Fuel Reduction Treatments Research Articles

Evaluating the Economic Efficiency of Fuel Reduction Treatments in Sagebrush Ecosystems That Vary in Ecological Resilience and Invasion Resistance

The concepts of resilience and resistance (R&R) have been used to improve wildland fuel treatment outcomes by identifying parts of the landscape that are more likely to respond well to treatment. This study examined how the economic benefits and costs of fuel treatments in sagebrush (Artemisia spp.) ecosystems varied with the resilience and resistance properties of the treatment site. Generalized ecological models were developed for the economic analysis of fuel treatments that integrated ecological succession, annual grass invasion, pinyon–juniper expansion, and wildfire to simulate ecosystem dynamics over time. The models incorporated resilience and resistance by varying model parameters related to each plant community’s ability to resist annual grass invasion and recover post-disturbance. Simulations produced estimates of the expected (ex ante) benefit–cost ratio for each treatment. The approach also considered the benefits associated with the system remaining in an ecologically favorable condition, allowing us to report a more holistic measure of the net economic benefits of fuel treatments. The results from the simulations indicated fuel treatment was economically efficient in late-successional sagebrush and early-successional juniper in mountain big sagebrush associations. For sagebrush associations where treatment was economically efficient, higher R&R status sites had higher benefit–cost ratios. The results suggested that treatment costs were more determinative of economic efficiency than treatment benefits.

Effectiveness of pre-fire forest management on post-fire forest conditions in southeastern Arizona

BackgroundWestern forests in the United States are facing multiple threats that have the potential to permanently alter forest composition and structure. In particular, wildfire can either have beneficial or adverse effects on overall forest health and resilience. Monitoring and assessing the effectiveness of existing forest treatment plans for meeting forest management goals is becoming more critical to increase the capacity for managers to prepare for and accommodate uncertainty associated with changing disturbance regimes. We used a combination of fine-scale vegetation and microclimate surveys on 57 plots, active remotely sensed data (light detection and ranging: LiDAR), and high-resolution satellite imagery to evaluate the effectiveness of an existing management strategy to increase disturbance resistance and resilience of an isolated mixed-conifer forest following a recent large-scale wildfire in southeastern Arizona, USA. We specifically assessed the effectiveness of forest overstory live tree thinning treatments (silviculture) as well as understory fuel reduction treatments (fuel) for influencing post-fire abiotic and biotic conditions, reducing direct post-fire tree mortality, and increasing resilience as compared to untreated forest stands.ResultsWe found that forest silviculture and fuel reduction treatments implemented prior to a large wildfire had mixed results on post-fire fine-scale vegetation composition and structure, microclimate conditions, tree mortality, and tree resilience. Fine-scale vegetation characteristics within silviculture- and fuel-treated forest units displayed higher herbaceous diversity and decreased density of new tree snags as compared to untreated units post-fire. Relevant to seedling emergence, we found that variance in spring soil moisture content was lower overall in treated units; however, units that received overstory thinning (silviculture) treatments were also associated with higher average summer high soil temperatures as compared to untreated units. Additionally, direct tree mortality and rate of recovery of trees post-fire differed between two treatment types (silviculture and fuel reduction) when compared to untreated units and among contrasting levels of burn severity. Post-fire tree mortality and tree resilience did not differ between control and silviculture units; however, these characteristics did differ between control and fuel units. Unlike control units, probability of tree mortality changed little between burn severity categories in fuel treatments (53.4% of mortality occurring in unburned/low vs. 46.7% in moderate/high severity) and resilience increased an average of 2.04% for trees from unburned/low to moderate/high-severity burn categories.ConclusionsOur methodology could be applied to any forested system experiencing increasing intensity and frequency of wildfire. Our results indicate that post-fire forest conditions and resilience are influenced by forest management strategies, particularly fuel reduction treatments. To accommodate uncertainty associated with changing disturbance regimes and climate change, implementing post-fire and post-treatment assessments and monitoring as presented in this study will be essential for developing attainable goals and for maintaining desired forest conditions.

Constraints on Mechanical Fuel Reduction Treatments in United States Forest Service Wildfire Crisis Strategy Priority Landscapes

Abstract The USDA Forest Service recently launched a Wildfire Crisis Strategy outlining objectives to safeguard communities and other values at risk by substantially increasing the pace and scale of fuel reduction treatment. This analysis quantified layered operational constraints to mechanical fuel reduction treatments, including existing vegetation, protected areas, steep slopes, and administrative boundaries in twenty-one prioritized landscapes. Results suggest that achieving the objective to treat 20%–40% of high-risk area is unlikely in most landscapes under a business-as-usual approach to mechanical fuel reduction treatments. Increased investment in steep-slope systems and expanded road access opens sufficient acreage to meet treatment objectives in eighteen of twenty-one priority landscapes. Achieving treatment objectives in the remaining three landscapes will require both increased investment to overcome physical constraints and navigating administrative complexities within reserved land allocations to implement fuels treatments at the pace and scale needed to moderate fire risk to communities. Study Implications: Legal, operational, and administrative factors have hindered the implementation of proposed wildland fire risk reduction management actions. Investing in steep-slope systems, expanding use of temporary roads, and revising administrative rules to allow for appropriately tailored mechanical thinning in special conservation areas are possible ways to meet fuel reduction treatment objectives of the USDA Forest Service Wildfire Crisis Strategy in twenty-one landscapes across the western United States. Broadening the land base available for mechanical treatment allows for flexibility to develop treatment plans that optimize across the multiple dimensions of effective landscape-scale fuel treatment design and restore fire as a key ecosystem process.

Site Quality Models and Fuel Load Dynamic Equation Systems Disaggregated by Size Fractions and Vegetative States in Gorse and High Heath Shrublands in Galicia (NW Spain)

Compatible model systems were developed for estimating fuel load dynamics in Ulex europaeus (gorse) and in Erica australis (Spanish heath) dominated shrub communities at stand level. The models were based on intensive, detailed destructive field sampling and were fitted simultaneously to fulfill the additivity principle. The models enable, for the first time, estimation of the biomass dynamics of the total shrub layer, size fractions and vegetative stage, with reasonably good accuracy. The approach used addresses the high variability in shrub biomass estimates by using a site index (SI) based on biomass levels at a reference age of 10 years. Analysis of the effect of climatic variables on site index confirmed the preference of gorse for mild temperatures and the ability of high heath communities to tolerate a wider range of temperatures. In the gorse communities, SI tended to increase as summer rainfall and the mean temperature of the coldest month increased. However, in the heath communities, no relationships were observed between SI and any of the climatic variables analyzed. The study findings may be useful for assessing and monitoring fuel hazards, updating fuel mapping, planning and implementing fuel reduction treatments and predicting fire behavior, among other important ecological and biomass use-related applications.

Do Vegetation Fuel Reduction Treatments Alter Forest Fire Severity and Carbon Stability in California Forests?

AbstractForest fire frequency, extent, and severity have rapidly increased in recent decades across the western United States (US) due to climate change and suppression‐oriented wildfire management. Fuels reduction treatments are an increasingly popular management tool, as evidenced by California's plan to treat 1 million acres annually by 2050. However, the aggregate efficacy of fuels treatments in dry forests at regional and multi‐decadal scales is unknown. We develop a novel fuels treatment module within a coupled dynamic vegetation and fire model to study the effects of dead biomass removal from forests in the Sierra Nevada region of California. We ask how annual treatment extent, stand‐level treatment intensiveness, and spatial treatment placement alter fire severity and live carbon loss. We find that a ∼30% reduction in stand‐replacing fire was achieved under our baseline treatment scenario of 1,000 km2 year−1 after a 100‐year treatment period. Prioritizing the most fuel‐heavy stands based on precise fuel distributions yielded cumulative reductions in pyrogenic stand‐replacement of up to 50%. Both removing constraints on treatment location due to remoteness, topography, and management jurisdiction and prioritizing the most fuel‐heavy stands yielded the highest stand‐replacement rate reduction of ∼90%. Even treatments that succeeded in lowering aggregate fire severity often took multiple decades to yield measurable effects, and avoided live carbon loss remained negligible across scenarios. Our results suggest that strategically placed fuels treatments are a promising tool for controlling forest fire severity at regional, multi‐decadal scales, but may be less effective for mitigating live carbon losses.

Long-term efficacy of fuel reduction and restoration treatments in Northern Rockies dry forests.

Fuel and restoration treatments seeking to mitigate the likelihood of uncharacteristic high-severity wildfires in forests with historically frequent, low-severity fire regimes are increasingly common, but long-term treatment effects on fuels, aboveground carbon, plant community structure, ecosystem resilience, and other ecosystem attributes are understudied. We present 20-year responses to thinning and prescribed burning treatments commonly used in dry, low-elevation forests of the western United States from a long-term study site in the Northern Rockies that is part of the National Fire and Fire Surrogate Study. We provide a comprehensive synthesis of short-term (<4 years) and mid-term (<14 years) results from previous findings. We then place these results in the context of a mountain pine beetle (MPB; Dendroctonus ponderosae) outbreak that impacted the site 5-10 years post-treatment and describe 20-year responses to assess the longevity of restoration and fuel reduction treatments in light of the MPB outbreak. Thinning treatments had persistently lower forest density and higher tree growth, but effects were more pronounced when thinning was combined with prescribed fire. The thinning+prescribed fire treatment had the additional benefit of maintaining the highest proportion of ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa) for overstory and regeneration. No differences in understory native plant cover and richness or exotic species cover remained after 20 years, but exotic species richness, while low relative to native species, was still higher in the thinning+prescribed fire treatment than the control. Aboveground live carbon stocks in thinning treatments recovered to near control and prescribed fire treatment levels by 20 years. The prescribed fire treatment and control had higher fuel loads than thinning treatments due to interactions with the MPB outbreak. The MPB-induced changes to forest structure and fuels increased the fire hazard 20 years post-treatment in the control and prescribed fire treatment. Should a wildfire occur now, the thinning+prescribed fire treatment would likely have the lowest intensity fire and highest tree survival and stable carbon stocks. Our findings show broad support that thinning and prescribed fire increase ponderosa pine forest resilience to both wildfire and bark beetles for up to 20 years, but efficacy is waning and additional fuel treatments are needed to maintain resilience.

Developing customized fuel models for shrub and bracken communities in Galicia (NW Spain)

Geospatial fire behaviour and fire hazard simulators, fire effects models and smoke emission software commonly use standard fuel models in order to simplify data collection and the inclusion of complex fuel scenarios. These fuel models are often mapped using remotely sensed data. However, given the great complexity of fuelbeds, with properties that vary widely in both time and space, the use of these standard fuel models can greatly limit accurate fuel mapping. This affects fuel hazard assessment, fuel reduction treatment plans, fire management decision-making and evaluation of the environmental impact of wildfire. In this study, we developed unique customized fire behaviour fuel models for shrub and bracken communities, by using k-medoids clustering analysis based on both fuel structural characteristics and potential fire behaviour. We used an original database of 722 destructive sample plots in nine different shrub and bracken communities covering the entire distribution area in Galicia (NW Spain), one of the regions in Europe most affected by forest fires. Measurements of cover, height and fuel fractions loads differentiated by size and vegetative state (live or dead) were used to estimate the potential rate of fire spread with five different models including fireline intensity, heat per unit area and the flame length for each sampling site and considering extreme environmental conditions. The optimal number of clusters was established by combining practical knowledge about the shrubland communities under study and their associated fire behaviour, with maximization of the mean value of the silhouette variable and minimization of the within-cluster sum of squares. The structural characteristics of the medoids derived from the analysis were associated with each of the proposed customized fuel models. Finally, a simple dichotomous classification based only on shrub height was developed to enable construction of spatially explicit fuel model maps based on remotely sensed data. Thus, the methodology applied allows generation of a more realistic representation of fuel distribution in the landscape, based on fuel structure measurements of natural regional ecosystems rather than on the use of standard models. We believe that the proposed methodology is generally applicable to communities composed of other shrub and fern species in different biogeographical regions.

Fuel build-up promotes an increase in fire severity of reburned areas in fire-prone ecosystems of the western Mediterranean Basin

BackgroundFire-vegetation feedbacks can modulate the global change effects conducive to extreme fire behavior and high fire severity of subsequent wildfires in reburn areas by altering the composition, flammability traits, and spatial arrangement of fuels. Repeated, high-severity wildfires at short return intervals may trigger long-term vegetation state transitions. However, empirical evidence about these feedbacks is absent in fire-prone ecosystems of the western Mediterranean Basin, where the response of fire activity has been enhanced by contemporary socioeconomic and land-use changes. Here, we evaluated whether fire severity differs between initial burns and subsequent wildfires in reburn areas (fire-free periods = 10–15 years) of maritime pine and Aleppo pine forests, holm oak woodlands, and shrublands in the western Mediterranean Basin, and whether there is a relationship between the severity of such interactive wildfire disturbances. We also tested how the type of ecosystem and changes in vegetation structure after the initial wildfires influence these relationships. We leveraged Landsat-based fire severity estimates for initial and last wildfires using the Relativized Burn Ratio (RBR) and Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) data acquired before the last wildfire.ResultsFire severity of the last wildfire was significantly higher than that of the initial wildfire for each dominant ecosystem type in reburn areas. These differences were very pronounced in maritime pine forests and shrublands. For consistency, the same patterns were evidenced for the fire severity in reburn and first-entry areas of the last wildfire for each dominant ecosystem type. Fire severity of the last wildfire in forests and woodlands (particularly maritime pine-dominated) raised with increasing severity of the previous wildfire to a greater extent than in shrublands. Pre-fire fuel density in the lower vegetation strata (up to 4 m high in maritime and Aleppo pine forests, as well as in shrublands, and up to 2 m high in holm oak forests) was significantly higher in reburn than in first-entry areas of the last wildfire.ConclusionsOur results suggest that land managers should promote more fire-resistant landscapes to high fire severity by minimizing fuel build-up and thus fire hazard through pre-fire fuel reduction treatments such as prescribed burning.

Harnessing Natural Disturbances: A Nature-Based Solution for Restoring and Adapting Dry Forests in the Western USA to Climate Change

Natural disturbances (wildfires, droughts, beetle outbreaks) shaped temperate forests for millennia, including dry forests of the western USA. Could they now best restore and adapt dry forests to climate change while protecting nearby communities? Mechanical fuel-reduction treatments (e.g., thinning) reduce landscape heterogeneity and appear ineffective since &lt;1% of the treated area encounters fire each year and fires are still increasing. We propose and analyze a nature-based solution (NbS), using natural disturbances, to see whether it is feasible, how long it might take, and whether it could more effectively restore and adapt dry forests to climate change. We compared 2010–2019 disturbance rates on ~16 million ha of federal dry forests with historical data. We evaluated how much adaptation is achieved by comparing how trees are selected by treatments and disturbances. We found an NbS, which works with natural disturbances and prioritizes community protection, is feasible in western USA dry forests since disturbances are occurring mostly within historical rates. Natural disturbances, unlike mechanical treatments, select survivors that are more likely to be genetically adapted to survive future disturbances and climate change, while perpetuating ecosystem services. Natural disturbances also could ecologically restore forest heterogeneity, better maintain carbon storage, and reduce management needs. A fully developed disturbance-based NbS could more effectively adapt dry forests to climate change within ~30–40 years if active management is reprioritized to protect the built environment and communities near public forests.

Prescribed fire lessens bark beetle impacts despite varied effects on fuels 13 years after mastication and fire in a Sierra Nevada mixed-conifer forest

Mastication, thinning, and prescribed fire can help shift fire-prone forests to a structure and composition more resilient to wildfire, but the ability to evaluate treatment effectiveness requires monitoring forest response to disturbances over time after treatment. In this study, we investigated fuel loadings, forest structure, and tree growth to assess treatment legacies thirteen years after mastication, prescribed fire, and surface fuel pull-back from tree boles in Sierra Nevada mixed-conifer forest. An outbreak of bark beetles between 2011 and 2018 impacted all plots but burned treatments had lower overstory mortality relative to unburned treatments which experienced an 80 % decline in live tree biomass. Tree diameter, canopy density, and surface fuel loadings became similar across all treatments during the 13 year time period. Height to live crown remained elevated in burned treatments relative to the control but had lowered by an average of 1.9 ± 0.3 (SE) m across all treatments. Radial tree growth did not have a sustained response to treatment and was greater in burned treatments for only a single year, 2011, several years post-treatment. Prescribed fire decreased duff mass by 56 % relative to unburned treatments but did not affect forest floor bulk density. Downed woody fuel loadings (1-h – 1000-h) were similar across treatments. The invasive Bromus tectorum (cheatgrass) had uniformly high cover across treatments. Whereas treatments were largely ineffective at producing long-term reductions in surface fuel loadings, the enduring reductions in duff loadings and reduced overstory mortality support the long-term utility of prescribed fire. Cumulatively, our results highlight the potential for prescribed fire to reduce overstory mortality and duff loadings in dry mixed-conifer forests, thereby contributing more effectively to fire-resilient characteristics relative to other fuel reduction treatments.

The effectiveness of past wildfire at limiting reburning is short-lived in a Mediterranean humid climate

BackgroundThe study of wildfire interactions (i.e., spread limitation and reburns) is gaining traction as a means of describing the self-limiting process of fire spread in the landscape and has important management implications but has scarcely been attempted in Europe. We examined to what extent previously burned areas restricted the development of individual large wildfires (> 500 ha) in mainland Portugal.ResultsFor the 1984–2021 period, we (1) modeled the proportion of large wildfire perimeters coinciding with transitions to shorter time since fire (TSF), i.e., locations where fire spread ceased upon encountering assumedly less flammable fuels, and (2) characterized the prevalence of different TSF in the composition of the area burned by large wildfires in relation to available TSF. Only 4% of the large wildfires did not comprise edges intersecting past wildfires. Low TSF (especially up to 8 years) resulted in large-wildfire perimeter limitation at TSF transitions. This effect was further enhanced by high historical burn probability and proximity to roadways and watercourses. Perimeter limitation did also increase under high (but not very high or extreme) fire danger, benefiting from maximum seasonal firefighting preparedness. TSF prevalence in the composition of large-wildfire area was extremely variable and thus an overall weak pattern emerged, with minimum and maximum prevalence respectively at TSF < 2 years and TSF ≥ 6 years.ConclusionsLarge wildfire limitation in Portugal is hampered by fast fuel build-up after fire, indicating a short-lived fire-hazard reduction effect under the prevailing Mediterranean humid climate of the study region. Nonetheless, such effect should be considered when planning fuel-reduction treatments and can be used opportunistically during large-wildfire suppression operations.

Fuels reduction can directly improve spotted owl foraging habitat in the Sierra Nevada

Wildfire has been an important force in shaping biological diversity in forests of western North America. Patterns of reburning helped to maintain heterogenous landscapes with low tree densities that naturally limited the extent of severe stand-replacing fires. However, anthropogenic impacts over the past two centuries have dramatically altered fire activity and its ecological function, creating conditions that promote large and intense fires with no historical analog. Fuels reduction treatments represent proven methods to mitigate extreme fire events, but there is controversy over their potential effects to sensitive wildlife species. The California spotted owl (Strix occidentalis occidentalis) is a forest species that evolved under a frequent-fire regime. Controversy over how spotted owls may be impacted by fuels reduction is one of numerous contributing factors that has limited the pace and scale of implementation. To examine the relationships between spotted owls and fuels reduction treatments, we studied breeding season nocturnal foraging habitat selection related to fuel structural metrics of 159 GPS-tagged California spotted owls across the Sierra Nevada bioregion. Spotted owls selected for higher canopy base height, lower ladder fuel density, and lower canopy bulk density, which represent synergies between fuels reduction treatments and owl space use. Spotted owls also selected for higher surface fuels and higher canopy layer counts, representing potential trade-offs between fuels reduction goals and spotted owl space use. We overlaid the probability of space use by foraging spotted owls with relative stand density index (SDI), a measure of forest resilience, to classify Sierra Nevada landscapes into four groups: low management priority (low owl use/high forest resilience), fuels reduction priority (low owl use/low forest resilience), potential conflict zones (high owl use/low forest resilience), and habitat retention priority (high owl use/high forest resilience). Fuels reduction priority (34.4%) was the largest category, suggesting that potential impacts of fuels reduction on spotted owl foraging habitat may be less widespread in the Sierra Nevada than previously believed. Our results suggest that fuels reduction treatments, especially those focused on mutually beneficial goals such as increasing canopy base height, reducing ladder fuels, and reducing canopy bulk density may directly improve spotted owl foraging habitat while also mitigating the effects of large and severe wildfires on forest species and forest ecosystems.

Decadal impacts of wildfire fuel reduction treatments on ecosystem characteristics and fire behavior in alaskan boreal forests

Wildfire activity is increasing in boreal forests as climate warms and dries, increasing risks to rural and urban communities. In black spruce forests of Interior Alaska, fuel reduction treatments are used to create a defensible space for fire suppression and slow fire spread. These treatments introduce novel disturbance characteristics, making longer-term outcomes on ecosystem structure and wildfire risk reduction uncertain. We remeasured a network of sites where fuels were reduced through hand thinning or mechanical shearblading in Interior Alaska to assess how successional trajectories of tree dominance, understory composition, and permafrost change over ∼ 20 years after treatment. We also assessed if these fuel reduction treatments reduce modeled surface rate of fire spread (ROS), flame length, and fireline intensity relative to an untreated black spruce stand, and if surface fire behavior changes over time. In thinned areas, soil organic layer (SOL) disturbance promoted tree seedling recruitment but did not change over time. In shearbladed sites, by contrast, both conifer and broad-leaved deciduous seedling density increased over time and deciduous seedlings were 20 times more abundant than spruce. Thaw depth increased over time in both treatments and was greatest in shearbladed sites with a thin SOL. Understory composition was not altered by thinning but in shearbladed treatments shifted from forbs and horsetail to tall deciduous shrubs and grasses over time. Modeled surface fire behavior was constant in shearbladed sites. This finding is inconsistent with expert opinion, highlighting the need for additional fuels-specific data to capture the changing vegetation structure. Treatment effectiveness at reducing modeled surface ROS, flame length, and fireline intensity depended on the fuel model used for an untreated black spruce stand, pointing to uncertainties about the efficacy of these treatments at mitigating surface fire behavior. Overall, we show that fuel reduction treatments can promote low flammability, deciduous tree dominated successional trajectories, and that shearblading has strong effects on understory composition and permafrost degradation that persist for nearly two decades after disturbance. Such factors need to be considered to enhance the design, management, and predictions of fire behavior in these treatments.

Mechanical thinning restores ecological functions in a seasonally dry ponderosa pine forest in the inland Pacific Northwest, USA

An increasingly important goal of federal land managers in seasonally dry forests of the western US is restoring forest resilience. In this study, we quantified the degree to which a thinning treatment in a dry forest of eastern Oregon restored aspects of forest resilience by focusing on key functional attributes of our study system. First, we measured several physiological responses of overstory trees that are associated with resilience, including radial growth, resin production, abundance of non-structural carbohydrates (NSC), and leaf area. Second, we investigated understory vegetation responses including species diversity, composition, and cover by growth form that influence fire behavior and resilience to disturbance. We found that tree radial growth was greater in trees in thinned stands beginning three years post-treatment. The abundance of key chemical compounds found in trees, including resin, starch, total NSC and sucrose did not differ between treatments; however, abundance of glucose plus fructose was lower in treated stands, suggesting mobilization and use of carbon reserves for foliar and wood production following thinning. We observed an increase in species richness and diversity within thinned stands three to four years after thinning, primarily due to the release of forbs and reestablishment of graminoids following ground disturbance. Here, we demonstrate that elements of forest resilience can be restored in dry forest systems via selective thinning to promote historical forest structure. In forests where thinning reduces stand density, vigorous overstory trees and increased herbaceous cover can help facilitate the re-establishment of low intensity surface fire regimes that maintain stable and persistent vegetative states. Understanding the ecological effects of fuel reduction treatments allows land managers to assess potential forest resiliency and adapt future treatments based on the observed results of previous activities.

Variable Support and Opposition to Fuels Treatments for Wildfire Risk Reduction: Melding Frameworks for Local Context and Collaborative Potential

AbstractFuels reduction projects are an increasing focus of policy, funding, and management actions aimed at reducing wildfire risk to human populations while improving landscape health. This research used in-depth interviews to explore variable support or opposition to three fuels-reduction projects occurring in the same region of north central Washington State, USA. Results indicate that differential support or opposition to each project stemmed from a unique combination of social factors operating in each locality (e.g., past history with fuels treatments, values for public land, environmental advocacy networks), the relationships that local populations had with agency members conducting each treatment, and the ways that managers engaged populations in the design of each treatment. We used existing frameworks for understanding collaborative potential/environmental conflict and for documenting the influence of local social context on adaptive wildfire actions to help explain emergent lessons about support or opposition to each project.

Fuel reduction burning reduces wildfire severity during extreme fire events in south-eastern Australia

Extreme fire events have increased across south-eastern Australia owing to warmer and drier conditions driven by anthropogenic climate change. Fuel reduction burning is widely applied to reduce the occurrence and severity of wildfires; however, targeted assessment of the effectiveness of this practice is limited, especially under extreme climatic conditions. Our study utilises fire severity atlases for fuel reduction burns and wildfires to examine: (i) patterns in the extent of fuel treatment within planned burns (i.e., burn coverage) across different fire management zones, and; (ii) the effect of fuel reduction burning on the severity of wildfires under extreme climatic conditions. We assessed the effect of fuel reduction burning on wildfire severity across temporal and spatial scales (i.e., point and local landscape), while accounting for burn coverage and fire weather. Fuel reduction burn coverage was substantially lower (∼20–30%) than desired targets in fuel management zones focused on asset protection, but within the desired range in zones that focus on ecological objectives. At the point scale, wildfire severity was moderated in treated areas for at least 2–3 years after fuel treatment in shrubland and 3–5 years in forests, relative to areas that did not receive fuel reduction treatments (i.e., unburnt patches). Fuel availability strongly limited fire occurrence and severity within the first 18 months of fuel reduction burning, irrespective of fire weather. Fire weather was the dominant driver of high severity canopy defoliating fire by ∼3–5 years after fuel treatment. At the local landscape scale (i.e., 250 ha), the extent of high canopy scorch decreased marginally as the extent of recently (<5 years) treated fuels increased, though there was a high level of uncertainty around the effect of recent fuel treatment. Our findings demonstrate that during extreme fire events, very recent (i.e., <3 years) fuel reduction burning can aid wildfire suppression locally (i.e., near assets) but will have a highly variable effect on the extent and severity of wildfires at larger scales. The patchy coverage of fuel reduction burns in the wildland-urban interface indicates that considerable residual fuel hazard will often be present within the bounds of fuel reduction burns.

Vegetation type change in California’s Northern Bay Area: A comparison of contemporary and historical aerial imagery

The North Bay area of California is a populous and ecologically diverse area that has experienced significant changes in the past century, as well as a series of recent wildfires, after over a century of fire suppression practices. While much research has been conducted quantifying drivers and patterns of vegetation change in conifer-dominated ecosystems, and how such changes have influenced current trends in fire behavior, studies of similar focus and scale are rarer in non-conifer ecosystems, including mixed-hardwood forests or shrub-dominated ecosystems in central and coastal Northern California. This is despite the fact that ecosystems other than conifer forests make up the majority of area burned in California wildfires. As such, expanding research focused on patterns of large-scale vegetation change as a possible driver of this trend in this area is a priority. In this study, we sought to map the overall extent and patch sizes of broad vegetation classes across a 52,000 ha study area based on historical (1948) and contemporary (2014) aerial imagery and to investigate shifts in vegetation patterns, as well as potential pathways and drivers of detected changes. We classified vegetation types through segmenting our imagery into homogenous polygons, and assigning broad vegetation categories using a random forest algorithm. We then analyzed patterns of change using spatial statistics and conditional inference tree analyses. We detected a large increase (12%) in the relative landscape proportion and average patch size of the forest class, characterized by dense tree canopy cover. Woodlands and shrub patches were most susceptible to type change, with the majority (57% and 65%, respectively) of converted areas subsequently identified as denser forest stands. By contrast, herbaceous and forest patches were most persistent. We additionally found that disturbance history, specifically whether an area burned or not, and topographic variables, including elevation and aspect, were important influences on the likelihood of vegetation persistence, while slope and water availability were not. Historical aerial imagery, which provides fine resolution and accurate data over a large spatial scale, is a useful tool for detecting landscape-scale vegetation shifts in ecosystems where widespread vegetation monitoring was not common historically. The marked increase in dense forest we detected, specifically due to the conversion of large areas of shrub and woodland vegetation may correspond to higher surface and ladder fuel load and continuity, and potentially higher wildfire risk. Fuel reduction treatments typically implemented in conifer-dominated forests may also be warranted in these mixed hardwood forests. However, more research is needed to understand drivers of change in non-conifer-dominated ecosystems in California and how such change influences wildfire behavior.

Shaded fuel breaks create wildfire-resilient forest stands: lessons from a long-term study in the Sierra Nevada

BackgroundIn California’s mixed-conifer forests, fuel reduction treatments can successfully reduce fire severity, bolster forest resilience, and make lasting changes in forest structure. However, current understanding of the duration of treatment effectiveness is lacking robust empirical evidence. We leveraged data collected from 20-year-old forest monitoring plots within fuel treatments that captured a range of wildfire occurrence (i.e., not burned, burned once, or burned twice) following initial plot establishment and overstory thinning and prescribed fire treatments.ResultsInitial treatments reduced live basal area and retained larger-diameter trees; these effects persisted throughout the 20-year study period. Wildfires maintained low surface and ground fuel loads established by treatments. Treatments also reduced the probability of torching immediately post-treatment and 20 years post initial thinning treatments.ConclusionsFuel treatments in conifer-dominated forests can conserve forest structure in the face of wildfire. Additionally, findings support that the effective lifespans of treatments can be extended by wildfire occurrence. Our results suggest that continued application of shaded fuel breaks is not only a sound strategy to ensure forest persistence through wildfire but may also be compatible with restoration objectives aimed at allowing for the use of more ecologically beneficial fire across landscapes.

Extreme wildfire supersedes long-term fuel treatment influences on fuel and vegetation in chaparral ecosystems of northern California, USA

BackgroundWithin California’s chaparral ecosystems, fuel reduction treatments are commonly used to reduce the negative impacts of wildfire but the durability of fuel treatment changes to fuels and vegetation when exposed to wildfire is less well understood. This study examined the interactive effects of 15-year-old fuel treatments and an extreme wildfire on burn severity, fuel loading, and vegetation in chaparral and oak vegetation types in Whiskeytown National Recreation Area in northern California, USA. Fuel treatment types included hand thinned, mechanical mastication, mechanical mastication + prescribed burning, and prescribed burning only.ResultsVegetation and substrate burn severity was characterized as moderate across the study site and did not differ among treatments. Contrasting with higher pre-fire shrub density in the mastication + burning treatment, 2-year post-fire live shrub density did not differ among treatments. Higher pre-fire fine woody fuel loading in the mastication treatment did not correspond to post-fire fuel loading among treatments, while the hand thinned treatment was the only treatment where fine fuel loading was not significantly reduced post-fire. Total plant species richness increased in all treatment types following wildfire, largely driven by an increase in exotic species. Native cover decreased, and exotic cover increased in oak and chaparral types, but greater exotic species cover in the mastication + burning treatment in chaparral was maintained following wildfire.ConclusionsPre-fire differences in fuel and vegetation responses among treatments largely did not persist or were not detectible 1 to 2 years following wildfire. These findings suggest that the extreme wildfire conditions superseded long-term treatment differences in many fuel and vegetation metrics observed prior to wildfire. Despite subtle treatment differences, the hand thinned treatment resulted in the lowest change in fuel loading relative to all other treatments. Lastly, pre-fire differences in exotic species among fuel treatments were retained following wildfire, suggesting some treatments may have greater potential for exotic species expansion or type conversion to exotic grasslands.

Assessing directional vulnerability to wildfire

Wildfires spread along trajectories set by a coincident wind direction. Despite the highly directional nature of wildfire threats to public safety, landscape fire risk assessments are typically omnidirectional. We used a simple metric of landscape fire exposure to develop a systematic and standardized approach for assessing directional vulnerability to wildfire within a circular assessment area centered on locale of interest. First, we defined a viable wildfire trajectory by analyzing 573 sample trajectories delineated within the burned areas of historical fires in the province of Alberta, Canada. On average, sample trajectories intersected locations assessed as having high wildfire exposure for 79% of their length. We, therefore, defined a viable fire trajectory as one with at least 80% of its length traversing high exposure. Using this criterion, we assessed the viability of directional trajectories representing possible wildfire pathways from outlying landscape areas into a locale of interest centered within a roughly 70,000-ha circular assessment area. At each central assessment point (i.e., community centroid), we delineated 360 linear trajectories into the community at 1° directional intervals. Each 15-km trajectory was divided into three 5-km segments for analysis (inner, middle, and outer). The length of each directional trajectory segment that intersected high exposure was computed for all 1080 directional segments in each community assessment area. In total, we evaluated 986,040 directional segments for 913 communities in the province. Communities exhibited highly unique and varied patterns of directional vulnerabilities to wildfire encroachment. Of the communities analyzed, 136 had at least one continuous viable trajectory spanning the full 15-km distance from the community centroid, and 211 communities had at least one continuous viable trajectory spanning 5–15 km from the community centroid. We developed customized rose or polar diagrams for displaying spatially referenced directional vulnerabilities to wildfire for a given community and combined results for all 913 analyzed communities to assess regional vulnerabilities within administrative management areas (i.e., Forest Areas). Potential applications of our directional assessment method are discussed, including prepositioning and prioritizing limited fire suppression resources, planning fuel reduction treatments, proactively identifying candidate locations for operational activities, assessing transportation network vulnerabilities during evacuations, and scenario planning.