific research conclusions.

Relationship between climate and land cover change in Aral Sea Basin

In the past several decades, substantial changes were observed in Central Asia’s land cover. Water-sensitive Central Asia has experienced an increase in farming and expansion of urban areas. These are considered the main reasons for water level reduction in the Aral Sea. The disappearance of the Aral Sea has not only affected the climate of the region but also caused regional land cover changes. In this article, we analyse the temporal variation of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and its correlation with climatic variables in the territory of the Aral Sea Basin from 1982 to 2015 using Global Inventory Modelling and Mapping Studies (GIMMS) and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS). The results indicate that the mean annual NDVI value recorded a weak positive trend of 0.0023/10a over the last 34 years. The Hurst index is used to test whether the tendency observed in past can be extrapolated in the future or not. Our results showed, the Hurst exponent indicates that the vegetation dynamic trend was consistent, which means that NDVI values will continue to rise in the future. During the study period, precipitation and surface soil moisture increased in the growing season, which affected the temperature during the non-growing season.

Warming diminishes the stability of primary productivity in global grass- and forb-dominated ecosystems

Global warming has induced increases in productivity in open, grass- and forb-dominated (OGFD) ecosystems. However, little attention has been given to the temporal stability of productivity responses to global warming. We show that the stability of productivity in OGFD ecosystems decreased significantly over the past 40 years. Using the satellite-derived normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) data from the Global Inventory Modelling and Mapping Studies (GIMMS) group, we analyzed global patterns of the stability in productivity among OGFD ecosystems. We found that the global mean stability of NDVI-based productivity estimates significantly decreased from 1982 to 2015. Comparing different trends, we found that stability decreased by 36%, and increased by 27% of the total area of OGFD ecosystems. The stability of productivity in OGFD ecosystems decreased in the northern hemisphere, especially in the Mongolian plateau and Eurasian steppe. In contrast, stability increased significantly in the southern hemisphere. Increases in both mean annual temperature and annual temperature variability were correlated with decreases in the stability of productivity in the northern hemisphere. Although the productivity of OGFD ecosystems has generally increased with warming, the stability of production has decreased. OGFD ecosystems, particularly northern hemisphere systems with low baseline productivity may be vulnerable to the loss of grazing potential and grazing consistency in the warmer future. These observations highlight the need for adaptation strategies for animal husbandry to respond to variability in productivity and reduce the negative impact of climate change on grazed ecosystems.

A simple model to predict the spatiotemporally vegetation dynamics in terms of precipitation and temperature.

Climate factors like precipitation and temperature fulfil a significant role in assessing the status of the vegetation. Vegetation prediction in terms of climatic conditions represents a critical issue because it helps monitor and maintain the ecosystem's well-being by maintaining track of changes in vegetation disturbance. It is challenging to locate large-scale current vegetation data for use in a variety of applications. In this study, temperature and precipitation were applied to develop a simple linear regression model that predict Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) over the African continent. For training data, the third-general Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI3g) generated from Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies (GIMMS) at a 1/12° resolution was the main input for simulation from 1982 to 2005. From 2006 to 2015, the third-general Normalized Difference Vegetation Index was used to validate the model outputs. The model's accuracy in the arid climate zone (poor vegetation areas) is stronger than in the other four climate zones of Africa, with an R2 of 74%, the lowest p-value of 0.001, the lowest root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.027 and the lowest mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.022. Based on future vegetation condition projections, this approach will assist a more effective management of the future food reservations for the battle against hunger. It will also help with the design, management, and execution of ecological restoration initiatives, research data availability as well as understanding the relationship between vegetation variation and climate variability.

Spatiotemporal Variations in Drought and Vegetation Response in Inner Mongolia from 1982 to 2019

Drought events cause ecological problems, including reduced water resources and degraded vegetation. Quantifying vegetation responses to drought is essential for ecological management. However, in existing research, the response relationships (correlations and lags) were typically determined based on Pearson correlation coefficient and the resultant lag times were constrained by the spatial and temporal resolutions of the analyzed data. Inner Mongolia is an important ecological barrier in northern China. Ecological security is one of the most concerned issues of the region’s sustainable development. Herein, we combined Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies (GIMMS) normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI3g) with Systeme Probatoire d’Observation de la Terra-vegetation (SPOT-VGT) NDVI data through spatial downscaling. The obtained 1 km-resolution NDVI dataset spanning Inner Mongolia from 1982 to 2019 was used to represent the refined vegetation distribution. The standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) derived from gridded meteorological data was used to measure drought over the same period. We investigated the spatiotemporal characteristics of vegetation and drought in the region in the past 38 years. We then discussed changes in different vegetation responses to drought across eastern Inner Mongolia using cross wavelet transform (XWT) and wavelet coherence (WTC). The results reveal that in 82.4% of the study area, NDVI exhibited rising trends, and the SPEI values exhibited declining trends in 78.5% of the area. In eastern Inner Mongolia, the grassland NDVI was positively correlated with SPEI and significantly affected by drought events, while NDVI in forestlands, including shrubs, broad-leaved forests, and coniferous forests, was negatively correlated with SPEI in the short term and weakly affected by drought. The NDVI lag times behind SPEI in grasslands, coniferous forests, and broad-leaved forests were 1–1.5, 4.5, and 7–7.5 months, respectively. These findings provide a scientific foundation for environmental preservation in the region.

Water Deficit May Cause Vegetation Browning in Central Asia

There is consistent evidence of vegetation greening in Central Asia over the past four decades. However, in the early 1990s, the greening temporarily stagnated and even for a time reversed. In this study, we evaluate changes in the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) based on the long-term satellite-derived remote sensing data systems of the Global Inventory Modelling and Mapping Studies (GIMMS) NDVI from 1981 to 2013 and MODIS NDVI from 2000 to 2020 to determine whether the vegetation in Central Asia has browned. Our findings indicate that the seasonal sequence of NDVI is summer > spring > autumn > winter, and the spatial distribution pattern is a semicircular distribution, with the Aral Sea Basin as its core and an upward tendency from inside to outside. Around the mid-1990s, the region’s vegetation experienced two climatic environments with opposing trends (cold and wet; dry and hot). Prior to 1994, NDVI increased substantially throughout the growth phase (April–October), but this trend reversed after 1994, when vegetation began to brown. Our findings suggest that changes in vegetation NDVI are linked to climate change induced by increased CO2. The state of water deficit caused by temperature changes is a major cause of the browning turning point across the study area. At the same time, changes in vegetation NDVI were consistent with changes in drought degree (PDSI). This research is relevant for monitoring vegetation NDVI and carbon neutralization in Central Asian ecosystems.

Land-Greening Hotspot Changes in the Yangtze River Economic Belt during the Last Four Decades and Their Connections to Human Activities

The spatial patterns of the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) changes in the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) and their potential causes during the last four decades remain unclear. To clarify this issue, this study firstly depicts the spatial patterns of the NDVI changes using global inventory modelling and mapping studies (GIMMS) NDVI data and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) NDVI data. Secondly, the Mann–Kendall test, regression residual analysis and cluster analysis are used to diagnose the potential causes of the NDVI changes. The results show that the regional mean NDVI exhibited an uptrend from 1982 to 2019, which consists of two prominent uptrend periods, i.e., 1982–2003 and 2003–2019. There has been a shift of greening hotspots. The first prominent greening trend from 1982 to 2003 mainly occurred in the eastern agricultural area, while the second prominent greening uptrend from 2003 to 2019 mainly occurred at the junction of Chongqing, Guizhou and Yunnan. The greening trend and shift of greening hotspots were slightly caused by climate change, but mainly caused by human activities. The first greening trend was closely related to the agricultural progress, and the second greening trend was associated with the rapid economic development and implementation of ecology restoration policies.

Quantification of Natural and Anthropogenic Driving Forces of Vegetation Changes in the Three-River Headwater Region during 1982–2015 Based on Geographical Detector Model

The three-river headwater region (TRHR) supplies the Yangtze, Yellow, and Lantsang rivers, and its ecological environment is fragile, hence it is important to study the surface vegetation cover status of the TRHR to facilitate its ecological conservation. The normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) can reflect the cover status of surface vegetation. The aims of this study are to quantify the spatial heterogeneity of the NDVI, identify the main driving factors influencing the NDVI, and explore the interaction between these factors. To this end, we used the global inventory modeling and mapping studies (GIMMS)-NDVI data from the TRHR from 1982 to 2015 and included eight natural factors (namely slope, aspect, elevation, soil type, vegetation type, landform type, annual mean temperature, and annual precipitation) and three anthropogenic factors (gross domestic product (GDP), population density, and land use type), which we subjected to linear regression analysis, the Mann-Kendall statistical test, and moving t-test to analyze the spatial and temporal variability of the NDVI in the TRHR over 34 years, using a geographical detector model. Our results showed that the NDVI distribution of the TRHR was high in the southeast and low in the northwest. The change pattern exhibited an increasing trend in the west and north and a decreasing trend in the center and south; overall, the mean NDVI value from 1982 to 2015 has increased. Annual precipitation was the most important factor influencing the NDVI changes in the TRHR, and factors, such as annual mean temperature, vegetation type, and elevation, also explained the vegetation coverage status well. The influence of natural factors was generally stronger than that of anthropogenic factors. The NDVI factors had a synergistic effect, exhibiting mutual enhancement and nonlinear enhancement relationships. The results of this study provide insights into the ecological conservation of the TRHR and the ecological security and development of the middle and lower reaches.

Continuously Vegetation Greening over Inner Mongolia for the Past Three Decades

The warming climate has rapidly altered vegetation growth in drylands, and consequently, has put great pressure on sustainable livelihoods. Various datasets have been applied from local to global scale to study vegetation dynamics and there is a lack of solid comparison among multiple datasets. Note that vegetation growth might shift over time and the greening and browning components over a long-time span might be masked by a linear trend. Here, we aim to monitor the long-term and nonlinear dynamics in vegetation greenness for Inner Mongolia (an important part of dryland Asia). As a useful tool that indicates vegetation greenness, NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) and LAI (Leaf Area Index) integrals derived from the GIMMS (Global Inventory Modelling and Mapping Studies) NDVI3g and the GIMMS LAI3g products are applied. During the period of 1982-2016, NDVI/LAI integrals have an overall acceptable consistency in characterizing the trends of vegetation greenness, with NDVI large/small integrals and LAI large/small integrals increase at a rate of 0.96, 1.72, 2.23, and 3.13 per decade, respectively. Inner Mongolia experienced a noticeable greening process (71% and 82% greening area in NDVI large/small integrals, 67% and 73% greening area in LAI large/small integrals), despite the fragmentally distributed browning trends in eastern and partial northern Inner Mongolia. As inferred from nonlinear trend analysis, we found the greening process is still prevalent. The browning of eastern Inner Mongolia under the linear analysis was actually transferring from browning to greening, while the greening trend in northern Inner Mongolia was changing to browning. Increased occurrences in the frequency of breakpoints after 1999 suggest that previously stable vegetation ecology is more sensitive to external disturbances such as altered climatic impact and anthropogenic intervention.

GIMMS NDVI3g+ (1982–2015) response to climate change and engineering activities along the Qinghai–Tibet Railway

Restricted by cold, drought and high altitude natural environments, vegetation ecological environment of the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau is fragile and difficult to repair when damaged. The purpose of this research is to reveal the characteristic of Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) in direct impact area and ecological background area response to the engineering activities and global climate changes along Qinghai–Tibet railway. A framework was constructed by integrating a Gaussian fitting model, a buffer analysis, a trend analysis, a correlation analysis and a regression analysis method. The advantages of this framework are (1) Exploration of the impact of human and natural factors on the local vegetation ecological environment in pre-, co-, and post-construction of the railway; (2) Investigation of the time and extent of the impact of engineering activities on the plateau ecological environment; (3) Identify the contribution of climate change and engineering activities to changes of vegetation index. The framework was evaluated with GIMMS (Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies) and MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) NDVI from 1982 to 2001–2018. Results demonstrated that (1) Annual NDVI of the Qinghai–Tibet Railway was highly responsive to climate change and engineering activities, and shown a downward trend, upward trend for under construction and in operation period respectively. (2) Engineering activities of the Qinghai–Tibet Railway had a significant impact on vegetation along the route. Annual NDVI growth rate of ‘core area’ and ‘background buffer’ are quite different in pre-construction, under construction and in operation time. (3) Climate change along the Qinghai–Tibet Railway was significantly be responded to global changes during the 34 years. The air temperature and precipitation growth rate of the Golmud South–mountain Pass to Lhasa (GSPL) route is substantial lower than that of the Xining to Golmud South–mountain Pass (XGSP) route. Research results recommend that information on vegetation ecological environment is exploited by government agencies to ensure responsible ecological safety, traffic safety and sustainable development along the Qinghai–Tibet railway.

Estimating global aerodynamic parameters in 1982–2017 using remote-sensing data and a turbulent transfer model

The bulk surface properties, including canopy height (h), zero-plane displacement height (d), roughness length (z0), and aerodynamic resistance (rb and rd), are crucial biophysical parameters that influence momentum, energy and mass exchanges at the land-atmosphere interface. The variabilities of these parameters are important for understanding possible impacts of the ecosystem on climate change, yet they have not been systematically evaluated due to the lack of large-scale, long-term observations. Here we provide global estimates of these bulk aerodynamic parameters, including d, z0, rb, and rd, for the period 1982–2017 based on remote-sensed leaf area index (LAI), h, and plant functional type dependent canopy morphological characteristics. The global h estimate is acquired from LAI using a semi-empirical relation in which the coefficients have been optimized based on the canopy height product from the Geoscience Laser Altimeter System (GLAS) onboard the Ice, Cloud, and land Elevation Satellite (ICESat). Two LAI products, Global Land Surface Satellite (GLASS) and Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies (GIMMS), are used to calculate canopy height and parameters separately. The products derived from the above two LAI datasets agree very well (spatial correlation coefficient, SCC = 0.99, relative root-mean-square-error, rRMSE = 8.28% for h, SCC = 0.99, rRMSE = 12.15% for d, and SCC = 0.98, rRMSE = 13.78% for z0). Verification of the products against in-situ canopy height records from the FLUXNET and eddy-covariance (EC)-based d and z0 estimates shows that the estimates can reproduce the annual means and seasonal variations of the bulk surface properties. We found significant positive trends in global h (0.04–0.05% year−1), d (0.07% year−1) and z0 (0.07% year−1) associated with the Earth greening, but they are different from the trend in LAI (0.14–0.25% year−1). The differences between the trends in LAI and the trends in derived parameters are also found in different latitudes. For instance, in the Northern Hemisphere Polar region, the GLASS LAI increases by 0.48% year−1, leading to positive trends of 0.03% year−1 in h, 0.18% in d, and 0.20% year−1 in z0. The above results highlight the importance of comprehensively considering changes in LAI, canopy height, and aerodynamic parameters when evaluating the effects of ecosystem change on climate. This long-term dataset can be used in climate models to assess the response of bulk aerodynamic parameters to climate changes and the impact of vegetation dynamics on regional and global climate.