Fracture Risk Assessment Tool Research Articles

Systematic review of major osteoporotic fracture to hip fracture incidence rate ratios worldwide: implications for Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX)-derived estimates.

The Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX) is the most widely used tool for fracture prediction. It provides 10-year probabilities for hip and major osteoporotic fracture (MOF). It uses country-specific hip fracture incidence and life expectancy data, and for most countries, MOF/hip fracture incidence rate ratios (IRRs) from Malmo Sweden. However, the risk of MOF varies by age, sex, and geography. The objective is to compare the MOF/hip IRRs across countries, by sex and age. This systematic review targeted observational studies of MOF and hip fractures in individuals >50 years (PROSPERO 2019 CRD42019129259). One reviewer screened potential articles. Two reviewers completed duplicate and independent data abstraction, and assessed study quality based on population representativeness, study design and duration, definition of ethnicity, and fracture characteristics. We calculated the MOF/hip IRRs (95% confidence interval) and Z-values to compare IRRs in various countries to those for Sweden. We included 27 studies, of fair to good quality in the majority, from Europe (15), US and Canada (7), Asia (3), and Australia (2). The IRRs were twofold to 10-fold higher in younger compared to older age categories, and in women compared to men, with few exceptions. Within Europe, and using Sweden as a reference, MOF/Hip IRRs in women 50-54 years from Finland, Italy, Netherlands, Denmark, and UK were significantly lower by 38% to 60%. Findings were similar in men. At older ages, MOF/Hip IRRs were consistently lower in women from European countries compared to Sweden, by 10%-40% and 11%-51%, at 75-79 years and 85-89 years, respectively. Findings were heterogenous in men and in non-European countries. In conclusion, the MOF/hip fracture IRR may vary between countries. The variability at older ages may affect FRAX prediction when country-specific fracture IRRs are not used. Further research is needed to elucidate the implication of our findings to FRAX-derived MOF estimates in various countries. © 2021 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR).

Considering Race and Ethnicity in the Management of Bone Health

Considering Race and Ethnicity in the Management of Bone Health

Predictive Value of DXA Appendicular Lean Mass for Incident Fractures, Falls, and Mortality, Independent of Prior Falls, FRAX, and BMD: Findings from the Women's Health Initiative (WHI).

ABSTRACTIn the Women's Health Initiative (WHI), we investigated associations between baseline dual‐energy X‐ray absorptiometry (DXA) appendicular lean mass (ALM) and risk of incident fractures, falls, and mortality (separately for each outcome) among older postmenopausal women, accounting for bone mineral density (BMD), prior falls, and Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX®) probability. The WHI is a prospective study of postmenopausal women undertaken at 40 US sites. We used an extension of Poisson regression to investigate the relationship between baseline ALM (corrected for height2) and incident fracture outcomes, presented here for major osteoporotic fracture (MOF: hip, clinical vertebral, forearm, or proximal humerus), falls, and death. Associations were adjusted for age, time since baseline and randomization group, or additionally for femoral neck (FN) BMD, prior falls, or FRAX probability (MOF without BMD) and are reported as gradient of risk (GR: hazard ratio for first incident fracture per SD increment) in ALM/height2 (GR). Data were available for 11,187 women (mean [SD] age 63.3 [7.4] years). In the base models (adjusted for age, follow‐up time, and randomization group), greater ALM/height2 was associated with lower risk of incident MOF (GR = 0.88; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.83–0.94). The association was independent of prior falls but was attenuated by FRAX probability. Adjustment for FN BMD T‐score led to attenuation and inversion of the risk relationship (GR = 1.06; 95% CI 0.98–1.14). There were no associations between ALM/height2 and incident falls. However, there was a 7% to 15% increase in risk of death during follow‐up for each SD greater ALM/height2, depending on specific adjustment. In WHI, and consistent with our findings in older men (Osteoporotic Fractures in Men [MrOS] study cohorts), the predictive value of DXA‐ALM for future clinical fracture is attenuated (and potentially inverted) after adjustment for femoral neck BMD T‐score. However, intriguing positive, but modest, associations between ALM/height2 and mortality remain robust. © 2021 The Authors. Journal of Bone and Mineral Research published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR).

Effect of Discordant Hip Bone Density on Incident Fracture Risk: A Registry-Based Cohort Study.

The Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX®) combines clinical risk factors and optionally femoral neck bone density to estimate major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) and hip fracture probability. Hip dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) simultaneously measures the trochanter and total hip, but these regions are not considered by FRAX. Our aim was to determine whether discordance in trochanter and total hip bone density (defined as ≥1 T-score difference from the femoral neck) affects fracture risk adjusted for fracture probability. Using the Manitoba bone density registry, we identified 84,773 women and men age 40 years or older undergoing baseline hip DXA. The outcomes were incident MOF and hip fracture. Cox regression hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) adjusted for baseline fracture probability were used to test the association between hip T-score discordance and incident fractures. Hip T-score discordance affected more than one in five subjects (trochanter lower in 3.9%, higher in 14.2%; total hip lower in 0.3%, higher in 14.9%). After mean 8.8 years there were 8444 incident MOF including 2664 hip fractures. Discordantly lower trochanter and lower total hip T-score (≥1 below femoral neck) was associated with increased risk for MOF (adjusted HRs 1.47 and 1.60) and hip fracture (HRs 1.85 and 2.12), while discordantly higher trochanter and total hip T-score (≥1 above femoral neck) was associated with lower risk for MOF (HRs 0.83 and 0.71) and hip fracture (HRs 0.79 and 0.68). In models that examined the trochanter and total hip simultaneously, discordantly lower trochanter T-score was associated with increased incident MOF and hip fracture risk (HRs 1.43 and 1.79) whereas discordantly higher total hip T-score was associated with lower risk (HRs 0.73 and 0.75). In conclusion, trochanter and total hip regions frequently show T-scores that are discordant with the femoral neck. This information strongly affects incident fracture risk independent of fracture probability scores computed with femoral neck bone density. © 2022 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR).

Glucocorticoid-Induced Osteoporosis: The Potential Role of Romosozumab

Glucocorticoid (GC)-induced osteoporosis (GIOP) is a major problem in patients with rheumatic diseases. The deleterious effect of GC on bone turnover is rapid and dose-dependent, with a predilection on the trabecular bone, resulting in vertebral fractures. Early recognition and prompt treatment of GIOP helps prevent bone loss and reduce fractures. There are pitfalls in current assessment tools for GIOP by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) and fracture risk assessment tool (FRAX) estimation formula. In this review, we evaluate different assessment methods for GIOP and summarize current therapies of GIOP, including the antiresorptive and anabolic agents. The potential role of newer anti-osteoporosis agent romosozumab, an anti-sclerostin monoclonal antibody, is also discussed.

Sarcopenia Definitions as Predictors of Fracture Risk Independent of FRAX® , Falls, and BMD in the Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS) Study: A Meta-Analysis.

Dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA)-derived appendicular lean mass/height2 (ALM/ht2 ) is the most commonly used estimate of muscle mass in the assessment of sarcopenia, but its predictive value for fracture is substantially attenuated by femoral neck (fn) bone mineral density (BMD). We investigated predictive value of 11 sarcopenia definitions for incident fracture, independent of fnBMD, fracture risk assessment tool (FRAX® ) probability, and prior falls, using an extension of Poisson regression in US, Sweden, and Hong Kong Osteoporois Fractures in Men Study (MrOS) cohorts. Definitions tested were those of Baumgartner and Delmonico (ALM/ht2 only), Morley, the International Working Group on Sarcopenia, European Working Group on Sarcopenia in Older People (EWGSOP1 and 2), Asian Working Group on Sarcopenia, Foundation for the National Institutes of Health (FNIH) 1 and 2 (using ALM/body mass index [BMI], incorporating muscle strength and/or physical performance measures plus ALM/ht2 ), and Sarcopenia Definitions and Outcomes Consortium (gait speed and grip strength). Associations were adjusted for age and time since baseline and reported as hazard ratio (HR) for first incident fracture, here major osteoporotic fracture (MOF; clinical vertebral, hip, distal forearm, proximal humerus). Further analyses adjusted additionally for FRAX-MOF probability (n=7531; calculated ± fnBMD), prior falls (y/n), or fnBMD T-score. Results were synthesized by meta-analysis. In 5660 men in USA, 2764 Sweden and 1987 Hong Kong (mean ages 73.5, 75.4, and 72.4 years, respectively), sarcopenia prevalence ranged from 0.5% to 35%. Sarcopenia status, by all definitions except those of FNIH, was associated with incident MOF (HR=1.39 to 2.07). Associations were robust to adjustment for prior falls or FRAX probability (without fnBMD); adjustment for fnBMD T-score attenuated associations. EWGSOP2 severe sarcopenia (incorporating chair stand time, gait speed, and grip strength plus ALM) was most predictive, albeit at low prevalence, and appeared only modestly influenced by inclusion of fnBMD. In conclusion, the predictive value for fracture of sarcopenia definitions based on ALM is reduced by adjustment for fnBMD but strengthened by additional inclusion of physical performance measures. © 2021 The Authors. Journal of Bone and Mineral Research published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR).

Fracture risk assessment in the Greek population via the algorithm ‘FRAX’, and nursing intervention in patients with osteoporosis

Osteoporosis is a chronic skeletal disorder accompanied with a variety of socio-economic adverse outcomes. Trademark of this particular ‘silent disease’, is the occurrence of low-impact fractures, which is the result of the decreased strength of the bone tissue. It is estimated, that hip fracture incidences in the Greek population, will demonstrate a significant increase until the year 2050. It is an urgent need, to have a better-designed and executed clinical evaluation program for osteoporotic patients, in connection with the ten-year fracture risk assessment tool, FRAX, that is currently implemented all over the world, and has been incorporated in the Greek Guidelines as well. The role of the nurse is also considered important when implementing osteoporosis-related strategies both for identification and for treatment of patients at risk

Intervention Thresholds for Treatment in Patients with Glucocorticoid-Induced Osteoporosis: Systematic Review of Guidelines.

BackgroundIn this study, we aimed to evaluate and compare the treatment indication for patients with glucocorticoid-induced osteoporosis (GIOP) in various clinical practice guidelines.MethodsWe searched for potentially relevant studies conducted from January 2000 to March 2020 using online databases, including PubMed, Ovid-EMBASE, Guidelines International Network, National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence, KoreaMed, KMbase, and KoMGI. We reviewed and analyzed the guidelines that included recommendations on GIOP and fulfilled the inclusion criteria.ResultsA total of 94 articles were selected based on review of the title and abstract; 14 guidelines were assessed upon reviewing the full text. The bone mineral density score for therapeutic intervention of GIOP in postmenopausal women was presented in 7 guidelines, among which 3 guidelines set a T-score of −2.5 or lower and the other 4 guidelines proposed a less stringent cut-off point of −1.5 or lower. Among the 10 guidelines published since 2012 after the emergence of the fracture risk assessment tool (FRAX), 6 guidelines included FRAX in their criteria for defining intervention thresholds. However, they were further divided into fixed-probability (n=3) and age-dependent (n=3) thresholds based on the country.ConclusionsRecently developed guidelines use FRAX as the criterion for establishing the treatment of patients with GIOP. However, these intervention thresholds need to be adapted for each country.

Prevalence of osteoporosis in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus: A multicenter comparative study of the World Health Organization and fracture risk assessment tool criteria

ObjectivesOsteoporosis and fracture are known complications of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). We assessed the prevalence and risk factors for osteoporosis in patients with SLE. MethodsA total of 155 female SLE patients were recruited retrospectively in 5 university hospitals. The bone mineral density (BMD) was measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry, and the fracture risk assessment tool (FRAX) for high-risk osteoporotic fractures was calculated with and without BMD. ResultsThe mean age was 53.7 ± 6.8 years, and osteoporotic fractures were detected in 19/127 (15.0%) patients. The proportion of patients having a high-risk for osteoporotic fractures in the FRAX with and without BMD, and osteoporosis by the World Health Organization (WHO) criteria were 25 (16.1%), 24 (15.5%), and 51 (32.9%), respectively, and 48.0–68.6% of them were receiving treatment. On multivariate logistic analysis, nephritis (odds ratio [OR] 11.35) and cumulative dose of glucocorticoid (OR 1.1) were associated with high-risk by the FRAX with BMD, and low complement levels (OR 4.38), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) (OR 1.04), and cumulative dose of glucocorticoid (OR 1.05) were associated with osteoporosis by the WHO criteria in patients with SLE. ConclusionsAmong Korean female patients with SLE, the proportion of patients having a high-risk of osteoporotic fractures by the FRAX tool was 15.5%–16.1% and the proportion of patients having osteoporosis by the WHO criteria was 32.9%. In SLE, nephritis, low level of complement, ESR, and cumulative dose of glucocorticoids may contribute to fracture risk.

Addressing bias in prediction models by improving subpopulation calibration.

To illustrate the problem of subpopulation miscalibration, to adapt an algorithm for recalibration of the predictions, and to validate its performance. In this retrospective cohort study, we evaluated the calibration of predictions based on the Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE) and the fracture risk assessment tool (FRAX) in the overall population and in subpopulations defined by the intersection of age, sex, ethnicity, socioeconomic status, and immigration history. We next applied the recalibration algorithm and assessed the change in calibration metrics, including calibration-in-the-large. 1021041 patients were included in the PCE population, and 1116324 patients were included in the FRAX population. Baseline overall model calibration of the 2 tested models was good, but calibration in a substantial portion of the subpopulations was poor. After applying the algorithm, subpopulation calibration statistics were greatly improved, with the variance of the calibration-in-the-large values across all subpopulations reduced by 98.8% and 94.3% in the PCE and FRAX models, respectively. Prediction models in medicine are increasingly common. Calibration, the agreement between predicted and observed risks, is commonly poor for subpopulations that were underrepresented in the development set of the models, resulting in bias and reduced performance for these subpopulations. In this work, we empirically evaluated an adapted version of the fairness algorithm designed by Hebert-Johnson et al. (2017) and demonstrated its use in improving subpopulation miscalibration. A postprocessing and model-independent fairness algorithm for recalibration of predictive models greatly decreases the bias of subpopulation miscalibration and thus increases fairness and equality.

A randomized clinical trial on improving osteopenia in postmenopausal women after two years of preventive treatment with alendronate; a dose of 35 mg per week is more effective or a dose of 70 mg?

Introduction: Osteoporosis is the most common metabolic bone disease worldwide. In this disease, the bone mass decreases and as it progresses, the risk of fracture increases. Osteopenia occurs in the early stages of bone loss. Studies on the effective dose for treatment of osteopenia have been controversial. Objectives: In this randomized clinical trial, low doses versus high doses of alendronate were assessed during the osteopenic stage in postmenopausal women. Patients and Methods: The present study is a randomized clinical trial (RCT) that was performed on 152 postmenopausal women who were visited in Al-Zahra rheumatology clinic between 2016 and 2017. Patients were randomly divided into two groups. The first group with 35 and the second group with 70 mg of weekly alendronate were treated and followed for two years. Densitometry was performed on patients before and 2 years after the intervention, and the findings were compared. Results: The two groups were not significantly different in terms of age, gender, height, weight, body mass index (BMI) and menopause (P>0.05). The bone mineral density (BMD) findings of both groups, including Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX) hip and vertebra/wrist, T-score hip and vertebrae, as well as Z-score hip and vertebrae, improved significantly after two years (P<0.001), However, a comparison of the two therapeutic doses did not show a significant difference in terms of BMD improvements (P>0.05). Conclusion: The findings of this study reported favorable results for the preventive treatment of alendronate in osteopenic women. In addition, due to gastrointestinal problems that are the main complaint of alendronate use, according to the results, a weekly dose of 35 mg can be recommended

Status of fracture risk assessment and osteoporosis treatment in Japanese patients with rheumatoid arthritis

Objectives This study aimed to investigate the prevalence of patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) at a high risk of major osteoporosis (OP)-related fractures and the status of OP-related medical treatment for these patients. Methods We enrolled 120 patients aged ≥40 years (average, 69.1 years) with RA. The Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX®) was used to evaluate the fracture risk. Of the 120 patients, the femoral neck bone mineral density (BMD) was evaluated in 102 patients, and their FRAX® scores were calculated alongside the BMD values. Patients observed to be at a high risk of a major OP-related fracture (10-year probability >20% or hip fracture risk >3%), according to FRAX®, were identified as those requiring OP treatment; medication ratio for OP (percentage of patients actually receiving medication among patients requiring OP treatment) was assessed. Results OP treatment was indicated in 75 (63%) patients; the medication ratio for OP was 49%. The use of biological disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs and corticosteroids showed a positive effect; however, the use of methotrexate showed a negative effect on the medication ratio. Conclusion The number of potential patients requiring OP treatment is underestimated. All patients with RA should be assessed to determine their eligibility for OP treatment.

Trabecular Bone Score in Thais with or without Type 2 Diabetes

Background: When compared to people without type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), people with T2DM have an increase in fracture risk despite having higher bone mineral density (BMD). Many studies in Caucasians demonstrated that trabecular bone score (TBS) is lower in people with T2DM than those without. The utility of TBS as a fracture risk assessment tool in Asians with T2DM is currently unclear. Objective: To compared lumbar spine (LS) BMD and TBS in Thais with or without T2DM and investigate the correlation between TBS and hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) and diabetes duration in participants with T2DM. Materials and Methods: The present study was a cross-sectional study that included 97 participants with T2DM (37 men and 60 women) and 342 participants without T2DM (174 men and 168 women). LS-BMD and TBS were obtained. Results: Men and women with T2DM were older and had higher body mass index (BMI). Men with T2DM had significant higher LS-BMD (1.051±0.166 versus 0.972±0.125, p=0.009) and non-significant lower TBS (1.333±0.084 versus 1.365±0.096, p=0.055) than those without. Similarly, women with T2DM had significant higher LS-BMD (0.995±0.155 versus 0.949±0.124, p=0.021) and lower TBS (1.292±0.105 versus 1.382±0.096, p<0.001). After adjusting for age and BMI, T2DM predicted higher BMD in men (p<0.001), but not in women (p=0.143). T2DM was not associated with TBS after adjusting for age and BMI in both genders (p=0.403 and p=0.151 in men and women, respectively). TBS did not correlate with HbA1c in both genders. However, TBS was non-significantly associated with diabetes duration in women (p=0.073), but not in men (p=0.639). Conclusion: T2DM significantly predicted higher LS-BMD only in men and was not independently associated with TBS in both genders. These data highlighted that, in T2DM, there was some variation in the clinical usefulness of BMD and TBS in predicting osteoporotic fractures with regard to clinical characteristic of participants. Keywords: Bone mineral density, Type 2 diabetes mellitus, Trabecular bone score

Estimating the Effect of Elagolix Treatment for Endometriosis on Postmenopausal Bone Outcomes: A Model Bridging Phase III Trials to an Older Real-World Population.

ABSTRACTElagolix, a gonadotrophin‐releasing hormone antagonist, is used in premenopausal women with endometriosis. There is a risk of bone loss with elagolix, but the long‐term effects of BMD loss later in life cannot be directly assessed and has not been quantified. To address this gap in knowledge, this study indirectly estimated the impact of elagolix on postmenopausal fracture risk. BMD change in premenopausal women with endometriosis treated with elagolix was modeled from the phase III program data (elagolix group) and used to simulate treatment effects on (fracture risk assessment tool estimated) 10‐year risks of hip and major osteoporotic fracture in women ages 50 to 79 years from the 2005–2010 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES; N = 2303). Change in the proportion of women reaching risk‐based antiosteoporotic treatment thresholds was also estimated. For elagolix versus NHANES, median 10‐year risk of major osteoporotic fracture was 4.73% versus 4.70% in women ages 50 to 59 years, 7.03% versus 6.97% in women ages 60 to 69 years, and 10.83% versus 10.68% in women ages 70 to 79 years. Median 10‐year risk of hip fracture in these same groups was 0.19% versus 0.18% for women ages 50 to 59 years, 0.51% versus 0.49% for women 60 to 69 years, and 2.22% versus 2.14% for women 70 to 79 years. The proportion of women reaching risk‐based antiosteoporotic treatment thresholds caused by elagolix 150 mg daily for 12 months was 0.36% higher at age 50 to 59 years, 0.23% at age 60 to 69 years, and 1.79% at age 70 to 79 years. The number needed to harm was 643 for one additional hip fracture and 454 for one additional major osteoporotic fracture. Results were similar for elagolix 200 mg twice a day for 3 months. In the modeled scenarios, elagolix had minimal impact on long‐term risk of fracture and reaching risk‐based treatment thresholds. © 2020 The Authors. JBMR Plus published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research © 2020 The Authors. JBMR Plus published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.

Decreased lower-extremity muscle performance is associated with decreased hip bone mineral density and increased estimated fracture risk in community-dwelling postmenopausal women.

Postmenopausal women are at high risk for osteoporotic fractures. It has been shown that decreased lower-extremity muscle performance is associated with osteoporotic fractures. However, the relationship between muscle performance and bone mineral density in postmenopausal women is inconsistent in the literature. The present study was to investigate the relationship between lower-extremity muscle performance and BMD or estimated fracture risk in community-dwelling postmenopausal women. Two hundred forty-seven postmenopausal women aged 50-85years were recruited in the study. The short physical performance battery (SPPB) tool including the chair stand test (CST), gait speed test (GST), and balance test (BT) was used to determine lower-extremity functioning and the CST, GST, BT, and SPPB total scores were recorded. The BMD of lumbar spine (LSBMD), femoral neck (FNBMD), and total hip (THBMD) were measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA), and the vertebral fracture was confirmed by lateral spine X-rays radiographs. In addition, patients' 10-year estimated major osteoporotic fracture risk (MOFR) and hip fracture risk (HFR) were assessed by the Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX). Linear regression analysis was used to analyze the association between muscle performance and BMD. The CST, GST, and SPPB total scores were positively associated with LSBMD, THBMD, and FNBMD before adjustment for age, height, and weight. The SPPB total score was positively associated with FNBMD and THBMD, but not with LSBMD after adjustment for age, height, and weight. The BT score was positively associated with FNBMD and THBMD, but not with LSBMD before and after adjustment for age, height, and weight. Moreover, the CST, GST, BT, and SPPB scores were negatively associated with the FRAX score. The lower-extremity muscle performance in community-dwelling postmenopausal women is positively associated with FNBMD and THBMD and negatively associated with the FRAX score.

The Effect of Simple Cost Effective Interventions in Improving Enhanced Recovery in Neck of Femur Fracture Care.

AimDue to the frequency and high mortality and morbidity associated with neck of femur fractures, pathways of care have been established in the United Kingdom. These include the Enhanced Recovery Program (ERP), which aims to maximise the quality of care whilst reducing their length of stay, and the Best Practice Tariff (BPT) which if adhered to warrants £1335 per neck of femur fracture. We conducted a prospective audit to assess adherence to these pathways in a trauma unit.MethodsAn audit was carried out between November 2015 and May 2016. The information was obtained from neck of femur fracture proformas, anaesthetic charts and drug charts by two investigators.ResultsNine out of the 10 ERP components were adhered to in all 31 patients. This highlighted a deficiency in requesting day one post-operative osteoporosis bloods, which was only carried out in 61.3% of patients. As an intervention, a reminder sticker was placed on the operation note as an intervention. Re-audit following the introduction of the stickers showed a marked improvement of 90%. During the initial admission 38.7% of patients adhered to the BPT. The main area for improvement was fracture prevention assessment, specifically Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX) scores and Nottingham Hip Fracture Scores. To improve this these sections were highlighted in the proformas to promote their importance. Additionally, a smartphone application was made available to doctors to aid with ease of calculation. Following these interventions, 93% of patients had this data entered, with an improvement in overall tariff attainment to 63.3%.ConclusionsThe introduction of simple measures is beneficial both for patient safety and economically for hospitals.

Prevalence of fracture risk among middle-aged and elderly population of Gujarat, India: an observational study

Background: This study was conducted to estimate the prevalence of fracture risk among middle-aged and elderly population of Gujarat and to find out the prevalence of the clinical risk factors (CRF) and its significance with risk of fracture. To compare the risk of fracture among men and women.Methods: An observational study included 500 participants both men and women, in age group of 40-80 years. Participants were assessed with the fracture risk assessment tool (FRAX) without BMD to evaluate the 10-year probability of risk of Major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) and Hip fracture (HF). India-specific age-dependent thresholds were used to categorize the participants into safety zone and treatment zone followed by statistical analysis. Level of significance was kept at 5%.Results: Total 500 participants, 56.8% males and 43.2% females with mean age 56.3±9.7 years. As per the estimated prevalence, 22% participants were in treatment zone and 78% were in safety zone for HF risk and for major osteoporotic fracture risk, 24% participants were in treatment zone and 76% were in safety zone. In 18.6% participants the hip fracture risk was ≥3% and in 2% participants the major osteoporotic fracture risk was ≥20%. Women had more fracture risk compare to men, for HF [t (464.6)=-3.04, p=0.002] and for MOF [t (441.3)=-5.13, p<0.001]. Significant difference in fracture risk was found with presence of CRF except with smoking and alcohol use.Conclusions: FRAX can be used to identify the 10-year probability of fracture risk. The prevalence showed fewer participants in treatment zone and more in safety zone. Women had higher fracture probabilities than men.

Deep Learning With Electronic Health Records for Short-Term Fracture Risk Identification: Crystal Bone Algorithm Development and Validation.

BackgroundFractures as a result of osteoporosis and low bone mass are common and give rise to significant clinical, personal, and economic burden. Even after a fracture occurs, high fracture risk remains widely underdiagnosed and undertreated. Common fracture risk assessment tools utilize a subset of clinical risk factors for prediction, and often require manual data entry. Furthermore, these tools predict risk over the long term and do not explicitly provide short-term risk estimates necessary to identify patients likely to experience a fracture in the next 1-2 years.ObjectiveThe goal of this study was to develop and evaluate an algorithm for the identification of patients at risk of fracture in a subsequent 1- to 2-year period. In order to address the aforementioned limitations of current prediction tools, this approach focused on a short-term timeframe, automated data entry, and the use of longitudinal data to inform the predictions.MethodsUsing retrospective electronic health record data from over 1,000,000 patients, we developed Crystal Bone, an algorithm that applies machine learning techniques from natural language processing to the temporal nature of patient histories to generate short-term fracture risk predictions. Similar to how language models predict the next word in a given sentence or the topic of a document, Crystal Bone predicts whether a patient’s future trajectory might contain a fracture event, or whether the signature of the patient’s journey is similar to that of a typical future fracture patient. A holdout set with 192,590 patients was used to validate accuracy. Experimental baseline models and human-level performance were used for comparison.ResultsThe model accurately predicted 1- to 2-year fracture risk for patients aged over 50 years (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve [AUROC] 0.81). These algorithms outperformed the experimental baselines (AUROC 0.67) and showed meaningful improvements when compared to retrospective approximation of human-level performance by correctly identifying 9649 of 13,765 (70%) at-risk patients who did not receive any preventative bone-health-related medical interventions from their physicians.ConclusionsThese findings indicate that it is possible to use a patient’s unique medical history as it changes over time to predict the risk of short-term fracture. Validating and applying such a tool within the health care system could enable automated and widespread prediction of this risk and may help with identification of patients at very high risk of fracture.

Group medical consultation for osteoporosis: a prospective pilot study of patient experience in Canadian tertiary care.

Delivery of patient-centred care is limited by physician time. Group medical consultations may save physician time without compromising patient experience. To assess patient experience and specialist physician time commitment in a group consultation for osteoporosis. Prospective pilot study at a tertiary osteoporosis centre in Canada between May 2016 and June 2019. The authors evaluated women referred for osteoporosis who chose a 2-hour group consultation instead of a one-to-one consultation. Group consultations were led by an osteoporosis nurse and specialist physician, and consisted of individualised fracture risk assessment and education regarding osteoporosis therapies, followed by a decision-making exercise to choose a treatment plan. Patients then followed up with their GPs to implement this plan. Patient experience was assessed via a questionnaire immediately and 3 months post-consultation, at which time GP satisfaction and patient treatment status were also surveyed. Of 560 referrals received, 18 patients declined osteoporosis specialist assessment, 54 could not be contacted, 303 attended a one-to- one consultation, and 185 attended a group consultation. Mean participant age was 62.8 years (standard deviation [SD] 5.8) and the Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX) 10-year osteoporotic fracture risk was 13.0 (SD 7.0)%. Immediately post-consultation, 104 (97.2%) patients were satisfied and 102 (95.3%) felt included in decision making. Satisfaction was reported by 95/99 (96.0%) patients and 27/36 (75.0%) GPs. Treatment plans had been enacted by 90 (90.1%) patients. For a matched number of individual consultations, each group session conferred a specialist physician time savings of 5.5 hours. Group consultations represent a satisfactory and time-efficient alternative to one-to-one consultations for select patients with osteoporosis.

Obesity is a risk factor for osteoarthritis progression and spontaneous osteoporosis is a risk for the development of spontaneous osteonecrosis in patients with medial meniscus posterior root tear

BackgroundObesity is a representative risk factor for osteoarthritis (OA). The relationship between osteoporosis and executed osteonecrosis has been reported. The primary aim of this study was to determine the influence of obesity and osteoporosis on disease progression in patients with medial meniscus posterior root tear (MMPRT). MethodsWe included 41 knees with MMPRT in this study. MMPRT was diagnosed based on the presence of both a meniscus ghost sign and a vertical linear defect on MRI. OA progression and development of osteonecrosis were evaluated using plain radiographs obtained at the initial visit and the final follow-up. The follow-up period for all knees was 30 ± 8 (mean ± standard deviation) months. Patients’ physical attributes were assessed at initial visits; these attributes included body mass index (BMI) and the clinical risk for osteoporotic fracture, as determined by the World Health Organization fracture risk assessment tool (FRAX). Patients with a BMI ≥25 kg/m2 were classified in the obesity group and those with a BMI <25 kg/m2 in the control group. Patients with a FRAX score of ≥10% were classified in the high FRAX group and those with a FRAX score of <10% in the low FRAX group. ResultsOA progression evaluated by Kellgren–Lawrence grading scale was observed in 75% patients in the obesity group (1 grade in 38%, 2 grades in 31%, and 3 grades in 6%) and 58% in the control group (1 grade in 58%). Patients in the obesity group showed significantly greater OA progression. Spontaneous osteonecrosis was observed in no knees at the initial visit and six knees at the final follow-up. All six lesions were observed in the high FRAX group, which was statistically significant. ConclusionsOA progression and development of osteonecrosis were the two representative deterioration patterns in patients with MMPRT. High BMI was related with OA progression, and FRAX score of ≥10% with the development of osteonecrosis.