Fault Prediction Research Articles

Power Signal Histograms—A Method of Power Grid Data Compression on the Edge for Real-Time Incipient Fault Forensics

Across the power grid infrastructure, deployed power transmission systems are susceptible to incipient faults that interrupt standard operations. These incipient faults can range from being benign in impact to causing massive hardware damage and even loss of life. The power grid is continuously monitored, and incipient faults are recorded by Digital Fault Recorders (DFRs) to mitigate such outcomes. DFR-recorded data allow for power quality forensics and event analysis, but this ability comes at the cost of high data storage and data transmission requirements. It is common for data older than two weeks to be overwritten due to storage limitations, without being analyzed. This inhibits the creation of long-term data libraries that would enable incipient fault forensics and the characterization of behavior that precedes them, which limits the development and implementation of preventive measures; thus, there is a critical need to reduce DFR-recorded data’s storage requirements. This work addresses this critical need by leveraging the cyclic and residual histograms and introducing the frequency and Root Means Squared (RMS) histograms, which alleviate the current high data storage requirements and provide effective Incipient Fault Prediction (IFP). The residual, frequency, and RMS histograms are an extension of the cyclic histogram, reduce the data storage requirement by up to 99.58%, can be generated on the DFR without interrupting its normal operations, and are capable of predicting voltage arcing six hours before it is strong enough to trigger a DFR-recorded event.

Research on Fault Prediction of Power Devices in Rod Control Power Cabinets Based on BiTCN-Attention Transfer Learning Model

The Insulated Gate Bipolar Transistor (IGBT) is the key power device in the rod control power cabinet of nuclear power plants; its reliable operation is of great significance for ensuring the safe and economical operation of the nuclear power plants. Therefore, it is necessary to conduct fault prediction research on IGBT to achieve better condition-based maintenance and improve its operational reliability. However, power cabinets often operate under multiple, complex working conditions, so predicting IGBT faults from single working condition data usually has limitations and low accuracy. Its failure probability has an important relationship with the actual operating conditions of the cabinet. In order to improve the reliability and maintainability of the control power cabinet in nuclear power plants, this paper takes IGBTs in the rod control power cabinet as the object and makes full use of the data of IGBTs under multiple working conditions to carry out research on the cross-condition fault prediction of IGBTs under multiple-source working conditions. A transfer learning (TL) model based on a bidirectional time convolutional network (BiTCN) combined with attention was proposed to solve the problem of low accuracy of cross-operating fault prediction in a multi-source domain. Firstly, an IGBT fault simulation model was built to collect the life cycle state data of the module under different working conditions. Then, after pre-processing such as removing outliers, kernel principal component analysis (KPCA) was used to integrate all source domain data, obtain source domain characterization data, and train the BiTCN-attention model. Finally, the BiTCN-attention model trained in the source domain was transferred, and the model was fine-tuned according to the target domain data. Simulation results show that the accuracy of the proposed BiTCN-attention transfer learning prediction method can reach more than 99%, which is significantly better than that of the recurrent neural network transfer learning (RNN-TL) model, long short-term memory network transfer learning (LSTM-TL) model, gated cyclic unit transfer learning (GRU-TL) model, and time convolutional network transfer learning (TCN-TL) model. This method can not only reduce the inconsistency of fault characteristic values caused by changes in working conditions but also accurately predict the degradation trend when only early fault data are available, providing an effective solution for IGBT fault prediction across working conditions in multi-source domains.

Development of a Hybrid AI Model for Fault Prediction in Rod Pumping System for Petroleum Well Production

Rod pumping systems are widely used in oil wells. Accurate fault prediction could reduce equipment fault rate and has practical significance in improving oilfield production efficiency. This paper analyzed the production journal of rod pumping wells in block X of Xinjiang Oilfield. According to the production journal, oil well maintenance operations are primarily caused by five types of faults: scale, wax, corrosion, fatigue, and wear. These faults make up approximately 90% of all faults. 1354 oil wells in the block that experienced workover operations as a result of the aforementioned factors were chosen as the research objects for this paper. To lower the percentage of data noise, wavelet threshold denoising and variational mode decomposition were used. Based on the bidirectional long short-term memory network, an intelligent model for fault prediction was built. It was trained and verified with the help of the sparrow search algorithm. Its efficacy was demonstrated by testing various deep learning models in the same setting and with identical parameters. The results show that the prediction accuracy of the model is the highest compared with other 11 models, reaching 98.61%. It is suggested that the model using artificial intelligence can provide an accurate fault warning for the oilfield and offer guidance for the maintenance of the rod pumping system, which is meant to reduce the occurrence of production stagnation and resource waste.

Spark: A Statistical Comparison and Evaluation of Classification Algorithms for Fault Prediction in Electrical Secondary Distribution Network

Managing faults in the electrical secondary distribution network is a challenging task given the nature, size, and complexity. Predicting faults early before they occur helps in increasing the safety and reliability of the power distribution system. Various statistical and machine learning techniques are being used to predict different types of faults. This study applies classification algorithms available in the big data framework Apache Spark through its python interface PySpark to predict electrical secondary distribution network faults. The study evaluates and compares nine algorithms: Decision tree, Gradient-boosted tree, Logistic regression, Naïve Bayes, Multilayer perceptron, Random forest, Linear Support Vector Machine, One-versus-rest and Factorization machines. The research uses Friedman’s test followed by the Nemenyi post hoc test to find the significance of performance differences among the algorithms. The results show significant differences among the algorithms. Gradient-boosted tree and One-versus-rest with Gradient-boosted tree had the best performance for binary and multiclass classification, respectively, while Naïve Bayes had the worst performance.

A review on adversarial–based deep transfer learning mechanical fault diagnosis

Mechanical equipment is a vital foundational support for promoting national economic development and is widely utilized in key sectors such as aerospace, shipping, construction machinery, energy, petrochemicals, and robotics. With the advancement of artificial intelligence and industrial intelligence, industrial big data and its intelligent analysis provide robust support for fault prediction and health management of equipment. Building on existing research, intelligent diagnostics for mechanical equipment based on deep learning have gained significant attention and application. However, the success of big data relies on comprehensive fault data, which is challenging to obtain in practical applications where continuous equipment operation is essential. Moreover, mechanical equipment often operates under varying conditions, leading to different data distributions for training and testing. This discrepancy can result in low diagnostic accuracy or even failure of deep learning methods. Deep Transfer Learning (DTL) is an emerging machine learning paradigm that not only leverages the advantages of deep learning (DL) in feature representation but also harnesses the strengths of transfer learning (TL) in knowledge transfer. Consequently, DTL techniques can make deep learning-based fault diagnosis methods more reliable, robust, and applicable, leading to extensive development and research in the field of intelligent fault diagnosis. This paper primarily introduces adversarial-based deep transfer learning (ADTL) models, which are fundamentally based on Generative Adversarial Network (GAN). We provide a detailed discussion of the main applications of ADTL and its recent developments in intelligent fault diagnosis, along with some future challenges and prospects.

Efficient Fault Detection and Analysis of Power System Distribution Networks by Integrating BP Data Mining

As the basic guarantee for people’s production and life, the safe operation of the power system has an important impact on the development and operation of society. To ensure the safe and stable operation of the power grid, predicting potential faults and taking reasonable preventive measures can effectively avoid the occurrence of power accidents. However, due to the difficulty in ensuring the prediction accuracy of traditional methods, there are issues of protection misoperation and rejection. Therefore, in order to achieve accurate prediction of power grid faults and avoid protection misoperation and rejection issues, a distribution network fault classification prediction model using a combination of three-layer data mining model (TLDM) and adaptive moment estimation (Adam) algorithm/random gradient descent algorithm improved backpropagation neural network (BPNN) is proposed. The implementation results showed that the classification accuracy of artificial fish school [Formula: see text] priori, [Formula: see text]-means clustering convolutional neural network model and TLDM for single-phase grounding faults was 93.2%, 91.5% and 96.6%, respectively. The classification accuracy for two-phase faults was 92.8%, 92.4% and 95.7%, respectively. The classification accuracy for two-phase grounding faults was 93.7%, 91.2% and 96.9%, respectively. The classification accuracy for three-phase faults was 93.3%, 92.1% and 97.1%, respectively. The TLDM had the highest classification accuracy. The average accuracy, average accuracy and average recall of the BPNN improved by the combination of the ADAM algorithm and random gradient descent algorithm were 94.1%, 90.9% and 88%, respectively, which were higher than the BPNN improved by the combination of ADAM algorithm and random gradient descent algorithm. The above results indicate that the proposed distribution network fault classification and prediction model has good performance and can achieve accurate prediction of distribution network faults.

Hardware automatic test scheme and intelligent analyze application based on machine learning model

Abstract Hardware testing has always been the core of hardware development, and improving the performance and efficiency of hardware testing is very important for hardware development. Because hardware quality management is insufficient, many large hardware tools were developed using manual workshop technology in the past and could hardly be maintained. This can lead to the cancellation of the project, causing major personnel and property losses. Improving hardware quality and ensuring security are very complex problems. Hardware testing is usually conducted through manual and automatic testing, and the limitations of manual testing are increasingly obvious. So hardware automatic testing technology has attracted people’s attention in recent years. It has become an important research direction in the field hardware testing and can overcome many problems of traditional testing methods. Strict test rules, based on standards and scores, provide a fully automated test process. With the continuous improvement of network technology, the functions and scope of hardware are constantly enriched and expanded. With the acceleration of hardware updates and development, this has brought a heavy burden to the previous hardware testing work. The purpose of this article was to study the application of machine learning technology in the field of hardware automatic testing and provide an appropriate theoretical basis for optimizing testing methods. This article introduced the research methods of hardware automatic testing technology, introduced three automatic testing framework models, and summarized the application of machine learning in hardware testing. It included hardware security and reliability analysis, hardware defect prediction, and source-based research. Then, this article studied the defect prediction model and machine learning algorithm and constructed a hardware defect prediction model based on machine learning based on the theory. First, the data were preprocessed, and then, the Stacking method was used to build a comprehensive prediction model, and four prediction results evaluation indicators were established. In the experiment part, the defect prediction results of the hardware automatic test model were studied. The results showed that the hardware defect prediction model based on machine learning had higher accuracy, recall rate, F_measure and area under curve. Compared with other models, the average accuracy of the hardware defect prediction model in this article was 0.092 higher, which was more suitable for automatic hardware testing and analysis.

Intelligent fault prediction with wavelet-SVM fusion in coal mine

Fault prediction in coal mining is crucial for safety, and recent technological advancements are steering this field towards supervised intelligent interpretation, moving beyond traditional human-machine interaction. Currently, support vector machine (SVM) predictions often rely on seismic attribute data; however, the poor quality of some fault data characteristics hampers their predictive capability. To localize the fault based on original seismic data and improve SVM prediction we propose the W-SVM algorithm, which integrates wavelet transform and SVM. Through wavelet transform, we localize fault features in seismic data, which are then used for SVM prediction. Validation using real data confirms the feasibility of the W-SVM approach. The W-SVM model successfully identifies 34 known faults. Beyond achieving high prediction accuracy, the model exhibits improved stability and generalization. The difference among the evaluation metrics for training, validation, and testing is within 5%. Moreover, this study localizes the response of faults through wavelet transform, simplifies the dataset preparation process, improves computational efficiency, and increases overall applicability. This advancement further promotes the development of intelligent identification of faults in coal mines.

State monitoring and fault prediction of centrifugal compressors based on long short–term memory and principal component analysis (LSTM-PCA)

Centrifugal compressors are widely used in the petroleum and natural gas industry for gas compression, reinjection, and transportation. Early fault identification and fault evolution prediction for centrifugal compressors can improve equipment safety and reduce maintenance and operating costs. This article proposes a dynamic process monitoring method for centrifugal compressors based on long short-term memory (LSTM) and principal component analysis (PCA). This method constructs a sliding window for monitoring at each sampling point, which contains 100 data from the past and current time points, and uses LSTM to predict 30 future data points. At the same time, this method is also combined with the PCA threshold process monitoring method to construct a new LSTM-PCA monitoring algorithm. And the method was validated using centrifugal compressor process data. The results show that this method can effectively detect process anomalies, The improvements significantly reduced the false positive rate of detected anomalies, and can make multi-step advance predictions of system behavior after faults occur.

Refining software defect prediction through attentive neural models for code understanding

Identifying defects through manual software testing is a resource-intensive task in software development. To alleviate this, software defect prediction identifies code segments likely to contain faults using data-driven methods. Traditional techniques rely on static code metrics, which often fail to reflect the deeper syntactic and semantic features of the code. This paper introduces a novel framework that utilizes transformer-based networks with attention mechanisms to predict software defects. The framework encodes input vectors to develop meaningful representations of software modules. A bidirectional transformer encoder is employed to model programming languages, followed by fine-tuning with labeled data to detect defects. The performance of the framework is assessed through experiments across various software projects and compared against baseline techniques. Additionally, statistical hypothesis testing and an ablation study are performed to assess the impact of different parameter choices. The empirical findings indicate that the proposed approach can increase classification accuracy by an average of 15.93% and improve the F1 score by up to 44.26% compared to traditional methods.

A novel deep neural network structure for software fault prediction

A novel deep neural network structure for software fault prediction

A method for predicting remaining useful life using enhanced Savitzky–Golay filter and improved deep learning framework

Ensuring operational integrity in large-scale equipment hinges on effective fault prediction and health management. Prognostics and health management (PHM) face the challenge of accurately predicting remaining useful life (RUL) using multivariate sensor data. Traditional methods often require extensive prior knowledge for indicator construction and processing. Deep learning offers a promising alternative. This study presents a multi-channel multi-scale deep learning approach. Initially, an improved Savitzky‒Golay filter (ISG) addresses challenges posed by large and rapidly changing data volumes, enhancing data preprocessing. Subsequently, a framework integrates convolutional neural networks (CNNs) with long short-term memory (LSTM) to capture hierarchical signal information and make integrated predictions. The CNN extracts spatial features from multi-channel input data, while the LSTM captures temporal dependencies. By fusing outputs from both components, the framework enhances predictive accuracy and robustness for complex operational datasets. Experimental validation on the C-MAPSS dataset tests various fusion methods and CNN depths, determining parameters and evaluating filtering effectiveness. Comparative analyses show promising performance, particularly under dynamic conditions. While not optimal for predicting multiple fault types, it outperforms classical algorithms, especially in single fault type prediction tasks.

A comparison of CNN and SVM algorithms for the prediction of growth defects in coffee plants for stable yield and fungal diseases

A comparison of CNN and SVM algorithms for the prediction of growth defects in coffee plants for stable yield and fungal diseases

Machine Learning and Cointegration for Wind Turbine Monitoring and Fault Detection: From a Comparative Study to a Combined Approach

Data-driven models have become powerful tools for structural and condition monitoring of engineering systems, particularly wind turbines. This paper presents a comparative analysis of common machine learning (ML) algorithms (artificial neural networks, linear regression, random forests, and gradient boosting) and a cointegration-based approach for fault detection using Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) data. While ML models offer early fault prediction, the cointegration method is simpler, requires less training data, and has lower computational costs. However, it is less effective for early detection. To balance these trade-offs, we propose a cascading monitoring framework, where the ML model provides long-term predictions (outer monitoring process) and the cointegration model offers short-term verification (inner monitoring process). The cointegration model serves to confirm anomalies flagged by the ML model. By combining both models in a cascade structure, the system reduces the risk of false alarms triggered by uncertainties in the ML model alone. Furthermore, the short-term cointegration-based prediction model helps pinpoint immediate risks and mitigate the issue of prolonged downtime. This combination enhances both accuracy and reliability, as demonstrated through testing on a five-year SCADA dataset from a commercial wind turbine with a known gearbox fault.

Hardware Failure Prediction Modes Powered by Artificial Intelligence

With the increase of the system scale and complexity of modern computer systems and electronic equipment, the physical components (hardware) in computer or electronic equipment are damaged, the performance is reduced or the normal operation of computer and electronic systems is greatly increased due to various reasons. Detecting and predicting hardware faults in time is the key to ensure system stability and reliability. Hardware failure prediction technology based on artificial intelligence (AI) can effectively predict potential hardware failures by analyzing historical data, monitoring equipment operating status in real time, and reducing system downtime and maintenance costs. This paper reviews the current hardware fault prediction methods based on artificial intelligence, discusses the common algorithms, technical challenges, and application scenarios, and looks forward to the future development direction of this field.

A Review of Aircraft Engine Fault Prediction and Performance Optimization Based on Deep Learning

This paper is aimed at presenting a systematic review of the recent studies on the use of deep learning techniques in aircraft engine health management for fault detection and performance enhancement. This comes in the light of increased growth in the air transport industry, the efficiency of aircraft engines and the efficiency of their maintenance have emerged as key issues in the safety and efficiency of air transport. This paper also identifies some of the key issues emerging from this area such as the data issues and the need to develop very accurate models for faulting and performance enhancement. Some of the most advanced techniques, namely the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks and Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) are discussed as potential solutions to these challenges. The theoretical descriptions of the working principles, as well as the strengths and weaknesses of the methods in question with regard to the problems of aircraft engine health management, are elaborated. Furthermore, this paper introduces the application of Reinforcement Learning as a new technique in the area of optimal control of engine parameters with the hope of improving the dependability and maintainability of aircraft engines and in the process of achieving sustainable growth in the aviation industry. The issues on model interpretability, model generalization and model deployment are also discussed and research guidelines for the future work in this field are also outlined. In this paper, the state of the art and the importance of deep learning as well as the applications of deep learning in aircraft engine health management are discussed based on the literature and case studies.

A Software Defect Prediction Method That Simultaneously Addresses Class Overlap and Noise Issues after Oversampling

A Software Defect Prediction Method That Simultaneously Addresses Class Overlap and Noise Issues after Oversampling

Power equipment defect prediction based on time series knowledge graph

With the increasing scale of power facilities, the operation monitoring of power equipment has become an important part of power system management. Defect prediction of power equipment is a key step in power system operation monitoring. In order to solve the problem of defect prediction of power equipment in large-scale power systems, this paper proposes a power equipment defect prediction model based on time series knowledge graph in combination with artificial intelligence technology. Multimodal information is fused through the attention mechanism, and then the time series representation of entities and relations is obtained by using the relationship-aware graph neural network and recurrent neural network. Finally, the defects of power equipment are predicted based on the time series representation. The method proposed in this paper can make full use of multimodal information and improve the accuracy of power equipment defect prediction. Experiments show that the performance of the model proposed in this paper is better than that of the baseline model.

A Linear Swarm – Based Intelligence for Resource Allocation and Fault Prediction in Cloud

The widespread utilization Cloud Computing (CC) services for hosting real-time applications have led to the appearance of service dependability as an essential issue in both users and Cloud Service Providers (CSP). Two diverse fault tolerant approaches are provided to improve the cloud service reliability known as proactive and reactive model. Various prevailing approaches consider the coordination problem among the Virtual Machines (VMs) executes parallel processing. Devoid of appropriate VM coordination, the parallel processing outcomes are not so appropriate. To handle this issue, a VM-based cluster allocation model is designed to diminish the total resource consumption by the data centers and network resources. Here, the VM migration process is performed for deteriorating PM to certain optimal PMs. At last, the optimal target selection is handled with an improved optimization approach known as linear Swarm-based intelligence. Here, various metrics are evaluated and compared with other approaches. The experimental outcomes illustrate the efficiency of the anticipated model.

Comparative analysis of response surface methodology and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system for predictive fault detection and optimization in beverage industry

Maintenance is crucial for ensuring equipment reliability and minimizing downtime while managing associated costs. This study investigates a data-driven approach to predicting machine faults using Response Surface Methodology (RSM) and Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). RSM was employed to develop a mathematical model to analyze how operational parameters such as pressure, voltage, current, vibration, and temperature affect fault occurrence. Data were collected at three levels for each parameter using a central composite design. The model identified that faults peaked at a pressure of 28.38 N/m2, an operating voltage of 431.77 V, current consumption of 12.54 A, machine vibration of 47.17 Hz, and temperature of 25°C, with a maximum of 25 faults observed. Conversely, the lowest fault detection occurred at a pressure of 29.42 N/m2, an operating voltage of 441.04 V, current consumption of 12.04 A, machine vibration of 49.46 Hz, and temperature of 46.5°C. A strong correlation was found between these parameters and machine faults, with the model achieving high accuracy (R2 = 98.22%) and statistical significance (p-value <0.05), demonstrating its reliability in predicting faults. The study also compared RSM with ANFIS for fault detection and process optimization in the beverage industry. While RSM effectively optimized parameter relationships, ANFIS, with its adaptive learning capabilities, provided superior fault prediction accuracy. This comparative analysis highlighted the strengths of both methods and suggested that integrating them could enhance predictive maintenance strategies. The findings offer valuable insights for industry practitioners, recommending a combined approach to improve fault detection, optimize production processes, and enhance operational efficiency.