Set Of Plans Research Articles

Analysis of European Union-Russia Energy Relations in the Framework of Asymmetrical Interdependence: The Impact of Ukraine – Russia War on the EU Energy Policy

Bu makalenin amacı asimetrik karşılıklı bağımlılık çerçevesinde Avrupa Birliği ile Rusya arasındaki enerji ilişkilerini analiz etmek ve 24 Şubat 2022 tarihinde Rusya’nın Ukrayna’yı işgal etmesiyle başlayan savaşın, AB-Rusya enerji ilişkileri üzerindeki etkisini açıklamaktır. Makalede Eurostat verilerinden yararlanılmıştır. Makalenin teorik çerçevesi asimetrik karşılıklı bağımlılıktır. Makalenin önemi güvenlik kaygılarından ötürü AB’nin yeni bir enerji politikası ürettiğini ve Rusya’ya olan bağımlılığından kurtulmak istediğini ortaya koymaktır. Bu makalede AB’nin Rus fosil yakıtlarına bağımlılığından güvenlik temelli sebeplerden ötürü kurtulmak istediği ve bunun için yeni bir enerji stratejisi geliştirdiği argüman olarak ileri sürülmektedir. Rusya’nın Ukrayna’yı işgaline AB’nin enerji alanında verdiği cevap, yenilenebilir enerji kaynaklarının daha çok kullanılmasını ve Azerbaycan gibi yeni tedarikçilerin çeşitliliğini artırmayı öneren yeni bir enerji stratejisinin kabul edilmesidir.

Managing the EU energy crisis and greenhouse gas emissions: Seasonal ARIMA forecast

Changes in the logistics of energy resources and their potential shortage are causing a review of the EU energy policy. The energy sector significantly affects the progress toward achieving climate policy goals due to significt greenhouse gas emissions. The REPowerEU plan, implemented in the EU27 to overcome the energy crisis, requires new forecasts of greenhouse gas emissions due to a change in European energy policy. This paper aims to examine the consequences of the management of the energy crisis caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on EU climate policy. This study focuses on forecasting greenhouse gas emissions in the EU until 2030 and uses the Seasonal ARIMA model based on quarterly time series in the EU27. Depending on energy management and changes in energy policy to overcome the energy crisis, a positive or negative scenario for greenhouse gas emissions may occur. An important parameter that should be considered when determining the scenario of the EU energy development according to climate policy was defined by correlation analysis.According to the negative scenario and under the influence of the effects of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the value of greenhouse gas emissions in the EU at the beginning of 2030 will be 0.752911 tons per capita. The positive scenario shows greenhouse gas emissions can be reduced to 0.235225 tons per capita.The study results proved two extreme scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions, depending on how to overcome the energy crisis. AcknowledgmentThe authors appreciate the copyright holder: © European Union, 1995–2022, as well as the source of the extracted data, which is the European Commission website, Eurostat http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat (accessed on 16 October 2022). This study was funded by the European Union (the project No. 101048079 – EU4SmartED – ERASMUS-JMO-2021-HEI-TCH-RSCH); by the Ministry of Education and Science of Ukraine (projects No. 0122U000788, 0122U000769, 0121U109553, 0120U102001, 0122U000777).This research was funded by Faculty of Organization and Management of the Silesian University of Technology (grant number: 13/990/BK_23/0178).

First and last and always: Politics of the ‘energy efficiency first’ principle in EU energy and climate policy

The EU legislators have agreed that the ‘energy efficiency first’ (EE1) principle is made legally binding for Member States, to apply in policy, planning and major investment decisions. Through the EE1 principle, energy efficiency is to be made a priority in European Union (EU) energy and climate policy, providing what has been a missing link in fully implementing two other guiding principles of EU energy and climate policy: cost-effectiveness and consumer protection. In this article, I conduct an argumentative discourse analysis to better understand the politics of the EE1 principle in EU energy and climate policy. Two different discourses with a set of storylines were identified in the negotiations on the EE1 principle. The first focuses on multiple benefits of energy efficiency and a stronger role for the EE1 principle. The other focuses on climate change mitigation and a weaker role for the EE1 principle. The Council Presidency and the European Commission used discursive techniques such as frame polarisation, frame disconnection and frame incorporation to overcome these dualities. The description of storylines, discourse coalitions and discursive interaction strategies can help policymakers and other stakeholders become more aware of their own and others' argumentation on energy efficiency and how these could be changed, thus help policymakers and stakeholders better shape their strategies in future advocacy and policymaking.

Green growth for whom, how and why? The REPowerEU Plan and the inconsistencies of European Union energy policy

The REPowerEU plan redefines the European Union (EU) energy transition agenda in response to the Russia-Ukraine war. Formally, it aims to boost green growth, defend liberal democracy, and increase Europe's energy sovereignty. Yet, the new course of EU energy policy may be paradoxically yoking the continent into raw materials dependency and lock-in investments in fossil fuel infrastructures, while partnering with other warmonger and dictatorial states. I argue that even a much-needed switch to low-carbon energy sources is not immune from the calamitous consequences of an energy transition based on the growth imperative. Building on the System of Provision approach and integrating it with insights from ecological economics and political ecology, this paper asks how, for what purpose, and on whose terms is the remarkable expansion of solar photovoltaics outlined in the REPowerEU taking place. I find that the mass of raw materials required to meet solar energy targets will increase 3-fold by 2030. This could provide 4.4–6.7 % of EU energy while occupying 5.5–8 % of urbanised spaces. It will also strengthen the dependency on Chinese refining and manufacturing, besides intensifying mining and extractive activities around the globe. The findings in this paper show that the EU economy is not de-materialising, but rather harnessing discontent around rosy narratives like “green growth”. To conclude, I argue that a truly transformative energy policy requires questioning the material foundations of ecological modernisation approaches, abandoning the growth imperative, and reorganising energy systems around sufficiency and decentralised provisioning beyond, rather than within, global capitalism.

E-fuels, technical and economic analysis of the production of synthetic kerosene precursor as sustainable aviation fuel

In the context of European and national energy policies to pursue the energy transition process, the issue of alternative-renewable liquid fuels is clearly addressed, whose purpose is to support the growth of sustainable mobility towards the goal of net zero emissions. On the base of the goals to be achieved in the medium and long term in relation to the theme of decarbonization and the development of new sustainable technologies, the present work deals with the e-fuels, which are produced by hydrogen from water electrolysis driven by renewable energy and CO2 captured from air or industrial sources. In particular, the attention is focused on the production of synthetic kerosene with the purpose to decarbonize the aviation sector, which is one of the most difficult electrifiable sectors due to logistical problems. The main objective of this work is the techno-economic analysis of the production of synthetic kerosene starting from green H2 and CO2 from direct air capture. The study of two main process schemes is carried out for the production of a synthetic crude oil, also called syncrude, rich in the kerosene fraction of interest. In the first scheme, called two-stage or indirect process, the incoming carbon dioxide and hydrogen are transformed through the Reverse-Water-Gas-Shift (RWGS) reaction in a syngas which allows to produce, by means of the Fischer-Tropsch (FT) reaction, the product of interest. The second scheme, referred to as single-stage or direct process, involves the direct formation of syncrude (direct FT-CO2) starting from carbon dioxide and hydrogen. In both cases, kinetic models representative of the considered reactions are selected in order to carry out an accurate process analysis. Through sensitivity analysis and process evaluations, some process optimizations like material recycle and heat integration are performed in order to increasing the efficiency and carry out a cost comparison to evaluate economic feasibility. Regarding the indirect and direct processes, 66.18 bbl/d and 38.46 bbl/d are produced respectively. Considering all the results and scenarios with and without optimizations, the range of the product cost is from 460 to 1435 €/bbl for the indirect process and from 752 to 2364 €/bbl for the direct process. These values strongly depend on the considered prices of power energy and hydrogen used for the present work.

Micro and Macroeconomic Impact of the EU Energy Policy

Micro and Macroeconomic Impact of the EU Energy Policy

Effect of Economic, Institutional and Cultural Factors on the Implementation of EU Energy Policies

Effect of Economic, Institutional and Cultural Factors on the Implementation of EU Energy Policies

European Union Policy on Climate Change Framework

The aim of the paper is to study the European policies in the matter of climate change and water resources management, especially Common Agricultural Policy, Environmental Policy, EU Emission Trading System (ETS), climate and energy policies nexus with international agreements in climate action and world global warming, and the way these European policies are settled and applied in national countries. The paper studies the manner these policies are implemented in European Union countries, funding resources for climate action, with impact on decisionmaking level and good-governance.

Measuring policy coherence on global access to clean energy between European countries

Amongst the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), ensuring energy access in developing countries while reducing global emissions of greenhouse gases is critical. To achieve such goals, international cooperation combined with investments in research, technology, infrastructures and capacity building are paramount. The Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 7 on access to affordable and clean energy, includes both targets at the domestic and international stages of energy policy. However, trade-offs are emerging in the monitoring phase of SDG7 and its targets, signalling the need for stronger coherence at all stages. Here, we assess to what extent policy coherence exists, and is or is not maintained, considering internal and external energy policy in Europe. We find that a higher level of coherence exists in internal than external energy policy. This result questions the overall positive contribution and commitment of European countries when it comes to facilitating energy access in developing countries. The results also highlight the positive effect of common policy frameworks and the need to rely more extensively on new means for governing and improving international policy coherence. We identify key trade-offs and co-benefits to be addressed for achieving improved policy coherence and call for a common framework that unifies internal and external energy policy in Europe for accelerating progress towards global access to clean energy.

COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF BUSINESS MODELS OF PROSUMERS WITH RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES

The review of current models of renewable energy promoters in Ukraine focuses on consumer groups that use renewable energy sources, new business models and modern approaches to market regulation, which further affect the modernization of infrastructure in accordance with the requirements of the European Union and energy policy. The author analyzes the formation of tariff policy according to each business model and describes the impact of preferential tariffs in the functioning of the models. This article examines the impact of energy cooperatives and community energy communities, what value they bring to the transition to alternative energy sources, and how they can be developed through energy policy and regulatory frameworks. It has been shown that the management of energy cooperatives and communities during peak consumption periods can influence the balancing of the energy system. It has been found that business models of collective consumption in market relations expand the definition of self-consumption in many ways. The Tenant's Electricity business model involves some form of independent consumption of solar energy from photovoltaic installations in apartment buildings. The Private Grid or Microgrid model allows consumers and prosumers to experiment with different energy technologies that simultaneously maximize their own consumption and offer services to grid operators. It also shows a mechanism for covering electricity shortages through collective self-consumption, in which the local grid operator provides careful management of consumer meter data.
 The presented 15 business models of prosumerism allow us to explore the ways in which some models can be advantageous compared to others by avoiding various components in the formation of retail energy prices, and by generating new revenues through flexibility. The possibility of schemes with the ability to "aggregate" the flexibility of consumers and use the flexibility of many small energy systems to meet the large needs of power system operators is identified. Examples of business models for collective consumers that benefit from energy efficiency and decarbonization of other energy sources, such as heat and transport, are presented. The paper also considers possible business models of prosumerism and schemes for the provision of energy services between the owners of renewable generation and the distribution system operator, transmission system operator, and other market participants. It is proposed to solve the problem of expanding prosumerism by conducting a comparative analysis of business models.

GLOBAL TRENDS IN IMPLEMENTATION OF RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES AND FEATURES OF THEIR IMPLEMENTATION DURING THE RECOVERY OF UKRAINE'S ECONOMY

The world trends in the introduction of renewable energy sources (RES) and the peculiarities of their implementation during the recovery of the economy of Ukraine are considered.
 It is shown that the world energy sector is undergoing a fundamental transformation, therefore it is necessary to develop a new energy security paradigm that will ensure reliability and availability while simultaneously reducing emissions, and green energy is an unconditional global trend of the coming decades. It has been determined that diversifying our energy supply by investing in RES is one of the promising ways to protect ourselves from the risks of energy dependence. The state and effectiveness of RES use at the beginning of the third decade of the 21st century is analysed (according to the Renewable Energy Policy Network for the 21st Century and The International Renewable Energy Agency).
 Consolidated energy and climate statistics for 2021 according to the document World Energy & Climate Statistics - Yearbook 2022 (World energy and climate statistics - yearbook 2022) are provided, comparing statistical data of individual countries and Ukraine. The analysis of the effectiveness of the implementation of various types of RES at the level of world markets and Ukraine for the period 2010–2021 and 2020–2021 was evaluated using the average estimated cost of electricity production throughout the life cycle of these power plants (LCOE).
 When considering the European policy in the field of RES and energy efficiency, the schedule of the development of renewable energy in the EU and the characteristics of the REPowerEU plan, developed by the European Commission, are presented, which outlines the course for reducing the consumption of oil and gas in general, as well as the introduction and use of "green" energy sources. A detailed description of the development of renewable energy in Ukraine in 2020-2021, as well as world trends in RES, which will affect the reconstruction of the Ukrainian economy, is provided. The impact of the full-scale war unleashed by Russia against Ukraine on the operation of renewable energy in Ukraine is shown, the main directions of the recovery of our country in the post-war period with the use of RES are highlighted.

The REPowerEU: An EU Climate Ambitions and Its Implications On Russian-European Energy Geopolitics Stability

As the third largest carbon-emitting country in the world, the European Union has more responsibility to address the problem of preventing climate change. However, the climate management policies implemented by the European Union need to be more effective to achieve the long-term targets in the Paris Agreement. Responding to this, the European Union is planning a new policy, REPowerEU. REPowerEU is a follow-up effort from the European Union towards a clean energy transition and a form of Europe's anger towards Russia's geopolitical energy behaviour. In addition, the REPowerEU Plan is a tool the European Union uses to break away from energy dependence on Russia so that it can be more independent in determining foreign policy. This study aims to assess the impact of the implementation of the European Union's energy policy on Russian-European political stability. This study uses qualitative methods by collecting data through literature studies. This research is analyzed using the neoclassical realism paradigm based on energy geopolitics. It found that there are positive and negative impact in applying REPowerEU to decrease dependency of Russia’s energy supply to Europe.

The EU and the new energy reality: Lessons learned from the vortices of 2022

The Russian invasion of Ukraine and manipulation of the gas flow have revealed Russian leader Vladimir Putin’s malicious intentions and the EU’s weaknesses in the energy sector and related policies. As time has gone by and the initial shock has faded, it has become obvious that the EU’s policies need reform. Both the workings of the internal energy market and the fundaments of current energy policy have shown themselves to be unfit for the increased geopolitical tensions that the EU is facing. This article takes stock of what led to the crisis, assesses these policy flaws, and suggests possible solutions for the functioning of the internal energy market and policymaking.

Energy Security of the European Union in the Context of Russian Aggression against Ukraine

Over the past decades, Russia has used the supply, ownership and control of energy resources as an instrument of its foreign policy to strengthen its political influence not only in the post-Soviet space, but also in the EU member states. During the unprovoked Russian aggression against Ukraine, Moscow used energy policy as an energy weapon (demanding to pay for gas in rubles; stopping gas supplies to certain EU member states, including Poland, Bulgaria, and Finland; reducing the volume of supplies through the Nord Stream pipeline; ignoring the capacities of the Ukrainian GTS; provoking an increase in gas prices), which resulted in an acute energy crisis in the European Union. This prompted the EU and national governments of its member states to make significant adjustments to their energy policies in order to overcome the crisis and prevent gas blackmail by European states as a manipulation to circumvent anti-Russian sanctions and political pressure to withdraw support for Ukraine. The purpose of the article is to study the problems of ensuring the energy security of the European Union and its member states in the context of the energy crisis caused by Russia's aggression against Ukraine. The article is aimed at studying the impact of Russian aggression on the EU's energy security, assessing the state of the Energy Union in 2022, and analyzing short-term and long-term strategies in the development of relevant supranational and national energy policies, mainly from a European perspective. Modern European national and supranational energy and climate strategies envisage postponing the phase-out of coal, oil, gas and nuclear power, while accelerating the deployment of renewable energy, improving energy efficiency and a mandatory commitment to increase energy storage. The European Union and its member states are overcoming the consequences of the energy crisis by developing and implementing national strategies, the REPowerEU plan, as well as a number of other measures to reduce energy prices and ensure security of supply. The REPowerEU plan is fully in line with the European Green Deal and includes measures to save energy, diversify and ensure security of supply, accelerate the deployment of renewable energy sources and a reasonable mix of investment and reform. The modernization of the EU's energy policy is aligned with the EU's long-term climate goals. The EU also supports new partnerships with neighboring countries, including Ukraine, to accelerate the global transition to green and fair energy.

Analysis of the EU Energy Consumption Dynamics and its Impact on the Enterprise Economic Security

Economic security of the EU energy is an urgent problem for all countries. The energy policy of the EU aims to diversify energy resources and achieve energy independence. However, after 2022, this issue has become more pressing. The paper also examines the dynamics of energy consumption by various countries and sectors of the economy and evaluates the impact of changes in the energy sector structure on the economic security of enterprises. The paper offers suggestions for improving the EU energy policy to ensure enterprise economic security. The paper also considers the dynamics of energy consumption by various sectors of the economy and assesses the impact of changes in the energy sector structure on the economic security of enterprises.

The necessary reorientation of Italian energy policy

ABSTRACT The 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine triggered profound changes in European energy policy. This was particularly the case for a country like Italy, highly dependent on Russian gas supplies and traditionally an energy partner of Moscow. In this article, we trace the major policy measures enacted by the Draghi government to address security-of-supply risks and foster the development of renewable energy. Moreover, we highlight a number of continuities and differences that emerged in these areas with the appointment of the new government led by Giorgia Meloni. Finally, we discuss some possible longer-term implications and risks for Italian energy policy in the wake of the innovations introduced after the invasion. These include a return of the state in energy governance, the shift of Italian foreign energy policy towards the Mediterranean and Africa as well as unsolved problems in the management of centre-periphery relations for accelerating the country’s energy transition.

Combining the advocacy coalition framework and argumentative discourse analysis: The case of the “energy efficiency first” principle in EU energy and climate policy

AbstractThis article combines, in a complementary way, the Advocacy Coalition Framework (ACF) with argumentative discourse analysis to analyze the politics of the “energy efficiency first” (EE1) principle as a new legal institute in European Union energy and climate policy. Two different discourses and storylines were identified. The first is where the meaning of energy efficiency policy is to fulfill multiple benefits. It is associated with a strong regulation of EE1. The second is where the purpose of energy efficiency policy is primarily to contribute to mitigating climate change. It is associated with weak regulation of EE1. Four advocacy coalitions with different secondary beliefs regarding the EE1 principle were identified. Analyzing the inter‐discursive communication between different coalitions provides insights to the policy‐oriented learning taking place. It is concluded that studies using the ACF could merit from focusing more on narratives and communication between belief systems.Related ArticlesKanol, Direnç. 2022. “Narrative Strategies for Emerging Disruptive Technologies: A Case Study of Blockchain for Europe.” Politics & Policy 50(5): 952–66. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12492.Nowlin, Matthew C., Maren Trochmann, and Thomas M. Rabovsky. 2022. “Advocacy Coalitions and Political Control.” Politics & Policy 50(2): 201–24. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12458.O'Donovan, Kristin T. 2018. “Does the Narrative Policy Framework Apply to Local Policy Issues?” Politics & Policy 46(4): 532–70. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12265.

Post-pandemic lessons for EU energy and climate policy after the Russian invasion of Ukraine: Introduction to a special issue on EU green recovery in the post-Covid-19 period

The key policy priority for governments around the world during the 2020–2021 period was the response to the Covid-19 pandemic. However, this was swiftly replaced by an even graver urgent need to respond to Russia's full-scale attack on Ukraine in February 2022. This special issue aims to study the post-pandemic response and how related policy choices influence decarbonisation and energy transition efforts in the EU. While the special issue was initially conceived before Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the question of policy responses to critical situations remains even more relevant in the face of Russia's attempt to redraft the political landscape of Europe by force. The dichotomy of existing views on whether the crisis caused by the pandemic is an opportunity or a threat to the energy transition is also present in the discussion and perception of the EU's energy and climate policy after the Russian invasion at least temporarily shifted energy security and decarbonisation priorities. Analysing energy and climate dimensions of the EUʼs post-pandemic recovery can provide policy implications applicable to the energy security crisis connected to the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

Energy and environmental security of the European Union in the context of russia's unstable military and economic policy

The countries of the European Union are experiencing the first real global energy crisis in history, bearing in mind that reliability and the possibility of receiving the required amount of energy resources are the basis of full functioning and further sustainable social and economic development of countries. The purpose of the study is to analyse European Union energy and environmental security regulatory measures in terms of unpredictable actions of the main supplier of energy resources. A set of general scientific and special methods of scientific cognition was used: the historical method with a systematic analysis of energy law; the structural and functional method; synthesis; deduction and induction. As a result of the conducted study, the main areas of increasing energy security in the European Union were determined based on scientific programmes using renewable energy sources, which gradually reduce the demand for organic fossil fuels (natural gas, oil, coal, peat, oil shale). The situation of dependence of EU states on the export of russian energy resources was also characterised and the process of changing the EU energy policy was illustrated. This research contains an analysis of the ecological aspect of the change in the situation with energy security in the EU, and forecasts regarding the situation on the international energy market of russia. The primary theoretical principles, conclusions, and practical recommendations in the industry of the energy market would help accelerate the diversification of the natural gas market in Ukraine in terms of joining the European Union energy market

EU Decarbonization under Geopolitical Pressure: Changing Paradigms and Implications for Energy and Climate Policy

This paper aims to assess the impact of EU energy and climate policy as a response to Russia’s war in Ukraine on the EU decarbonization enterprise. It showcases how the Russian invasion was a crunch point that forced the EU to abandon its liberal market dogma and embrace in practice an open strategic autonomy approach. This led to an updated energy and climate policy, with significant changes underpinning its main pillars, interdependence, diversification, and the focus of market regulation and build-up. The reversal of enforced interdependence with Russia and the legislative barrage to support and build-up a domestic clean energy market unlocks significant emission reduction potential, with measures targeting energy efficiency, solar, wind, and hydrogen development; an urban renewable revolution and electricity and carbon market reforms standing out. Such positive decarbonization effects, however, are weakened by source and fuel diversification moves that extend to coal and shale gas, especially when leading to an infrastructure build-up and locking-in gas use in the mid-term. Despite these caveats, the analysis overall vindicates the hypothesis that geopolitics constitutes a facilitator and accelerator of EU energy transition.