Core Ideas Agricultural soils with and without a winter cover crop were surveyed. Stronger relationships occurred between soil tests and N mineralization in cover‐cropped fields. Integrated models only improved the variance explained for cover‐cropped fields. Within management systems, preferred predictors varied by climate, independent of soil C. Predicting the capacity of soil to supply crop N (i.e., inorganic N) has proved difficult due to the myriad of interacting soil biophysical factors. We examined soil chemical and biological indices commonly found in commercial soil testing laboratories—total soil C and N, water‐extractable organic C and N, K2SO4–extractable C and N, mineralizable C on rewetting, and permanganate‐oxidizable C—to estimate net N mineralization across a variety of soils from cover‐cropped and non‐cover‐cropped fields in California (47 sites, n = 157). Results show that both biological and chemical indices are variable in their ability to predict N mineralization, with better relationships being shown for cover‐cropped fields. Total C and N contents were the best chemical indicators for both management systems, describing up to 21.8% of the variance. The flush of CO2 measured after capillary rewetting was more variable and had weaker relationships with net N mineralization than respiration measured at 50% water holding capacity. These relationships were only significant in fields that had recently had cover crops and were moderately strong (r = 0.45–0.55), with the strength of the relationship decreasing as the measured interval of the CO2 flush increased. Models were developed for each management system using variables consistently chosen by a partial least squares regression as drivers of N mineralization. These models improved the explained variance in cover‐cropped fields but not in the non‐cover‐cropped fields. The effectiveness of individual predictor variables in these models was inconsistent across climates, illustrating the need for regional and management‐specific tests for predicting N mineralization.
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