Geomorphic Impact Research Articles

The geomorphic work of the European mole (Talpa europaea): Long‐term monitoring of molehills using structure‐from‐motion photogrammetry

AbstractMoles—small insectivorous mammals of the family Talpidae—are widespread across the Northern Hemisphere. These subterranean mammals are easily detected through the mounds, or molehills, they construct as surface bioproducts of tunnel systems excavated underground. The dense aggregation of these bioconstructions in a range of environments (e.g., floodplains, woodland, coastal dunes and upland regions) indicates that moles may play an important role in sediment systems. However, compared with other fossorial mammals (e.g., gophers and rabbits), the impact of moles as direct and indirect biogeomorphic agents is poorly understood. Furthermore, little is known about how molehills develop and degrade over time or how long they persist as landscape features. By examining molehills created by the European mole (Talpa europaea) over 4 months on a floodplain in Oxfordshire, UK, we provide a quantitative assessment of how these landforms evolve over time and space. Through the creation of high‐resolution digital elevation models (DEMs) using structure‐from‐motion (SfM) photogrammetry, we derive a variety of metrics describing molehill morphology and produce a detailed record of how molehills change at weekly time intervals. In addition, measurements of molehill volume are used to estimate the excavation rate of moles over a month. Findings show that (i) molehills are dynamic landforms that change in size and shape in response to phases of construction, collapse, erosion and rebuilding; (ii) rates of degradation are influenced by soil characteristics and seasonal weather conditions; (iii) molehills can persist as landscape features for several months; and (iv) moles are capable of moving a substantial volume of sediment in highly active areas (3.89 m3 ha−1 month−1). Future work is now needed to determine the geomorphic impact of T. europaea over larger spatial scales (e.g., river catchments) and longer timescales (e.g., years–decades) to determine its importance in relation to other bioturbators and within the wider sediment system.

Bioturbation by Benthic Stingrays Alters the Biogeomorphology of Tidal Flats

Fishing-down-marine-food-webs has resulted in alarming declines of various species worldwide. Benthic rays are one examples of such overexploited species. On tidal flats, these rays are highly abundant and play an ecologically important role. They use tidal flats as refuge, feeding and resting grounds, during which they bury into the sediment, which results in sediment bioturbation. Changes in bioturbation intensity, following ray removal, may affect the biogeomorphology of tidal flats with possible cascading effects on the macrozoobenthic community. However, it is poorly understood how these indirect effects could influence ecosystem function. We therefore studied the geomorphic impact of benthic rays (specifically the pearl whipray/stingray Fontitrygon margaritella) on the tropical tidal flats of the Bijagós Archipelago, Guinea-Bissau, on a landscape scale. We investigated 1) bioturbation rates by rays using drone and ground surveys, 2) the spatial distribution of ray pits on multiple tidal flats, 3) the impact of rays on sediment properties and macrozoobenthos by experimental exclusion (15 months). Benthic rays bioturbated 3.7 ± 0.35% of the tidal flat’s sediment surface per day over one single 24-h period, which equals a complete top-sediment-surface turnover every 27 days. The spatial distribution of ray pits was affected by tidal flat geomorphology since pits decayed faster at areas exposed to strong hydrodynamic forces. Predator exclusion altered sediment properties, leading to changes in sedimentation (− 17%) and erosion (− 43%) rates. In addition, macrozoobenthic species composition changed, marked by an increase in Capitellidae worms and a greater biomass of Malacostraca over time. These changes indicated substantial effects of ray bioturbation on the biotic and geomorphic landscape of tidal flats. Overall, we conclude that changing abundances of benthic rays can have clear landscape-wide geomorphological effects on intertidal ecosystems. These indirect consequences of fisheries should be incorporated in integrative management plans to preserve tidal flats and connected ecosystems.

Seismic Monitoring and Geomorphic Impacts of the Catastrophic 2018 Baige Landslide Hazard Cascades in the Tibetan Plateau

AbstractSurface hazards can form hazard cascades which expand their reach. However, our understanding of their complex dynamics and ability to mitigate their impacts remain limited. In 2018, two landslides dammed the Jinsha River in the Tibetan plateau and formed landslide‐dammed lakes. Subsequent dam breaches prompted the evacuation of >120,000 people. An early warning system for floods using a regional seismic network has been proposed on the basis of catastrophic floods having been detected ∼100 km away, with seismic energy proportional to discharge. Surprisingly, we find that this catastrophic outburst flood was undetectable beyond a few kilometers, with peak seismic energy preceding peak discharge. We propose that river channel stability also controls seismic energy generation and should be considered for accurate monitoring of catastrophic floods. In contrast, we find that the various processes during dam breach can be well‐characterized seismically further away and provide warning ∼60 min before discharge exceeds monsoon flood levels. We also show that numerical modeling of dam breaches which typically lacks in situ measurements can benefit from incorporating seismic data as constraints. Finally, we show that this event drastically increased sediment fluxes ∼670 km downstream for years and may significantly reduce the capacity of hydropower plants. Our results reveal ways to improve early warning of catastrophic outburst floods and the need to consider surface hazards' long‐term impact when managing infrastructure in mountainous regions.

Channel change during catastrophic flood: Example of Storm Alex in the Vésubie and Roya valleys

Documenting and interpreting channel responses to catastrophic floods help understanding how rapid fluvial metamorphosis can propagate in a catchment under sediment cascading effects. The recent example of the October 2020 Storm Alex in SE France (∼500 mm of rain in 24 h) provides a unique opportunity to investigate major geomorphic responses along 70 km of two confined alpine valleys (Vésubie and Roya) and to link them to sediment wave initiation and propagation. GIS-based analysis of remote sensing data (high-resolution ortho-imagery and airborne LiDAR data) acquired before and after the flood allowed combining channel changes with sediment erosion and deposition along a 35-km reach of the Vésubie, including the most impacted portions of the valley. In the Roya, the analysis was restricted to 2D morphological changes reconstructed with the sequence of ortho-imagery. Archives of aerial imagery were also used to integrate the storm impact in the historical trajectory of the rivers. The reconstruction of geomorphic responses shows a quasi-continuous fluvial metamorphosis along the investigated stream networks, with dramatic active channel widening and aggradation, having no antecedent analogs during the last 70 years in both valleys. The different glacial imprints between the two valleys are considered a key factor explaining the exacerbated channel response in the Vésubie, where a braided channel emerged along a 35-km river length. Many evidences strongly support that the fuelling effect of alluvial storage is a key element of the sediment cascade at the origin of the braided channel formation. This regional case study allows us to discuss the critical role of floodplain and terrace erosion in the formation of the post-flood braided channel, and to compare the geomorphic impact of the storm with similar reported cases in the literature.

The Geomorphic Effectiveness of Landslides

AbstractLandslides are widely recognized as key components of landscape evolution in areas of steep topography. Here, we present a new framework for examining landslide inventories in the context of the volume‐based impact that different landslide sizes have on shaping the landscape, that is, their geomorphic effectiveness (GE). Focusing on an actively retreating coastal cliff in the Eastern Mediterranean and utilizing a LiDAR‐derived inventory of over 1,100 cliff landslides that occurred between 2014 and 2019, we show that segments of the cliff are characterized by two principal types of GE distributions: (a) A “humped” GE distribution where the accumulated erosion volume of the largest and rarest collapses in the inventory is similar or lower than that of more frequent, mid‐range collapses and (b) Nearly monotonically increasing GE distribution where the cumulative volume of larger collapses consistently surpasses that of smaller magnitude collapses. Regardless of the GE distribution type, we found that the cumulative geomorphic impact of the small and most probable collapses was negligible. Extending this new GE framework to 9 other previously published landslide inventories (coastal and mountainous), we demonstrate that precipitation and seepage‐induced landslide inventories are commonly characterized by monotonic‐type GE distributions, dominated by large landslides (>10−1 of the volume of the largest landslide), and that hump‐shaped GE distributions, dominated by more frequent mid‐size landslides, commonly occur under “dry” triggers (e.g., earthquakes). We propose that the humped GE distribution could reflect the lack of deep mechanical weakening, which exerts a higher probability of the largest landslides in the inventories triggered by “wet” factor.

Morphosedimentary response of a fluvio-estuarine beach to interannual variability in landfast ice dynamics

Landfast ice plays a significant role in the morphodynamics of cold coasts and accelerating anthropogenic pressures on coastal sedimentary environments are increasing the complexity of its distribution and behavior. However, understanding its interannual variability and geomorphic role along the wide range of inhabited and uninhabited coastal environments remains a challenge. In fact, the difficulty in obtaining periodic high-resolution field data on its physical properties and their temporal evolution is often a major limitation in developing knowledge on landfast ice processes. Here, we present an approach for improving the monitoring of landfast ice dynamics and its geomorphic impact on sedimentary systems by combining (1) topographic datasets from UAS surveys, (2) hydrometeorological conditions during the freezing season, and (3) observations from time-lapse video. This study was conducted over two contrasting freezing seasons at the urban beach of Tibbits Cove in the fluvial estuary of the St. Lawrence River in a context of a low energy wave environment. Results demonstrate the great ability of the approach for (1) measuring interannual variations in ice thickness, surface ruggedness and volume with high accuracy and (2) constraining geomorphic changes due to ice action. These results also reveal the existence of a strong relationship between the severity of the freezing season and the response of landfast ice to hydrometeorological events in a fetch-limited environment. Consequently, a distinct geomorphic response of the beach was also observed following the opposite winter conditions of 2021 and 2022, where ice processes exported almost three times more sediment during a cold winter than during a mild winter. The overall trend in sediment budgets remained negative following two winters, suggesting an important role for landfast ice in the long-term evolution of the beach. Observations also suggest the prevalence of wave-independent sediment entrainment processes such as basal adfreezing in fetch-limited environments. Other ice-related processes, including ice wallowing and gouging, show a negligible influence on the sediment budget of the system and appear to be less powerful than those described in open coastal environments. Ultimately, expanding the use of this approach could greatly enhance our knowledge of the behavior, processes and products of coastal ice in a constantly changing climate, while informing decision-makers of its important influence on the evolution of geosystems in cold regions.

Magnitude of formative flows in stream potholes

Although it is generally recognized that geomorphic work is tied to bedrock channel reshaping, the importance of low vs. high flow stages that cause the most geomorphic impact remains unclear. The objective of the research is to study the concept of “formative flow” in bedrock channels and determine, through morphological studies, if those flows have any impact on sculpted features such as potholes and how this relationship relates to various inputs such as flow stages (magnitude and frequency), shear stress, and sediment size. Here, we studied the distribution of the main pothole typologies and tried to understand why potholes are found along bedrock river channels. Specifically, we examined stream potholes from three locations along the Spanish Central System: Alberche, Tietar, and Manzanares rivers. We conducted the research by taking precise geometric measurements, classifying potholes, analyzing flow magnitude and frequency, and using a two-dimensional (2D) hydrodynamic model to assess key variables in Manzanares river. This research demonstrated that bankfull depths completely cover all pothole typologies in all the analyzed sites but are not sufficient to achieve its formative flow depth (FFD). Using a detailed 2D hydrodynamic model in Manzanares river, we discovered that dimensions of cylindrical potholes are closely related to bankfull discharge and that this depth is connected to FFD. Other potholes, such as erosive-compound and erosive-lateral, are historical remnants, and their shapes are not related to any particular FFD and are likely associated with rare events and catastrophic breaks. A collection of laterals that exhibit FFD near bankfull flows appear to represent a part of the recent evolution of a knickpoint. To summarize, it can be inferred from the findings that the utility of morphological analysis in conjunction with the 2D hydrodynamic model is to examine the fraction of erosional/active features to determine the degree of senescence and/or change in natural conditions in a river reach.

Comparability of multi-temporal DTMs derived from different LiDAR platforms: Error sources and uncertainties in the application of geomorphic impact studies.

Multi-temporal digital terrain models (DTMs) derived from airborne or uncrewed aerial vehicle (UAV)-borne light detection and ranging (LiDAR) platforms are frequently used tools in geomorphic impact studies. Accurate estimation of mobilized sediments from multi-temporal DTMs is indispensable for hazard assessment. To study volumetric changes in alpine environments it is crucial to identify and discuss different kind of error sources in multi-temporal data. We subdivided errors into those caused by data acquisition, data processing, and spatial properties of the terrain. In terms of the quantification of surface changes, the propagation of errors can lead to high uncertainties. Three alpine catchments with different LiDAR point clouds of different origins (airborne laser scanning [ALS], UAV-borne laser scanning [ULS]), varying point densities, accuracies and qualities were analysed, and used as basis for interpolating DTMs. The workflow was developed in the Schöttlbach area in Styria and later applied to further catchments in Austria. The main aim of the presented work is a comprehensive DTM uncertainty analysis specially designed for geomorphic impact studies, with a resulting uncertainty analysis serving as input for a change detection tool. Our findings reveal that geomorphic impact studies need the careful distinction between actual surface changes and different data uncertainties. ULS combines the benefits of terrestrial laser scanning with all the benefits of ALS. However, the use of ULS data does not necessarily improve the results of the analysis since the high level of detail is not always helpful in geomorphic impact studies. In order to make the different point clouds and DTMs comparable the quality of the ULS point cloud had to be reduced to fit the accuracy of the reference data (older ALS point clouds). Using a point cloud with a high point density with a regular planimetric point spacing and less data gaps, in the best case collected during leaf-off conditions (e.g., cross-flight strategy) turned out to be sufficient for our geomorphic research purposes.

How impervious are solar arrays? On the need for geomorphic assessment of energy transition technologies

AbstractStaying within manageable global temperature rise scenarios (i.e., 1.5° C) requires rapid decarbonization of energy sources. Research on the energy transition typically focuses on engineering, socioeconomic, and political challenges related to implementation of renewable energy technologies. Yet many facets of the energy transition are intricately intertwined with earth surface processes. Projects that advance the energy transition affect surface hydrology, sediment transport, and landscape evolution. Geomorphic processes likewise set the feasibility of energy transition projects. Here I use the lens of a recent policy debate to examine a case study that illustrates the key role of surface processes in determining the geomorphic impact and feasibility of the energy transition: the potential for conversion of agricultural land to photovoltaic arrays to drive soil erosion and water quality degradation. I point to open research questions that will result in both basic science advances and improved policy outcomes arising from effective geomorphic assessment of potential solar development. Zooming out from this case study, I suggest that there are significant environmental benefits to be gained by integrating earth surface processes research into planning for – and realizing – the transition to sustainable energy.

Modeling the relative morphodynamic influence of vegetation and large wood in a dryland ephemeral stream, Arizona, USA

Compared to perennial streams, studies investigating the impact of large wood on sediment transport and river corridor morphology in ephemeral streams are lacking. Due to the flashy nature of ephemeral flow regimes, opportunities to directly investigate the influence of wood in ephemeral channels are limited. Additionally, given prior studies showing a strong association between existing riparian vegetation and large wood deposition in ephemeral streams, the geomorphic impact of wood is entangled with that of vegetation. Here, we develop a hydro-morphodynamic model to investigate changes to channel and floodplain morphology due to wood and vegetation in an ephemeral stream in southeastern Arizona, USA. Three scenarios are modeled: the actual configuration of the river corridor; an experiment in which jams are removed; and an experiment in which vegetation is removed. Both large wood and vegetation effectively confined flow to the main, unvegetated channel, which became wider and deeper over the course of a single moderate flood. When isolating the impact of large wood, model results show that wood enhances channel change created by vegetation, resulting in ±0.1 to 0.3 m of additional scour or aggradation. The simulated removal of vegetation resulted in more channel change than the removal of wood alone, partially because vegetation occupies a much greater area within the stream corridor than large wood. We propose a conceptual framework where large wood could mediate sedimentation as well as the recruitment and growth of vegetation in ephemeral streams, contributing to the evolution of ephemeral stream morphology over time.

Floods on Alluvial Fans: Implications for Reworking Rates, Morphology and Fan Hazards

AbstractFlood events are the agents of change on alluvial fans. However, most alluvial fan experiments have used constant flows to model fans and the channels upon them. Here, we present results from a series of alluvial fan experiments with different patterns of flow variation (i.e., different hydrograph shapes). We conducted experiments with (a) constant flow, (b) alternating high and low flows, (c) a moderate flood peak that decayed slowly, alternating with a constant low flow, and (d) a high flood peak that decayed rapidly, alternating with a constant low flow. We found that different hydrographs generated fans with different slopes, even though all experiments had the same mean flow and sediment supply. In addition, higher peak flows led to increased lateral migration rates and increased erosion and deposition. These results challenge the notion that a single representative flow can be used to approximate the geomorphic effects of a range of flows in a natural stream. Moreover, our findings indicate that hydrograph shape can govern the geomorphic impact of a flood event. This means that altered basin hydrology (for instance, through land cover change) likely exerts an important impact on geomorphic change and natural hazards on alluvial fans.

Spatial and temporal controls on proglacial erosion rates: A comparison of four basins on Mount Rainier, 1960 to 2017

SummaryThe retreat of alpine glaciers since the mid‐19th century has triggered rapid landscape adjustments in many headwater basins. However, the degree to which decadal‐scale glacier retreat is associated with systematic or substantial changes in overall coarse sediment export, with the potential to impact downstream river dynamics, remains poorly understood. Here, we use repeat topographic surveys to assess geomorphic change in four partly glaciated basins on a stratovolcano (Mount Rainier) in Washington State at roughly decadal intervals from 1960 to 2017. The proglacial extents of the four basins show distinct geomorphic trajectories, ranging from substantial and sustained net erosion to relatively inactive with net deposition. These different trajectories correspond to differences in initial (1960) valley floor gradients, and can be effectively understood as valley floor grade adjustments. Significant erosion was most often accomplished by debris flows triggered by extreme rainfall or glacial outburst floods, though a single rockfall mobilized more material than all other events combined. Year‐to‐year runoff events had little measurable geomorphic impact. Exported material tended to accumulate in broad deposits within several kilometers of source areas and largely remained there through the end of the study period. Over 10‐ to 100‐year timescales, we find that the impact of glacier retreat on coarse sediment yield may then vary substantially according to the geometry and storage trends of the newly exposed valley floor; the timing of that response may also be dictated, and potentially obscured, by stochastic and/or extreme events.

A palaeoenvironmental record of MIS 3 climate change in NE Poland—Sedimentary and geochemical evidence

In Eastern Europe Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 3 represents a period characterised by severe climate change of very rapid onset, which is recorded in the regional sedimentary record. Hitherto this work, the geomorphic impact of these abrupt changes to NE Poland's 1st-order-stream valleys has been under-represented in studies. Here the combined results of lithological, geochemical, and palynological analyses—coupled with sediment OSL dating—demonstrate that MIS 3's earlier events (60–45 ka) mark an interval when contemporary dry valleys functioned as active stream corridors, places where deep fluvial incision had occurred. Prior to this MIS 3 fluvial activity there is an observed depositional hiatus encompassing sediments from MIS 5d to the oldest part of MIS 3. Valley-bottom sediment accumulation began ~44–40 ka, commencing at a time when shallow water reservoirs began to function. The resultant mineral infill is devoid of calcium carbonate and organic matter (OM). This sedimentation occurred under dry and cold climate conditions—i.e. under the influence of permafrost aggradation. The geochemical composition of the MIS 3 deposits indicates that environmental conditions are deteriorating. In effect, calcium carbonate was completely removed from the deposits, which resulted in the reduction of mobile elements (such as Na), removal of selected soil horizons, and an increased content of immobile elements—e.g. sedimentary Al, Rb, Ti. These processes are confirmed in the study sediments by magnetic susceptibility analysis. Here, in MIS 3 lake deposits, the presence of fissure structures filled with grey clay or fine sand is a common feature. Climatic changes during MIS 3's younger part were reflected in the slight increase of OM, which in turn increased the contribution of mobile, immobile, and trace elements. Most likely these change intervals represent more humid conditions during MIS 3. Sediment-trapping lakes within dry valley bottoms completely disappeared by ~30 ka.

Large wood and sediment storage in a mixed bedrock-alluvial stream, western Montana, USA

Sediment storage by instream wood in forested mountain streams mediates sediment movement from hillslopes through the channel network and can alter channel morphology at multiple spatial scales. Mixed bedrock-alluvial channels are prevalent in mountain stream networks, yet the distribution and geomorphic impact of large wood within these streams are poorly understood. To estimate how the distribution of large wood in a mixed bedrock-alluvial stream relates to sediment storage, we measured and characterized large wood, and we surveyed the volume of associated sediment within a stream in the Bitterroot Mountains, Montana. The upstream portion of the study reach is predominantly alluvial and the downstream portion has significant bedrock exposure along the channel bed and banks. Wood volume and sediment storage in the mixed bedrock-alluvial subreach are 50% and 15%, respectively, of those measured in the alluvial subreach. Most wood is organized into jams, and two channel-spanning jams within the upstream subreach account for 50% and 80% of the reach-averaged wood and sediment volume, respectively. The volume of sediment stored by wood in the full reach is the same order of magnitude as the estimated annual bedload export. Our study highlights the interactions among channel form and the fluxes and storage of wood and sediment. Wood that forms channel-spanning jams, which store a disproportionate amount of wood and sediment in the study reach, may accentuate differences between alluvial and bedrock-dominated subreaches in mountain stream networks, by promoting sediment deposition and storage upstream and by reducing sediment supply to downstream reaches.

Landscape change in response to multiperiod glacial debris flows in Peilong catchment, southeastern Tibet

High-magnitude glacial debris flows in small basins in Himalayas have a significant impact on landscape. The Peilong catchment, a tributary of the Parlung Zangbo River in southeastern Tibet, was chosen as a case study of topographic response to multi-period glacial debris flows. There were no recorded debris flows in the catchment before 1983, but four large-scale glacial debris flow events with peak discharge up to 8195 m3/s blocked the river during 1983–1985 and in 2015. A combination of field survey, examination of historical records and interpretation of multi-period remote sensing images was used to assess triggering factors and geomorphic impact of the events. The results show that the debris flows during 1983 and 1985 may be attributed to seismic events in 1981 and 1982, while the event in 2015 resulted from large amount of landslide deposits caused by glacier retreat during 1993–2013 and high precipitation in 2015. In the upper-midstream broad valley, erosion and accumulation of the flows changed the channel morphology, resulting in course diversion. In the lower-midstream narrow valley, lateral erosion of debris flows induced a large number of landslides but had little impact on the channel longitudinal profile. The ability of massive glacial debris flows to change valley topography is more than ten times that of regular water flows. The landscape of the accumulation fan at the outlet of the valley is controlled by the interaction between the sediment transportation capacity of debris flows and erosional capacity of the main river. The flow transport capacity of the Peilong is greater than the delivery capacity of the Parlung Zangbo, resulting in continuous aggradation of the confluence zone.

The geomorphic impact of mangrove encroachment in an Australian salt marsh

Mangroves are encroaching into salt marshes throughout the world as a result of environmental change. Previous studies suggest mangroves trap sediment more efficiently than adjacent salt marshes, providing mangroves greater capacity to adapt to sea level rise; this may occur by displacing salt marshes. However, sediment transport in adjacent marsh-mangrove systems and its role in mangrove encroachment upon salt marsh remain poorly understood. Here we directly test the hypothesis that mangroves reduce the ability of adjacent marsh to adjust to sea level rise by measuring sediment transport across salt marsh platforms, with and without 6 m of fringing mangroves at the tidal creek edge. We find that salt marshes and mangroves have equivalent sediment trapping efficiencies along the wetland edge. Suspended sediment concentrations, mass accumulation rates, and long-term accretion rates are not lower in salt marshes landward of mangroves than salt marshes without fringing mangroves. Therefore, our work suggests that a relatively narrow zone of mangroves does not impact salt marsh accretion, and activities that limit mangrove encroachment into salt marsh, such as removal of seedlings, will not improve the capacity of salt marsh to trap sediments.

Examining the downstream geomorphic impact of a large dam under climate change

Long-term geomorphic evolution of rivers depends both on the amount of sediment supply and on the river’s ability to transport that sediment. Climate change is anticipated to change flow frequency distributions and sediment yield and could thus alter the geomorphic trajectory of many regulated rivers. We aim to examine the possible geomorphic response of the upper Godavari River, India, to climate change using two well-accepted metrics: the frequency of the sediment-transporting flows (T*) and the ratio of the sediment flux below and above a dam (S*). Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was used to simulate streamflow and sediment yield in the basin. We calibrated and validated the model using SWAT-CUP for pre- (1971–75) and post-dam (1976–81) conditions downstream of Jayakwadi dam. The model performance was good (NS value > 0.6 for discharge and PBIAS < ± 10 for sediment) with low uncertainty (p-factor > 0.6 and r-factor <1) and it improved significantly by factoring the operation of the reservoirs into the simulation. We ran the model for 10 years consecutively in the pre and post-dam states for baseline (1971–81) and future (2090–99) climate conditions derived from NEX-GDDP climate projections (Emission scenario RCP 8.5 & 4.5). A linear relationship between T*/S* and observed erosion (m) below the dam provided the basis for estimating the amount of erosion associated with future climate states. Our simulations show substantially larger T* below the dam site in 40% of the 2090s scenarios relative to the baseline conditions. These could be associated with 4–6 times the erosion compared to the baseline. Severe erosion is indicated only under RCP 8.5. Simulations suggest that amplified peak releases from dams in the future could lead to greater downstream erosion potential.

Dam failure and a catastrophic flood in the Mekong basin (Bolaven Plateau), southern Laos, 2018

Sudden breaching of a saddle dam on July 23, 2018, on the perimeter of the Xe Nammoy hydroelectric-power reservoir, recently constructed in the Mekong basin, southern Laos, caused catastrophic flooding that resulted in fatalities and displaced thousands of individuals. This study aims to (1) assess the cause of the dam breach, and (2) understand the hydrologic and geomorphic impact of the flood. Our analysis shows that the collapse of the dam occurred as the reservoir was nearly full, and the water level was rising against the inner slope of the earthen dam. As the water discharged through the breach, we calculate that the reservoir fell ~22 m and lost ~350 million m3, more than a third of the total stored volume on July 23. Inspection of publicly available photographs of the failed dam confirms our interpretation that the failure was structural, involving both piping and rotational slumping, and not due to overtopping of the dam. Failure to properly process the local materials before construction of the earth-core of the dam is the likely cause of failure. Our analysis of satellite imagery, bolstered by field observations, reveals that the flooding inundated an area of ~46 km2 of villages and rural land in the Vang Ngao River, a tributary of the Mekong River basin. By using 1D and 2D hydrological modeling, we calculate a peak flood discharge of ~8500 m3/s, about half the mean discharge of the Mississippi River. The dam failure and concomitant losses are consistent with common inadequacies in this region in assessing potential hazards, challenges of geomorphological-geotechnical engineering when using tropical materials for construction, and emergency planning and warning. Thus, this analysis has important implications for the safer design and construction of the myriad of other dams that are either operating or planned within the multi-national Mekong River basin.

Linking frequency of rainstorms, runoff generation and sediment transport across hyperarid talus‐pediment slopes

AbstractDocumenting hillslope response to hydroclimatic forcing is crucial to our understanding of landscape evolution. The evolution of talus‐pediment sequences (talus flatirons) in arid areas was often linked to climatic cycles, although the physical processes that may account for such a link remain obscure. Our approach is to integrate field measurements, remote sensing of rainfall and modeling to link between storm frequency, runoff, erosion and sediment transport. We present a quantitative hydrometeorological analysis of rainstorms, their geomorphic impact and their potential role in the evolution of hyperarid talus‐pediment slopes in the Negev desert, Israel. Rainstorm properties were defined based on intensity–duration–frequency curves and using a rainfall simulator, artificial rainstorms were executed in the field. Then, the obtained measured experimental results were up‐scaled to the entire slope length using a fully distributed hydrological model. In addition, natural storms and their hydro‐geomorphic impacts were monitored using X‐band radar and time‐lapse cameras. These integrated analyses constrain the rainfall threshold for local runoff generation at rain intensity of 14 to 22 mm h‐1 for a duration of five minutes and provide a high‐resolution characterization of small‐scale runoff‐generating rain cells. The current frequency of such runoff‐producing rainstorms is ~1–3 per year. However, extending this local value into the full extent of hillslope runoff indicates that it occurs only under rainstorms with ≥ 100‐years return interval, or 1% annual exceedance probability. Sheetwash efficiency rises with downslope distance; beyond a threshold distance of ~100 m, runoff during rainstorms with such annual exceedance probability are capable of transporting surface clasts. The erosion efficiency of these discrete rare events highlights their potential importance in shaping the landscape of arid regions. Our results support the hypothesis that a shift in the properties and frequency of extreme events can trigger significant geomorphic transitions in areas that remained hyperarid during the entire Quaternary. © 2020 John Wiley &amp; Sons, Ltd.

The morphodynamic difference in the western and southern coasts of Laizhou Bay: Responses to the Yellow River Estuary evolution in the recent 60 years

Abstract The Yellow River Estuary (YRE), which is famous for its abundant sediment, rapid accretion, and frequent migration, has experienced a remarkable decrease of sediment transported by the Yellow River (YR) during the past 60 years. By taking the west coast (Yellow River Delta, YRD) and the south coast of Laizhou Bay (LZB) as a unified coastal unit, this paper has analyzed the evolution of shorelines, isobaths, and geomorphic erosion/accretion during the last 60 years based on the remote sensing images and nautical charts; these data were also used to reveal the depositional dynamic mechanisms controlling the coastal geomorphic responses to YRE evolution in a hydrodynamic numerical simulation. Then, the coastal dynamics, subaqueous slope accretion, and geomorphic evolution were integrated spatially. Finally, the impacts of YRE evolution, including changes of the position and amount of sediment loading into the sea, on the coastal geomorphic evolution of western–southern LZB during the recent 60 year period were elucidated. Results showed that outside of the YRE delta lobes, there has always been an arc high-velocity zone, outside of which there has existed a northeast arc tidal shear frontal zone during the last 60 years. As the estuary delta lobes extended into the sea, the high-velocity zone moved toward the southeast, where its range and velocity also increased. As an overall trend, the duration of the tidal shear frontal zone (TSFZ) has grown longer and longer over a whole tidal cycle, while the interval time has grown shorter and shorter; moreover, the span between the southern and northern endpoints has grown larger and larger, while the southern end always remained confined to a fixed position in the northeast sea area of Qingtuozi. Under the control of TSFZ, the suspended sediment of the Yellow River deposits nearly entirely in the arc area in the vicinity of the estuary delta lobes on the west coast, and thus, the sediment cannot cross TSFZ and move into southern LZB. As a result, the western and southern coasts of LZB have shown significant differences in the evolution of shorelines, isobaths, and geomorphic erosion/accretion during the last 60 years. That is, these features have changed dramatically in the west coast but have remained relatively stable in the southern coast, and sediment deposition is now greatly reduced in the southern LZB. Therefore, the YRE evolution had a significant geomorphic impact on the coast of western LZB where the YRD is located, while it had only a slight impact on southern LZB.