The division of Germany between East and West was in itself a sufficient condition for the emergence of what came to be known as the Cold War in Europe. Most of the literature on the origins of the Cold War regards the division of Germany as the consequence of a deepening conflict between the United States and the Soviet Union. This article argues that an inability to agree on the future of Germany was not the consequence of this conflict, but its cause, and that this inability to agree was simply the result of the fact that the four former Allies believed the risks associated with letting go of Germany, once it had been divided among their occupation forces, were greater than the risks associated with nonagreement. This conclusion is supported both by a general analysis of the interdependent choice situation posed by the occupation of Germany and by reference to the published diplomatic record. The article also argues that the diplomatic record has been widely misunderstood in several important respects.
Read full abstract